- Sep 10, 2018
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Dec. 20 thru Dec. 29
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
December 20
Myrtle Beach Bowl
Old Dominion (6-6)vs Tulsa (6-6)
? Old Dominion won its last five games to get to 6-6
? Old Dominion sat out LY; they were 1-11 in 2019.
? Monarchs? new coach was an OC at Penn State.
? ODU scored 39.3 ppg in its last four games.
? Monarchs are 5-3-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
? ODU has 7 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
? Monarchs have 52 returning starts on OL, very little depth.
? ODU has QB who started 3 games at Central Florida.
? Monarchs are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
? ODU won its one bowl, 24-20 (-5.5) over EMU in 2019.
? Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
? Tulsa is 5-2 last seven games, after a 1-4 start.
? Tulsa is 5-0 scoring 32+ points, 1-6 scoring 23 or less.
? Last six games, Golden Hurricane was minus-7 in turnovers.
? Golden Hurricane has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Tulsa has 120 returning starts on offensive line.
? Tulsa?s soph QB has started 12 games.
? Tulsa is 10-7-1 ATS last 18 games as a favorite.
? Tulsa is 16-11 ATS last 27 non-league games.
? Tulsa split last four bowls; average total, 68.3.
? Over is 8-3 in Tulsa?s games this season.
? Favorite won/covered the first Myrtle Beach Bowl LY
? AAC favorites are 11-4 ATS last 15 games vs C-USA squads.
? Last six years, AAC teams are 26-11 SU vs C-USA teams.
December 21
Idaho Potato Bowl
Kent State (7-6) vs Wyoming (6-6)
? Kent won six of last nine games (scored 36.7 ppg).
? Kent allowed 457+ total yards in six of last eight games.
? Flashes are 7-1 when they run for 200+ yards, 0-5 if they don?t.
? Kent allowed 457+ TY in six of last eight games.
? Flashes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Kent has 67 returning starts on offensive line.
? Kent?s senior QB has 29 career starts.
? Kent is 1-5 ATS as an underdog this season.
? Flashes are 4-3 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Over is 5-3 in last eight Kent State games.
? Kent State is 2-1 all-time in bowls; this is their 2nd in three years,
? Wyoming lost six of its last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
? Wyoming is 5-0 when it scores 24+ points, 1-6 when it doesn?t.
? Cowboys scored 13 ppg in their six losses.
? Cowboys have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
? Wyoming has 144 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cowboys have a soph QB with 24 starts.
? Five of Wyoming?s six losses are by 10+ points.
? Mountain West non-conference faves are 8-12-1 ATS this year.
? Wyoming won last two bowls, scoring 37-38 points.
? Cowboys won this bowl in 2017, 37-14 over Central Michigan.
? Over is 4-1 in last five Wyoming games.
? Favorites covered three of last four Potato Bowls.
? Mountain West teams are 5-3 ATS in their last eight Potato Bowls.
? Last four years, Mountain West teams are 7-6 vs MAC squads.
? MAC underdogs are 5-4-1 ATS last 10 tries vs MW teams.
Frisco Bowl (Frisco, TX)
San Diego State (11-2) vs Tex-San Antonio (12-1)
? San Diego State won four of last five games.
? Aztecs lost Mountain West title game 46-13 to Utah State Dec 4th.
? Aztecs are 10-0 when they give up less than 30 points.
? San Diego State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Aztecs have 65 returning starts on offensive line.
? San Diego State has a junior QB with 17 starts.
? Aztecs are 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
? Under is 6-3 in Aztecs? last nine games.
? Mountain West non-league underdogs are 12-7 ATS this year.
? Aztecs are 3-2 in last five bowls; they lost 27-0 in this bowl in 2018.
? Under is 6-3 in last nine San Diego State games.
? Roadrunners scored 34+ points in six of their last eight games.
? UTSA?s only loss was 45-23 at North Texas November 27th.
? Roadrunners are 5-0 in games decided by 7 or less points.
? UTSA allowed 456+ total yards in their last three games.
? UTSA has 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
? Roadrunners have 122 returning starts on offensive line.
? UTSA has junior QB with 28 career starts.
? Roadrunners are 5-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
? C-USA non-league favorites are 4-4 ATS this season.
? Roadrunners are 0-2 in bowls, losing 23-20/31-24.
? Over is 5-1 in UTSA?s last six games.
? Favorites are 4-2 ATS in this bowl.
? Winning side scored 45+ points in five of six Frisco Bowls.
? Mountain West teams are 7-4 SU last 11 games vs C-USA.
? MW underdogs covered four of last five vs C-USA teams.
December 22
Armed Forces Bowl
Missouri (6-6) vs Army (8-4)
? Mizzou is 5-0 if it allows 28 or less points, 1-6 if they five up 34+..
? Mizzou allowed 450+ TY in seven of 12 games.
? Tigers? last four losses were all by 17+ points.
? Mizzou is 1-4 away from home; only win was at Vanderbilt.
? Mizzou has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Tigers have 88 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Mizzou?s QB has 21 career starts.
? Tigers are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as underdogs.
? Mizzou won three of their last four bowls.
? Tigers? bowl game LY was cancelled; their last bowl was 2018.
? Under is 4-2 in Missouri?s last six games.
? SEC non-conference underdogs are 4-5 ATS this season.
? Army won three of last four D-I games.
? Cadets are 3-3 SU away from home.
? Army ran for 250+ yards in six of 11 I-A games.
? Army was upset 17-13 by arch-rival Navy December 11th.
? Cadets have 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Army has only 25 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cadets use 2-3 different QB?s.
? Army is 1-5 ATS as a favorite this season.
? Army won last three trips to this bowl, scoring 16-42-70 points.
? Cadets won four of last five bowls overall.
? Six of last seven Army games stayed under the total.
? Last nine years, service academy teams are 3-3 in this bowl.
December 23
Frisco Football Classic
North Texas (6-6) vs Miami (6-6)
? North Texas won last five games, after a 1-6 start.
? Mean Green scored 36.4 ppg in last five games.
? Mean Green ran ball for 242+ yards five of last seven games.
? UNT is 6-6; they were favored in only two games this year.
? North Texas has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? North Texas has 78 returning starts on offensive line.
? Mean Green has played two QBs.
? North Texas is 5-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
? UNT lost its last four bowls, giving up 49 ppg.
? North Texas was underdog of 6+ points all four of those games.
? Over is 5-3 in last eight North Texas games.
? Redhawks won four of their last six games SU.
? Miami is 6-1 giving up 21 or less points, 0-5 giving up 23+.
? Redhawks lost last game 48-47 at Kent St, giving up 642 TY.
? Miami is 2-5 ATS as a favorite this season.
? Miami is 3-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
? Redhawks have 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Miami has 32 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Miami has been playing two QB?s.
? Last five years, Redhawks are 7-9 ATS as home favorites.
? Miami lost three of last four bowls SU.
? This is first time Miami is favored in a bowl since 2004.
? Three of last four Miami games went over the total.
? MAC teams are 2-0 vs C-USA this year, after going 1-9 in 2018-19.
? Favorites are 15-7 ATS in last 22 games between the two leagues.
Gasparilla Bowl (Tampa)
Central Florida (8-4) vs Florida (6-6)
? UCF won five of last six games, after a 3-3 start.
? Knights held five of last six opponents to 17 or less points.
? Knights gave up 34+ points in all four of their losses.
? Knights are 1-3 ATS this year in games with single digit spread.
? UCF has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? UCF has 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Knights have a soph QB with 35 career starts.
? In his career, Malzahn is 16-18 ATS as an underdog (0-2 TY)
? In his career, Malzahn is 2-5 SU in bowl games.
? UCF split its last four bowls (average total, 69.5)
? Knights (-15) won this bowl 48-25 over Marshall in 2019.
? Over is 6-4 in last ten UCF games.
? Florida fired its coach last month; they?ll have interim coach here.
? Gators hired a new coach, Billy Napier from Louisiana.
? Gators lost four of last five I-A games, giving up 33.6 ppg.
? Florida is 1-6 ATS in its last seven I-A games.
? Florida is 2-7 ATS as a favorite this season.
? Gators beat a I-AA team 70-52 in November.
? Florida has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Gators have 54 returning starts on offensive line.
? Florida has been playing two QB?s.
? Florida won three of last four bowls.
? Gators lost their bowl game 55-20 LY.
? Under is 7-3 in Gators? last ten games.
? This game was an early sellout.
? Favorites are 4-1 ATS in last five Gasparilla Bowls.
? Last nine years, AAC teams are 4-3 ATS un this bowl.
? SEC teams won nine of last 11 games SU vs AAC squads.
? SEC teams are 10-4-1 ATS last 15 games vs AAC teams.
December 24
Hawai?i Bowl
Memphis (6-6) @ Hawai?i (6-7)
? Memphis lost six of last nine games, after a 3-0 start.
? Tigers have four losses by 6 or fewer points.
? Memphis is 1-5 giving up 30+ points, 5-1 allowing less than 30
? Last two years, Tigers are 2-9 ATS as a favorite.
? Last five years, Tigers are 8-7 as road favorites (0-2 TY)
? Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Memphis has 104 returning starts on offensive line.
? Memphis has a freshman QB with 12 starts.
? Memphis lost four of last five bowls (won 25-10 LY)
? Average total in their last five bowls: 64.3.
? Under is 4-1-1 in last four Memphis games.
? Hawai?i won last two games, scoring 50-38 points.
? Rainbows gave up 465+ TY in six of last eight games.
? Hawai?i is 1-6 scoring less than 38 points.
? Rainbows are 7-1-1 ATS last nine games as a home dog.
? Hawai?i has three wins where they gave up 34+ points.
? Rainbows have 7 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
? Hawai?i has 111 returning starts on offensive line.
? Hawai?i has a soph QB with 26 starts.
? Last four years, Hawai?i is 2-1 SU in this bowl.
? Rainbows won three of their last four bowls.
? Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
? Underdog won last four Hawai?i Bowls SU
? Memphis opened -4, has been bet up to -7.
? Mountain West teams are 11-7 SU last 11 games vs AAC.
? MW underdogs covered four of last five vs C-USA teams.
December 25
Camellia Bowl (Montgomery, AL)
Georgia State (7-5) vs Ball State (6-6)
? Georgia State six of last seven games, after 1-7 start.
? Panthers ran ball for 200+ yards eight of last ten games.
? State gave up 34+ points in four of its five losses.
? Panthers are 6-1 giving up less than 34 points.
? GSU has 11 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? You?re reading armadillosports.com
? Eagles have 137 returning starts on offensive line.
? Georgia State has played two QB?s this season.
? Last four years, Panthers are 8-6 ATS as favorites.
? Panthers are 3-1 ATS in games with single digit spread.
? Georgia State split four bowls, all since 2015.
? Under is 5-1 in last six Georgia State games.
? Ball State won its bowl 34-13 LY, first bowl win in eight tries.
? Ball is 4-0 giving up 21 or less points, 2-8 giving up 22+ points.
? Last eight games, Cardinals are +14 in turnovers.
? Cardinals allowed 458+ TY in three of last four games.
? Ball State is 2-4 ATS this year in games with single digit spread.
? Cardinals have 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Ball has 97 returning starts on offensive line.
? Ball?s senior QB has 38 career starts.
? Cardinals are 3-5 ATS last eight games as an underdog.
? Cardinals are 1-3 ATS last four games as a bowl underdog.
? Under is 7-2 in last nine Ball State games.
? Underdogs are 4-3 ATS in Camellia Bowls.
? Sun Belt teams are 4-2 SU/2-4 ATS in this bowl.
? MAC teams are 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in this bowl.
? Sun Belt teams are 17-11 SU in last 29 games vs MAC teams.
? MAC teams are 10-4 ATS as an underdog against Sun Belt squads.
Monday, Dec. 27
Quick Lane Bowl
Nevada (8-4) vs Western Michigan (7-5) (@ Detroit)
? Nevada?s coach bolted to Colorado State
? Nevada?s QB is skipping this game; his college career is over.
? Nevada?s backup QB (now starter) threw 20 passes this year.
? Nevada lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 7-2 start.
? Wolf Pack gave up 696 YR in their last two games.
? Wolf Pack is 6-0-1 ATS last seven games as an underdog.
? Nevada is 5-1-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Wolf Pack has 63 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Wolf Pack won three of its last four bowl games.
? Over is 7-3 in last ten Nevada games.
? WMU is 3-4 in last seven games, after a 4-1 start.
? Broncos are 7-1 scoring 23+ points, 0-4 if they score less.
? Last seven games, WMU is minus-9 in turnovers.
? Broncos have 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? WMU has 75 returning starts on offensive line.
? WMU?s soph QB has 22 career starts.
? WMU is 4-5-1 ATS TY as a favorite.
? Broncos are 3-3-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? WMU lost its last three bowls, scoring 18 ppg.
? Five of last seven WMU games went over the total.
? MAC favorites are 3-5 ATS in non-conference games.
? Underdog is 6-2 ATS in last eight Quick Lane Bowls.
? MAC teams lost last four appearances in this game.
? Average total in this game last five years: 56.
? Domed stadium; weather isn?t a factor.
? Last four years, Mountain West teams are 7-6 vs MAC squads.
? MAC underdogs are 5-4-1 ATS last 10 tries vs MW teams.
Military Bowl (Annapolis)
East Carolina (7-5) vs Boston College (6-6)
? East Carolina won four of its last five games.
? ECU scored 29+ in its wins, 24 or less in its losses.
? Pirates are 4-2 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
? ECU is 3-2-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Under coach Houston, Pirates are 14-9 ATS as an underdog.
? Last seven games, Pirates are minus-5 in turnovers.
? East Carolina has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Pirates have 69 returning starts on the offensive line.
? East Carolina?s junior QB has started 37 games.
? This is ECU?s first bowl since 2014.
? Pirates lost four of last five bowls; last bowl win, 2013.
? Favorites covered their last four bowls.
? Under is 5-1-1 in last seven East Carolina games.
? Boston College lost six of last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
? BC scored 14 or less points in five of those eight games.
? Eagles are 5-0 scoring 28+ points, 1-6 scoring less than 28.
? BC gave up 32.3 ppg in its last three games.
? BC is 3-5 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Eagles are 5-4 ATS last nine games as a favorite.
? BC has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? BC has 125 returning starts on offensive line.
? Eagles? junior QB has started 16 games.
? BC lost three of last four bowls; their last bowl win, 2016.
? Seven of Eagles? last eight games stayed under the total.
? Favorites are 5-3 ATS in last eight Military Bowls.
? Average total in last four Military Bowls: 57.5.
? ACC teams are 17-10 SU last 27 games vs AAC squads.
? ACC favorites covered four of last five games vs AAC teams.
Tuesday, Dec. 28
Birmingham Bowl
Houston (11-2) vs Auburn (6-6)
? Houston lost first/last game, won 11 in row in between.
? Cougars scored 28+ points in their wins, 20-21 in losses.
? Houston is +14 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
? Cougars have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Houston has 103 returning starts on offensive line.
? Houston?s junior QB has started 29 games.
? Houston has seven wins by 18+ points.
? Cougars played only three games decided by less than 12 points.
? Houston is 1-4 ATS last five games as an underdog.
? Cougars are 5-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Houston lost three of its last four bowls (favored in 3 of 4)
? Over is 8-3 in Houston games this season.
? Auburn QB Nix broke his ankle, now he is transferring.
? Auburn is playing freshman QB (5 starts @ LSU LY)
? Auburn lost last four games, outscored 108-66.
? Auburn is 6-2 if it scores more than 20 points.
? Last seven games, Tigers are minus-4 in turnovers.
? Auburn is 3-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
? Tigers gave up 430+ yards in four of last six games.
? Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Auburn has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
? Auburn is 11-7 ATS last 18 games as favorites.
? Auburn lost four of its last five bowl games (1-4 ATS).
? Under is 6-2 in last eight games.
? Favorites are 6-2 ATS in this bowl last nine years.
? SEC teams covered four of last five visits to this bowl.
? SEC teams won nine of last 11 games SU vs AAC squads.
? SEC teams are 10-4-1 ATS last 15 games vs AAC teams.
First Responder Bowl (Dallas)
Air Force (9-3) vs Louisville (6-6)
? Air Force won last three games, scoring 41.3 ppg.
? Falcons ran for 458.7 yards/game in those three games.
? Air Force is 5-3-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Falcons completed one pass in winning last two games.
? Air Force?s losses this season were by 4-6-7 points.
? Falcons have 4 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Air Force has only 3 returning starts on offensive line.
? Falcons have junior QB this year, with 20 starts.
? Air Force won three of last four bowls, scoring 37.5 ppg.
? Falcons? last five bowls were all decided by 10+ points.
? Last three Air Force games went over the total.
? Louisville is 4-5 SU in its last nine games.
? Cardinals are 5-0 giving up 23 or less points, 1-6 otherwise.
? Louisville ran ball for 213+ yards in six of last eight games.
? Last two games, Louisville gave up 517-511 TY.
? Louisville is 0-3 in games decided by 6 or less points.
? Louisville has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Cardinals have 95 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cardinals? junior QB has started 40 games.
? Under Satterfield, Louisville is 10-5 ATS as a favorite.
? Cardinals are 5-5 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Over is 3-1 in last six Louisville games.
? Underdogs covered this bowl three of last four years.
? Last eight years, Mountain West teams are 6-4 SU/5-5 ATS vs ACC squads.
? Underdogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight games between the two leagues.
Liberty Bowl (Memphis)
Texas Tech (6-6) vs Mississippi State (7-5)
Texas Tech fired Mike Leach after the 2009 season; there is an ongoing dispute about the $2.5M that Leach believes Tech still owes him.
? Texas Tech fired its coach after a 6-6 regular season.
? Tech lost four of its last five games.
? Red Raiders are 4-0 when they score 38+ points, 2-6 when they don?t.
? Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Tech has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tech?s soph QB has 19 starts (7 at Oregon).
? Red Raiders are 29-23 ATS last 52 games as underdogs.
? This is Tech?s first bowl since 2017.
? Tech lost its last two bowls, giving up 56-38 points.
? Red Raiders? last bowl win: 2013, as a 14-point dog.
? Under is 4-2 in Texas Tech?s last six games.
? Three of Miss State?s five losses were by 2 or 3 points.
? Miss State is 2-5 when it gives up 28+ points, 4-0 when it allows less.
? Bulldogs threw for 336+ yards in seven of last eight games.
? Under Leach, Miss State is 2-5 ATS as a favorite.
? In his career Leach is 8-8 SU in bowl games.
? Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? MSU has 37 returning starts on offensive line.
? Bulldogs have a freshman QB this year, with 19 starts.
? Miss State won three of its last five bowls.
? Underdogs covered all five of those games
? Three of last four Miss State games went over the total.
? Underdogs are 5-2 ATS in last seven Liberty Bowls.
? Last four Liberty Bowls were decided by 5 or less points.
? Last six years, Big X underdogs are 9-6 ATS vs SEC teams.
Holiday Bowl (San Diego)
NC State (9-3) vs UCLA (8-4)
? NC State won four of its last five games.
? Wolfpack?s last two losses were by 1-3 points.
? State threw for 300+ yards in four of last five games.
? Wolfpack allowed 400+ TY in four of last six games.
? State is 3-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Wolfpack has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? NC State has 73 returning starts on offensive line.
? Wolfpack has a soph QB this year, with 20 starts.
? NC State is 4-9-1 ATS last 14 games as underdogs.
? Wolfpack lost last two bowls, 52-13/23-21.
? State?s last bowl win: 2017 Sun Bowl.
? Over is 7-3 in last ten Wolfpack games.
? UCLA won last three games, scoring 49.3 ppg.
? UCLA is 8-0 giving up less than 34 points.
? Bruins gave up 40-42-34-44 points in their losses.
? Bruins are 5-3 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Bruins have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
? UCLA?s junior QB is making his 34th career start.
? In his career, Kelly is 2-2 SU in bowls.
? This is UCLA?s first bowl since 2017.
? Bruins lost last two bowls, 37-29/35-17.
? UCLA?s last bowl win: 2014 Alamo Bowl.
? Four of last five UCLA games went over the total.
? Pac-12 teams lost five in row, eight of last nine Holiday Bowls.
? Underdogs covered six of last eight Holiday Bowls.
? ACC teams are 9-4-1 ATS last 14 games vs Pac-12 squads.
Guaranteed Rate Bowl (Phoenix)
West Virginia (6-6) vs Minnesota (8-4)
? West Virginia won four of its last six games.
? WVU is 6-0 if it scores 27+ points, 0-6 if it does not.
? WVU was held under 100 YR in all six of their losses.
? Mountaineers are 2-3 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
? WVU is minus-6 in turnovers this season.
? Mountaineers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? WVU has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Mountaineers have junior QB with 44 career starts.
? Under Brown, West Virginia is 9-11 ATS as an underdog.
? WVU lost three of its last four bowl games.
? Under is 7-4 in West Virginia games this season.
? Minnesota won/covered six of its last eight games.
? Gophers? last four wins were all by 10+ points.
? Minnesota is 7-1 when it scores 23+ points, 1-3 when it doesn?t.
? Gophers held last six opponents under 280 TY.
? Minnesota is 3-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
? Minnesota has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Gophers have 182 (yes, 182) returning starts on offensive line.
? Gophers have a junior QB with 38 starts.
? Minnesota won its last four bowl games.
? Gophers won SU as underdogs in last three bowls.
? Under is 6-4 in last ten Minnesota games.
? Underdogs are 5-3 ATS in this bowl last eight years.
? Big X teams won their last six appearances in this game.
? Big 14 teams are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games against the Big X.
December 29
Fenway Bowl
SMU (8-4) vs Virginia (6-5)
? SMU?s coach bolted to TCU last month.
? Mustangs lost four of last five games, after a 7-0 start.
? SMU gave up 36.4 ppg in last five games.
? SMU has scored 31+ points in 10 of 12 games this season.
? Mustangs are 16-14-1 ATS last 31 games as an underdog.
? SMU is 2-3 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? SMU has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Mustangs have 141 returning starts on offensive line.
? SMU has a soph QB this year; he was a backup at Oklahoma.
? Mustangs lost last two bowls, giving up 51-52 points.
? SMU?s last bowl win: 2012 Hawai?i Bowl.
? Four of their last six games went over.
? Virginia?s coach stepped down December 2nd.
? Virginia lost last four games, giving up 42.8 ppg.
? Virginia scored 30+ points in six of last eight games.
? Cavaliers gave up 200+ RY in seven of last ten games.
? Cavaliers are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as favorites.
? Virginia is 2-5 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Last five games, Virginia gave up 540 yards/game.
? Virginia has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on offensive line.
? Virginia has a soph QB with 23 starts.
? Cavaliers lost four of its last five bowls.
? Virginia?s one bowl win since ?07: 2018 Belk Bowl.
? Under is 6-3 in last nine Virginia games.
? This is the first-ever Fenway Bowl; weather could be a factor.
? ACC teams are 17-10 SU last 27 games vs AAC squads.
? ACC favorites covered four of last five games vs AAC teams.
Pinstripe Bowl (Bronx)
Maryland (6-6) vs Virginia Tech (6-6)
? Locksley?s 7th season as HC, his first bowl (14-49 record SU)
? Maryland lost six of last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
? Last eight games, Terps gave up 41.5 ppg.
? Maryland allowed 428+ TY in eight of last nine games.
? Terps are 2-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Maryland has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Maryland has 36 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Terrapins have soph QB with 21 starts- Tua Tagovailoa?s brother
? Maryland is in its first bowl since 2016.
? Terps lost last three bowls; their last bowl win, 2010 Military Bowl.
? Six of their last eight games went over.
? Tech fired their coach after six seasons (70-55)
? Hokies lost five of their last eight games.
? Hokies are 3-6 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Hokies are 6-0 allowing 24 or less points, 0-6 otherwise.
? Hokies allowed 776 passing yards in their last two games.
? Tech ran ball for 227+ yards in five of last six games.
? Tech has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Tech has 106 returning starts on offensive line.
? Hokies? junior QB has started 17 games.
? Tech lost its last three bowls, giving up 34 ppg.
? Hokies? last bowl win: 2016 Belk Bowl, over Arkansas.
? Under is 7-4 in Virginia Tech games this year.
? Weather could be a factor in this game; NYC in December.
? Big 14 teams won last four Pinstripe Bowls.
? Underdogs are 7-2 ATS in Pinstripe Bowls.
? Big 14 teams are 16-7 SU last 23 games vs ACC teams.
? Big 14 teams are 14-9 ATS last 23 games vs ACC teams.
Cheez-It Bowl (Orlando)
Clemson (9-3) vs Iowa State (7-5)
? Clemson won last five games, scoring 36.4 ppg.
? Clemson scored 15.2 ppg in first six D-I games
? Clemson lost OC/DC to head coaching jobs.
? Tigers? new OC/DC were both hired from within.
? Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Tigers have 37 returning starts on offensive line.
? Clemson?s freshman QB has made 14 starts.
? Clemson is 1-4 ATS as a home favorite this season.
? Clemson is even in turnovers; last 3 years, they were +30.
? Tigers are 3-2 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Clemson split last six bowls, mostly New year?s Day games.
? Over is 3-1-1 in last five Clemson games.
? Game is in Orlando; Tigers recruit a lot in Florida.
? Iowa State?s star RB is skipping this game, turning pro
? Iowa State is 7-0 allowing 21 or less points, 0-5 allowing more.
? Cyclones gave up 33 ppg in their five losses.
? ISU was top 10 team when season started; 7-5 isn?t good.
? Cyclones lost a game 41-38 on 62-yard FG at 0:00.
? Cyclones have 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? ISU has 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cyclones have a junior QB this year, with 44 starts.
? Iowa State beat a I-AA team 16-10.
? Iowa State is 2-5 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? ISU split their bowl games the last four seasons.
? Cyclones lost this bowl 33-9 (+3.5) to Notre Dame two years ago.
? Over is 6-3 in last nine Iowa State games.
? Favorites won/covered last five Cheez-It Bowls
? Big X teams won four of last five games vs ACC opponents.
Alamo Bowl (San Antonio)
Oklahoma (10-2) vs Oregon (10-3)
? Sooners lost two of last three games, after a 9-0 start.
? Oklahoma?s coach skipped town to USC.
? Sooners are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games with single digit spread.
? Oklahoma is 5-6 ATS as a favorite this season.
? Sooners have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Oklahoma has 126 returning starts on offensive line.
? Sooners changed QB?s again LW; unsure who starts here.
? Last ten years, Oklahoma is 5-1 ATS as regular season road dogs.
? Sooners lost three of last four bowl games.
? Average total in Oklahoma?s last five bowls: 80.6.
? Over is 8-5 in Oklahoma games this season.
? Oregon lost two of its last three games, after a 9-1 start.
? Ducks are 9-0 when they score more than 24 points.
? Ducks were +12 in turnovers first four games, are minus-2 since.
? Oregon ran ball for 210+ yards in six of last nine games.
? Ducks are 7-5 ATS last dozen games with single digit spread.
? Ducks have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Oregon has 36 returning starts on offensive line.
? Oregon?s QB has 40 career starts, 28 at Boston College.
? Ducks lost three of last five bowls, scoring 17.3 ppg in last three.
? Oregon lost Alamo Bowl to TCU in 2015.
? Over is 4-2 in last six Oregon games.
? Both head coaches bolted for greener pa$ture$.
? Underdog covered five of last six Alamo Bowls.
? Big X teams are 7-3 SU in last ten Alamo Bowls.
? Big X teams are 10-2 SU last dozen games vs Pac-12.
? Big X favorites are 7-4 last 11 games vs Pac-12.
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Bowl Season
December 20
Myrtle Beach Bowl
Old Dominion (6-6)vs Tulsa (6-6)
? Old Dominion won its last five games to get to 6-6
? Old Dominion sat out LY; they were 1-11 in 2019.
? Monarchs? new coach was an OC at Penn State.
? ODU scored 39.3 ppg in its last four games.
? Monarchs are 5-3-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
? ODU has 7 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
? Monarchs have 52 returning starts on OL, very little depth.
? ODU has QB who started 3 games at Central Florida.
? Monarchs are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
? ODU won its one bowl, 24-20 (-5.5) over EMU in 2019.
? Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
? Tulsa is 5-2 last seven games, after a 1-4 start.
? Tulsa is 5-0 scoring 32+ points, 1-6 scoring 23 or less.
? Last six games, Golden Hurricane was minus-7 in turnovers.
? Golden Hurricane has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Tulsa has 120 returning starts on offensive line.
? Tulsa?s soph QB has started 12 games.
? Tulsa is 10-7-1 ATS last 18 games as a favorite.
? Tulsa is 16-11 ATS last 27 non-league games.
? Tulsa split last four bowls; average total, 68.3.
? Over is 8-3 in Tulsa?s games this season.
? Favorite won/covered the first Myrtle Beach Bowl LY
? AAC favorites are 11-4 ATS last 15 games vs C-USA squads.
? Last six years, AAC teams are 26-11 SU vs C-USA teams.
December 21
Idaho Potato Bowl
Kent State (7-6) vs Wyoming (6-6)
? Kent won six of last nine games (scored 36.7 ppg).
? Kent allowed 457+ total yards in six of last eight games.
? Flashes are 7-1 when they run for 200+ yards, 0-5 if they don?t.
? Kent allowed 457+ TY in six of last eight games.
? Flashes have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Kent has 67 returning starts on offensive line.
? Kent?s senior QB has 29 career starts.
? Kent is 1-5 ATS as an underdog this season.
? Flashes are 4-3 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Over is 5-3 in last eight Kent State games.
? Kent State is 2-1 all-time in bowls; this is their 2nd in three years,
? Wyoming lost six of its last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
? Wyoming is 5-0 when it scores 24+ points, 1-6 when it doesn?t.
? Cowboys scored 13 ppg in their six losses.
? Cowboys have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
? Wyoming has 144 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cowboys have a soph QB with 24 starts.
? Five of Wyoming?s six losses are by 10+ points.
? Mountain West non-conference faves are 8-12-1 ATS this year.
? Wyoming won last two bowls, scoring 37-38 points.
? Cowboys won this bowl in 2017, 37-14 over Central Michigan.
? Over is 4-1 in last five Wyoming games.
? Favorites covered three of last four Potato Bowls.
? Mountain West teams are 5-3 ATS in their last eight Potato Bowls.
? Last four years, Mountain West teams are 7-6 vs MAC squads.
? MAC underdogs are 5-4-1 ATS last 10 tries vs MW teams.
Frisco Bowl (Frisco, TX)
San Diego State (11-2) vs Tex-San Antonio (12-1)
? San Diego State won four of last five games.
? Aztecs lost Mountain West title game 46-13 to Utah State Dec 4th.
? Aztecs are 10-0 when they give up less than 30 points.
? San Diego State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Aztecs have 65 returning starts on offensive line.
? San Diego State has a junior QB with 17 starts.
? Aztecs are 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
? Under is 6-3 in Aztecs? last nine games.
? Mountain West non-league underdogs are 12-7 ATS this year.
? Aztecs are 3-2 in last five bowls; they lost 27-0 in this bowl in 2018.
? Under is 6-3 in last nine San Diego State games.
? Roadrunners scored 34+ points in six of their last eight games.
? UTSA?s only loss was 45-23 at North Texas November 27th.
? Roadrunners are 5-0 in games decided by 7 or less points.
? UTSA allowed 456+ total yards in their last three games.
? UTSA has 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
? Roadrunners have 122 returning starts on offensive line.
? UTSA has junior QB with 28 career starts.
? Roadrunners are 5-2 ATS in games with single digit spread.
? C-USA non-league favorites are 4-4 ATS this season.
? Roadrunners are 0-2 in bowls, losing 23-20/31-24.
? Over is 5-1 in UTSA?s last six games.
? Favorites are 4-2 ATS in this bowl.
? Winning side scored 45+ points in five of six Frisco Bowls.
? Mountain West teams are 7-4 SU last 11 games vs C-USA.
? MW underdogs covered four of last five vs C-USA teams.
December 22
Armed Forces Bowl
Missouri (6-6) vs Army (8-4)
? Mizzou is 5-0 if it allows 28 or less points, 1-6 if they five up 34+..
? Mizzou allowed 450+ TY in seven of 12 games.
? Tigers? last four losses were all by 17+ points.
? Mizzou is 1-4 away from home; only win was at Vanderbilt.
? Mizzou has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Tigers have 88 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Mizzou?s QB has 21 career starts.
? Tigers are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as underdogs.
? Mizzou won three of their last four bowls.
? Tigers? bowl game LY was cancelled; their last bowl was 2018.
? Under is 4-2 in Missouri?s last six games.
? SEC non-conference underdogs are 4-5 ATS this season.
? Army won three of last four D-I games.
? Cadets are 3-3 SU away from home.
? Army ran for 250+ yards in six of 11 I-A games.
? Army was upset 17-13 by arch-rival Navy December 11th.
? Cadets have 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Army has only 25 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cadets use 2-3 different QB?s.
? Army is 1-5 ATS as a favorite this season.
? Army won last three trips to this bowl, scoring 16-42-70 points.
? Cadets won four of last five bowls overall.
? Six of last seven Army games stayed under the total.
? Last nine years, service academy teams are 3-3 in this bowl.
December 23
Frisco Football Classic
North Texas (6-6) vs Miami (6-6)
? North Texas won last five games, after a 1-6 start.
? Mean Green scored 36.4 ppg in last five games.
? Mean Green ran ball for 242+ yards five of last seven games.
? UNT is 6-6; they were favored in only two games this year.
? North Texas has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? North Texas has 78 returning starts on offensive line.
? Mean Green has played two QBs.
? North Texas is 5-3 ATS as an underdog this year.
? UNT lost its last four bowls, giving up 49 ppg.
? North Texas was underdog of 6+ points all four of those games.
? Over is 5-3 in last eight North Texas games.
? Redhawks won four of their last six games SU.
? Miami is 6-1 giving up 21 or less points, 0-5 giving up 23+.
? Redhawks lost last game 48-47 at Kent St, giving up 642 TY.
? Miami is 2-5 ATS as a favorite this season.
? Miami is 3-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
? Redhawks have 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Miami has 32 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Miami has been playing two QB?s.
? Last five years, Redhawks are 7-9 ATS as home favorites.
? Miami lost three of last four bowls SU.
? This is first time Miami is favored in a bowl since 2004.
? Three of last four Miami games went over the total.
? MAC teams are 2-0 vs C-USA this year, after going 1-9 in 2018-19.
? Favorites are 15-7 ATS in last 22 games between the two leagues.
Gasparilla Bowl (Tampa)
Central Florida (8-4) vs Florida (6-6)
? UCF won five of last six games, after a 3-3 start.
? Knights held five of last six opponents to 17 or less points.
? Knights gave up 34+ points in all four of their losses.
? Knights are 1-3 ATS this year in games with single digit spread.
? UCF has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? UCF has 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Knights have a soph QB with 35 career starts.
? In his career, Malzahn is 16-18 ATS as an underdog (0-2 TY)
? In his career, Malzahn is 2-5 SU in bowl games.
? UCF split its last four bowls (average total, 69.5)
? Knights (-15) won this bowl 48-25 over Marshall in 2019.
? Over is 6-4 in last ten UCF games.
? Florida fired its coach last month; they?ll have interim coach here.
? Gators hired a new coach, Billy Napier from Louisiana.
? Gators lost four of last five I-A games, giving up 33.6 ppg.
? Florida is 1-6 ATS in its last seven I-A games.
? Florida is 2-7 ATS as a favorite this season.
? Gators beat a I-AA team 70-52 in November.
? Florida has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Gators have 54 returning starts on offensive line.
? Florida has been playing two QB?s.
? Florida won three of last four bowls.
? Gators lost their bowl game 55-20 LY.
? Under is 7-3 in Gators? last ten games.
? This game was an early sellout.
? Favorites are 4-1 ATS in last five Gasparilla Bowls.
? Last nine years, AAC teams are 4-3 ATS un this bowl.
? SEC teams won nine of last 11 games SU vs AAC squads.
? SEC teams are 10-4-1 ATS last 15 games vs AAC teams.
December 24
Hawai?i Bowl
Memphis (6-6) @ Hawai?i (6-7)
? Memphis lost six of last nine games, after a 3-0 start.
? Tigers have four losses by 6 or fewer points.
? Memphis is 1-5 giving up 30+ points, 5-1 allowing less than 30
? Last two years, Tigers are 2-9 ATS as a favorite.
? Last five years, Tigers are 8-7 as road favorites (0-2 TY)
? Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Memphis has 104 returning starts on offensive line.
? Memphis has a freshman QB with 12 starts.
? Memphis lost four of last five bowls (won 25-10 LY)
? Average total in their last five bowls: 64.3.
? Under is 4-1-1 in last four Memphis games.
? Hawai?i won last two games, scoring 50-38 points.
? Rainbows gave up 465+ TY in six of last eight games.
? Hawai?i is 1-6 scoring less than 38 points.
? Rainbows are 7-1-1 ATS last nine games as a home dog.
? Hawai?i has three wins where they gave up 34+ points.
? Rainbows have 7 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
? Hawai?i has 111 returning starts on offensive line.
? Hawai?i has a soph QB with 26 starts.
? Last four years, Hawai?i is 2-1 SU in this bowl.
? Rainbows won three of their last four bowls.
? Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
? Underdog won last four Hawai?i Bowls SU
? Memphis opened -4, has been bet up to -7.
? Mountain West teams are 11-7 SU last 11 games vs AAC.
? MW underdogs covered four of last five vs C-USA teams.
December 25
Camellia Bowl (Montgomery, AL)
Georgia State (7-5) vs Ball State (6-6)
? Georgia State six of last seven games, after 1-7 start.
? Panthers ran ball for 200+ yards eight of last ten games.
? State gave up 34+ points in four of its five losses.
? Panthers are 6-1 giving up less than 34 points.
? GSU has 11 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? You?re reading armadillosports.com
? Eagles have 137 returning starts on offensive line.
? Georgia State has played two QB?s this season.
? Last four years, Panthers are 8-6 ATS as favorites.
? Panthers are 3-1 ATS in games with single digit spread.
? Georgia State split four bowls, all since 2015.
? Under is 5-1 in last six Georgia State games.
? Ball State won its bowl 34-13 LY, first bowl win in eight tries.
? Ball is 4-0 giving up 21 or less points, 2-8 giving up 22+ points.
? Last eight games, Cardinals are +14 in turnovers.
? Cardinals allowed 458+ TY in three of last four games.
? Ball State is 2-4 ATS this year in games with single digit spread.
? Cardinals have 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Ball has 97 returning starts on offensive line.
? Ball?s senior QB has 38 career starts.
? Cardinals are 3-5 ATS last eight games as an underdog.
? Cardinals are 1-3 ATS last four games as a bowl underdog.
? Under is 7-2 in last nine Ball State games.
? Underdogs are 4-3 ATS in Camellia Bowls.
? Sun Belt teams are 4-2 SU/2-4 ATS in this bowl.
? MAC teams are 2-3 SU/4-1 ATS in this bowl.
? Sun Belt teams are 17-11 SU in last 29 games vs MAC teams.
? MAC teams are 10-4 ATS as an underdog against Sun Belt squads.
Monday, Dec. 27
Quick Lane Bowl
Nevada (8-4) vs Western Michigan (7-5) (@ Detroit)
? Nevada?s coach bolted to Colorado State
? Nevada?s QB is skipping this game; his college career is over.
? Nevada?s backup QB (now starter) threw 20 passes this year.
? Nevada lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 7-2 start.
? Wolf Pack gave up 696 YR in their last two games.
? Wolf Pack is 6-0-1 ATS last seven games as an underdog.
? Nevada is 5-1-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Wolf Pack has 63 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Wolf Pack won three of its last four bowl games.
? Over is 7-3 in last ten Nevada games.
? WMU is 3-4 in last seven games, after a 4-1 start.
? Broncos are 7-1 scoring 23+ points, 0-4 if they score less.
? Last seven games, WMU is minus-9 in turnovers.
? Broncos have 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? WMU has 75 returning starts on offensive line.
? WMU?s soph QB has 22 career starts.
? WMU is 4-5-1 ATS TY as a favorite.
? Broncos are 3-3-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? WMU lost its last three bowls, scoring 18 ppg.
? Five of last seven WMU games went over the total.
? MAC favorites are 3-5 ATS in non-conference games.
? Underdog is 6-2 ATS in last eight Quick Lane Bowls.
? MAC teams lost last four appearances in this game.
? Average total in this game last five years: 56.
? Domed stadium; weather isn?t a factor.
? Last four years, Mountain West teams are 7-6 vs MAC squads.
? MAC underdogs are 5-4-1 ATS last 10 tries vs MW teams.
Military Bowl (Annapolis)
East Carolina (7-5) vs Boston College (6-6)
? East Carolina won four of its last five games.
? ECU scored 29+ in its wins, 24 or less in its losses.
? Pirates are 4-2 in games decided by 4 or fewer points.
? ECU is 3-2-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Under coach Houston, Pirates are 14-9 ATS as an underdog.
? Last seven games, Pirates are minus-5 in turnovers.
? East Carolina has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Pirates have 69 returning starts on the offensive line.
? East Carolina?s junior QB has started 37 games.
? This is ECU?s first bowl since 2014.
? Pirates lost four of last five bowls; last bowl win, 2013.
? Favorites covered their last four bowls.
? Under is 5-1-1 in last seven East Carolina games.
? Boston College lost six of last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
? BC scored 14 or less points in five of those eight games.
? Eagles are 5-0 scoring 28+ points, 1-6 scoring less than 28.
? BC gave up 32.3 ppg in its last three games.
? BC is 3-5 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Eagles are 5-4 ATS last nine games as a favorite.
? BC has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? BC has 125 returning starts on offensive line.
? Eagles? junior QB has started 16 games.
? BC lost three of last four bowls; their last bowl win, 2016.
? Seven of Eagles? last eight games stayed under the total.
? Favorites are 5-3 ATS in last eight Military Bowls.
? Average total in last four Military Bowls: 57.5.
? ACC teams are 17-10 SU last 27 games vs AAC squads.
? ACC favorites covered four of last five games vs AAC teams.
Tuesday, Dec. 28
Birmingham Bowl
Houston (11-2) vs Auburn (6-6)
? Houston lost first/last game, won 11 in row in between.
? Cougars scored 28+ points in their wins, 20-21 in losses.
? Houston is +14 in turnovers in wins, minus-4 in losses.
? Cougars have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Houston has 103 returning starts on offensive line.
? Houston?s junior QB has started 29 games.
? Houston has seven wins by 18+ points.
? Cougars played only three games decided by less than 12 points.
? Houston is 1-4 ATS last five games as an underdog.
? Cougars are 5-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Houston lost three of its last four bowls (favored in 3 of 4)
? Over is 8-3 in Houston games this season.
? Auburn QB Nix broke his ankle, now he is transferring.
? Auburn is playing freshman QB (5 starts @ LSU LY)
? Auburn lost last four games, outscored 108-66.
? Auburn is 6-2 if it scores more than 20 points.
? Last seven games, Tigers are minus-4 in turnovers.
? Auburn is 3-4 ATS in games with single digit spread.
? Tigers gave up 430+ yards in four of last six games.
? Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Auburn has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
? Auburn is 11-7 ATS last 18 games as favorites.
? Auburn lost four of its last five bowl games (1-4 ATS).
? Under is 6-2 in last eight games.
? Favorites are 6-2 ATS in this bowl last nine years.
? SEC teams covered four of last five visits to this bowl.
? SEC teams won nine of last 11 games SU vs AAC squads.
? SEC teams are 10-4-1 ATS last 15 games vs AAC teams.
First Responder Bowl (Dallas)
Air Force (9-3) vs Louisville (6-6)
? Air Force won last three games, scoring 41.3 ppg.
? Falcons ran for 458.7 yards/game in those three games.
? Air Force is 5-3-1 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Falcons completed one pass in winning last two games.
? Air Force?s losses this season were by 4-6-7 points.
? Falcons have 4 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Air Force has only 3 returning starts on offensive line.
? Falcons have junior QB this year, with 20 starts.
? Air Force won three of last four bowls, scoring 37.5 ppg.
? Falcons? last five bowls were all decided by 10+ points.
? Last three Air Force games went over the total.
? Louisville is 4-5 SU in its last nine games.
? Cardinals are 5-0 giving up 23 or less points, 1-6 otherwise.
? Louisville ran ball for 213+ yards in six of last eight games.
? Last two games, Louisville gave up 517-511 TY.
? Louisville is 0-3 in games decided by 6 or less points.
? Louisville has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Cardinals have 95 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cardinals? junior QB has started 40 games.
? Under Satterfield, Louisville is 10-5 ATS as a favorite.
? Cardinals are 5-5 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Over is 3-1 in last six Louisville games.
? Underdogs covered this bowl three of last four years.
? Last eight years, Mountain West teams are 6-4 SU/5-5 ATS vs ACC squads.
? Underdogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight games between the two leagues.
Liberty Bowl (Memphis)
Texas Tech (6-6) vs Mississippi State (7-5)
Texas Tech fired Mike Leach after the 2009 season; there is an ongoing dispute about the $2.5M that Leach believes Tech still owes him.
? Texas Tech fired its coach after a 6-6 regular season.
? Tech lost four of its last five games.
? Red Raiders are 4-0 when they score 38+ points, 2-6 when they don?t.
? Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Tech has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tech?s soph QB has 19 starts (7 at Oregon).
? Red Raiders are 29-23 ATS last 52 games as underdogs.
? This is Tech?s first bowl since 2017.
? Tech lost its last two bowls, giving up 56-38 points.
? Red Raiders? last bowl win: 2013, as a 14-point dog.
? Under is 4-2 in Texas Tech?s last six games.
? Three of Miss State?s five losses were by 2 or 3 points.
? Miss State is 2-5 when it gives up 28+ points, 4-0 when it allows less.
? Bulldogs threw for 336+ yards in seven of last eight games.
? Under Leach, Miss State is 2-5 ATS as a favorite.
? In his career Leach is 8-8 SU in bowl games.
? Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? MSU has 37 returning starts on offensive line.
? Bulldogs have a freshman QB this year, with 19 starts.
? Miss State won three of its last five bowls.
? Underdogs covered all five of those games
? Three of last four Miss State games went over the total.
? Underdogs are 5-2 ATS in last seven Liberty Bowls.
? Last four Liberty Bowls were decided by 5 or less points.
? Last six years, Big X underdogs are 9-6 ATS vs SEC teams.
Holiday Bowl (San Diego)
NC State (9-3) vs UCLA (8-4)
? NC State won four of its last five games.
? Wolfpack?s last two losses were by 1-3 points.
? State threw for 300+ yards in four of last five games.
? Wolfpack allowed 400+ TY in four of last six games.
? State is 3-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Wolfpack has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? NC State has 73 returning starts on offensive line.
? Wolfpack has a soph QB this year, with 20 starts.
? NC State is 4-9-1 ATS last 14 games as underdogs.
? Wolfpack lost last two bowls, 52-13/23-21.
? State?s last bowl win: 2017 Sun Bowl.
? Over is 7-3 in last ten Wolfpack games.
? UCLA won last three games, scoring 49.3 ppg.
? UCLA is 8-0 giving up less than 34 points.
? Bruins gave up 40-42-34-44 points in their losses.
? Bruins are 5-3 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Bruins have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
? UCLA?s junior QB is making his 34th career start.
? In his career, Kelly is 2-2 SU in bowls.
? This is UCLA?s first bowl since 2017.
? Bruins lost last two bowls, 37-29/35-17.
? UCLA?s last bowl win: 2014 Alamo Bowl.
? Four of last five UCLA games went over the total.
? Pac-12 teams lost five in row, eight of last nine Holiday Bowls.
? Underdogs covered six of last eight Holiday Bowls.
? ACC teams are 9-4-1 ATS last 14 games vs Pac-12 squads.
Guaranteed Rate Bowl (Phoenix)
West Virginia (6-6) vs Minnesota (8-4)
? West Virginia won four of its last six games.
? WVU is 6-0 if it scores 27+ points, 0-6 if it does not.
? WVU was held under 100 YR in all six of their losses.
? Mountaineers are 2-3 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
? WVU is minus-6 in turnovers this season.
? Mountaineers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? WVU has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Mountaineers have junior QB with 44 career starts.
? Under Brown, West Virginia is 9-11 ATS as an underdog.
? WVU lost three of its last four bowl games.
? Under is 7-4 in West Virginia games this season.
? Minnesota won/covered six of its last eight games.
? Gophers? last four wins were all by 10+ points.
? Minnesota is 7-1 when it scores 23+ points, 1-3 when it doesn?t.
? Gophers held last six opponents under 280 TY.
? Minnesota is 3-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
? Minnesota has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Gophers have 182 (yes, 182) returning starts on offensive line.
? Gophers have a junior QB with 38 starts.
? Minnesota won its last four bowl games.
? Gophers won SU as underdogs in last three bowls.
? Under is 6-4 in last ten Minnesota games.
? Underdogs are 5-3 ATS in this bowl last eight years.
? Big X teams won their last six appearances in this game.
? Big 14 teams are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games against the Big X.
December 29
Fenway Bowl
SMU (8-4) vs Virginia (6-5)
? SMU?s coach bolted to TCU last month.
? Mustangs lost four of last five games, after a 7-0 start.
? SMU gave up 36.4 ppg in last five games.
? SMU has scored 31+ points in 10 of 12 games this season.
? Mustangs are 16-14-1 ATS last 31 games as an underdog.
? SMU is 2-3 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? SMU has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Mustangs have 141 returning starts on offensive line.
? SMU has a soph QB this year; he was a backup at Oklahoma.
? Mustangs lost last two bowls, giving up 51-52 points.
? SMU?s last bowl win: 2012 Hawai?i Bowl.
? Four of their last six games went over.
? Virginia?s coach stepped down December 2nd.
? Virginia lost last four games, giving up 42.8 ppg.
? Virginia scored 30+ points in six of last eight games.
? Cavaliers gave up 200+ RY in seven of last ten games.
? Cavaliers are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as favorites.
? Virginia is 2-5 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Last five games, Virginia gave up 540 yards/game.
? Virginia has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on offensive line.
? Virginia has a soph QB with 23 starts.
? Cavaliers lost four of its last five bowls.
? Virginia?s one bowl win since ?07: 2018 Belk Bowl.
? Under is 6-3 in last nine Virginia games.
? This is the first-ever Fenway Bowl; weather could be a factor.
? ACC teams are 17-10 SU last 27 games vs AAC squads.
? ACC favorites covered four of last five games vs AAC teams.
Pinstripe Bowl (Bronx)
Maryland (6-6) vs Virginia Tech (6-6)
? Locksley?s 7th season as HC, his first bowl (14-49 record SU)
? Maryland lost six of last eight games, after a 4-0 start.
? Last eight games, Terps gave up 41.5 ppg.
? Maryland allowed 428+ TY in eight of last nine games.
? Terps are 2-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Maryland has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Maryland has 36 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Terrapins have soph QB with 21 starts- Tua Tagovailoa?s brother
? Maryland is in its first bowl since 2016.
? Terps lost last three bowls; their last bowl win, 2010 Military Bowl.
? Six of their last eight games went over.
? Tech fired their coach after six seasons (70-55)
? Hokies lost five of their last eight games.
? Hokies are 3-6 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Hokies are 6-0 allowing 24 or less points, 0-6 otherwise.
? Hokies allowed 776 passing yards in their last two games.
? Tech ran ball for 227+ yards in five of last six games.
? Tech has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Tech has 106 returning starts on offensive line.
? Hokies? junior QB has started 17 games.
? Tech lost its last three bowls, giving up 34 ppg.
? Hokies? last bowl win: 2016 Belk Bowl, over Arkansas.
? Under is 7-4 in Virginia Tech games this year.
? Weather could be a factor in this game; NYC in December.
? Big 14 teams won last four Pinstripe Bowls.
? Underdogs are 7-2 ATS in Pinstripe Bowls.
? Big 14 teams are 16-7 SU last 23 games vs ACC teams.
? Big 14 teams are 14-9 ATS last 23 games vs ACC teams.
Cheez-It Bowl (Orlando)
Clemson (9-3) vs Iowa State (7-5)
? Clemson won last five games, scoring 36.4 ppg.
? Clemson scored 15.2 ppg in first six D-I games
? Clemson lost OC/DC to head coaching jobs.
? Tigers? new OC/DC were both hired from within.
? Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Tigers have 37 returning starts on offensive line.
? Clemson?s freshman QB has made 14 starts.
? Clemson is 1-4 ATS as a home favorite this season.
? Clemson is even in turnovers; last 3 years, they were +30.
? Tigers are 3-2 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? Clemson split last six bowls, mostly New year?s Day games.
? Over is 3-1-1 in last five Clemson games.
? Game is in Orlando; Tigers recruit a lot in Florida.
? Iowa State?s star RB is skipping this game, turning pro
? Iowa State is 7-0 allowing 21 or less points, 0-5 allowing more.
? Cyclones gave up 33 ppg in their five losses.
? ISU was top 10 team when season started; 7-5 isn?t good.
? Cyclones lost a game 41-38 on 62-yard FG at 0:00.
? Cyclones have 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? ISU has 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cyclones have a junior QB this year, with 44 starts.
? Iowa State beat a I-AA team 16-10.
? Iowa State is 2-5 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
? ISU split their bowl games the last four seasons.
? Cyclones lost this bowl 33-9 (+3.5) to Notre Dame two years ago.
? Over is 6-3 in last nine Iowa State games.
? Favorites won/covered last five Cheez-It Bowls
? Big X teams won four of last five games vs ACC opponents.
Alamo Bowl (San Antonio)
Oklahoma (10-2) vs Oregon (10-3)
? Sooners lost two of last three games, after a 9-0 start.
? Oklahoma?s coach skipped town to USC.
? Sooners are 7-1-1 ATS in last nine games with single digit spread.
? Oklahoma is 5-6 ATS as a favorite this season.
? Sooners have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Oklahoma has 126 returning starts on offensive line.
? Sooners changed QB?s again LW; unsure who starts here.
? Last ten years, Oklahoma is 5-1 ATS as regular season road dogs.
? Sooners lost three of last four bowl games.
? Average total in Oklahoma?s last five bowls: 80.6.
? Over is 8-5 in Oklahoma games this season.
? Oregon lost two of its last three games, after a 9-1 start.
? Ducks are 9-0 when they score more than 24 points.
? Ducks were +12 in turnovers first four games, are minus-2 since.
? Oregon ran ball for 210+ yards in six of last nine games.
? Ducks are 7-5 ATS last dozen games with single digit spread.
? Ducks have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Oregon has 36 returning starts on offensive line.
? Oregon?s QB has 40 career starts, 28 at Boston College.
? Ducks lost three of last five bowls, scoring 17.3 ppg in last three.
? Oregon lost Alamo Bowl to TCU in 2015.
? Over is 4-2 in last six Oregon games.
? Both head coaches bolted for greener pa$ture$.
? Underdog covered five of last six Alamo Bowls.
? Big X teams are 7-3 SU in last ten Alamo Bowls.
? Big X teams are 10-2 SU last dozen games vs Pac-12.
? Big X favorites are 7-4 last 11 games vs Pac-12.
