CNOTES 2019 NFL SEASON'S BEST BETS- OPINIONS-NEWS-TRENDS THRU THE SUPERBOWL !

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 8
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


CAR at ATL 01:00 PM
CAR +3.5
O 47.0

DET at MIN 01:00 PM
MIN -13.0
U 43.5


CIN at CLE 01:00 PM
CIN +7.5
U 42.5

WAS at GB 01:00 PM
WAS +13.0
O 41.5

BAL at BUF 01:00 PM
BUF +6.0
O 44.0


SF at NO 01:00 PM
SF +2.5
U 44.5


MIA at NYJ 01:00 PM
NYJ -5.0
O 46.0

IND at TB 01:00 PM
IND +3.0
U 47.5

DEN at HOU 01:00 PM
DEN +9.5
U 43.0
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
AFTERNOON BEST BETS:

LAC at JAC 04:05 PM
LAC -3.0
U 42.0

PIT at ARI 04:25 PM
PIT -2.5
U 43.5


TEN at OAK 04:25 PM
TEN -3.0
O 47.0

KC at NE 04:25 PM
KC +3.0
U 49.5

 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
Monday?s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday??.

49ers 48, Saints 46:
? 49ers? first five drives: 22 plays, 296 yards, four TD?s.
? Niners are 12-7 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog, 5-0 TY.
? 49ers drove 63 yards in seven plays, kicked GW 30-yard GW FG at the gun.

? Saints? first four drives: 32 plays, 240 yards, four TD?s.
? Game went over the total in the 2nd quarter.
? Saints are 10-15 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite, 2-4 TY.

Broncos 38, Texans 24:
? Broncos ran 63 plays; only eight were on 3rd down.
? Rookie QB Lock was 22-27/309 passing, with three TD?s.
? Broncos are now 5-4 in last nine games, after an 0-4 start.

? Texans beat New England LW; gambling is hard.
? Houston is 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite, 1-5 TY
? Denver led 31-3 at halftime; this score makes no sense..

Ravens 24, Bills 17:
? Lamar Jackson is now 17-3 as an NFL starter,
? Baltimore won its last nine games, covering six of last seven.
? Both teams went well under their rushing averages (118-104, Balt).

? Buffalo averaged only 2.3 yards/pass attempt.
? Teams had a combined 42 net passing yards in first half.
? Teams combined to convert only 7-28 third down plays.

Packers 20, Redskins 15:
? Redskins? first four drives: 16 plays, 32 yards, 2 first downs, 0 points.
? Redskins? last six drives: 44 plays, 246 yards, 16 first downs, 15 points.
? Washington is 15-10 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog, 4-2 TY.

? Green Bay is 24-15-2 ATS in last 41 games as a home favorite, 4-3 TY
? Four of Packers? last five games stayed under the total.
? Green Bay had 12-yard advantage in field position.

Browns 27, Bengals 19:
? Cincy outgained Browns 451-333, running 20 more plays than Cleveland.
? Bengals scored one TD, three FG?s on five trips to red zone.
? Under is 6-1-1 in Cincinnati?s last eight games

? Cleveland won four of its last five games.
? Browns had six plays of 20+ yards; four of them came on 3rd down.
? Cleveland?s first TD came on a pick-6 when they trailed 3-0.

Falcons 40, Panthers 20:
? Guess it wasn?t Ron Rivera?s fault.
? Carolina turned ball over four times (-4), converted 3-10 on 3rd down.
? Panthers lost field position battle by 18 yards.

? Ryan broke the game open with a 93-yard TD pass to Zaccheaus in 3rd quarter, making score 27-10.
? Falcons in 2nd half: 6 drives: 30 plays, 207 yards, three TD?s, two FG?s.
? Koo kicked four FG?s, recovered a fumble on a kickoff.

Vikings 20, Lions 7:
? Predictable result for rookie QB making first NFL road start.
? Detroit lost its sixth game in a row.
? Under Patricia, Lions are 6-4-1 ATS as a road underdog, 2-2-1 TY.

? Vikings sacked Blough five times, held Detroit to 3.6 yards/pass attempt.
? Minnesota converted 23 of last 40 third down plays.
? Under Zimmer, Vikings are 25-9-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-2-1 TY.

Jets 22, Dolphins 21:
? Miami covered seven of its last nine games.
? Dolphins had ball ten times, kicked seven FG?s, missed an 8th try.
? 15 points on six trips to the red zone is no bueno.

? Ficken kicked a 44-yard FG at the gun for the win.
? Darnold drove Jets 51-49 yards for FG?s on Jets? last two drives.
? Jets won four of last five games overall.

Buccaneers 38, Colts 35:
? Colts lost five of last six games after a 5-2 start.
? All six Indy road games have been decided by 6 or fewer points.
? Not too many NFL teams lose with a +3 turnover ratio.

? Wnston threw for 456 yards, four TD?s, three INT?s.
? Buccaneers have turned ball over 32 times in 13 games (-10).
? This game was over the total at halftime; over is 10-3 in Bucs? games.

Chargers 45, Jaguars 10:
? Chargers had ball nine times, scored six touchdowns.
? LA averaged 11.3 yards/pass attempt.
? Chargers ran 58 plays, only 8 of them on third down.

? Jaguars lost last five games, allowing 34.8 ppg, with all five losses by 17+ points.
? It is fair to say that Jacksonville has packed it in for the season.
? Jaguars lost for 7th time in last eight meetings with Chargers.

Chiefs 23, Patriots 16:
? Chiefs won four of last five games, clinch AFC West title.
? Under Reid, Kansas City is 15-8 ATS as a road underdog
? Penalty yards: Chiefs 136, Patriots 25

? Patriots lost 2nd game in row, converting 2-12 on third down.
? New England is #2-seed in AFC; they?re 0-3 vs #1-3-4 seeds.
? Under is 9-4 in Patriot games this season.

Steelers 23, Cardinals 17:
? Steelers won seven of last eight games after a 1-4 start.
? Pittsburgh is 3-0 with 3rd-string QB Hodges starting.
? Under is 9-2 in Steelers? last ten games.

? Arizona lost its last six games, but covered six of last nine.
? Cardinals scored only 10 points in three trips to red zone.
? Total yardage was 275-236 Steelers; only five plays of 20+ yards.

Titans 42, Raiders 21:
? Tennessee won six of its last seven games after a 2-4 start.
? Titans converted 8-11 third down plays, gained 552 yards on 59 plays.
? Tannehill averaged 14.5 yards/pass attempt? his resurgence is one of the big stories in the league this season.

? Raiders in first half: 4 drives: 29 plays, 194 yards, 12 first downs, 21 points.
? Raiders in second half: 6 drives: 31 plays, 163 yards, 10 first downs, 0 points.
? Oakland gave up a defensive TD for third week in a row.

Rams 28, Seahawks 12:
? This was Seattle?s first road loss this season.
? Seahawks? only TD scored n a pick-6 early in third quarter.
? 49ers move back on top of NFC West standings.

? Rams outgained Seattle 455-308; their best performance in long time.
? Seven of Rams? last eight games went under the total.
? Gurley/Higbee/Woods are first trio of teammates to all gain 100+ yards from scrimmage in consecutive weeks since the 2000 Vikings. [/SIZE]
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
Monday, December 9, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
8:15 PM New York Giants Philadelphia Eagles

WEEK 15

Thursday, December 12, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
8:20 PM New York Jets Baltimore Ravens

Sunday, December 15, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
1:00 PM Seattle Seahawks Carolina Panthers
1:00 PM New England Patriots Cincinnati Bengals
1:00 PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers Detroit Lions
1:00 PM Chicago Bears Green Bay Packers
1:00 PM Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs
1:00 PM Miami Dolphins New York Giants
1:00 PM Houston Texans Tennessee Titans
1:00 PM Philadelphia Eagles Washington Redskins
4:05 PM Cleveland Browns Arizona Cardinals
4:05 PM Jacksonville Jaguars Oakland Raiders
4:05 PM Minnesota Vikings Los Angeles Chargers
4:25 PM Los Angeles Rams Dallas Cowboys
4:25 PM Atlanta Falcons San Francisco 49ers
8:20 PM Buffalo Bills Pittsburgh Steelers

Monday, December 16, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
8:15 PM Indianapolis Colts New Orleans Saints


**************************


nfl december opinions and best bets: All based on 5 units

date........................... W-l-t............ %................ Units

12/08/2019................12-12-2..........50.00%..........-6.00
12/01/2019..................7-10-1..........41.18%..........-20.00

totals.........................19-22-3..........46.34%..........-26.00


best bets:

Date........................ats.............units. ............o/u...............units.............totals


12/08/2019...............6 - 3.............+13.50............4 - 4..............-2.00...............+11.50
12/01/2019...............6 - 6..............-3.00..............1 - 4..............-17.00..............-20.00

totals.......................12 - 9.............-10.50............5 - 8..............-19.00...............-8.50
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
Monday?s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday??.

49ers 48, Saints 46:
? 49ers? first five drives: 22 plays, 296 yards, four TD?s.
? Niners are 12-7 ATS in last 19 games as a road underdog, 5-0 TY.
? 49ers drove 63 yards in seven plays, kicked GW 30-yard GW FG at the gun.

? Saints? first four drives: 32 plays, 240 yards, four TD?s.
? Game went over the total in the 2nd quarter.
? Saints are 10-15 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite, 2-4 TY.

Broncos 38, Texans 24:
? Broncos ran 63 plays; only eight were on 3rd down.
? Rookie QB Lock was 22-27/309 passing, with three TD?s.
? Broncos are now 5-4 in last nine games, after an 0-4 start.

? Texans beat New England LW; gambling is hard.
? Houston is 7-12 ATS in last 19 games as a home favorite, 1-5 TY
? Denver led 31-3 at halftime; this score makes no sense..

Ravens 24, Bills 17:
? Lamar Jackson is now 17-3 as an NFL starter,
? Baltimore won its last nine games, covering six of last seven.
? Both teams went well under their rushing averages (118-104, Balt).

? Buffalo averaged only 2.3 yards/pass attempt.
? Teams had a combined 42 net passing yards in first half.
? Teams combined to convert only 7-28 third down plays.

Packers 20, Redskins 15:
? Redskins? first four drives: 16 plays, 32 yards, 2 first downs, 0 points.
? Redskins? last six drives: 44 plays, 246 yards, 16 first downs, 15 points.
? Washington is 15-10 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog, 4-2 TY.

? Green Bay is 24-15-2 ATS in last 41 games as a home favorite, 4-3 TY
? Four of Packers? last five games stayed under the total.
? Green Bay had 12-yard advantage in field position.

Browns 27, Bengals 19:
? Cincy outgained Browns 451-333, running 20 more plays than Cleveland.
? Bengals scored one TD, three FG?s on five trips to red zone.
? Under is 6-1-1 in Cincinnati?s last eight games

? Cleveland won four of its last five games.
? Browns had six plays of 20+ yards; four of them came on 3rd down.
? Cleveland?s first TD came on a pick-6 when they trailed 3-0.

Falcons 40, Panthers 20:
? Guess it wasn?t Ron Rivera?s fault.
? Carolina turned ball over four times (-4), converted 3-10 on 3rd down.
? Panthers lost field position battle by 18 yards.

? Ryan broke the game open with a 93-yard TD pass to Zaccheaus in 3rd quarter, making score 27-10.
? Falcons in 2nd half: 6 drives: 30 plays, 207 yards, three TD?s, two FG?s.
? Koo kicked four FG?s, recovered a fumble on a kickoff.

Vikings 20, Lions 7:
? Predictable result for rookie QB making first NFL road start.
? Detroit lost its sixth game in a row.
? Under Patricia, Lions are 6-4-1 ATS as a road underdog, 2-2-1 TY.

? Vikings sacked Blough five times, held Detroit to 3.6 yards/pass attempt.
? Minnesota converted 23 of last 40 third down plays.
? Under Zimmer, Vikings are 25-9-2 ATS as a home favorite, 3-2-1 TY.

Jets 22, Dolphins 21:
? Miami covered seven of its last nine games.
? Dolphins had ball ten times, kicked seven FG?s, missed an 8th try.
? 15 points on six trips to the red zone is no bueno.

? Ficken kicked a 44-yard FG at the gun for the win.
? Darnold drove Jets 51-49 yards for FG?s on Jets? last two drives.
? Jets won four of last five games overall.

Buccaneers 38, Colts 35:
? Colts lost five of last six games after a 5-2 start.
? All six Indy road games have been decided by 6 or fewer points.
? Not too many NFL teams lose with a +3 turnover ratio.

? Wnston threw for 456 yards, four TD?s, three INT?s.
? Buccaneers have turned ball over 32 times in 13 games (-10).
? This game was over the total at halftime; over is 10-3 in Bucs? games.

Chargers 45, Jaguars 10:
? Chargers had ball nine times, scored six touchdowns.
? LA averaged 11.3 yards/pass attempt.
? Chargers ran 58 plays, only 8 of them on third down.

? Jaguars lost last five games, allowing 34.8 ppg, with all five losses by 17+ points.
? It is fair to say that Jacksonville has packed it in for the season.
? Jaguars lost for 7th time in last eight meetings with Chargers.

Chiefs 23, Patriots 16:
? Chiefs won four of last five games, clinch AFC West title.
? Under Reid, Kansas City is 15-8 ATS as a road underdog
? Penalty yards: Chiefs 136, Patriots 25

? Patriots lost 2nd game in row, converting 2-12 on third down.
? New England is #2-seed in AFC; they?re 0-3 vs #1-3-4 seeds.
? Under is 9-4 in Patriot games this season.

Steelers 23, Cardinals 17:
? Steelers won seven of last eight games after a 1-4 start.
? Pittsburgh is 3-0 with 3rd-string QB Hodges starting.
? Under is 9-2 in Steelers? last ten games.

? Arizona lost its last six games, but covered six of last nine.
? Cardinals scored only 10 points in three trips to red zone.
? Total yardage was 275-236 Steelers; only five plays of 20+ yards.

Titans 42, Raiders 21:
? Tennessee won six of its last seven games after a 2-4 start.
? Titans converted 8-11 third down plays, gained 552 yards on 59 plays.
? Tannehill averaged 14.5 yards/pass attempt? his resurgence is one of the big stories in the league this season.

? Raiders in first half: 4 drives: 29 plays, 194 yards, 12 first downs, 21 points.
? Raiders in second half: 6 drives: 31 plays, 163 yards, 10 first downs, 0 points.
? Oakland gave up a defensive TD for third week in a row.

Rams 28, Seahawks 12:
? This was Seattle?s first road loss this season.
? Seahawks? only TD scored n a pick-6 early in third quarter.
? 49ers move back on top of NFC West standings.

? Rams outgained Seattle 455-308; their best performance in long time.
? Seven of Rams? last eight games went under the total.
? Gurley/Higbee/Woods are first trio of teammates to all gain 100+ yards from scrimmage in consecutive weeks since the 2000 Vikings. [/SIZE]
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
NFL Today, Week 14
December 8, 2019
By The Associated Press


SCOREBOARD

Monday, Dec. 9

New York Giants at Philadelphia, 8:15 p.m. Eli Manning makes his first start since Week 2 for the reeling Giants, who have lost eight in a row. Despite entering with a 5-7 record, the Philadelphia Eagles are still in the race for the NFC East title with the Dallas Cowboys (6-7).

---

STARS

Passing


- Drew Brees, Saints, was 29 for 40 for 349 yards and five touchdown passes in New Orleans' 48-46 loss to San Francisco.

- Ryan Tannehill, Titans, was 21 for 27 for 391 yards and three touchdowns and an interception in Tennessee's 42-21 win over Oakland.

- Jimmy Garoppolo, 49ers, finished 26 for 35 for 349 yards with four touchdown passes and an interception in San Francisco's 48-46 win over New Orleans.

- Jameis Winston, Buccaneers, was 33 for 45 for 456 yards with four touchdown passes and three interceptions in Tampa Bay's 38-35 win over Indianapolis.

- Drew Lock, Broncos, was 22 for 27 for 309 yards with three touchdown passes and an interception in Denver's 38-24 win over Houston.

- Philip Rivers, Chargers, was 16 for 22 for 314 yards and three touchdowns in Los Angeles' 45-10 win over Jacksonville.

- Matt Ryan, Falcons, finished 20 for 34 for 313 yards with two touchdown passes in Atlanta's 40-20 win over Carolina. Ryan, who has 50,279 passing yards, reached 50,000 passing yards in his 186th game and became the second-fastest quarterback to reach 50,000 passing yards in NFL history, trailing only Drew Brees (183 games).

---

Rushing

- Joe Mixon, Bengals, had 23 carries for 146 yards and a touchdown in Cincinnati's 27-19 loss to Cleveland.

- Aaron Jones, Packers, had 16 carries for 134 yards and a touchdown in Green Bay's 20-15 win over Washington.

- Nick Chubb, Browns, had 15 carries for 106 yards and in Cleveland's 27-19 win over Cincinnati.

- Derrick Henry, Titans, had 18 carries for 103 yards and two touchdowns in Tennessee's 42-21 win over Oakland.

- Austin Ekeler, Chargers, had eight carries for 101 yards and added four receptions for 112 yards and a 84-touchdown in Los Angeles' 45-10 win over Jacksonville.

---

Receiving

- Emmanuel Sanders, 49ers, had seven catches for 157 yards, including a 75-yard touchdown, and added a 35-yard touchdown pass in San Francisco's 48-46 win over New Orleans..

- A.J. Brown, Titans, had five catches for 153 yards and two touchdowns, one of them a 91-yarder, in Tennessee's 42-21 win over Oakland.

- Michael Thomas, Saints, finished 11 catches for 134 yards and a touchdown in New Orleans' 48-46 loss to San Francisco.

- DeAndre Hopkins, Texans, had seven catches for 120 yards and a touchdown in Houston's 38-24 loss to Denver.

- Robby Anderson, Jets, had seven catches for 116 yards and a touchdown in New York's 22-21 win over Miami.

- Noah Fant, Broncos, had four catches for 113 yards and a touchdown in Denver's 38-24 win over Houston.

---

Special Teams

- Diontae Johnson, Steelers, returned a punt 85 yards for a touchdown in Pittsburgh's 23-17 win over Arizona.

- Jason Sanders, Dolphins, was 7 for 8 on field goals in Miami's 22-21 loss to the New York Jets.

- Robbie Gould, 49ers, was 2 for 2 on field goals, including a 30-yarder as time expired, and 6 for 6 on extra points in San Francisco's 48-46 win over New Orleans.

- Sam Ficken, Jets, was for 3 on 3 on field goals, including a 44-yarder as time expired, in New York's 22-21 win over Miami.

---

Defense

- Darius Leonard, Colts, returned one of his two interceptions 80 yards for a touchdown in Indianapolis' 38-35 loss to Tampa Bay.

- Kareem Jackson, Broncos, returned a fumble 70 yards for a touchdown and added an interception in Denver's 38-24 win over Houston.

- Jayon Brown, Titans, returned a fumble 46 yards for a touchdown in Tennessee's 42-21 win over Oakland.

- Denzel Ward, Browns, returned an interception 61 yards for a touchdown in Cleveland's 27-19 win over Cincinnati.

- Danielle Hunter, Vikings, had three sacks in Minnesota's 20-7 win over Detroit. Hunter, who is 25 years and 40 days old, has 52 1/2 sacks and is the youngest player to reach 50 sacks since 1982, when the individual sack became an official statistic.

- Vic Beasley, Falcons, had two sacks and two forced fumbles in Atlanta's 40-20 win over Carolina.

---

MILESTONES

Adrian Peterson is the sixth player in NFL history to reach 14,000 rush yards. He joins Emmitt Smith, Walter Payton, Frank Gore, Barry Sanders and Curtis Martin to reach the 14,000-yard mark. ... Baker Mayfield is the third Browns QB in franchise history with at least 3,000 passing yards in consecutive seasons. He joins Bernie Kosar (1986-1987) and Brian Sipe (1979-1981). ... Baltimore quarterback Lamar Jackson threw three touchdowns and one interception for a 102.5 passer rating and added 40 rushing yards in the Ravens' Week 14 win at Buffalo. Jackson has 1,017 rushing yards this season and joins Michael Vick (1,039 rushing yards in 2006) as the only quarterbacks with at least 1,000 rushing yards in a single season in NFL history. ... San Francisco wide receiver Emmanuel Sanders had seven receptions for 157 yards and a touchdown, and threw a 35-yard touchdown pass, in the 49ers' 48-46 win at New Orleans. Sanders, who had both a passing and receiving touchdown with Denver in Week 7 of the 2018 season, joins Hall of Famers Walter Payton and LaDainian Tomlinson, along with Odell Beckham Jr. as the only non-quarterbacks to have both a passing and receiving touchdown in multiple games since 1970. ... New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees threw five touchdowns and added a rushing touchdown. Brees has 11 games with at least five touchdown passes, the most such games in NFL history. Brees became the fourth player in the Super Bowl era with five passing touchdowns and a rushing touchdown in a single game, joining Mark Malone (Week 1, 1985), Aaron Rodgers (Week 7, 2019) and Mark Rypien (Week 11, 1991).

--

PLAYOFF SPOTS

With a 23-16 victory at New England, combined with Oakland's Week 14 loss against Tennessee, the Kansas City Chiefs clinched the AFC West for the fourth consecutive season. ... With a 24-17 win at Buffalo, the Baltimore Ravens clinched a playoff berth for the second consecutive year. Baltimore extended its franchise-best winning streak to nine straight and improved to 11-2, its best record through 13 games in team history.

---

STREAKS & STATS

The Steelers have won seven of their past eight games after their 23-17 victory over the Cardinals, who lost their sixth straight game. ... The Titans extended their winning streak to four games with a 42-21 rout of the Raiders. Tennessee finished with 552 yards, its second most since the merger in 1970. The franchise had 563 in a 27-10 win over Kansas City on Dec. 16, 1990. The Raiders lost by 31 points in successive road games against the Jets and Chiefs and then fell apart in the second half against Tennessee. This marked just the second time in franchise history that Oakland dropped three in a row by at least 21 points, having also done it in 2012. ... The Jaguars lost 45-10 to the Chargers. It was Jacksonville's fifth consecutive lopsided loss, all by at least 17 points. The Jaguars have dropped 19 of their past 25 games - 11 of those by double digits. The 1986 Tampa Bay Buccaneers were the previous NFL team to drop five straight by at least 17. ... The Buccaneers have won three in a row and four out of five after a 38-35 victory over the Colts. The Colts (6-7) have dropped five of six following a 5-2 start, falling from first place to third in the AFC South. ... The Panthers (5-8), who fell to the Falcons 40-20, were eliminated from playoff contention with their fifth straight loss, which ruined the debut of interim coach Perry Fewell. He took over at the beginning of the week after longtime coach Ron Rivera was fired. ... The Lions' losing streak reached six games after a 20-7 defeat at Minnesota. The Lions fell to 9-19-1 under coach Matt Patricia, including 2-5 against NFC North foes. ... The Bengals lost to the Browns 27-19 and have dropped 19 of 21 over the past two seasons.

---

SIDELINED

Tampa Bay wide receiver Mike Evans caught a 61-yard touchdown pass in the first quarter and injured his hamstring on the play. Evans suffered the injury as he was outrunning Pierre Desir on the TD catch. The receiver tried to walk it off in the end zone, but fell to the ground in pain and was limping when he left the field. ... It was a rough day for Miami receivers as DeVante Parker and Albert Wilson were knocked out of their game against the Jets with concussions. New York lost tight end Ryan Griffin and running back Bilal Powell to ankle injuries. ... The Saints lost tight end Jared Cook to a head injury after he caught two touchdown passes against San Francisco. Defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins had an ankle injury. The 49ers lost pass rusher Dee Ford to a hamstring injury. ... Baltimore tight end Mark Andrews hurt his knee and receiver Chris Moore had a stinger in the win over Buffalo.

---

SPEAKING

???I know a lot of people are still looking at him to see what kind of player he is, but I'm telling you he's a baller. When you've got somebody like Jimmy with the personality he has and the hard work he puts in, in the clutch moments, he's not going to fold.??? - 49ers receiver Emmanuel Sanders on quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo after his team's 48-46 win over New Orleans.

---

???I tried to make a big deal out of it in the locker room, and the guys kind of gave me a smattering of applause. They???ve expected that and I think they earned the right to expect that.??? - Ravens coach John Harbaugh on his team's reaction to clinching a playoff spot for the eighth time in 12 seasons.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
Betting Recap - Week 14
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 14 Results


Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 11-4
Against the Spread 8-6-1

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 8-7
Against the Spread 5-9-1

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 7-8

National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 113-71-1
Against the Spread 89-108-6

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 110-92-1
Against the Spread 86-111-6

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 99-103-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Broncos (+8, ML +350) at Texans, 38-24
Bears (+3, ML +145) vs. Cowboys (Thu.), 31-24
Chiefs (+3, ML +140) at Patriots, 23-16

The largest favorite to cover
Vikings (-12) vs. Lions, 20-7
Browns (-6.5) vs. Bengals, 27-19
Ravens (-6) at Bills, 24-17

It's a LOCK!

-- The Denver Broncos (+8) have turned the keys over to rookie QB Drew Lock and he led the biggest upset of the weekend with a surprising 38-24 win on the road over the Houston Texans. It was a surprise going by pregame preview, and the line, only. If you watched the game, it was a thorough beatdown in favor of the visitors. The Broncos fired out to a 21-0 lead with 11:24 to go in the second quarter, as the Broncos had two TD passes for Lock and a 70-yard fumble recovery for touchdown. They took a surprising 38-3 lead at halftime, and they held a 38-3 lead at 9:15 of the third quarter before the Texans found the end zone midway through the third. The Broncos are 2-0 SU/ATS with Lock under center, and they're 5-1 ATS across the past six with the over 4-1 in the past five outings. Denver is also 7-2 ATS across the past nine contests.

Total Recall

-- There were three games with totals of 48 or greater -- Kansas City Chiefs-New England Patriots (49), Carolina Panthers-Atlanta Falcons (48) and the Sunday Night Football game between the Seattle Seahawks-Los Angeles Rams (48). Only one of those games managed to go 'over', as the Falcons beat up on the Panthers 40-20. Atlanta led just 3-0 after 15 minutes, but the Falcons ended up posting 10 or more points in each of the final three quarters, and the Panthers also hit double digits in the second and fourth. The Chiefs and Patriots appeared headed for a high-scoring affair, totaling 27 points in the first half, but there were a total of just 12 points in the final 30 minutes. The same held true in the Seahawks-Rams affair, with 24 total points on the board at halftime, but just 16 total points in the final two quarters.

There were three games at 42.5 or lower on Sunday, with Denver Broncos-Houston Texans (42.5), Los Angeles Chargers-Jacksonville Jaguars (42) and Washington Redskins-Green Bay Packers (42) saw the over hit in two of the outings, with the Chargers taking care of business themselves, 45-10. We mentioned the Broncos, and their prolific offensive effort above. Only the Redskins and Packers hit the under, totaling just 35 points. The Packers fired out of the chute at 14-0 after one quarter, but we had just two touchdowns and three field goals the rest of the way.

The Pittsburgh Steelers-Arizona Cardinals (43.5) ended up with 23 points in the first half, but just 17 points in the second half. A turnover in the end zone in the second half by QB Kyler Murray was rather costly, and he made some real rookie mistakes in this one which likely prevented this game from going over. That's five straight under results for the Steelers, seven in the past eight, and 10-3 in their 13 games overall this season.

The 'over' connected in the Thursday game between the Dallas Cowboys-Chicago Bears (43), while the Seahawks-Rams game on SNF went 'under'. We still have the New York Giants-Philadelphia Eagles (45) game to go. The 'over' is just 16-26 (38.1%) during the 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Looking Ahead - Division Matchups

-- The Eagles and Redskins tangle in D.C., a rematch of their Week 1 affair. The Eagles won that opener by a 32-27 at Lincoln Financial Field, failing to cover a 10-point number as the 'over' (44) easily hit. The Redskins saw the 'over' hit in their first three games this season, but the 'under' is 8-2 across the past 10, including 3-1 in the previous four at home.

-- The Texans and Tennessee Titans square off in a key AFC South Division battle, and it got that much more important following Houston's complete failure at home against the lowly Broncos. The Texans are just 2-5 ATS across the past seven games overall, and they're 3-9 ATS in the past 12 against teams with a winning overall mark. The Texans are also 1-4 ATS in the past five inside the division. For the Titans, they have covered four in a row, they're 3-0-1 ATS in the past four at home and they're 4-0-1 ATS in the past five as a favorite.

-- The Broncos and Chiefs do battle on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium at 1:00 p.m. ET, and suddenly Denver looks alive and well with Lock under center. The Chiefs looked alive and well going on the road and exacting revenge for their AFC Championship Game loss, topping the Patriots at Gillette. While Denver has been hot lately, they're still just 4-10 ATS in the past 14 games inside the division. The under is also 8-1-1 in the past 10 games inside the division. Denver is 1-7 ATS in the past eight meetings with the Chiefs, but 7-3 ATS in their past 10 trips to Kansas City. The over is 5-2-2 in the past nine meetings, including 3-0-1 in the past four at Arrowhead.

-- The Bears and Packers renew acquaintances at Lambeau Field. They met back in Week 1 on Thursday night with the Packers scratching out a 10-3 win in a defensive battle. The under is 3-3 at home, and 3-3 on the road, for the Packers so far this season, so not much to glean there. The under is 8-5 for the Bears this season, with the over/under at 3-3 on the road. The Bears have cashed in just two of the past nine overall, but they did cover at home as three-point 'dogs against the Cowboys on TNF last week. Still, they're 0-4 ATS in the past four on the road. The Packers are 5-1 ATS in the past six against teams with a winning record, but they're just 3-8 ATS in the past 11 inside the division.
 
Last edited:

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
NFL Week 15 opening odds and early action: Rams-Cowboys line could quickly tighten
Patrick Everson

The Rams and Cowboys, both trying to gain spots in the NFC playoff field, square off Sunday. Dallas opened as 3-point home chalk, but SuperBook director John Murray expects that line to tighten.

With three weeks remaining in the regular season, playoff pursuits are heating up in the NFL. We check in on the opening lines and early action for four Week 15 matchups, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Los Angeles Rams at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

Dallas is flailing about after two straight losses from the favorite?s role, yet somehow still leads the NFC East at 6-7 SU (7-6 ATS). In the Week 14 Thursday nighter, the Cowboys dug themselves into a 24-7 hole at Chicago and couldn?t come all the way back, losing 31-24 as 3-point favorites.

Los Angeles is the defending NFC champion, but hasn?t lived up to that status this season. That said, the Rams (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS) notched one of their most impressive wins of the season under the Sunday night spotlight, dumping Seattle 28-12 giving 1 point at home.

?We had this game Cowboys -3 before the Sunday night game, but the Rams looked so good that I think this line should reopen less than 3,? Murray said, noting the Rams-Cowboys line was taken off the board during the Sunday night game and will go back up Monday morning. ?There will be a lot of support for both sides this week.?

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-3)

Houston is kind of like the Dallas of the AFC South, given ample opportunity to seize the division and consistently failing to do so. The Texans (8-5 SU, 6-7 ATS) went off as 8-point home favorites against a four-win Denver team, but trailed 31-3 at halftime and fell 38-24.

That loss allowed Tennessee to stay right with Houston in the AFC South race. The Titans (8-5 SU and ATS) were 3-point favorites at Oakland on Sunday and turned a 21-21 halftime tie into a 42-21 victory, moving to 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games.

?The Titans have been on a roll lately, and the line already moved from -3 (even) to -3 (-110),? Murray said. ?The Texans laid an egg Sunday, but they have been much better on the road.?

Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers (-1)

Pittsburgh is among the biggest surprises of the year, after Le?Veon Bell and Antonio Brown moved on in the offseason, and Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) was lost for the season in Week 2. In Week 14, the Steelers (7-5, 6-4-2) topped Arizona 23-17 laying 2.5 points on the road, their sixth win in the last seven games.

Likewise, Buffalo is arguably a surprise playoff contender, although its three-game SU and ATS upswing ended in Week 14. The Bills (9-4 SU, 8-4-1 ATS) fell to Baltimore 24-17 catching 6 points at home.

?We opened Steelers -1 and have been pushed up to -1.5,? Murray said. ?The public will be all over the Steelers here. We will need the Bills.?

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-5.5)

Green Bay hardly looked impressive in Week 14, but Aaron Rodgers and Co. did enough to remain atop the NFC North. The Packers (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS) held off Washington 20-15 as hefty 13-point home favorites.

Chicago has fallen off in a huge way from its 2018-19 form, when it went 12-4 SU and a league-leading 12-4 ATS. However, the Bears (7-6 SU, 4-9 ATS) have won three in a row and four of five to climb above .500. And Chicago gets the benefit of a mini-bye this week, after beating Dallas 31-24 as 3-point home underdogs in the Week 14 Thursday nighter.

?We opened this game Packers -5.5 and are down to -5,? Murray said. ?The Packers didn?t look good at all Sunday, and the Bears are always a popular public side, so there should be support for both in this game.?
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
Ravens, 49ers give bettors Week 14 win
December 9, 2019
By Micah Roberts

There were mixed results around Nevada sportsbooks during Sunday?s Week 14 NFL action, but the majority spoke loud and a big congratulations go out to the bettors who stuck to their guns with their favorites (8-5-1 ATS) and had one of their few collective wins of the season.

?It was a horrible day,? said MGM Resorts sportsbook director Jeff Stoneback. ?We had a couple of casino players do really well with the 49ers and Ravens covering. One of them had $300,000 on the 49ers and then we had five different $100,000 wagers on the Ravens that forced us to move all the way to -6.5 -120. We got some back on the Bills at (+6.5) even money, but not enough to erase the hole we had with the Ravens.?

The 49ers (+1.5) won a 48-46 thriller at New Orleans which coupled with the Seahawks 28-12 loss at Los Angeles gave the 49ers the NFC West lead and No. 1 playoff seed in the NFC with three weeks to go. The 49ers were one of the more popular public plays of the week and so were the Ravens (-6.5) who won 24-17 at Buffalo to keep the No. 1 playoff seed in the AFC. The Ravens have won their last nine games which explains their public popularity and the reason they?re the 3-to-1 favorite to win the Super Bowl.

But there had to be some better games for MGM books, right?

?No, not really,? Stoneback said. ?Handle was light because of the (NFR) rodeo in town so we were kind of at the mercy of those large wagers we lost on to decide our day. We?re even getting beat on the Bull Riding nightly.?

Stoneback says it?s all about what bull the riders draw so it?s not always the favorites that win daily. As for the low handle, when the NFR is in town, they take over the rooms on the strip and they don?t bet on an NFL Sunday as a normal weekend crowd would.

MGM books couldn?t win on the day if the Sunday night game went their way, but it could have gotten a lot worse.

?We need the Rams because we took a $270,000 wager on the Seahawks,? Stoneback said prior to kickoff of the late game. ?If Seattle wins it will probably be our worst day of the season.?

The Rams gave them a big boost in a dominant win ending the Seahawks five-game win streak.

Caesars Palace book director Jeff Davis said the 49ers was their biggest loser on the day and claimed the day as a ?solid loser.? Station Casinos book director Jason McCormick got some aid with the Rams winning but said they were ?still going to have a pretty bad losing day.? It was the same story at William Hill sportsbooks.

However, there were a couple of books that didn?t lose Sunday.

?We?re about breakeven with a slight lean to the black,? said CG Technology sportsbook director Tony DiTommaso. ?We?re lose-lose to the late game but our best scenario would be if the Seahawks and under came through.

?The Broncos winning (38-24 at Houston) was a good game but we had wise guys take +9.5, and +8 to lessen the win,? DiTommaso said. ?The Ravens were bad with parlays, the Falcons (-3.5, 40-20 vs. Panthers) were awful and the Vikings (-12, 20-7 vs. Lions) were no good, either, nor was the Steelers winning (-1.5, 23-17 at Arizona). Our best game was Tennessee (-3, 42-21 at Oakland) just because of some late action on the Raiders.?

Unlike most books, CG bet shops did ?okay? to the 49ers win.

The only Nevada book I know of that reported a win was at the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook. VP Jay Kornegay said the Broncos were their biggest win (killed popular teaser plays), followed by the Redskins (+13, 15-20 at Green Bay), and Vikings. He also had another late surprise to flip the risk of a key game.

?We took a late $70,000 bet on the Patriots to make that game a solid winner,? Kornegay said.

The Patriots 23-16 home loss to the Chiefs (+3) was their second straight loss and it?s apparent Tom Brady?s offense is struggling. Rob Gronkowski, your skills are much needed.

What I took away with most during Week 14 was that if the Titans and Rams make the wild card round, I wouldn?t want my team playing them. The Rams receiving corps is healthy, their defense has upped their game, and Todd Gurley is getting a full load after being part of load management plan most of the season to have him completely healthy for the stretch run. Right now, the Rams are outside looking into the chase one game behind the Vikings for the final wild card with three games to go.

The Titans are going to be a nightmare for some team with QB Ryan Tannehill winning six of his last seven starts (6-1 ATS) since taking over for Marcus Mariota. With Derrick Henry going over 100 yards in his last four games, the Titans offense has been high octane and difficult to stop which has helped their last seven games go over the total.

The last thing that should be noted which has been happening all season is the inconsistent, or rather awful, officiating in the NFL. They can make a call on any play if they wanted in such a physical game but it seems like they insert themselves too much as part of the show. I want robots.

And then the reviews, wow, what a joke. Or how about the lack of reviews, such as when the Saints went for a fake punt and threw the ball downfield and the receiver was mugged for 30 straight yards while the ball was in the air. It wasn?t reviewable because they said defensive holding wasn?t reviewable but they didn?t even throw a flag for that. It was clearly pass interference, the very type of reviewable play instituted in the off-season because of the Saints getting screwed in the NFC Championship game last season.

Human error is part of officiating, but reviews do no good when we?re all seeing the same thing and a change of call isn?t made, or when something happens that was clearly wrong for all to see, but it?s not a reviewable play.

I?m with former coach Marv Levy when he made his famous statement captured by NFL Films back in the day when he was wronged and called a referee ?an over-officious jerk.?

Yes, over-officiating is rampant, and at other times they get it completely wrong like calling Patriots WR N?Keal Harry out of bounds at the 4-yard line instead of a TD late in the game when he was clearly in bounds to any eye 55-years old or younger. The Pats settled for a field goal and soon after lost chasing that TD when a field goal could have tied it had the officials made the correct call.

I?m no Patriots or Saints fan, but wrong is wrong. More action, less calls, please. Let the boys play, or get it right with video evidence. And let?s get some full-time officials in the 30-to-45-year-old range.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
MNF - Giants at Eagles
Tony Mejia

N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia (-9.5, 45), 8:15 pm ET, ESPN

Following an alarming 37-31 upset loss in Miami to open December, the Eagles appeared certain to miss the playoffs. Consider what a disaster that would be.

After reaching the Divisional Playoffs last season following their Super Bowl breakthrough, the Eagles were one of this year?s title favorites, ranking just behind the Chiefs and Patriots in the Westgate Las Vegas Superbook?s odds prior to the season kicking off. They were NFC co-favorites alongside the Bears and Saints. Philadelphia was -240 to reach the postseason and offered a +190 return on investment if you chose to fade them.

Teams that carry that significant a burden of expectations can?t open the regular-season?s final month by losing to a Dolphins team that at one point looked like a decent bet to go winless in 2019. Doing so screams that there?s dysfunction behind the scenes.

Philadelphia?s secondary was victimized by Ryan Fitzpatrick to help overcome Carson Wentz?s most productive outing since mid-October, allowing comments about his inaccuracy due to a hand injury and the fact he?s struggled to regain his form pre-ACL tear to linger. Rumors of not getting along with WR Alshon Jeffery have made the rounds too. You know the drill. In professional sports, when you win, those stories go away. When you fail, critics play up the drama and point fingers.

However, the Dallas Cowboys have been wasteful too. With the Redskins and Giants being non-factors, the playoff spot the NFC East is entitled to remains out there for the Eagles to secure, which means this dreadful season where they?ve disappointed and underachieved can at least end with one last surge. While that may not be enough to prevent a major change or two come offseason, picking up an opportunity to host a playoff game on Wild Card weekend would be great for business.

That?s why Thursday?s loss in Chicago served to charge up the Eagles as it has. With Dallas failing to take advantage of Philadelphia?s plight in losing their third straight game, 31-24, at Soldier Field, Philadelphia (5-7 SU, 4-8 ATS) is actually in a position of strength if it can get its act together. By holding serve against New York (2-10, 4-8), it would tie the Cowboys for the NFC East lead. Dallas still has to host the Rams before visiting the Eagles on Dec. 22 and would be in position to be eliminated with losses in both.

The disappointing Eagles might even be able to rest starters in Week 17?s finale against the Giants if it can hold serve in contests that they should be favored in over the next three weeks.

While that?s all lovely on paper, getting it done on the field is what will matter this week as they try and snap a three-game losing streak that is already the franchise?s longest since 2016. Philadelphia will be playing a New York team that its owned over the past five years ? take a look at the recent series history below for details ? and will incredibly run into an unexpected familiar face it has terrorized in veteran QB Eli Manning, who will start for the first time since a 28-14 loss at Buffalo in Week 2. He?ll be making his 32nd career start against the Eagles and will take the field at Lincoln Financial Field for the 17th time.

Rookie Daniel Jones, who has had some nice moments despite his team?s lack of success, is unlikely to play through a high ankle sprain this week but should be back this month, which may make this the final start of Manning?s career. He?s 116-116 as a starter, so if you?re not a proponent of him reaching the Hall of Fame despite his two Super Bowl wins and stat accumulation over his 16-year run, you don?t want to see an upset here. The 38-year-old former No. 1 overall pick will be without top tight end Evan Engram (foot) ? see the injury report below for all details on who is in and out ? and will have to fight the elements too.

Rain is expected throughout the day in Philadelphia, and although 15-degree winds may not be too trifling, it probably won?t do much for helping Manning get into an early rhythm. At some point during the game, the weather forecast calls for conditions to finally clear up, so consider that a huge variable in this one and read on for a great take on the Monday night total.

The Giants enter Week 14?s finale with the NFL?s second-worst record, coming in ahead of only Cincinnati, so head coach Pat Shurmur and his staff are certainly on the hot seat but you know the organization will value the clout a No. 2 overall pick would give them in a pretty loaded draft. Ironically, New York is forced to turn back to Manning for at least a week and he may very well be invested in seeing what he?s got left to potentially remain in the league next season.

He wasn?t dropping any hints in his first public comments since being benched in mid-September, but he didn?t look terrible in losses to the Giants and Bills, finishing with two touchdown passes, 556 passing yards and two interceptions. He didn?t look great either, but could be aided here by Philadelphia?s sieve of a pass defense and Saquon Barkley?s desire to have a bounce-back game in what will be just his second game at the Linc, where he broke off a 50-yard TD run and finished with 130 rushing yards while catching nine passes for 99 yards in putting on a show roughly 60 miles from where he went to high school. Barkley hasn?t had a 100-yard rushing day since Week 2 and hasn?t looked much like himself since suffering his own high ankle sprain. If he can get back to his usual form, New York would certainly have a puncher?s chance here since the Eagles have been solid against the run and will likely stack the box to dare Manning to beat them.

Philadelphia is just 3-3 at home this season and have only covered in two of its wins. It is 2-1 SU and has only covered once when favored by over a touchdown and are 1-5 ATS in that situation dating back to December of their Super Bowl season when they narrowly beat the Giants 34-29 as a 7.5-point ?chalk.? New York is just 1-5 on the road this season but has covered in half of those contests. It hasn?t won in Philly since a 15-7 upset on the strength of five field goals as the Eagles got shut down under Chip Kelly?s watch back in 2013. Matt Barkley and Michael Vick split time at QB.

TOTAL TALK

After watching the ?under? go 8-2 in the first 10 games played on Monday Night Football this season, the ?over? has cashed in four of the last five. Despite that trend, oddsmakers have dropped their opening number of 47 on this total down to 45 as of Monday morning and that could be attributed to weather, since rain and wind are expected to play a factor.

Chris David provided his thoughts on the total between the NFC East foes.

?Making a case for either side in this game is a tough argument since neither team is in great form and the total isn?t easy either. I?ve cashed a couple tickets riding the Giants ?over? recently and playing their opponent?s Team Total Over, just last week with Green Bay connecting,? David said. ?No matter who is at QB for the Giants, the New York defense remains a mess and if you bring your ?A? game, any team will crack 20 points on that unit and the good attacks will post 30-plus points.

?Philadelphia?s offense has gone 1-2 in primetime games this season and those outcomes summed up the year for the Birds. A tough 24-20 loss at Atlanta in Week 2 could?ve gone either way, while a TNF victory (34-27) at Lambeau Field in Week 4 over the Packers was very impressive.?

Favorites have dominated on MNF (13-1 SU, 10-4 ATS) in 2019 and when you dig deeper into those numbers, the ?under? has gone 5-2 in seven games where the home favorite won. Getting blasted 37-10 at Dallas in Week 7 was just as embarrassing for the Eagles as last week?s loss in Miami. All those games were on the road. This one is at home, where Philadelphia?s defense shines.

?In their last four games at the Linc, the defense has allowed 13.5 PPG and the ?under? has connected easily in each game,? said David. ?Even though the ?over? is on a 6-1 run in this series, the best unit on the field in this game is the Eagles defense and I expect that group to excel. For those listening to the ?VI Bet and Collect? podcast and my weekly total segment, you?re aware that I lean to seasonal trends. I?ll back that trend again with the game ?under? (45) and I believe the New York Giants Team Total Under (19) is worth a look as well.?

LINE MOVEMENT

New York Giants
Projected season win total: 7 (Over -140, Under +120)

Odds to win NFC East (pre-Week 1/current): 5/1 to OFF
Odds to win NFC (pre-Week 1/current): 15/1 to OFF
Odds to win Super Bowl (pre-Week 1/current): 30/1 to OFF

Philadelphia Eagles
Projected season win total: 10.5 (Over +130, Under -150)

Odds to win NFC East (pre-Week 1/current): 5/7 to 9/5
Odds to win NFC (pre-Week 1/current): 7/1 to 30/1
Odds to win Super Bowl (pre-Week 1/current): 14/1 to 60/1

INJURY CONCERNS

The Giants expected to have Engram back earlier in the week but ruled him out as precaution, so a return may come in Week 15. There was better news on WR Golden Tate, who cleared concussion protocol and will be taking the field alongside Manning for the first time since he was suspended for the first few games of the season. Rhett Ellison, typically the No. 2 tight end, will sit with a concussion, so rookie Kaden Smith and veteran Scott Simonson will get the snaps at that position. Safety Jabrill Peppers, one of the key assets acquired from Cleveland in the Odell Beckham, Jr. trade, has been placed on IR. Julian Love, Michael Thomas and Grant Haley will line up at safety for New York?s beleaguered defense. Corner Corey Ballantine will also sit due to a concussion.

Tackle Lane Johnson didn?t practice on Saturday but will play, so the Eagles should have their offensive line in place. RB Jordan Howard is expected to remain out with a shoulder ailment, leaving the running game in the hands of rookie Miles Sanders and recently signed veteran Jay Ajayi. Another familiar face who returned due to attrition, Jordan Matthews, could join speedy Greg Ward, Jr. in seeing more snaps if Nelson Agholor (knee) isn?t able to get loose pre-game. Philadelphia?s defense will be without LB Kamu Grugier-Hill due to a concussion and list DE Derek Barnett as a game-time decision after he injured his ankle in last week?s loss in Miami. Second-year DE Josh Sweat would see increased reps if Barnett can?t go.

RECENT MEETINGS

(Eagles 9-1 SU, 5-5 ATS last 10, OVER 7-3)
11/25/18 Eagles 25-22 vs. Giants (NYG +4.5, 49)
10/11/18 Eagles 34-13 at Giants (PHI -1.5, 45)
12/17/17 Eagles 34-29 at Giants (NYG +7.5, 40.5)
9/24/17 Eagles 27-24 vs. Giants (NYG +5, 43)
12/22/16 Eagles 24-19 vs. Giants (PHI -1.5, 42.5)
11/6/16 Giants 28-23 vs. Eagles (NYG -3, 42.5)
1/3/16 Eagles 35-30 at Giants (PHI +5, 51)
10/19/15 Eagles 27-7 vs. Giants (PHI -5, 49.5)
12/28/14 Eagles 34-26 at Giants (PK?em, 52)
10/12/14 Eagles 27-0 vs. Giants (PHI -1.5, 51)

NEXT WEEK'S NUMBERS POSTED

The Westgate opens its advance lines for the following week on Tuesdays and Week 15 currently has the Eagles as a 6-point road favorite at the Redskins with the total set at 40.5. Believe it or not, the Giants are a 3.5-point home favorite with the Dolphins coming back to Met Life Stadium after Sunday?s narrow loss to the Jets. The total is set a 47.5.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
MONDAY, DECEMBER 9
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


NYG at PHI 08:15 PM

NYG +9.5

O 45.5
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
Eagles rally past Manning, Giants 23-17 in OT
December 9, 2019


PHILADELPHIA (AP) Carson Wentz relied on a bunch of guys off the practice squad and his go-to guy Zach Ertz to rally the Philadelphia Eagles.

After Eli Manning led the New York Giants to a 14-point lead, Wentz brought the injury-depleted Eagles back and tossed a 2-yard touchdown pass to Ertz in overtime to give Philadelphia a 23-17 win on Monday night.

The Eagles (6-7) snapped a three-game losing streak and moved into a tie with Dallas (6-7) for first place in the NFC East. Philadelphia takes the division title if it wins its final three games. The Eagles meet the Cowboys in Week 16.

''Guys stepped up and made plays,'' Wentz said. ''We had guys moving around and I had no choice but to trust these guys.''

The Eagles were down to one healthy wide receiver by the end of the game and were using inexperienced guys and players out of position. Ertz, a Pro Bowl tight end, had to line up at wide receiver.

''We understood as a team that we had to find a way,'' Ertz said.

Manning, the two-time Super Bowl MVP, threw a pair of TD passes to Darius Slayton in his first game since Week 2. Filling in for injured rookie Daniel Jones, Manning was 15 of 30 for 203 yards. But he couldn't prevent New York (2-11) from losing its ninth straight game, tying a franchise record set in 1976, when the team opened 0-9.

''I've played a lot of football games,'' Manning said. ''I know the offense and know what I'm supposed to do. I made some good throws and didn't make some plays that I needed to.''

Wentz threw for 325 yards and a pair of TDs, including a 5-yard toss to Ertz to tie it at 17 with 1:53 left.

Already missing three starters on offense, the Eagles lost wide receiver Alshon Jeffery and right tackle Lane Johnson in the first half and were booed off the field trailing 17-3 at halftime.

They went three-and-out on five straight possessions before Boston Scott caught a 10-yard pass on third-and-5 in the third quarter. Scott then ran 4 yards to the 2 on third-and-3 and scored on the next play to cut it to 17-10.

Scott, one of the former practice squad players, provided a big spark. He had 59 yards rushing and 69 yards receiving.

''Just do my job. You never know when your opportunity might come,'' Scott said.

Wentz drove Philadelphia to the Giants 29 with just under 10 minutes left but Greg Ward dropped what should've been a 29-yard TD pass on third-and-11. Jake Elliott then missed a 47-yard field goal wide left.

But the defense held and Wentz drove the Eagles 85 yards and connected with Ertz to tie it.

The Eagles won the toss in overtime and went 75 yards.

Ertz had nine catches for 91 yards.

Manning connected with Slayton for a 35-yard TD on a third-and-13 to give the Giants a 7-0 lead on the first play of the second quarter. Ronald Darby missed a tackle that would've stopped Slayton short of a first down.

Manning hit Slayton for a 55-yard TD on third-and-8 with 27 seconds left in the first half to give the Giants a 17-3 lead.

''I thought he battled. He did a lot of good things,'' Giants coach Pat Shurmur said of Manning.

Down 7-0, the Eagles got going when Wentz connected with Ertz on consecutive passes of 24 and 30 yards. Wentz then hit Ward for a 9-yard TD that was negated by a holding call on Brandon Brooks. The Eagles settled for Elliott's 34-yard field goal.

Aldrick Rosas hit a 34-yarder to make it 10-3.

ELI'S FUTURE


Manning, who turns 39 next month, is a free agent after the season. It's uncertain when Jones will return, so it's possible Manning could make at least one more start at home.

COMEBACK KIDS

The Eagles had lost 19 straight games when trailing by 14 or more points in the second half before rallying against the Giants. They previously overcame a 20-6 deficit in a 30-27 win over Indianapolis in Week 2 of the 2014 season.

INJURIES

Giants: TE Evan Engram (foot) and CB Corey Ballentine (concussion) were among the key players inactive.

Eagles: Jeffery (foot) and Johnson (ankle) didn't return after exiting in the second quarter. ... Regular starters DE Derek Barnett (ankle), WR Nelson Agholor (knee), RB Jordan Howard (shoulder) and LB Kamu Grugier-Hill (concussion) were inactive.

UP NEXT

Giants: Host Miami (3-10) next Sunday.

Eagles: Play at Washington (3-10) next Sunday.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
WEEK 15

Thursday, December 12, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
8:20 PM New York Jets Baltimore Ravens

Sunday, December 15, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
1:00 PM Seattle Seahawks Carolina Panthers
1:00 PM New England Patriots Cincinnati Bengals
1:00 PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers Detroit Lions
1:00 PM Chicago Bears Green Bay Packers
1:00 PM Denver Broncos Kansas City Chiefs
1:00 PM Miami Dolphins New York Giants
1:00 PM Houston Texans Tennessee Titans
1:00 PM Philadelphia Eagles Washington Redskins
4:05 PM Cleveland Browns Arizona Cardinals
4:05 PM Jacksonville Jaguars Oakland Raiders
4:05 PM Minnesota Vikings Los Angeles Chargers
4:25 PM Los Angeles Rams Dallas Cowboys
4:25 PM Atlanta Falcons San Francisco 49ers
8:20 PM Buffalo Bills Pittsburgh Steelers

Monday, December 16, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
8:15 PM Indianapolis Colts New Orleans Saints


**************************


nfl december opinions and best bets: All based on 5 units

date........................... W-l-t............ %................ Units

12/09/2019...................1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
12/08/2019................12-12-2..........50.00%..........-6.00
12/01/2019..................7-10-1..........41.18%..........-20.00

totals.........................20-23-3..........46.51%..........-26.50


best bets:

Date........................ats.............units. ............o/u...............units.............totals

12/09/2019...............1 - 0.............+5.50..............0 - 1..............-5.50...............-0.50
12/08/2019...............6 - 3.............+13.50............4 - 4..............-2.00...............+11.50
12/01/2019...............6 - 6..............-3.00..............1 - 4..............-17.00..............-20.00

totals.......................12 - 9.............-10.50............5 - 8..............-19.00...............-8.50
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
Wednesday?s 6-pack

Interesting NFL spreads for Week 15:

? Houston @ Tennessee (-3)

? Buffalo @ Pittsburgh (-2.5)

? Cleveland (-2.5) @ Arizona

? Rams (-1) @ Dallas

? Minnesota (-2.5) @ LA Chargers

? Indianapolis @ New Orleans (-9)

Quote of the Day:
?[Our recent play] is sickening. [Changes are] tough, but it?s a necessary evil. Right now, we?ve got to play better, and we?re going to play better, and there will be changes. There will be changes. What happened [Sunday] will not happen again. I can?t allow it to happen.?
Jon Gruden

Wednesday?s quiz
Which NFL team did Steve Spurrier coach for two seasons?

Tuesday?s quiz
Of the 32 NFL stadiums, LA Coliseum and Oakland Coliseum have hosted a World Series.

Monday?s quiz
Steph Curry played his college basketball at Davidson.


Wednesday?s List of 13: Mid-week musings??.

13) I get it that all retired baseball players speak glowingly of the late Marvin Miller, who was the head of the players? union; he made them all very rich. If Miller made me rich, I?d want him to be inducted into the Hall of Fame, too.

But as an Oakland A?s fan, I had no great fondness for Miller, who helped institute a system that made the A?s a 2nd-rate franchise, financially. Stephen Strasburg making $35M a year is a bit much; not really sure Miller deserves to be in the Hall of Fame- did he make the game better? Did star players being multi-millionaires improve the game?

I?d rather see Dr Frank Jobe get in the Hall of Fame; surgeons who perform Tommy John surgery have done a hell of a lot more to help baseball than a guy who helped make all the players millionaires.

12) Speaking of Marvin MIller, Bronx Bombers signed Gerrit Cole to a 9-year, $324M contract late Tuesday night. Cole is 29 years old, so this might be his last contract.

Last three years, Cole started 33-32-33 regular season games; if he does that next season, it works out to $1,090,909.09 per start.

11) 2020 Bronx Bombers:
? Gerrit Cole, $36M
? Giancarlo Stanton, $26M
? Masahiro Tanaka, $23M
? Aroldis Chapman $17.2M

That adds up to $101.5M??.for four guys.

Oakland A?s made the playoffs the last two years; their ENTIRE payroll last year?

$92,178,333

10) Excellent article on actionnetwork.com about how college bowl betting lines are made; it ain?t easy, especially when you have to make them quickly, with matchups coming out early Sunday afternoon- lines were posted roughly four hours later.

9) NHL leaders in going over in first period:
Colorado 23-7, Los Angeles 21-10, Carolina 20-10

NHL leaders in going under in first period:
Calgary 9-23, Dallas 12-19, Jets/Wild/Penguins 13-17

8) Baseball stuff:
? Giants signed P Kevin Gausman to a 1-year deal.
? Phillies signed SS Didi Gregorius
? Angels dumped some salary, trading SS Zack Cozart for cash and a prospect.

7) Random question: Are people allowed to meet at a vegan restaurant?
(Think about it, maybe you?ll chuckle later)

6) Every player at the Outback Bowl will get a gift suite that includes a Fossil watch; $125 Amazon gift card; Jostens ring; Outback Steakhouse gift card; hat.

All the bowls have gift packages like that.

5) Funny how Golden State Warriors seem to have disbanded for a year; Draymond Green still plays most of he time, the uniforms are the same, and Steve Kerr still coaches, but with Steph Curry and Klay Thompson not playing, this is a totally different team, one that will be in the NBA Draft Lottery, maybe even getting the first pick.

Would Golden State draft LaMelo Ball, the youngest of the three Ball brothers? Cole Anthony? James Wiseman, the big kid from Memphis?

4) Major League Baseball will relocate its annual amateur draft to Omaha to try and increase interest; Omaha is where the College World Series is played every year. I?m guessing some of the college coaches in the CWS won?t be thrilled with the potential distractions.

3) Of course the Miami Marlins move their outfield fences in the year after they trade Stanton, Yelich and Ozuna. Makes perfect sense.

2) Texas Tech 70, Louisville 57? Cardinals are already the 4th #1 team in country to lose this season and it is only December 11. There aren?t any great teams this year.

1) ESPN drained every last drop out of the Eli Manning story Monday night; he played really well in the first half but the Giants were shut out in the 2nd half as Manning made what will probably be his last-ever appearance on MNF.

Now America will have to wait a couple years for the next Manning; Eli?s nephew Arch is a 9th-grader at Newman HS in New Orleans, where he already is the starting QB.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
Betting Recap - Week 14
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

National Football League Week 14 Results


Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 11-4
Against the Spread 8-6-1

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 8-7
Against the Spread 5-9-1

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 7-8

National Football League Year-to-Date Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 113-71-1
Against the Spread 89-108-6

Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 110-92-1
Against the Spread 86-111-6

Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 99-103-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Broncos (+8, ML +350) at Texans, 38-24
Bears (+3, ML +145) vs. Cowboys (Thu.), 31-24
Chiefs (+3, ML +140) at Patriots, 23-16

The largest favorite to cover
Vikings (-12) vs. Lions, 20-7
Browns (-6.5) vs. Bengals, 27-19
Ravens (-6) at Bills, 24-17

It's a LOCK!

-- The Denver Broncos (+8) have turned the keys over to rookie QB Drew Lock and he led the biggest upset of the weekend with a surprising 38-24 win on the road over the Houston Texans. It was a surprise going by pregame preview, and the line, only. If you watched the game, it was a thorough beatdown in favor of the visitors. The Broncos fired out to a 21-0 lead with 11:24 to go in the second quarter, as the Broncos had two TD passes for Lock and a 70-yard fumble recovery for touchdown. They took a surprising 38-3 lead at halftime, and they held a 38-3 lead at 9:15 of the third quarter before the Texans found the end zone midway through the third. The Broncos are 2-0 SU/ATS with Lock under center, and they're 5-1 ATS across the past six with the over 4-1 in the past five outings. Denver is also 7-2 ATS across the past nine contests.

Total Recall

-- There were three games with totals of 48 or greater -- Kansas City Chiefs-New England Patriots (49), Carolina Panthers-Atlanta Falcons (48) and the Sunday Night Football game between the Seattle Seahawks-Los Angeles Rams (48). Only one of those games managed to go 'over', as the Falcons beat up on the Panthers 40-20. Atlanta led just 3-0 after 15 minutes, but the Falcons ended up posting 10 or more points in each of the final three quarters, and the Panthers also hit double digits in the second and fourth. The Chiefs and Patriots appeared headed for a high-scoring affair, totaling 27 points in the first half, but there were a total of just 12 points in the final 30 minutes. The same held true in the Seahawks-Rams affair, with 24 total points on the board at halftime, but just 16 total points in the final two quarters.

There were three games at 42.5 or lower on Sunday, with Denver Broncos-Houston Texans (42.5), Los Angeles Chargers-Jacksonville Jaguars (42) and Washington Redskins-Green Bay Packers (42) saw the over hit in two of the outings, with the Chargers taking care of business themselves, 45-10. We mentioned the Broncos, and their prolific offensive effort above. Only the Redskins and Packers hit the under, totaling just 35 points. The Packers fired out of the chute at 14-0 after one quarter, but we had just two touchdowns and three field goals the rest of the way.

The Pittsburgh Steelers-Arizona Cardinals (43.5) ended up with 23 points in the first half, but just 17 points in the second half. A turnover in the end zone in the second half by QB Kyler Murray was rather costly, and he made some real rookie mistakes in this one which likely prevented this game from going over. That's five straight under results for the Steelers, seven in the past eight, and 10-3 in their 13 games overall this season.

The 'over' connected in the Thursday game between the Dallas Cowboys-Chicago Bears (43), while the Seahawks-Rams game on SNF went 'under'. We still have the New York Giants-Philadelphia Eagles (45) game to go. The 'over' is just 16-26 (38.1%) during the 2019 primetime schedule, a stark change from previous seasons when the games under the lights were high-scoring affairs.

Officially, the 'over' finished 26-25 (51.0%) in 51 games under the lights.

In 2017, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

In 2015, the 'over' finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

In 2014, the 'over' went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the 'over' was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

Looking Ahead - Division Matchups

-- The Eagles and Redskins tangle in D.C., a rematch of their Week 1 affair. The Eagles won that opener by a 32-27 at Lincoln Financial Field, failing to cover a 10-point number as the 'over' (44) easily hit. The Redskins saw the 'over' hit in their first three games this season, but the 'under' is 8-2 across the past 10, including 3-1 in the previous four at home.

-- The Texans and Tennessee Titans square off in a key AFC South Division battle, and it got that much more important following Houston's complete failure at home against the lowly Broncos. The Texans are just 2-5 ATS across the past seven games overall, and they're 3-9 ATS in the past 12 against teams with a winning overall mark. The Texans are also 1-4 ATS in the past five inside the division. For the Titans, they have covered four in a row, they're 3-0-1 ATS in the past four at home and they're 4-0-1 ATS in the past five as a favorite.

-- The Broncos and Chiefs do battle on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium at 1:00 p.m. ET, and suddenly Denver looks alive and well with Lock under center. The Chiefs looked alive and well going on the road and exacting revenge for their AFC Championship Game loss, topping the Patriots at Gillette. While Denver has been hot lately, they're still just 4-10 ATS in the past 14 games inside the division. The under is also 8-1-1 in the past 10 games inside the division. Denver is 1-7 ATS in the past eight meetings with the Chiefs, but 7-3 ATS in their past 10 trips to Kansas City. The over is 5-2-2 in the past nine meetings, including 3-0-1 in the past four at Arrowhead.

-- The Bears and Packers renew acquaintances at Lambeau Field. They met back in Week 1 on Thursday night with the Packers scratching out a 10-3 win in a defensive battle. The under is 3-3 at home, and 3-3 on the road, for the Packers so far this season, so not much to glean there. The under is 8-5 for the Bears this season, with the over/under at 3-3 on the road. The Bears have cashed in just two of the past nine overall, but they did cover at home as three-point 'dogs against the Cowboys on TNF last week. Still, they're 0-4 ATS in the past four on the road. The Packers are 5-1 ATS in the past six against teams with a winning record, but they're just 3-8 ATS in the past 11 inside the division.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
NFL Week 15 opening odds and early action: Rams-Cowboys line could quickly tighten
Patrick Everson

The Rams and Cowboys, both trying to gain spots in the NFC playoff field, square off Sunday. Dallas opened as 3-point home chalk, but SuperBook director John Murray expects that line to tighten.

With three weeks remaining in the regular season, playoff pursuits are heating up in the NFL. We check in on the opening lines and early action for four Week 15 matchups, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

Los Angeles Rams at Dallas Cowboys (-3)

Dallas is flailing about after two straight losses from the favorite?s role, yet somehow still leads the NFC East at 6-7 SU (7-6 ATS). In the Week 14 Thursday nighter, the Cowboys dug themselves into a 24-7 hole at Chicago and couldn?t come all the way back, losing 31-24 as 3-point favorites.

Los Angeles is the defending NFC champion, but hasn?t lived up to that status this season. That said, the Rams (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS) notched one of their most impressive wins of the season under the Sunday night spotlight, dumping Seattle 28-12 giving 1 point at home.

?We had this game Cowboys -3 before the Sunday night game, but the Rams looked so good that I think this line should reopen less than 3,? Murray said, noting the Rams-Cowboys line was taken off the board during the Sunday night game and will go back up Monday morning. ?There will be a lot of support for both sides this week.?

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-3)

Houston is kind of like the Dallas of the AFC South, given ample opportunity to seize the division and consistently failing to do so. The Texans (8-5 SU, 6-7 ATS) went off as 8-point home favorites against a four-win Denver team, but trailed 31-3 at halftime and fell 38-24.

That loss allowed Tennessee to stay right with Houston in the AFC South race. The Titans (8-5 SU and ATS) were 3-point favorites at Oakland on Sunday and turned a 21-21 halftime tie into a 42-21 victory, moving to 6-1 SU and ATS in their last seven games.

?The Titans have been on a roll lately, and the line already moved from -3 (even) to -3 (-110),? Murray said. ?The Texans laid an egg Sunday, but they have been much better on the road.?

Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers (-1)

Pittsburgh is among the biggest surprises of the year, after Le?Veon Bell and Antonio Brown moved on in the offseason, and Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) was lost for the season in Week 2. In Week 14, the Steelers (7-5, 6-4-2) topped Arizona 23-17 laying 2.5 points on the road, their sixth win in the last seven games.

Likewise, Buffalo is arguably a surprise playoff contender, although its three-game SU and ATS upswing ended in Week 14. The Bills (9-4 SU, 8-4-1 ATS) fell to Baltimore 24-17 catching 6 points at home.

?We opened Steelers -1 and have been pushed up to -1.5,? Murray said. ?The public will be all over the Steelers here. We will need the Bills.?

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-5.5)

Green Bay hardly looked impressive in Week 14, but Aaron Rodgers and Co. did enough to remain atop the NFC North. The Packers (10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS) held off Washington 20-15 as hefty 13-point home favorites.

Chicago has fallen off in a huge way from its 2018-19 form, when it went 12-4 SU and a league-leading 12-4 ATS. However, the Bears (7-6 SU, 4-9 ATS) have won three in a row and four of five to climb above .500. And Chicago gets the benefit of a mini-bye this week, after beating Dallas 31-24 as 3-point home underdogs in the Week 14 Thursday nighter.

?We opened this game Packers -5.5 and are down to -5,? Murray said. ?The Packers didn?t look good at all Sunday, and the Bears are always a popular public side, so there should be support for both in this game.?
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
301NY JETS -302 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game in the last 3 seasons.

305TAMPA BAY -306 DETROIT
DETROIT is 7-25 ATS (-20.5 Units) vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game since 1992.

307PHILADELPHIA -308 WASHINGTON
PHILADELPHIA is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) in road games vs. poor teams - outscored by 6+ points per game on the season in the second half of the season since 1992.

309CHICAGO -310 GREEN BAY
GREEN BAY is 38-14 ATS (22.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

311NEW ENGLAND -312 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game over the last 2 seasons.

313HOUSTON -314 TENNESSEE
TENNESSEE is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.

315SEATTLE -316 CAROLINA
SEATTLE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the last 2 seasons.

317DENVER -318 KANSAS CITY
DENVER is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games in the last 2 seasons.

319MIAMI -320 NY GIANTS
NY GIANTS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

319MIAMI -320 NY GIANTS
Pat Shurmur is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return (Coach of NY GIANTS)

321BUFFALO -322 PITTSBURGH
BUFFALO is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.

323JACKSONVILLE -324 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 15-44 ATS (-33.4 Units) in home games vs. losing teams since 1992.

325CLEVELAND -326 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 3 seasons.

327ATLANTA -328 SAN FRANCISCO
ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. over the last 2 seasons.

327ATLANTA -328 SAN FRANCISCO
ATLANTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game in the last 2 seasons.

329LA RAMS -330 DALLAS
LA RAMS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) with <=6 days rest in the current season.

331MINNESOTA -332 LA CHARGERS
LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) at home when the total is 45.5-49 in the last 2 seasons.

333INDIANAPOLIS -334 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games in the last 2 seasons.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
NFL
Long Sheet

Week 15


Thursday, December 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY JETS (5 - 8) at BALTIMORE (11 - 2) - 12/12/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, December 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (6 - 7) at DETROIT (3 - 9 - 1) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 147-184 ATS (-55.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (5 - 7) at WASHINGTON (3 - 10) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 26-49 ATS (-27.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (7 - 6) at GREEN BAY (10 - 3) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 115-84 ATS (+22.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 198-144 ATS (+39.6 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (10 - 3) at CINCINNATI (1 - 12) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 269-206 ATS (+42.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 269-206 ATS (+42.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-97 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-97 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 206-151 ATS (+39.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 198-152 ATS (+30.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 129-88 ATS (+32.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 67-45 ATS (+17.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (8 - 5) at TENNESSEE (8 - 5) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 122-157 ATS (-50.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (10 - 3) at CAROLINA (5 - 8) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 121-91 ATS (+20.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 72-43 ATS (+24.7 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (5 - 8) at KANSAS CITY (9 - 4) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 5-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (3 - 10) at NY GIANTS (2 - 10) - 12/15/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (9 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (8 - 5) - 12/15/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 105-78 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE (4 - 9) at OAKLAND (6 - 7) - 12/15/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OAKLAND is 37-65 ATS (-34.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 41-84 ATS (-51.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 35-61 ATS (-32.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (6 - 7) at ARIZONA (3 - 9 - 1) - 12/15/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
ARIZONA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (4 - 9) at SAN FRANCISCO (11 - 2) - 12/15/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 33-56 ATS (-28.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA RAMS (8 - 5) at DALLAS (6 - 7) - 12/15/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS are 94-124 ATS (-42.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS are 146-191 ATS (-64.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS are 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
LA RAMS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 41-63 ATS (-28.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA RAMS is 2-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
LA RAMS is 2-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (9 - 4) at LA CHARGERS (5 - 8) - 12/15/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
LA CHARGERS are 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, December 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 7) at NEW ORLEANS (10 - 3) - 12/16/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 110-82 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NFL

Week 15


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Thursday, December 12

Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing NY Jets
Baltimore is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing NY Jets
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
New York Jets
NY Jets is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 games
NY Jets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NY Jets is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games
NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games on the road
NY Jets is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Baltimore
NY Jets is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
NY Jets is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore


Sunday, December 15

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Green Bay is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chicago's last 18 games
Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Green Bay

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Kansas City is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Denver's last 22 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 12 games on the road
Denver is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Houston
Tennessee is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Houston
Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing at home against Houston
Houston Texans
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games on the road
Houston is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Tennessee
Houston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tennessee
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee

Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 9 games
Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Carolina is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games at home
Carolina is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
Carolina is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Seattle's last 22 games
Seattle is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
Seattle is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing on the road against Carolina

Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing New England
Cincinnati is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against New England
New England Patriots
New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of New England's last 25 games
New England is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
New England is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England's last 8 games on the road
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
New England is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
New England is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati

Detroit Lions
Detroit is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Tampa Bay
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games
Tampa Bay is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Detroit
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit

New York Giants
NY Giants is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
NY Giants is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
NY Giants is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 6 games at home
NY Giants is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing Miami
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Miami is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Miami is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing NY Giants

Washington Redskins
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Washington is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 10 games
Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Washington is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games at home
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Washington's last 18 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 18 games when playing on the road against Washington

Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home
Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Jacksonville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Jacksonville is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Jacksonville is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games on the road
Jacksonville is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Arizona is 1-8-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games
LA Chargers is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers's last 12 games
LA Chargers is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
LA Chargers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers

San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
San Francisco is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta
San Francisco is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Francisco's last 15 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games
Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Atlanta is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Atlanta is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Atlanta's last 15 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Dallas's last 16 games
Dallas is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing LA Rams
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games
LA Rams is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Rams's last 8 games
LA Rams is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
LA Rams is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Buffalo is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 8 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh


Monday, December 16

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
New Orleans is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Indianapolis
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Indianapolis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
Indianapolis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Indianapolis is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
Indianapolis is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
Indianapolis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
32,115
55
48
Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 15 odds: Wait for the Brady bashing to begin before betting this total
Jason Logan

Tom Brady and the Patriots are struggling to meet their lofty standards this season, averaging only 17 points over their last three games.

Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team but betting the best number.

Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window ? or your mobile ? to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it?s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best ?Bet Now/Bet Later? games on the NFL Week 15 board, so download the new Covers Live App and punch these odds into your line alerts.

SPREAD TO BET NOW: CHICAGO BEARS AT GREEN BAY PACKERS (-5, 41)

These NFC North rivals do battle at Lambeau Field, with the Packers opening at the dead number of -5 hosting a Bears team on a three-game winning streak. While Chicago has feasted on a high-fat diet during this span, it did dominate Dallas last Thursday night.

The big turnaround is the offense, which is averaging 5.7 yards per play during this streak ? a full yard higher than the Bears? season average. Chicago has scored 19, 24, and 31 points in those wins, picking up steam ahead of this important divisional game.

Some books have already moved to Green Bay -4.5 while others are discounting the juice on Packers -5. If you like the Bears, grab them now because bookmakers will move through the dead numbers much faster and we could see this sitting -4 or -3.5 by Sunday.

SPREAD TO BET LATER: HOUSTON TEXANS AT TENNESSEE TITANS (-3, 49.5)

The Titans are the hottest team in the NFL with a sudden surge on offense since Week 10. Tennessee has won four in a row with a combined 150 points scored in that span. To put that uptick into perspective, the Titans scored a combined 169 points from Week 1 to Week 9, and 43 of those points came in a Week 1 win over Cleveland.

Houston?s roller-coaster ride continues, following a big win over New England with a pure stinker versus Denver. The Texans rank 25th in defensive DVOA at FootballOutsiders and hit the road for the first time since Week 11 for what will be the first of two meetings with Tennessee over the next three weeks.

If you like Houston here, take your time and see if you can get that oh-so valuable half-point hook at +3.5. The Titans are turning heads and while some books are taking money on the underdog, there could be a heavy public push closer to the weekend. If you're skeptical, take the field goal now. If you're greedy, wait for the hook.

TOTAL TO BET NOW: UNDER 37 BUFFALO BILLS AT PITTSBURGH STEELERS

Two of the better defenses in the NFL butt heads on Sunday Night Football with these teams each vying for a Wild Card ticket to the postseason in the AFC. Books opened the Over/Under at 37 points and early money is coming in on the Under, pushing the total down to 36.5 at some books.

This total sits among the lowest of the 2019 season, but for good reason The Bills just checked the high-powered Ravens to only 24 points and that defense gave them a chance to win the game in the final minutes. They didn?t pull it off but that effort proved this Buffalo stop unit is for real after crushing some cupcake foes earlier in the year.

The Steelers have seen a subtle upgrade on offense with Devlin ?Duck? Hodges under center but the backbone of this squad is the stop unit, which has limited its last five opponents to an average of only 12.8 points per game. If you like the Under, jump in the pool now and collect as many points as you can.

TOTAL TO BET LATER: OVER 40.5 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS

Boy, the Patriots offense has fallen off. But no matter how bad things are for Tom Brady & Co. they should still be able to hang a healthy dose of scoring on the Bengals' 31st-ranked defense. Hell, even if Brady and the offense don?t find the end zone much, this New England defense is no stranger to paydirt and Cincy has coughed the ball up 23 times this season.

The Bengals, on the other hand, have enjoyed a slight resurgence with veteran QB Andy Dalton back at the helm. Cincinnati has scored 19 and 22 points the past two games after posting efforts of 10, 10, 13 and 10 points in the four games prior.

If you like the Over, pump the breaks on your bet and see if you can get something a little lower. A few books have discounted the juice on the Over, with early play on the Under so a move to 40 or 39.5 could be on the way, especially with the media making a big fuss over Brady?s fall from grace.
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top