Cnotes 2019-2020 College Football Trends-News-Notes-Best Bets & Opinions !

[Cnotes53]

Betting Recap - Week 10
Joe Williams

College Football Week 10 Results

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 38-11
Against the Spread 28-21

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 28-21
Against the Spread 22-27

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 24-23-2

YEAR TO DATE Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 490-124
Against the Spread 315-288-11

YEAR TO DATE Home-Away
Straight Up 409-201
Against the Spread 298-301-11

YEAR TO DATE Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 292-317-11

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Georgia Southern (+14, ML +500) at Appalachian State, 24-21
Oregon State (+5, ML +170) at Arizona, 56-38
Purdue (+4, ML +160) vs. Nebraska, 31-27
Boston College (+3, ML +140) at Syracuse, 58-27
BYU (+3, ML +135) at Utah State, 42-14

The largest favorites to cover
Navy (-26.5) at Connecticut, 56-10
Liberty (-23.5) at Massachusetts, 63-21
Louisiana (-23) vs. Texas State, 31-3
North Texas (-22.5) vs. UTEP, 52-26
Michigan (-21.5) at Maryland, 38-7

AMERICAN ATHLETIC CONFERENCE (AAC)
-- SMU-Memphis was front and center on the nationally-televised stage on ABC, and the combatants did not disappoint. The Tigers outlasted the previously unbeaten Mustangs by a 54-48 count, hanging on for the cover. The 'over' (72) cashed yet again for SMU, going to 8-0-1 in their eight games overall. The Tigers are 5-2 ATS across the past seven, and the 'over' has hit in their past six, too. ... Navy rolled Connecticut by a 56-10 count on Friday night, and they're not 4-1 ATS in the past five, and 6-2 ATS across their eight games overall. The 'over' is also 5-1 in Navy's past six. ... East Carolina gave Cincinnati all they could handle in a 46-43 victory which required a game-winning field goal at the buzzer. The lead went back and forth, and ECU led by 12 at the end of three quarters before Cincinnati woke up. ECU has dropped four in a row to slip to 3-6 SU, but they're 4-1 ATS over the past five and the 'over' is 3-0 to make bettors happy.

ATLANTIC COAST CONFERENCE (ACC)
-- Miami-Florida State used to be the most anticipated game of the season in football, but not it is a bit of an afterthought with both teams having down years. The Hurricanes have won and covered three of the past four, moving within one win of bowl eligibility. They have covered in consecutive games for the first time this season, too. As far as FSU is concerned, they're 4-5 SU and 3-5-1 ATS overall. They're still a friend to bettors, however, as the 'under' has connected in six in a row. ... Virginia Tech gave Notre Dame a tremendous fight in South Bend, coming up just short by a 21-20 score, as the Irish bounced back from their beatdown at the Big House last week. The Hokies entered the game averaging 39.7 PPG, and they're still 3-1 ATS over the past four despite Saturday's loss. ... Pittsburgh won an unimpressive 20-10 defensive battle at Georgia Tech. The Panther attained bowl eligibility, moving to 6-3 SU, and they're 3-1 ATS over the past four while hitting the 'under' in three straight, and seven of the nine games overall. ... Boston College went to the Carrier Dome and hammered Syracuse by a 58-27 count, as the Orange have now dropped four in a row while failing to cover five straight. They're 1-7 ATS over the past eight, too.

BIG TEN
-- Illinois moved to within one win of bowl eligibility, taking care of Rutgers by a 38-10 score. The Illini have won three in a row, and they're 4-0 ATS across the past four while the 'under' is 3-0. Are you believing in the Illini now? They might have another low-scoring battle at Michigan State next week. The Illini are creating plenty of turnovers, and the defense has allowed just 13.0 PPG acros the past three. ... Indiana rolled Northwestern at 'The Rock' by a 34-3 score, as the Hoosiers are quietly 7-2 SU/6-3 ATS, while the Wildcats slipped to 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS. Northwestern has scored just six total points across the past three outings, too. ... Michigan didn't have a hangover after impressive win over the Irish, blasting Maryland by a 38-7 score in College Park. The Wolverines have covered three in a row, and they're 5-1 SU/ATS across the past six. They'll have two weeks to prepare for their rivals from East Lansing.

BIG 12
-- The public was all over Les Miles' Kansas side in their rivalry game against Kansas State. That's never a good side to be on. The Wildcats went to Lawrence and belted the Jayhawks 38-10, carrying over momentum from their win over Oklahoma. Suddenly the Wildcats have won and covered three in a row, and they're 3-0 SU/ATS as a favorite this season. The 'under' is also 4-1 across the past five. ... Baylor limped past West Virginia in a sloppy, low-scoring defensive battle on Thursday night, 17-14. Regardless, the Bears are 8-0 SU, while going 4-4 ATS. ... There were just three games in the Big 12, as Oklahoma State topped TCU, 34-27. The Horned Frogs are 1-3 SU/ATS across the past four outings. The 'over' is 5-1 in the past six for TCU, which makes them a favorite of bettors at the window.

CONFERENCE USA
-- Florida Atlantic won and covered on the road for the second straight weekend, topping Western Kentucky 35-24. The Owls are 4-1 ATS in the past five as a favorite. They have scored 28 or more points in each of the past seven outings. FAU is also 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS in five road games this season while the 'over' is 3-1-1 in those battles. ... Charlotte won at home as underdogs, topping Middle Tennessee by a 34-20 count. The 49ers have won back-to-back games for the first time this season, moving to 4-5 SU/ATS with a winnable road trip to UTEP on the horizon. ... North Texas had one of their most impressive wins of the season, stomping UTEP by a 52-26 count. The cover slapped the brakes on an 0-4 ATS skid. The 'over' has now cashed in five in a row for the Mean Green.

MID-AMERICAN (MAC)
-- Bowling Green welcomed winless Akron and topped the Zips 35-6. Akron was just a four-point underdogs in this one despite the fact they're now 0-9 SU/ATS. In fact, they're the only FBS team yet to cover this season. ... Buffalo went on the road and crushed Eastern Michigan by a 43-14 count. The Bulls inched closer to bowl eligibility at 5-4 SU, winning their third in a row while covering for the fourth straight. They'll travel to Kent State on Nov. 14, as mid-week MAC games behind in the upcoming week. ... Central Michigan punished Northern Illinois 48-10, as the Chippewas fired out to a 21-3 lead after one quarter and never looked back. The total in this game was 49, and there were 48 points on the board at halftime. A scoreless third quarter scared over bettors, but eventually it came through in the fourth. The Chips are now 4-1 SU/ATS in the past five outings, and they're 2-0/ATS as a home underdog this season.

MOUNTAIN WEST
-- San Jose State put a scare into Boise State, leading for a good chunk of the game. However, the Broncos outscored the Spartans 21-8 in the fourth quarter to narrowly escape with a 52-42 victory. The Spartans covered the 16.5-point spread, and they're now 4-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog this season, including two straight-up victories. ... Fresno State headed for the islands and topped Hawaii, 41-38. The Warriors missed a chance to attain bowl eligibility, although they still have three more chances to secure that sixth win. The 'over' is 4-0 in the past four for Hawaii. ... It wasn't pretty, but Nevada posted a 21-10 victory over New Mexico as the 'under' (57) easily cashed. The Wolf Pack have had their issues at times, especially defensively, but they're within one win of bowl eligibility. Overall they're 2-5-1 ATS across the past eight, with the 'under' 3-0 in the past three. ... BYU headed up to Logan and blasted Utah State, 42-14. The Aggies are leaking oil after a 3-1 SU/ATS start, going just 1-3 SU across the past four, and 1-4 ATS over the past five.

PAC-12
-- Some folks saw the Oregon State-Arizona game as a trap for the Wildcats, and they were right. The high-octane Beavers piled up 28 points in the second quarter and never looked back, winning 56-38. The Beavers are now 4-4 SU overall, and 6-1 ATS across the past seven outings. ... Oregon went down to the Coliseum and smashed USC, 56-24. The Ducks have won eight in a row, while hitting the 'over' in three in a row and covering three of the past four. More importantly, the Pac-12's playoff hopes are alive and well. ... UCLA posted a 31-14 victory over Colorado, winning and covering for the third straight outing. They're 4-5 SU, but have a chance at a bowl still, and an outside chance at the Pac-12 Championship game if they can win out. ... Utah went to Washington and won 33-28, keeping their slim playoff hopes alive. The Utes are the team nobody seems to be talking about, but they're a sleeper. They have won and covered five in a row since a seven-point loss at USC on Sept. 20.

SOUTHEASTERN (SEC)
-- Georgia topped Florida by a 24-17 count in the World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party in Jacksonville. The 'under' cashed in the top-10 battle, which is now 6-3 in nine games overall for the Gators. The under has cashed in three straight for the Bulldogs, too, and five of the past six overall. ... Auburn won an uninspiring 20-14 game against Mississippi, as the Tigers failed to cover for just the second time in nine tries this season. The 'under' is 3-1 over the past four, as the offense has scored 20 or less in each of those under games. ... South Carolina topped Vanderbilt in a low-scoring 24-7 score, as the Gamecocks suffered several injuries. They still covered, going 2-0 SU/ATS in the past two at home as a double-digit favorite.

SUN BELT
-- Georgia Southern stunned Appalachian State 24-21, more than likely ending their chances at a New Year's Day bowl game unless they can rebound and pick up a win at South Carolina next week. Even then, it might be an uphill climb. After going 5-1 ATS in the first six outings they are 0-2 ATS in the past two. ... Coastal Carolina edged Troy 36-35 as the Chanticleers moved to 4-4 SU/5-3 ATS, needing two games for bowl eligibility.

Bad Beats

-- If you were holding a total ticket in the Illinois-Rutgers game, it was a bummer for those with a total of 48. At 14:09 of the fourth quarter, the Illini went up 38-10. There were no more points the rest of the way, as most tickets ended in an unfulfilling push. Technically, it was a 'good' beat for those who bet the under.

-- With a total of 57, under bettors were looking good in Nebraska-Purdue with just 30 points on the board heading into the fourth quarter. With 6:50 remaining in regulation, the Boilermakers took a 24-20 lead, still looking pretty good. Nebraska scored with 4:21 to go, re-taking the lead, and Purdue went back ahead 31-27 with 1:08 left to deal under bettors a sour taste.

-- With a total of 55 and a line of 37.5, Texas A&M led 45-7 with under five to go. The Aggies were inexplicably passing, and Texas-San Antonio had the 58-yard pick six to cut the lead to 45-14, pushing the game over while gaining the backdoor cover for the Roadrunners.

-- Over bettors (78.5) in UTEP-North Texas were saying bad words. With 3:16 to go, UTEP scored to pull within 52-26. They elected to go for two, failing on the pass attempt. An extra point would have pushed the total over. Ugh.

 

[Cnotes53]

4th Quarter Covers - Week 10
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won?t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the 10th weekend of the college football season to start November. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Coastal Carolina (+2) 36, Troy 35: It was clear early on that this Sun Belt game would be a high-scoring back-and-forth affair with five touchdowns combined in the first quarter. Coastal Carolina scored 11 points out the break to lead by seven, but Troy answered to tie the game heading into the final frame on a spread that was near-even most of the week with the Trojans closing as a slight favorite. Troy got the ball back in the fourth and connected for a touchdown to go up by seven with just over eight minutes remaining. The Chanticleers couldn?t answer, but pinned Troy deep and got the ball back with over two minutes remaining though having already used up all three timeouts. Bryce Carpenter and Coastal Carolina faced only one third down in an 11-play drive resulting in a touchdown and playing to win Coastal Carolina went for two. Pass interference was called on the initial failed conversion, but inched closer on the retry CJ Marable raced in to take the lead and secure the clear cover for Coastal Carolina.

Pittsburgh (-9?) 20, Georgia Tech 10: Pittsburgh had a nearly 2-to-1 yardage edge while holding Georgia Tech below 200 yards for the game, but the Yellow Jackets got a third quarter field goal following a blocked punt to trail by only seven. The Yellow Jackets were poised to tie the game reaching 1st-and-goal from the 6-yard-line, but fumbled on 3rd down with a 79-yard return setting up a Pittsburgh field goal on the first play of the fourth quarter to put the Panthers back up by 10, past a spread that jumped from -7? to -9?. Pittsburgh couldn?t put the game away missing a 44-yard field goal later in the fourth but Georgia Tech?s next play was an interception. The Yellow Jackets would punt deep in their own territory with more than six minutes remaining and never held the ball again as Pittsburgh escaped with the win and narrow cover.

Purdue (+4) 31, Nebraska 27: Adrian Martinez returned for Nebraska and fueled a 10-0 first quarter for the Cornhuskers. By halftime, Purdue led 14-10 however, scoring with 14 seconds before the break on 3rd down to complete a 96-yard drive. Nebraska took a 3-point lead early in the fourth quarter and still led by three with about four minutes remaining after an exchange of touchdowns with a road favorite spread that was commonly at -3 upon release before sliding upward to -4 by kickoff. Purdue went 82 yards for the go-ahead touchdown with just over a minute remaining relying on Aidan O?Connell at quarterback after Jack Plummer was injured again earlier in the fourth quarter.

North Texas (-22) 52, UTEP 26: North Texas pulled away late in the second quarter and led by 18 through three quarters. A touchdown with about nine minutes remaining put the Mean Green in front by 25 and past the heavy favorite spread. UTEP would put together an 11-play touchdown drive ending with just over three minutes to go to sit behind by only 18. That margin would hold after North Texas took a knee at the UTEP 11-yard-line without adding points.

Arkansas State (-1) 48, UL-Monroe 41: The Warhawks led 21-3 early in this game before four touchdowns from Arkansas State in the span of just over 12 minutes in the second quarter. UL-Monroe would rally to tie the game by the end of the third quarter, but the Red Wolves would strike first in the fourth and would add a second touchdown in the middle of the fourth to pull away. The Warhawks got back within seven and crossed midfield on its final drive before running out of time.

Tulane (-10) 38, Tulsa 26: Tulsa led 13-10 in the second quarter, but would be down 31-16 by the end of the third quarter with a defensive score for Tulane part of the turnaround. The Golden Hurricane would climb within five with 10 minutes to go but on 4th-and-goal with fewer than five minutes to go Tulane was able to cross the goal line and slip past the favorite spread with a 12-point final margin as a torturous run of late-game stumbles continued for Tulsa.

Utah (-3) 33, Washington 28: Washington led 21-13 late in the third quarter before a pick-6 put Utah right back in the game. The Utes missed on the two-point conversion, but added a pair of fourth quarter touchdowns to suddenly lead by 12. Washington would score a late touchdown, but it wasn?t enough as the Utes avenged the Pac-12 championship loss from last season while stealing the cover as well in a game that Washington didn?t trail in until the fourth quarter.

South Carolina (-14?) 24, Vanderbilt 7: The Gamecocks led 14-7 through three quarters despite dominating the production in the game. A fourth quarter field goal after an interception calmed the upset risk and after forcing a punt the Gamecocks put the game away with a 76-yard touchdown drive completed with about six minutes remaining. Vanderbilt had another interception on its next possession as South Carolina escaped with the win and the narrow favorite cover.

Memphis (-5?) 54, SMU 48: The showcase game in the AAC Saturday night lived up to its billing much of the way before Memphis pulled away late in the third quarter. Down 16 entering the fourth quarter, SMU was able to get eight to cut the margin in half, but about a minute later, the Tigers were back in the end zone. Memphis would go up 54-32 with about nine minutes remaining but SMU delivered a long run to stay in the game. Down 14 with just over two minutes to go, SMU found the end zone and again went for two, converting a third straight two-pointer with this late conversion having a big impact on plenty of folks with late week numbers of -6 or -6? on the Tigers.

Nevada (-4) 21, New Mexico 10: The Wolf Pack scored a pair of touchdowns in the span of three minutes in the second quarter to lead by seven at the break. New Mexico managed a field goal in the third to trail by four, even with the closing spread though lines as high as -6? and as low as -3 were possible at various times. Early in the fourth quarter, New Mexico reached the Nevada 11-yard-line but failed going for it on 4th-and-1. A series of punts followed before a solid return sparked a short-field Nevada touchdown drive to go up by 11 with just over five minutes remaining. New Mexico?s final drive reached Nevada territory before four straight incomplete passes for a Lobos team not used to throwing.

Fresno State (+2) 41, Hawai?i 38: The Warriors led by 10 at halftime, getting 48-yard touchdown 23 seconds before the break. In the third quarter, Fresno State took over, outscoring Hawai?i 17-0 to take a 31-24 lead into the fourth and a few minutes into the final frame the Bulldogs went up by 14 after an interception. Hawai?i turned in a long drive to answer but came up empty despite reaching 1st-and-goal from the 4. Getting the ball back with fewer than four minutes remaining Hawai?i got back within seven and then saw Fresno State fumble on the kickoff. Five plays later, the game was tied with just over a minute remaining with a roughing the passer call aiding the drive led by Chevan Cordeiro, who took over for Cole McDonald earlier in the fourth quarter. The Bulldogs were left with enough time and with limited resistance. Fresno State reached long field goal range. On 3rd-and-10, Fresno State picked up 13 yards to make it a more manageable kick and Cesar Silva was good from 37 yards to seal the minor upset as time expired.

 

[Cnotes53]

101KENT ST -102 TOLEDO
KENT ST is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games vs. bad defenses (>425 TYG) in the last 3 seasons.

103BALL ST -104 W MICHIGAN
BALL ST is 21-5 ATS (15.5 Units) as a road dog of <=7 since 1992.

105MIAMI OHIO -106 OHIO U
MIAMI OHIO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 2 conference games over the last 2 seasons.

111TEMPLE -112 S FLORIDA
TEMPLE is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.

113UCF -114 TULSA
TULSA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

115WASHINGTON -116 OREGON ST
OREGON ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

117CLEMSON -118 NC STATE
NC STATE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) versus excellent offensive teams - averaging >=450 yards/game over the last 2 seasons.

119FLORIDA ST -120 BOSTON COLLEGE
FLORIDA ST is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

123TEXAS TECH -124 W VIRGINIA
W VIRGINIA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after allowing 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.

125LOUISVILLE -126 MIAMI
MIAMI is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) after 2 straight unders since 1992.

127NOTRE DAME -128 DUKE
NOTRE DAME is 9-26 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games after having won 4 out of their last 5 games since 1992.

129MARYLAND -130 OHIO ST
OHIO ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after a win by 21 or more points in the current season.

131MASSACHUSETTS -132 ARMY
ARMY is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing 8.5 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

133CONNECTICUT -134 CINCINNATI
CONNECTICUT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after going over the total in the last 3 seasons.

135ILLINOIS -136 MICHIGAN ST
MICHIGAN ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) as a home fav. of 10.5-14 since 1992.

137WAKE FOREST -138 VIRGINIA TECH
VIRGINIA TECH is 19-5 ATS (13.5 Units) after gaining 3.75 or less yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

139APPALACHIAN ST -140 S CAROLINA
APPALACHIAN ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after going over the total over the last 2 seasons.

141PENN ST -142 MINNESOTA
PENN ST is 9-28 ATS (-21.8 Units) in road games vs. good defenses (<310 TYG) since 1992.

145PURDUE -146 NORTHWESTERN
NORTHWESTERN is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games after 2 straight unders since 1992.

147AIR FORCE -148 NEW MEXICO
NEW MEXICO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 4 or more consecutive straight up losses in the last 3 seasons.

149STANFORD -150 COLORADO
COLORADO is 0-12 ATS (-13.2 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

151UTSA -152 OLD DOMINION
UTSA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after playing their last game on the road in the last 3 seasons.

153USC -154 ARIZONA ST
ARIZONA ST is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in home games with 2 weeks+ rest since 1992.

155WYOMING -156 BOISE ST
BOISE ST is 26-10 ATS (15 Units) after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

157LIBERTY -158 BYU
BYU is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. since 1992.

159CHARLOTTE -160 UTEP
UTEP is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games in the last 3 seasons.

161BAYLOR -162 TCU
BAYLOR is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after an ATS loss over the last 2 seasons.

163E CAROLINA -164 SMU
E CAROLINA is 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game since 1992.

165S ALABAMA -166 TEXAS ST
S ALABAMA is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

167LSU -168 ALABAMA
LSU is 38-21 ATS (14.9 Units) in road games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

169NEW MEXICO ST -170 OLE MISS
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

171W KENTUCKY -172 ARKANSAS
ARKANSAS are 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after allowing 575 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.

173IOWA ST -174 OKLAHOMA
OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in home games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better in the last 3 seasons.

175UAB -176 SOUTHERN MISS
UAB is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after going under the total over the last 2 seasons.

177GA SOUTHERN -178 TROY
TROY is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) in home games after a playing a game where 70 total points or more were scored since 1992.

179TENNESSEE -180 KENTUCKY
KENTUCKY is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) off a home win over the last 2 seasons.

181MISSOURI -182 GEORGIA
MISSOURI is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) in road games after a blowout loss (>17 pts) since 1992.

183KANSAS ST -184 TEXAS
KANSAS ST is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

185NORTH TEXAS -186 LOUISIANA TECH
NORTH TEXAS are 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 58% or worse over the last 2 seasons.

187GEORGIA ST -188 LA MONROE
GEORGIA ST is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game since 1992.

189FLA INTERNATIONAL -190 FLA ATLANTIC
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games as an favorite of 3.5-10 since 1992.

191UTAH ST -192 FRESNO ST
UTAH ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

193IOWA -194 WISCONSIN
WISCONSIN is 13-0 ATS (13 Units) in home games after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game since 1992.

195WASHINGTON ST -196 CALIFORNIA
WASHINGTON ST is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games versus poor rushing teams - averaging <=3.25 rushing yards/carry since 1992.

197NEVADA -198 SAN DIEGO ST
SAN DIEGO ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

199SAN JOSE ST -200 HAWAII
HAWAII is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after an ATS loss in the last 3 seasons.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENT ST (3 - 5) at TOLEDO (5 - 3) - 11/5/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 90-64 ATS (+19.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
TOLEDO is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
TOLEDO is 65-42 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALL ST (4 - 4) at W MICHIGAN (5 - 4) - 11/5/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wednesday, November 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI OHIO (4 - 4) at OHIO U (4 - 4) - 11/6/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, November 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAFAYETTE (6 - 2) at COASTAL CAROLINA (4 - 4) - 11/7/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
LA LAFAYETTE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
COASTAL CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (5 - 3) at S FLORIDA (4 - 4) - 11/7/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 108-80 ATS (+20.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, November 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCF (7 - 2) at TULSA (2 - 7) - 11/8/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (5 - 4) at OREGON ST (4 - 4) - 11/8/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
OREGON ST is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, November 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEMSON (9 - 0) at NC STATE (4 - 4) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMSON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA ST (4 - 5) at BOSTON COLLEGE (5 - 4) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA TECH (2 - 6) at VIRGINIA (6 - 3) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS TECH (3 - 5) at W VIRGINIA (3 - 5) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 130-94 ATS (+26.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (5 - 3) at MIAMI (5 - 4) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NOTRE DAME (6 - 2) at DUKE (4 - 4) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (3 - 6) at OHIO ST (8 - 0) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
OHIO ST is 129-96 ATS (+23.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 178-133 ATS (+31.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MASSACHUSETTS (1 - 8) at ARMY (3 - 6) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
MASSACHUSETTS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
ARMY is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (2 - 7) at CINCINNATI (7 - 1) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS (5 - 4) at MICHIGAN ST (4 - 4) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 138-176 ATS (-55.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 138-176 ATS (-55.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 36-62 ATS (-32.2 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WAKE FOREST (7 - 1) at VIRGINIA TECH (5 - 3) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

APPALACHIAN ST (7 - 1) at S CAROLINA (4 - 5) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENN ST (8 - 0) at MINNESOTA (8 - 0) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANDERBILT (2 - 6) at FLORIDA (7 - 2) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
VANDERBILT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
VANDERBILT is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PURDUE (3 - 6) at NORTHWESTERN (1 - 7) - 11/9/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (7 - 2) at NEW MEXICO (2 - 7) - 11/9/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STANFORD (4 - 4) at COLORADO (3 - 6) - 11/9/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
STANFORD is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
STANFORD is 29-13 ATS (+14.7 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
COLORADO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTSA (3 - 5) at OLD DOMINION (1 - 8) - 11/9/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTSA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OLD DOMINION is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (5 - 4) at ARIZONA ST (5 - 3) - 11/9/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA ST is 87-51 ATS (+30.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 1-1 straight up against USC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYOMING (6 - 2) at BOISE ST (7 - 1) - 11/9/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 151-110 ATS (+30.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 151-110 ATS (+30.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 94-64 ATS (+23.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 85-53 ATS (+26.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LIBERTY (6 - 3) at BYU (4 - 4) - 11/9/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
BYU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (4 - 5) at UTEP (1 - 7) - 11/9/2019, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
UTEP is 41-66 ATS (-31.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (8 - 0) at TCU (4 - 4) - 11/9/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E CAROLINA (3 - 6) at SMU (8 - 1) - 11/9/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
E CAROLINA is 41-66 ATS (-31.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
SMU is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SMU is 102-133 ATS (-44.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
SMU is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S ALABAMA (1 - 7) at TEXAS ST (2 - 6) - 11/9/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 5-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS ST is 0-0 against the spread versus S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
S ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LSU (8 - 0) at ALABAMA (8 - 0) - 11/9/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (0 - 8) at OLE MISS (3 - 6) - 11/9/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 25-48 ATS (-27.8 Units) in November games since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 22-46 ATS (-28.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
OLE MISS is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (5 - 4) at ARKANSAS (2 - 7) - 11/9/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA ST (5 - 3) at OKLAHOMA (7 - 1) - 11/9/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
IOWA ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UAB (6 - 2) at SOUTHERN MISS (5 - 3) - 11/9/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UAB is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 2-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GA SOUTHERN (5 - 3) at TROY (3 - 5) - 11/9/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 1-1 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (4 - 5) at KENTUCKY (4 - 4) - 11/9/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSOURI (5 - 3) at GEORGIA (7 - 1) - 11/9/2019, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS ST (6 - 2) at TEXAS (5 - 3) - 11/9/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 73-49 ATS (+19.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 130-94 ATS (+26.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 163-123 ATS (+27.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 134-100 ATS (+24.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 128-91 ATS (+27.9 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTH TEXAS (4 - 5) at LOUISIANA TECH (7 - 1) - 11/9/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTH TEXAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NORTH TEXAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA ST (6 - 2) at LA MONROE (3 - 5) - 11/9/2019, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
LA MONROE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
LA MONROE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LA MONROE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
LA MONROE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 2-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA INTERNATIONAL (5 - 4) at FLA ATLANTIC (6 - 3) - 11/9/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 29-49 ATS (-24.9 Units) in home games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 29-49 ATS (-24.9 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (4 - 4) at FRESNO ST (4 - 4) - 11/9/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA (6 - 2) at WISCONSIN (6 - 2) - 11/9/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (4 - 4) at CALIFORNIA (4 - 4) - 11/9/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEVADA (5 - 4) at SAN DIEGO ST (7 - 1) - 11/9/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 straight up against NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN JOSE ST (4 - 5) at HAWAII (5 - 4) - 11/9/2019, 11:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
HAWAII is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 2-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF

Week 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tuesday, November 5

Kent State @ Toledo
Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kent State's last 9 games
Kent State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toledo
Toledo
Toledo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Toledo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Ball State @ Western Michigan
Ball State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games when playing Western Michigan
Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 5 games at home


Wednesday, November 6

Miami-OH @ Ohio
Miami-OH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-OH's last 5 games when playing Ohio
Miami-OH is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games
Ohio
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami-OH
Ohio is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home


Thursday, November 7

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Coastal Carolina
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Coastal Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Coastal Carolina's last 6 games
Coastal Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Temple @ South Florida
Temple
Temple is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Temple's last 6 games
South Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Florida's last 6 games
South Florida is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games


Friday, November 8

Central Florida @ Tulsa
Central Florida
Central Florida is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Florida's last 7 games
Tulsa
Tulsa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Central Florida
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulsa's last 5 games

Washington @ Oregon State
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oregon State
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oregon State
Oregon State
Oregon State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oregon State's last 10 games when playing Washington


Saturday, November 9

Western Kentucky @ Arkansas
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Western Kentucky is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Arkansas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arkansas's last 10 games
Arkansas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

Vanderbilt @ Florida
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Vanderbilt's last 14 games when playing Florida
Florida
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vanderbilt
Florida is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

Baylor @ Texas Christian
Baylor
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baylor's last 8 games when playing Texas Christian
Texas Christian
Texas Christian is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baylor
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Christian's last 6 games

Florida State @ Boston College
Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games
Florida State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston College
Boston College
Boston College is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games

Massachusetts @ Army
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Massachusetts's last 7 games
Massachusetts is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Army
Army is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Army's last 9 games

Texas Tech @ West Virginia
Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games
Texas Tech is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games
West Virginia
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 4 of West Virginia's last 6 games

Maryland @ Ohio State
Maryland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Maryland's last 5 games when playing Ohio State
Maryland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Penn State @ Minnesota
Penn State
Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Penn State's last 6 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Purdue @ Northwestern
Purdue
Purdue is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Purdue's last 12 games when playing Northwestern
Northwestern
Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Purdue
Northwestern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Purdue

East Carolina @ Southern Methodist
East Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 6 games when playing Southern Methodist
East Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Southern Methodist's last 9 games

Georgia Tech @ Virginia
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Virginia
Georgia Tech is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Virginia
Virginia
Virginia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Virginia is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Air Force @ New Mexico
Air Force
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing New Mexico
Air Force is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 5 games when playing Air Force
New Mexico is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Air Force

Texas-San Antonio @ Old Dominion
Texas-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games
Texas-San Antonio is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
Old Dominion
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Old Dominion's last 10 games
Old Dominion is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Stanford @ Colorado
Stanford
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Stanford's last 7 games
Stanford is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Colorado
Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

Charlotte @ Texas El Paso
Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 9 games
Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas El Paso
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas El Paso's last 12 games
Texas El Paso is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games

South Alabama @ Texas State
South Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Alabama's last 5 games
South Alabama is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Texas State's last 11 games
Texas State is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games

Louisiana State @ Alabama
Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Louisiana State's last 5 games when playing Alabama
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana State
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Southern California @ Arizona State
Southern California
Southern California is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern California's last 6 games when playing Arizona State
Arizona State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona State's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 6 games when playing Southern California

Louisville @ Miami-FL
Louisville
Louisville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Louisville is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
Miami-FL
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami-FL's last 16 games
Miami-FL is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 6 games
Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wake Forest

Kansas State @ Texas
Kansas State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas State's last 6 games when playing Texas
Kansas State is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Texas
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing Kansas State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 8 games

Illinois @ Michigan State
Illinois
Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games
Michigan State
Michigan State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Illinois
Michigan State is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Illinois

Alabama-Birmingham @ Southern Miss
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Southern Miss
Alabama-Birmingham is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Southern Miss
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 7 games when playing Alabama-Birmingham
Southern Miss is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

Connecticut @ Cincinnati
Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Georgia Southern @ Troy
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Troy
Georgia Southern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Troy
Troy is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Troy's last 9 games

New Mexico State @ Mississippi
New Mexico State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Mexico State's last 10 games
New Mexico State is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games
Mississippi
Mississippi is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Mississippi's last 12 games

Iowa @ Wisconsin
Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa's last 7 games
Iowa is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 5 games
Wisconsin is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Iowa

North Texas @ Louisiana Tech
North Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Texas's last 5 games
North Texas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana Tech is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Georgia State @ Louisiana-Monroe
Georgia State
Georgia State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Georgia State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana-Monroe
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

Florida International @ Florida Atlantic
Florida International
Florida International is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida International's last 5 games when playing Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic
Florida Atlantic is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Florida Atlantic is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Missouri @ Georgia
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Missouri's last 7 games
Missouri is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Georgia
Georgia
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Missouri
Georgia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Appalachian State @ South Carolina
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
Appalachian State is 17-6-2 ATS in its last 25 games
South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Carolina's last 6 games

Washington State @ California
Washington State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington State's last 5 games when playing California
Washington State is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
California
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of California's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California's last 5 games when playing Washington State

Utah State @ Fresno State
Utah State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah State's last 6 games
Utah State is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
Fresno State
Fresno State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah State
Fresno State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Utah State

Tennessee @ Kentucky
Tennessee
Tennessee is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games when playing Kentucky
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kentucky
Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games when playing Tennessee

Clemson @ North Carolina State
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina State
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
North Carolina State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina State's last 5 games
North Carolina State is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Clemson

Notre Dame @ Duke
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Notre Dame's last 11 games
Duke
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Duke's last 7 games
Duke is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games

Liberty @ Brigham Young
Liberty
Liberty is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Liberty's last 6 games
Brigham Young
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brigham Young's last 5 games
Brigham Young is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games

Iowa State @ Oklahoma
Iowa State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Iowa State's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma
Iowa State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Iowa State
Oklahoma is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Wyoming @ Boise State
Wyoming
Wyoming is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wyoming's last 7 games
Boise State
Boise State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Wyoming
Boise State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Nevada @ San Diego State
Nevada
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nevada's last 7 games when playing San Diego State
San Diego State
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego State's last 9 games
San Diego State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

San Jose State @ Hawaii
San Jose State
San Jose State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Hawaii
San Jose State is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Hawaii
Hawaii is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hawaii's last 6 games when playing San Jose State

 

[Cnotes53]

LSU coach Orgeron: Linebacker Divinity has left the team
November 4, 2019
By The Associated Press

BATON ROUGE, La. (AP) LSU coach Ed Orgeron says pass-rushing outside linebacker Michael Divinity has left the team for personal reasons.

The announcement on Monday of Divinity's departure comes just six days before the No. 1 Tigers travel to second-ranked Alabama on Saturday in a clash of unbeaten teams with College Football Playoff implications.

While Divinity tied for the team lead in sacks in 2018, he has played a reduced role this season because of the return of top edge pass rusher K'Lavon Chaisson and the emergence of Jacob Phillips and Patrick Queen at inside linebacker spots. Divinity also has missed three games.

Divinity had three sacks and a forced fumble in the five games he has played this season.

Orgeron says LSU ''should be fine'' because Chaisson takes the majority of snaps at the position Divinity also plays, and the coach expressed confidence in backups Andre Anthony and Ray Thornton.

Orgeron also says he won't ''close the door'' on the possibility of Divinity returning this season.

 

[Cnotes53]

Florida State fires coach Willie Taggart after 21 games
November 3, 2019
By The Associated Press

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (AP) Florida State fired second-year football coach Willie Taggart on Sunday, less than 24 hours after the Seminoles lost to rival Miami and with the team in danger of missing a bowl game for the second consecutive season.

Taggart was 9-12 at Florida State, which won the national title in 2013 and has been in a freefall for the last three seasons. The Seminoles have not been ranked this season, are 0-5 against rivals Miami, Florida and Clemson under Taggart and attendance for games at Doak Campbell Stadium has plummeted.

''We had no choice but to make a change,'' Florida State President John Thrasher said.

The school said longtime Florida State assistant Odell Haggins has been asked to take over as interim coach for the remainder of the season. Haggins was 2-0 as the interim in 2017, after Jimbo Fisher left Florida State for Texas A&M in December.

''We still have a lot of faith,'' Florida State linebacker Emmett Rice said Saturday. ''We have a lot to play for. It's not over just because we lost to Miami.''

For Taggart, it is over. He will receive a large payday as Florida State owes him a $17 million buyout as part of the letter of agreement he signed in Dec. 2017.

''Obviously, I am disappointed in the decision today as I believe our future is bright and Florida State,'' Taggart said in a statement posted on Twitter. ''Building a program and a culture takes time and I regret that we will not have the opportunity to continue to coach these incredible young men.''

Florida State (4-5) plays at Boston College (5-4) on Saturday, and needs to win two of its final three to become bowl eligible. The Seminoles finish the regular season against FCS foe Alabama State and then play at No. 10 Florida.

Florida State's 5-7 record last season was the program's first losing campaign since 1976 and it snapped a streak of 36 consecutive seasons in which the Seminoles played in a bowl game.

''I spoke to Coach Taggart this afternoon to let him know of our decision,'' Florida State athletic director David Coburn said Sunday. ''I met with the team and coaches immediately after that conversation to let them know of the change. It was very important to us that the student-athletes know right away.''

Only 63,995 fans were at Doak Campbell Stadium on Saturday for the Miami-Florida State game, the smallest attendance for any Hurricanes-Seminoles matchup in Tallahassee since 1991. That was the largest crowd to attend a Florida State game this season, with fans clearly showing their unhappiness with the on-field product.

''I think very highly of Coach Taggart and wish him well,'' Thrasher said.

Taggart's future has been the subject of speculation for weeks as the team was unable to sustain success. The `Noles followed a two-game winning streak in late September with consecutive losses to Clemson and Wake Forest. A victory against Syracuse provided some hope but then Florida State was routed 27-10 by a Miami team that has had its own struggles.

Taggart, a 43-year-old Florida native who grew up rooting for the Seminoles, thanked the players, coaches and staff and Florida State in his tweet.

''On behalf of my family and I, we wish Florida State nothing but the best and will be cheering on the Seminoles the rest of the way,'' he wrote.

Taggart is 56-62 as a head coach. He went 16-20 at Western Kentucky, 24-25 at South Florida and 7-5 in his lone season at Oregon.

The team Taggart inherited from Fisher had talent deficiencies, especially along the offensive line, and academic issues, but it also showed little improvement on the field over the course of 21 games. Florida State ranks 126th in the nation in penalties per game at 8.9 and has played sloppily and undisciplined throughout Taggart's tenure.

''We will support our student-athletes in every way and do all we can to return to the winning tradition that is Seminole football,'' Thrasher said.

Haggins has been a Florida State assistant coach since 1994, coaching alongside Bobby Bowden, Fisher and Taggart. The 52-year-old Haggins spoke in August of ''the standard at Florida State, it's the standard. There's one way to do it. Do it the right way, do it full speed and be dominant.''


********************************


Syracuse fires defensive coordinator Ward
November 3, 2019
By The Associated Press

SYRACUSE, N.Y. (AP) Syracuse coach Dino Babers has fired defensive coordinator and linebackers coach Brian Ward, effective immediately.

Babers says in a release Sunday from the university that he felt ''a change needed to be made at this time.'' Defensive ends coach Steve Stanard has been promoted to defensive coordinator on an interim basis.

The move came a day after the Syracuse defense allowed a school-record 496 yards rushing in a humiliating 58-27 home loss to Boston College, which set a school record of its own with 691 yards offensively. BC tailbacks AJ Dillon and David Bailey combined to rush for 414 yards and five touchdowns and quarterback Dennis Grosel had three scoring passes in only 10 throws.

Stanard, who joined the Syracuse staff in 2017, has spent 20 seasons as a defensive coordinator, most recently at Wyoming where he served as the Cowboys' defensive coordinator and linebackers coach from 2014-16. He's also worked as the defensive coordinator at five other schools.

The Orange (3-6, 0-5 Atlantic Coast Conference), who are in a bye week, are the only team in the conference without a league win.

 

[Cnotes53]

STAT WATCH: Hubbard on pace for top rushing total since 2014
November 4, 2019
By The Associated Press

Oklahoma State's Chuba Hubbard turned in his fourth 200-yard rushing performance of the season, and it came against an unlikely opponent.

Hubbard carried 20 times for 223 yards against TCU and became the first player to go for 200 against the Horned Frogs since Gary Patterson took over as head coach in 2000. TCU went into the game 15th against the run (103.7 ypg) and had allowed just six rushes of 20-plus yards. Hubbard broke runs of 92 and 62 yards while piling up 192 in the second half in the Cowboys' 34-27 win.

Hubbard has rushed for at least 100 yards in seven straight games, the longest active streak in the Football Bowl Subdivision.

His nation-leading 178.2 yards per game put him on pace for 2,317 in 13 games, assuming the Cowboys don't play in the Big 12 championship game. That would be the highest total since 2014, when Melvin Gordon ran for 2,587 yards in 14 games for Wisconsin.

Joining Hubbard as 200-yard rushers Saturday were Boston College's AJ Dillon, Mississippi State's Kylin Hill, Texas A&M's Isaiah Spiller and Clemson's Travis Etienne.

Dillon carried 35 times for 242 yards for his second 200-yard game of the year. Hill ran 21 times for 234 against Arkansas, Spiller carried 20 times for 217 yards against UTSA and Etienne amassed 212 yards on just nine carries against Wofford in his second 200-yard game of the season.

CAN'T BUY A TD

Winless Akron has gone 16 quarters without scoring a touchdown, the longest drought since UConn went 16 quarters in 2016, according to Sportsradar. The Zips' most recent touchdown was in the fourth quarter against UMass on Sept. 28. They've been outscored 131-9 in their last four games.

Northwestern has gone 13 quarters without a touchdown. The Wildcats' last TD was in the third quarter against Nebraska on Oct. 5.

PASSING PIRATES

East Carolina's Holton Ahlers became the fifth quarterback this season to pass for more than 500 yards, setting a school record with 535 in a loss to Cincinnati. Ahlers threw for 316 yards in the first half and finished with four touchdown passes. He also ran for a TD.

C.J. Johnson set AAC and school records with 283 yards receiving, the most in the FBS this season. Each of his 12 receptions went for at least 10 yards.

HE'S A TIGER

Memphis' Antonio Gibson sets the American Athletic Conference record with 386 all-purpose yards against SMU. It was the highest total since Deon Jackson of Duke went for 403 against Pittsburgh in October 2018. Gibson is the first player in the FBS this season to score rushing, receiving and kick return touchdowns in the same game.

VOL GETS THE BALL

Bryce Thompson became the first Tennessee player since 1999 to intercept three passes in a game. Thompson, who entered the game against UAB with no interceptions this season, made his first pick on the first play from scrimmage. He intercepted UAB's Tyler Johnston III two more times in the second quarter. Thompson is the fourth player in the FBS with three interceptions in a game this season.

ALL THE WAY

UTEP's Duron Lowe and Oregon's Mykael Wright are the 12th and 13th players to run back a kick 100 yards. Lowe went the distance against North Texas, and Wright did it against Southern California.

NATIONAL LEADERS

Hubbard's average of 178.2 yards per game is well ahead of Boston College's Dillon (142.9 ypg). Other leaders are Washington State's Anthony Gordon in passing yards (423.4 ypg) and Arkansas State's Omar Bayless in receiving yards (129.8 ypg).

Team leaders are Oklahoma in scoring (49.3 ppg) and total offense (598.4 ypg), Ohio State in scoring defense (7.9 ppg) and Wisconsin in total defense (223.5 ypg).

 

[Cnotes53]

CMU now bowl eligible after going 1-11
November 3, 2019
By The Associated Press

Central Michigan's quick turnaround reached another milepost: The Chippewas are bowl eligible.

CMU beat Northern Illinois 48-10 on Saturday to improve to 6-4 this season under new coach Jim McElwain. The Chippewas went 1-11 last season.

Elsewhere, Virginia Tech (5-3) still has work to do if the Hokies are going to extend their 26-year bowl streak. Six wins is not enough for Virginia Tech to be sure of bowl eligibility, since the Hokies have two victories over FCS teams. After losing to Notre Dame on Saturday, Virginia Tech has games remaining against Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, Pittsburgh and Virginia.

There are 42 teams that are already bowl eligible:

Air Force

Alabama

Appalachian State

Auburn

Baylor

Boise State

Central Florida

Central Michigan

Cincinnati

Clemson

Florida

Florida Atlantic

Georgia

Georgia State

Indiana

Iowa

Kansas State

Louisiana-Lafayette

Louisiana Tech

LSU

Marshall

Memphis

Michigan

Minnesota

Navy

Notre Dame

Ohio State

Oklahoma

Oklahoma State

Oregon

Penn State

Pittsburgh

San Diego State

SMU

Texas A&M

Tulane

UAB

Utah

Virginia

Wake Forest

Wisconsin

Wyoming

 

[Cnotes53]

Kansas State sends notice to Big 12
November 3, 2019
By The Associated Press

MANHATTAN, Kan. (AP) There is a documentary series called ''Miles to Go'' chronicling Les Miles' first season at Kansas, and during an episode following the Jayhawks' last-second win over Texas Tech, he brazenly walked into the locker room and asked his team, ''Who is K-State?''

Miles knew the annual Sunflower Showdown was on deck the next weekend.

Well, the former Oklahoma State coach surely remembers who the Wildcats are now.

After knocking off then-No. 5 Oklahoma in a game far more lopsided than the 48-41 final score, the No. 20 Wildcats romped to a 38-10 victory over the Jayhawks on Saturday. And that score also was not indicative of the way Kansas State manhandled its neighbors just down Interstate 70.

The Wildcats ran for 342 yards despite missing their top two running backs. They needed to throw the ball just 16 times all game. Only one of those throws came on an opening 10-play, 88-yard march to the end zone that essentially set the tone for the entire afternoon.

''We didn't think of this game any bigger than it is,'' said Wildcats quarterback Skylar Thompson, who ran for 127 yards and three scores. ''We dominated them in the trenches, and you could tell in the third and fourth quarter that they didn't want to be a part of it.''

The Sunflower Showdown? More like a sunflower beat-down.

On defense, the Wildcats (6-2, 3-2) held an offense that had been humming under new coordinator Brent Dearmon to fewer than 200 yards until the final drive. Carter Stanley was 13 of 23 for 115 yards with two interceptions, and the Jayhawks' running game managed just 61 yards.

If not for a litany of penalties against Kansas State, those numbers would have been worse.

''I mean, you could see it as the game went on, just us continuing to do our job and being in the right spots,'' Kansas State linebacker Da'quan Patton said. ''I mean, it means a lot because it's a huge rivalry game and you know everyone comes out to watch this game.''

The game was about as lopsided as the series has become.

Kansas State has won 11 straight against the Jayhawks, and 23 of the past 27, going back to the first tenure of former coach Bill Snyder. Since 2010, shortly after Snyder returned from a brief retirement, the Wildcats (6-0) have won just as many games in Lawrence as the Jayhawks (6-37).

''They just came in here and beat our ass,'' Kansas wide receiver Andrew Parchment said.

The Wildcats also answered the question Miles posed: They showed exactly who they are in what new coach Chris Klieman called their best all-around performance of the season.

They dominated the game on the ground, dictating the tempo and holding the ball for more than 38 minutes. They ran for big chunks on first down to give them options on second, and called just enough pass plays to keep the Jayhawks from crowding the line of scrimmage.

It looked a whole lot like the way Klieman's teams bludgeoned opponents at North Dakota State, when he was busy winning FCS national championships with the regularity of winter snowfall.

On defense, the Wildcats won at the point of attack, stuffing up the Jayhawks' running game and forcing them into second- and third-and-long. Then, boxed into obvious passing situations, Kansas State dialed up blitzes that usually resulted in Stanley running for dear life.

Kansas was just 2 of 10 on third down. It was 0 for 2 on fourth.

''I never in a million years saw that result coming,'' Stanley said.

Now, the Wildcats can turn their attention to bigger things. They became bowl-eligible with the win, but still harbor hopes of playing for the Big 12 championship. They are tied with Iowa State and Texas in the standings, trailing unbeaten Baylor and the Sooners. But if Oklahoma stumbles again, and Kansas State wins out, it could sneak into the title game.

The finishing stretch begins Saturday with a trip to Texas, followed by a home game against West Virginia. Texas Tech on the road and the Cyclones at home wrap up the regular season.

So going back to the question posed by Miles: ''Who is K-State?''

He had his answer Saturday night.

''It's exactly the style of rivalry that I'm used to seeing, close proximity, people that - they know us, we know them, and it was hard-fought,'' Miles said. ''Yeah, they're pretty talented.''

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Tuesday?s games
Favorites won five of last six Kent State-Toledo games, with Rockets winning last four by average score of 40-20; Golden Flashes are 0-3 ATS in last three visits here. Toledo ran ball for total of 672 yards in last two meetings. Kent lost four of five road games TY; they?re 14-18 ATS in last 32 games as a road underdog- three of their last four games stayed under. Home side won all four of Toledo?s MAC games; under Candle, they?re 12-7 ATS as a home favorite, 2-0 TY. Both teams allowed over 1,000 TY in their last two games.

Ball State upset Western Michigan 42-41 LY, after losing previous two meetings 55-3/52-20; favorites are 5-2 ATS in last seven series games. Ball won three of its last four games, with wins at NIU, Eastern Michigan; road team covered six of their seven lined games this year. Under Neu, Cardinals are 12-9 ATS as a road underdog, 4-0 TY. Four of their last five games stayed under. WMU ran ball for 399 yards in their last game; they?re 11-7-1 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite, 3-0-1 TY- under is 4-0-1 in their last five games.

Wednesday?s game
Miami (+4.5) upset Ohio U 30-28 LY, just their second series win in last 13 meetings; Miami is 2-4 ATS in their last six visits to Athens. Ohio is +8 in turnovers in last four series games. RedHawks won three of first four MAC games, with one loss 38-16 at WMU; they?re 5-8 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite, 1-4 TY. Bobcats won three of first four MAC games, with loss 39-36 at home to NIU; Ohio is 0-3 ATS as a home favorite TY, after being 8-3 the last two years. Four of their last six games went over the total.

Thursday?s games
UL-Lafayette won six of last seven games, running ball for 611 yards in last two; they scored 119 points in winning all three of their road games TY. Cajuns are are 7-1-2 ATS in last ten games as a road favorite, 2-0 TY- their last three games stayed under total. Coastal Carolina snapped a 3-game skid with a 36-35 win over Troy LW; Chanticleers are 4-6 ATS as a home underdog since joining I-A ball, 1-1 TY- five of their last six games went over. Coastal (+3.5) won 30-28 LY in Lafayette, in first series meeting, running ball for 311 yards.

Underdogs covered four of last five Temple-USF games, winning three times SU; home side won all five series games. Owls lost 43-7/44-23 in their two visits here. Temple was held to 114 YR in losing its last two games, 45-21/63-21; Owls are 0-2 ATS as a road favorite TY, after being 10-2-1 in previous 13 tries- their last three games went over the total. Temple held four of last five foes under 200 RY. South Florida is 4-0 when it runs for 213+ yards, 0-4 when it doesn?t; Bulls are 2-5 ATS in last seven games as a home underdog, 1-2 TY. Five of their last six games went over.

Friday?s games
Central Florida scored 49.3 ppg in winning its last three games; Knights are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite, 2-2 TY, with outright losses at Pitt/Cincinnati- over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Tulsa lost its last five games, but missed an easy FG to upset Memphis two weeks ago; Golden Hurricane is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games as a home underdog, 1-1 TY- four of their last five games went over. Tulsa actually won five of last six series games, but teams last met in ?16; UCF lost all four of its visits here- favorites covered eight of ten series games.

Washington won its last seven games with Oregon State, winning by 35-45-42 points in last three visits to Corvallis; Huskies are +13 in turnovers in last seven series games. OSU won three of last four games overall with three road wins; road team won all five of heir Pac-12 games SU- under Smith, Beavers are 1-7 ATS as a home underdog, 1-2 TY. Washington lost three of last four games, giving up 35-33 points in home losses their last two games. Huskies are 5-7 ATS in last dozen games as a road favorite, 2-1 TY.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11


Tuesday, November 5

Kent State @ Toledo

Game 101-102
November 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
71.045
Toledo
74.916
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toledo
by 4
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toledo
by 7
62
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(+7); Under

Ball State @ Western Michigan

Game 103-104
November 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
76.908
Western Michigan
80.483
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 3 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 6 1/2
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ball State
(+6 1/2); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

KENT at TOL 07:00 PM

TOL -7.0 ******

U 62.5 *******


BALL at WMU 08:00 PM

BALL +6.5 *******

U 64.0 ******

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 11


Wednesday, November 6

Miami of Ohio @ Ohio

Game 105-106
November 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami of Ohio
73.595
Ohio
83.034
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio
by 9 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 7
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(-7); Under


Thursday, November 7

LA-Lafayette @ Coastal Carolina

Game 109-110
November 7, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
90.837
Coastal Carolina
72.854
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 18
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA-Lafayette
by 14
58
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Lafayette
(-14); Under

Temple @ South Florida

Game 111-112
November 7, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
78.546
South Florida
79.558
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
by 1
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Temple
by 1 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
(+1 1/2); Over


Friday, November 8

Central Florida @ Tulsa

Game 113-114
November 8, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Florida
97.386
Tulsa
82.302
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Florida
by 15
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 17
70 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tulsa
(+17); Over

Washington @ Oregon State

Game 115-116
November 8, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
102.736
Oregon State
86.580
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 16
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 9 1/2
65
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-9 1/2); Over


Saturday, November 9

North Alabama @ Monmouth

Game 171-172
November 9, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Alabama
47.518
Monmouth
66.038
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Monmouth
by 18 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Monmouth
by 20 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
North Alabama
(+20 1/2); Over

Baylor @ TCU

Game 161-170
November 9, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
99.329
TCU
94.296
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 5
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 2
50
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(-2); Under

Texas Tech @ West Virginia

Game 123-124
November 9, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
88.907
West Virginia
90.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 1
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Tech
by 2 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(+2 1/2); Over

Florida State @ Boston College

Game 119-120
November 9, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
88.751
Boston College
86.212
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 2 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston College
by 2 1/2
62
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(+2 1/2); Under

Vanderbilt @ Florida

Game 143-144
November 9, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vanderbilt
77.504
Florida
107.029
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 29 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 26
48
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-26); Under

Maryland @ Ohio State

Game 129-130
November 9, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Maryland
80.738
Ohio State
127.193
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 46 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 42 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-42 1/2); Under

Western Kentucky @ Arkansas

Game 171-172
November 9, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
77.199
Arkansas
72.282
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Kentucky
by 5
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas
by 2 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(+2 1/2); Under

Purdue @ Northwestern

Game 145-146
November 9, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Purdue
80.639
Northwestern
86.029
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northwestern
by 5 1/2
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northwestern
by 2
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northwestern
(-2); Under

Penn State @ Minnesota

Game 141-142
November 9, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
112.911
Minnesota
100.758
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 12
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 7
47
Dunkel Pick:
Penn State
(-7); Under

Massachusetts @ Army

Game 131-132
November 9, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Massachusetts
41.550
Army
72.010
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Army
by 30 1/2
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Army
by 35
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Massachusetts
(+35); Over

East Carolina @ SMU

Game 163-164
November 9, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
East Carolina
72.727
SMU
91.044
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SMU
by 18 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 22
70 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
East Carolina
(+22); Under

Georgia Tech @ Virginia

Game 121-122
November 9, 2019 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
79.632
Virginia
92.297
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 12 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 15 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Tech
(+15 1/2); Under

TX-San Antonio @ Old Dominion

Game 151-152
November 9, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TX-San Antonio
63.618
Old Dominion
59.677
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TX-San Antonio
by 4
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Old Dominion
by 4 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
TX-San Antonio
(+4 1/2); Over

Air Force @ New Mexico

Game 147-148
November 9, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Air Force
92.566
New Mexico
63.218
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Air Force
by 29 1/2
59
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Air Force
by 21
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Air Force
(-21); Over

Stanford @ Colorado

Game 149-150
November 9, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stanford
87.921
Colorado
79.899
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 8
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 3 1/2
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Stanford
(-3 1/2); Over

South Alabama @ Texas State

Game 165-166
November 9, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Alabama
61.757
Texas State
64.500
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas State
by 3
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas State
by 7 1/2
42
Dunkel Pick:
South Alabama
(+7 1/2); Under

Charlotte @ UTEP

Game 159-160
November 9, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
74.221
UTEP
55.582
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 18 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 13
58
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-13); Under

LSU @ Alabama

Game 167-168
November 9, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LSU
112.968
Alabama
114.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 1 1/2
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 6 1/2
65
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(+6 1/2); Over

Illinois @ Michigan State

Game 135-136
November 9, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
83.177
Michigan State
100.626
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 17 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 14 1/2
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(-14 1/2); Over

Louisville @ Miami-FL

Game 125-126
November 9, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisville
87.442
Miami-FL
91.432
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 4
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 6 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Louisville
(+6 1/2); Over

UAB @ Southern Miss

Game 175-176
November 9, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UAB
76.819
Southern Miss
78.744
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern Miss
by 2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Miss
by 5
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UAB
(+5); Under

Georgia Southern @ Troy

Game 177-178
November 9, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
78.397
Troy
79.524
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 1
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Southern
by 2 1/2
56
Dunkel Pick:
Troy
(+2 1/2); Under

USC @ Arizona State

Game 153-154
November 9, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
USC
93.525
Arizona State
86.300
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
USC
by 7
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 1 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
USC
(+1 1/2); Over

Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech

Game 137-138
November 9, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wake Forest
92.907
Virginia Tech
86.605
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wake Forest
by 6 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wake Forest
by 2
63
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(-2); Over

Connecticut @ Cincinnati

Game 133-134
November 9, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
58.928
Cincinnati
91.429
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 32 1/2
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 35
56
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+35); Over

Kansas State @ Texas

Game 183-184
November 9, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
94.897
Texas
104.110
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 9
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 7
58 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-7); Under

New Mexico St @ Mississippi

Game 169-170
November 9, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico St
63.758
Mississippi
87.723
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi
by 24
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi
by 28
62
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico St
(+28); Over

Iowa @ Wisconsin

Game 193-194
November 9, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa
102.859
Wisconsin
103.033
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa
Even
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 9 1/2
38
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa
(+9 1/2); Under

North Texas @ Louisiana Tech

Game 185-186
November 9, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Texas
74.632
Louisiana Tech
82.022
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 7 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisiana Tech
by 5 1/2
68
Dunkel Pick:
Louisiana Tech
(-5 1/2); Under

Georgia State @ LA-Monroe

Game 187-188
November 9, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia State
79.328
LA-Monroe
70.525
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia State
by 9
80
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 2 1/2
76 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia State
(-2 1/2); Over

FIU @ Florida Atlantic

Game 189-190
November 9, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
FIU
68.634
Florida Atlantic
83.781
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 15
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 10
60
Dunkel Pick:
Florida Atlantic
(-10); Over

Utah State @ Fresno State

Game 191-192
November 9, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah State
81.413
Fresno State
80.910
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah State
by 1
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fresno State
by 6
59
Dunkel Pick:
Utah State
(+6); Under

Washington St @ California

Game 195-196
November 9, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington St
92.503
California
82.496
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington St
by 10
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington St
by 7 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington St
(-7 1/2); Over

Appalachian St @ South Carolina

Game 139-140
November 9, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
88.975
South Carolina
96.225
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Carolina
by 7 1/2
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Carolina
by 4 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina
(-4 1/2); Under

Missouri @ Georgia

Game 181-182
November 9, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Missouri
93.939
Georgia
108.302
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 14 1/2
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 17
47
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(+17); Over

Clemson @ NC State

Game 117-118
November 9, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Clemson
118.358
NC State
76.438
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 42
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 32
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-32); Over

Tennessee @ Kentucky

Game 179-180
November 9, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
91.890
Kentucky
93.448
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kentucky
by 1 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 1
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kentucky
(+1); Over

Notre Dame @ Duke

Game 127-128
November 9, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
97.479
Duke
85.587
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 12
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 8
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-8); Under

Liberty @ Brigham Young

Game 157-158
November 9, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Liberty
71.731
Brigham Young
91.813
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 20
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 17
59
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(-17); Under

Iowa State @ Oklahoma

Game 173-174
November 9, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa State
98.985
Oklahoma
109.382
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 10 1/2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 14 1/2
68
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(+14 1/2); Under

Wyoming @ Boise State

Game 155-156
November 9, 2019 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wyoming
79.348
Boise State
94.990
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 15 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 13
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-13); Under

Nevada @ San Diego St

Game 197-198
November 9, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nevada
63.967
San Diego St
85.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 21 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 17
38 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-17); Over

San Jose St @ Hawaii

Game 199-200
November 9, 2019 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose St
69.108
Hawaii
80.102
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hawaii
by 11
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hawaii
by 7 1/2
77 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Hawaii
(-7 1/2); Under

 

[Udog]

by: Monty Andrews


WHICH OHIO WILL PREVAIL?

An all-Ohio battle highlights Wednesday's ?MACtion? between the Miami (Ohio) RedHawks and the host Ohio Bobcats. And while the Bobcats are touchdown favorites in the latest edition of their rivalry with the RedHawks, they could be well-positioned to make this one a laugher ? at least if third-down trends carry over into Wednesday's game.

Miami (Ohio) has struggled all season at converting on third down, coming into this one ranked 123rd in the nation with a 30.6-percent success rate. The Bobcats are at the other end of the spectrum, ranked 13th in the country with a 48.6-percent third-down conversion rate.

This spread is sitting on a magic number, which means a little more commitment to the home team. But given how these teams have fared at extending drives, the Bobcats are a solid choice to make good on the cover.


ANOTHER ONE GONE

The Texas Christian Horned Frogs are quickly running out of quarterback options. Less than a week after watching Justin Rogers depart the program, the Horned Frogs also bid farewell to Alex Delton, who arrived at TCU as a grad transfer but wasn't given an opportunity to challenge for the starting role.

Not only do the departures deliver a major hit to TCU's quarterback depth, but current starter Max Duggan is dealing with a finger injury and is questionable against Baylor while backup Michael Collins has a midsection injury and won't play versus the Bears Saturday.

There's a real possibility the Horned Frogs will be forced to turn to redshirt freshman Matthew Downing, which would obviously be a worst-case scenario. Even if Duggan plays, he likely won't be 100 percent, so we like the Under on TCU's team total of 23.5 points.


SPARTANS SHORTHANDED

The Michigan State Spartans come out of the bye week well-rested and ready to tangle with Illinois, but they'll be without the services of one of their top offensive weapons.

Wide receiver Darrell Stewart won't play against the Illini Saturday after suffering a leg injury versus the Penn State Nittany Lions on October 26. Stewart has been the team's top pass catcher, coming into Week 11 with 47 catches for 694 yards (second in the Big Ten) and four touchdowns. Cody White and C.J. Hayes will likely see more targets in Stewart's absence against Illinois this weekend.

Stewart is far and away Michigan State's most dangerous offensive weapon, and with the Illini struggling on offense we see the Under 45.5 as the superior play here.


TUA TIME!

We're saving the best for last here, with the Alabama Crimson Tide expected to have their Heisman candidate quarterback under center for Saturday's epic encounter with visiting LSU.

Tua Tagovailoa split first-team reps during Monday's practice and is reportedly set to return to the field after suffering an ankle injury that required surgery late last month. Tagovailoa missed the Tide's win over Arkansas but will return to face the Tigers in a battle between the top two teams in the nation. Tagovailoa has thrown for more than 2,100 yards with 27 touchdowns and just two interceptions this season.

Oddsmakers expect to see plenty of fireworks in this one, but between Tua having some early-game rust and LSU counterpart Joe Burrow facing a hostile reception at Bryant-Denny Stadium, we like the Under on the first-half total.

 

[Udog]

Temple at USF
Joe Nelson

With football every night of the week in early November, the Thursday night game will have a harder time standing out and a matchup in the AAC this Thursday isn?t an alluring national draw as Temple visits South Florida. Both teams are tied at 2-2 in conference play and the victor will get a big boost towards the postseason.

Venue: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida
Time/TV: Thursday, November 7, 8:00 PM ET ESPN
Line: Temple -1, Over/Under 50
Last Meeting: 2018 at Temple (-14) 27, South Florida 17

Temple had a messy off-season after Geoff Collins left the program after two seasons to take over at Georgia Tech. The Owls hired Miami defensive coordinator Manny Diaz, but a few weeks later, he was brought back to Miami after Mark Richt retired. Rod Carey was hired after a successful run at Northern Illinois and is now the fifth coach for the program since 2006, not counting Diaz or interim coach Ed Foley.

Temple hasn?t been thought of as one of the top Group of 5 programs often but since 2015, the Owls are 40-22 S/U and 40-22 ATS for records that few programs can match. Temple is 5-3 this season with erratic results beating Maryland and Georgia Tech as well as Memphis, but taking a loss to Buffalo and now outscored 108-42 in the past two AAC games.

Carey?s track record promoted running the ball and stopping the run with the Huskies ranking third nationally in per carry run defense last season. So far this season, Temple has held foes to 189 rushing yards per game on 4.3 yards per carry for average numbers. The Owls have better numbers against the pass, 34th nationally in allowing 6.8 yards per attempt while 6th nationally in opposing quarterback completion percentage.

Temple?s offense has struggled, sitting at the bottom of the AAC posting just 4.6 yards per play. The Owls are one of the nation?s worst rushing teams posting just 3.3 yards per attempt and 132 yards per game on the ground. Junior quarterback Anthony Russo is asked to do a lot and he has thrown for more than 1,800 yards this season with 16 touchdowns but also eight interceptions. He hasn?t had a 300 yard passing game vs. FBS competition this season and he had a marginal game vs. USF last season passing for 264 yards, but with no touchdowns and just 59 percent completions.

Temple draws difficult games with Tulane and Cincinnati the next two weeks but will have a favorable finale at home vs. Connecticut should they still be searching for win #6 to claim a fourth bowl bid in five seasons, though the program hasn?t won a bowl game since 2011 under Steve Addazio coming out the MAC.

USF went 11-2 under Willie Taggart (as well as TJ Weist for the bowl game) in the 2016 season. Taggart left for Oregon and then Florida State and he is now out of a job, though with full pockets. Charlie Strong was a rising star going 37-15 in four seasons at Louisville before a mediocre three-year run at Texas. He seemed to land on his feet in Tampa with a 10-2 first season with the Bulls in 2017, nearly ousting undefeated UCF for the division title and also beating a Big Ten team in non-conference play and a Big XII team in bowl action.

It appeared to be more of the same last season for Strong with early season wins over ACC and Big Ten teams and a 7-0 start led by Alabama and Arizona State transfer Blake Barnett at quarterback. USF would close the season losing six straight including the Gasparilla Bowl at home in Tampa. In a hyped opening game with Wisconsin in 2019, the Bulls lost 49-0, but since a 1-3 start, USF has turned around to go 3-1 the past four games with a notable home win over BYU.

This is a critical game for USF as they will face three of the top American teams in the next three games and any hopes of returning to a bowl game will likely require a win this week. Barnett was benched early in the year and Jordan McCloud has had mixed results as a freshman quarterback. He is much smaller in stature and more of a rushing threat and the offense now leans on the rushing attack led by senior Jordan Cronkrite, who has amassed nearly 600 yards on 5.4 yards per carry including 100+ yards in each of the past three wins.

USF ranks 36th nationally in yards per rush at 4.9, a spot ahead of the Badgers team they were blown out by in the opener. Few teams gain fewer passing yards than the Bulls as this is a matchup of contrasting offenses. USF?s defense has slightly better pass defense numbers than run defense numbers as well to mirror Temple.

Series History:
The host has won all four meetings between these teams going back to 2012 with USF?s underdog cover last season the only instance of the S/U winner not matching the ATS winner.

Last season:
Temple had clinched bowl eligibility the previous week with a 59-49 win at Houston and it had been a run of marquee games vs. top AAC contenders for the Owls including an overtime win over Cincinnati and a primetime loss to undefeated UCF in a very competitive game. It proved to be a flat spot for Temple as USF led 17-0 at halftime.

The tables turned after the break as up by 17, USF was stopped on 4th-and-1 just outside of field goal range. Temple answered with a touchdown and the second half went disastrously for the Bulls with five turnovers including allowing a fumble return touchdown as well as a punt return touchdown as Temple stormed back to take the lead in the fourth quarter and ultimately won 27-17. Temple had a 337-266 yardage edge and a 5-2 turnover edge. USF had a 184-73 edge in rushing yards and held on to cover at +14.

Historical Trends for Temple:
There aren?t many negative trends for Temple in recent years and the Owls are 11-4 ATS since 2014 as a road favorite while 27-13 ATS in all road games since 2013. Temple won but fell short of the spread playing on Thursday night at East Carolina in early October and is 0-3 ATS on the road this season. Rod Carey is 57-33 S/U in his career mostly as Northern Illinois before joining Temple this season, going 46-42-2 ATS including 13-9 ATS as a road favorite.

Historical Trends for USF:
Under Charlie Strong since 2017, USF is 11-6 S/U but 6-11 ATS at home including 2-4 ATS as a home underdog. USF is on a 25-36-3 ATS run in home games since 2010. Strong is 74-49 S/U in his career at Louisville, Texas and now USF while three games below .500 ATS though he is 26-20-1 ATS as an underdog in his career.

 

[Udog]

Washington at Oregon State
Matt Blunt

Venue/Location: Reser Stadium, Corvallis, Oregon
Time/TV: Friday, Nov. 8 (FS1, 10:30 p.m. ET)
Line: Washington -10, Total 65

As I wrote in an earlier underdog piece this season, when you back dog crap teams often, you'd better expect dog crap results at times, and across the board it was a rough week for my selections in college football. It started with last Friday's play on the Connecticut Huskies as they were blasted 56-10 by Navy in a game that got ugly from the start. Sometimes it doesn't matter how favorable a situation may appear, talent ? especially in collegiate sports ? tends to win out and Connecticut has a severe deficiency in talent on the football field.

This week it's back to the Pac-12 conference wanting to showcase its programs on Friday night once again, albeit not the most attractive matchup you could drub up within the conference. Yet, Oregon State has been playing better football with consecutive road wins @ California and @ Arizona the past two weeks to push their record up to 4-4 SU. In fact, the Beavers have outright wins in all three of their conference road games this year (beat UCLA too), and with a 6-1 ATS run going entering Friday, they've been great to bettors as well.

The same can't be said for this Washington team that has seen a promising season go awry with back-to-back home losses to Oregon and Utah. Those defeats have the Huskies left playing for whatever Bowl game they end up getting now, as they blew leads in both of those games which you just can't do at home when you are trying to win your conference. The Huskies have now dropped three of their last four ATS too, meaning you've got two teams on the opposite ends of the recent form spectrum and I'm sure that will be a talking point for some who break down this game.

So should we be backing the current form approach and taking the points with the Beavers, or selling high on Oregon State and buying low on Washington?

Betting Odds: Washington (-10) vs Oregon State; Total set at 65

It's hard to not like what the Beavers have done lately with those three road wins in their last four games on top of that 6-1 ATS run. Outside of the season opener vs Oklahoma State, the Beavers have two losses by just a FG and also suffered a woodshed beating from Utah (52-7) the last time they were at home. For a team that's not been to a Bowl game since 2013, and not won more then four games since 2015, sitting at 4-4 SU with four games left is quite the improvement. After all, the Beavers were a combined 3-21 SU ? including 1-17 SU in Pac-12 play ? the past two years, so it is nice to see this team take some strides forward. It's all about becoming Bowl eligible for them now, and to get to that magic number of six wins, they will need to continue to play solid football.

Getting to those six wins is not going to be easy though given that the rest of their schedule consists of this game vs Washington, vs Arizona State, and then on the road for games against Washington State and Oregon to finish the year. If you are a believer in what the Beavers or doing or just prefer to ride the hotter team right now, you've got to figure that Oregon State needs an outright win in at least one of these next two games at home, and there is a lot to like about the situation vs Washington this week.

The Huskies 2019 season is done in terms of the preseason goals they set out for themselves ? win the division, win the conference, see where they land in national picture ? and it's going to be really hard for Washington to pick themselves up after coming to that realization. Washington put all their energy and focus into trying to knock off Oregon and Utah the past two weeks and they just couldn't close the deal in both cases. The 2nd half collapses have to be completely disheartening, and a road trip to Corvallis against an annual bottom feeder like the Beavers can't be high on the excitement meter for the Huskies this week.

However, at the same time, Oregon State has done their best work this year away from home, and truthfully, they've had the best of it in terms of their Pac-12 schedule. Outside of the Utah game, Oregon State has yet to face a team that currently sits with a winning record in the conference, and obviously the one time they did step up in class against Utah, the Beavers got smacked with their own tails. Washington's still got next level talent at multiple positions on both sides of the ball, and if the Huskies do decide to show up and play, this one could be another ugly loss at home for Oregon State.

Because after all, another potential scenario that could play out here is that Washington's so pissed off and frustrated with themselves for the two blown games the past two weeks that they look to take out all that frustration on a lesser opponent like Oregon State and route them quick and decisively. All that means is that this current spread of -10 is probably about where it should be and one that I believe could land either way. I do like Washington to win the game outright, but covering the number depends on how motivated they are to be in Oregon State this week.

Instead, I'm looking at this total as one that's probably a bit too high, all things considered. If Washington's out there going through the motions, chances are they aren't going to be that sharp offensively. Even with the Beavers being a team that's allowed 30+ in four of their last five games ? the lone outlier coming against a California team that struggles to score against ghosts ? I'm still not sure I can trust the Huskies to pull their weight here.

At the same time, Oregon State's offense is hard to trust with the step up in competition level, especially when you figure that Washington's defense is coming off two straight games where they coughed up victories. As a team the Huskies may not be that enthused for this game, but I'd be willing to bet that Washington's defense has heard an earful this week about their inability to close out games and get the key stop when needed.

Getting those issues corrected is something that they should be able to do against a team like Oregon State, especially when Washington's last two trips to Corvallis have ended with the Beavers scoring just 7 points each time. That previous step up in class vs Utah saw Oregon State score just a single TD that day, and while Utah's defense is better then what Washington brings to the table, asking Oregon State to put up any more then 20 points seems like a stretch. The Beavers have averaged just 17.5 points scored in their two previous games this year after efforts of scoring 40+, and are on a 2-7 O/U run after scoring 40+ if you take it back even further.

With the Beavers also on a 0-3-1 O/U run in their last four games against a winning team, and Washington 2-5 O/U in their last seven away from home, I expect this game to stay much lower then this current total suggests.

Best Bet: Under 65

YTD Record: 4-7 ATS

 

[Udog]

by: Monty Andrews


RUNNING COAST TO COAST

The Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns know what they do best ? and fans and bettors can expect them to do a lot of it as they visit Coastal Carolina on Thursday night. The visiting v that ranks in the middle of the pack nationally in run defense. Of greater concern for the visitors is whether an all-out rush attack will be enough, as they might struggle through the air against Coastal Carolina's 10th-ranked pass defense (175.5 yards allowed per game).

While this might be a bit more of a grind than the Cajuns are used to, they should still be able to use their sensational ground game to pound Coastal Carolina into submission. We like the visitors ? but at a half-point lower than the current spread.


TROUBLE WITH TURNOVERS

Oddsmakers have Thursday night's American Athletic Conference showdown between Temple and host South Florida as a tight one ? but turnovers could make the home team a much more attractive proposition. The Bulls are on an incredible turnover spree, having forced 20 through their first eight games (second only to Illinois). USF also ranks inside the top-10 in turnover margin at +7. The Owls, on the other hand, have turned the ball over 15 times on the season and boast a -3 turnover margin. Turnovers went a long way in deciding last year's outcome, with Temple capitalizing on five USF miscues to earn a 27-17 win.

The Bulls will likely take much better care of the football this time around, which is more than we can say for visiting Temple. We like both the home team cover and the defensive/special teams touchdown here.


BRYANT "ON TRACK" TO RETURN

The Missouri Tigers will likely have their starting quarterback in the lineup for Saturday's daunting encounter with host Georgia. Kelly Bryant handled the majority of first-team reps during Wednesday's practice, and looks to be nearing a return to action after suffering a hamstring injury in a 29-7 defeat at the hands of Kentucky prior to last week's bye. Bryant completed just 10-of-19 passes for 130 yards in that game, and has thrown for a meager 270 total yards over his previous two contests. Taylor Powell will likely get the start if Bryant isn't able to suit up against the Bulldogs.

Missouri has been a thorn in Georgia bettors' side in recent years with four consecutive covers in the head-to-head series ? but with both defenses looking stout and the Tigers' offense in a bit of a tailspin, the Under looks like a terrific play.


DIVINITY TO MISS LSU-BAMA SHOWDOWN

The biggest game on the college football calendar to date will be missing at least one key defensive player. LSU learned it will be without star linebacker Michael Divinity, who left the team this week due to personal reasons. Divinity has been a standout on the Tigers' defensive unit in 2019, racking up 23 tackles, four tackles for loss and three sacks despite missing three games earlier in the season. LSU head coach Ed Orgeron couldn't say whether Divinity would return to the team later in the season. Look for the Tigers to rely even more on their nickel and dime packages with Divinity out of action.

The idea is to not make things easier on a Crimson Tide offense led by Heisman Trophy candidate (and future NFLer) Tua Tagovailoa. This development leads us to put more stock in the home team to cover Saturday.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 11

Saturday?s top 13 games
Florida State fired coach Taggart Sunday, after only 21 games on job. Seminoles lost three of last four games, are 0-4 TY when scoring less than 31 points- they?re 1-4-1 ATS in last six games as a road underdog. Last six FSU games stayed under the total. BC gave up 440+ TY in four of last five games; they split four I-A home games TY, are 4-3 ATS in last seven games as a home favorite- their last four games all went over. Underdogs covered four of last six FSU-Boston College games; won five of last seven visits to Beantown, but lost last one 35-3 in ?17.

West Virginia lost its last four games, scoring exactly 14 points in last three; WVU has a total of 106 RY in last three games- they?ve given up 1,013 TY in last two games. Mountaineers are 1-4-1 ATS in last six games as a home underdog. Texas Tech gave up 34.7 ppg in losing its last three games, two by 3 points; over is 4-0-1 in their last five games. Red Raiders are 0-4 SU on road TY, 1-6 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite. WVU won its last five games with Texas Tech, winning 46-35/31-26 in last two played here; average total in last seven series games: 68.1.

Minnesota is 8-0 for first time since 1941; they?re 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as a home underdog- five of their last seven games went over. Minnesota held its last four opponents under 300 TY. Penn State is 8-0; Michigan was only team to score more than 13 points against them- PSU is 10-4 ATS inlets 14 games as a road favorite, 3-0 TY. Five of last six Penn State games stayed under the total. Nittany Lions won five of last six games with Minnesota, losing 24-10 (+2.5) in last visit here; favorites covered last four series games. Gophers? coach Fleck signed a long-term contract extension this week.

USC lost three of last five games overall, three of four on road TY, with alone win 35-31 (-10.5) at Colorado. Trojans are 4-13 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog, 2-7 under Helton, who is likely a lame duck at this point. Under is 5-2 in last seven USC games. Arizona State lost last couple games after a 5-1 start; under Edwards, Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS when favored, 0-3 TY. USC won three of last four games with Arizona State, with all three wins by 21+ points; Trojans won seven of last nine visits to Tempe, winning 48-17/42-14 in last two.

Underdogs covered six of last seven Baylor-TCU games, with Horned Frogs winning last four; Baylor lost four of last five visits to TCU, losing 45-22/28-21 in last two. 8-0 Baylor has three wins by 2 or 3 points; Bears won their three road games TY, by 8-19-18 points- under Rhule, Baylor is 2-1 ATS as a road favorite, 2-0 in games with spread of 3 or less points. TCU lost three of last four games; they gave up 906 TY last two games, 301 RY LW. Last six years, Horned Frogs are 3-2 ATS as a home underdog; five of their last six games went over the total.

Alabama QB Tagovailoa is a gametime decision, but is expected to play. Alabama won its last seven games with LSU, covering five of last six; LSU scored total of 10 points in last three series games; they lost last three visits to Tuscaloosa, by 21-14-14 points. LSU is 8-0, scoring 49 ppg in wins at Texas (45-38), Vandy (66-38), Miss State (36-13); under Orgeron, Bayou Bengals are 6-1 ATS as an underdog. Alabama?s closest game this year was 47-28 at Texas A&M; Crimson Tide is 6-5 ATS in its last 11 games as a single digit favorite.

Oklahoma won 14 of its last 15 games with Iowa State, with Cyclones covering last three: ISU is 2-5 ATS in last seven visits here- they upset Sooners 38-31 (+31) in last visit here, in ?17. ISU is 3-2 in Big X, losing 23-21 at Baylor, 34-27 to Okla State; under Campbell, Cyclones are 7-5 ATS as a road underdog- under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Under Riley, Oklahoma is 10-7 ATS as a home favorite, 2-1 TY; they?re 3-2 ATS coming off last five losses. Sooners are minus-5 in turnovers their last four games; they won their two Big X home tilts, 55-16/52-14.

Underdogs covered seven of last eight UAB-Southern Miss games, with dogs winning six of them SU: Blazers scored 38 ppg in winning last four trips to Hattiesburg. 6-2 UAB was held to 13-7 points in its two losses, losing 30-7 at Tennessee LW; Blazers split four road games TY- under Clark, UAB is 8-5 ATS as road underdogs, 0-1 TY. Southern Miss won three of last four games; they allowed 38+ points in all three of their losses. Golden Eagles are 6-5-1 ATS in last dozen games as a home favorite.

Tennessee won six of last seven games with Kentucky (5-2 ATS); Vols covered six of last eight visits to Lexington. Tennessee lost its two road games 34-3 at Florida, 35-13 at Alabama; they won three of last four games, need 2-1 finish to go bowling for first time in three years. Under Pruitt, Vols are 4-2 ATS on the road. Five of their last seven games stayed under total. Kentucky won its last two home games, over Arkansas/Mizzou; they?re 4-0-1 ATS at home this year, after being 2-11 the previous two years- their last five games stayed under.

Texas lost two of its last three games; they allowed 30+ points in each of their last five games; six of their eight games went over. Under Herman, Longhorns are 5-10 ATS as a home favorite, 2-3 TY. Kansas State won its last three games, including an upset of Oklahoma; Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog, 1-1 TY- four of their last five games stayed under. Texas won three of last four games with K-State, holding Wildcats to 14 or fewer points in all three wins; K-State lost last three visits to Austin, by 10-14-6 points, but they covered five of last seven visits here.

Underdogs covered eight of last ten FAU-FIU games, with dogs winning seven of them SU. Panthers lost their last three visits to FAU, by 28-14-15 points. FIU won four of its last five games, losing 50-17 at Middle Tennessee; Panthers lost all three road games this year, by average score of 45-21- under Davis, they?re 3-5 ATS as a road underdog. FAU won six of its last seven games, scoring 76 points in their last two games; under Kiffin, Owls are 8-6-1 ATS in last 15 games as a home favorite, 1-1 TY.

Wisconsin lost its last two games after a 6-0 start, had bye LW to regroup; Badgers are 4-1 ATS as home favorites this year, winning last two home games by a combined 86-0- their last five games stayed under. Iowa won two of its three road games, despite scoring total of 41 points in those games; they?re 1-3-1 ATS in last five games as a road dog- under is 6-0-1 in their last seven games. Wisconsin won/covered last three games with Iowa, winning by 11-24-8 points; Badgers held Iowa under 250 TY in three of last four meetings. Hawkeyes did cover five of last six visits to Madison.

Washington State lost four of last five games after a 3-0 start; they allowed 37+ points in all four losses, are 0-3 SU in games decided by fewer than 7 points- they?ve already fired their DC. Under Leach, Coogs are 6-8 ATS as road favorites, 0-2 TY. California scored total of 41 points in losing their last four games; they?ve got severe injury problems at QB- under Wilcox, Bears are 5-2 ATS as home dogs. Under is 6-1 in Cal games TY. Underdogs covered four of last five Wazzu-Cal games; Coogs lost six of last seven visits to Berkeley, losing last two 37-3/34-28.

 

[Udog]

The Triple Option: College football Week 11 best picks and predictions
Andrew Caley

Baylor is 8-0, but ranked 12th in the initial College Football Playoff rankings, behind 7-1 Oklahoma and multiple two-loss teams. Can the Bears use that as motivation this week against TCU?

So, we got our first look at the College Football Playoff rankings this week and there were definitely a few surprises.

Ohio State debuted as the CFP selection committee?s initial No. 1 overall team, followed by LSU at No.2 and Alabama at No. 3. Fellow Big Ten school Penn State rounded out the top four. Notice anyone missing?

Oh, that would just be the defending national champs. Yup, Clemson was ranked No. 5 and on the outside looking in. Predictably, Tigers fans everywhere freaked out. But the fact of the matter is the ACC is the worst Power 5 conference this season. Heck, the AAC might have given Clemson more of a challenge.

The other conference the CFP committee didn?t think too highly of was the Big 12. The highest ranked team was 7-1 Oklahoma at No. 9, while undefeated Baylor came in at No. 12. Now, the Bears don?t have any marquee wins, but victories against Iowa State and at Kansas State and Oklahoma State should be considered quality. Oh, and won that game at K-State by 19. Yeah, the same K-State team that went into Norman and put up 48 points on the Sooners.

All that means is Baylor now has some added motivation heading into Saturday?s matchup at TCU. The Bears, who were already looking for their first win over the Horned Frogs since 2014, have gone 8-0 (4-4 ATS) thanks to being one of the most balanced teams in the country.

Quarterback Charlie Brewer leads an offense that ranks 15th in total yards per game and 25th in Football Outsiders Offensive FEI ratings, while the defense might be the best unit in the Big 12 and ranks 20th in DFEI.

Brewer has been efficient, completing nearly 68 percent of his passes with 20 total touchdowns (six rushing) with just three interceptions. And if TCU wants to key on the Bears? air game, they can then turn to the ground, where they have gashed opponents for 5.2 yards per carry this season.

On the other side, TCU?s quarterback situation is murky at best. Starter Max Duggan is questionable with a hand injury and if he can?t tough it out, the Frogs will be in trouble. Backup QB Alex Delton left the team this past week and new backup Michael Collins is already out with a rib injury.

This might have been a lookahead spot for Baylor with Oklahoma coming to Waco next week. But thanks to the CFP committee, the Bears now have a chip on their shoulder and will want to prove the doubters wrong each and every week. That starts against TCU.

Pick: Baylor -2.5

WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS AT VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES (+2, 61.5)

OK. I?ll say it. This game feels like a trap.

The two-point spread says it all. The Demon Deacons could record their first double-digit win season since 2006. They are playing a 5-3 Virginia Tech team, that while inconsistent, is playing its best football of the season. And this is a classic lookahead spot with a trip to Death Valley to take on Clemson on the docket next week. But screw it! This number is too good to pass up.

Quarterback Jamie Newman leads a Wake Forest offense that ranks seventh in the nation in total yards per game and ninth in passing yards per game. Newman has thrown for 2,059 yards while completing 67.2 percent of his passes with 20 touchdowns compared to five interceptions. Newman leans heavily on star wideout Sage Surratt who has 62 receptions for 948 yards and nine touchdowns already this season.

This week, Newman and Surratt get to go up against a Hokies defense that ranks 110th against the pass and 82 DFEI ratings.

On the other side of the ball, the Wake Forest defense is underrated, ranking 55th in DFEI and should be able to handle a Virginia Tech team that has struggled to find its identity on offense.

And while this may be a lookahead spot for the Deacons, it?s also a letdown spot for the Hokies coming off a near upset of Notre Dame in South Bend last week. Wake Forest will at least provide us with the illusion that they can give Clemson a challenge next week by taking care of business against Virginia Tech.

Pick: Wake Forest -2

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS AT CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS (+7.5, 51.5)

The 2019 campaign has undoubtedly been a letdown for Mike Leach and Wazzu.

After the Gardner Minshew experience led Washington State to a 11-2 campaign last year, Wazzu is 4-4 with just one conference win this season. But if there is any coach out there that can lead a late season turnaround, it?s Leach.

Despite the tough start, the Cougars still have a chance to qualify for a bowl game for the fifth straight season thanks to an easier schedule down the stretch. And that starts in Berkley as Washington State visits California this weekend.

Washington State is still doing what Washington State does. And that is throw the ball. A lot. The Cougars once again lead the nation in passing at an eye-popping 436.4 yards per contest. Senior signal caller Alex Gordon has a whopping 3,387 passing yards with 32 touchdowns while completing 70 percent of his passes.

He?ll face a Golden Bears defense that is definitely solid, but hasn?t been as dominant as most expected heading into this season. But one of the reasons for that is because the offense can?t sustain drives.

Ever since quarterback Chase Garbers went down with a shoulder injury in the first half of Cal?s Sept. 27 matchup with Arizona State, the Golden Bears offense has been, well, one of the worst in the country. In the 14 quarters Cal has played without Garbers, it has scored just 34 points and now ranks 124th in total yards per game and 107th in OFEI.

Wazzu doesn?t play much defense, but that shouldn?t matter in this one. A worn out Cal defense can only do so much against Leach?s air raid offense, and the Golden Bears won?t be able to keep up.

Pick: Washington State -7.5

Last week: 3-0
Season to date: 15-14-3