Cnotes 2019-2020 College Football Trends-News-Notes-Best Bets & Opinions !

Cnotes53 · Oct 27, 2019

Week 9 - Saturday October 26, 2019

CONNECTICUT @ MASSACHUSETTS
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
107 UCONN ? -9.5 14 21 7 14 56 Cover: 11.5
108 UMASS 62 7 14 7 7 35 Over: 91
Line Movements ? Recap

ILLINOIS @ PURDUE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
109 ILLURB ? 54 3 14 7 0 24 Cover: 27.5
110 PURDUE -9.5 0 0 0 6 6 Under: 30
Line Movements ? Recap

SAN JOSE STATE @ ARMY
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
111 SANJST ? 54.5 7 16 0 11 34 Cover: 14.5
112 ARMY -9.5 7 3 7 12 29 Over: 63
Line Movements ? Recap

TROY @ GEORGIA STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
113 TROY 67 0 14 0 19 33 Over: 85
114 GEOGST ? -1 7 21 7 17 52 Cover: 18
Line Movements ? Recap

EASTERN MICHIGAN @ TOLEDO
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 OT T ATS
119 EASTMI 53 0 10 6 15 3 34 Over: 71
120 TOLEDO ? -2.5 7 3 21 0 6 37 Cover: 0.5
Line Movements ? Recap

MISSISSIPPI STATE @ TEXAS AM
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
121 MISSST 50 0 10 7 13 30 Over: 79
122 TXAM ? -11 14 14 14 7 49 Cover: 8
Line Movements ? Recap

BOWLING GREEN STATE @ WESTERN MICHIGAN
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
125 BGREEN 65.5 3 0 7 0 10 Under: 59
126 WMICH ? -27 0 21 28 0 49 Cover: 12
Line Movements ? Recap

INDIANA @ NEBRASKA
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
127 IND ? 55 9 7 15 7 38 Cover: 9.5
128 NEBRAS -2.5 14 7 3 7 31 Over: 69
Line Movements ? Recap

CENTRAL MICHIGAN @ SUNY-BUFFALO
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
129 CMICH 45.5 7 7 0 6 20 Over: 63
130 BUFFLO ? -2.5 3 27 3 10 43 Cover: 20.5
Line Movements ? Recap

IOWA @ NORTHWESTERN
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
131 IOWA ? -8 7 3 7 3 20 Cover: 12
132 NWEST 36 0 0 0 0 0 Under: 20
Line Movements ? Recap

SOUTH FLORIDA @ EAST CAROLINA
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
133 SOUFLA ? -1 14 21 3 7 45 Cover: 24
134 ECAROL 51.5 7 3 0 10 20 Over: 65
Line Movements ? Recap

SYRACUSE @ FLORIDA STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
135 SYRACU 60 0 3 0 14 17 Under: 52
136 FSU ? -11.5 13 8 14 0 35 Cover: 6.5
Line Movements ? Recap

LIBERTY @ RUTGERS
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
137 LIBERT -7.5 14 7 3 10 34 Over: 78
138 RUTGER ? 44 7 14 17 6 44 Cover: 17.5
Line Movements ? Recap

SOUTHERN MISS @ RICE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
139 SMISS ? -10 0 10 3 7 20 Cover: 4
140 RICE 51 0 0 6 0 6 Under: 26
Line Movements ? Recap

NEVADA @ WYOMING
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
143 NEVADA 44 3 0 0 0 3 Under: 34
144 WYO ? -13.5 14 10 7 0 31 Cover: 14.5
Line Movements ? Recap

HAWAII @ NEW MEXICO
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
147 HAWAII ? -10 21 14 3 7 45 Cover: 4
148 NMEX 71 3 0 7 21 31 Over: 76
Line Movements ? Recap

WESTERN KENTUCKY @ MARSHALL
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
149 WKU 44.5 0 7 6 10 23 Cover: 1
150 MARSH ? -4 14 6 3 3 26 Over: 49
Line Movements ? Recap

ARIZONA @ STANFORD
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
151 ARIZNA 54 10 14 7 0 31 Over: 72
152 STANFD ? -3 7 24 7 3 41 Cover: 7
Line Movements ? Recap

DUKE @ NORTH CAROLINA
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
159 DUKE 53.5 3 0 14 0 17 Cover: 0
160 UNC ? -3 7 0 10 3 20 Under: 37
Line Movements ? Recap

PENN STATE @ MICHIGAN STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
161 PENNST ? -5.5 7 14 7 0 28 Cover: 15.5
162 MICHST 42 0 0 7 0 7 Under: 35
Line Movements ? Recap

MIAMI (OH) @ KENT STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
163 MIAOH ? 54.5 6 3 7 7 23 Cover: 9.5
164 KENT -2.5 0 6 0 10 16 Under: 39
Line Movements ? Recap

APPALACHIAN STATE @ SOUTH ALABAMA
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
165 APPALA ? -27.5 7 6 10 7 30 Under: 33
166 SALAB 50.5 0 0 0 3 3 Cover: 0.5
Line Movements ? Recap

NEW MEXICO STATE @ GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
167 NMST 53.5 7 0 0 0 7 Under: 48
168 GEOSO ? -13.5 7 21 13 0 41 Cover: 20.5
Line Movements ? Recap

OKLAHOMA STATE @ IOWA STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
169 OKST ? 65 7 14 3 10 34 Cover: 18
170 IOWAST -11 0 13 7 7 27 Under: 61
Line Movements ? Recap

FLORIDA INTL @ MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST.
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
171 FLAINT -1 7 10 0 0 17 Over: 67
172 MIDTEN ? 57.5 14 0 23 13 50 Cover: 34
Line Movements ? Recap

FLORIDA ATLANTIC @ OLD DOMINION
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
173 FAU ? -13.5 14 10 7 10 41 Cover: 24.5
174 OLDOM 51 0 3 0 0 3 Under: 44
Line Movements ? Recap

OHIO @ BALL STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
175 OHIO ? 59.5 7 6 14 7 34 Cover: 15.5
176 BALLST -2.5 7 0 7 7 21 Under: 55
Line Movements ? Recap

ARKANSAS @ ALABAMA
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
177 ARK 55.5 0 0 0 7 7 Under: 55
178 ALA ? -31.5 17 24 7 0 48 Cover: 9.5
Line Movements ? Recap

SOUTH CAROLINA @ TENNESSEE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
179 SCAR -4.5 7 14 0 0 21 Over: 62
180 TENN ? 46 3 14 14 10 41 Cover: 24.5
Line Movements ? Recap

OKLAHOMA @ KANSAS STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
181 OKLA -23.5 17 6 0 18 41 Over: 89
182 KANST ? 59 7 17 17 7 48 Cover: 30.5
Line Movements ? Recap

MARYLAND @ MINNESOTA
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
183 MARYLD 59.5 0 3 0 7 10 Over: 62
184 MINN ? -15 14 14 10 14 52 Cover: 27
Line Movements ? Recap

TULANE @ NAVY
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
185 TULANE 58 0 14 14 10 38 Cover: 1
186 NAVY ? -4 21 10 0 10 41 Over: 79
Line Movements ? Recap

TEXAS @ TEXAS CHRISTIAN
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
187 TEXAUS 57 3 14 3 7 27 Over: 64
188 TXCHRI ? -1 3 10 14 10 37 Cover: 9
Line Movements ? Recap

MIAMI (FL) @ PITTSBURGH
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
189 MIAMI ? 42.5 3 7 0 6 16 Cover: 8.5
190 PITT -4.5 3 3 3 3 12 Under: 28
Line Movements ? Recap

VIRGINIA @ LOUISVILLE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
191 VIRGNA -3.5 7 7 0 7 21 Under: 49
192 LOUIS ? 51.5 7 0 7 14 28 Cover: 10.5
Line Movements ? Recap

AKRON @ NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
193 AKRON 42 0 0 0 0 0 Over: 49
194 NORILL ? -23 7 14 14 14 49 Cover: 26
Line Movements ? Recap

NORTH TEXAS @ UNC CHARLOTTE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
197 NTEX -4 14 7 14 3 38 Over: 77
198 CHARLO ? 64 0 7 14 18 39 Cover: 5
Line Movements ? Recap

WISCONSIN @ OHIO STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
199 WISMAD 48 0 0 7 0 7 Under: 45
200 OHIOST ? -14.5 0 10 14 14 38 Cover: 16.5
Line Movements ? Recap

TEXAS STATE @ ARKANSAS STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
201 TEXST 60.5 0 14 0 0 14 Under: 52
202 ARKST ? -11 7 10 14 7 38 Cover: 13
Line Movements ? Recap

AUBURN @ LSU
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
203 AUBURN 58.5 3 7 3 7 20 Cover: 8.5
204 LSU ? -11.5 0 10 6 7 23 Under: 43
Line Movements ? Recap

SAN DIEGO @ DAYTON
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309925 USD ? -7.5 13 9 14 14 50 Cover: 4.5
309926 DAYTON 69 7 13 0 18 38 Over: 88
Line Movements ? Recap

SACRED HEART @ ST. FRANCIS (PA)
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 OT T ATS
309927 SACRED ? 39 3 7 6 14 6 36 Cover: 7
309928 FRANPA -4 10 10 3 7 3 33 Over: 69
Line Movements ? Recap

BRYANT @ ROBERT MORRIS
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309929 BRYANT 45.5 10 3 0 7 20 Cover: 7
309930 RMORIS ? -11 0 0 17 7 24 Under: 44
Line Movements ? Recap

LIU UNIVERSITY @ CENTRAL CONNECTICUT ST.
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309931 CWPST 47 0 0 0 0 0 Cover: 0.5
309932 CENTCT ? -28.5 0 14 7 7 28 Under: 28
Line Movements ? Recap

GEORGETOWN @ LEHIGH
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309933 GEORGE -4 0 3 13 8 24 Over: 51
309934 LEHIGH ? 32.5 10 0 0 17 27 Cover: 7
Line Movements ? Recap

RICHMOND @ DELAWARE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309935 RICHMD ? 47.5 21 7 7 0 35 Cover: 16.5
309936 DELAWA -6.5 7 3 15 0 25 Over: 60
Line Movements ? Recap

WAGNER @ DUQUESNE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309937 WAGNER 35 0 14 0 10 24 Cover: 10
309938 DUQUE ? -14 0 14 7 7 28 Over: 52
Line Movements ? Recap

COLGATE @ HOLY CROSS
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309939 COLGAT 38 0 3 0 7 10 Over: 41
309940 HOLYCR ? -10 7 14 10 0 31 Cover: 11
Line Movements ? Recap

PENNSYLVANIA @ YALE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309941 PENN 54 0 13 14 14 41 Cover: 5.5
309942 YALE ? -10.5 7 13 6 20 46 Over: 87
Line Movements ? Recap

MARIST @ DAVIDSON
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309943 MARIST ? 55.5 7 3 14 3 27 Cover: 22.5
309944 DAVIDS -16.5 0 7 0 14 21 Under: 48
Line Movements ? Recap

HARVARD @ PRINCETON
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309945 HARVRD 58.5 0 14 0 10 24 Cover: 6.5
309946 PRINCE ? -12.5 10 0 13 7 30 Under: 54
Line Movements ? Recap

ELON @ RHODE ISLAND
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309947 ELON ? -2.5 7 0 17 14 38 Cover: 22.5
309948 RHODE 57 3 3 7 0 13 Under: 51
Line Movements ? Recap

WILLIAM MARY @ MAINE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309949 WMARY 56.5 6 6 0 13 25 Over: 59
309950 MAINE ? -8 0 21 10 3 34 Cover: 1
Line Movements ? Recap

HOWARD @ NORTH CAROLINA AT
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309951 HOWARD 60 6 0 0 0 6 Over: 70
309952 NCARAT ? -32.5 10 24 23 7 64 Cover: 25.5
Line Movements ? Recap

MONTANA STATE @ NORTH DAKOTA
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309953 MONTST -4.5 3 3 0 6 12 Under: 28
309954 NDUNIV ? 59.5 7 0 3 6 16 Cover: 8.5
Line Movements ? Recap

JACKSONVILLE @ BUTLER
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309955 JAXVIL 56.5 14 0 0 0 14 Under: 38
309956 BUTLER ? -2.5 6 8 3 7 24 Cover: 7.5
Line Movements ? Recap

PRESBYTERIAN @ MERRIMACK
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309957 PRESBY 47.5 7 7 0 7 21 Cover: 11.5
309958 MERRIM ? -14.5 7 7 0 10 24 Under: 45
Line Movements ? Recap

EAST TENNESSEE ST @ SAMFORD
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309959 ETSU 61.5 0 14 0 3 17 Under: 41
309960 SAMFRD ? -4 7 0 10 7 24 Cover: 3
Line Movements ? Recap

STETSON @ VALPARAISO
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309961 STETSN -11 10 0 0 0 10 Under: 29
309962 VALPAR ? 56.5 3 10 6 0 19 Cover: 20
Line Movements ? Recap

BROWN @ CORNELL
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309963 BROWN 53 6 6 13 10 35 Cover: 8
309964 CORNEL ? -10 6 14 14 3 37 Over: 72
Line Movements ? Recap

CAMPBELL @ GARDNER WEBB
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 OTX T ATS
309965 CAMPBL ? -6.5 0 13 0 14 22 49 Over: 96
309966 GARDWB 52 10 14 3 0 20 47 Cover: 4.5
Line Movements ? Recap

UT CHATTANOOGA @ WOFFORD
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 OT T ATS
309967 TENCHA 51.5 7 7 0 14 6 34 Cover: 10
309968 WOFFRD ? -11 0 14 7 7 7 35 Over: 69
Line Movements ? Recap

MOREHEAD STATE @ DRAKE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309969 MOREST 54 7 3 0 7 17 Cover: 5
309970 DRAKE ? -24 3 12 7 14 36 Under: 53
Line Movements ? Recap

DELAWARE STATE @ NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309971 DELST 38 3 10 0 10 23 Cover: 5.5
309972 NCCENT ? -12.5 0 16 7 7 30 Over: 53
Line Movements ? Recap

EASTERN WASHINGTON @ MONTANA
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309973 EWASH 76 0 14 3 0 17 Under: 51
309974 MONTAN ? -6.5 3 7 10 14 34 Cover: 10.5
Line Movements ? Recap

GRAMBLING STATE @ ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309975 GRAMB ? -6 9 13 7 10 39 Over: 72
309976 ARKPB 53 12 7 7 7 33 Cover: 0
Line Movements ? Recap

WESTERN ILLINOIS @ YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309977 WESTIL 49 7 0 0 7 14 Over: 73
309978 YOUNG ? -21.5 28 17 14 0 59 Cover: 23.5
Line Movements ? Recap

UT MARTIN @ SE MISSOURI STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309979 TENMAR 53 7 3 0 0 10 Under: 27
309980 SEMOST ? -2.5 3 0 7 7 17 Cover: 4.5
Line Movements ? Recap

MERCER @ THE CITADEL
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309981 MERCER 61 0 10 14 0 24 Under: 59
309982 CITADL ? -9.5 7 7 7 14 35 Cover: 1.5
Line Movements ? Recap

AUSTIN PEAY STATE @ TENNESSEE TECH
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309983 AUSPY ? -9 20 24 7 7 58 Cover: 28
309984 TENTEC 7 7 0 7 21
Line Movements ? Recap

NORTHERN IOWA @ MISSOURI STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309985 NIOWA ? -19.5 0 19 10 0 29 Cover: 3.5
309986 MOST 0 0 0 6 6
Line Movements ? Recap

TEXAS SOUTHERN @ MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ST.
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309987 TEXSOU -1.5 7 0 0 7 14
309988 MISSVL ? 0 13 6 16 35 Cover: 22.5
Line Movements ? Recap

SOUTHERN AM @ ALCORN STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309989 SOTHRN 0 6 0 7 13
309990 ALCORN ? -6.5 0 3 14 10 27 Cover: 14
Line Movements ? Recap

FLORIDA AM @ MORGAN STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309991 FLAAM ? -9 7 17 0 0 24 Cover: 3
309992 MORGAN 7 3 0 2 12
Line Movements ? Recap

EASTERN KENTUCKY @ EASTERN ILLINOIS
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309993 EASTKY ? -9 7 7 3 16 33 Cover: 18
309994 EASTIL 0 0 0 6 6
Line Movements ? Recap

INDIANA STATE @ ILLINOIS STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309995 INDST 0 7 0 0 7
309996 ILLST ? -14 0 7 3 14 24 Cover: 17
Line Movements ? Recap

SE LOUISIANA @ HOUSTON BAPTIST
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309997 SELOU ? -7.5 14 14 17 7 52 Cover: 31.5
309998 HOUBAP 6 7 0 0 13
Line Movements ? Recap

NORTH ALABAMA @ KENNESAW STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
309999 UNA 7 10 0 0 17
310000 KENNES ? -28.5 6 21 7 7 41 Cover: 24
Line Movements ? Recap

NORTH DAKOTA STATE @ SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310001 NDAKST ? -5.5 0 3 13 7 23 Cover: 1.5
310002 SDAKST 47 6 0 3 7 16 Under: 39
Line Movements ? Recap

BUCKNELL @ LAFAYETTE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310003 BUCKNL 7 7 3 0 17
310004 LAFAY ? -9 7 0 0 14 21 Cover: 4
Line Movements ? Recap

FURMAN @ WESTERN CAROLINA
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310005 FURMAN ? -26.5 3 10 15 0 28
310006 WCAROL 7 0 0 0 7 Cover: 5.5
Line Movements ? Recap

STONY BROOK @ VILLANOVA
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310007 SBROOK ? 7 3 10 16 36 Cover: 1
310008 VILLA -6.5 7 21 0 7 35
Line Movements ? Recap

ALABAMA AM @ ALABAMA STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 OTX T ATS
310009 ALAAM ? 7 0 7 7 22 43 Cover: 2
310010 ALAST PK 0 21 0 0 20 41
Line Movements ? Recap

TOWSON @ JAMES MADISON
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310011 TOWSON 0 10 0 0 10
310012 JMADSN ? -16.5 7 17 3 0 27 Cover: 17
Line Movements ? Recap

MURRAY STATE @ JACKSONVILLE STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310013 MURRAY 0 0 7 5 12
310014 JAXST ? -9.5 7 7 0 0 14 Cover: 2
Line Movements ? Recap

MCNEESE STATE @ STEPHEN F. AUSTIN
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310015 MCNEES ? -6 3 7 3 20 33 Cover: 17
310016 STEPH 7 0 3 0 10
Line Movements ? Recap

SOUTH CAROLINA STATE @ BETHUNE COOKMAN
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310017 SCARST ? 7 20 0 0 27 Cover: 8
310018 BECOOK -1.5 0 13 6 0 19
Line Movements ? Recap

ABILENE CHRISTIAN @ NICHOLLS STATE
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 OT T ATS
310019 ABIL ? 0 17 14 0 6 37 Cover: 6
310020 NICHOL -10 7 7 7 10 0 31
Line Movements ? Recap

IDAHO STATE @ SOUTHERN UTAH
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310021 IDAST -10 14 6 0 14 34
310022 SUTAH ? 28 3 14 14 59 Cover: 35
Line Movements ? Recap

SOUTHERN ILLINOIS @ SOUTH DAKOTA
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310023 SILL ? 7 27 7 7 48 Cover: 20
310024 SODAK -6 7 0 14 7 28
Line Movements ? Recap

NORTHWESTERN STATE @ INCARNATE WORD
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 OT T ATS
310025 NWST ? 7 9 7 15 6 44 Cover: 3
310026 INCARN -14.5 7 10 14 7 3 41
Line Movements ? Recap

MONMOUTH (NJ) @ CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310027 MONMTH ? -5.5 7 7 14 7 35 Cover: 16.5
310028 CHARSO 3 3 0 7 13
Line Movements ? Recap

WEBER STATE @ UC DAVIS
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310029 WEBER ? 7 9 10 10 36 Cover: 16
310030 DAVIS -2.5 7 0 7 6 20
Line Movements ? Recap

PORTLAND STATE @ NORTHERN ARIZONA
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310031 PORTST 0 9 11 9 29
310032 NARIZO ? -1 14 7 7 3 31 Cover: 2
Line Movements ? Recap

SAM HOUSTON STATE @ CENTRAL ARKANSAS
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
310033 SAMHOU -2 7 9 6 3 25
310034 CENARK ? 0 0 14 15 29 Cover: 6
Line Movements ? Recap

VIRGINIA-LYNCHBURG @ HAMPTON
Final Score Score
Teams Odds 1 2 3 4 T ATS
VUL 0 6 0 0 6
HAMPTN ? 17 18 14 7 56
Recap

Updated Sun, Oct 27 2:22 AM EST

Cnotes53 · Oct 27, 2019

CFB OCTOBER OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

10/26/2019.............41-27-2.........60.29%...........+56.50
10/25/2019................0-2-0...........0.00% ...........-11.00
10/24/2019................2-0-0........100.00% ..........+10.00
10/19/2019.............20-31-0.........39.22%............-70.50
10/18/2019................7-1-0.........87.50%...........+29.50
10/17/2019................3-1-0.........75.00%............+9.50
10/16/2019................1-1-0.........50.00%..............-0.50
10/12/2019.............27-22-0.........55.10%..........+14.00
10/11/2019................2-4-0.........33.33%............-12.00
10/10/2019................0-4-0...........0.00%............-22.00
10/09/2019................1-1-0..........50.00%.............-0.50
10/05/2019.............34-31-0..........52.30%.............-0.50
10/04/2019................2-2-0...........50.00%............-1.00
10/03/2019................1-3-0...........25.00%...........-11.50
..

Totals...................141-130-0.........52.02%............-10.00

*****************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS.............UNITS. ............O/U...............UNITS.............TOTALS

10/26/2019.............12 - 10........+6.20..............12 - 5...........+32.50............+38.70
10/25/2019..............0 - 1...........-5.50...............0 - 1.............-5.50...............-11.00
10/24/2019..............1 - 0...........+5.00..............1 - 0.............+5.00..............+10.00
10/19/2019............12 - 24.........-72.00.............8 - 2..............+1.50..............-70.50
10/18/2019.............3 - 0...........+15.00.............2 - 1.............+4.50..............+19.50
10/17/2019..............1 - 1...........-0.50...............2 - 0.............+10.00.............+9.50
10/16/2019..............0 - 1...........-5.50...............1 - 0.............+5.00...............-0.50
10/12/2019............19 - 14.........+18.00............7 - 7..............-3.50..............+14.50
10/11/2019.............1 - 2............-6.00...............0 - 1..............-5.50..............-11.50
10/10/2019.............0 - 2............-11.00..............0 - 2..............-11.00............-22.00
10/09/2019.............0 - 1............-5.50................1 -0..............+5.00..............-0.50
10/05/2019............23 - 21..........-0.50..............12 - 8.............+16.00...........+15.50
10/04/2019.............1 - 1............-0.50................1 - 1..............-0.50..............-1.00
10/03/2019.............0 - 2............-11.00..............1 - 2..............-6.00..............-17.00

Totals....................73 - 56.........-73.80.............48 - 30............+47.50............-26.30

Cnotes53 · Oct 29, 2019

Tuesday?s 6-pack

college basketball coaches:

? Mike Krzyzewski, Duke $8.98M/year

? John Calipari, Kentucky $8.04M

? Mick Cronin, UCLA $5.5M

? Rick Barnes, Tennessee $4.7M

? Bill Self, Kansas $4.48M

? Chris Beard, Texas Tech $4.2M

Quote of the Day
?That?s the worst offense I?ve ever seen. He (Malzahn) has no idea how to throw the football. Zero. Zero. All he does is scream at the players. He has no idea how to throw the football. He has no passing game.?
Former NFL GM Mike Lombardi, talking about Auburn coach Gus Malzahn, who is 59-29 at Auburn, 31-22 in SEC games

Tuesday?s quiz
Who was the Miami Dolphins? coach last time they made the playoffs?

Monday?s quiz
Before moving to Washington, the Nationals called Montreal home; they were known as the Expos.

Last Tuesday?s quiz
Lamar Jackson played his college football at Louisville.

**********************

Tuesday?s List of 13: Glad to be back??

13) Here is a pro tip if you?re having surgery; go to the right bleepin? hospital.

Thats right, I show up 20 minutes early for my operation last Tuesday, but turns out I?m at Albany Medical Center when I?m supposed to be at Albany Memorial Hospital, which according to Mapquest, is 2.6 miles away. Not good, but we got there and the staff at Memorial couldn?t have been nicer.

12) Backtracking a little bit, couple of Saturdays ago I?m sitting in the sportsbook at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, watching college football and talking with a buddy, when the vision in my right eye became foggy. Had no idea what the problem was, but it didn?t get better, and after flying home that Tuesday, it got way worse. Turns out the retina in my right eye had detached.

On October 22 (the 47th anniversary of the Oakland A?s first World Series title), I had my right eye operated on, and now I wait and hope it bounces back to where it was. In the meantime, I?d like to thank anyone who sent a text, e-mail or called to offer help/best wishes. Much appreciated.

? Thanks to Dr Mallick, who was my eye surgeon; appreciate you answering all my questions, and obviously, thanks a lot for putting my eye back together. Thanks isn?t really enough to say, but I really appreciate your work.

11) Part of rehabbing your re-attached retina is having your head pointed down a lot, so I?m listening to TV more than watching it; two observations:

a) Joe Buck is very good at baseball play-by-play.
b) 86-year old Hubie Brown is still great fun to listen to on NBA games.

10) When Washington Nationals? OF Juan Soto was 10 years old, he played on an all-star team in the Dominican Republic that was coached by Robinson Cano?s father.

9) Since the start of last season, 56.4% of NBA players have changed teams, an amazing stat. NBA is the only league where the preseason is more interesting than the regular season.

8) A friend of mine here in Albany is opening a bar/golf simulator soon in Guilderland, out on Route 20 by Western Turnpike golf course. It is going to be called The Bunker, and once I get out and about more, I?ll give you an in-person report, but it sounds like an excellent place to hang out and have fun with friends.

7) Major league managerial hirings:
? Cubs hired David Ross, who was an active player only three years ago.
? Phillies hired Joe Girardi, an excellent hire.
? Angels announced hiring of Joe Maddon; he worked for the Halos for 30 years before he became a big league skipper in Tampa Bay.
? Maddon hired former Mets? skipper Mickey Callaway as his pitching coach.
? Padres hired 38-year old Jayce Tingler, who worked for years in the Texas Rangers? system.

6) Last Wednesday, the first full night of NBA games, 22 Kentucky alums played and first thing Thursday morning, John Calipari posted all their stats on Twitter. Effective recruiting tool.

5) NFL knowledge:
? Denver QB Joe Flacco (neck) is out for this week?s game with Cleveland. Brandon Allen is the new starter; he has never taken an NFL snap. Allen started for 2.5 years at Arkansas, where the Hogs went 15-11 his junior/senior seasons.
? Chargers fired OC Ken Whisenhunt Monday night.
? Texans? star DE JJ Watt is done for the season (torn pectoral muscle).

4) From ESPN stats: New Jersey Jets are first NFL team since the ?91 Colts who, through seven games, have fewer than 450 yards rushing, while giving up 200+ yards in sacks.

3) Of the 64 teams who trailed a World Series 3-2, 20 of them came back to win the Series.

2) Good news/bad news after my eye surgery:
Bad news: Had to cancel my annual Christmas trip to Las Vegas; can?t fly for a couple months after the surgery. I?ll survive, but I?ve enjoyed spending my birthday/Christmas in the desert.

Good news: Looking like a March trip instead; second weekend of NCAA tournament, and first week of baseball season.

Cnotes53 · Oct 29, 2019

Betting Recap - Week 9
Joe Williams

College Football Week 9 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 41-17
Against the Spread 31-26-1

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 36-22
Against the Spread 36-21-1

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 29-28-1

YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 452-113
Against the Spread 287-267-11

YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
Straight Up 381-180
Against the Spread 276-274-11

YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 268-294-9

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Kansas State (+23.5, ML +1100) vs. Oklahoma, 48-41
Colorado State (+14, ML +450) at Fresno State, 41-31
Oklahoma State (+11, ML +320) at Iowa State, 34-27
Illinois (+9.5, ML +280) at Purdue, 24-6
Kentucky (+9.5, ML +300) vs. Missouri, 29-7
San Jose State (+9.5, ML +300) at Army, 34-29
Rutgers (+7.5, ML +260) vs. Liberty, 44-34

The largest favorites to cover
Clemson (-35) vs. Boston College, 59-7
Alabama (-32) vs. Arkansas, 48-7
Western Michigan (-27) vs. Bowling Green, 49-10
Northern Illinois (-22) vs. Akron, 49-9
Utah (-21) vs. California, 35-0

AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)

-- SMU stayed unbeaten with a 34-31 victory Thursday night at Houston. The Mustangs entered with a 7-0 record on the 'over', but this game officially pushed at most shops. They're still 8-0 SU, and they will face off against Memphis in a nationally-televised game on ABC at 7:30 p.m. ET. ... The Tigers almost made ABC's decision look like a bad one, as Tulsa had them on the ropes. The Golden Hurricanes were set up for the short, game-winning field goal and the upset as 9.5-point underdogs. However, the kicked shanked it left and disaster was averted for Memphis. Tulsa is 2-6 SU this season, but they've had several near-misses, including their OT loss at SMU after carrying a big lead into the fourth quarter. While they're on a four-game skid, they're 3-1 ATS during the span with the 'over' 3-1. ... South Florida rolled to a 45-20 win at East Carolina, as the Bulls have turned things around after a 1-3 SU/2-2 ATS start. They're 3-1 SU/ATS over the past four, and now just two wins from bowl eligibility. The 'over' is 4-1-1 in the past six for USF, too.

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)

-- North Carolina held off rival Duke, getting an interception at the goal line in the final few seconds at Kenan. Officially the 20-17 decision was a push at most shops (see below). ... Miami-Florida picked up the road win at Pittsburgh by a 16-12, keeping Coastal chaos alive and well. The Hurricanes were without their leading rusher RB Deejay Dallas, and QB N'Kosi Perry wasn't close to 100 percent, but they got the win. Miami is 4-4 SU/ATS and the 'over/under' is 4-4. In other words, they're one of the hardest teams to figure. ... Virginia opened the season with a 4-0 SU/2-1-1 ATS record, but they are just 1-3 SU over their past four and 1-4 ATS across the past five outings. Louisville topped them 28-21, keeping the Cavaliers from attaining bowl eligibilty. The Cardinals are now 5-3 SU/ATS so far. ... Remember when everyone thought Clemson was done, or not one of the best teams in the country? They spanked Boston College by a 59-7 score, covering the largest spread in a BCS game this week, -35. The Tigers hit the 'over' themselves, too. Clemson has covered three in a row, and five of the past six.

BIG TEN

-- It was a sloppy day all over in the Big Ten, with torrentials rains in games in Ann Arbor, East Lansing and West Lafayette, among others. You have to love the fall and real football weather. Illinois continues to surprise, winning 24-6 on the road at Purdue, following up their surprising win over Wisconsin last week. The Illini are 4-4 SU, and they have covered three in a row. ... Minnesota posted the impressive 52-10 win over Maryland, improve to 8-0 SU for the first time since 1941. After starting out 0-2-1 ATS, the Golden Gophers have covered their past five in a row. All eyes are on their matchup with Penn State in two weeks. ... Speaking of the Nittany Lions, the battled the rain and slop, turning aside Michigan State by a 28-7 score. Surprisingly, this game nearly hit or at least pushed the total (42), but a scoreless fourth quarter splashed cold water on that, pun totally intended. ... Michigan annihilated rival Notre Dame in a driving rain for a good chunk of Saturday's game, winning 45-14. It is the last scheduled battle between these rivals until 2033. ... Last, but certainly not least, Ohio State steamrolled Wisconsin by a 38-7 count. The Badgers entered the day having yielded just 29 points in the first six games, but now they have allowed 62 total points in the past two weeks, losing consecutive games for the first time since 2016. Meanwhile, the Buckeyes have won eight in a row to start, and they haven't allowed anyone to score more than two times in a single since the opener against FAU of all teams. Ohio State has covered seven in a row since that game against Lane Kiffin's Owls, too.

BIG 12

-- The Texas memes and snipes at Tom Herman were spreading like wildfire in the Twitterverse following their 37-27 loss at TCU. The Longhorns barely scraped by last week, and suddenly they're 5-3 SU and just 2-3 ATS over the past five outings. ... Texas Tech went to Kansas and lost in one of the strangest ways possible. In the closing seconds, Kansas lined up for the game-winning field goal. They had it blocked, and the Red Raiders attempted to return it. They subsequently fumbled, Kansas got the ball back with just :01 left on the clock, getting another chance at the field goal. They buried this time, and won 37-34 to move to 3-5 SU. Suddenly it's en vogue to back the Jayhawks, too, as they're a perfect 3-0 ATS over the past three with the 'over' 5-1 in the past six. ... Oklahoma State posted a 34-27 win on the road as 11-point underdogs against Iowa State. The Cowboys slapped the brakes on a two-game skid, and 0-2 ATS run, improving to 5-3 SU/6-2 ATS. ... Of course, the big story of the day was the win by Kansas State over Oklahoma, 48-41. The Wildcats improved to 5-3 SU/ATS, and tossed a monkey wrench into the CFP picture, allowing plenty of teams to shoehorn back into the conversation.

CONFERENCE USA

-- Florida Atlantic atoned for a loss last week by going to Old Dominion and throttling the Monarchs, 41-3. The Owls have now posted a 5-3 SU/ATS record, and they haven't failed to cover in back-to-back game this season. The Owls did lose their leading passer, QB Brian Robinson, and leading rusher, RB Malcolm Davidson, so that's something to watch going forward. ... Next up for FAU is a battle with Western Kentucky, a team which fell 26-23 at Marshall. Despite the loss, the Hilltoppers picked up their fifth consecutive cover. ... Middle Tennessee posted a surprising 50-17 victory against Florida International, snapping a three-game winning streak for the Golden Panthers.

MID-AMERICAN (MAC)

-- Western Michigan topped Bowling Green by a 49-10 count, easily covering a 27-point number. Under bettors weren't happy with this result, though (see below). ... Kent State fell at home to Miami-Ohio by a 23-16 score, as the Redhawks have won and covered consecutive games this season, and they're also 3-1 SU/ATS across the past four. ... Akron was blasted yet again, falling 49-0 at Northern Illinois. The Zips are now 0-8 SU/ATS on the season, the only team in FBS yet to cover this season. ... Buffalo topped Central Michigan by a 43-20 count as the 'over' connected. The Bulls have covered three in a row, too. ... Eastern Michigan slipped in overtime at Toledo, 37-34. The Eagles are now just 1-4 ATS across the past five outings.

MOUNTAIN WEST

-- San Diego State isn't wowing people with big offensive totals, but they keep on winning. They topped UNLV by a 20-17 score, moving to 7-1 SU/5-3 ATS with the 'under' also 7-1. ... San Jose State headed east and won another game on the road. They topped Arkansas earlier this season, and this weekend they stunned Army, 34-29. The Spartans are 4-4 SU this season, and an impressive 4-1-1 ATS over the past six outings. ... Air Force picked up a 31-7 win over Utah State, running the ball down their throats. The Falcons have won and covered a season-high three in a row heading into their non-conference rivalry game with Army next week. ... Hawaii returned to the mainland and oicked up the 45-31 victory in New Mexico. The Warriors improved to 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS. The 'over' has cashed in each of the past three for Hawaii.

PAC-12

-- The best game of the day was easily the Washington State-Oregon battle in Eugene. It was a seesaw battle that lasted four hours and some change. Wazzu took a 35-34 lead with exactly one minute remaining, but QB Justin Herbert drove the Ducks down the field for the game-winning field goal as time expired, keeping the playoff hopes alive for the Ducks and the Pac-12. ... USC escaped with a 35-31 win at Colorado. The banged up Trojans earned the four-point win, their first on the road this season. They're also 1-3 ATS away from home. ... UCLA pulled off the 42-32 win over Arizona State, and they technically can still go to the conference title game if they win out. The Bruins have won and covered consecutive games for the first time this season, and the 'over' is 3-0 in the past three outings.

SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)

-- LSU held off Auburn by a 23-20 score. The Tigers have a huge battle at Alabama on Nov. 9. ... Speaking of 'Bama, it was no Tua and no problem for the Crimson Tide. They topped lowly Arkansas by a 48-7 score even without star signal caller Tua Tagovailoa (ankle). The Tide are 8-0 SU, but just 4-4 ATS this season and they have yet to cover in consecutive outings. ... Kentucky surprised Missouri in Lexington by a 29-7 count. The Tigers were in first place in the SEC East at one point, but they have dropped two in a row and failed to cover the past three. ... Tennessee topped South Carolina by a 41-21 score, covering for the third consecutive outing. The Vols have had a disastrous season, but they're 3-5 SU and still technically alive for a bowl berth if they can win three of the final four against UAB, Kentucky, Missouri and Vanderbilt.

SUN BELT

-- Georgia Southern topped New Mexico State 41-7, as total bettors were feeling some fourth-quarter pain in this one (see below). ... Georgia State managed an impressive 52-33 win over Troy, moving to 6-2 SU and 5-1-2 ATS. The Panthers are now bowl eligible, too. ... Appalachian State earned the 30-3 win at South Alabama, keeping their hopes alive for that New Year's Day bowl game. The 'under' has cashed in three in a row for the Mountaineers, but they're four-game cover streak came to a close, just barely - by a half-point.

Bad Beats

-- Duke drove inside the 2-yard line and could have won outright. A trick play inside the 2-yard line in the final seconds was thwarted at the goal line, killing those holding a Blue Devils side ticket and a moneyline ticket.

-- New Mexico was trailing 45-17 with five minutes to go and a total of 71. They scored two touchdowns without a minute, closing to 45-31 and pushing the total over.

-- New Mexico State was down 41-7 through three quarters wit ha total of 53.5. That's exactly how the game ended, so if you had an over ticket it's not necessarily a bad beat as it is bad luck, but anyway...this happened twice on the day.

-- In the MAC, Western Michigan was up 49-10 through three quarters with a total of 65.5 in the game against Bowling Green. After a scoreless fourth quarter, that's how things ended, too. Ugly.

Cnotes53 · Oct 29, 2019

4th Quarter Covers - Week 9
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won?t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the ninth big weekend of the college football season to close October.

Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Toledo (-2?) 37, Eastern Michigan 34: This MAC contest had major momentum swings going from 10-0 to 10-10 by halftime before Toledo scored three touchdowns in the first six minutes of the third quarter to lead 31-10. Eastern Michigan would take over the game with three consecutive touchdowns, the third of which tied the game with 2:35 to go. Toledo fumbled deep in its own territory on the next possession to seemingly hand the Eagles the game but the Eagles would miss a 33-yard field goal. Going first in overtime Eastern Michigan would settle for another field goal and made it but on a 3rd-and-10 Toledo would find the end zone for the win and narrow cover.

Southern Miss (-10) 20, Rice 6: Rice got on the board with a touchdown with six minutes to go in the third quarter to trail by only seven after missing the PAT. The Owls wound up with only 139 yards in the game but were in position to cover with Southern Miss missing a field goal in the fourth that would have put the Golden Eagles up by 10. Looking to run the clock out Southern Miss converted a 3rd down near midfield and Rice called timeout with 1:24 remaining. The Owls got a stop on 1st down but on 2nd down Kevin Perkins broke through for 38 yards and a touchdown, slipping past the spread with 32 seconds to go.

Hawai?i (-10) 45, New Mexico 31: The outcome in Albuquerque was not in doubt for long with a 35-3 halftime lead for the Warriors. New Mexico broke a 67-yard run in the third quarter to find the end zone but Hawai?i added 10 more points to lead 45-10 with nine minutes remaining. New Mexico would score three consecutive touchdowns to become a late backdoor cover threat and they had the ball back with more than three minutes to go. The offense moved the ball and had a new set of downs at the Hawai?i 28-yard-line with a score looking inevitable, but an interception would save Warriors backers with 2:25 to go.

Marshall (-3?) 26, Western Kentucky 23: The line on this game fell throughout the week but Marshall took command early up 23-7 with a field goal midway through the third quarter. Western Kentucky would score near the end of the third to climb within 10 but missed on the PAT. The Hilltoppers quickly were a threat to score again but settled for a short field goal from 1st-and-goal. Up seven Marshall stalled near midfield and had to punt and Ty Storey led Western Kentucky quickly down the field, tying the game at the 6:19 mark. After an exchange of punts, overtime looked likely as a dormant Marshall offense had just over a minute to work with but the Herd inched their way down the field going 51 yards in 10 plays to have a late shot, with kicker Justin Rohrwasser winning the game after an icing attempt by hitting from 53 yards, though those on the favorite were hoping for overtime.

Appalachian State (-28) 30, South Alabama 3: The Mountaineers couldn?t have been much more in control of this game but through three quarters the lead was just 23-0 on a spread that was as low as -24? early in the week and climbed to close at -28. With just over five minutes remaining South Alabama would hit a field goal to avoid the shutout and seemingly secure the underdog cover but about a minute later Appalachian State broke a 67-yard touchdown run to get there for early week wagers on the Mountaineers.

North Carolina (-3) 20, Duke 17: North Carolina led 14-3 early in the third quarter after a four-play touchdown drive out of halftime. Duke scored two touchdowns in 20 seconds of game clock in the middle of the third aided by an interception to suddenly take the lead. The eventful third quarter continued with a tying field goal from the Tar Heels before a run of five consecutive punts with only one combined first down. North Carolina would go in front with a 40-yard field goal at the 7:00 minute mark, right even with the closing spread though much of the week UNC was at -3?. Duke couldn?t answer and it appeared the Tar Heels would put the game away after they converted a 4th down in the red zone and had 1st-and-goal. On the next play a fumble was recovered by Duke and Quentin Harris would lead an epic late drive that included two fourth downs. Duke eventually had 1st-and-goal at the 3 in the final minute and inched closer with a pass interference call. The clock wound down to just 18 seconds before an inexplicable trick play went horribly wrong for Duke as after a handoff Deon Jackson leaped into the air and attempted a pass that went right to a pair of Tar Heel defenders, intercepted by former quarterback Chazz Surratt.

Navy (-5) 41, Tulane 38: Navy stormed out to a 24-0 lead and still led 31-14 at halftime. Tulane made some adjustments and benefited from good field position to add two touchdowns in the third quarter to get back in the game, trailing by only three. With 10 minutes to go Tulane tied the game with a field goal with Navy held to nine net yards on its first three second half drives. The Midshipmen made a bold decision to go for it on 4th-and-1 from their own 34 and got it and then converted another 4th-and-1 a few plays later still on their own side of the 50. Two plays later Navy was in the end zone and back up by seven with about five minutes remaining. Tulane converted its own 4th down on a 12-play 77-yard drive to tie the game with about a minute to go. Not known for big plays or quick scores Navy was able to get into field goal range and Bijan Nichols was good from 48 for the win, though Tulane held the underdog cover.

Miami, FL (+4?) 16, Pittsburgh 12: The Panthers had a severe production edge in this game but had three turnovers and settled for three field goals as Miami led 10-9 through three quarters with Miami?s scoring drives coming on 30 and 17 yards respectively. Pittsburgh was in position to take the lead midway through the fourth quarter but back-to-back penalties pushed the Panthers from the 1-yard-line to the 11 and they kicked the field goal to go up by just two. Getting the ball back with fewer than four minutes remaining a Miami offense that had produced 154 net yards in the game didn?t seem like a great threat for a game-winning drive but a 4th down was converted near midfield and Jarren Williams hit K.J. Osborn for a 32-yard touchdown with 58 seconds to go.

Charlotte (+3?) 39, North Texas 38: The Mean Green led by 14 entering the fourth quarter but Charlotte would hit a big play to climb within eight and failed going for two. The 49ers would block a North Texas field goal attempt with just over six minutes to go to stay in the game and they quickly added another touchdown but again were unable to come up with the conversion. On its next drive North Texas kicker Ethan Mooney hit from 51 to push the lead to five with just over a minute remaining, a huge kick for those involved on the spread. It wound up not mattering however as Charlotte?s offense again wouldn?t be stopped, going the distance and finding the end zone with 18 seconds to go for the win.

LSU (-12?) 23, Auburn 20: LSU led just 16-13 through three quarters despite a substantial production edge, missing a few opportunities to get ahead further in the third quarter. An 11-play drive that was completed early in the fourth quarter put LSU up by 10 before six consecutive punts as LSU was unable to pull away. Auburn would add a late touchdown for get within three despite a 508-287 yardage edge for LSU.

Memphis (-9?) 42, Tulsa 41: Memphis led 14-0 quickly in this game and still was ahead 35-24 late in the third quarter. Tulsa would rally however with a touchdown late in the third, a quick Memphis punt, and a 14-play, 85-yard touchdown drive that put the Hurricane in front. Memphis would fumble to hand the ball right back but Tulsa had to settle for a field goal to lead by six. A nice kickoff return put the Tigers in good field position and three plays later Memphis was back in front by one. Tulsa delivered a great final drive but kicker Jacob Rainey missed from only 29 yards as the Tigers escaped to set-up next week?s big AAC West showdown with SMU.

Kansas (+6?) 37, Texas Tech 34: Texas Tech led 27-14 late in the third quarter but Kansas would connect for a 65-yard touchdown, getting within seven after the PAT was blocked. The Jayhawks hit another big play in the fourth quarter with a 70-yard pass play to tie the game. Texas Tech answered just a few plays later with a long strike of its own to go back up by seven, just past the common spread. After a pair of punts Kansas delivered a 10-play touchdown drive to tie the game with about five minutes to go and the Jayhawks would force a quick punt on defense. Carter Stanley led an effective drive that chewed up the remaining time and Kansas lined up for a field goal with 13 seconds to go. The kick was blocked and recovered by Texas Tech but fumbled back to Kansas on an ill-advised lateral attempt. Two seconds remained on the clock and with the change of possession it was first down and Kansas kicked in the game-winner on the retry.

Cnotes53 · Oct 29, 2019

303GA SOUTHERN -304 APPALACHIAN ST
APPALACHIAN ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. excellent punt return teams, more than 12 yards per return since 1992.

307NAVY -308 CONNECTICUT
NAVY is 52-24 ATS (25.6 Units) in road games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse since 1992.

309NC STATE -310 WAKE FOREST
WAKE FOREST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games with 2 weeks+ rest since 1992.

311LIBERTY -312 MASSACHUSETTS
MASSACHUSETTS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after allowing >=37 pts. in the last 3 seasons.

313OLD DOMINION -314 FLA INTERNATIONAL
OLD DOMINION is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after allowing >=37 pts. since 1992.

315TROY -316 COASTAL CAROLINA
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

317PITTSBURGH -318 GEORGIA TECH
GEORGIA TECH is 18-6 ATS (11.4 Units) off a road upset win since 1992.

319NEBRASKA -320 PURDUE
NEBRASKA is 22-8 ATS (13.2 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game. since 1992.

321HOUSTON -322 UCF
UCF is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=450 yards/game since 1992.

323MICHIGAN -324 MARYLAND
MICHIGAN is 10-34 ATS (-27.4 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

325NORTHWESTERN -326 INDIANA
INDIANA is 31-16 ATS (13.4 Units) in home games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

327AKRON -328 BOWLING GREEN
AKRON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

329RUTGERS -330 ILLINOIS
ILLINOIS are 33-59 ATS (-31.9 Units) in home games after playing their last game on the road since 1992.

331CINCINNATI -332 E CAROLINA
E CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog of 21.5-31 in the last 3 seasons.

333BOSTON COLLEGE -334 SYRACUSE
SYRACUSE is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after 2 consecutive game where they committed no turnovers since 1992.

335BUFFALO -336 E MICHIGAN
E MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

339BYU -340 UTAH ST
UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

341VIRGINIA TECH -342 NOTRE DAME
VIRGINIA TECH is 19-7 ATS (11.3 Units) off an upset win since 1992.

343OREGON -344 USC
OREGON is 101-69 ATS (25.1 Units) after playing a game at home since 1992.

345COLORADO -346 UCLA
COLORADO is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

347KANSAS ST -348 KANSAS
KANSAS are 41-66 ATS (-31.6 Units) vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season since 1992.

349TEXAS ST -350 LA LAFAYETTE
LA LAFAYETTE is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games vs. poor teams - outscored by 10+ points per game on the season since 1992.

351VANDERBILT -352 S CAROLINA
S CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

353N ILLINOIS -354 C MICHIGAN
N ILLINOIS are 45-26 ATS (16.4 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.

355MARSHALL -356 RICE
RICE is 72-40 ATS (28 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992.

357UNLV -358 COLORADO ST
COLORADO ST is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing >=6.25 yards/play since 1992.

359SMU -360 MEMPHIS
SMU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after 2 conference games in the last 3 seasons.

361UTSA -362 TEXAS A&M
UTSA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

363ARMY -364 AIR FORCE
ARMY is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games vs good passing QB's (>8 PYA) in the last 3 seasons.

365OREGON ST -366 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after 3 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

367UAB -368 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 4-21 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games versus excellent defensive teams - allowing <=285 yards/game since 1992.

371GEORGIA -372 FLORIDA
GEORGIA is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

373TCU -374 OKLAHOMA ST
OKLAHOMA ST is 23-9 ATS (13.1 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where 60 total points or more were scored since 1992.

375UTEP -376 NORTH TEXAS
NORTH TEXAS are 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

377TULSA -378 TULANE
TULSA is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) in road games vs. very good offensive teams - scoring 34 or more points/game since 1992.

379MISSISSIPPI ST -380 ARKANSAS
ARKANSAS are 21-7 ATS (13.3 Units) off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more since 1992.

381MIDDLE TENN ST -382 CHARLOTTE
CHARLOTTE is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

383FLA ATLANTIC -384 W KENTUCKY
W KENTUCKY is 24-10 ATS (13 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.

385ARKANSAS ST -386 LA MONROE
LA MONROE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 3 seasons.

387MIAMI -388 FLORIDA ST
FLORIDA ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

389NEW MEXICO -390 NEVADA
NEW MEXICO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 4 or more consecutive straight up losses in the last 3 seasons.

391UTAH -392 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

393BOISE ST -394 SAN JOSE ST
BOISE ST is 39-18 ATS (19.2 Units) after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games since 1992.

395FRESNO ST -396 HAWAII
FRESNO ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

Cnotes53 · Oct 29, 2019

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 31

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GA SOUTHERN (4 - 3) at APPALACHIAN ST (7 - 0) - 10/31/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 1-1 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W VIRGINIA (3 - 4) at BAYLOR (7 - 0) - 10/31/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, November 1

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NAVY (6 - 1) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 6) - 11/1/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
CONNECTICUT is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NAVY is 178-133 ATS (+31.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 178-133 ATS (+31.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 84-46 ATS (+33.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 84-46 ATS (+33.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 113-77 ATS (+28.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 75-42 ATS (+28.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in November games since 1992.
NAVY is 40-19 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NAVY is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, November 2

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NC STATE (4 - 3) at WAKE FOREST (6 - 1) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
WAKE FOREST is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
WAKE FOREST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LIBERTY (5 - 3) at MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 7) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 against the spread versus LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-0 straight up against LIBERTY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OLD DOMINION (1 - 7) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 straight up against OLD DOMINION over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TROY (3 - 4) at COASTAL CAROLINA (3 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 2-0 against the spread versus COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (5 - 3) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEBRASKA (4 - 4) at PURDUE (2 - 6) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEBRASKA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (3 - 5) at UCF (6 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
HOUSTON is 35-58 ATS (-28.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
UCF is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN (6 - 2) at MARYLAND (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORTHWESTERN (1 - 6) at INDIANA (6 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 87-57 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 87-57 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 62-38 ATS (+20.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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AKRON (0 - 8) at BOWLING GREEN (2 - 6) - 11/2/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AKRON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all games this season.
AKRON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
AKRON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
AKRON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
AKRON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
AKRON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
AKRON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
AKRON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-1 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RUTGERS (2 - 6) at ILLINOIS (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 137-176 ATS (-56.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 137-176 ATS (-56.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 93-136 ATS (-56.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (6 - 1) at E CAROLINA (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 40-66 ATS (-32.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON COLLEGE (4 - 4) at SYRACUSE (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-1 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (4 - 4) at E MICHIGAN (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA (5 - 3) at N CAROLINA (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BYU (3 - 4) at UTAH ST (4 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in November games over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 2-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 2-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 2) at NOTRE DAME (5 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (7 - 1) at USC (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 59-36 ATS (+19.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COLORADO (3 - 5) at UCLA (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS ST (5 - 2) at KANSAS (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 129-94 ATS (+25.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 162-123 ATS (+26.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 133-100 ATS (+23.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 127-91 ATS (+26.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 87-120 ATS (-45.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 126-162 ATS (-52.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 89-121 ATS (-44.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 60-88 ATS (-36.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS ST (2 - 5) at LA LAFAYETTE (5 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VANDERBILT (2 - 5) at S CAROLINA (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ILLINOIS (3 - 5) at C MICHIGAN (5 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 79-49 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 79-49 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 106-77 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARSHALL (5 - 3) at RICE (0 - 8) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
MARSHALL is 50-73 ATS (-30.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 50-73 ATS (-30.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
MARSHALL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
MARSHALL is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
RICE is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
RICE is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
RICE is 65-35 ATS (+26.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 58-33 ATS (+21.7 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
RICE is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
RICE is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
RICE is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UNLV (2 - 6) at COLORADO ST (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 95-132 ATS (-50.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UNLV is 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
UNLV is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
COLORADO ST is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (8 - 0) at MEMPHIS (7 - 1) - 11/2/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 2-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 2-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTSA (3 - 4) at TEXAS A&M (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARMY (3 - 5) at AIR FORCE (6 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 1-1 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 2-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON ST (3 - 4) at ARIZONA (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
OREGON ST is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
ARIZONA is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 141-179 ATS (-55.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 141-179 ATS (-55.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 60-94 ATS (-43.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 118-155 ATS (-52.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 90-133 ATS (-56.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 35-57 ATS (-27.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
ARIZONA is 33-54 ATS (-26.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UAB (6 - 1) at TENNESSEE (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UAB is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UAB is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UAB is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UAB is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLE MISS (3 - 5) at AUBURN (6 - 2) - 11/2/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
AUBURN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
AUBURN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 1-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA (6 - 1) vs. FLORIDA (7 - 1) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
FLORIDA is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
FLORIDA is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GEORGIA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TCU (4 - 3) at OKLAHOMA ST (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTEP (1 - 6) at NORTH TEXAS (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 41-65 ATS (-30.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
UTEP is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (2 - 6) at TULANE (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
TULANE is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 2-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
TULANE is 2-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 5) at ARKANSAS (2 - 6) - 11/2/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 5) at CHARLOTTE (3 - 5) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 2-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 3) at W KENTUCKY (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 straight up against W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS ST (4 - 4) at LA MONROE (3 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LA MONROE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
LA MONROE is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (4 - 4) at FLORIDA ST (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO (2 - 6) at NEVADA (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTAH (7 - 1) at WASHINGTON (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOISE ST (6 - 1) at SAN JOSE ST (4 - 4) - 11/2/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 151-109 ATS (+31.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 151-109 ATS (+31.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 72-47 ATS (+20.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 72-47 ATS (+20.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 105-78 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FRESNO ST (3 - 4) at HAWAII (5 - 3) - 11/2/2019, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 87-117 ATS (-41.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Cnotes53 · Oct 29, 2019

NCAAF

Week 10

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Trend Report
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Thursday, October 31

West Virginia @ Baylor
West Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games
West Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baylor
Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baylor is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Georgia Southern @ Appalachian State
Georgia Southern
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games when playing Appalachian State
Georgia Southern is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Friday, November 1

Navy @ Connecticut
Navy
Navy is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Navy is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 9 games

Saturday, November 2

Texas-San Antonio @ Texas A&M
Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-San Antonio's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas-San Antonio's last 9 games
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
Texas A&M is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games at home

Boston College @ Syracuse
Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing on the road against Syracuse
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing Syracuse
Syracuse
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games when playing Boston College

North Carolina State @ Wake Forest
North Carolina State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina State's last 7 games
North Carolina State is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against North Carolina State
Wake Forest is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Liberty @ Massachusetts
Liberty
Liberty is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Liberty is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Massachusetts's last 10 games at home

Michigan @ Maryland
Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 6 games
Maryland
Maryland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games at home

Nebraska @ Purdue
Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nebraska's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nebraska's last 6 games
Purdue
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Purdue's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Purdue's last 6 games when playing Nebraska

Old Dominion @ Florida International
Old Dominion
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Old Dominion's last 5 games when playing Florida International
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Old Dominion's last 9 games
Florida International
Florida International is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 5 games when playing Old Dominion

Houston @ Central Florida
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 15 games
Central Florida
Central Florida is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home
Central Florida is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games

Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan
Buffalo
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 7 games when playing Buffalo

Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan
Northern Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Northern Illinois's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 6 games when playing Central Michigan
Central Michigan
Central Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
Central Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Northern Illinois

Akron @ Bowling Green
Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Akron's last 7 games when playing Bowling Green
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Akron's last 6 games on the road
Bowling Green
Bowling Green is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Akron
Bowling Green is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Akron

Virginia Tech @ Notre Dame
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games on the road
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Notre Dame is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games

Troy @ Coastal Carolina
Troy
Troy is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Troy is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Coastal Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Coastal Carolina's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Coastal Carolina's last 7 games at home

Georgia @ Florida
Georgia
Georgia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia's last 5 games
Florida
Florida is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Florida is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Miami-FL @ Florida State
Miami-FL
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami-FL's last 8 games when playing Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami-FL's last 7 games on the road
Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida State's last 8 games when playing Miami-FL

Army @ Air Force
Army
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Army's last 5 games on the road
Air Force
Air Force is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing Army

Kansas State @ Kansas
Kansas State
Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas
Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas's last 9 games when playing at home against Kansas State

Texas Christian @ Oklahoma State
Texas Christian
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Christian's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Christian's last 5 games on the road
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Oklahoma State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Rutgers @ Illinois
Rutgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rutgers's last 6 games on the road
Rutgers is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Illinois
Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Illinois is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Nevada-Las Vegas @ Colorado State
Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 7 games
Colorado State
Colorado State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nevada-Las Vegas
Colorado State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nevada-Las Vegas

Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte
Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Middle Tennessee's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Middle Tennessee's last 10 games
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games

Marshall @ Rice
Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marshall's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Marshall's last 8 games on the road
Rice
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rice's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rice's last 6 games when playing Marshall

Texas El Paso @ North Texas
Texas El Paso
Texas El Paso is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Texas
Texas El Paso is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
North Texas
North Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games at home

Arkansas State @ Louisiana-Monroe
Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games when playing Arkansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 10 games

Mississippi State @ Arkansas
Mississippi State
Mississippi State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arkansas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Mississippi State's last 12 games when playing Arkansas
Arkansas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arkansas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arkansas's last 12 games when playing Mississippi State

Utah @ Washington
Utah
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
Washington
Washington is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games at home
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Utah

Wofford @ Clemson
Wofford
Wofford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Wofford is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Georgia Tech
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Georgia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 7 games at home
Georgia Tech is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

Florida Atlantic @ Western Kentucky
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Florida Atlantic is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Tulsa @ Tulane
Tulsa
Tulsa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games when playing Tulane
Tulane
Tulane is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tulane is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Oregon State @ Arizona
Oregon State
Oregon State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oregon State's last 12 games on the road
Arizona
Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games

Texas State @ Louisiana-Lafayette
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Texas State's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas State's last 7 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas State
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas State

Mississippi @ Auburn
Mississippi
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Mississippi's last 10 games when playing Auburn
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Mississippi's last 12 games on the road
Auburn
Auburn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Alabama-Birmingham @ Tennessee
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games at home
Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Northwestern @ Indiana
Northwestern
Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Northwestern is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games at home
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Cincinnati @ East Carolina
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing East Carolina
East Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of East Carolina's last 8 games
East Carolina is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

Vanderbilt @ South Carolina
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vanderbilt's last 12 games when playing South Carolina
South Carolina
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt

Virginia @ North Carolina
Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Virginia's last 8 games when playing on the road against North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 5 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of North Carolina's last 8 games when playing at home against Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing Virginia

Southern Methodist @ Memphis
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Southern Methodist's last 8 games
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Oregon @ Southern California
Oregon
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon's last 6 games when playing Southern California
Southern California
Southern California is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern California's last 6 games when playing Oregon

Colorado @ California-Los Angeles
Colorado
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing California-Los Angeles
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against California-Los An
California-Los Angeles
California-Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games

Brigham Young @ Utah State
Brigham Young
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brigham Young's last 5 games when playing Utah State
Brigham Young is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Utah State
Utah State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah State's last 5 games
Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Boise State @ San Jose State
Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Jose State's last 10 games

New Mexico @ Nevada
New Mexico
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games when playing Nevada
Nevada
Nevada is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada's last 5 games when playing New Mexico

Fresno State @ Hawaii
Fresno State
Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hawaii
Fresno State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Hawaii
Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Hawaii's last 10 games at home
Hawaii is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Kent State @ Toledo
Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kent State's last 9 games
Kent State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toledo
Toledo
Toledo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Toledo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Ball State @ Western Michigan
Ball State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games when playing Western Michigan
Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 5 games at home

Miami-OH @ Ohio
Miami-OH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-OH's last 5 games when playing Ohio
Miami-OH is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
Ohio
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami-OH
Ohio is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

Cnotes53 · Oct 30, 2019

College football Week 10 opening odds and early action: Bettors hit Georgia first vs Florida
Patrick Everson

Georgia can't afford another loss, and neither can Florida in a Week 10 neutral-site clash at Jacksonville. The Bulldogs opened 3.5-point favorites, then moved to -4 on some early action.

Week 10 is the last one to make an impression on the first College Football Playoff rankings of the season. We check in on opening odds and early action for a quartet of key games, with insights from Matt Chaprales, head of content for PointsBet USA in New Jersey.

No. 7 Georgia Bulldogs vs. No. 6 Florida Gators (+3.5)

Georgia put itself in a must-win position for this game by severely stubbing its toe in Week 7, losing outright at South Carolina as 20.5-point chalk. The Bulldogs (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) rebounded by blanking Kentucky 21-0 as 23.5-point Week 8 favorites, then had a bye in Week 9.

Florida?s lone loss also came in Week 7, though in much more respectable fashion at Louisiana State, where it stuck around throughout before succumbing late, 42-28. The Gators (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) then did what Georgia couldn?t, winning at South Carolina 38-27 as 3.5-point Week 8 faves. Florida also had a bye in Week 9.

Per usual, Jacksonville?s TIAA Bank Field hosts this neutral-site game, long dubbed the World?s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party.

?This is obviously the biggest game of the week and a de facto play-in for the SEC title game,? Chaprales said, before noting the line uptick to Bulldogs -4. ?The first move was toward Georgia, but we?re expecting smart money to take the points with Florida. It should be good two-way action, regardless.?

By Monday night, Florida bettors had more points to take, as the line shot to Georgia -6. PointsBet USA's trading team said sharp Bulldogs action and market movement led to the big adjustment.

No. 8 Oregon Ducks at Southern California Trojans (+4.5)

Oregon is the Pac-12?s best hope for a CFP bid, with its lone loss a quality one in a neutral-site Week 1 setback against Auburn. But the Ducks (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) barely stayed in that playoff conversation in Week 9, needing a final-seconds field goal to beat Washington State 37-35 laying 14 points at home.

Likewise, Southern Cal was a double-digit Week 9 favorite and barely got the job done. The Trojans (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) were giving 10.5 points at Colorado on Friday night and trailed much of the game, but nabbed the 35-31 win on a late touchdown.

?A potential preview of the Pac-12 championship game, neither of these teams impressed in victory as double-digit chalk this past weekend,? Chaprales said. ?That said, we?ve seen more Oregon interest this year, so I wouldn?t be surprised to see this number grow.?

No. 14 Southern Methodist Mustangs at No. 23 Memphis Tigers (-3.5)

Southern Methodist is in the rare air of perfection, sitting at 8-0 SU and a solid 6-2 ATS through nine weeks. The Mustangs got all they could handle at Houston last Thursday, hanging on for a 34-31 victory as 12-point road favorites.

Memphis is also having a solid year in the American Athletic Conference, at 7-1 SU (5-3 ATS). Much like SMU, though, the Tigers got a tough Week 9 road test, scoring a touchdown with 4:26 remaining to snare a 42-41 victory over Tulsa as 10-point faves.

?All quiet so far, but given that both teams have overachieved relative to market expectations, and this is a nationally televised prime-time game, it will be interesting to see how the public gets involved,? Chaprales said.

By Monday afternoon, someone got involved, as the line jumped to Memphis -4.5, and by Monday night, the Tigers were up to -5.5.

No. 10 Utah Utes at Washington Huskies (+2)

Utah is a longer shot to make the CFP, but a win this week would certainly help keep it in the conversation. The Utes (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) won and cashed their last four outings, including a 35-0 bashing of California as 21-point home favorites in Week 9.

Washington was thought to be a preseason CFP contender, but already has three losses. In Week 8, the Huskies (5-3 SU and ATS) held a 28-14 lead over Oregon early in the third quarter, but gave it back in a 35-31 loss catching 3 points at home. Washington had a bye in Week 9.

?We opened Utah -2 and took a few bets at that number, and then a bit more following an initial move to 2.5, pushing it up to 3. That figures to be the resistance point,? Chaprales said.

As it turned out, 3 wasn?t quite the resistance point. PointsBet USA moved Utah to -3.5 by Monday afternoon.

Cnotes53 · Oct 30, 2019

Tech Trends - Week 10
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Oct. 31

Matchup Skinny
Edge

GEORGIA SOUTHERN at APP STATE...App State 5-2 vs. line TY, now 18-5-1 vs. spread since late 2017. GSU on a bit of an uptick too (4-0-1 vs. line last 5). App has won SU last five meetings, covering four. Mounties 10-1 vs. spread last 11 away form Boone.
App State, based on team and series trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at BAYLOR...WVU beginning to struggle, no wins or covers last three TY. Bears are 7-0 SU but only 4-3 vs. line, Rhule 1-3 laying DD in 2019. Rhule just 2-7 as Waco chalk since 2017 (1-2 TY).
Slight to West Virginia, based on extended trends.

Friday, Nov. 1

Matchup Skinny
Edge

NAVY at UCONN...Midshipmen 5-2 vs. line TY, now on 9-1 spread run since late 2018. Huskies a bit better 4-4 vs. line TY but still 6-14 vs. points since LY, 7-17 last 24 vs. spread at Pratt & Whitney.
Navy, based on team trends.

Saturday, Nov. 2

Matchup Skinny
Edge

NC STATE at WAKE FOREST...Pack struggling, just 1-5 vs. line last six TY. No covers last five away from Raleigh. Home team 10-2 vs. spread last 12 meetings.
Wake Forest, based on team and series trends.

LIBERTY at UMASS...Flames have won five of last six SU and have covered 4 of last 6 TY. UMass 1-7 vs. spread in 2019 for Walt Bell.
Liberty, based on recent trends.

OLD DOMINION at FIU...Road team is 7-1 vs. line in ODU games TY (Monarchs 3-1 vs. line away). Butch Davis just 2-8 last 10 as home chalk. Road team 2-0-1 vs. spread last three meetings.
Slight to Old Dominion, based on team trends.

TROY at COASTAL CAROLINA...Trojans only 2-5 vs. line TY, and have won and covered big last two vs. Coastal. Chants no covers last six at home vs. FBS opposition.
Troy, based on team and series trends.

PITT at GEORGIA TECH...Pitt has covered first three on road this season, and Panthers have covered last six as visitor, GT might be rallying with a push and cover last two after 8 straight spread Ls, but still just 2-7 vs. number last 9 at home.
Pitt, based on team trends.

NEBRASKA at PURDUE...Huskers struggling, no covers last 5 or 7 of 8 TY. Meanwhile, Brohm has covered three in a row, and Boilermakers have covered 4 of last 5 meetings.
Purdue, based on team trends.

HOUSTON at UCF...Knights have cooled a bit with 1-4 spread mark last five after 13-4 spread run prior. UCF still 7-4 vs. spread last 11 at Orlando, however. Cougs just 4-9 vs. line last 13 away from home.
Central Florida, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN at MARYLAND...Harbaugh has destroyed Maryland, winning and covering big the last four meetings. But Wolves 1-7 vs. line last 8 laying points away from Ann Arbor. Terps have actually covered 4 of last 5 as host (3-1 TY), but 3-6 as dog since LY (1-1 for Locksley TY) and just 2-4 last 6 vs. line in 2019.
Slight to Michigan, based on series trends.

NORTHWESTERN at INDIANA... Pat Fitz dog marks taking a bit of a hit TY, but on road they?ve been better (17-2 last 19 as dog away from Evanston!). Hoosiers however 8-1 as Bloomington chalk since ?17 for Tom ?Mr. Intensity? Allen!
Slight to Northwestern, based on team trends.

AKRON at BOWLING GREEN...Zips an imperfect 0-8 vs. line this season, Falcs not much better at 2-6. Road dog however has won and covered last three meetings!
Slight to Bowling Green, based on Akron woes.

RUTGERS at ILLINOIS...Gers no wins or covers six of last seven this season, Ash long gone, hard to believe Scarlet Knights had covered six previous games. Road team however has covered last three meetings in series. Lovie not so bad 5-6 as chalk with Illini (1-2 TY) and has covered 4 of 5 vs. line at Champaign-Urbana in 2019.
Illinois, based on recent trends.

CINCINNATI at EAST CAROLINA...Fickell 5-2 vs. line TY including 2-0 as road chalk. ECU however has covered three of last four this season as Pirates make some progress (at least before last week) under Mike Houston. Home team has won and covered last three meetings.
Slight to Cincy, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at SYRACUSE...If BC a dog note 11-3-1 mark last 15 in role for Addazio, and Eagles have covered 4 of last 5 TY. Road tam has covered last three meetings.
Boston College, based on recent and series trends.

BUFFALO at EASTERN MICHIGAN...Leipold just 1-5 vs. spread last six away form home, but has covered 3 of last 4 TY. EMU no covers first two at home this season and has not been as tough vs. line at home (5-6-1 since 2017 vs. points) as on road past few years.
Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.

VIRGINIA at NORTH CAROLINA...For all of the Mack hullabaloo at Chapel Hill, Heels just 2-4 SU and 2-3-1 vs. spread last six TY. Cavs have won and covered last two in series, though only 1-5 last six vs. spread TY.
Slight to Virginia, based on series trends.

BYU at UTAH STATE...Utags have won and covered big in series last two years. Cougs 9-3 however last 12 as dog, 10-2 last 12 as road dog. Utags however 8-1-1 vs. line last 10 at Logan.
Slight to Utah State, based on team and recent series trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at NOTRE DAME...Dog team has actually covered in last eight VPI games (7-0 TY). Hokies 2-0 as dog this term but only 2-5 vs. spread overall. Irish 4-1 vs. line last five at South Bend.
Slight to Notre Dame, based on team trends.

OREGON at USC...Trojans 4-0 SU and 3-1 vs. line at home this season, but Ducks 4-1 as visiting chalk for Cristobal. Helton 2-1 as dog TY after 2-10 mark previous 12 in role.
Slight to Oregon, based on team trends.

COLORADO at UCLA...Buffs now 3-9 vs. line last 12 as true visitor. But CU has covered 5 of last 6 vs. Bruins. UCLA no covers 5 of last 7 at home, but have won and covered two in row for first time under Chip.
Colorado, based on series trends.

KANSAS STATE at KANSAS...Bill Snyder owned this series and won all ten vs. KU after his return in 2009, though note Jayhawk have covered last 3 meetings. Note K-State no covers last ten as Big 12 chalk.
Kansas, based on team and recent series trends.
.

TEXAS STATE at UL-LAFAYETTE...Spavital just one cover in 2019 (1-5-1) for Bobcats, who have lost and failed to cover last six vs. ULL. Ragin? Cajuns 13-2-2 vs. spread last 17 reg-season games!
ULL, based on team and series trends.

VANDERBILT at SOUTH CAROLINA...Muschamp has owned Derek Mason, won and covered last three meetings, and SC has won and covered last four vs. Vandy. Gamecocks 10-0 SU last ten in series. Dores broke 7-game spread skid with recent win vs. Mizzou.
South Carolina, based on series trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...McElwain is hot as CMU on 6-1 spread run and 7-2 vs. line TY. Chips have also covered last five in series.
Central Michigan, based on recent and series trends.

MARSHALL at RICE...Herd 3-7 last ten as road chalk, also just 6-14 last 20 on board.
Rice, based on MU negatives.

UNLV at COLORADO STATE...Rebs 1-6 vs. line last seven on MW road, no covers last three vs. CSU. Bobo just 2-7 as home chalk in new stadium since 2017, but on current 4-1 spread run.
Colorado State, based on team and series trends.

SMU at MEMPHIS...Tigers have now covered nine in a row vs. AAC foes at Liberty Bowl! Memphis has also won and covered last five vs. SMU. Ponies however are 6-2 vs. line TY.
Memphis, based on team and series trends.

UTSA at TEXAS A&M...Jimbo has covered five straight and Ags six straight as non-SEC host. Ags 8-2 as DD chalk since LY (both Ls vs. Arkansas). Roadrunners 3-10 last 13 as DD dog since LY (0-4 TY).
Texas A&M, based on team trends.

ARMY at AIR FORCE...Army has cooled vs. line, dropping last five and six of eight this season. Falcs have lost last two SU in series but 4?1-1 last six vs. West Point. Force covered last 3 vs. non-MW at home and on current 3-game win and cover streak.
Air Force, based on recent trends.

OREGON STATE at ARIZONA...Surging Beavs have covered 5 of last 6 TY and have covered all 3 on road. Sumlin 2-6 vs. line TY and no covers last three as chalk.
Oregon State, based on recent trends.

UAB at TENNESSEE...Vols 0-2 as chalk TY, 2-9 vs. line in role since 2017. Also no covers last 5 and 1-7 last 8 vs. spread against non-SEC FBS foes. UAB covering again (three in a row and 5 of 6) and Bill Clark 13-6 as dog with Blazers.
UAB, based on team trends.

OLE MISS at AUBURN...Malzahn has covered 8 of last 9 since late 2018. Though Ole Miss has covered 3 of last 4 TY. Road team has covered last five meetings.
Slight to Ole Miss, based on series trends.

GEORGIA vs. FLORIDA (at Jacksonville)...UGa only 3-5 last 8 vs. line since late LY, though has covered 4 of last 6 away from Athens. Dan Mullen on 7-3 upswing vs. line. Bulldogs have won and covered last two meetings but Gators took preceding three.
Slight to Florida, based on team trends.

TCU at OKLAHOMA STATE...Frogs 1-5 vs. spread last six as Big 12 visitor. TCU also on 5-11 skid vs. line in reg season play. Patterson 3-3 as dog since LY. Gundy did have six covers in a row until dropping 2 of last 3. Frogs beat OSU last two years but Cowboys 4-3 vs. line last seven in series.
Slight to Oklahoma State, based on team trends.

UTEP at NORTH TEXAS..How about this...UTEP 5-2 vs. line last 7 away! Miners covered 4 of last 5 in series. UNT on 2-12 spread skid.
UTEP, based on team and series trends.

TULSA at TULANE...Road team 7-1 vs. spread in Tulsa games TY. Though Tulane 4-0 vs. line at home TY. Wave has won and covered last two vs. Golden Hurricane.
Tulane, based on recent series trends.

MISSISSIPPI STATE at ARKANSAS...Hogs yet to win an SEC game outright for Chad Morris (0-12 SU), though Moorhead no covers last 4 or 5 of last 6 TY, plus MSU 1-8 last 9 vs. line away from Starkville.
Slight to Arkansas, based on team trends.

MTSU at CHARLOTTE...49ers have cooled with no covers four of last five TY. Stockstill 4-1 vs. spread last five on C-USA road and has covered 3 of last 4 in series.
MTSU, based on team trends.

FAU at WESTERN KENTUCKY...Hilltoppers have covered last 5 and 6 of last 7 this season. Though Kiffin has covered his six on road. Owls 3-0-1 vs. line last 4 in series.
Slight to FAU, based on team trends.

ARKANSAS STATE at ULM...Red Wolves just 3-6 last 9 vs. spread. But they have covered 5 of last 7 as visitor. Series has been all Ark State, winning and covering last nine. Matt Viator on 6-15 spread skid since late 2017.
Arkansas State, based on series and team trends.

MIAMI-FL at FLORIDA STATE...Road team has covered last five meetings. Taggart 8-12 vs. spread with Noles.
Miami, based on series and team trends.

NEW MEXICO at NEVADA...Jay Norvell 8-2 vs. spread last 10 vs. MW foes at Reno. Bob Davie on 10-23 spread skid since late 2016 (though not as bad at 6-7 last 13 as road dog).
Nevada, based on team trends.

UTAH at WASHINGTON...Huskies won and covered both LY, though Utes 5-2 vs. spread last 7 as visitor. If Utes a dog note Whittingham 13-6 last 19 in role, Utah 21-9-1 vs. line away since 2014. U-Dub 3-1 as home chalk TY after 1-5 mark in role LY.
Utah, especially if dog, based on team trends.

BOISE STATE at SAN JOSE STATE...SJSU 8-3 last 12 as DD dog, though Boise 7-2 vs. spread last nine on MW road. Broncos 37-17 as visiting chalk since 2009.
Slight to Boise State, based on team trends.

FRESNO STATE at HAWAII...Tedford only 2-4-1 vs. line TY after 20-6-2 past two seasons. But FSU still 13-4-2 vs. line away since 2017. Bulldogs 3-0-1 vs. line last 4 in series. Hawaii just 2-9-1 vs. spread last 12 as MW host.
Fresno State, based on team and series trends.

Cnotes53 · Oct 30, 2019

West Virginia at Baylor
Joe Nelson

Thursday night college football moves to the Big XII this week, a conference that was in the spotlight last week for a few notable upsets.

Baylor sits on top of the standings with an undefeated record and this will be the first chance for a national audience to view the Bears as they host West Virginia in prime time Halloween night.

West Virginia Mountaineers at Baylor Bears
Venue: At McLane Stadium in Waco, Texas
Time/TV: Thursday, October 31, 8:00 p.m. ET ESPN
Line: Baylor -17?, Over/Under 57
Last Meeting: 2018, at West Virginia (-14?) 58, Baylor 14

There has been good reason that Baylor hasn?t climbed too high in the national rankings despite a perfect start out of the Big XII, now 7-0 and ranked #12. The Bears played an incredible weak non-conference slate and even struggled in an eight-point win at Rice. Baylor narrowly slipped by Iowa State in the conference opener while also having just a three-point escape hosting Texas Tech but the road wins have been impressive with convincing results at Kansas State and at Oklahoma State. Both of those teams helped Baylor with upsets in the Big XII picture last week as the Bears are all alone on top of the standings.

Baylor is a heavy favorite this week but then will face a tough gauntlet in November playing TCU, Oklahoma, and Texas in succession before closing at Kansas. Next week?s game in Fort Worth will be a difficult road game but Oklahoma and Texas are visiting Waco. The Sooners are 4-1 in Big XII play but Baylor is in a great position to finish in the top two in the Big XII for a championship game spot with every other team in the conference with at least two losses and the Bears with wins over two of the remaining four two-loss teams.

Charlie Brewer has been a steady quarterback for Baylor with 66 percent completions and 9.5 yards per attempt. He has only three interceptions in nearly 200 attempts. Baylor has posted an average of more than 200 rushing yards per game on 5.4 yards per carry this season for good offensive balance. Baylor is in the third season under Matt Rhule who stepped into a mess in 2017 and went 1-11 before last season?s turnaround to 7-6.

The defense will be what separates Baylor in the Big XII should they stay in contention, allowing just 19.1 points per game overall and just 22.5 points per game in conference play in a league not known for quality defense. Baylor is 23rd nationally in yards per play allowed with good numbers against both the run and the pass. The Baylor schedule checks in ranking 73rd nationally by Sagarin compared to the 8th ranked slate for West Virginia as there are concerns about whether the Bears will be able to keep this pace going in November.

West Virginia was a serious Big XII and national contender much of last season, reaching 8-1 before losing the final two Big XII games narrowly to miss out on the Big XII Championship game. West Virginia lost to Syracuse in the Camping World Bowl last December with star quarterback Will Grier opting not to play and then head coach Dana Holgorsen surprised many by departing for Houston after eight relatively successful seasons.

Neal Brown doesn?t have direct West Virginia ties but he did coach at Texas Tech for three years while also spending two years at Kentucky before becoming a head coach at Troy in 2015. He went 35-16 in four seasons at Troy including two 10-win seasons and an 11-2 2017 season, with three consecutive bowl wins as well. It was clear he was stepping into a bit of a rebuild with heavy personnel losses from last season for West Virginia and at 3-4 overall and 1-3 in the Big XII a winning season will be a surprise through the remaining schedule.

West Virginia has been outscored 156-88 in Big XII play with the only win narrowly at Kansas. The Mountaineers did beat NC State in non-conference play and have already played Texas, Iowa State, and Oklahoma, the three teams most considered the top conference contenders ahead of the season.

Replacing Will Grier was going to be a challenge and junior quarterback Austin Kendall has adequate numbers for the Mountaineers though with a low 6.4 yards per attempt average and seven interceptions. He played minimally in the Iowa State game but was back for the team?s most recent game, a 52-14 loss at Oklahoma. Running the ball has been a challenge for the offense as Kennedy McKoy leads the team with only 188 rushing yards through seven games with the team averaging fewer than 100 yards per game on 3.1 yards per carry, 118th nationally.

Next on the schedule is a home game with Texas Tech for the Mountaineers, arguably the most favorable remaining opportunity on the season with three of the final five on the road. Baylor is at TCU next Saturday as while winning this week may not provide much of a boost in the rankings, the Bears will have an opportunity to get more attention in the coming weeks and potentially keep national playoff sleeper hopes alive. Cool windy conditions are possible for Thursday night which presumably would favor the home favorite?s superior rushing attack.

Last season:

Off a bye week and a close road loss in Austin Baylor went to Morgantown last October on a Thursday night vs. the #13 Mountaineers and fell behind 41-0 by halftime. The Bears would score twice in the third quarter to save some face but the 58-14 final was a convincing result for a West Virginia squad that entered the game off a bye week and the season?s first loss in the previous game at Iowa State. West Virginia had a 568-287 yardage edge and a 4-0 turnover edge. Quarterback Charlie Brewer had a terrible start and left the game early after just one completion while Will Grier kept his name in the Heisman race with a big game.

Series History:

West Virginia is 5-2 S/U but 2-5 ATS in this series since joining the Big XII in 2012. Baylor has covered in all three home meetings in the series with two S/U wins though West Virginia has won S/U in the past three meetings in this series including the 2017 meeting in Waco. Eight is the smallest spread in the seven meetings in this series with six spreads of 12 or more over the years with heavy favorite prices in both directions.

Historical Trends for Baylor:

Baylor is 24-19 as a home favorite since 2011 but the Bears had a huge run in that role from 2011 to 2014 and are only 10-17 ATS since 2015. Since 2011 Baylor is 27-22 as a double-digit favorite but is just 3-13 ATS in the past 16 instances since October 2015. Matt Rhule is a bit of an ATS legend with a 35-16 ATS mark in his four seasons at Temple and he is 16-16 ATS at Baylor since 2017 even with a rough start in a very difficult transition.

Historical Trends for West Virginia:

Since 1980 West Virginia is 48-38-1 ATS as a road underdog but only 5-9 ATS since 2012, the year the program joined the Big XII. West Virginia has just two outright road underdog wins in conference play since joining the Big XII. West Virginia has gone 3-4 ATS with one S/U upset (at home) as an underdog of 17 or more points since 2012. In four seasons at Troy Neal Brown posted a 27-21-3 ATS record going 9-3-2 ATS as an underdog and 17-6-2 ATS in road games.

Cnotes53 · Oct 30, 2019

Navy at Connecticut
Matt Blunt

Navy at Connecticut
Venue/Location: Renschler Field, Storrs, CT
Time/TV: Friday, Nov. 1 (ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Line: Navy -27.5, Total 55

Visibility on the national stage is one of the greatest recruitment tools there is for any college football program, and that may be the nicest thing I can say about the excitement level for Friday's showcase game between Navy and Connecticut.

The American Conference as a whole would definitely prefer to see two of their other programs take center stage in the stand alone spot on Friday night, but they do get center stage in prime time on Saturday with Memphis hosting SMU on national television. Everyone's got to start somewhere though and for this weekend, we get this Navy/Connecticut game with the Midshipmen as nearly four-TD road favorites.

Navy will never turn down a showcase spot, but recruitment isn't a huge issue for them given their uniqueness as a program ? on and off the field. At 6-1 SU, this is a great spot for them to showcase their winning ways, but I can't imagine there is too much intrinsic motivation to be at their best in a game they are expected to win big.

Conversely, Connecticut football fans probably didn't know that words like ?national television?, ?stand alone prime time game? and ?Friday night lights? would ever be applied to their team. This Huskies team hasn't had a winning season since 2010, and with a 7-29 SU record over the past three years, and coming into this week at 2-6 SU, they've really done little to deserve this showcase spot.

Yet here they are, under the lights in a game that's got to intrinsically feel like a Bowl game for them with all the ESPN camera crews around. They'll take whatever time they can get nationally to showcase the university, and hopefully, from their standpoint at least, it isn't a complete and utter embarrassment.

So after connecting on the 'over' in the USC/Colorado game last Friday night, can we find a winner in a game like this that really isn't all that intriguing at all?

There is no argument that Navy is by far the better football team in this game and in all likelihood should come away with a relatively easy win on the scoreboard. Connecticut gives up 37.8 points per game as it is, and with that essentially being the exact same number Navy's offense has put up per game this season (37.9), Navy should spoil the party early for home fans looking to be witnesses to a shocking upset.

However, laying that kind of chalk on the road with a Navy team that's just 1-1 SU and ATS on the road this year is not something I'm interested in even entertaining as a betting option given the circumstances. The Midshipmen have a bye coming up after this game before the finish of their year gets exponentially harder - at Notre Dame, vs SMU, at Houston, and then vs Army ? with those first two up on the board being ranked foes currently. Focus levels aren't likely to be 100% for Navy here in a game they know they'll win, and with the style they play that shortens games already, being expected to win by this big of a margin is a tough wager to get behind.

We also can't forget about Connecticut likely treating this prime time spot at home as their Bowl game, and coming off a 56-35 win over a much worse Massachusetts team a week ago, it's not like the confidence meter is empty for the Huskies coming into this one. They know they are a bad team overall, but bad teams cover numbers too, and getting this many points at home his highly intriguing on the surface, without the extra situational stuff that is generally positive for Connecticut as well.

The Huskies have covered the number two straight weeks, and hung tough at home two weeks ago when Houston was in town and laying a similar number. In fact, Connecticut's worst loss at home this year was by just 26 points (vs USF), with the other two coming by just single digits.

Navy is on a 1-5 ATS run on the road against a team with a losing record at home which does suggest there will be some complacency on their side in this game, and barring Connecticut shooting themselves in the foot on numerous drives, if both teams use a heavy dose of the running attack on offense, there might not be enough time or possessions for Navy to stay clear of this number.

Service academies aren't ones to generally step out of their comfort zone and try many new things in terms of the passing game, but given who's on tap for Navy down the road, it wouldn't hurt them to try a few more passes here to at least get that stuff on film and force the Notre Dame's and SMU's of the world to be prepared for it.

There is no better game to try that stuff then one you are expected to win easily, and if they were to do so here, it could play into the Huskies hands in regards to staying within this number simply because the execution may not be where it should be. Remember, Navy's got two weeks after this game to prepare for the Irish, and what they put on film in the passing game here may look a lot worse then it does down the road.

A final score of something like 38-14 in favor of Navy is where this game likely ends up, as the lack of energy from there perspective will show up on defense, compared to Connecticut's desire to not get embarrassed on this type of stage. There aren't many in the market who want to have their money riding with a team as bad as Connecticut is, but in this case it's the only way to go in my opinion.

Cnotes53 · Oct 30, 2019

Big Ten Report - Week 10
October 29, 2019
By ASA

2019 BIG 10 STANDINGS
Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under
Illinois 4-4 2-3 5-3 3-5
Indiana 6-2 3-2 5-3 4-4
Iowa 6-2 3-2 3-5 1-6-1
Maryland 3-5 1-4 4-4 5-3
Michigan 6-2 3-2 4-4 6-2
Michigan State 4-4 2-3 2-6 3-5
Minnesota 8-0 5-0 5-2-1 5-3
Nebraska 4-4 2-3 1-7 3-5
Northwestern 1-6 0-5 2-5 2-5
Ohio State 8-0 5-0 7-1 3-4-1
Penn State 8-0 5-0 5-3 3-5
Purdue 2-6 1-4 4-4 4-4
Rutgers 2-6 0-5 2-6 4-4
Wisconsin 6-2 3-2 5-3 2-6

Week 10 Big Ten Conference Matchups

Saturday, Nov. 2

Nebraska (-3, Total 56) at Purdue

Michigan (-20.5, Total 55) at Maryland

Northwestern at Indiana (-11.5, Total 55.5)

Rutgers at Illinois (-20.5, Total 49)

No. 14 Michigan at Maryland (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Well it looks like the Wolverines have finally turned the corner. Over the last 7 to 8 quarters their offense has looked like the explosive unit from last year and the one they expected to field this year. They roasted Notre Dame 45-14 and their offense put up 437 yards. In their last 2 games vs Penn State & Notre Dame, two very good defensive units, the Michigan offense has 854 total yards of offense. Last Saturday they completed only 8 passes but punished the Irish on the ground for 303 yards rushing. While they didn?t need to lean on him last week because of their running game, Michigan?s top WR Ronnie Bell was injured in the 2nd half vs Notre Dame and may not play this weekend. They were dominant in the trenches on both sides of the ball holding Notre Dame to 47 yards rushing and 180 yards of total offense. That was against an Irish offense that was averaging 454 YPG coming into last week with their lowest offensive output prior to last week being 321 yards @ Georgia. Since their embarrassing 35-14 loss @ Wisconsin, the Wolverine defense has not allowed any of their next 5 opponents to reach 300 yards of total offense. Michigan has outgained their last 5 opponents (since the Wisconsin game) by a combined 950 yards or 190 YPG. An interested side note to this game, Michigan offensive coordinator Josh Gattis and Maryland head coach Mike Locksley were co-offensive coordinators last year at Alabama. Locksley tried to hire Gattis as the OC at Maryland but he chose Michigan and there has been some bad blood between the two ever since. They finally get to hash it out on the field on Saturday with each calling the offensive plays for their respective offense.

Maryland continued their downward trend losing their 6th game in their last 7 tries with Minnesota hammering the Terps 52-10. It was the 4th time in the last 5 games the Maryland defense has allowed at least 34 points and their opponents put up at least 40 in 3 of those games. Not a great recipe for success now having to face a surging Michigan offense. Maryland has been drastically outgained in 5 of their last 6 games with the only outlier being their win vs Rutgers. The QB position is in question right now with starter Josh Jackson still bothered by an ankle injury, his back up Tyrell Pigrome left last week?s game with an injury leaving 3rd stringer Tyler DeSue to finished out the game. DeSue, who had attempted just 3 career passes before Saturday, finished 4 of 12 for 88 yards. The Terps were hoping Jackson would be back to full strength and they gave him a shot in the first half. He came in for one series and didn?t come back after that signaling he was not physically ready to play. If Jackson, an Ann Arbor native, can?t go vs the Wolverines on Saturday, DeSue may make the first start of his career. The Turtle defense was shredded for 321 yards on the ground including 13 Minnesota runs of 10 yards or more. Now they face a Michigan running game that put up over 300 yards on Notre Dame last week. The Terrapins once promising season (they started 2-0) looks bleak now with a 3-5 record. They must win 3 of their final 4 games to assure themselves a bowl bid and with Michigan, @ Ohio State, Nebraska, and @ Michigan State on deck, that looks highly unlikely.

Inside the Numbers: This opened with Michigan favored by -17 and has shot up to -21 as of this writing. Since joining the Big Ten in 2014, Maryland has been an underdog in all 5 meetings with the Wolverines covering only one of those contests (Michigan 4-1 ATS in the series). The Wolverines have won 4 straight in this series with each of those wins coming by at least 21 points. Last season Michigan was favored by 17.5 points at home vs Maryland and squeaked out a cover 42-21. Since 2007, Michigan has been a road favorite of 17 points or more 7 times and they are 1-6 ATS in those games. The Terps are just 5-12 ATS their last 17 games as an underdog.

Nebraska at Purdue (FOX, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Huskers free fall continues losing at home 38-31 to Indiana last Saturday. They have now lost 3 of their last 4 games to drop to 4-4 on the season. They were hoping to get starting QB Adrian Martinez back under center last week but his knee is still not quite ready so he sat for the 2nd consecutive game. That meant that Noah Vedral would get another start for the Huskers and attempt to win his first game this year under center. As far as throwing the ball, Vedral played his best game of the season completing 14 of his 16 passes for 201 yards. However, he left late in the first half with an undisclosed injury and was replaced by 3rd string QB Freshman Luke McCaffrey. NU led 21-16 heading into halftime but with McCaffrey?s inexperience at QB, they went conservative in the 2nd half. Nebraska went run heavy for most of the 2nd half with 25 rush attempts and just 6 pass attempts when McCaffrey was calling signals. With Nebraska down 38-31, Vedral did return for the final offensive drive of the game but came up short in his attempt to tie the game with the Huskers getting shut out on downs in IU territory. The Cornhuskers had more than a 2 to 1 rushing advantage but their defense couldn?t stop Indiana back up QB Peyton Ramsey who torched them for 351 yards passing. We?ll have to keep a close eye on the QB situation for Nebraska this week. Martinez suited up last week and went through warm ups but didn?t play. If he can?t go this weekend and Vedral is still banged up, McCaffrey may get his first collegiate start.

Purdue looked like they had some momentum heading into last week?s home game vs Illinois. They roasted Maryland two weeks ago 40-14 and then took Iowa to the limit on the road losing 26-20. They entered last week?s game as a 10-point favorite vs the Illinois and lost 24-6. It was a sloppy game played in a down pour with Illinois jumping out to a 24-0 lead at the end of the 3rd quarter. The Boilers finally got on the board with under 6:00 minutes remaining in the game to avoid their first shutout since 2013. Freshman QB Jack Plummer came into the game on a red hot run throwing for 750 yards and 5 TD?s in his previous 2 games. On Saturday he struggled throwing a pick 6 to give Illinois a 10-0 lead in the first half. Plummer was benched for a few series after that in favor of Aidan O?Connell, who had attempted 1 pass this year prior to Saturday. Head coach Jeff Brohm gave Plummer another chance in the 2nd half and he proceeded to turn the ball over again, this time with a fumble. Brohm then sent O?Connell back in to finish the game and he led Purdue to their only TD of the game. Neither QB did much of anything in the poor weather conditions as they combined to complete only 45% of their passes for just 135 yards. With both QB?s struggling, Purdue was able to generate 135 yards rushing which may not seem like much but it was their highest rush total of the season.

Inside the Numbers: Last year Purdue was favored by 3.5 points AT Nebraska and rolled up a 42-28 win. Both teams had over 500 yards of offense. Nebraska with another non-cover last week has dropped to 1-7 ATS this with their only pointspread win coming vs Northern Illinois. The Huskers are 0-2 ATS as a road favorite this year, however entering this year they were 24-15 ATS in that role since the start of the 2003 season. Since the start of last season, Purdue is 4-1 ATS as a home underdog (1-1 this season). However, prior to last season, they were a money burning 7-21 ATS as a home dog from November of 2011 through the 2017 season.

Rutgers at Illinois (Big Ten, 330 p.m. ET)
Rutgers has lost 17 straight games vs Big 10 foes so what did they do last week? They stepped outside the conference and beat Liberty 44-34 as a 7.5 point underdog. The previous sentence tells you all you need to know about how far the Rutgers program has fallen. While they did win, they were more than a TD underdog, at home, vs a team that moved their program to the FBS level just 2 years ago. After scoring a TOTAL of 30 points over their previous 6 games, the Rutgers offense exploded for 44 points on 463 yards of offense. The Rutgers new option based offense, implemented nearly a month ago by interim coach Nunzio Campanile, finally clicked with the Knights rushing for 271yards, their highest mark this season. It was the first time since October of 2017 that they rushed for more than 250 yards as a team. Starting freshman QB Johnny Langan became the first Rutgers QB since 1961 to rush for more than 100 yards. He also threw for 192 yards and completed 71% of his passes vs the Flames. Prior to last Saturday?s effort, Langan was completing just 47% of his passes for an average of 70 YPG through the air in his 3 starts this season. The announced attendance of 23,000 (about half that was actually in the stands) was the Knights lowest for a home game since 2005. Unfortunately for Rutgers, they move back into Big 10 play this week traveling to Illinois.

The Illini were in a prime letdown spot last week after upsetting Wisconsin on a last second FG the previous Saturday. Heading to West Lafayette to face a Purdue team that looked like they were starting to turn the corner set up for a potential bad spot for Illinois. Instead they moved to 4-4 on the season with an impressive 24-6 win over the Boilers. The Illini defense held Purdue to their lowest point total (6) since the Boilermakers were shut out vs Ohio State back in 2013. That was an Illinois defense that was allowing 37 PPG in Big 10 play this year and 39 PPG in conference play dating back to the start of the 2017 season. Part of their defensive success can be attributed to the weather which was windy and rainy throughout. Purdue was unable to establish any type of passing attack due in part to the poor weather conditions and they can?t run the ball (129th nationally) thus the poor offensive showing. On offense, Illinois stuck to the ground game throughout with starting QB Brandon Peters completing only 3 passes the entire game. They ran the ball 53 times for 242 yards. What was a season spiral downward just a few weeks ago, now has Illinois just 2 games from being bowl eligible. If they can pick up a home win vs Rutgers on Saturday, they would need just one win vs either Michigan State, Iowa, or Northwestern and they?d be bowling for the first time since 2014.

Inside the Numbers: Illinois was a 4.5 point road favorite last year and topped Rutgers 38-17. As we stated above, Rutgers has now lost 17 consecutive Big 10 games. They have lost all but 3 of those 17 games by at least 13 points. The average score of those 17 losses was 33-7. Illinois has been a double digit underdog in all 5 of their Big 10 games this year and now they are laying 20 points! They have been a Big 10 favorite of 20 or more points and grand total of ONCE since 1992 (a SU loss to Minnesota as a 21 point favorite back in 2010). Illinois has been a home favorite 49 times since the start of the 2003 season. They have covered just 19 of those 49 games. They are 0-8 ATS the last 8 times they?ve been favored at home in conference play dating back to 2010.

Northwestern at Indiana (FS1, 7:00 p.m. ET)
The story with Northwestern continues to be an offense that simply cannot put points on the board. They were shutout last week 20-0 at home vs Iowa tallying just 202 yards and the Cats were held to 1.8 YPC on the ground. It was the 2nd straight game that the Wildcats failed to score a TD. How bad has it been for this offense? They have scored a grand total of ONE offensive TD in their last 40 offensive possessions dating back to the 4th quarter of their game @ Wisconsin on September 28th. That?s ONE offensive TD over their last 217 offensive snaps. They are converting just 32% of their 3rd downs on the season. The Wildcats have played 2 QB?s for the majority of the season with Aidan Smith starting the last 3 games and Hunter Johnson taking most of the snaps prior to that. Neither has been good as they both complete less than 50% of their passes and have combined for just 2, yes 2 TD passes this season with 10 interceptions. Their defense continues to play fairly well holding 4 of their 7 opponents to 20 points or less. The only teams to top 20 points on this stop unit were Wisconsin, Ohio State, and Michigan State. With an offense that can?t produce, turnover margin becomes extremely important and Northwestern is -7 on the year in that category as well (12th in the Big Ten). Let?s not forget this team won the Big Ten West last year and now unless they run the table (current 1-6 record) they will not be going to a bowl game this season.

Unlike Northwestern, Indiana will be heading to a bowl this season as they picked up their 6th win last week @ Nebraska 38-31. The Hoosiers played with an extra edge on Saturday as Indiana felt disrespected by a few statements by Nebraska coach Scott Frost in the off-season. Allegedly Frost mentioned something to the tune of ?I wish we played Indiana more often? when referencing his cross-division schedule with the Big Ten East. The Hoosiers players and coaches used that as motivation and picked up a big road win. After beating Maryland on the road a week earlier, it was the first time since 2015 that the Hoosiers won back to back conference road games. It was IU?s 3rd straight win overall and their 4th win in 5 games. Starting QB Michael Penix was out here but as we?ve stated in past editions, the Hoosiers really have 2 starters at that position as Peyton Ramsey started all last season and has started a number of games this year in relief of the injured Penix. Ramsey stepped up big time again last Saturday throwing for a career high 351 yards and completed 68% of his passes. For those following, IU is now ranked 2nd in the Big Ten and 31st nationally in total offense. They are averaging 312 YPG through the air ranking them 11th nationally. They?ve scored more than 30 points in every game this season with the exception of Ohio State. What often goes unnoticed about this team is their defense. They are allowing just 324 YPG which ranks them 26 in the nation! That?s a full 100 YPG less than they allowed last season. This team is pretty good and just starting to get noticed. They have only 2 losses this season, one vs Ohio State and the other @ Michigan State in a game that was tied with under 10 seconds remaining. They have a bye after this game followed by tough games @ PSU and home vs Michigan.

Inside the Numbers: These 2 have not met since 2016 and Northwestern had won 5 straight in the series and they are 13-3 SU the last 16 meetings. This is the first time since the 2007 meeting that IU is favored in this series and the current spread of -11 is the highest IU has laid in this meeting since 1992. Since 1993, Indiana has been a double digit favorite in Big 10 play just 11 times (2-9 ATS). Northwestern has been a money maker when getting 10 or more points with a 16-7 ATS record their last 23 and they?ve won 10 of those games outright.

Cnotes53 · Oct 30, 2019

Wednesday?s 6-pack

Six interesting college football games this week:

? Oregon -5 at USC

? Kansas State -5.5 at Kansas

? SMU at Memphis -5.5

? Georgia -6.5 vs Florida

? TCU @ Oklahoma State -3

? Miami @ Florida State -3.5

Quote of the Day
???.Yet Irving?s infamous mood swings, confirmed by his ex-teammates, which followed him from Cleveland to Boston to Brooklyn, are the unspoken concern that makes Nets officials queasy. When Irving lapses into these funks, he often shuts down, unwilling to communicate with the coaching staff, front office and sometimes, even his teammates.?
From ESPN??.Nets are paying Irving $136M the next four years. Oy.

Wednesday?s quiz
Who was the Miami Dolphins? coach last time they won a playoff game?

Tuesday?s quiz
Adam Gase was the Miami Dolphins? coach last time they made the playoffs, in 2016.

Monday?s quiz
Before moving to Washington, the Nationals called Montreal home; they were known as the Expos

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Wednesday?s List of 13: Wrapping up last Saturday?s college football

13) Kansas State 48, Oklahoma 41? Wildcats scored on eight consecutive possessions in this massive upset; K-State had perfect balance; 213 passing yards, 213 rushing yards, as they scrambled the national playoff picture.

I?m guessing Saturday night was a fun one in the Little Apple.

12) LSU 23, Auburn 20? I?ve mentioned this a couple times, but Joe Burrow used to be the #3 QB at Ohio State? imagine ac college team having that much talent in their QB room?

Several years ago, I read a book called Meat Market, about recruiting in bigtime college football; it revolves around Ed Orgeron when he was head coach at Ole Miss. After reading that book, I wouldn?t have hired Orgeron as anything other than a defensive line coach/recruiter, but have to give him credit, he somehow got the LSU job and is running with it, primarily by giving up control of the offense to a 20-something who came in from the NFL?s Saints.

11) Minnesota 52, Maryland 10? Golden Gophers are 8-0 for first time since 1941; they?ve got a two-game lead in the Big 14 West.

10) Penn State 28, Michigan State 7? Spartans covered only once in their last 12 home games. Penn State is 8-0; they visit 8-0 Minnesota next week.

9) Kansas 37, Texas Tech 34? Never saw this before; Tech blocked the go-ahead FG with 0:13 left, but a Tech player lateraled the ball to a teammate, it was fumbled, and Kansas recovered with 0:02 left, where they kicked the game-winning FG, as Les Miles won his first Big X game with the Jayhawks.

8) Toledo 37, Eastern Michigan 34 (OT)? Bad beat for EMU (+2.5) backers; Eagles came into the game on a 19-5-1 ATS run as an underdog, but lost by half a point here.

7) Upsets:
Kansas State (+23.5) 48, Oklahoma 41
Colorado State (+14) 41, Fesno State 31
Oklahoma State (+10.5) 34, Iowa State 27
Kentucky (+10) 29, Missouri 7
San Jose State (+9.5) 34, Army 29
Illinois (+9.5) 24, Purdue 6
Rutgers (+7.5) 44, Liberty 34

6) Charlotte 39, North Texas 38? 49ers scored on a 34-yard pass play with 0:18 left, rallying back from a 35-21 4th quarter deficit. Total yardage was 589-539, Charlotte.

5) USC 35, Colorado 31- Trojans, Stanford and Cal are three Pac-12 teams that?ve all started three different QB?s this year, and before Halloween. Trojans trailed this game 31-21 after three quarters but rallied to improve to 5-3, 4-1 in Pac-12 tilts.

4) Oregon 37, Washington State 35? Ducks kicked FG at the gun for the win, giving Wazzu its fourth loss in five games, despite scoring 34+ points in three of the four losses. Oregon blew a 31-20 foutth quarter lead before pulling the game out at the end.

3) Kind of a funny moment in the Washington State-Oregon telecast Saturday night; Wazzu had the ball on its own 5-yard line, 3rd-and-25, with 2:00 left in first half, up 10-9. Analyst Brian Griese was preaching a conservative (draw play, punt) approach, while the play-by-play guy said they should throw and try and move the chains.

They threw the ball alright, and threw a pick-6. You could almost hear Griese smirking.

2) Navy 41, Tulane 38? Middies blew a 31-14 halftime lead, then kicked a 48-yard FG at the gun to send everyone home happy. Navy ran the ball for 385 yards, which usually means a win.

1) Memphis 42, Tulsa 41? Golden Hurricane missed a 29-yard field goal at the gun; sometimes its better to be lucky than good. 7-1 Memphis plays unbeaten SMU this week.

Cnotes53 · Oct 30, 2019

by: Monty Andrews

MONEY MARTINEZ

Nebraska quarterback Adrian Martinez is inching closer to a return. Martinez has missed the Cornhuskers' previous two games with a left knee injury suffered against Northwestern but told reporters Tuesday that he "expects to go" this weekend versus the Purdue Boilermakers.

Martinez will be looking to rebound from what has been a rough season, at least through the air. He has completed just 60.6 percent of his passes to date with seven touchdowns and five interceptions but has added 341 yards and three scores on the ground. Nebraska has lost both games in Martinez's absence.

The Boilermakers are dealing with major injury absences of their own on offense and, while Martinez is having an uneven season, the offense is averaging 31.8 points with him and 19 points without him. We like visiting Nebraska to cover as 3-point road chalk.

WORK FOR WHITLOW?

Now that he's shaken off the rust, JaTarvious Whitlow is no doubt ready to carry more of the load for the Auburn Tigers, but it won't happen right away.

Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn is suggesting that Whitlow isn't quite at full strength yet, and will likely see limited action against the Ole Miss Rebels this weekend. Whitlow returned from left knee surgery last week and had three carries for eight yards out of the Wildcat in a loss to LSU. Expect to see a few more snaps for Whitlow, who has 553 rushing yards and seven touchdowns on 113 carries for Auburn this season.

Even a little more Whitlow is a great thing for an Auburn offense that has scored 20 or fewer points in two of its past three games. With the Tigers? running game strengthened and Ole Miss terrible versus the pass, we like the Over 37.5 points on Auburn?s team total.

JARREN?S JOB

The Miami Hurricanes' starting quarterback battle appears to have taken another turn. Jarren Williams took the first-team snaps during Tuesday's practice, suggesting he has the upper hand over N'Kosi Perry in the battle for the starting job against rival Florida State this Saturday.

Williams entered last week's game against Pittsburgh after Perry struggled and promptly led the Hurricanes on the game-winning drive. Williams started the first five games of the season before suffering a shoulder injury, resulting in Perry taking over the starting role and performing admirably in Williams' absence.

This ACC rivalry has all the makings of a close game. The Hurricanes pulled out a 28-27 win in last year's meeting, and all three of their true road games in 2019 have been decided by four points or fewer. We suggest taking the 1-6 margin of victory on either side, which is priced at Miami +375 and FU +350.

PERKINS PROBLEM

Virginia quarterback Bryce Perkins is hopeful of a return to action against host North Carolina Saturday. Perkins suffered a knee injury in last week's 28-21 loss to Louisville and was noticeably less than 100 percent by the end of the game.

Perkins told reporters his knee is feeling much better and is expecting to take the field this weekend. He struggled against the Cardinals (24 of 41, 233 yards, one TD, one INT) and has thrown just one touchdown pass over his previous three games. The senior signal-caller has added 119 rush attempts for 275 yards and five scores on the ground.

We have a hard time believing Perkins will be fully healthy by the weekend, and with North Carolina on quite a roll (3-1 ATS in the past four), the Tar Heels are looking like a strong cover play at -2.5.

Cnotes53 · Oct 31, 2019

Thursday?s 6-pack

Six more interesting college football games this week:

? Florida Atlantic @ Western Kentucky -2.5

? Mississippi State -7.5 @ Arkansas

? Army @ Air Force -14.5

? UAB @ Tennessee -11

? TCU @ Oklahoma State -3

? Oregon State @ Arizona -5

Quote of the Day
?The American public roots for underdogs, but bets on favorites.?
Michael Gaughan, owner of South Point Casino

Thursday?s quiz
Who has made the most free throws in NBA history?

Wednesday?s quiz
Dave Wannstedt was the Miami Dolphins? coach last time they won a playoff game, in 2000.

Tuesday?s quiz
Adam Gase was the Miami Dolphins? coach last time they made the playoffs, in 2016.

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Thursday?s Den: Doing some thinking out loud??

13) Cincinnati Bengals have a bye this week; they announced they will start rookie QB Ryan Finley when they host the Ravens next week.

Sunday, Andy Dalton became the first NFL QB ever to start a season 8-0, and also 0-8. Tuesday, he got benched on his 32nd birthday.

While I?m here, a reminder that Marvin Lewis went 131-122-3 coaching the Bengals in the regular season; his 0-7 playoff record sent him packing.

Here is the problem: Cincinnati?s last .500 season without Lewis as HC was in 1996; their last playoff game without Lewis was in 1990.

Since 1991, Bengals are 55-145 in games not coached by Lewis, 131-122-3 wth Lewis.

12) Washington 6, Houston 2:
? First best-of-7 finals series in MLB, NHL or NBA where road team won all seven games.
? Washington played five elimination games this month; in his at-bats from 7th inning on in those five games, Anthony Rendon was 6-8 with three doubles, three homers and a walk.

11) Rockets 159, Wizards 158? While the Houston-Washington baseball teams were playing in the World Series, those cities? basketball teams set defense back 30 years.

It was the highest scoring NBA game that didn?t go to overtime since a 1990 game where Golden State beat Denver 162-158.

10) James Harden tied an NBA record Monday with his 7th career game with 20+ made foul shots; he shares the record with Moses Malone, Kobe Bryant.

Harden was 21-22 from the line vs Oklahoma City, whose whole team was 17-24.

9) When teams underperform, there have to be scapegoats:
? Bronx baseball team fired pitching coach Larry Rothschild; it is obviously his fault that the Astros are better than the Bronx Bombers.
? Arizona Wildcats fired defensive coordinator Marcel Yates and linebackers coach John Rushing, after the Wildcats gave up 133 points in their last three games.

8) Weird fact: When the Giants acquired DT Leonard Williams from the Jets a few days ago it was the first time EVER the Giants/Jets made a trade. Thats over 50 years.

7) Patriots, Falcons cut their kickers Tuesday; New England signed Nick Folk, who will kick for his 4th NFL team- he also holds the record for longest field goal (55 yards) in AAF history this past winter. Falcons are on a bye, haven?t signed a new kicker yet.

6) It bothers me that FOX has to interview managers while a World Series game is going on; they?re not going to say anything interesting, so you get to see a guy squirm for a few minutes while he?s stressing out about not doing his freaking job. It makes no sense.

5) Stephen Strasburg is the first MLB pitcher ever who was the #1 pick in the amateur draft, then started a World Series game for the same team that drafted him.

4) RIP to coach Al Bianchi, who passed away this week at age 87; Bianchi was a head coach in the ABA and NBA for nine seasons- his 1970-71 Virginia Squires went 55-29. He was also the first coach of the Seattle SuperSonics.

3) With Klay Thompson sitting out most of this year, this year?s Golden State Warriors have the 3rd-youngest roster in the NBA.

2) With Joe Flacco headed to the IR, Denver Broncos have three QB?s (Allen, Rypien, Lock) none of whom has never taken an NFL snap.

1) Last Sunday was only day this year where there were NFL, NBA, NHL and major league baseball games, all on the same day.

Cnotes53 · Oct 31, 2019

College Football Picks: High stakes even as top teams rest
October 30, 2019
By The Associated Press

Instead of focusing on the teams that are off this weekend in college football - and there are a lot of good teams not playing - let's enjoy the ones that are in action.

No. 6 Florida against No. 8 Georgia has become a big game again in the Southeastern Conference after a brief hiatus. For five straight seasons from 2013-17, no more than one of the participants in the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party was ranked when they faced off in Jacksonville, Florida.

Now, for the second straight season, it's a top-10 matchup with the winner holding the inside track to the SEC championship game in Atlanta.

In Memphis, the 24th-ranked Tigers and No. 15 SMU are good enough to bring ESPN's ''College GameDay'' to Beale Street. It's a game with huge implications in the American Athletic Conference and the race for the Group of Five spot in the New Year's Six bowls.

The Pac-12 has renewed hope of sending a team to the College Football Playoff for the first time in three seasons after a spate of upsets in recent weeks. The league's top contenders, No. 7 Oregon and No. 9 Utah, are on the road against teams that have been in and out of the rankings this season.

The Ducks head to Southern California, which beat Utah in September. The Utes are at Washington, which nearly knocked off Oregon two weeks ago.

See, you won't miss No. 1 LSU, No. 2 Alabama, No. 3 Ohio State, No. 5 Penn State, No. 10 Oklahoma, No. 13 Minnesota, No. 18 Wisconsin, No. 19 Iowa and No. 25 San Diego State at all. The picks:

THURSDAY

West Virginia (plus 17+) at No. 12 Baylor

Major college football teams averaging more than 7.0 yards per play on offense and fewer than 5.0 allowed on defense: LSU, Alabama, Ohio State, Clemson, UCF and Baylor ... BAYLOR 38-14.

Georgia Southern (plus 15) at No. 20 Appalachian State

App State is 3-2 against its former FCS Southern Conference rival since they both moved to the Sun Belt in 2014 ... APP STATE 35-17, BEST BET.

SATURDAY

Wofford (no line) at No. 4 Clemson

Tigers might as well be off, too ... CLEMSON 56-10.

No. 6 Florida (plus 6+) vs. No. 8 Georgia at Jacksonville, Florida

Gators will have their two stud pass rushers, Jonathan Greenard and Jabari Zuniga, back and healthy together for the first time in a while ... GEORGIA 24-14

No. 7 Oregon (minus 4+) at Southern California

Trojans defense is riddled with injuries, but USC has yet to lose at home ... USC 34-31, UPSET SPECIAL.

No. 9 Utah (minus 3+) at Washington

Huskies complete Pac-12 playoff doomsday scenario ... WASHINGTON 28-27.

Mississippi (plus 19) at No. 11 Auburn

Tigers QB Bo Nix has completed 46% of his passes in five games against teams with winning records and 73% against losing teams. Rebels are 3-5 ... AUBURN 38-17.

No. 14 Michigan (minus 21) at Maryland

Wolverines fixed the offense by going back to the old offense? Not exactly, but running heavy should work against the Terps ... MICHIGAN 42-17.

No. 15 SMU (plus 5+) at No. 24 Memphis

Tigers would be in great shape to reach a third straight AAC title game with a win after already beating division rivals Navy and Tulane ... MEMPHIS 38-31.

Virginia Tech (plus 17+) at No. 16 Notre Dame

Fighting Irish struggle to stop the run, but it seems like the Hokies haven't been able to run the ball well since Kevin Jones left Blacksburg in 2004 ... NOTRE DAME 35-21.

No. 17 Cincinnati (minus 23+) at East Carolina

Bearcats have won four of five since ECU joined the American ... CINCINNATI 28-13.

No. 22 Boise State (minus 17+) at San Jose State

Broncos are 12-0 against the Spartans, average score 45-17 ... BOISE STATE 45-17.

No. 22 Kansas State (minus 6) at Kansas

Wildcats have won 10 straight in the Sunflower State Showdown ... KANSAS STATE 31-23.

North Carolina State (plus 7+) at No. 23 Wake Forest

Wake has won two straight against the Wolfpack, both times throwing a wrench in otherwise good seasons. Payback? ... WAKE FOREST 31-28.

TWITTER REQUESTS

TCU (plus 3) at Oklahoma State - (at)janorman74

Big 12's second tier is tightly packed and highly competitive ... TCU 31-28.

Miami (plus 3+) at Florida State - (at)Aintropy

It's not so much about who wins between the struggling rivals but who avoids losing ... MIAMI 27-24.

Virginia (plus 2+) at North Carolina - (at)Mjg5250

Big game in the ACC, and basketball doesn't start until next week ... VIRGINIA 24-21.

Mississippi State (minus 7+) at Arkansas - (at)chriswilliams2

Not many fans happy with their second-year coach on either side ... MISSISSIPPI STATE 35-23.

BYU (plus 3+) at Utah State - (at)snoker

In a rivalry long dominated by the Cougars, the Aggies have won two straight and three of the last five ... UTAH STATE 28-23.

Nebraska (minus 3) at Purdue - (at)saunders45

The Squashed Hopes Bowl ... NEBRASKA 30-24.

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Last week: 14-5 straight; 10-8-1 against the spread.

Season: 158-45 straight; 109-87-6 against the spread.

Upset specials: 3-6 (straight up).

Best bets: 3-5-1 (against the spread).

Cnotes53 · Oct 31, 2019

Week 10 Upset Alerts
October 30, 2019
By Matt Blunt

The Ohio State Buckeyes continue to be the bane of my existence in college football this year as fading them in the spots that I have this year has been the equivalent to burning money. I still firmly believe that eventually the Buckeyes lofty numbers will catch up to them at some point, but when you've got a DE like Chase Young blowing up opposing offenses on every snap, it's hard to pinpoint when that could actually happen. Maybe that ?Team Up North? will be the ones to throw a huge monkey wrench in the Buckeyes CFP playoff plans, but a lot can happen in the month of football action until then.

The other plays from last week's card managed to split the board as the concerns about California's lackluster offense proved to be real, as the Golden Bears failed to score a single point in their 35-0 loss @ Utah.

The Miami Hurricanes did show up though, as they won their game outright vs Pittsburgh, and it was nice to get the second outright winner of the year with those small dogs. Admittedly, that number of SU wins should be better in that range, but the ATS record with those small dogs is what's salvaging an otherwise forgettable year with the bigger ones.

And while Ohio State finds themselves on a bye week as to not tempt me into going back to that well that has been so generous to my bankroll, this week's plays do begin with a return to fading a particular team from a week ago. So let's get right to it:

Upset Alert #1: Underdogs in the +1 to +9 range
YTD: 2-7 SU; 6-2-1 ATS
Washington (+3.5) over Utah

Utah may have come away with the easy cover vs California last week, but things should be much tougher for them this week as they visit a well-rested Washington Huskies team. The Huskies are light years ahead of California on offense, and even defensively they are quite comparable. With this game also being a road contest for the Utes ? who lost outright on the road @ USC the week after a shutout win vs Idaho State earlier this year ? I do believe we see the Huskies come away with the outright victory.

For one, two weeks to prepare for this critical matchup helps the Huskies in numerous regards. The first is the most obvious in that they've had two weeks to scour over the film of this Utes team ? and do some live scouting last week while likely watching that win over California. HC Chris Petersen has always been known to be one of the better game-planners in the collegiate game since his time leading Boise State to national prominence and extra time to prepare is always an added plus for him.

Last year in that role the ATS results weren't there in a 42-23 win over Oregon State off of rest as a -32.5 point favorite, and a 28-23 loss to Ohio State in closing at +4.5, but Bowl prep is always a bit of a different element as it is, and beating Oregon State couldn't have been that high on the focus list a year ago. What's critical to note though is the week after that Oregon State game was Washington's trip to Washington State in the annual rivalry game, and the Huskies came out as 28-15 winners after closing at +2.5. It's safe to assume some of that extra time off prior to facing the Beavers was dedicated to planning for Wazzu.

Secondly, the extra time off for Washington this year allows them to better get over the tough loss they had vs Oregon last time out, as Washington had control of that game for basically the first three quarters. Had there been a quick turnaround for Washington, it's much easier to be of the mindset that a poor performance was coming, but after letting that loss seethe for two weeks, that shouldn't be the case. The Huskies have to be itching to get back out there and do what they can to spoil a successful season for Utah so far.

This is a spot I like Washington's chances to step up and provide even more chaos in a Pac-12 conference that's known for being highly competitive and having any program win on any given day. I'm still not sure Utah is as legit of a contender as their 7-1 SU record suggests, and I'm willing to back that opinion this week.

Upset Alert #2: Underdogs in the +10 to +19 range
YTD: 1-8 SU; 2-7 ATS
UAB (+11.5) vs Tennessee

Would you look at that Tennessee fans. Your team has covered the number in three straight games, all as underdogs, and winning two of the three outright. You were never expected to beat Alabama, but double digit home wins over Mississippi State and South Carolina have given this team and fan base a renewed sense of confidence after being ridiculed in college football circles for the past few years. At 3-5 SU there is still a big upward climb to make, but things have to feel like they are going in the right direction, right?

Well, now amid all that recent success SU and ATS, the Volunteers stay at home feeling great about themselves and welcome in a non-conference opponent in UAB. Should be an easy win right? I mean Tennessee was always going to be favored in a game like this against a non-SEC foe, but for it to come right in the middle of their SEC schedule while they are playing well isn't ideal at all. Not to mention there is a big rivalry game vs Kentucky on deck for Tennessee too.

Recent success from Tennessee has likely forced the adjustment to make this line into the range it is, but this should be a single-digit margin of victory for the Volunteers; if they win at all. Having Kentucky on deck gives this game a potential look ahead feel, and not only that, but UAB is a quality football team at 6-1 SU and are coming off a bye week themselves. Yes, a 6-1 SU record in Conference USA doesn't carry near the same weight as it would in the SEC, but UAB does have a +99 point differential on the year and have done that by only allowing 110 total points this season. They are a program that understands how to play defense, and if you are going to be a smaller conference team looking to pull off a road upset, it's always good to have a strong defense because that tends to be the first thing that gets on the plane with you.

So look for this Tennessee program and their new found success to take a bit of a step back here in a non-conference game against an above average foe that couldn't have come at a worse time. Had Tennessee played to their closing lines the past three weeks and lost outright to Mississippi State, Alabama, and South Carolina, we would have likely seen this point spread closer to say a touchdown, as that's probably closer to the true number this game should be at.

Upset Alert #3: Underdogs in the +20 and above range
YTD: 2-7 ATS
Massachusetts (+23.5) over Liberty

Admittedly I'm starting to feel like I'm getting in my own head a bit with these big underdog selections after having so much success with them last year and having next to none of it this season. There were a few more ?reputable? teams I considered for this role other then a Massachusetts team that could easily win the debate as being the worst team in the entire county. Yet, I did land on Massachusetts for a couple of reasons.

(For those wondering about the 'others' this week they were Maryland +21.5 and UTEP +23)

The first of those is that if you do view teams like stocks in the market, Massachusetts stock has to be at an all time low and really has nowhere to go but up. When you lose at home by 21 to another very bad team like Connecticut as the Minutemen did last week, there isn't really any lower you can go. Throw in the fact that they've been outscored 169-56 the past three weeks and there aren't many in the betting market that are even considering looking at this game, let alone taking a piece of Massachusetts. Perception like that though does lead to potentially mispriced numbers and I do believe that's what we've got a bit of here.

That's because Liberty isn't exactly all that good of a football team either, as they are coming off a double digit loss to a very bad team (Rutgers) themselves. Liberty closed as more than a TD favorite in that game, and after trading scores with Rutgers for the first half, Liberty gave up an early 3rd quarter TD and never led the game again. And yet here they are on the road for the 2nd straight week and laying more then 20 points? I don't buy it.

Liberty is now 1-2 SU and ATS away from home this year, with the lone win coming by a TD as a -4 favorite. They aren't deserving of laying this kind of chalk against anyone, especially a Massachusetts team that was good enough to beat this same Liberty program in OT just a season ago. The 62-59 win by the Minutemen wasn't a showcase of great football by any stretch of the imagination ? especially on defense ? but Massachusetts was just a three win team going into that game, and as a one-win team this year you are telling me they are three TD's worse?

I just don't see it, and while Liberty should win this game relatively comfortably from an outright perspective, unless the Minutemen routinely turn the ball over and play bull-fighting defense for the entire game, getting this final score well within this point spread is how this one should play out.

Cnotes53 · Oct 31, 2019

by: Monty Andrews

NOT A GREAT MATCHUP

The West Virginia Mountaineers had an extra week to prepare for this week's encounter with the host Baylor Bears ? but not even that might cure what ails them. The Mountaineers enter Thursday's matchup with one of the worst rush attacks in the nation, averaging a paltry 2.9 yards per carry on 213 attempts. And they'll get no relief from a Bears defense that has punished opposing backfields, limiting them to just 3.6 yards per attempt so far this season. West Virginia's pass protection will also face a major test from a Baylor defensive unit that leads the Big 12 in sacks with 25 despite having played just seven games.

You could bet on the Mountaineers having figured out its ground game, or you could acknowledge that West Virginia could find itself struggling to score against the Bears in hostile territory. Either way, we like Baylor to cover the spread here.

GO LOW, THEN GO LOWER

What happens when two run-heavy teams with stout ground defenses face off against one another? We'll find out Thursday night as Georgia Southern brings its sixth-ranked rush attack into Appalachian State for a showdown with the Mountaineers. App State ranks 14th in the country in rushing yards per game, setting the stage for what should be a whole lot of handoffs. But both teams have defended the run well this season, with the visiting Eagles having limited opponents to just 133.0 yards per game (3.46 YPC) and Appalachian State having been just as proficient defensively (118.5 YPG, 3.51 YPC in conference play).

Both teams should be able to move the ball, but not nearly as efficiently as they have for the majority of the season. The total for this game is already three points lower than its opener, and that's still not low enough. We favor the under.

TAYLOR A GAMETIME DECISION

The Memphis Tigers might have another stud running back in the fold for this week's pivotal AAC showdown with visiting SMU. Patrick Taylor Jr. suffered a leg injury in the Tigers' season opener against Ole Miss on Aug. 31 and hasn't played since ? but has been practicing in a non-contact jersey this week and is a game-time decision against the Mustangs. His return would give Memphis an incredible 1-2 punch in the backfield; Taylor racked up 128 rushing yards and a score vs. the Rebels, while freshman Kenneth Gainwell has compiled 979 yards and 11 touchdowns in Taylor's absence.

Memphis is already looking at a total in the high-30s for this one, but if Taylor returns, we'll feel a whole lot better about taking the Over. Keep an eye on Taylor's status, and act accordingly.

HAMMERIN' HANK SET TO RETURN

The Boise State Broncos are hoping to have their No. 1 quarterback on the field this weekend against host San Jose State. Hank Bachmeier missed last week's 28-25 loss at BYU ? the Broncos' first defeat of the season ? with a lower-body injury. But the freshman was seen throwing passes to Boise State receivers in practice earlier this week, though the team hasn't updated his status. Bachmeier has been one of the top first-year quarterbacks in the country so far, throwing for more than 1,500 yards with nine touchdowns, three interceptions and a rushing score.

The Broncos' offense looked out-of-sync against the Cougars, especially through the air (185 total yards, 5.8 yards per attempt). Bachmeier's return, coupled with SJSU's dismal run defense, should make Boise State a solid option to go Over its team total.

Cnotes53 · Oct 31, 2019

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 31
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

WVU at BAY 08:00 PM
WVU +18.5
O 57.0 *****

GASO at APP 08:00 PM
APP -14.5 *****
U 42.5 *****

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