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WEEK FIVE

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Week 5


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Cnotes53

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 4 NFL spreads…….
— Seahawks @ Arizona (-1.5)
— Vikings (-3.5) vs Steelers (@ Dublin, Ireland)
— Chargers (-6.5) @ Giants
— Titans @ Houston (-6.5)
— Commanders (-2.5) @ Atlanta
— Saints @ Buffalo (-15.5)

Quote of the Day
“I’ve said it a million times to you guys — I don’t think I’ve obviously said it enough to our team — the goal is to go 1-0 every week. And it pisses me off when we start talking about things outside of the next game. Things that are way down the road. Like, focus on, keep the focus on the present, on the now, and worry about getting better each and every day.”
Green Bay coach Matt LaFleur

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Milwaukee Brewers, who has hit the most home runs?

Monday’s quiz
Cam Newton is the Carolina Panthers’ all-time leader in passing yardage.

Sunday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Dick Vermeil is the only head coach who coached both the Eagles, Rams in a Super Bowl.

*******************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Trends for every MLB team……

Trends for every major league team
(thru Sunday’s games)

— Arizona (79-77)
Arizona is 7-4 its last eleven games.
Diamondbacks are 20-27 in one-run games.
Arizona is 25-21 vs NL West foes, 54-56 vs everyone else.
Arizona scored in 1st inning in 11 of last 16 home games.

— Braves (73-83)
Braves won their last eight games.
Atlanta is 36-39 at home, 37-44 on the road.
Braves are 28-21 vs NL East rivals, 45-62 vs everyone else.
Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.

— Cubs (88-68)
Chicago lost its last four games.
Cubs are holding #1 Wild Card slot in NL
Under is 13-5-2 in their last 20 road games.
Cubs are 69-46 vs righty starters, 19-22 vs lefties.

— Reds (80-76)
Cincinnati won its last five games.
Reds are 60-53 vs righty starters, 20-23 vs lefties.
Under is 8-3-1 in their last 11 road games.
Reds are holding the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Rockies (43-113)
Colorado lost 16 of its last 20 games.
Over is 6-2 in Rockies’ last eight games.
Rockies are 8-34 vs lefty starters, 35-79 vs righties.
Colorado scored a first inning run in only one of last 37 road games.

— Dodgers (88-68)
Dodgers won 10 of their last 14 games.
LA leads San Diego by three games in NL West.
Dodgers are 64-45 vs righty starters, 24-23 vs lefties.
Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

— Marlins (76-80)
Marlins are 10-1 in their last 11 games.
Miami is 36-42 at home, 40-38 on the road.
Over is 9-4 in Marlins’ last 13 games.
Marlins are 57-55 vs righty starters, 19-25 vs lefties.

— Brewers (95-61)
Brewers are 6-3 in their last nine games.
Milwaukee is 51-27 at home, 44-34 on the road.
Over is 17-7-1 in their last 25 home games.
Right now, Milwaukee is the #1 seed in the NL.

— Mets (80-76)
Mets are 4-11 in their last fifteen games.
Mets are 49-32 at home, 31-44 on the road.
Over is 8-5-1 in their last 14 road games.
Right now, Mets trail Cincinnati by half-game for last NL Wild Card slot.

— Phillies (92-64)
Phillies are 1-3 in their last four games.
Phillies are 70-39 vs righty starters, 22-25 vs lefties.
Over is 10-2 in their last 12 games.
Right now, Phillies are #2 seed in the NL.

— Pirates (67-89)
Pirates lost 12 of their last 15 games.
Pittsburgh is 44-37 at home, 23-52 on the road.
Under is 11-4 in their last 15 games.
Pirates are 53-69 vs righty starters, 14-20 vs lefties.

— St Louis (76-80)
St Louis is 4-8 in its last 12 games.
Cardinals are 1-5 in last six series openers.
St Louis is 44-37 at home, 32-43 on the road.
Under is 8-3 in their last eleven home games.

— Padres (85-71)
San Diego is 9-10 in its last 19 games.
Padres are 47-28 at home, 38-43 on the road.
Padres are 61-48 vs righty starters, 24-23 vs lefties.
San Diego has a 5-game for the #2 Wild Card slot in NL.

— Giants (77-79)
Giants lost eight of their last 11 games.
Giants are 61-51 vs righty pitchers, 16-28 vs lefties.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine home games.
SF is three games out of the NL’s last Wild Card slot.


— Washington (64-92)
Nationals are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
Washington is 47-64 vs righty starters, 17-28 vs lefties.
Under is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.
Nationals are 22-16 in one-run games.

Famous birthdays, September 23rd:
Bruce Springsteen, 76
Dennis Lamp, 73
Jason Alexander, 66
Larry Krystkowiak, 61
Pete Harnisch, 59
Cuonzo Martin, 54
Matt Kemp, 41
Brian Brohm, 40

— Orioles (73-83)
Baltimore is 12-7 in its last 19 games.
Orioles are 52-58 vs vs righty starters, 21-25 vs lefties.
Under is 15-0 in their last fifteen home games.
Orioles are 20-26 vs AL East rivals, 53-57 vs everyone else.

— Red Sox (85-71)
Red Sox are 4-6 in their last ten games.
Boston is 46-32 at home, 39-39 on road.
Over is 3-0 in their last three games.
Red Sox have #2 AL Wild Card slot, one game ahead of Cleveland/Houston.

— White Sox (58-98)
Chicago lost eight of its last eleven games.
White Sox are 33-48 at home, 25-50 on the road.
Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Chicago is 43-77 vs righty starters, 15-21 vs lefties.

— Cleveland (84-72)
Cleveland is 14-2 in its last 16 games.
Guardians are tied with Astros for AL’s last Wild Card slot.
Guardians are also game behind Detroit in AL Central.
Guardians are 66-48 vs righty starters, 18-24 vs lefties.
Under is 16-3 in their last nineteen games.

— Detroit (85-71)
Detroit is 7-18 in its last 25 games.
Tigers lead Cleveland by one game in AL Central.
Over is 12-6 in their last eighteen games.
Detroit is 20-10 in one-run games.

— Houston (84-72)
Astros are tied for last Wild Card slot in AL.
Astros are 14-21 in their last 35 home games.
Astros trail Seattle by three games in AL West.
Over is 8-2 in their last ten home games.

— Royals (78-78)
Royals are 14-17 in their last 31 games.
Kansas City is 61-66 vs righty starters, 17-12 vs lefties.
Over is 7-2 in Royals’ last nine games.
Royals scored in first inning in 15 of last 28 home games.

— Angels (70-86)
Angels are 11-24 in their last 35 games.
Over is 10-6 in their last sixteen games.
Angels are 59-70 vs righty starters, 11-16 vs lefties.
Angels are in last place in AL West ($206M payroll)

— Twins (67-89)
Twins lost 26 of their last 38 games.
Minnesota is 38-43 at home, 29-46 on the road.
Over is 16-6 in their last 22 home games.
Twins are 2-10 in last 12 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— New York (88-68)
New York is 8-3 in its last 11 games.
Under is 4-0 in their last four games.
New York is 71-51 vs righty starters, 17-17 vs lefties.
Right now, New York has the #1 Wild Card slot in AL.

— A’s (73-83)
A’s are 7-3 in their last ten games.
A’s didn’t score in their last two games.
A’s are 55-68 vs righty starters, 18-15 vs lefties.
A’s are 9-5 in extra innings this season.

— Seattle (87-69)
Mariners won 14 of their last 15 games.
Seattle is 33-10 in its last 43 home games.
Over is 13-6 in their last nineteen games.
Seattle leads Houston by three games in AL West.

— Tampa Bay (76-80)
Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
Rays are 41-40 at home, 35-40 on the road.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.
Rays are 7-15 in last 22 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Texas (79-77)
Rangers lost their last seven games.
Texas is five games out of the AL’s last Wild Card slot.
Texas is 62-55 vs righty starters, 17-22 vs lefties
Rangers are 47-31 at home, 32-46 on road.

— Toronto (90-66)
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last five games.
Blue Jays scored total of 11 runs in those five games.
Under is 11-5 in their last 16 games.
Toronto leads New York by two games in AL East.
 

Cnotes53

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Thursday’s 7-pack:
Last seven NFL QB’s who started in Week 1 of their rookie season
— Cam Ward, Titans
— Caleb Williams, Bears
— Jayden Daniels, Commanders
— Bo Nix, Broncos
— Bryce Young, Panthers
— CJ Stroud, Texans
— Anthony Richardson, Colts

Quote of the Day
“I believe the only way to protect my own rights is to protect the rights of others.”
Dwight Eisenhower, 1953

Thursday’s quiz
First time the Seattle Seahawks played in a Super Bowl, who was their QB?

Wednesday’s quiz
Right now, Memphis Tigers have the longest active winning streak in college football- they’ve won their last eight games.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Milwaukee Brewers, Ryan Braun has hit the most home runs.

****************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— Guardians 5, Tigers 1
George Valera had the go-ahead home run for Cleveland.
Guardians now lead AL Central by a game, with four games left.
Detroit has lost 8 in a row, is out of first place for first time since April 22.

— A’s 6, Astros 0
Shea Langeliers went 4-for-4 with a home run.
Luis Severino got 19 outs, allowed only three hits.
Astros have lost 5 in a row, trail Detroit by a game for last Wild Card slot.

— Cubs 10, Mets 3
Cubs scored 5 runs in third inning, snapped a five-game losing skid.
Matthew Boyd got 16 outs, allowed only two hits.
Juan Soto hit his 43rd home run for the Mets

— Pirates 4, Reds 3 (11)
Spencer Horwitz had the game-winning double for Pittsburgh.
Reds remain a game behind the Mets for the last NL’s Wild Card slot.
Noelvi Marte hit an inside-the-park home run for the Reds.

— Mariners 9, Rockies 2
Seattle clinches its first AL West title since 2001.
Cal Raleigh hit two home runs, now has 60 this season.
Luis Castillo got 22 outs, allowed only one baserunner.

— Red Sox 7, Blue Jays 1
Garrett Crochet tossed 8 shutout innings.
Red Sox lead Detroit by two games for the AL’s second Wild Card.
Toronto/New York are now tied for first in AL East.

Famous birthdays, September 25th:
Michael Douglas, 81
Bob McAdoo, 74
Glenn Hubbard, 68
Geno Petralli, 66
Heather Locklear, 64
Scottie Pippen, 60
Will Smith, 56
Catherine Zeta-Jones, 55
Matt Hasselbeck, 50
Rocco Baldelli, 44
Alec Ogletree, 34
Brandin Cooks, 32

— College football conference trends:
Home favorites in conference games are 12-10 ATS
Home underdogs in conference games are 11-7 ATS

American
Home underdogs 1-5 ATS in non-conference games
Road underdogs 8-4 ATS in non-conference games

ACC
Home favorites 6-10 ATS in non-conference games
Road underdogs 1-5 ATS in non-conference games

Big 10
Favorites 14-16 ATS in non-conference games

Big X
Favorites 13-9 ATS in non-conference games
Underdogs 3-4 ATS in non-conference games

Conference USA
14-9 ATS in non-conference games, 6-3 at home.

Mid American
Underdogs 18-15 ATS in non-conference games

Mountain West
Underdogs 12-6 ATS in non-conference games

SEC
19-16 ATS in non-conference games, 4-2 as underdogs

Sun Belt
Underdogs 10-13 ATS in non-conference games

— Tampa Bay Rays were sold for $1.7B this week, are expected to stay in the Tampa/St Pete area of western Florida. Stuart Sternberg had owned the team since 2004; back then, he bought the team for $200M, so a tidy profit right there.

— Was watching the Brewers-Padres game Monday night; Roberto Ortiz was the home plate umpire and boy, did the Milwaukee TV guys shred his performance.
Don’t think I’ve ever heard TV guys rip an umpire like that, especially considering that the Brewers are already locked in to a really good seed in the playoffs, not like it was a huge game for them, but hitters/pitchers looked confused by several of his calls.

— Auburn basketball coach Bruce Pearl stepped down this week; he takes an ambassador’s role in the athletic department, while his son Steven Pearl got a 5-year contract to take over for his father.
He went 246-125 at Auburn, leading the Tigers to two Final Fours.

— Oklahoma State fired longtime football coach Mike Gundy, who was 170-90 in 21 years coaching the Cowboys, 12-6 in bowl games. He gets paid $15M to go away; would like to hear him on TV, think he’d be an interesting voice in today’s NIL-dominated world.

— Atlanta Falcons fired their WR coach Ike Hilliard after Sunday’s 30-0 loss at Carolina; Passing game coordinator T.J. Yates is going to take over Hilliard’s duties, and offensive coordinator Zac Robinson will be on the sideline during games, instead of in the press box.

— Playoff picture with 4 days left in the regular season:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers
 

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Thursday, September 25


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 5

Army
@ East Carolina (-4.5)
Army (1-2)
Army’s three games were decided by 3-3-7 points.
Army did lose 30-27 to I-AA Tarleton State
Army’s loss to North Texas LW was in overtime.
Army has 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Black Knights have 42 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Coleman started one game last year.


Black Knights ran ball for 237-387 yards in I-A games.
In two losses, Army was minus-5 in turnovers.
Army is 7-3-1 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Monken is 17-13-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Army is 7-2-1 ATS in its AAC games.


East Carolina (2-2)
ECU lost 24-17 @ NC State, 34-13 at home to BYU
ECU has gained 400+ total yards in all four games.
Pirates have 4 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Pirates have 106 returning starts on OL, mostly at other places.
Junior QB Houser has 14 career starts.


ECU is 9-7 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.
Pirates are 10-13-1 ATS in last 24 conference games.
ECU’s only I-A win was 38-0 at Coastal Carolina


LY, Army (-17) beat East Carolina 45-28.
Black Knights ran for 295 yards, outgained ECU 442-369.
That was teams’ first meeting since 2004.
 

Cnotes53

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Friday’s 7-pack:
Batters who hot 30+ home runs each of the last three years:
Pete Alonso
Aaron Judge
Shohei Ohtani
Cal Raleigh
Brent Rooker
Kyle Schwarber
Juan Soto

Quote of the Day
“Everyone needs to see a little bit of positivity in the game. We are human. We feed off a ton of things, including the good things. Of course everyone takes a collective breath.”
Tigers manager AJ Hinch

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Detroit Tigers played in a World Series, who was their manager?

Thursday’s quiz
First time the Seattle Seahawks played in a Super Bowl, Matt Hasselbeck was their QB.

Wednesday’s quiz
Right now, Memphis Tigers have the longest active winning streak in college football- they’ve won their last eight games.

********************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

Seahawks 23, Cardinals 20
Seahawks kicked a 52-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.
Seattle led 14-3 at halftime.
Seattle ran for 155 yards, outgained Cardinals, 384-253
Seahawks are 8-1 SU/5-3-1 ATS in last eight visits to Arizona.
Cardinals lost on a last-second field goal last week, too.
Arizona’s first nine drives: 46 plays, 147 yards, 6 points.
Arizona’s last two drives: 20 plays, 130 yards, 14 points.
Since 2019, Arizona is 6-13 ATS in NFC West home games.

— East Carolina 28, Army 6
Pirates led 21-0 in the first quarter.
ECU was 7-12 on third down, Army 2-15.
Pirates outgained Army, 431-290

— Reds 2, Pirates 1
RF Noelvi Marte made a HR-saving catch in 9th inning to preserve the win.
Nick Lodolo struck out 12 batters in 6.1 scoreless IP.
Reds are a game behind the Mets for the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Mets 8, Cubs 5
Francisco Lindor homered, is a 30-30 guy for the second time.
Mets led this game 6-0 in the 4th inning.
Brett Baty went 2-for-4, with 3 RBI

— Dodgers 8, Diamondbacks 0
Shohei Ohtani hit his 54th home run.
Dodgers clinch NL West for 12th time in 13 years.
Arizona falls two games behind the Mets for the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Tigers 4, Guardians 2
Detroit used six pitchers in this win, tying Cleveland for AL Central lead.
Tigers hit three solo home runs.
This weekend, Cleveland hosts Texas, Tigers visit Boston.

— Obscure Fact of the Day: Actor Russell Johnson played the Professor on the old TV show Gilligan’s Island, but before he was an actor, Russell Johnson flew 44 combat missions as a WWII bombardier. His plane was shot down in 1945; he broke both his ankles.
He earned a Purple Heart, a Bronze Star and the admiration of Ginger and Mary Ann.

Famous birthdays, September 26th:
Kent McCord, 83
Dave Duncan, 80
Mike Bragg, 79
Lucius Allen, 78
John Roche, 76
Melissa Sue Anderson, 63
Sean Doolittle, 39
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, 32
Shake Milton, 29

— Washington Nationals are hiring Paul Toboni as their new head of baseball operations. The 35-year old Toboni rose quickly in the Red Sox organization to become assistant GM and is widely regarded as one of the best young executives in MLB.

— Astros 11, A’s 5
Houston remains a game behind Detroit for the AL’s last playoff slot.
Christian Walker homered, had three RBI
Win ends Astros’ 7-game losing streak against the A’s.

— Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 1
Daulton Varsho hit his 5th career grand slam.
Toronto/New York remain tied atop the AL East; Blue Jays own tiebreaker.
Boston’s magic number to clinch a playoff spot is one.

— Phillies 1, Marlins 0
Only run of the game scored on a first inning ground out.
Walker Buehler pitched five shutout innings.
Surprising fact: This loss eliminated the Marlins, who have had a good year.

— Royals 9, Angels 4
Bobby Witt Jr went 4-for-5, scored two runs.
Mike Trout hit his 401st career home run.

— Random opinion: If a run scores because of an error on the pitcher, that should be an earned run. Why should the pitcher’s stats benefit because he made an error?

— Playoff picture with 3 days left in the regular season:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers
 

Udog

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NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, September 26


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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 5

Top 13 games of the week
Friday’s games
Florida State
(-6.5) @ Virginia
Florida State (3-0)
Florida State beat Alabama 31-17, then whacked two stiffs.
Seminoles ran for 230 yards in the win over Alabama.
FSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Seminoles have 129 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Castellanos started 20 games at Boston College.


Under Norvell, Seminoles are 6-2 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Norvell is 16-8 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 19-22 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Norvell is 39-36-1 ATS in conference games.


Virginia (3-1, 1-1)
Virginia lost 35-31 at NC State, beat Stanford 48-20 in ACC play.
Virginia scored 42.3 ppg in its three I-A games.
Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Cavaliers have 182 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morris started 21 games at North Texas, TCU.


Under Elliott, Virginia is 15-9 ATS as an underdog.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 6-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Elliott, Cavaliers are 16-9 ATS in ACC games.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 9-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
All three Virginia games this year went over the total.


Teams split last six series games.
FSU lost two of last three visits to Charlottesville.
Under is 7-0 in last seven meetings.
So far this year, home teams are 5-2 ATS in ACC conference games.


TCU @ Arizona State (-2.5)
TCU (3-0)
Horned Frogs won 48-14 at North Carolina, beat SMU 35-24.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.


Under Dykes, TCU is 3-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Dykes is 23-22-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dykes, Frogs are 15-11-2 ATS in Big X games.
In their I-A games, TCU gained 542-517 total yards.


Arizona State (3-1, 1-0)
ASU won 27-24 at Baylor in its Big X opener last week.
Sun Devils lost 24-20 at Miss State, beat Texas State 34-15.
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Leavitt had 2,885 PY LY, with 24 TD’s, 6 INTs.


Under Dillingham, Sun Devils are 15-5 ATS in Big X games.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 8-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dillingham, ASU 12-5 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 3-0 in Sun Devils’ I-A games.


These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
 

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Friday, September 26

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
FSU at UVA07:00 PMFSU -6.5
O 59.5
+500 +500
TCU at ASU09:00 PMTCU +3.0
O 54.5
+500 +500
HOU at ORST10:30 PMHOU -13.5
U 47.0
+500 +500
 

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Virginia vs. Florida State prediction, odds, line, time: 2025 college football Week 5 picks by proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model has revealed its FSU vs. Virginia matchup on Friday


The eighth-ranked Florida State Seminoles will look to remain undefeated when they take on the Virginia Cavaliers in an ACC matchup on Friday. FSU is coming off a 66-10 win over Kent State on Saturday, while Virginia downed Stanford 48-20. The Seminoles (3-0), who are opening their conference slate, were 0-4 on the road last year. The Cavaliers (3-1, 1-0 ACC), who have won two in a row, were 2-4 on their home field in 2024.

Kickoff from Scott Stadium in Charlottesville, Va., is at 7 p.m. ET. Florida State leads the all-time series 15-4, but Virginia has won two of the last three meetings. The Seminoles are 7-point favorites in the latest Florida State vs. Virginia odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 60.5 via SportsLine consensus. Before making any Florida State vs. Virginia picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and is a profitable 35-22 combined on money-line and over/under college football picks since the beginning of 2024. Anybody following its college football betting picks at sportsbooks and on betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Florida State vs. Virginia. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the FBS college football odds and trends for Virginia vs. Florida State:

Why Florida State can cover

Senior transfer quarterback Tommy Castellanos helps power the Seminoles. The dual threat has completed 71.1% of his passes for 594 yards and three touchdowns with one interception. He has also rushed 27 times for 139 yards (5.1 average) and three touchdowns. Against Kent State, he completed 10 of 13 passes for 205 yards, while rushing seven times for 54 yards and two touchdowns.

Castellanos' top target has been junior transfer wide receiver Duce Robinson. He is in his first season with the program after spending two years at USC. He leads the Seminoles with eight receptions for 199 yards (24.9 average) and two touchdowns. In a 77-3 win over East Texas A&M, he caught five passes for 173 yards (34.6 average) and two touchdowns. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why Virginia can cover

Sixth-year senior transfer Chandler Morris is off to a fast start to his Cavaliers career. The former North Texas, TCU and Oklahoma standout has completed 85 of 120 passes for 1,050 yards and eight touchdowns with one interception. He has also rushed 14 times for 132 yards (9.4 average) and one touchdown. In six collegiate seasons, he has completed 64.9% of his passes for 7,235 yards and 55 touchdowns with 18 interceptions.

Senior transfer J'Mari Taylor powers the Virginia ground attack. Taylor, who spent the past four years at North Carolina Central, has carried 48 times for 298 yards (6.2 average) and six touchdowns. In a 35-31 loss to North Carolina State on Sept. 6, he rushed 17 times for 150 yards (8.8 average) and three touchdowns. He carried 15 times for 85 yards (5.7 average) in Saturday's win over Stanford. See which team to back at SportsLine.
 

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TOTALS................................5 - 1 - 1 ........................83.33%.........................+ 19.50
 

Cnotes53

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Josh Naylor’s stolen bases, the last six years:
2020— 1
2021— 1
2022— 6
2023— 10
2024— 6
2025— 30

Quote of the Day
“This is as exciting as it gets. To not admit that you’re nervous, I think that would be wrong. I’m nervous as hell.”
Reds manager Terry Francona

Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Rams, what QB has thrown for the most yards?

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Detroit Tigers played in a World Series, Hall of Famer Jim Leyland was their manager.

Thursday’s quiz
First time the Seattle Seahawks played in a Super Bowl, Matt Hasselbeck was their QB.

********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday night…….

— Reds 3, Brewers 1
Cincinnati bullpen got 14 outs, didn’t allow a hit.
Gavin Lux went 2-for-4, scored two runs.
Reds take over the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Marlins 6, Mets 2
Sandy Alcantara threw 100 pitches, got a win in his last ’25 start.
Down 2-0, Marlins scored six runs in the fifth inning.
Connor Norby hit Miami’s 9th pinch-hit homer this season.

— Padres 7, Diamondbacks 4
Fernando Tatis hit a 4th inning grand slam that broke the game open.
Luis Arraez had four hits for San Diego.
Loss puts Arizona on the verge of missing the playoffs.

— Red Sox 4, Tigers 3
Ceddanne Rafaela hit a walk-off triple off the centerfield fence.
Red Sox clinch their first playoff spot since 2021.
Detroit/Cleveland remain tied atop AL Central.

— Rangers 7, Guardians 3
Alejandro Osuna hit a 3-run homer in the first inning.
Jack Leiter struck out 10 hitters for Texas.
Guardians have lost consecutive games for first time since September 2nd.

— White Sox 10, Nationals 9
Colson Montgomery hit a 2-run homer in ninth inning.
White Sox led 8-2 after the fifth inning.
Luis Garcia Jr hit three home runs in a losing cause.

— Angels 4, Astros 3
Mike Trout homered twice, now has 403 career home runs.
Houston led 3-0 in the 4th inning.
Loss puts the Astros on the verge of missing the playoffs.

— Baseball has changed a lot thru the years; here are the numbers of pitchers these guys hit against in the season where they hit 60+ home runs:
1927 Babe Ruth 60 homers, faced 64 pitchers/7 teams
1961 Roger Maris 61 homers, faced 101 pitchers/9 teams
2022 Aaron Judge 62 homers, faced 256 pitchers/20 teams
2025 Cal Raleigh 60 homers, faced 290 pitchers/28 teams

Famous birthdays, September 27th:
Dickie Post, 80
Ken Geddes, 79
Mike Schmidt, 76
Steve Kerr, 60
Rob Moore, 57
Gwyneth Paltrow, 53
Chris Herren, 50
Christian Wood, 30
Mitchell Parker, 26
The great actor Wilford Brimley was born 91 years ago today.

— Virginia 46, Florida State 38 OT
Virginia led 14-0 early in the second quarter.
FSU forced OT, scoring a TD with 0:36 left in regulation.
Seminoles ran for 256 yards, outgained Virginia 514-440.
Both teams turned the ball over three times.

— Arizona State 27, TCU 24
Sun Devils scored 10 points in the last 1:50 to pull off a comeback win.
TCU led 17-0 midway thru the second quarter.
ASU outscored the Horned Frogs, 497-269

— Washington Commanders are going with backup QB Marcus Mariota again the week, in Atlanta. Commanders beat Las Vegas 41-24 LW with Mariota under center. Star WR Terry McLaurin is also expected to miss Sunday’s game.

— In the last 25 years, the 2018 Houston Texans are the only team to start a season 0-3 and still make the playoffs.

— Over is 17-5 in Lamar Jackson’s last 22 starts.

— Playoff picture with 2 days left in the regular season:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Reds
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 5

Top 13 games of the week
Saturday’s games
USC
(-6.5) @ Illinois
USC (4-0, 2-0)
Trojans (-20) won its only road game, 33-17 at Purdue.
USC has scored 33-45 points in its Big 18 games.
Trojans gained 460-517 yards in its Big 18 games.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Trojans have 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Maiava started 15 games the last two years.


Under Riley, USC is 3-10 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Riley is 9-22-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Riley, USC is 12-18 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Riley is 36-41-1 ATS in conference games.
Three of their four games went over the total.


Illinois (3-1, 0-1)
Illinois lost its Big 18 opener 63-10 at Indiana.
Illini beat Duke 45-19, Western Michigan 38-0.
Illinois has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Illini has 193 returning starts on OL.
Senior QB Altmyer has 23 career starts.


Under Bielema, Illinois is 5-5 ATS as home underdogs.
In his career, Bielema is 16-15 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 21-16 ATS in Big 18 games.
In his career, Bielema is 73-60-2 ATS in conference games.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 11-9 ATS in games coming off a loss.


These teams haven’t met since 2007.

Notre Dame
(-3.5) @ Arkansas
Notre Dame (1-2)
Notre Dame lost 27-24 at Miami, 41-40 to Texas A&M
Notre Dame pounded Purdue 56-30 in its last game.
Last two games, Notre Dame allowed 360-303 passing yards
Irish have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.


Notre Dame has 54 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Carr is grandson of former Michigan coach Lloyd Carr.
Last 2+ years, Notre Dame is 22-9-1 ATS in all games.
Under Freeman, ND is 5-2 ATS as a road favorite.
All three Notre Dame games went over the total.


Arkansas (2-2)
Arkansas lost its last two games, 41-35/32-31.
Hogs are 8-6 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Razorbacks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Razorbacks have 101 returning starts on the offensive line;


Senior QB Green has started 35 college games.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 19-12 ATS as an underdog.
Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 8-5 ATS as a home dog.
Under Pittman, Arkansas is 10-11 ATS in non-conference games.
All three of Arkansas’ I-A games went over the total.


These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.


Ohio State (-8.5) @ Washington
Ohio State (3-0)
Ohio State nipped Texas 14-7, then pounded two stiffs.
Ohio State has 6 starters back on offense, 3 on defense.
Buckeyes have 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Sayin is 56-71/779 passing (8 TD’s, 3 INT’s)


Under Day, OSU is 38-26-3 ATS as a favorite.
Under Day, OSU is 12-10-3 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Day, Buckeyes are 31-21-2 ATS in conference games.
Buckeyes were outgained 336-203 in the Texas game.


Washington (3-0)
Washington scored 38-59 points in its two I-A games.
Huskies have 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Huskies have 54 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Williams started two games at last year.


Washington gained 509-471 yards vs Colorado St/Wazzu.
Since 2018, Washington is 22-38 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Fisch is 20-17 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Fisch is 9-4 ATS as a home underdog.


These teams haven’t met since 2018.


LSU @ Ole Miss (-1.5)
LSU (4-0, 1-0)
LSU won 17-10 at Clemson, beat Florida 20-10.
LSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
LSU has 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Nussmeier threw for 4,052 yards LY (29 TD’s, 12 INTs)


In its three I-A games, LSU has allowed only 56 rushing yards/game.
In his career, Kelly is 21-13-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Kelly, LSU is 2-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Kelly, LSU is 12-13-1 ATS in SEC games.
Under Kelly, LSU is 15-13-1 ATS in games coming off a win.


Ole Miss (2-0)
Ole Miss pounded Georgia State 63-7, won 30-23 at Kentucky.
Rebels have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 78 returning starts on offensive line.
New QB Simmons is 33-55/576 passing this season.


Under Kiffin, Rebels are 22-19-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 6-2 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Kiffin is 37-32-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 17-23-2 ATS in SEC games.


LSU won seven of last nine series games.
LSU lost its last two visits to Oxford, 55-49/31-17.
Over is 6-2 in last eight meetings.


Auburn @ Texas A&M (-6.5)
Auburn (3-1, 0-1)
Auburn lost SEC opener 24-17 at Oklahoma last week.
Tigers scored 38-42-31 points in their three wins.
Auburn has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 140 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Arnold started 10 games for Oklahoma.


Tigers ran ball for 242 yards/game in wins, 67 last week.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 3-5 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Freeze is 19-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 8-9 ATS in conference games.
Auburn is 11-13 ATS in last 24 games coming off a loss.


Texas A&M (3-0)
A&M scored 42-44-41 points in its three wins
Aggies were even in turnovers in all three games.
Aggies have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
A&M has 156 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Reed started eight games last year.


Under Elko, A&M is 2-6 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Elko is 9-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Aggies are 7-11-3 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win
A&M is 8-13-3 ATS in last 24 SEC games.
In his career, Elko is 13-11 ATS in conference games.


Teams split last six series games.
Auburn lost 27-10/20-3 in last two visits to A&M
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Indiana (-7.5) @ Iowa
Indiana (4-0)
Hoosiers won their I-A games, 27-14/56-9/63-10.
Indiana ran for 312 yards vsBig 18 rival Illinois LW
Hoosiers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Hoosiers have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Mendoza started 19 games at California.


Under Cignetti, Indiana is 3-0 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 9-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Indiana is +5 in turnovers in its I-A games.
In his career, Cignetti is 19-7 ATS in Big 18 games.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 10-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
Last three Indiana games went over the total.


Iowa (3-1)
Iowa won 38-28 at Rutgers, lost 16-13 at Iowa State.
Rutgers passed for 330 yards against Iowa last week.
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.


Since 2018, Hawkeyes are 1-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2015, Hawkeyes are 20-8-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Ferentz is 34-24-1 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2018, Iowa is 15-11-2 ATS in conference games.
Iowa is 23-17-1 ATS in last 41 games coming off a win.


Hawkeyes won eight of last nine series games.
These teams haven’t met since 2021; Cignetti wasn’t at Indiana yet.
Over is 9-3 in last 12 meetings.


Arizona @ Iowa State (-6.5)
Arizona (3-0)
Arizona drubbed Hawai’i 40-6, beat K-State 23-17.
Wildcats ran for 234 yards in their Big X opener.
Arizona has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Wildcats have 84 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Fifita has 21 career starts


Since 2015, Arizona is 14-26 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 17-16 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2019, Arizona is 21-29 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 34-29-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 7-11 ATS in last 18 games coming off a win.


Iowa State (4-0)
Iowa State won its three I-A games, by 3-3-8 points.
Cyclones have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Cyclones have 105 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.


In his career, Campbell is 47-49-2 ATS as a favorite.
Under Campbell, ISU is 20-22 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 2+ years, ISU is 6-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Cyclones are 12-8 ATS in last 20 Big X games.
Under is 3-0 in Iowa State’s I-A games.


These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.


Oregon @ Penn State (-3.5)
Oregon (4-0)
Oregon’s three I-A wins were by a combined score of 144-24
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Ducks have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Moore started 5 games at UCLA in 2023.


Ducks won their only road game, 34-14 at Northwestern.
Since 2019, Oregon is 4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 3-0 ATS overall as an underdog.
In its three I-A wins, Oregon ran ball for 256 yards/game.


Penn State (3-0)
Penn State beat Nevada 46-11/FIU 34-0, in I-A games.
Nittany Lions have 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Penn State has 83 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Allar started 29 games last two years.


Penn State is 16-9-1 ATS last 26 games as a home favorite.
Under Franklin, Penn State is 36-25-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Nittany Lions are 16-11-1 ATS in last 28 conference games.
Penn State is 18-16-1 ATS in last 35 games coming off a win.


Last year, Oregon (-3.5) beat Penn State 45-37 in Big 18 title game.
That is team’s only meeting in last 25 years.


Alabama @ Georgia (-3.5)
Alabama (2-1)
Alabama lost its only road game, 31-17 at Florida State
Alabama was held under 100 yards rushing in 2 of its 3 games.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simpson threw 25 passes last year.


Alabama is a road underdog for first time since 2015.
Crimson Tide outgained Wisconsin 454-209 in 38-14 win.
In his career, DeBoer is 5-1 ATS as an underdog.
Crimson Tide is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 SEC games.
Over is 3-0 in Alabama’s games this season.


Georgia (3-0)
Georgia beat Marshall 45-7, Tennessee 44-41 in I-A games.
Dawgs gained 488-502 yards in their I-A games.
Dawgs have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Georgia has 35 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Stockton has three career starts.


Georgia is 8-17-1 ATS last 26 games as a home favorite.
Last two years, Georgia is 7-12 ATS in SEC games.
In his career, Smart is 19-33-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Smart is 45-38 ATS in SEC games.
Dawgs are 5-17-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.


Alabama won nine of last ten series games.
This is Alabama’s first visit to Georgia since 2015.


BYU (-6.5) @ Colorado
BYU (3-0)
BYU beat Stanford 27-3, ECU 34-13 in its I-A games.
BYU was +5 in turnovers in those games.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Broncos have 61 starts returning on the offensive line.
QB Bachmeier is 42-63/518 passing (4 TD’s, no INTs)


BYU is 4-2 ATS last six games as a road favorite.
In his career, coach Sitake is 11-13 ATS as a road favorite.
BYU is 10-9 ATS in its two years on conference play.
BYU is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games coming off a win.


Colorado (2-2)
Colorado scored 20-20 points in losses, 31-37 in wins.
Buffs gave up 320-209 rushing yards in their losses.
Colorado has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Colorado has 112 returning starts on offensive line, mostly transfers.
Senior QB Staub started 29 games at Liberty.


Favorites are 4-0 ATS in Colorado games this season.
Sanders is 9-5 ATS as an underdog with Colorado.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
In 2+ years under Sanders, Colorado is +24 in turnovers.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 13-6 ATS in conference games.


Last year, BYU (+3.5) beat Colorado 36-14 in the Alamo Bowl.
That was teams’ only meeting in last 25 years.
 

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Dunkel

Week 5

FCS

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR RHODE ISLAND AT WESTERN MICHIGAN

Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 6:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 64.371; Western Michigan 68.338
Dunkel Line & Total: Western Michigan by 4; 38
Vegas Line & Total: Western Michigan by 7 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+7 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR STETSON AT DAYTON
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Stetson 6.829; Dayton 36.813
Dunkel Line & Total: Dayton by 30; 50
Vegas Line & Total: Dayton by 26 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-26 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR DARTMOUTH AT CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Dartmouth 62.253; Central Connecticut 46.153
Dunkel Line & Total: Dartmouth by 16; 40
Vegas Line & Total: Dartmouth by 9 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dartmouth (-9 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR NEW HAVEN AT DUQUESNE
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: New Haven 33.618; Duquesne 42.757
Dunkel Line & Total: Duquesne by 9; 61
Vegas Line & Total: Duquesne by 12 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Haven (+12 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR DELAWARE STATE AT SACRED HEART
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware State 53.200; Sacred Heart 42.292
Dunkel Line & Total: Delaware State by 11; 51
Vegas Line & Total: Delaware State by 6 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Delaware State (-6 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR GEORGETOWN AT COLUMBIA
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 36.004; Columbia 43.579
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbia by 7 1/2; 47
Vegas Line & Total: Columbia by 10 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (+10 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR NORFOLK STATE AT WAGNER
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Norfolk State 43.181; Wagner 32.123
Dunkel Line & Total: Norfolk State by 11; 43
Vegas Line & Total: Norfolk State by 3 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Norfolk State (-3 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR PENN AT LEHIGH
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Penn 46.582; Lehigh 68.601
Dunkel Line & Total: Lehigh by 22; 42
Vegas Line & Total: Lehigh by 13 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Lehigh (-13 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR CORNELL AT YALE
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 42.260; Yale 70.901
Dunkel Line & Total: Yale by 28 1/2; 52
Vegas Line & Total: Yale by 19 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Yale (-19 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR MARIST AT BUTLER
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 37.384; Butler 40.378
Dunkel Line & Total: Butler by 3; 51
Vegas Line & Total: Butler by 6 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+6 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR HOLY CROSS AT FORDHAM
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Holy Cross 51.342; Fordham 42.224
Dunkel Line & Total: Holy Cross by 9; 39
Vegas Line & Total: Holy Cross by 14 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+14 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR LIU AT STONEHILL
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: LIU 48.091; Stonehill 39.956
Dunkel Line & Total: LIU by 8; 44
Vegas Line & Total: LIU by 4 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LIU (-4 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR ALBANY AT NEW HAMPSHIRE
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Albany 46.203; New Hampshire 52.703
Dunkel Line & Total: New Hampshire by 6 1/2; 54
Vegas Line & Total: New Hampshire by 17 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Albany (+17 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR MOREHEAD STATE AT PRESBYTERIAN
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 28.877; Presbyterian 57.910
Dunkel Line & Total: Presbyterian by 29; 51
Vegas Line & Total: Presbyterian by 23 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Presbyterian (-23 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR TOWSON AT BRYANT
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 53.333; Bryant 54.203
Dunkel Line & Total: Bryant by 1; 59
Vegas Line & Total: Towson by 8 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bryant (+8 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR HOWARD AT RICHMOND
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 2:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Howard 48.994; Richmond 58.489
Dunkel Line & Total: Richmond by 9 1/2; 41
Vegas Line & Total: Richmond by 13 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Howard (+13 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR HAMPTON AT ELON
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 2:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Hampton 36.627; Elon 57.129
Dunkel Line & Total: Elon by 20 1/2; 64
Vegas Line & Total: Elon by 17 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Elon (-17 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR SOUTH DAKOTA AT NORTH DAKOTA STATE
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 2:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 78.716; North Dakota State 82.148
Dunkel Line & Total: North Dakota State by 3 1/2; 63
Vegas Line & Total: North Dakota State by 21 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (+21 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR UTAH TECH AT AUSTIN PEAY
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 2:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Utah Tech 52.544; Austin Peay 71.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Austin Peay by 19; 47
Vegas Line & Total: Austin Peay by 14 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (-14 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR IDAHO STATE AT NORTHERN COLORADO
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 3:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 62.739; Northern Colorado 44.797
Dunkel Line & Total: Idaho State by 18; 56
Vegas Line & Total: Idaho State by 7 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (-7 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR ALABAMA STATE AT FLORIDA A&M
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 3:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama State 44.875; Florida A&M 45.985
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida A&M by 1; 59
Vegas Line & Total: Alabama State by 7 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida A&M (+7 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR ALABAMA A&M AT BETHUNE COOKMAN
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 3:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama A&M 43.559; Bethune Cookman 45.093
Dunkel Line & Total: Bethune Cookman by 1 1/2; 63
Vegas Line & Total: Alabama A&M by 7 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bethune Cookman (+7 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR MERCYHURST AT SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 3:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Mercyhurst 46.332; South Dakota State 83.881
Dunkel Line & Total: South Dakota State by 37 1/2; 59
Vegas Line & Total: South Dakota State by 34 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-34 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR FURMAN AT SAMFORD
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 50.479; Samford 47.310
Dunkel Line & Total: Furman by 3; 61
Vegas Line & Total: Furman by 12 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (+12 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR MERRIMACK AT STONY BROOK
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Merrimack 39.410; Stony Brook 60.895
Dunkel Line & Total: Stony Brook by 21 1/2; 57
Vegas Line & Total: Stony Brook by 6 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stony Brook (-6 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR WESTERN CAROLINA AT CAMPBELL
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 52.481; Campbell 49.469
Dunkel Line & Total: Western Carolina by 3; 63
Vegas Line & Total: Western Carolina by 6 1/2; 70 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Campbell (+6 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR NC A&T AT MAINE
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: NC A&T 30.182; Maine 49.129
Dunkel Line & Total: Maine by 19; 57
Vegas Line & Total: Maine by 13 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maine (-13 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR WILLIAM & MARY AT VILLANOVA
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 50.312; Villanova 60.431
Dunkel Line & Total: Villanova by 10; 44
Vegas Line & Total: Villanova by 6 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-6 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR PRINCETON AT LAFAYETTE
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Princeton 43.861; Lafayette 61.208
Dunkel Line & Total: Lafayette by 17 1/2; 55
Vegas Line & Total: Lafayette by 10 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Lafayette (-10 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR EASTERN WASHINGTON AT MONTANA STATE
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 4:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 61.400; Montana State 78.914
Dunkel Line & Total: Montana State by 17 1/2; 63
Vegas Line & Total: Montana State by 21 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+21 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR ST. THOMAS AT SAN DIEGO
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 4:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: St. Thomas 51.455; San Diego 55.371
Dunkel Line & Total: San Diego by 4; 56
Vegas Line & Total: St. Thomas by 4 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+4 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR EASTERN ILLINOIS AT WESTERN ILLINOIS
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 4:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 35.780; Western Illinois 55.105
Dunkel Line & Total: Western Illinois by 19 1/2; 55
Vegas Line & Total: Western Illinois by 2 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (-2 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR TENNESSEE TECH AT TENNESSEE STATE
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 4:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 77.300; Tennessee State 40.427
Dunkel Line & Total: Tennessee Tech by 37; 55
Vegas Line & Total: Tennessee Tech by 33 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (-33 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA AT PORTLAND STATE
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 5:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 63.709; Portland State 50.911
Dunkel Line & Total: Northern Arizona by 13; 67
Vegas Line & Total: Northern Arizona by 23 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+23 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR TEXAS SOUTHERN AT MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 5:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Southern 37.272; Mississippi Valley State 27.899
Dunkel Line & Total: Texas Southern by 9 1/2; 51
Vegas Line & Total: Texas Southern by 14 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi Valley State (+14 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR MERCER AT EAST TENNESSEE STATE
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 5:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Mercer 61.841; East Tennessee State 62.695
Dunkel Line & Total: East Tennessee State by 1; 47
Vegas Line & Total: Mercer by 4 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Tennessee State (+4 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR ST. FRANCIS-PA AT BUCKNELL
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: St. Francis-PA 27.009; Bucknell 49.565
Dunkel Line & Total: Bucknell by 22 1/2; 54
Vegas Line & Total: Bucknell by 19 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bucknell (-19 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR NICHOLLS STATE AT EASTERN KENTUCKY
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Nicholls State 52.730; Eastern Kentucky 53.553
Dunkel Line & Total: Eastern Kentucky by 1; 53
Vegas Line & Total: Eastern Kentucky by 3 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nicholls State (+3 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR THE CITADEL AT CHATTANOOGA
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 43.970; Chattanooga 65.154
Dunkel Line & Total: Chattanooga by 21; 43
Vegas Line & Total: Chattanooga by 14 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (-14 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR BROWN AT HARVARD
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 47.273; Harvard 68.120
Dunkel Line & Total: Harvard by 21; 59
Vegas Line & Total: Harvard by 17 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (-17 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR SOUTH CAROLINA STATE AT CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Date: Saturday, September 27
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina State 62.692; Charleston Southern 37.179
Dunkel Line & Total: South Carolina State by 25 1/2; 45
Vegas Line & Total: South Carolina State by 10 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina State (-10 1/2); Under
 

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Saturday, September 27

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
GT at WAKE12:00 PMGT -13.5+500
LOU at PITT12:00 PMPITT +4.0+500
UCF at KSU12:00 PMUCF +5.0+500
USU at VAN12:45 PMUSU +22.5+500
GASO at JMU01:30 PMJMU -15.0+500
OSU at WASH03:30 PMWASH +8.0+500
CAL at BC03:30 PMCAL +6.5+500
IU at IOWA03:30 PMIOWA +9.0+500
UTAH at WVU03:30 PMUTAH -12.5+500
LSU at MISS03:30 PMLSU +2.5+500
SDSU at NIU03:30 PMNIU +2.5+500
TULN at TLSA04:00 PMTULN -14.5+500
HAW at AFA04:00 PMAFA -6.5+500
TENN at MSST04:15 PMMSST +7.0+500
ARIZ at ISU07:00 PMARIZ +5.5+500
MEM at FAU07:00 PMMEM -14.0+500
ORE at PSU07:30 PMPSU -3.5+500
APP at BSU07:30 PMAPP +16.0+500
MASS at MIZZ07:30 PMMIZZ -44.5+500
SJSU at STAN07:30 PMSJSU +3.0+500
ALA at UGA07:30 PMALA +2.5+500
UK at SOCAR07:45 PMU 47.0+500
LT at UTEP09:00 PMUTEP +3.5+500
BYU at COLO10:15 PMBYU -6.5+500
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Tigers 2, Red Sox 1- Detroit clinches a playoff spot.
— Guardians 3, Rangers 2- Cleveland clinches a playoff spot.
— Reds 7, Brewers 4- Cincinnati’s magic number for playoffs: 1
— Mets 5, Marlins 0- Holmes allowed one hit in six IP.
— Twins 5, Phillies 0- Milwaukee clinches #1 seed in NL.
— One playoff spot left to decide; #3 Wild Card in NL.

Quote of the Day

“Love the way we competed for four quarters, playing the next play, playing the next series. Offensively, special teams, man there’s a whole lot that can be a lot cleaner. End of the day, it’s a win for who we consider to be the good guys. At the end of the day, love competing with these guys.”
Tennessee football coach Josh Heupel

Friday’s quiz
Milwaukee Brewers have played in one World Series; who was it against?

Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Rams, Jim Everett has thrown for the most yards.

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Detroit Tigers played in a World Series, Hall of Famer Jim Leyland was their manager.

***********************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

— Ole Miss 24, LSU 19
QB Chambliss passed for 314 yards and a TD.
Last year, Chambliss was playing at D-II Ferris State.
Rebels led 17-7 at halftime.
Ole Miss outgained LSU, 480-254.

— Tennessee 41, Mississippi State 34 OT
Tennessee forced OT, scoring a TD with 1:55 left.
Vols’ QB Aguilar threw for 335 yards and a TD.
Miss State ran ball 57 times for 198 yards.

—Texas A&M 16, Auburn 10
Aggies are 4-0 for the first time since 2016.
Auburn gained total of 177 yards, was 0-12 on third down.
A&M outgained them 414-177; they were only 3-14 on third down.
Aggies ran the ball 47 times for 207 yards.

— Alabama 24, Georgia 21
Alabama led 24-14 at halftime.
Crimson Tide was 13-19 on third down, Georgia 2-8.
Kirby Smart is 1-7 as a head coach vs Alabama.
Georgia’s home winning streak ends at 33.

Upsets of the Week:
Virginia Tech (+10.5) 23, NC State 21
Virginia (+6.5) 46, Florida State 38 OT
Illinois (+6.5) 34, USC 32
Hawai’i (+6.5) 44, Air Force 35
California (+6.5) 28, Boston College 24
Hawai’i (+6.5) 44, Air Force 35
Cincinnati (+4.5) 37, Kansas 34

— Illinois 34, USC 32

Illini kicked a 41-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.
USC had taken a 32-31 lead on a TD with 1:55 left.
Illinois QB Alymyer threw for 328 yards.
USC QB Maiava threw for 364 yards, two TD’s.

— Georgia Tech 30, Wake Forest 29, OT
Wake Forest led 17-3 at halftime.
Tech forced OT, kicking a 33-yard FG with 0:02 left in regulation.
Tech scored 7 points in OT; Wake scored a TD, but went for two points and the win- they didn’t get it.
Tech’s two ACC wins are by a total of four points.

— Cincinnati 37, Kansas 34
Bearcats drove 75 yards, scored on a 2-yard TD with 0:29 left.
Lot of offense; total yards- Cincy 603 yards, Jayhawks 597.
Cincinnati had four TD’s called back because of penalties.

— Oregon 30, Penn State 24 OT
Oregon led 17-3 with 11:00 left in the game.
Penn State tied it on a TD with 0:30 left.
Ducks outgained Penn State, 424-276.
Game was 3-3 at halftime.

— Memphis 55, Florida Atlantic 26
Tigers have won nine in a row, the country’s longest active win streak. Memphis’ lead was only 17-16 at halftime.
Tigers ran ball 46 times for 291 yards (6.3 yards/carry).

Famous birthdays, September 28th:
Brigitte Bardot, 91
Steve Largent, 71
Todd Worrell, 66
Irving Fryar, 63
Johnny Dawkins, 62
Janeane Garofalo, 61
Mira Sorvino, 58
Ryan Zimmerman, 41
Chem Birch, 33
Tyler Shough, 26
Riley Greene, 25
Spencer Rattler, 25

— Vanderbilt 55, Utah State 35
#18 Commodores are 5-0 for first time since 2008.
QB Pavia threw for 321 yards, five TD’s, also ran for a TD.
Only 8 of Vanderbilt’s 65 plays came on third down.

— San Diego State 6, Northern Illinois 3
Aztecs kicked a 25-yard FG at the gun for the walk-off win.
Both teams kicked FG’s on their first drive, then no one scored again until the last play.
Total yardage: San Diego State 266, Northern Illinois 179

— Minnesota 31, Rutgers 28
Scarlet Knights led 14-0 early, 21-14 at halftime.
Gophers drove 72 yards, scored winning TD with 3:19 left.
Minnesota won despite running ball 18 times for only 35 yards.

— Playoff picture with one day left in the regular season:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Reds
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
— Marlins 4, Mets 0- Cincinnati clinches NL’s last Wild Card slot
— Blue Jays 13, Rays 4- Toronto clinches AL East
— Guardians 9, Rangers 8 (10)- Cleveland wins AL Central
— White Sox 8, Nationals 0- Shane Smith took perfect game into 6th inning

Wild Card series, starting Tuesday:
— AL: Tigers @ Guardians, Boston @ New York
— NL: Padres @ Cubs, Reds @ Dodgers

Quote of the Day
“It’s hard to describe. I just got done addressing the team and there’s no word to describe what we’re going through. It’s pain. It’s frustration. You name it. We came in with a lot of expectations and here we are going home. Not only did we fall short, we didn’t even get into October.”
Mets’ manager Carlos Mendoza

Monday’s quiz
Where did Matthew Stafford play his college football?

Sunday’s quiz
Milwaukee Brewers have played in one World Series; it against the Cardinals, in 1982.

Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Rams, Jim Everett has thrown for the most yards.

***********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….

Packers 40, Cowboys 40 OT
Green Bay led 13-0; PAT after 2nd TD was blocked, run back for 2 points.
Packers in 2nd half/OT: 47 plays, 329 yards, 27 points
Green Bay was 10-14 on third down, Dallas 4-11.
Packers are 4-12-1 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
Dallas won its first home game 40-37 in OT, then this happened.
Last three games, Cowboys allowed 506-385-489 total yards.
First three Dallas drives: 11 plays, 35 yards, 3 punts
Last seven Dallas drives: 57 plays, 406 yards, 38 points

Jaguars 26, 49ers 21
Jaguars are 3-1 for the second time in the last 18 years.
Jaguars have 13 takeaways already, are +9 in turnovers.
Jaguars ran punt back 87 yards for TD to grab a 26-14 lead.
Jacksonville held last three opponents to 48-87-83 rushing yards.
49ers turned ball over on two of first three series.
49ers were 8-13 on third down, Jacksonville 4-14
49ers had 12 penalties for 90 yards, Jaguars 5 for 54.
Last 2+ years, 49ers are 7-13-1 ATS in games coming off a win.

Bears 25, Raiders 24
Bears drove 73 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:34 left.
Bears blocked 54-yard FG on last play to preserve the win.
Chicago had four takeaways for second game in a row.
Chicago was 7-16 on third down, Las Vegas 2-8.
Raiders led 14-9 at halftime.
Las Vegas ran ball 31 times for 240 yards.
Ashton Jeanty carried ball 21 times for 138 yards.
Bears are 7-13-3 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Giants 21, Chargers 18
Rookie QB Dart threw for 111 yards, ran for 54 more in his first NFL start.
Giants’ first four drives: 34 plays, 154 yards, 13 points.
Giants’ last six drives: 36 plays, 107 yards, 8 points.
Under Daboll, Giants are 10-6-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
Giants were 7-15 on third down, Chargers 4-12.
Bolts held last three opponents to 218-265-250 total yards.
Chargers had 14 penalties for 107 yards, Giants 8 for 43
Rookie RB Hampton ran ball 12 times for 128 yards and a TD.

Eagles 31, Buccaneers 25
Eagles blocked punt for TD for the game’s first score.
Eagles led 24-6 at halftime, hung on for dear life.
Mayfield threw INT in red zone midway thru 4th quarter.
Eagles are 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
Buccaneers outgained Philly, 376-200.
Tampa Bay turned ball over on three of their last five drives.
Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.
NFC South teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.

Rams 27, Colts 20
Stafford’s 88-yard TD pass to Atwell (1:33 left) was a game-winner.
Rams’ last two drives: 12 plays, 171 yards, 14 points.
Stafford threw for 375 yards, three TD’s.
Nucua caught 13 passes for 170 yards and a TD.
Rams had 13-play, 96-yard drive to take 13-10 lead at half.
Rams are 9-3-1 ATS last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
Colts had three turnovers, and 11 penalties for 88 yards.
Colts didn’t turn ball over in their first three games.

Famous birthdays, September 29th:
Ian McShane, 83
Tim Flannery, 68
Craig Lefferts, 68
Andrew Dice Clay, 68
Hersey Hawkins, 59
Erika Eleniak, 56
Zachary Levi, 45
Calvin Johnson, 40
Kevin Durant, 37
Tyler Mahle, 31
Ashley Frangipane, 31 (Halsey)
Lucas Havrisik, 26

Chiefs 37, Ravens 20
Ravens gave up 41-38-37 points in their three losses.
Star QB Jackson left game with an ankle injury.
AFC North teams are 4-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Chiefs’ first four drives: 34 plays, 223 yards, 20 points.
Mahomes threw for 270 yards, 4 TD’s, to four different guys.
Chiefs won seven of last eight games vs Baltimore.
Chiefs are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Steelers 24, Vikings 21
Steelers led 14-6 at halftime of first-ever game in Ireland.
Steelers scored 34-21-24 points in wins, 17 in their loss.
Steelers have run ball 87 times for only 259 yards.
Steelers are 27-14-1 ATS last 41 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Rodgers threw an 80-yard TD pass to Metcalf.
Vikings QB Wentz threw for 350 yards, but also two INTs.
Vikings scored 27-48 points in their wins, 6-21 in losses.
WR Jefferson caught 10 catches for 126 yards,

Texans 26, Titans 0
Tennessee is 0-4 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21-26 points.
Titans have three TD’s, 10 FG’s on their 44 drives.
Tennessee is 3-12 ATS in last 15 games as an underdog.
Texans outgained Tennessee, 353-175.
Texans led this game 6-0 at halftime.
This was Houston’s first shutout since 2010.
Houston was 6-15 on third down, Tennessee 2-11.
Texans’ first four drives of 2nd half: 31 plays, 190 yards, 20 points.

Falcons 34, Commanders 27
QB Penix was 20-26/313 passing, with two TD’s.
Falcons’ first three drives: 28 plays, 181 yards, 17 points.
Atlanta led 17-10 at halftime.
Falcons outgained Washington, 435-294
Falcons were 6-12 on third down, Commanders 1-8.
Washington is 0-2 on road, losing 27-18/34-37.
In its wins, Commanders ran ball for 220-201 yards.
Its losses, Commanders ran 51-147 yards.

Bills 31, Saints 19
Saints’ first nine drives ended in Buffalo territory.
Bills led by only 14-10 at halftime.
Buffalo won its first four games,. scoring 41-30-31-31 points.
Last 3+ years, Bills are 3-8-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
Saints lost first four games, 20-13/26-21/44-13/31-19.
Since 2018, Saints are 19-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Rattler is 0-10 as an NFL starting QB.
New Orleans has been outscored 85-33 in first half of games.

Lions 34, Browns 10
Detroit led this game 20-7 at halftime.
Lions scored 52-38-34 points in their last three games.
Lions are 16-8 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite.
Detroit is 15-7 ATS in last 22 games vs AFC teams
Browns scored 16-17-13-10 points in their four games.
Cleveland is minus-6 in turnovers this year.
Browns are 6-15-1 ATS last 22 games coming off a win.
Browns allowed only 277 yards, most they’ve given up this year.

Patriots 42, Panthers 13
Down 6-0, Patriots ran a punt back 87 yards for a TD.
Patriots also ran a punt back 61 yards to set up another TD.
NE’s first four drives: 21 plays, 151 yards, 21 points.
Patriots scored 33-42 points in wins, 13-14 points in losses.
Carolina drove 76 yards for a TD on first drive.
Carolina’s next five drives: 30 plays, 93 yards, no points.
Panthers are 6-14-1 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
Carolina is 7-15 ATS in last 22 games vs AFC opponents.

— Playoff picture with postseason starting Tuesday:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Reds
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 5 NFL trends:
— 49ers @ LA Rams (-5.5)
— Vikings (-3.5) vs Browns (@ London)
— Texans @ Baltimore (-3.5)
— Giants @ New Orleans (-1.5)
— Broncos @ Philadelphia (-4.5)
— Cowboys (-2.5) @ Jets

Quote of the Day
“I believe Carlos (Mendoza) has all the same traits and assets that I believed [he had] when we hired him two years ago. And I think over the course of his tenure here, he has demonstrated that. We had a tough year this year. There’s no question. We are all disappointed. We were all frustrated — Mendy, as much or more than anybody else. But I still believe he’s a very good manager, and I think he’s going to demonstrate that.”
Mets’ general manager David Stearns

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Jets, who has thrown for the most yards?

Monday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford played his college football at Georgia.

Sunday’s quiz
Milwaukee Brewers have played in one World Series; it against the Cardinals, in 1982.

******************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

Dolphins 27, Jets 21
Jets ran ball for 197 yards, but had 13 penalties for 101 yards.
Jets lost first four games, giving up 34-30-29-27 points.
Only one of their four losses was by more than six points.
Jets are 3-12-1 ATS last 16 AFC East road games.
Miami’s first five drives: 42 plays, 235 yards, 24 points.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 13-8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Dolphins won 10 of last 12 series games.
Jets are 0-10 SU/1-6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Miami.

Broncos 28, Bengals 3
Broncos dominated game, outgaining Cincy 512-159.
Denver is 2-0 at home; they didn’t allow a TD either game.
JK Dobbins ran ball 16 times for 101 yards.
Bo Nix threw for 326 yards, two TD’s.
Zac Taylor is 45-32-1 SU when Joe Burrow plays, 8-24 when he doesn’t.
In four games, Bengals have run ball 76 times for only 200 yards.
Denver was 8-14 on third down, Bengals 2-11.
AFC North teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Future Hall of Famer Bruce Bochy will not return as manager of the Texas Rangers; he won the World Series with Texas in 2023, went 78-84/81-81 the last two years. Texas had an awful lot of injuries this past year.
Overall, Bochy has won four World Series titles, three with the Giants.

— Speaking of the Giants, they fired Bob Melvin Monday, a few weeks after they extended his contract thru next year. Giants went 81-81 this year, but new GM Buster Posey didn’t hire him. Lot of times GM’s want to hire “their guy” as manager.
A 3-time Manager of the Year who won the award in both leagues, Melvin has a career regular-season record of 1,678-1,588 with 8 postseason appearances for five different teams. Melvin made the playoffs six times in 10 years with the A’s; he is a very good manager.

— Minnesota Twins fired manager Rocco Baldelli after they went 70-92 this year, while the team was going a tumultuous season in the front office, owner-wise. Baldelli made the playoffs three times in seven seasons managing the Twins.

— How the five biggest baseball payrolls made out this season:
$350,300,236- Dodgers won NL West
$342,377,486- Mets went 83-79, missed the playoffs
$300,187,616- Bronx is #1 Wild Card in AL
$290,286,320- Phillies won NL East
$255,380,936- Blue Jays won AL East

— How the five smallest baseball payrolls made out this season:
$67,950,708- Marlins went 79-83, 41-40 on the road
$78,824,978- White Sox went 60-102, 19 games better than last year.
$79,118,043- A’s went 76-86, seven games better than last year.
$84,423,338- Pirates went 71-91; they were 44-37 at home.
$87,629,788- Rays went 77-85 playing home games on a minor league field.

Famous birthdays, September 30th:
Angie Dickinson, 94
Dave Magadan, 63
Eric Piatkowski, 55
Jenna Elfman, 54
Jamal Anderson, 53
Kenley Jansen, 38
Aaron Holiday, 29
Jesus Luzardo, 28

— After the Jaguars upset San Francisco 26-21 Sunday, 49ers defensive coordinator Robert Saleh accused Jacksonville and its head coach, Liam Coen, of using a sign-stealing system.
In the week leading up to the game, Saleh claimed that Coen and the Jaguars use an “advanced” legal sign-stealing system while speaking with reporters.
After Sunday’s win, all Coen said was; “Not a big deal. We’ll keep that between us.”

— Arkansas Razorbacks fired football coach Sam Pittman Monday, named Bobby Petrino their interim coach. Arkansas was 32-34 under Pittman, losing their last three games, including a loss to Memphis when the Razorbacks blew an 18-point lead.
Petrino is 119-56 as a college coach; he was Lamar Jackson’s coach at Louisville. He also was 34-17 as coach of Arkansas, back from 2008-11.

— Weird college football stat: Under Lincoln Riley, USC is 0-12 ATS as a road favorite, in games not played in California.

— Houston Astros missed the baseball playoffs this year for the first time since 2016.

— Baseball is a long season, lot of ups and downs:
Cleveland Guardians made the playoffs, despite a 10-game losing streak from June 26-July 6.

— Detroit Tigers also made the playoffs.
From July 9th-26th, Tigers went 1-12…..from September 16-24, they went 0-8.

— Mets had a lot of expectations this year with such a big payroll- that put a lot of pressure on them, and they wound up missing the playoffs, losing 2 of 3 games in Miami over the weekend. Mets finished 83-79.
Mets were 45-25 on June 13th; rest of the season, they went 38-54.
After Sunday’s win, Miami’s team had a team picture taken in front of their dugout, like they were celebrating something. Marlins finished 79-83, going over their season over/under win total by 15.5 games. They had a very good season.
 
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