NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 5
Saturday?s games
Indiana (2-2) @ Penn State (4-0)
? Hoosiers lost 34-6 at Iowa, 38-24 at home to Cincinnati.
? Indiana gave up 458 TY in LW?s 33-31 win at WKU.
? Hoosiers have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Indiana has 67 returning starts on offensive line.
? Indiana has a soph QB with 14 career starts.
? Indiana is 7-1 ATS last eight games as a road underdog.
? Penn State won 16-10 at Wisconsin, heat Auburn 28-20.
? PSU ran for less than 100 yards in three of four games.
? Penn State has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Penn State has 47 returning starts on offensive line.
? Penn State has a junior QB, with 24 starts.
? Nittany Lions are 5-6-1 ATS last 12 games as home favorites.
? Indiana (+6) upset Penn State 36-35 at home LY.
? Nittany Lions outgained Indiana 488-211 in that game.
? Hoosiers are covered once in last four visits to Happy Valley.
USC (2-2) @ Colorado (1-3)
? USC lost 42-28 to Stanford, 45-27 to Oregon State, both at home.
? Trojans ran for only 124 yards in two post-Helton games.
? Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? USC has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Trojans have a soph QB with 20 career starts.
? USC is 12-7 ATS last 19 games as a road favorite.
? Colorado lost last three games, outscored 75-20.
? Buffs have total of 238 PY in those three games.
? Buffs have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Colorado has 58 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Buffs are playing a true frosh QB with four career starts.
? Colorado is 12-8 ATS last 20 games as a home underdog.
? USC is 11-0 vs Colorado the last 21 years.
? Trojans are 3-3 ATS in Boulder, 1-3 in last four.
? Total yardage was 520-518 in last meeting, 35-31 USC win in ?19.
Cincinnati (3-0) @ Notre Dame (4-0)
? Bearcats whacked couple of stiffs, beat Indiana 38-24.
? Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in last ten non-league games.
? Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Cincinnati has 48 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cincinnati has a junior QB with 38 career starts.
? Bearcats had last week off.
? Under Fickell, Cincinnati is 4-5 ATS as a road favorite.
? Notre Dame won its first four games, scoring 35.3 ppg.
? Frosh QB Pyne came off bench to spark LW?s win over Wisconsin.
? Last 5+ years, Notre Dame is 6-4 ATS on neutral fields.
? Notre Dame has 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Notre Dame has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Last 5+ years, Notre Dame is 14-17 ATS as a home favorite.
? These teams haven?t met in last 20 years.
Oregon (4-0) @ Stanford (2-2)
? Oregon is 4-0, scoring 35.7 ppg vs three I-A opponents.
? Ducks gave up 1,047 TY in last two I-A tilts (Ohio St/Arizona)
? Ducks have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Oregon has 36 returning starts on offensive line.
? Oregon?s QB has 32 career starts, 28 at Boston College.
? Under Cristobal, Ducks are 6-4 ATS as road favorites.
? Stanford scored 42-41 points in wins, 7-24 in losses.
? Stanford allowed 451 rushing yards in last two games.
? Cardinal has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Stanford has 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cardinal has freshman QB with three career starts.
? Last 10+ years, Stanford is 6-3 ATS as home underdogs.
? Oregon won last two meetings, 35-14/21-6.
? Stanford is 5-4 SU in last nine series games.
? Ducks are 6-3 ATS in last nine visits to The Farm.
Ole Miss (3-0) @ Alabama (4-0)
? Ole Miss waxed Louisville 43-24, Tulane 61-21.
? Rebels gained 707 yards vs Tulane (372 run, 335 pass).
? Rebels have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Ole Miss has 64 returning starts on offensive line.
? Rebels? soph QB has started 17 games.
? Last two years, Ole Miss is 5-1 ATS as road underdog.
? Alabama had one close game, winning 31-29 @ Florida Sept 18.
? Gators ran for 258 yards; other two I-A opponents totaled 168.
? Crimson Tide has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Alabama has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
? Bama?s new QB has started four games.
? Alabama covered its last six games as a home favorite.
? Kiffin used to be offensive coordinator at Alabama.
? Alabama won last five series games (2-3 ATS)
? Crimson Tide scored 59+ points in last four meetings.
Arkansas (4-0) @ Georgia (4-0)
? Arkansas scored 35.8 ppg in its 4-0 start, beating Texas/Texas A&M.
? Hogs ran ball for 261 yards/game, 333 vs Texas
? Arkansas has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Razorbacks have 110 returning starts on offensive line.
? Arkansas has a freshman QB with 5 starts.
? Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 9-3 ATS as underdogs.
? Georgia won first four games by a combined 168-23.
? Dawgs gained 256 TY vs Clemson, averaged 520.7 ypg last 3 games.
? Dawgs have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Georgia has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Dawgs? soph QB has 19 career starts.
? Under Smart, Georgia is 12-17 ATS as a home favorite.
? Georgia won 8 of last 9 series games.
? Dawgs (-28) won 37-10 at Arkansas LY.
? Last year was only meeting since 2014.
Tennessee (2-2) @ Missouri (2-2)
? Tennessee lost last two I-A games, giving up 41-38 points.
? Florida ran for 283 yards in LW?s 38-14 win over the Vols.
? Tennessee has 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Vols have 70 returning starts on offensive line.
? Vols have QB with 17 starts who transferred from Va Tech.
? Last 4+ years, Tennessee is 7-8 ATS as road underdogs.
? Mizzou lost its last two I-A games, 35-28 (Kentucky), 41-34 (BC)
? Last three games, Mizzou allowed 300.3 rushing yards/game.
? Mizzou has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Tigers have 88 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Mizzou?s QB has 13 career starts.
? Tigers are 9-6 ATS last 15 games as home favorites.
? Tennessee won last two meetings, 35-12/24-20
? Teams split last four meetings at Faurot Field.
? Favorites covered five of last six series games.
Texas (3-1) @ TCU (2-1)
? Texas ran for 763 yards last two weeks, after 40-21 loss at Arkansas.
? Longhorns beat Texas Tech 70-35 LW; Tech threw for 392 yards.
? Texas has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Longhorns have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Sarkisian is 25-17 ATS as a favorite, 5-6 on road.
? Longhorns are 3-7 ATS last 10 games as road favorite.
? TCU gave up 1,037 TY, 74 points in splitting last two games.
? Horned Frogs (-9.5) got upset 42-34 LW by local rival SMU
? TCU has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
? TCU has a soph QB this year, with 22 starts.
? Last nine years, TCU is 5-7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
? TCU won six of last seven series games.
? Texas lost last three trips to TCU: 37-27/24-7/50-7.
? Underdogs are 4-1 ATS last five series games (3-0 SU last three)
Florida (3-1) @ Kentucky (4-0)
? Florida?s three wins this year are by 21-22-24 points.
? Gators ran ball for 326 ypg in four games (258 vs Alabama).
? Florida has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Gators have 54 returning starts on offensive line.
? Florida?s new QB has four career starts.
? Under Mullen, Florida is 6-5 ATS as a road favorite.
? Kentucky?s last three wins were all by 7 or fewer points.
? Wildcats are minus-9 in turnovers (minus in every game)
? Kentucky has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Wildcats have 62 returning starts on offensive line.
? Kentucky?s QB has 6 career starts; he transferred from Penn State.
? Last five years, Wildcats are 6-3 ATS as home underdogs.
? Florida won 23 of last 24 series games SU.
? Gators are 8-4 ATS last dozen visits to Lexington.
Auburn (3-1) @ LSU (3-1)
? Auburn needed last-minute TD on 4th down to beat Georgia St LW.
? Georgia State ran for 267 yards against them.
? Auburn fired its first-year WR?s coach during the week.
? Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Auburn has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
? Tigers have a soph QB with 28 career starts.
? Last 7+ years, Auburn is 4-11 ATS as a road underdog.
? LSU lost 38-27 at UCLA, won 28-25 at Miss State.
? Tigers ran ball for only 49-84-63 yards vs I-A opponents.
? LSU has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Tigers have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
? LSU?s junior QB has made seven starts.
? Under Orgeron, Tigers are 13-11 ATS as home favorites.
? Underdogs covered last five series games (4-1 SU)
? LSU is 10-4 last 14 series games, but lost 48-11 at Auburn LY.
? Auburn is 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Baton Rouge.
Michigan (4-0) @ Wisconsin (1-2)
? Michigan scored 40.3 ppg in 4-0 start, all home tilts.
? Wolverines were outgained 352-275 in 20-13 win over Rutgers LW
? Michigan ran ball for 350 ypg first three games, 112 last week.
? Michigan has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Wolverines have 30 returning starts on offensive line.
? Michigan?s QB has started four games.
? Wolverines are 7-11 ATS last 18 road games.
? Wisconsin scored 10-13 points in losses to Penn State/Notre Dame.
? Badgers are already minus-7 in turnovers.
? Badgers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Wisconsin has 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Wisconsin has a freshman QB, with ten starts- he is struggling.
? Last 3+ years, Badgers are 5-12 ATS as home favorites.
? Wisconsin won five of last seven series games.
? Michigan is 0-6 ATS in last six visits to Madison.
Mississippi State (2-2) @ Texas A&M (3-1)
? Miss State lost its last two games by total of five points.
? Bulldogs outgained LSU 487-343 LW, but struggled in red zone.
? Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? MSU has 37 returning starts on offensive line.
? Bulldogs have a freshman QB this year, with 10 starts.
? In his career, Leach is 36-27 ATS as a road underdog.
? A&M lost 20-10 to Arkansas on neutral field LW.
? Aggies were held under 300 TY in two of last three games.
? A&M has 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Aggies have 15 returning starts on offensive line.
? A&M is playing two freshman QB?s.
? Under Fisher, Aggies are 11-6 ATS as home favorites.
? A&M won last two series games, 28-14/49-30
? Bulldogs are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to College Station.
? Favorites are 6-1 ATS last seven series games.
Arizona State (3-1) @ UCLA (3-1)
? Arizona State allowed 250 or less yards in all three of its wins
? ASU lost 27-17 at BYU in its only road game.
? Sun Devils have 9 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
? ASU has 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Sun Devils have a soph QB with 20 career starts.
? Under Edwards, ASU is 6-2 ATS as road underdogs.
? UCLA scored 38.5 ppg in 3-1 start, all vs I-A opponents.
? Bruins gave up 785 passing yards to LSU/Fresno State.
? UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Bruins have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
? UCLA?s junior QB is making his 27th career start.
? Under Kelly, Bruins are 3-7 ATS as home favorites.
? UCLA won three of last four series games.
? Sun Devils are 2-7 ATS in last nine trips to UCLA.
? Underdogs covered five of last six series tilts.