NCAAF
Weather Report
Friday, September 12
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 3
Friday’s games
Colorado @
Houston (-4.5)
Colorado (1-1)
Colorado lost 27-20 to Georgia Tech, beat Delaware 31-7.
Tech ran ball for 320 yards in the opener.
Colorado has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Colorado has 112 returning starts on offensive line, mostly transfers.
3rd-string QB Staub is getting his first college start here.
Staub was 7-10/158 in relief vs Delaware last week.
Sanders is 9-4 ATS as an underdog with Colorado.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog.
In 2+ years under Sanders, Colorado is +27 in turnovers.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 4-4 ATS in non-conference games.
Both Colorado games this year stayed under the total.
Houston (2-0)
Houston beat a I-AA team 27-0, won 35-9 at Rice.
Cougars outgained Rice 392-228 last week.
Houston has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Cougars have 92 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Weigman started five games at Texas A&M last year.
Houston is 2-8 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Fritz is 30-20 ATS as a home favorite.
Last three years, Houston is 9-16-1ATS in conference games.
Cougars are 5-10 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win.
These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Kansas State (-1.5) @
Arizona
Kansas State (1-2, 0-1)
K-State lost its two I-A games, both by 24-21 scores.
Wildcats got upset as a 17-point favorite by Army last week
K-State’s only win: 38-35 over I-AA North Dakota.
Wildcats have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
K-State has 43 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Johnson started 13 games last year.
Last two years, K-State was 1-7 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Klieman is 5-8 ATS as a road favorite.
Wildcats are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Big X games.
Last five years, K-State is 15-6 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Both their I-AA games stayed under the total.
Arizona (2-0)
Arizona drubbed Hawai’i 40-6, beat a I-AA team 48-3.
Wildcats were +5 in turnovers in the Hawai’i game.
Arizona has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Wildcats have 84 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Fifita has 21 career starts
Arizona is 8-5 ATS last 13 games as a home underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 9-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2019, Arizona is 21-29 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 34-29-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
K-State (-7) spanked Arizona 31-7 last year.
K-State ran ball for 235 yards, outgained Arizona 391-324.
New Mexico @ UCLA (-14.5)
New Mexico (1-1)
Lobos (+34) lost 34-17 at Michigan, beat I-AA team 32-22.
Lobos were outgained 452-267 in Ann Arbor.
New Mexico has 3 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Lobos have 100 starts returning on OL (added 6 transfers).
Junior QB Layne started six games at Idaho.
New Mexico is 7-3 ATS last 10 games as a road underdog.
New coach Eck was 26-13 as HC at I-AA Idaho.
Last 3+ years, Lobos are 10-4 ATS in non-conference games.
Last two years, Lobos are 5-4-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
UCLA (0-2)
UCLA lost its first two games, giving up 43-30 points.
Bruins gave up 492-351 yards, were minus-3 in turnovers.
UCLA has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Bruins have 91 returning starts on OL, all from transfers.
Soph QB Iamaleava had 14 starts at Tennessee.
Since 2015, UCLA is 14-27 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 3+ years, UCLA is 5-8 ATS in non conference games.
Bruins covered six of last eight games overall.
UCLA is 8-4-1 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
These teams haven’t met since 2002.