NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 4
Saturday?s games
Kentucky (3-0) @ South Carolina (2-1)
? Kentucky beat Mizzou 35-38 in SEC opener; also beat two stiffs.
? Wildcats ran for 332 yards, gained 511 TY in the Mizzou game.
? Kentucky has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Wildcats have 62 returning starts on offensive line.
? Kentucky?s QB has 5 career starts; he transferred from Penn State.
? Over last decade, Wildcats are 2-4 ATS as road favorites.
? South Carolina nipped ECU 20-17, lost SEC opener 40-13 @ Georgia LW.
? Gamecocks were outgained 491-310 LW, giving up 307 PY.
? South Carolina has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Gamecocks have 84 returning starts on offensive line.
? South Carolina has a freshman QB with 3 starts.
? Last three years, Gamecocks are 3-8 ATS as home underdogs.
? Kentucky won six of last seven series games.
? Wildcats won two of last three visits to Columbia.
? Both teams ran for 290+ yards in LY?s 41-18 Wildcat win.
Notre Dame (3-0) vs Wisconsin (1-1) (@ Soldier Field)
? Notre Dame?s QB started 18 games at Wisconsin (?18-?19).
? Notre Dame won 41-38 at Florida State, beat Purdue 27-13 LW.
? Last 5+ years, Notre Dame is 6-4 ATS on neutral fields.
? Notre Dame has 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Notre Dame has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Under Kelly, Notre Dame is 15-8 ATS as an underdog
? Wisconsin lost 16-10 at home to Penn State, beat a stiff 34-7.
? Badgers are 8-5 ATS in last 13 neutral field games.
? Badgers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Wisconsin has 59 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Wisconsin has a freshman QB, with seven starts.
? Last 3+ years, Badgers are 12-16 ATS as a favorite.
? These teams have not met in last 20 years.
UCLA (2-1) @ Stanford (2-1)
? UCLA lost 40-37 to Fresno after beating LSU 38-27.
? Bruins gave up 755 passing yards in last two games.
? UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Bruins have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
? UCLA?s junior QB is making his 26th career start.
? Last five years, Bruins are 0-5-1 ATS as road favorite.
? Stanford won road games at USC/Vanderbilt last two weeks.
? Stanford allowed 200+ rushing yards into of three games.
? Cardinal has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Stanford has 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cardinal has freshman QB with two career starts.
? Last four years, Stanford is 3-7 ATS as road underdogs.
? Stanford won 12 of last 13 series games.
? Bruins? one win was last visit here, 34-16 (+4) in ?19.
? UCLA ran for 291-263 yards in last two meetings.
Louisville (2-1) @ Florida State (0-3)
? Louisville lost 43-24 to Ole Miss, beat UCF 42-35 LW.
? Cardinals allowed 569-420 TY in their two I-A games.
? Louisville has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Cardinals have 95 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cardinals? junior QB has started 17 games.
? Last seven years, Louisville is 10-8 ATS as road favorites.
? Florida State is 0-3 for first time since 1976.
? FSU gave up 431-484 TY in I-A games; they also lost to a I-AA team.
? Seminoles have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? FSU has 100 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Seminoles have been playing two QBs.
? Last nine years, FSU is 4-4 ATS as a home underdog.
? Teams split last eight series games.
? Cardinals lost three of last four visits to FSU (2-2 ATS)
LSU (2-1) @ Mississippi State (2-1)
? LSU beat couple of stiffs, lost 38-27 at UCLA.
? Tigers ran ball for only 49-84 yards vs I-A opponents.
? LSU has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Tigers have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
? LSU?s junior QB has made six starts.
? Under Orgeron, Tigers are 7-7 ATS as a road favorite.
? Miss State lost 31-29 at Memphis LW: they outgained Tigers 468-246.
? Bulldogs have home wins over La Tech (35-34), NC State (24-10).
? Bulldogs have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? MSU has 37 returning starts on offensive line.
? Bulldogs have a freshman QB this year, with 9 starts.
? Last 2+ years, Miss State is 1-4 ATS as a home dog.
? Miss State smoked LSU 44-34 LY, Leach?s first game in this series.
? LSU has won 18 of last 21 series games.
? Bayou Bengals are 9-3 ATS in last 12 visits to Starkville.
Texas Tech (3-0) @ Texas (1-0)
? Tech beat Houston 38-21, then beat couple of stiffs.
? Red Raiders did struggle to beat a I-AA team 28-22.
? Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Tech has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tech?s soph QB has ten starts (7 at Oregon).
? Under Wells, Red Raiders are 3-5 ATS as road underdogs.
? Texas spanked Louisiana/Rice at home, lost 40-21 at Arkansas.
? Sarkisian is 24-17 ATS as a favorite, 19-12 at home.
? Texas has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Longhorns have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Texas has a new coach, new QB- Arkansas ran for 333 yards against them.
? Longhorns are 2-0 ATS as home fave TY (7-12 previous four years).
? Texas won three in row, 15 of last 18 series games.
? Red Raiders are 3-5 ATS in last eight visits to Austin, but won 2 of last 3 SU.
? Texas (-17) won 63-56 LY; they scored 51 ppg in last three meetings.
SMU (3-0) @ TCU (2-0)
? SMU won its last game 39-37, on last-second Hail Mary.
? Mustangs gave up 735 PY in last two games.
? SMU has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Mustangs have 141 returning starts on offensive line.
? SMU has a soph QB this year; he was a backup at Oklahoma.
? Last four years, SMU is 5-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? TCU had last week off after nipping Cal 34-32.
? Golden Bears gained 442 yards, threw for 309.
? TCU has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
? TCU has a soph QB this year, with 20 starts.
? Last 5+ years, TCU is 6-17-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? TCU won 17 of last 20 meetings, lost last one 41-38 (-8)
? SMU is 5-1-1 ATS in last seven (short) trips to Fort Worth.
Iowa State (2-1) @ Baylor (3-0)
? Iowa State lost 27-17 to Iowa, only decent team they?ve played.
? ISU took frustrations out on UNLV LW, winning 48-3.
? Cyclones have 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? ISU has 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cyclones have a junior QB this year, with 35 starts.
? ISU is 5-2-1 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
? Baylor ran ball for 321.3 yds/game in whacking three stiffs.
? Bears outgained Kansas 576-166 in Big X opener LW.
? Bears have 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Baylor has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Bears have a soph QB this year, with 3 starts.
? Last four years, Baylor is 5-4 ATS as a home underdog.
? Iowa State won three of last four series games.
? Cyclones are 2-4 ATS in last six visits to Waco.
? Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
Clemson (2-1) @ NC State (1-0)
? Clemson lost 10-3 to Georgia, beat Ga Tech 14-8 LW.
? Tigers gained only 232 ypg in two I-A games.
? Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Tigers have 37 returning starts on offensive line.
? Clemson?s freshman QB has made 5 starts.
? Clemson is 12-6-1 ATS in last 19 games as a road favorite.
? State beat couple of stiffs, lost 24-10 at Miss State.
? Wolfpack was -3 in TO?s, ran for only 32 yards in loss to MSU.
? Wolfpack has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? NC State has 73 returning starts on offensive line.
? Wolfpack has a soph QB this year, with 11 starts.
? Last five years, NC State is 4-7 ATS as a road favorite.
? Clemson won last eight series games (4-2 ATS last six).
? Tigers won last two meetings, 55-10/41-7.
? Clemson is 7-3 ATS last ten visits to Raleigh.
Nebraska (2-2) @ Michigan State (3-0)
? Nebraska is already playing its fifth game- they lost 23-16 @ Oklahoma LW.
? Huskers beat Fordham/Buffalo, lost 30-22 to Illinois.
? Nebraska has 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Nebraska has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cornhuskers have a junior QB with 27 starts.
? Nebraska is 10-5 ATS in last 15 games as road underdog.
? Michigan State was +4 in turnovers in 38-17 upset of Miami LW.
? MSU ran for 326 yards @ Northwestern, 191 at Miami.
? Spartans have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? MSU has 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Michigan State has a QB who started 26 games for Temple.
? MSU is 1-10 ATS in last 11 games as home favorite.
? Nebraska won five of last seven series games.
? Huskers (+1.5) won last meeting 9-6 in 2018.
? Nebraska covered last two visits to East Lansing.
Rutgers (3-0) @ Michigan (3-0)
? Rutgers beat Syracuse 17-7, Temple 61-14 in I-A games.
? Schiano is 34-25-1 ATS on the road.
? Knights have 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Rutgers has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
? Rutgers has junior QB with 10 career starts.
? Scarlet Knights covered their last five road games.
? Michigan scored 47 ppg in winning first three games.
? Harbaugh is 30-22 ATS as a home favorite.
? Michigan has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Wolverines have 30 returning starts on offensive line.
? Michigan?s QB has started three games.
? Wolverines are 3-0 ATS already as home favorites TY.
? Michigan won last six series games (3-3 ATS)
? Wolverines scored 50.7 ppg in those games.
? Last year?s game was a 48-42 Michigan (-12) win.
California (1-2) @ Washington (1-2)
? Cal lost two games by total of 7 points, beat I-AA team 42-30 LW.
? Cal gave up 965 yards in last two games.
? Bears have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Cal has 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Bears have junior QB with 25 starts.
? Last three years, Cal is 9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? Washington lost 13-7 to I-AA Montana, 31-10 at Michigan.
? Huskies beat up on Arkansas State 52-3 LW.
? Washington has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Huskies have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Washington?s QB has 7 career starts.
? Last 2+ years, Huskies are 6-4 ATS as home favorites.
? Cal won last two series games, 20-19/12-10, both as double digit dogs.
? Golden Bears are 7-5 ATS last dozen trips to Seattle.
Texas A&M (3-0) vs Arkansas (3-0) (@ Arlington, TX)
? A&M outscored opponents 85-17 in their 3-0 start.
? Aggies struggled to beat Colorado 10-7 in neutral field game.
? A&M has 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Aggies have 15 returning starts on offensive line.
? A&M are playing two freshman QB?s.
? Aggies are 14-4-1 ATS inlets 19 non-league games.
? Arkansas scored 41 ppg in its 3-0 start, with win over Texas.
? Hogs ran ball for 282.3 yards/game, 333 vs Texas
? Arkansas has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Razorbacks have 110 returning starts on offensive line.
? Arkansas has a freshman QB with 4 starts.
? Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 8-3 ATS as underdogs.
? Aggies won last nine series games; A&M covered last three.
? Underdogs are 4-2-1 ATS in series when spread was single digits.
