NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 3
Friday?s games
Central Florida (2-0) @ Louisville (1-1)
? UCF beat Boise State 36-31, beat a I-AA team 63-14.
? Knights ran ball for 255 yards, threw for 318.
? Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? MSU has 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Knights have a soph QB with 24 career starts.
? Last two years, UCF was 7-13 ATS as a road favorite.
? Malzahn is 14-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
? Louisville lost 43-24 to Ole Miss, beat a I-AA team 30-3.
? Ole Miss threw for 381 yards, outgained Cardinals 569-355
? Louisville has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Cardinals have 95 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cardinals? junior QB has started 16 games.
? Last four years, Louisville is 2-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
? These teams haven?t met since 2013.
Maryland (2-0) @ Illinois (1-2)
? Maryland beat West Virginia 30-24, a I-AA team 62-0.
? Terps outgained WVU 496-325, throwing for 347 yards.
? Maryland has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Maryland has 36 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Terrapins have sophomore QB who started 6 games.
? Last seven years, Maryland is 3-5 ATS as road favorite.
? Locksley is 1-2 ATS as a road favorite.
? Illinois gave up 79 points last 2 weeks, losing to UTSA/Virginia.
? Virginia threw for 423 yards, outgained Illini 556-337.
? Illinois has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Illinois has 88 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Illini have sophomore QB who has started 17 games.
? Illinois is 9-14 ATS last 23 games as a home underdog.
? Maryland (-17.5) hammered Illini 63-33 three years ago, in only meeting.
? Terrapins ran ball for 431 yards in that game.
Saturday?s games
Michigan State (2-0) @ Miami (1-1)
? Michigan State won first two games, running for 326 yards @ Northwestern.
? Tucker is 3-5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? Spartans have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? MSU has 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Michigan State has a QB who started 26 games for Temple.
? MSU is 7-13 ATS in last 20 non-conference games.
? Miami got hammered by Alabama, then nipped App State 25-23 LW.
? Miami is 7-10 ATS in last 17 non-conference games.
? Miami has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Miami has 190 returning starts on offensive line.
? Hurricanes? senior QB has started 32 games.
? Under Diaz, Miami is 5-7 ATS as a home favorite.
? These teams haven?t met in last 20 years.
Virginia Tech (2-0) @ West Virginia (1-1)
? Tech allowed 12 ppg in winning its first two games.
? Fuente is 22-15-2 ATS in non-conference games.
? Tech has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Tech has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Hokies? junior QB has started six games.
? Under Fuente, Hokies are 5-5 ATS as road underdogs.
? West Virginia lost 30-24 at Maryland, then hammered a I-AA team.
? WVU is 6-11 ATS in last 16 non-conference games.
? Mountaineers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? WVU has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Mountaineers have junior QB with 32 career starts.
? Last four years, West Virginia is 10-5 ATS as home favorites.
? Virginia Tech won last three series games.
? Hokies won last three series games.
Cincinnati (2-0) @ Indiana (1-1)
? Bearcats whacked couple of stiffs to start season.
? Cincinnati is 7-2 ATS in last nine non-league games.
? Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Cincinnati has 48 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cincinnati has a junior QB with 37 career starts.
? Under Fickell, Cincinnati is 3-5 ATS as a road favorite.
? Hoosiers lost to Iowa, then pounded a I-AA team.
? Indiana was outgained 303-233 in loss to the Hawkeyes.
? Hoosiers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Indiana has 67 returning starts on offensive line.
? Indiana has a soph QB with 12 career starts.
? Under Allen, Indiana is 4-7 ATS as a home underdog.
? These teams haven?t met since 2000.
USC (1-1) @ Washington State (1-1)
? USC lost to Stanford Saturday, fired its coach Monday.
? USC gained 416-408 TY in first two games this year.
? Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? USC has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Trojans have a soph QB with 19 career starts.
? USC is 12-7 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite.
? Who fires their coach on September 13?
? Wazzu lost 26-23 to Utah State, beat I-AA team 44-24.
? Rolovich is 5-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
? Coogs have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Wazzu has 68 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Coogs have a soph QB with six career starts.
? Last six years, Wazzu is 4-2 ATS as home underdog.
? USC won 11 of last 13 series games.
? Trojans won five of last six visits to Pullman.
? Favorites are 8-5 ATS last 13 series games.
Alabama (2-0) @ Florida (2-0)
? Alabama waxed Miami 44-13, then beat up on a I-AA team.
? Alabama threw for 354 yards in win over Miami.
? Crimson Tide has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Alabama has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
? Bama?s new QB has started two games.
? At Alabama, Saban is 33-23 ATS as a road favorite.
? Florida won first two games by 21-22 points (0-2 ATS)
? Gators ran ball for 763 yards in those two games.
? Florida has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Gators have 54 returning starts on offensive line.
? Florida?s new QB has two career starts.
? Under Mullen, Florida is 3-1 ATS as an underdog.
? Alabama (-17) held Florida off 52-46 LY, their first meeting since 2016.
? Gators threw ball for 408 yards in tough loss.
? Alabama is 5-2 ATS in last seven series games.
Florida State (0-2) @ Wake Forest (2-0)
? Florida State lost 41-38 to Notre Dame, 20-17 to a I-AA team.
? FSU ran ball for 466 yards in two games, but they lost to a I-AA team.
? Seminoles have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? FSU has 100 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Seminoles? senior QB started 33 games at UCF, was hurt last two years.
? FSU is 5-8 ATS last 13 games as a road underdog.
? Wake beat Old Dominion 42-10, a I-AA team 41-16.
? Deacons beat Florida State 22-20 in last meeting, in 2019.
? Wake has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Deacons have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
? Wake has a sophomore QB with 21 career starts.
? Deacons are 9-5-1 ATS last 15 games as home favorites.
? Florida State won seven of last eight series games.
? Seminoles are 1-3-1 ATS in last five visits to Wake.
? Last 24 years, FSU is 2-0 ATS vs Wake as an underdog.
Utah (1-1) @ San Diego State (2-0)
? Utah lost 26-17 at rival BYU LW, giving up 219 YR.
? Last 3+ years, Utes are 2-6-1 ATS out of conference.
? Utah has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Utes have 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Utah?s new quarterback started 39 games at Baylor.
? Last 5+ years, Utah is 11-6-1 ATS as a road favorite.
? San Diego State beat NM State 28-10, Arizona 38-14.
? Aztecs ran ball for 519 yards in those games.
? San Diego State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Aztecs have 65 returning starts on offensive line.
? San Diego State has a junior QB with 4 starts.
? Aztecs are 6-1-1 ATS in last eight games as home dogs.
? These teams haven?t met since 2010.
Auburn (2-0) @ Penn State (2-0)
? Auburn started season by scoring 60-62 points vs stiffs.
? Harsin is 7-3 ATS as a road underdog.
? Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Auburn has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
? Tigers have a soph QB with 26 career starts.
? Last 7 years, Auburn is 4-10 ATS as a road underdog.
? Penn State won 16-10 at Wisconsin, hammered Ball State.
? PSU was outgained 359-297 by the Badgers.
? Penn State has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Penn State has 47 returning starts on offensive line.
? Penn State has a junior QB, with 22 starts.
? Nittany Lions are 4-6-1 ATS last 11 games as home favorites.
? These teams haven?t met since 2002.
Virginia (2-0) @ North Carolina (1-1)
? Virginia hammered Illinois 42-14 LW, throwing for 423 yards.
? Cavaliers are 9-3 ATS last dozen non-league games.
? Virginia has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on offensive line.
? Virginia has a soph QB with 11 starts.
? Last six years, Cavaliers are 15-11 ATS as a road underdog.
? UNC lost 17-10 at Va Tech, hammered Georgia State 59-17 LW.
? Tar Heels held both opponents this season under 300 yards.
? Tar Heels have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Tech has 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
? UNC has a soph QB with 27 career starts.
? Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS last six games as home favorites.
? Virginia won last four series games, scoring 34.3 ppg.
? Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS last seven visits to Kenan Stadium.
? Last two series games ended 38-31/44-41.
Tulane (1-1) @ Ole Miss (2-0)
? Tulane lost 40-35 at Oklahoma, whipped a I-AA team 69-20.
? Green Wave was outgained only 430-396 by the Sooners.
? Green Wave has 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Tulane has 114 returning starts on offensive line.
? Green Wave are playing a freshman QB with 11 starts.
? Under Fritz, Tulane is 7-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? Ole Miss waxed Louisville 43-24, beat a I-AA team 54-17.
? Rebels are 7-11 ATS out of conference.
? Rebels have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Ole Miss has 64 returning starts on offensive line.
? Rebels? soph QB has started 16 games.
? Last three years, Ole Miss is 6-4 ATS as home favorite.
? These teams haven?t met since 2012.
Oklahoma State (2-0) @ Boise State (1-1)
? Oklahoma State edged Tulsa 28-23 LW; they were outshined, 347-313.
? OSU is 16-3 ATS in last 19 non-league games.
? Cowboys have 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? OSU has 103 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cowboys? soph QB has started 21 games.
? OSU is 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.
? Boise State lost opener 36-31 at UCF, pounded UTEP 54-13.
? Broncos were outgained 573-283 by Central Florida.
? Boise State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Broncos have 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Boise has soph QB who has started 15 games.
? Last 2+ years, Boise is 8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
? Oklahoma State (-1) beat Boise 44-21 in ?18; Broncos threw for 380 yards.
Arizona State (2-0) @ BYU (2-0)
? Arizona State beat UNLV 37-10 LW, beat a I-AA team 41-14.
? ASU ran for 287 yards against the Rebels.
? Sun Devils have 9 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
? ASU has 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Sun Devils have a soph QB with 18 career starts.
? Under Edwards, ASU is 5-10 ATS as a favorite, 2-4 on road.
? BYU beat Arizona 24-16, then upset rival Utah 26-17 LW.
? Last week was first time Cougars beat Utah since 2009.
? Cougars have 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
? BYU has 86 returning starts on the offensive line.
? BYU?s QB has started two games, won ?em both.
? Under Sitake, BYU is 3-5-1 ATS as home underdogs.
? Teams haven?t met since 1998.
Fresno State (2-1) @ UCLA (2-0)
? Fresno hammered couple of stiffs, lost 31-24 at Oregon.
? Bulldogs outgained Oregon 373-358, were -2 in turnovers.
? Fresno has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Bulldogs have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Fresno?s QB has nine career starts.
? Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS last ten games as road underdogs.
? UCLA had LW off after beating LSU 38-27.
? Bruins ran ball for 244-210 yards in first two games.
? UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Bruins have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
? UCLA?s junior QB is making his 25th career start.
? Under Kelly, Bruins are 4-6 ATS as home favorite, 2-0 this year.
? Fresno (-2.5) won 38-14 at UCLA three years ago.
? Bulldogs won last three series games.
