CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2021-2022 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

Cnotes53

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NOVEMBER'S COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS AND OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units Record

11/25/2021...........1-3-0............25.00%..............-11.50
11/23/2021...........0-4-0............00.00%...............-22.00
11/20/2021.......43-45-1............48.88%...............-32.50
11/19/2021...........7-3-0............70.00%...............+18.50
11/18/2021...........1-1-0............50.00%..................-0.50
11/17/2021...........3-0-1............87.50%................+15.00
11/16/2021...........1-5-0............16.67%.................-22.50
11/13/2021.......21-24-0.............46.66%.................-27.00
11/12/2021...........3-1-0.............75.00%................+ 9.50
11/11/2021...........2-0-0...........100.00%................+10.00
11/10/2021...........3-3-0.............50.00%..................- 1.50
11/09/2021...........4-2-0.............66.67%................+ 9.00
11/06/2021........34-22-1.............60.53%...............+49.00
11/05/2021...........3-1-0..............75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/03/2021...........3-1-0..............75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/02/2021...........5-1-0..............83.33%...............+19.50

Totals.............134-117-0..............53.38%...............+ 32.00


BEST BETS:

11/25/2021..............1-3-0.............25.00%..............-11.50
11/23/2021..............0-4-0.............00.00%...............-22.00
11/20/2021..........23-10-0..............69.69%..............+60.00
11/19/2021..............5-2-0..............71.42%..............+24.00
11/18/2021..............1-1-0..............50.00%...... ........- 0.50
11/17/2021..............3-0-1............100.00%..............+15.00
11/16/2021..............1-4-0..............20.00%..............-.12.00
11/13/2021...........12-15-0.............44.44%..............- .22.50
11/12/2021..............3-1-0..............75.00%.............+ 9.50
11/11/2021..............2-0-0............100.00%..............+ 10.00
11/10/2021..............2-3-0..............40.00%...............- 6.50
11/09/2021....... ......3-1-0..............75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/06/2021...........22-13-0..............62.85%..............+ 38.50
11/05/2021..............3-0-0.............100.00%..............+ 15.00
11/03/2021..............2-0-0.............100.00%..............+ 10.00
11/02/2021..............4-0-0.............100.00%..............+ 20.00

Totals...................86-57-1..............60.13%...............+ 136.50

UPDATED ON 11/25/2021
 

Udog

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13


Top 13 Friday/Saturday games
Boise State (7-4) @ San Diego State (10-1)

? Boise State won last four games, scoring 32 ppg.
? Broncos gave up 11.5 ppg in last four games.
? Boise State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Broncos have 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Boise has soph QB who has started 26 games.
? Last 11 years, Boise is 32-17 ATS as a road favorite, 2-0 TY.
? Last two years, Broncos are 3-7 ATS coming off a win.
? Under is 6-0 in last six Boise games

? San Diego State won last three games; they lost 30-20 to Fresno.
? Aztecs? last five wins were all by 8 or less points.
? Aztecs were held under 300 TY in four of last six games.
? San Diego State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Aztecs have 65 returning starts on offensive line.
? San Diego State has a junior QB with 13 starts.
? Aztecs are 8-2-1 ATS in last 11 games as home underdogs.
? Under is 5-2 in Aztecs? last seven games.

? Teams split last six meetings.
? Teams haven?t played since 2018.
? Underdogs covered last six series games.

Kansas State (7-4) @ Texas (4-7)
? K-State won/covered four of last five games.
? Under Klieman, Wildcats are 10-4 ATS on road.
? K-State is 7-1 allowing less than 31 points.
? Wildcats have 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? K-State has 53 returning starts on offensive line.
? Wildcats have senior QB with 36 career starts.
? Under Klieman, K-State is 7-5 ATS coming off a loss.
? Four of last five K-State games stayed under.

? Texas lost its last six games, giving up 41 ppg.
? Longhorns are 0-6 ATS in their last six games.
? Longhorns allowed 27+ points in nine of 11 games.
? Texas has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Longhorns have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Texas starts a sophomore QB (22 TD passes, 8 INTs)
? Texas is 10-15 ATS last 25 games as a home favorite.
? Four of last five Texas games stayed under the total.

? Texas won last four series games (1-3 ATS)
? Longhorns hammered K-State 69-31 LY.
? Wildcats are 10-3 ATS in last 13 series games.

North Carolina (6-5) @ NC State (8-3)
? UNC is 6-1 if it scores 34+ points, 0-4 otherwise.
? Tar Heels haven?t won consecutive games since September.
? North Carolina gave up 523-615-441 TY in last three I-A games.
? UNC ran ball for 223+ yards in four of last five I-A games.
? Tar Heels have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Tech has 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
? UNC has a soph QB with 36 career starts.
? Over is 6-5 in last Carolina games this season.

? NC State won seven of its last nine games.
? Wolfpack was held under 100 YR in last four games.
? State covered four of five home games this year.
? Wolfpack has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? NC State has 73 returning starts on offensive line.
? Wolfpack has a soph QB this year, with 19 starts.
? Last two years, NC State is 6-2 ATS as home favorites.
? Over is 6-3 in last nine Wolfpack games.

? UNC won last two meetings, 48-21/41-10
? Before those two games, State had won 9 of last 12 meetings.

Washington State (6-5) @ Washington (4-5)
? Wazzu split its last four games; they?re bowl eligible.
? Coogs scored 31+ points in four of last six games.
? Wazzu allowed 200+ YR in four of their five losses.
? Coogs have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Wazzu has 68 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Coogs have a soph QB with 18 career starts.
? Wazzu is 10-7 ATS in its last 17 road games.
? Over is 4-1 in Coogs? last five games.

? Washington fired its coach LW; both sides have interim coaches.
? Huskies lost last three games, by 10-5-3 points.
? Washington outgained Colorado 426-183 LW, still lost 20-17.
? Washington has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Huskies have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Washington?s QB has 14 career starts.
? Huskies are 8-14 ATS in their last 22 home games.
? Under is 8-2 in Washington games.

? Washington won last seven series games, covered last six.
? Coogs are 2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Huskies? Stadium.

Ohio State (10-1) @ Michigan (10-1)
? Ohio State won its last nine games (6-2 ATS last eight)
? Seven of those nine wins were by 21+ points.
? Buckeyes threw for 300+ yards in last eight games.
? Buckeyes have 6 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? OSU has 37 returning starts on offensive line.
? Ohio State?s QB has 11 career starts.
? Coach Day is 20-9-1 ATS as a favorite, 8-2-1 on road.
? Under is 3-1 in Ohio State?s last four games.

? Michigan won last three games, giving up 14 ppg.
? Michigan?s one loss was 37-33 at Michigan State
? Nebraska/Michigan St are only teams to score more than 18 vs Michigan.
? Michigan scored 29+ points in nine of 11 games.
? Michigan has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Wolverines have 30 returning starts on offensive line.
? Michigan?s QB has started 12 games.
? Under is 5-1 in Michigan home games this year.

? Ohio State won eight in row, 15 of last 16 meetings.
? OSU is 7-2 ATS in last nine series games with single digit spread.
? Buckeyes are 6-4 ATS in last ten visits to Ann Arbor.

Kentucky (8-3) @ Louisville (6-5)
? Kentucky scored 44 ppg in its last three games.
? Wildcats are 8-3 despite being minus-14 in turnovers.
? Kentucky gave up 30+ points in all three losses.
? Kentucky has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Wildcats have 62 returning starts on offensive line.
? Kentucky?s QB has 13 career starts; he transferred from Penn State.
? Wildcats are 11-9-1 ATS last 21 games as road underdogs.
? Over is 3-1 in last four Kentucky games.

? Louisville won its last two games, scoring 41-62 points.
? Cardinals are 5-0 giving up 23 or less points, 1-5 otherwise.
? Louisville ran ball for 213+ yards in six of last seven games.
? Louisville has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Cardinals have 95 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cardinals? junior QB has started 39 games.
? Under Satterfield, Louisville is 8-3 ATS as home favorites.
? Under is 4-2 in last six Cardinal games.

? Kentucky won three of last four series games.
? Wildcats covered their last three visits to Louisville.
? Winning side scored 38+ points in last six meetings.

Virginia Tech (5-6) @ Virginia (6-5)
? Tech lost five of last seven games, needs win to be bowl eligible.
? Hokies are 1-3 SU on road, losing by 6-14-12 points.
? Hokies are 5-1 allowing 17 or less points in wins, 0-5 otherwise.
? Hokies are 11-7 ATS last 18 games as road underdogs.
? Tech has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Tech has 106 returning starts on offensive line.
? Hokies? junior QB has started 15 games.
? Under is 6-4 in Virginia Tech games this year.

? Virginia lost last three games, giving up 47.3 ppg.
? Virginia scored 34+ points in five of last six games.
? Cavaliers gave up 200+ RY in six of last nine games.
? Cavaliers are 13-7 ATS in last 20 games home favorites.
? Virginia has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on offensive line.
? Virginia has a soph QB with 21 starts.
? Over is 3-1 in last four Virginia games.

? Tech won 16 of last 17 series games.
? Virginia?s lone win in last 17 meetings was two years ago.
? Hokies covered once in last four visits to Charlottesville.

Wisconsin (8-3) @ Minnesota (7-4)
? Wisconsin won last seven games, after a 1-3 start.
? Wisconsin is 8-0 when it scores 20+ points, 0-3 when it doesn?t.
? Wisconsin is 19-6 ATS in last 25 games as a road favorite.
? Last five games, Badgers are plus-12 in turnovers.
? Badgers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Wisconsin has 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Wisconsin has a freshman QB, with 17 starts.
? Over is 4-1 in last five Wisconsin games.

? Minnesota lost two of last three games, after a 6-2 start.
? Gophers held last three opponents under 280 TY.
? Minnesota is 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 games as home dogs.
? Minnesota has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Gophers have 182 (yes, 182) returning starts on offensive line.
? Gophers have a junior QB with 37 starts.
? Minnesota is 11-6-1 ATS last 18 games coming off a win.
? Over is 4-2 in last six Minnesota games.

? Wisconsin won 16 of last 17 series games.
? Badgers are 5-1 ATS in last six visits to Minnesota.
? Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

Oregon State (7-4) @ Oregon (9-2)
? Beavers are 9-1 ATS as last ten games as road underdogs.
? Oregon State is 6-0 giving up less than 30 points.
? Beavers are 1-4 SU on road, with lone win at USC.
? Oregon State allowed 14-10 points in last two games.
? Beavers have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? OSU has 86 returning starts on offensive line.
? OSU?s sophomore QB has 14 career starts.
? Three of last four OSU road games went over total.

? Oregon won five of last six games, losing 38-7 at Utah LW.
? Ducks are 7-0 when they give up less than 31 points.
? Ducks were +12 in turnovers first four games, are minus-3 since.
? Oregon ran ball for 210+ yards in five of last seven games.
? Ducks have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Oregon has 36 returning starts on offensive line.
? Oregon?s QB has 39 career starts, 28 at Boston College.
? Under Cristobal, Ducks are 7-12 ATS as home favorites.
? Under is 6-4 in Oregon games this season.

? Oregon won 11 of last 13 series games.
? Beavers are 5-2 ATS last seven visits to Eugene.
? Over is 13-4 in last 17 series games.

Oklahoma (10-1) @ Oklahoma State (7-1)
? Sooners threw for less than 200 yards three of last four games.
? Oklahoma was held to 14-28 points in last two games.
? Sooners are underdogs for first time this season.
? Sooners have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Oklahoma has 126 returning starts on offensive line.
? Sooners changed QB?s again LW; unsure who starts here.
? Last ten years, Oklahoma is 5-1 ATS as regular season road dogs.
? Under is 3-1 in last four Oklahoma games.

? OSU won its last four games, outscoring foes 165-23.
? OSU covered its last nine games.
? Cowboys? only loss was 24-21 at Iowa State
? Cowboys have 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? OSU has 103 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cowboys? soph QB has started 28 games.
? OSU is 12-7-1 ATS in last 20 games as home favorites.
? Five of last seven OSU games stayed under total.

? Oklahoma won last six series games (5-1 ATS)
? Sooners covered last four meetings as an underdog.
? Last time OSU covered as a series favorite: 1998.

Alabama (11-1) @ Auburn (6-5)
? Alabama won its last five games, three by 28+ points.
? Alabama threw for 559 yards in LW?s 42-35 win.
? Alabama is +8 in turnovers; last seven years, they?re +75.
? Crimson Tide has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Alabama has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
? Bama?s new QB has started 12 games.
? Last five years, Alabama is 10-10 ATS as road favorites.
? Under is 7-4 in Alabama games this season.

? Auburn QB Nix broke his ankle, is obviously OFY.
? Auburn lost last three games, outscored 84-44.
? Auburn is 6-1 if it scores more than 20 points.
? Tigers gave up 430+ yards in four of last six games.
? Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Auburn has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
? Last six years, Auburn is 6-3 ATS as home underdogs.
? Under is 5-2 in last seven Auburn games.

? Home side won last five series games.
? Alabama lost 48-45/26-14 in last two visits to Auburn
? Alabama is 6-1 ATS in last seven series games as double digit favorites.

Penn State (7-4) @ Michigan State (9-2)
? Penn State lost four of last six games, after 5-0 start.
? Nittany Lions were held under 110 RY five of last six games.
? PSU is 1-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
? Penn State has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Penn State has 47 returning starts on offensive line.
? Penn State has a junior QB, with 33 starts.
? Nittany Lions are 9-4 ATS last 13 road games.
? Last five Penn State games stayed under total.

? Michigan State lost two of last three games, after 8-0 start.
? Spartans gave up 39 ppg in last three games.
? Last four games, MSU gave up 563 yards/game.
? Spartans have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? MSU has 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Michigan State has senior QB who started 26 games for Temple.
? MSU is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 home games.
? Over is 3-1 in Michigan State?s last four games.

? Both head coaches signed really big contracts this week.
? Penn State won last two meetings, 39-24/28-7
? Nittany Lions are 4-6 ATS last ten visits to East Lansing.

Florida State (5-6) @ Florida (5-6)
? Florida State won 5 of last 7 games, after an 0-4 start.
? FSU needs this win to be bowl eligible.
? FSU won last two games, both by a FG.
? Seminoles have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? FSU has 100 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Seminoles have been playing two QBs.
? Seminoles are 7-10 ATS last 17 games as road underdogs.
? Last three FSU games stayed under the total.

? Florida fired its coach this week.
? Florida is 0-5 ATS in its last five games.
? Gators lost last four I-A games, giving up 36.8 ppg.
? Florida has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Gators have 54 returning starts on offensive line.
? Florida has been playing two QB?s recently.
? Florida is 14-9-1 ATS last 24 home games.
? Under is 6-3 in Gators? last nine games.

? Florida won last two meetings, 40-17/41-14
? These teams didn?t meet last season.
? Seminoles covered four of last five trips to the Swamp.
? Winner of this game becomes bowl eligible.
 

Udog

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The Hawkeyes enter this game on a 1-4 ATS skid
Nebraska has lost five straight games, all by single digits
The 'over' is on 4-1 run in this series
The visitor is 6-2 ATS in the last eight H2H encounters


Arkansas is on a 0-3-1 ATS skid in its last four as a favorite
The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as road underdogs
Missouri is 0-4 ATS in its last four visits to Arkansas
The 'under' is on a 7-2 run in this series
The home team is 8-1 ATS in the last nine encounters


The Bearcats have gone 1-4 ATS in their last five games
The 'under' is 4-1 during this five-game stretch for Cincy
ECU has been a solid 'dog lately, going 5-0-1 ATS when catching points
The Pirates are on an 8-1 ATS run in American matchups
This series has watched the 'over' cash in four straight
The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five encounters


The Wolfpack have gone 5-1 ATS at home this season
The Tar Heels are 0-3 on the road, allowing 39.7 PPG
UNC has gone 4-0 ATS in its last four meetings with N.C. State
The road team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight matchups of this series





 

Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 26
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


BSU at SDSU 12:00 PM
BSU -3.0
U 44.5

+500 +500

KSU at TEX 12:00 PM
KSU +2.5
U 54.5
+500 +500

EMU at CMU 12:00 PM
EMU +8.5
U 63.5
+500 +500

USU at UNM 01:00 PM
USU -16.5
O 48.0
+500 +500

IOWA at NEB 01:30 PM
NEB -1.0
O 40.0
+500 +500

UTEP at UAB 02:00 PM
UTEP +13.5
O 50.0
+500 +500

CIN at ECU 03:30 PM
CIN -14.0
O 56.5
+500 +500

USF at UCF 03:30 PM
USF +17.5
O 62.0
+500 +500

UNLV at AFA 03:30 PM
AFA -18.0
O 50.5

+500 +500

MIZZ at ARK 03:30 PM
MIZZ +14.5
U 63.5
+500 +500

CCU at USA 03:30 PM
USA +15.0
O 55.0
+500 +500

COLO at UTAH 04:00 PM
UTAH -24.0
U 52.0
+500 +500

TCU at ISU 04:30 PM
ISU -15.0
U 61.0
+500 +500

*************************

UNC at NCST 07:00 PM
NCST -6.5
U 63.0

+500 +500

WSU at WASH 08:00 PM
WASH +1.0
O 45.0
+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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48
NOVEMBER'S COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS AND OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units Record

11/26/2021.......15-17-0............46.88%...............-18.50
11/25/2021...........1-3-0............25.00%..............-11.50
11/23/2021...........0-4-0............00.00%...............-22.00
11/20/2021.......43-45-1............48.88%...............-32.50
11/19/2021...........7-3-0............70.00%...............+18.50
11/18/2021...........1-1-0............50.00%..................-0.50
11/17/2021...........3-0-1............87.50%................+15.00
11/16/2021...........1-5-0............16.67%.................-22.50
11/13/2021.......21-24-0.............46.66%.................-27.00
11/12/2021...........3-1-0.............75.00%................+ 9.50
11/11/2021...........2-0-0...........100.00%................+10.00
11/10/2021...........3-3-0.............50.00%..................- 1.50
11/09/2021...........4-2-0.............66.67%................+ 9.00
11/06/2021........34-22-1.............60.53%...............+49.00
11/05/2021...........3-1-0..............75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/03/2021...........3-1-0..............75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/02/2021...........5-1-0..............83.33%...............+19.50

Totals.............149-134-0..............52.65%...............+ 13.50


BEST BETS:

11/26/2021..............6-8-0.............42.55.................-14.00
11/25/2021..............1-3-0.............25.00%..............-11.50
11/23/2021..............0-4-0.............00.00%...............-22.00
11/20/2021..........23-10-0..............69.69%..............+60.00
11/19/2021..............5-2-0..............71.42%..............+24.00
11/18/2021..............1-1-0..............50.00%...... ........- 0.50
11/17/2021..............3-0-1............100.00%..............+15.00
11/16/2021..............1-4-0..............20.00%..............-.12.00
11/13/2021...........12-15-0.............44.44%..............- .22.50
11/12/2021..............3-1-0..............75.00%.............+ 9.50
11/11/2021..............2-0-0............100.00%..............+ 10.00
11/10/2021..............2-3-0..............40.00%...............- 6.50
11/09/2021....... ......3-1-0..............75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/06/2021...........22-13-0..............62.85%..............+ 38.50
11/05/2021..............3-0-0.............100.00%..............+ 15.00
11/03/2021..............2-0-0.............100.00%..............+ 10.00
11/02/2021..............4-0-0.............100.00%..............+ 20.00

Totals...................92-65-1..............58.59%...............+ 122.50

UPDATED ON 11/26/2021
 

Udog

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Michigan has covered nine of its last 11 games.
Michigan has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last seven home games.
Michigan has covered the spread in five of its last six games in Ann Arbor.
Ohio State has covered the spread in six of its last eight games.


Auburn has won 17 of its last 22 home games.
The point total has gone UNDER in four of the last six Iron Bowl games.
Alabama has covered the spread in 14 of its last 21 games.
Auburn has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last seven games.


Penn State has covered the spread in 11 of its last 15 games.
Penn State has covered the spread in five of its last six road games.
Michigan State has won five straight home games
Michigan State has gone OVER the point total in six of its last seven games.


Oklahoma has covered the spread in four of its last six games.
Oklahoma has won five of its last six games when facing Oklahoma State.
Oklahoma State has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last seven games.
Oklahoma State has covered the spread in five straight games.





 

Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 27
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


MD at RUTG 12:00 PM
RUTG -1.5
+500

HOU at CONN 12:00 PM
HOU -32.0
+500

OSU at MICH 12:00 PM
OSU -7.0
+500

FSU at FLA 12:00 PM
FSU +3.0
+500

UGA at GT 12:00 PM
UGA -35.0
+500

NAVY at TEM 12:00 PM
NAVY -13.5
+500

ARMY at LIB 12:00 PM
ARMY +3.5
+500

TTU at BAY 12:00 PM
BAY -14.0
+500

AKR at TOL 12:00 PM
AKR +28.5
+500

M-OH at KENT 12:00 PM
M-OH -1.5
+500

WAKE at BC 12:00 PM
WAKE -5.5
+500

MIA at DUKE 12:30 PM
MIA -21.0
+500

**********************

LT at RICE 01:00 PM
LT -4.0
+500

UTSA at UNT 02:00 PM
UTSA -9.0
+500

TXST at ARST 02:00 PM
TXST +2.0
+500

TROY at GSU 02:00 PM
TROY +6.5
+500

CHAR at ODU 02:00 PM
ODU -9.0
+500

GASO at APP 02:30 PM
GASO +24.5
+500

*****************

HAW at WYO 03:00 PM
WYO -10.5
+500

MASS at NMSU 03:00 PM
NMSU -6.5
+500

FIU at USM 03:00 PM
FIU +14.0
+500

WKU at MRSH 03:30 PM
O 73.5
+500

NW at ILL 03:30 PM
NW +6.0

IU at PUR 03:30 PM
PUR -14.0
+500

PSU at MSU 03:30 PM
MSU +5.5
+500

ORST at ORE 03:30 PM
ORST +7.0
+500

ALA at AUB 03:30 PM
AUB +20.5
+500

VAN at TENN 03:45 PM
VAN +32.0
+500

VT at UVA 03:45 PM
VT +6.5
+500

TLSA at SMU 04:00 PM
TLSA +6.5
+500

WIS at MINN 04:00 PM
MINN +7.0
+500

ARIZ at ASU 04:00 PM
ARIZ +20.0
+500

ULM at ULL 04:00 PM
ULL -21.5
+500
 

Cnotes53

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UNDER THE LIGHTS:

WVU at KU 07:00 PM
KU +15.5
+500

TAM at LSU 07:00 PM
TAM -6.0
+500

MTU at FAU 07:00 PM
FAU -4.0
O 49.5
+500 +500

UK at LOU 07:30 PM
UK +3.0
+500

PITT at SYR 07:30 PM
PITT -12.5
+500

TULN at MEM 07:30 PM
MEM -5.5
U 57.5
+500 +500

CLEM at SOCAR 07:30 PM
SOCAR +11.5
+500

OKLA at OKST 07:30 PM
OKST -3.5
+500

******************

ND at STAN 08:00 PM
ND -20.5
+500

NEV at CSU 09:00 PM
NEV -3.0
+500

BYU at USC 10:30 PM
BYU -9.0
+500

CAL at UCLA 10:30 PM
CAL +6.5
+500
 

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NOVEMBER'S COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS AND OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units Record

11/27/2021.......23-23-1............50.00%..............-11.50
11/26/2021.......15-17-0............46.88%...............-18.50
11/25/2021...........1-3-0............25.00%..............-11.50
11/23/2021...........0-4-0............00.00%...............-22.00
11/20/2021.......43-45-1............48.88%...............-32.50
11/19/2021...........7-3-0............70.00%...............+18.50
11/18/2021...........1-1-0............50.00%..................-0.50
11/17/2021...........3-0-1............87.50%................+15.00
11/16/2021...........1-5-0............16.67%.................-22.50
11/13/2021.......21-24-0.............46.66%.................-27.00
11/12/2021...........3-1-0.............75.00%................+ 9.50
11/11/2021...........2-0-0...........100.00%................+10.00
11/10/2021...........3-3-0.............50.00%..................- 1.50
11/09/2021...........4-2-0.............66.67%................+ 9.00
11/06/2021........34-22-1.............60.53%...............+49.00
11/05/2021...........3-1-0..............75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/03/2021...........3-1-0..............75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/02/2021...........5-1-0..............83.33%...............+19.50

Totals.............172-157-0..............52.27%...............+ 2.00


BEST BETS:

11/27/2021..........17-11-0.............60.71%..............+24.50
11/26/2021..............6-8-0.............42.55%...............-14.00
11/25/2021..............1-3-0.............25.00%..............-11.50
11/23/2021..............0-4-0.............00.00%...............-22.00
11/20/2021..........23-10-0..............69.69%..............+60.00
11/19/2021..............5-2-0..............71.42%..............+24.00
11/18/2021..............1-1-0..............50.00%...... ........- 0.50
11/17/2021..............3-0-1............100.00%..............+15.00
11/16/2021..............1-4-0..............20.00%..............-.12.00
11/13/2021...........12-15-0.............44.44%..............- .22.50
11/12/2021..............3-1-0..............75.00%.............+ 9.50
11/11/2021..............2-0-0............100.00%..............+ 10.00
11/10/2021..............2-3-0..............40.00%...............- 6.50
11/09/2021....... ......3-1-0..............75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/06/2021...........22-13-0..............62.85%..............+ 38.50
11/05/2021..............3-0-0.............100.00%..............+ 15.00
11/03/2021..............2-0-0.............100.00%..............+ 10.00
11/02/2021..............4-0-0.............100.00%..............+ 20.00

Totals..................109-76-1..............58.91%...............+ 147.00

UPDATED ON 11/27/2021
 

Udog

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Championship Game Matchups, Odds, Trends, History

Week 14 of the 2021 College Football season will be highlighted with 10 conference championship games.

2021 College Football Championship Matchups

C-USA - Western Kentucky vs. UTSA
Pac-12 - Oregon vs. Utah
Big 12 - Baylor vs. Oklahoma State
MAC - Kent State vs. Northern Illinois
MW - Utah State vs. San Diego State
Sun Belt - Appalachian State vs. Louisiana
SEC - Georgia vs. Alabama
AAC - Houston vs. Cincinnati
Big 10 - Michigan vs. Iowa
ACC - Pittsburgh vs. Wake Forest

The betting action begins on Friday Dec. 3 with two matchups before the remaining eight games are played on Saturday, Dec. 4.

Listed below are all of the matchups, odds and betting notes for the 10 title games.

Conference USA Championship

Western Kentucky at UTSA


Date: Friday, Dec. 3
TV-Time: CBSSN, 7:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Alamodome
Location: San Antonio, Texas

Betting History

-- The favorite has cashed in four of the past six CUSA title games, with the OVER-UNDER splitting 7-7-1 across the past 15 installments.

-- Western Kentucky last appeared in this game in 2016, and they're 2-0 SU/ATS all-time in CUSA Championship Games. UTSA has never appeared in the title game.

Opening Odds: Western Kentucky -1, 75

Betting Notes & Trends

-- Western Kentucky rolls into this game with five straight covers, and the Hilltoppers are also 5-0 ATS across the past five as a favorite. In addition, they're 7-3 ATS across the past 10 games on the road, while going 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 road games against teams with a winning home mark, which UTSA certainly qualifies.

-- UTSA saw its perfect regular season ruined in the finale at North Texas, falling 45-23. That might be good news for bettors, as the Roadrunners are 8-1 ATS in the past nine following a straight-up loss, and 8-3 ATS in the past 11 following a non-cover.

-- The Roadrunners are also 6-1 ATS in the past seven against teams with a winning overall record, while going 10-4 ATS in the past 14 games overall and 7-3 ATS in the past 10 in the Alamodome.

Pac-12 Championship

Oregon vs. Utah


Date: Friday, Dec. 3
TV-Time: ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada

Betting History

-- The Ducks are back in the Pac-12 title game for the third time in three seasons. They have won the past two, including a 37-15 win over Utah in 2019. The underdog has cashed in each of the past two, and six of 10 title games overall.

-- The Utes have appeared in this game in 2018 and 2019, but they're 0-2 SU/ATS in those two showings.

Opening Odds: Utah -3, 58.5

Betting Notes & Trends

-- The Ducks enter on a 5-2 ATS roll as an underdog, although they failed to cover as a 'dog in Salt Lake City on Nov. 20 as a 3.5-point underdog, falling 38-7. Oregon is just 4-9 ATS in the past 13 following a straight up victory, and 8-20 ATS in the past 28 following a cover.

-- The Utes haven't fared well in neutral-site affairs, going 0-4 ATS in the past four neutral-site battles, while going 16-7 ATS in the past 23 Pac-12 contests. They're also 4-1 ATS in the past five. Unlike Oregon, Utah has followed success with more success, going 13-5 ATS in the past 18 following a straight-up win.

-- The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five as an underdog for Oregon, while the OVER is 6-2 in the past eight overall for Utah, while going 10-4 in the past 14 as a favorite. The OVER is also 5-1 in the past six against winning teams for the Utes.

Big 12 Championship

Baylor vs. Oklahoma State


Date: Saturday, Dec. 4
TV-Time: ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium
Location: Arlington, Texas

Betting History

-- This is the first time in five installments where Oklahoma hasn't appeared in a Big 12 title game. The UNDER has dominated this championship game, going a perfect 4-for-4 in the past four title games.

-- This is the first trip to the title game for the Cowboys, while Baylor is playing in just its second-ever championship game. The Bears lost 30-23 in overtime against Oklahoma in the 2019 installment, covering a 9.5-number as the UNDER connected.

Opening Odds: Oklahoma State -6.5, 48.5

Betting Notes & Trends

-- The Bears have covered in eight of the past 11 games overall, while going 16-5 ATS in the past 21 games against teams with a winning overall record. The Bears are also 13-4-1 ATS in the past 18 as an underdog.

-- The Cowboys are an impressive 6-0-1 ATS in the past seven as a favorite, while going 9-1-1 ATS in the past 11 games overall. In addition, the Pokes are 20-6-1 ATS in the past 27 against teams with a winning overall record, while cashing in five straight neutral-site affairs.

-- The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five overall for Baylor, while going 5-1 in its past six as an underdog. The UNDER is 18-8-1 in the past 27 for OK State, while hitting in six of the past seven neutral-site games.

-- In the previous 22 meetings between these teams, the favorite has cashed 16 times, and Baylor is just 5-11 ATS in the past 16 head-to-head battles.

MAC Championship

Kent State vs. Northern Illinois


Date: Saturday, Dec. 4
TV-Time: ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Ford Field
Location: Detroit, Michigan

Betting History

-- These teams just met on Nov. 3 at Dix Stadium in Kent, with the Golden Flashes outlasting the Huskies 52-47 to cover a 3.5-point number as the OVER comfortable connected.

-- Kent State makes it first appearance in the MAC title game since 2012, its only previous appearance, and they suffered a 44-37 loss to NIU in 2OT as the OVER connected. NIU certainly knows its way to Detroit, appearing in the MAC Championship Game seven times in the past 11 installments. They have won four times during that run, and they're 3-4 ATS in the past seven MAC Championship Game appearances.

-- The underdog is a perfect 5-0 in the past five MAC title games, with the UNDER 4-2 across the past six championship games.

Opening Odds: Kent State -2, 72

Betting Notes & Trends

-- The Golden Flashes have cashed in four of the past five games overall, while Kent State is 4-0 ATS in the past four games as a favorite. For NIU, they're 4-1 ATS in the past five games against teams with a winning record.

-- The Huskies have had a difficult time in neutral-site affairs, going 5-17-1 ATS across the past 23 such games, while going 2-14 ATS in the previous 16 appearances in the month of December. They're also 3-13 ATS in the past 16 neutral-site games as an underdog.

-- The OVER is 8-3 in the past 11 MAC games for Kent State, while going 5-1 in the past six overall for NIU. The Golden Flashes are 3-7-1 ATS in the past 11 tries vs. NIU.

Mountain West Championship

Utah State at San Diego State


Date: Saturday, Dec. 4
TV-Time: FOX, 3:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Dignity Health Sports Park
Location: Carson, California

Betting History

-- Underdogs have ruled the MWC since its inception, going 6-1 ATS across the past seven installments (6-2 ATS overall). The UNDER has also cashed in five straight MWC title games, while going 7-1 in eight championship games overall.

-- Utah State makes it first appearance in the title game since 2013, the first-ever MWC Championship game. They lost to Fresno State that after with the Bulldogs covering and the UNDER hitting.

-- San Diego State was in this game in both 2015-16, winning each game 27-24, while going 0-2 ATS.

Opening Odds: San Diego State -4.5, 49.5

Betting Notes & Trends

-- Utah State is 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six games on the road. They're just 2-5 ATS in the past seven against teams with an overall record, and they're just 1-4 ATS in the five appearances in the month of December.

-- San Diego State is 10-4 ATS in the past 14 games at home, including 4-2 ATS in the past six its current temporary home in Carson, Calif. The Aztecs are 0-3-1 ATS in the past four as a favorite. These teams did not face each other in 2021.

-- The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven road games for Utah State, while going 10-1-1 in the past 12 appearances in the month of December. The UNDER is 22-8-1 in the past 31 MWC games for the Aztecs, while ging 35-15-1 in the past 51 at home as a fave.

Sun Belt Championship

Appalachian State at Louisiana


Date: Saturday, Dec. 4
TV-Time: ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Cajun Field
Location: Lafayette, Louisiana

Betting History

-- This will be the third Sun Belt Championship game. Last season was supposed to feature Coastal Carolina and Louisiana, but it was canceled, with both teams declared co-champions.

-- App State and Louisiana have faced each other in both of the two previous title games, with App State winning both installments. Louisiana covered a big number in the 2018 game, while App State covered in 2019. The OVER-UNDER has split in the two meetings.

-- These teams met on Oct. 12 in Lafayette, with the Ragin' Cajuns coming away with a 41-13 win as four-point underdogs as the UNDER cashed.

Opening Odds: Appalachian State -3, 54

Betting Notes & Trends

-- The Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall, and 5-1 ATS in the past six road outings. They're also 4-1 ATS in the past five as a favorite, and 4-1 ATS in the past five as a road favorite, too.

-- The Ragin' Cajuns have cashed in five of the past seven against teams with a winning record, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five as an underdog.

-- The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven overall for the Mountaineers, while going 14-2 in the past 16 home games for ULL. The UNDER is also 23-8-1 in the past 32 games overall for the Ragin' Cajuns. The UNDER is 6-0-1 in the past seven home games for ULL against teams with a winning road mark, too.

-- In this series, the road team is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings, while the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the past six. The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four meetings in Lafayette, with the UNDER 5-1 in the past six meetings overall.

SEC Championship

Georgia vs. Alabama


Date: Saturday, Dec. 4
TV-Time: CBS, 4:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Mercdes-Benz Stadium
Location: Atlanta, Georgia

Betting History

-- These teams meet in the SEC Championship for the third time, and first time since the 2018 installment. Alabama won that evening with a 35-28 win, while Georgia covered and the OVER hit. Georgia also lost a close on in 2012, covering as underdogs as the OVER connected.

-- The favorite and underdog has alternated covers in the past four SEC title games, as has the OVER-UNDER.

-- Alabama has appeared in this game five of the past seven times since 2014. They were favored in each time, going 2-3 ATS during the span. The OVER is a perfect 5-0 in Alabama's past five SEC Championship Game appearances.

Opening Odds: Georgia -4.5, 54.5

Betting Notes & Trends

-- The Bulldogs have fared well in neutral-site games, going 11-4 ATS in the past 15 appearances, including 10-3 ATS in the past 13 as a neutral-site favorite. The Bulldogs are also an impressive 4-1 ATS in the past five against teams with a winning record.

-- The Crimson Tide are in rare territory, entering as an underdog. Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its past five as an underdog.

-- The UNDER is 7-1-2 in the past 10 neutral-site games for Georgia, while going 6-2 in the past eight games overall. The UNDER is also 5-1-1 in the past seven neutral-site games as a favorite. The UNDER is also 4-1-1 in the past six neutral-site games for Bama, too.

-- In this series, the underdog has covered in six of the previous seven meetings, with the OVER 7-1-1 in the past nine in the series.

AAC Championship

Houston at Cincinnati


Date: Saturday, Dec. 4
TV-Time: ABC, 4:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Nippert Stadium
Location: Cincinnati, Ohio

Betting History

-- Cincinnati has appeared in each of the past two AAC title games, including a win last season over Tulsa, 27-24, as the Golden Hurricane easily covered a 13.5-point number. The OVER-UNDER is 1-1 in the two title game appearances for the Bearcats, too.

-- Houston is back in the AAC Championship Game for the first time since 2015, the inaugural game against Temple. The Cougars won and covered that day as the UNDER connected.

Opening Odds: Cincinnati -10, 55.5

Betting Notes & Trends

-- The Cougars are 5-2 ATS in the past seven conference games, while going 20-7-1 ATS in the past 28 as a road underdog. Houston is also 16-5 ATS in the past 21 games following a non-cover. However, Houston is just 1-4 ATS in the past five as an underdog, and 0-5 ATS in its past five appearances in the month of December.

-- The Bearcats are 5-0 ATS in the past five against winning teams, and 8-3 ATS in the past 11 home games. UC is also 7-3 ATS in the past 10 as a home favorite, too. However, like the Cougars, the Bearcats have struggled in December games, going 1-6-1 ATS in the past eight in the month.

-- The OVER is 5-1 in the past six road games for Houston, while going 15-6 in the past 21 against teams with a winning record. The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six overall for Cincinnati, while going 5-1 in the past six as a favorite.

Big 10 Championship

Michigan vs. Iowa


Date: Saturday, Dec. 4
TV-Time: FOX, 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
Location: Indianapolis, Indiana

Betting History

-- Michigan will be making its first-ever trip to the Big Ten title game, while Iowa makes its first appearance since 2015, its lone showing in the championship game. The Hawkeyes fell 16-13 to Michigan State that game, pushing as a three-point 'dog while the UNDER easily hit.

-- The underdog is 7-2-1 ATS in 10 Big Ten title games, with the lean to the UNDER, also going 6-4 in the 10 title games all-time. The Big Ten East is 8-2 SU all-time, too.

Opening Odds: Michigan -10.5, 44

Betting Notes & Trends

-- The Hawkeyes enter play with a 5-1-1 ATS mark across the past seven as an underdog, while going 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight against teams with a winning overall record.

-- The Wolverines finally got over the hump, topping the rival Buckeyes in the regular-season finale, cashing for the fourth consecutive game. They're still just 2-6 ATS in the past eight against winning teams. While they're 5-1 ATS in the past six as a favorite, Michigan is just 1-4 ATS in the past five neutral-site games, and 2-5-1 ATS in the past eight neutral-site games as a favorite.

-- The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five for Iowa as an underdog, but the OVER is 4-1 in the past neutral-site games. The OVER is 5-1 in Michigan's past six neutral-site games, and 34-16-1 in the past 51 against teams with a winning overall record.

ACC Championship

Pittsburgh vs. Wake Forest


Date: Saturday, Dec. 4
TV-Time: ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Bank of America Stadium
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

Betting History

-- The Demon Deacons are making their second appearance in the ACC title game, and first since 2006, when they earned a 9-6 victory over Georgia Tech as three-point underdogs as the UNDER easily cashed.

-- The Panthers made their lone showing in the ACC Championship in 2018, and they were bludgeoned by Clemson 42-10 as 28-point underdogs.

-- The favorite has connected in four straight ACC title games, while the UNDER is 3-1 across the past four installments.

Opening Odds: Pittsburgh -3.5, 49

Betting Notes & Trends

-- The Panthers are 7-2 ATS in the past nine games overall, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six against teams with a winning overall record. However, Pitt is also just 1-5 ATS in the past six neutral-site games, while going 1-4 ATS in the past five as an underdog. The Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in the past four as a favorite.

-- The OVER has cashed for Pitt in 15 of the past 20 games overall, while going 4-0 in the past four as an underdog. The OVER is also 7-3 in the past 10 against winning teams for the Panthers, while hitting in 11 of the past 16 ACC games.

-- The OVER is 6-2 in the past eight games overall for Wake, while going 5-1 in the past six against teams with a winning overall record.
 

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OREGON is 46-14 ATS (30.6 Units) after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game since 1992.

OKLAHOMA ST is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

SAN DIEGO ST is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games vs good passing QB's (>8 PYA) since 1992.

LA LAFAYETTE is 63-42 ATS (16.8 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. since 1992.

CINCINNATI is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 2 seasons.

GEORGIA is 78-48 ATS (25.2 Units) in road games vs. winning teams since 1992.

MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers in the current season.

N ILLINOIS are 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in December games since 1992.

USC is 34-17 ATS (15.3 Units) in road games after a loss since 1992.
 

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NCAAF
*
Championship Week

*
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Western Kentucky @ Texas-San Antonio
Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas-San Antonio
Texas-San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas-San Antonio is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

Oregon @ Utah
Oregon
Oregon is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oregon's last 9 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 9 games when playing Oregon

Kent State @ Northern Illinois
Kent State
Kent State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kent State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Kent State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northern Illinois's last 6 games

Baylor @ Oklahoma State
Baylor
Baylor is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma State is 9-0-1 ATS in its last 10 games

Utah State @ San Diego State
Utah State
Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
San Diego State
San Diego State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
San Diego State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Appalachian State @ Louisiana-Lafayette
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Appalachian State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Georgia @ Alabama
Georgia
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Georgia's last 9 games when playing Alabama
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Houston @ Cincinnati
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Pittsburgh @ Wake Forest
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 8 games

Michigan @ Iowa
Michigan
Michigan is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Michigan is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Iowa
Iowa is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games when playing Michigan

Southern California @ California
Southern California
Southern California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against California
Southern California is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing California
California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 6 games when playing Southern California
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of California's last 8 games when playing at home against Southern California


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Championship Week


19gJKCz.png
 

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Tech Trends - Week 14
Bruce Marshall

Friday, Dec. 3

C-USA CHAMPIONSHIP

WESTERN KENTUCKY at UTSA (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m.)


Hilltoppers won seven SU in a row, 6-2 vs. line and over in eight of last 12.
UTSA dropped last three vs. spread and 1-3 vs. line in last four at home.

Tech Edge: Western Kentucky and over based on recent and total trends.


PAC-12 CHAMPIONSHIP

OREGON vs. UTAH (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)


Ducks 2-1 as dog TY, 4-2 last six in role since 2019.
Oregon won 2019 Pac-12 title game over Utah in Santa Clara.
Utes won last five and eight of last nine SU, but 5-4 vs. line in those nine.
Utes over in six of last eight but two unders in row.

Tech Edge: Oregon based on team trends.


Saturday, Dec. 4

MAC CHAMPIONSHIP

KENT STATE vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)


Kent State 5-2 over run to end season.
Kent State only 2-5 vs. line in last seven on road but 5-1 as chalk.
NIU 3-2 as MAC dog and 4-2 vs. spread away from DeKalb.
NIU over in five of last six.

Tech Edge: Over based on total trends.


BIG 12 CHAMPIONSHIP

BAYLOR vs. OKLAHOMA STATE (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)


Bears under in last three and four of last five.
OKST 9-0-1 vs. line in last 10 and under in five of last eight

Tech Edge: Oklahoma State and under based on team and total trends.


MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP

UTAH STATE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE (FOX, 3:00 p.m.)


UTST 6-0 SU and 5-1 vs. line away from Logan.
UTST 4-2 as dog TY.
Aztecs only covered spread once in last five games.
Aztecs under 6-2 run TY.

Tech Edge: Utah State and under based on team and total trends.


SUN BELT CHAMPIONSHIP

APPALACHIAN STATE at LOUISIANA (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)


Louisiana won and covered LY meeting.
Mounties 6-0 SU run since, 5-1 vs. line also.
Cajuns won 11 in row SU siince loss to Texas.
Cajuns failed to cover two of last three at home.
Napier 5-2 last seven as underdog, 7-2 under run and two straight unders vs. App State.

Tech Edge:
Louisiana and under based on team and total trends.


AAC CHAMPIONSHIP

HOUSTON at CINCINNATI (ABC, 4:00 p.m.)


Houston won 11 in row SU since lost to Texas Tech, 1-0 as dog and 4-2 vs. line on road.
Houston over in seven of last 10.
Cincy covered last tow after four-game spread skid
Cincy 4-1 vs. line at home vs. FBS teams, 7-2 last nine vs. spread at home.

Tech Edge: Cincinnati and under based on team and total trends.


SEC CHAMPIONSHIP

GEORGIA vs. ALABAMA (CBS, 4:00 p.m.)


Saban just 5-6 in last 11 vs. line.
Alabama 8-4 under TY
Dogs no wins vs. Tide since 2007 in overtime in Tuscaloosa.
UGA covered last six on road, under in six of last seven vs. FBS teams.

Tech Edge: Under and Georgia based on total and recent trends.


BIG 10 CHAMPIONSHIP

MICHIGAN vs. IOWA (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)


Iowa 4-1 last five as underdog, and over in last three games.
Michigan 10-2 vs. line and over in four of last five on road

Tech Edge:
Michigan based on recent trends.


ACC CHAMPIONSHIP

PITTSBURGH vs. WAKE FOREST (ABC, 8:00 p.m.)


Wake 11-5 vs. spread last 16 regular season games.
Wake over in six of last eight.
Pitt over in 15 of last 20.
Pitt 5-0 SU and vs. line away from Heinz Field.

Tech Edge: Over based on total trends.
 

Udog

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-up

Championship Week


Friday?s games
Conference USA title game
Western Kentucky (8-4) at Tex-San Antonio (11-1)

? WKU has won seven in a row since the home loss to UTSA.
? Hilltoppers scored 31+ points in all four of their losses.
? WKU scored 42+ points in seven of last eight games.
? WKU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
? Hilltoppers have 75 returning starts on offensive line.
? WKU?s QB played four years at I-AA Houston Baptist (48 starts)
? WKU is 3-1 ATS this season in games with single digit spread.
? Over is 7-4 in Hilltopper games this year.
? This is WKU?s first conference title game since 2016.

? Roadrunners were unbeaten before LW?s 45-23 loss at North Texas.
? UTSA gave up 474/456 total yards in last two games.
? Roadrunners are 5-0 in games decided by 7 or less points.
? UTSA has 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
? Roadrunners have 122 returning starts on offensive line.
? UTSA has junior QB with 26 career starts.
? Roadrunners are 4-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
? Over is 4-1 in UTSA?s last five games.
? This is Roadrunners? first C-USA title game.

? UTSA (+3) won 52-46 at WKU October 9th.
? WKU won only previous meeting, 45-7 seven years ago.

Pac-12 title game
Oregon (10-2) vs Utah (9-3) (@ Las Vegas)

? Oregon won six of its last seven games, losing 38-7 at Utah Nov 20.
? Ducks are 9-0 when they give up less than 31 points.
? Ducks were +12 in turnovers first four games, are minus-2 since.
? Oregon ran ball for 210+ yards in six of last eight games.
? Ducks have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Oregon has 36 returning starts on offensive line.
? Oregon?s QB has 40 career starts, 28 at Boston College.
? Over is 4-2 in last six Oregon games.
? Oregon won Pac-12 title game the last two years, is 4-0 overall.

? Utah won five in a row, eight of last nine games.
? Utes scored 40 ppg in their last five games.
? Utes gave up 219-204-260 YR in their three losses.
? All nine Utah wins are by 9+ points.
? Utah has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Utes have 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Utah has soph quarterback with 11 starts.
? Utah ran ball for 200+ yards in four of last five games.
? Over is 6-2 in last eight Utah games.
? Utah lost Pac-12 title game in 2018, 2019.

? Utah whacked Oregon 38-7 at home two weeks ago.
? Utes ran a punt back 78 yards for a TD in that game.
? Ducks beat Utah 37-15 in 2019 Pac-12 title game.
? Teams split last six meetings overall.


Saturday?s games
Baylor (10-2) vs Oklahoma State (11-1) (@ Arlington, TX)

? Baylor won last three games, giving up 16 ppg
? Baylor lost two of last three games away from home.
? Baylor is 4-6 ATS in its last ten games away from home.
? Baylor is 6-2 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Bears have 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Baylor has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Bears have a soph QB this year, with 12 starts.
? Under is 4-1 in last five Baylor games.
? Baylor lost this game 30-23 to Oklahoma two years ago.

? OSU won last five games, outscoring foes 202-56.
? OSU is 8-0-1 ATS in its last nine games.
? Cowboys? only loss was 24-21 at Iowa State
? Cowboys have 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? OSU has 103 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cowboys? soph QB has started 29 games.
? OSU is 6-0-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Five of last eight OSU games stayed under total.
? Oklahoma State is in its first Big X championship game.

? Baylor lost 24-14 at Oklahoma State October 2nd.
? OSU outgained the Bears 400-274 that day.
? Baylor is 5-3 in last eight series games (0-2 last two)

Kent State (7-5) @ Northern Illinois (8-4) (@ Ford Field, Detroit)
? Kent won six of last eight games (scored 38.4 ppg).
? Kent allowed 322+ passing yards in four of last six games.
? Flashes are 7-1 when they run for 200+ yards, 0-4 if they don?t.
? Kent allowed 457+ TY in six of last seven games.
? Flashes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Kent has 67 returning starts on offensive line.
? Kent?s senior QB has 28 career starts.
? Kent is 5-1 ATS as a favorite this season.
? Flashes are 4-2 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Over is 5-2 in last seven Kent State games.
? Kent State is in its first MAC title game.

? NIU won seven of its last nine games (6-3 ATS).
? Huskies have four wins by 1 or 2 points.
? Huskies gave up 50-63-52-42 points in their four losses.
? Huskies have nine starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? NIU has 59 returning starts on offensive line.
? NIU?s junior QB has 22 career starts (9 @ Michigan St).
? Huskies are 4-3-1 ATS last eight games as home underdogs.
? Five of last six NIU games went over the total.
? Huskies are 4-3-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? NIU is in its 9th MAC title game (4-4 SU)

? Kent (-3.5) beat Northern Illinois 52-47 November 3rd.
? Before that, Kent had lost 10 games in row to NIU.
? Total yardage in that game: 682-663.
? Kent ran ball for 360 yards, threw for 322 yards.
? NIU threw ball for 532 yards in that game.
? Favorites are 7-4 ATS last 11 series games.

Appalachian State (10-2) @ Louisiana (11-1)
? App State is 6-0 since its 41-13 loss at Louisiana.
? ASU outscored its last four opponents, 151-31
? App State covered five of its last six games.
? App State has 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? ASU has 69 returning starts on the offensive line.
? App State has a QB with 23 starts- he transferred from Duke.
? ASU is 9-6-1 ATS last 16 games as a road favorite.
? Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
? App State won both Sun Belt title games.

? Louisiana won 11 games in row since 38-18 loss at Texas.
? Last five games, ULL is +12 in turnovers.
? Cajuns are 5-0 SU at home (three wins by 5 or less points)
? Cajuns have 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Louisiana has 140 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cajuns? senior QB has started 39 games.
? Last 11 years, Louisiana is 5-2 ATS as home underdogs.
? This is first time in three years they?re a home underdog.
? Seven of Louisiana?s last nine games stayed under total.
? Louisiana is 0-2 in Sun Belt title games (both vs App State)

? Louisiana (+4.5) beat App State 41-13 October 12.
? Cajuns ran for 245 yards, outgained ASU 455-211
? Louisiana won last two meetings, after losing previous eight.
? Two of those eight meetings were in Sun Belt title game.
? Underdogs covered five of last six series games.

Houston (11-1) @ Cincinnati (12-0)
? Houston won last 11 games, after a 38-21 loss to Texas Tech.
? Last eight games, Cougars scored 40.9 ppg.
? Cougars have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Houston has 103 returning starts on offensive line.
? Houston?s junior QB has started 28 games.
? Houston has seven wins by 18+ points.
? Last nine games, Houston is +11 in turnovers.
? Seven of last ten Houston games went over.
? Houston won first AAC title game, back in 2015.

? Bearcats are 2-4 ATS last six games, but covered last two.
? Cincinnati held last two opponents under 300 TY.
? Last 11 games, Cincy is +14 in turnovers.
? Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Cincinnati has 48 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cincinnati has a junior QB with 47 career starts.
? Cincinnati is 15-7-1 ATS in last 23 games as home favorite.
? Five of last six Cincinnati games stayed under total.
? Bearcats won AAC title game in 2020; lost it in 2019.

? Cincinnati won seven of last nine series games.
? Bearcats beat Houston last two years, 38-10/38-23
? Houston lost five of last six visits to Nippert Stadium.

Georgia (12-0) vs Alabama (11-1) (@ Atlanta)
? Georgia is #1 in country, with one win by less than 17 points.
? Last three games, Georgia ran ball for 236.7 yards/game.
? Dawgs are 6-2 ATS in last eight games.
? Dawgs held nine of 12 opponents under 250 TY.
? Dawgs have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Georgia has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Dawgs have a former walk-on QB (21 TD?s, 5 INTs).
? Georgia is 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a favorite.
? Under is 6-1 in last seven Georgia games.
? Dawgs are 3-5 in SEC title games, 1-4 in last five.

? Alabama is an underdog for first time in its last 93 games.
? Alabama won its last six games, three by 28+ points.
? Alabama threw for 300+ yards in last seven games.
? Alabama is +8 in turnovers; last seven years, they were +75.
? Last five games, they?re +1 in turnovers.
? Crimson Tide has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Alabama has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
? Bama?s new QB has started 13 games.
? Under is 8-4 in Alabama games this season
? Alabama won its last seven SEC title games; last loss was 2008.

? Alabama won last six meetings (40-24 LY)
? Underdogs covered seven of last nine series games.

Wake Forest (10-2) vs Pitt (10-2) (@ Charlotte, NC)
? Wake split its last four games, after an 8-0 start.
? Deacons allowed 48-58 points in its two losses.
? Wake allowed 482+ TY in seven of last nine games.
? Wake has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Deacons have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
? Wake has a sophomore QB with 31 career starts.
? Deacons are 6-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Six of last eight Wake games went over the total.
? Deacons won 2006 ACC title game, its only appearance.

? Panthers won four in row, eight of last nine games.
? Pitt threw for 300+ yards in 10 of 12 games.
? Pitt?s two losses were by a combined seven points.
? Panthers have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Pitt has 74 returning starts on offensive line.
? Pit?s senior QB has started 49 games.
? Panthers are 5-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Over is 7-4 in Pittsburgh games this season.
? Pitt lost 2018 ACC title game 42-10, its only appearance.

? Pitt (-6) won only ACC meeting 34-13, three years ago.

Michigan (11-1) vs Iowa (10-2) (@ Indianapolis)
? Michigan is in Big 14 title game for first time.
? Wolverines upset arch-rival Ohio State last week.
? Michigan?s one loss was 37-33 at Michigan State
? Wolverines are 5-1 ATS as double digit favorites this year.
? Michigan scored 29+ points in 10 of 12 games.
? Michigan has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Wolverines have 30 returning starts on offensive line.
? Michigan?s QB has started 13 games.
? Over is 5-3 in Michigan?s last eight games.

? Iowa won last four games, giving up 19.5 ppg.
? Hawkeyes were minus-3 in turnovers in both their losses.
? Iowa was held to 7 points in both its losses.
? Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Iowa has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Hawkeyes have a soph QB this year, with 19 starts.
? Iowa is 6-4-1 ATS last 11 games as an underdog.
? Hawkeyes lost Big 14 title game 16-13 in 2015, its only appearance.
? Over is 3-0 in last three Iowa games.

? Iowa won five of last seven series games (last meeting, 2019)
? Michigan is 2-1-1 ATS as double digit favorite vs Iowa.

Utah State (9-3) @ San Diego State (11-1) (@ Carson, CA)
? Utah State won six of its last seven games.
? Only loss was two weeks ago; Wyoming ran for 362 yards.
? Aggies are 9-0 scoring 26+ points, 0-3 when they don?t.
? Utah is 4-0 in games decided by four or less points.
? Aggies have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Utah State has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
? USU?s QB has 27 career starts- he played at Ark State for coach Anderson.
? Aggies are 5-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Utah State is 4-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
? Under is 6-3 in last nine Utah State games.
? Utah State lost first Mountain West title game, in 2013.

? San Diego State won last four games; they lost 30-20 to Fresno.
? Aztecs gave up 16.8 ppg in their last four games.
? Aztecs were held under 300 TY in four of last seven games.
? San Diego State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Aztecs have 65 returning starts on offensive line.
? San Diego State has a junior QB with 15 starts.
? Aztecs are 4-3-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Under is 6-2 in Aztecs? last eight games.
? Aztecs won this game twice, in 2015-2016.

? San Diego State won four of last five series games.
? Aztecs ran for 407 yards in LY?s 38-7 win.
? Favorites covered four of five series games.

USC (4-7) @ California (4-7)
? USC lost three in row, five of last six games.
? Trojans had busy week, hiring Lincoln Riley to coach.
? USC gave up 427+ TY in its last four games.
? USC scored 31+ points in three of last four games.
? Trojans gave up 31+ points in their last five games.
? Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? You?re reading armadillosports.com
? USC has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Freshman QB Dart started last two USC games.
? Favorites are 4-0 ATS in USC road games this year.
? Over is 5-2-1 in last eight USC games.

? Only two of Cal?s seven losses were by more than 7 points.
? Cal beat Cal/Oregon State in last two home games.
? Bears are 0-6 scoring less than 26 points.
? Bears have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Cal has 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Bears have junior QB with 34 starts.
? Cal is 3-13-1 ATS last 17 games as a favorite.
? Under is 5-2 in last seven Cal games.

? This is makeup game of one ppd because Cal had COVID issues.
? USC won 15 of last 16 series games.
? Trojans are series underdog for first time in at least 24 years.
? USC covered seven of last eight visits to Berkeley.
? Under is 13-3 in last sixteen series games.
 

Udog

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Western Kentucky has covered the spread in five straight games.
UTSA has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last seven home games.
Western Kentucky has won seven straight games.


Oregon has seen the favorite cover the spread in four straight games.
Oregon has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games when facing an AP-ranked school.
The point total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.
Utah has won eight of its last nine games.
 

Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 3
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


WKU at UTSA 07:00 PM
WKU -3.0
U 72.5

+500 +500

ORE at UTAH 08:00 PM
UTAH -3.0
O 57.5

+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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DECEMBER'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS THRU THE PLAYOFFS AND BOWL GAMES !

Date W-L-T % Units

12/03/2021............1-3-0............25.00%............-11.50


TOTALS:.................1-3-0............25.00%............-11.50


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/03/2021............1-3-0............25.00%............-11.50


TOTALS:.................1-3-0............25.00%............-11.50


UPDATED 12/03/2021
 

Udog

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* * Kent State is 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
* * Kent State is 4-0 ATS in the past four as a favorite.
* * Northern Illinois is 5-17-1 ATS in the past 23 neutral-site games.
* * Northern Illinois is 3-13 ATS in the past 16 neutral-site games as an underdog.
* * The OVER is 5-2 in Kent State's past seven games overall.
* * The OVER is 4-0 in Kent State's past four vs. winning teams.
* * The OVER is 5-1 in Northern Illinois' past six games overall.
* * The favorite is 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight meetings between these teams.


* * Oklahoma State has covered the spread in nine of its last 10 games.
* * Baylor has gone UNDER the point total in six straight games when facing a school from Oklahoma.
* * The point total has gone UNDER in three of the last four meetings.


* * San Diego State has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games.
* * San Diego State has covered the soread in four straight games when facing a school from Utah.
* * San Diego State has gone UNDER the point total in four of its last five games when playing in California.
* * The point total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.
* * The favorite has covered the spread in three straight meetings.


* * Appalachian State is 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall.
* * Appalachian State is 5-1 ATS in the past six road games.
* * Louisiana is 4-1 ATS in the past five games as an underdog.
* * The UNDER is 5-2 in the past seven games for App State.
* * The UNDER is 14-2 in the past 16 home games for Louisiana.
* * The road team is 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings in this series.
* * The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six meetings in this series.


* * Cincinnati has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games when facing an AP-ranked school.
* * Cincinnati has gone UNDER the point total in 10 of its last 11 games when facing an AP-ranked school.
* * Cincinnati has covered the spread in three of its last four games when facing Houston.
* * The point total has gone UNDER in three of the last four meetings.


* * Georgia is 4-1 ATS in the past five games against winning teams.
* * Georgia is 11-4 ATS in the past 15 neutral-site games.
* * Alabama is 4-1 ATS in the past five games as an underdog.
* * The UNDER is 7-1-2 in the past 10 neutral-site games for Georgia.
* * The UNDER is 6-2 in the past eight games for Georgia.
* * The UNDER is 4-1-1 in the past six neutral-site games for Alabama.
* * The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the past seven meetings.
* * The OVER is 7-1-1 in the past nine meetings.


* * Wake Forest has seen the favorite cover the spread in six straight games.
* * Pittsburgh has gone OVER the point total in four of its last five games when facing a school from North Carolina.
* * Pittsburgh has covered the spread in nine of its last 12 games.


* * The Wolverines are 4-0 ATS in the past four games overall.
* * The Wolverines are 5-1 ATS in the past six as a favorite.
* * The Wolverines are 2-6 ATS in the past eight against winning teams.
* * The Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in the past five neutral-site games.
* * The Hawkeyes are 5-1-1 ATS in the past seven as an underdog.
* * The Hawkeyes are 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight against winning teams.
* * The OVER is 5-1 in the past six neutral-site games for Michigan.
* * The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five for Iowa as an underdog.




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