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[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9

Top 13 games of the week
Ole Miss @ Oklahoma (-5.5)
Ole Miss (6-1, 3-1)
Ole Miss is 1-1 on road: 30-23 at Kentucky/35-43 @ Georgia
LW (351 yards) was first time TY they gained fewer than 439 yards.
Rebels have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 78 returning starts on offensive line.
New QB Chambliss is 104-166/1,549 passing this season.


Under Kiffin, Rebels are 7-8 ATS as an underdog.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 2-6 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Kiffin is 14-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 19-24-2 ATS in SEC games.
Three of Rebels’ last four games stayed under the total.


Oklahoma (6-1, 2-1)
Oklahoma ran ball for 32-48 yards in its two SEC (1-1) games.
Under Venables, Sooners are 8-6 ATS coming off a loss.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year- he is banged up (check status).


Under Venables, Oklahoma is 18-13-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 13-6 ATS as a home favorite.
Sooners are 6-1 despite being minus-5 in turnovers.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 12-16-1 ATS in conference games.
Under is 6-0 in Oklahoma’s I-A games.


Home team won last four series games.
Rebels lost 30-23/36-27 in last two visits to Norman.
Last five meetings went over the total.
SEC home favorites are 12-8 ATS in conference games.

Kansas State @ Kansas (-3.5)
Kansas State (3-4, 2-3)
Last four games, Wildcats are +7 in turnovers.
Last two games, K-State gave up 443/448 total yards.
Wildcats have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
K-State has 43 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Johnson started 13 games last year.


Under Klieman, K-State is 18-10 ATS as an underdog.
Under Klieman, K-State is 11-7 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Klieman, Wildcats are 55-41 ATS in Big X games.
K-State is 3-7 ATS in last 10 games coming off a win.
Last three K-State games went over the total.


Kansas (4-3, 2-2)
Kansas scored 34.3 ppg in splitting four I-A games.
Jayhawks allowed 42-37 points in their losses.
Jayhawks have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Kansas has 82 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Daniels started 12 games last year.


Last five games, Kansas allowed 205.6 rushing yards/game.
In his career, Leipold is 22-12-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 9-6 ATS as a home favorite.
Kansas is 13-9 ATS in its last 22 Big X games.
Kansas is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.

K-State won last 16 meetings in this rivalry.
Wildcats are 6-2 ATS last eight visits to Lawrence.
Over is 4-1 in last five series games.
Big X home favorites are 15-6 ATS in conference games.


Auburn @ Arkansas (-3.5)
Auburn (3-4, 0-4)
Auburn lost its last four games, scoring 17-10-10-17 points.
Tigers scored 38-42-31 points in their wins.
Auburn has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 140 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Arnold started 10 games for Oklahoma.


Tigers were held under 300 yards in three of last four games.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 4-5 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Freeze is 20-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 9-11 ATS in conference games.
Auburn is 12-15 ATS in last 27 games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-0 in last six Auburn games.


Arkansas (2-2)
Arkansas lost its last five games, giving up 41.6 ppg
Last five games, Hogs are minus-7 in turnovers.
Last 4 games, Arkansas gave up 246.3 rushing yards/game.
Razorbacks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Razorbacks have 101 returning starts on the offensive line;


Senior QB Green has started 35 college games.
Arkansas is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
Razorbacks are 26-14-2 ATS last 42 SEC games.
Hogs are 10-7 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
Over is 5-1 in Arkansas’ last six games.


Road team won last four meetings.
Tigers won/covered last four visits to Arkansas.
Over is 9-2 in last eleven series games.
SEC home favorites are 12-8 ATS in conference games.


Alabama (-11.5) @ South Carolina
Alabama (6-1, 4-0)
Alabama won first three SEC games, by 3-16-3-17 points.
Alabama is +10 in turnovers this season.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simpson threw 25 passes last year.


Under DeBoer, Alabama is 2-4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 10-11-1 as a road favorite.
Crimson Tide is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 SEC games.
Alabama is 2-1 SU on road, with wins by 3-3 points.
Last four Alabama games stayed under the total.


South Carolina (3-4, 1-4)
Gamecocks scored 24-35 in I-A wins, 7-20-10-7 in losses.
Last four games, Carolina is +4 in turnovers.
Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Gamecocks have 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Sellers started 12 games last year.


Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 6-6 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 20-17 ATS in SEC games.
Under Beamer, Carolina is 15-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under Beamer, Carolina is 19-13 ATS in home games.
Under is 4-2 in Gamecocks’ I-A games.


Alabama won four of last five series games SU.
South Carolina covered the last four meetings.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
SEC home underdogs are 6-3 ATS in conference games.


Missouri @ Vanderbilt (-2.5)
Missouri (6-1, 2-1)
Mizzou won its first road game LW, 23-17 @ Auburn. .
Tigers’ only loss was 27-24 at home to Alabama
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.


Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 8-8 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 11-8 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 25-19-1 ATS in SEC games.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 20-19-1 in games coming off a win.
Last three Mizzou games stayed under the total.


Vanderbilt (6-1, 2-1)
Vandy scored 31+ points in all six of their wins.
Commodores’ only loss: 30-14 at Alabama.
Commodores have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Commodores have 139 returning starts on OL; lot of transfers.
Senior QB Pavia has started 36 college games


Under Lea, Vandy is 4-9 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lea, Vandy is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Lea, Vandy is 18-17 ATS in SEC games (8-3 last 11)
Under Lea, Vandy is 7-13 ATS in last six games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in Vandy’s last four games.


Mizzou won five in row, eight of last nine meetings.
Tigers were double digit favorite in last seven meetings.
Mizzou won four of last six visits to Vandy.
Over is 3-1 in last four series games.
SEC home favorites are 12-8 ATS in conference games.


BYU @ Iowa State (-2.5)
BYU (7-0, 4-0)
BYU scored 24-38-33-24 points in its Big X wins.
BYU ran for 200+ yards in three of last four games.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Broncos have 61 starts returning on the offensive line.
QB Bachmeier is 91-144/1,220 passing (8 TD’s, 3 INTs)


In its Big X games, BYU allowed 21-24-27-21 points.
BYU is 17-9 ATS last 26 games as a road underdog.
BYU is 8-6 ATS in last 14 conference games.
BYU is 11-6 ATS in its last 17 games coming off a win.
Under is 4-2 in BYU’s last six games.


Iowa State (5-2, 2-2)
Iowa State lost last two games, 38-30/24-17
Iowa State Is 5-0 when it allows less than 24 points.
Cyclones have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Cyclones have 105 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.


Iowa State is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Campbell is 31-32-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Cyclones are 13-10 ATS in last 23 Big X games.
Cyclones gained 441+ total yards in three of last games.
Since 2015, Iowa State is 35-18-1 ATS coming off a loss.


Iowa State (-7.5) won 45-13 at BYU in 2023.
Big X home favorites are 15-6 ATS in conference games.


Illinois @ Washington (-4.5)
Illinois (5-2, 2-2)
Illinois scored 34+ points in wins, 10-16 in losses.
Illini allowed 453+ yards in three of last four games.
Illinois has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Illini has 193 returning starts on OL.
Senior QB Altmyer has 23 career starts.


Under Bielema, Illinois is 12-5 ATS as road underdogs.
In his career, Bielema is 27-18-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 23-17 ATS in Big 18 games.
In his career, Bielema is 75-61-2 ATS in conference games.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 12-9 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.


Washington (5-2, 2-2)
Washington was held to 6-7 points in its two losses.
Washington gained 390+ yards in all five wins.
Huskies have 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Huskies have 54 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Williams started two games last year.


Under Fisch, Washington is 5-2 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Fisch is 9-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Fisch is 21-20 ATS in conference games.
Under Fisch, Washington is 5-8 ATS in conference games.
Last four Washington games stayed under the total.


These teams haven’t met since 2014.
Big 18 home favorites are 7-13 ATS in conference games.


Minnesota @ Iowa (-7.5)
Minnesota (5-2, 3-1)
Minnesota is 0-2 on road, 27-14 at Cal, 42-3 at Ohio State.
Gophers won three of their last four games.
Gophers have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Minnesota has 79 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Lindsey is 128-208/1,437 passing (10 TD’s, 3 INTs).


Under Fleck, Minnesota is 10-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Fleck is 25-15-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Minnesota is 6-9-1 ATS last 16 games coming off a win.
Under Fleck, Minnesota is 36-34-4 ATS in Big 18 games.
Gophers ran for less than 70 yards in three of last four games.


Iowa (5-2, 3-1)
Iowa won four of their last five games.
Hawkeyes were held to 13-15 points in their losses.
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.


Hawkeyes are 5-3-1 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
Iowa is 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 conference games.
In his career, Ferentz is 122-94-7 ATS in conference games.
Last two games, Iowa threw ball for only 109-68 yards.
Iowa is 35-24-2 ATS in last 61 games coming off a win.


Iowa won nine of last ten meetings (6-1 ATS last seven)
Gophers are 2-7-1 ATS last ten visits to Iowa City.
Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.
Big 18 home favorites are 8-13 ATS in conference games.


San Diego State (-2.5) @ Fresno State
San Diego State (5-1, 2-0)
Aztecs won last four games, scoring 45-44 points in last two.
Aztecs’ only loss was 36-13 at Washington State.
San Diego State has 4 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Aztecs have 67 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Denegal was a backup at Michigan for two years.


First two MW games, Aztecs ran ball for 281-204 yards.
Under Lewis, San Diego State is 2-0 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, coach Lewis is 7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
San Diego State is 10-7 ATS last 17 conference games.
Under Lewis, San Diego State is 5-1 ATS coming off a win.


Fresno State (5-2, 2-1)
Fresno won five of its last six games.
Bulldogs’ two losses were 31-7/49-21 (Kansas/Colorado State)
Bulldogs have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Fresno has 50 starts returning on offensive line.
EJ Warner (Kurt’s son) is new QB; he started 31 games at Temple/Rice.


Since 2016, Fresno is 8-1-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2021, Fresno is 8-6 ATS as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 conference tilts.
In their losses, Bulldogs were minus-3/minus-4 in turnovers.
Mountain West home underdogs are 3-3 ATS in conference games.


Bulldogs won four of last six series games.
Aztecs are 1-5 SU/3-3 ATS in last six visits to Fresno.
Last three meetings went over the total.


Baylor @ Cincinnati (-3.5)
Baylor (4-3, 2-2)
Baylor split last four games, giving up 32.5 ppg.
Baylor scored 35+ points in wins, 24-24-36 in losses.
Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Robertson had 3,071 PY (28 TD’s, 8 INTs) LY.


Baylor is 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 11-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 23-26-1 ATS in Big X games.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 13-15 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Baylor is 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.
Over is 5-1 in their I-A games.


Cincinnati (6-1, 4-0)
Cincinnati won six in row since 20-17 loss vs Nebraska.
Cincinnati gained 427+ TY in four of last five I-A games.
Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bearcats have 81 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby has 19 career starts.


Under Satterfield, Cincinnati is 4-8 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Satterfield is 27-29-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Satterfield is 45-38-1 ATS as a favorite.
Cincinnati is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in conference games this year.
Over is 4-1 in their last five I-A games.


Baylor (+3) won 32-29 at Cincinnati two years ago.
Big X home favorites are 10-6 ATS in conference games.


Texas A&M (-2.5) @ LSU
Texas A&M (7-0, 4-0)
Last three games, Aggies scored 31-34-45 points.
A&M won their two road games, 41-40/45-42
Over is 5-2 in their games.
Aggies have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
A&M has 156 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Reed started eight games last year.


A&M is 3-7 ATS last 10 games as a road favorite.
In his career, Elko is 2-7 ATS as a road favorite.
Aggies are 9-13-3 ATS in last 25 games coming off a win
A&M is 10-15-3 ATS in last 28 SEC games.
In his career, Elko is 15-13 ATS in conference games.


LSU (5-2, 2-2)
LSU is 2-2 in SEC games, scoring 20.8 ppg.
LSU allowed 10 or fewer points in all five wins.
LSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
LSU has 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Nussmeier threw for 4,052 yards LY (29 TD’s, 12 INTs)


LSU is 5-1-1 ATS last seven games as a home underdog.
In his career, Kelly is 16-6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Kelly, LSU is 13-15-1 ATS in SEC games.
Under Kelly, LSU is 7-5 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-1 in their I-A games.


Teams split last eight series games,
Aggies are 0-6 SU/0-5-1 ATS last six visits to Baton Rouge.
Over is 7-2 in last nine meetings.
SEC home underdogs are 6-3 ATS in conference games.


Tennessee (-8.5) @ Kentucky
Tennessee (5-2, 2-2)
Vols allowed 31+ points in 4 of last 5 games (44-37 in losses).
Vols hs gained 410+ yards in all seven games.
Tennessee has 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Vols have 46 returning starts on the offensive line;
Senior QB Aguilar started 24 games at Appalachian State.


Vols are 1-1 on road: 41-34 at Miss State/20-37 at Alabama.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 6-5 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Heupel is 13-13 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Heupel, Vols are 10-4 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under Heupel, Tennessee is 15-21 ATS in SEC games.
Over is 4-2 in their I-A games, 0-2 in last two.


Kentucky (2-4, 0-4)
Kentucky is 0-4 in SEC, losing by 7-22-21-3 points.
Last three games, Kentucky scored 13-14-13 points.
Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Wildcats have 170 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Boley is 79-123/885 passing (4 TD’s/4 INTs)


Kentucky is 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a home underdog.
In his career, Mark Stoops is 12-15-2 ATS as a home dog.
Last 4+ years, Kentucky is 19-17 ATS in SEC games.
Wildcats are 11-9 ATS last 20 games coming off a loss.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.


Tennessee won 25 of last 28 meetings SU
Vols are 12-2 ATS in last 14 visits to Lexington.
Over is 3-1 in last four series games.
SEC home underdogs are 6-3 ATS in conference games.


Houston @ Arizona State (-7.5)
Houston (6-1, 3-1)
Houston scored 27+ points in all its wins.
Cougars’ only loss: 35-11 at home to Texas Tech.
Houston has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Cougars have 92 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Weigman started five games at Texas A&M last year.


Houston is 3-6-1 ATS last 10 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Fritz is 16-19-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Houston is 12-17-1 ATS in last 30 conference games.
Cougars are 8-12 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
Over is 5-1 in Houston’s last six games.


Arizona State (5-2, 3-1)
ASU’s last three wins were by 3-3-4 points.
Last five games, ASU is +8 in turnovers.
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Leavitt started 13 games last year.


Under Dillingham, Sun Devils are 16-6-1 ATS in Big X games.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 8-2-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 6-1-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dillingham, ASU 11-7-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 5-1 in Sun Devils’ last six games.


These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
Big X home favorites are 15-6 ATS in conference games.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 9

FCS

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday, October 25​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
OHIO at EMU	12:00 PM	OHIO -12.0	+500
BGSU at KENT	12:00 PM	KENT +8.0	+500
KSU at KU	12:00 PM	KSU +3.0	+500
NW at NEB	12:00 PM	NW +7.5*****	+500
UCLA at IU	12:00 PM	IU -26.5	+500
USF at MEM	12:00 PM	USF -5.5*****	+500
SYR at GT	12:00 PM	GT -16.5	+500
SMU at WAKE	12:00 PM	WAKE +4.0	+500
APP at ODU	12:00 PM	U 61.0*****	+500
MISS at OKLA	12:00 PM	OKLA -5.0*****	+500
UVA at UNC	12:00 PM	UVA -10.5	+500
AUB at ARK	12:45 PM	ARK -2.5	+500
AKR at BUFF	01:00 PM	BUFF -10.0	+500
USU at UNM	03:00 PM	UNM -3.0	+500
CONN at RICE	03:00 PM	CONN -10.5	+500
TEM at TLSA	03:30 PM	TEM -5.5	+500
TOL at WSU	03:30 PM	TOL -1.5	+500
MINN at IOWA	03:30 PM	IOWA -9.0	+500
MIZZ at VAN	03:30 PM	VAN -3.0*****	+500
ILL at WASH	03:30 PM	ILL +3.5	+500
BYU at ISU	03:30 PM	ISU -2.5	+500
ULM at USM	03:30 PM	USM -13.5	+500
BALL at NIU	03:30 PM	NIU -6.0	+500
SDSU at FRES	03:30 PM	U 47.0	+500
NCST at PITT	03:30 PM	PITT -6.5	+500
ALA at SOCAR	03:30 PM	SOCAR +11.0	+500
FAU at NAVY	03:30 PM	FAU +14.0	+500
WMU at M-OH	03:30 PM	M-OH -2.0	+500
MASS at CMU	03:30 PM	CMU -16.5	+500
OKST at TTU	04:00 PM	O 56.5*****	+500
BAY at CIN	04:00 PM	CIN -3.5	+500
TEX at MSST	04:15 PM	MSST +7.5*****	+500
TCU at WVU	06:00 PM	WVU +16.0	+500
STAN at MIA	07:00 PM	STAN +29.5*****	+500
WIS at ORE	07:00 PM	WIS +31.5	+500
ULL at TROY	07:00 PM	TROY -7.5*****	+500
GASO at ARST	07:00 PM	ARST -1.0	+500
BC at LOU	07:30 PM	LOU -25.5	+500
CSU at WYO	07:30 PM	WYO -4.5	+500
TAM at LSU	07:30 PM	LSU +2.5*****	+500
MICH at MSU	07:30 PM	MICH -14.0	+500
TENN at UK	07:45 PM	TENN -8.0	+500
HOU at ASU	08:00 PM	ASU -7.0******	+500
COLO at UTAH	10:15 PM	COLO +14.0	+500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/25/2025....................5 - 6 - 0.........................45.45%..............- 8.00
10/24/2025....................2 - 2 - 1.........................50.00%...............- 1.00
10/23/2025....................1 - 1 - 0.........................50.00%...............- 0.50
10/22/2025....................2 - 2 - 0.........................50.00%...............- 1.00
10/21/2025....................3 - 0 - 0.......................100.00%................+ 15.00
10/18/2025....................6 - 7 - 1........................46.15%.................- 8.50
10/17/2025....................4 - 2 - 0........................66.66%.................+ 9.00
10/16/2025....................1 - 1 - 0........................50.00%.................- 0.50
10/15/2025....................3 - 1 - 0........................75.00%..................+ 9.50
10/11/2025....................3 - 7 - 0........................30.00%.................- 23.50
10/10/2025....................5 - 1 - 0........................83.31%................+ 19.50
10/09/2025....................2 - 3 - 1........................40.00%.................- 6.50
10/08/2025....................2 - 1 - 1........................66.66%.................+ 4.50
10/04/2025................14 - 11 - 1.......................56.00%.................+ 9.50
10/03/2025.....................1 - 5 - 0.......................16.66%.................- 22.50
10/02/2025.....................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%..................- 0.50

TOTALS........................53 - 51- 5.......................50.96%................. - 5.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
Very early in the season, NBA’s leading scorers:
50.0 ppg— Aaron Gordon, Den
46.0— Luka Doncic, LAL
46.5— Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC
41.0— Tyrese Maxey, Phil
37.0— Anthony Edwards, Minn
36.0— Bennedict Mathurin, Ind

Quote of the Day
“We didn’t ask to have legalized sports betting. It kind of came, and that’s the environment in which we operate.……..the most important thing that we can do is make sure that we have systems in place that give us access to data, which puts you in a position to determine if there’s something aberrational going on.”
MLB commissioner Rob Manfred

Sunday’s quiz
In the baseball movie For Love of the Game, what well-known actor plays the Tigers’ manager?

Saturday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football for the Cal Bears.

Friday’s quiz
Jaxson Dart is the all-time leader in passing yards for the Ole Miss Rebels.

****************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….​

— Dodgers 5, Blue Jays 1
Smith, Muncy hit solo homers in 7th inning.
Yamamoto got his second consecutive complete game win.
World Series is tied, 1-1.
Game 3 is in Los Angeles Monday night.

— Ole Miss 34, Oklahoma 26
Ole Miss outscored Oklahoma 9-0 in fourth quarter.
QB Chambliss threw for 315 yards and a TD, also ran for 53 yards.
Rebels were 9-21 on third down, Oklahoma 4-14.

— Alabama 29, South Carolina 22
Alabama scored 15 points in the last 2:16 for the win.
Crimson Tide drove 38 yards, scored winning TD with 0:34 left.
Gamecocks led 15-14 after the third quarter.
South Carolina has lost five of its last six games.

— Texas 45, Mississippi State 38 OT
Miss State led 38-21 with 10:00 left in the game.
Texas returned a punt 79 yards for a TD with 1:47 left to force OT.
Miss State outgained Texas, 445-428.
Bulldogs have now lost their last 16 SEC games.

— Memphis 34, South Florida 31
Tigers outscored USF 17-0 in the 4th quarter.
Memphis drove 70 yards, scored winning TD with 1:07 left.
USF lost, even though they ran ball 38 times for 295 yards.
Memphis QB Lewis threw for 307 yards, two TD’s.

— Upsets of the Week:
Rice (+9.5) 37, UConn 34 OT
Akron (+8.5) 24, Buffalo 16
Kent State (+8.5) 24, Bowling Green 21
Houston (+7.5) 24, Arizona State 16
Memphis (+4.5) 34, South Florida 31
Ole Miss (+4.5) 34, Oklahoma 26
Kansas State (+3.5) 42, Kansas 17

— Vanderbilt 17, Missouri 10
Vanderbilt is 7-1 for the first time since 1941.
Game was tied 3-3 at halftime.
Vandy scored winning TD with 1:52 left.
Mizzou caught Hail Mary pass on last play, was half-yard short of a TD.

— Virginia 17, North Carolina 16 OT
Tar Heels scored TD in OT, but went for 2 points and failed.
Virginia has won six in a row, last three by total of six points.
In 1st quarter, North Carolina lost fumble on Virginia’s one-yard line.
North Carolina has lost four in a row, is 2-5 this year.

— BYU 41, Iowa State 27
BYU outscored the Cyclones 24-3 in the second half.
BYU’s 40-yard pick-6 with 13:40 left broke the game open.
BYU is 8-0 for the second year in a row.
Iowa State has lost three in row, for first time since 2022.

— Famous birthdays, October 26th:
Mike Hargrove, 76
Chuck Foreman, 75
Rita Wilson, 69
Dylan McDermott, 64
Tony Casillas, 62
Mark Sweeney, 56
Bert Emanuel, 55
Antonio Pierce, 47
Nick Collison, 45
Francisco Liriano, 42
Parker Messick, 25
Chase Dollander, 24

— Rice 37, UConn 34 OT
Owls ran ball 56 times for 300 yards.
UConn QB Fagnano threw for 344 yards, three TD’s.
Quinton Jackson had a 73-yard TD run, caught a 75-yard TD pass.

— Temple 38, Tulsa 37 OT
Temple QB Simon has thrown 21 TD’s this year, no INTs
Tulsa scored TD in OT, went for 2 points/win, but failed.
In this game, Simon threw for 267 yards, five TD’s.

— Wake Forest 13, SMU 12
Deacons kicked a 50-yard FG on last play for a walk-off win.
SMU had won its previous 20 regular season conference games.
Wake Forest won despite turning ball over five times (minus-2)

— Rutgers 27, Purdue 24
Rutgers kicked a 30-yard FG on last play for a walk-off win.
Scarlet Knights were 4-14 on third down, Purdue 1-9.
Rutgers QB Kaliakmanis threw for 359 yards (13.3 yards/attempt)

— Texas A&M 49, LSU 25
LSU led this game 18-14 at halftime.
A&M QB Reed threw for 202 yards, 2 TD’s, ran for 108 yards, 2 more TD’s
A&M outgained the Tigers, 426-278
LSU is 5-3; the natives have to be restless, but coach Kelly’s buyout is $53M. Not sure the natives are THAT restless.

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
Week 9 college football spreads:
— Penn State @ Ohio State (-20.5)
— Vanderbilt @ Texas (-3.5)
— Miami (-10.5) @ SMU
— Georgia (-7.5) @ Florida
— Texas Tech (-7.5) @ Kansas State
— Oklahoma @ Tennessee (-3.5)

Quote of the Day
“It’s been a lot for me, emotionally, spiritually. When I was on the field, I was damn near about to start crying……..I get that he’s (Woody Johnson) the owner of the team, but that’s outside noise. The biggest thing was my teammates still believing in me, my coaches still believing in me, and God.”
Justin Fields, after the Jets’ 39-38 win Sunday

Monday’s quiz
Who was football coach at LSU before Brian Kelly?

Sunday’s quiz
In the baseball movie For Love of the Game, JK Simmons plays the Tigers’ manager.

Saturday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football for the Cal Bears.

************************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..​

Jets 39, Bengals 38
Bengals led 31-16 after the third quarter.
Jets in 4th quarter: 20 plays, 184 yards, 23 points.
RB Hall ran for 133 yards, 2 TD’s, also threw the game-winning TD.
Six of Jets’ eight games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
Bengals lost five of their last six games.
Cincinnati scored 29.7 ppg in Flacco’s three starts.
Bengals converted 17-38 3rd down plays with Flacco at QB.
Over is 4-0 in Cincinnati home games.

Ravens 30, Bears 16
Ravens ran the ball 35 times for 177 yards.
Ravens’ 1st 5 drives: 45 plays, 256 yards, but only 16 points.
Baltimore led 10-6 at the half, 16-6 after three quarters.
Ravens in 4th quarter: 16 plays, 87 yards, 14 points.
Chicago had their 4-game winning streak snapped.
Chicago is 8-14-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win.
Bears committed 11 penalties for 79 yards
Chicago is 13-23-2 ATS last 37 games as a road underdog.

Dolphins 34, Falcons 10
Dolphins outgained Atlanta, 338-213.
Tagovailoa threw 4 TD’s, to four different receivers.
Dolphins were 6-13 on third down, Atlanta 2-11.
Miami is 11-7-1 ATS in last 19 games coming off a loss.
Dolphins led 24-3 after the third quarter.
Falcons ran ball only 17 times for 45 yards.
Atlanta is 3-0 if its scores 22+ points, 0-4 if it doesn’t.
Atlanta is 7-17-1 ATS last 25 games as a home favorite.

Bills 40, Panthers 9
James Cook ran for 216 yards, most by Buffalo RB since OJ Simpson in 1976.
Bills’ first eight drives: 51 plays, 374 yards, 5 TD’s, 2 FG’s.
Buffalo scored 41-30-31-31-40 points in its four wins.
Bills are +6 in turnovers in their wins, minus-4 in losses.
Bills coach McDermott is 9-0 coming off a bye.
Buffalo outgained Carolina, 410-244.
Panthers’ first six drives: 36 plays, 164 yards, 3 points.
Carolina had won three in a row overall, was 3-0 at home.

Texans 26, 49ers 15
QB Stroud threw for 318 yards, two TD’s.
Houston outgained the 49ers, 475-223.
Texans gained 353-417-475 yards in wins, 271 or fewer yards in losses.
Texans in first half: 48 plays, 271 yards, only 16 points.
49ers’ first five drives: 17 plays, 57 yards, 7 points.
SF ran ball for less than 85 yards in six of last seven games.
Houston was 9-16 on third down, 49ers 3-9.
49ers are 1-11 ATS last 12 games coming off a win.

Eagles 38, Giants 20
Barkley ran 65 yards for a TD on second play of the game.
Philly ran for 276 yards, 1st time in six games they ran for more than 88 yards.
Eagles led 17-10 at halftime.
Eagles’ first three drives in 2nd half: 24 plays, 199 yards, 17 points.
Eagles outgained the Giants, 427-247.
Giants lost RB Skattebo (dislocated ankle)
Giants are 8-12 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog
Giants are 0-13 SU/6-7 ATS last 13 visits to Philadelphia.

Famous birthdays, October 27th:
John Cleese, 86
Pete Vuckovich, 73
Matt Cavanaugh, 69
Rick Carlisle, 66
Timm Rosenbach, 59
Brad Radke, 53
Brady Quinn, 41
Jon Niese, 39
Mark Barron, 36
Lonzo Ball, 28

Patriots 32, Browns 13
Patriots won/covered their last five games.
New England led 9-7 at halftime.
Patriots in third quarter: 15 plays, 164 yards, 21 points.
New England is 5-0 when it scores more than 14 points.
Browns in 3rd quarter: 11 plays, 15 yards, 2 INT’s, a punt.
Browns are 0-4 on road, losing by 24-24-14-19 points.
Cleveland is 8-19-1 ATS last 28 games as a road underdog.
Browns have scored 17 or fewer points in seven of eight games.

Buccaneers 23, Saints 3
Buccaneers led 7-3 at halftime; only TD was a pick-6.
Tampa Bay’s 1st four 2nd half drives: 28 plays, 115 yards, 16 points.
Buccaneers are 12-3-1 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
Buccaneers won/covered last four visits to Bourbon Street.
Saints outgained Tampa 275-212, but had 4 turnovers (minus-3)
Saints’ first five drives: 23 plays, 113 yards, no points, 3 turnovers.
Rookie QB Shough was 17-30/128 passing in relief of benched starter Rattler.
Saints are 6-16 ATS last 22 games as a home underdog.

Colts 38, Titans 14
RB Taylor ran for 153 yards, 2 TD’s, including an 80-yard run.
Under Steichen, Indy is 9-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Colts are 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS at home this season.
Colts’ team total: over 7-1
Tennessee is 1-7 SU/ATS, with six losses by 10+ points.
WR Dike caught seven passes for 93 yards.
Titans are 4-15 ATS in last 19 games as an underdog.
Johnny Hekker had his 1,000th career punt in this game.

Broncos 44, Cowboys 24
Denver won its fifth game in a row.
QB Nix threw for 247 yards, four TD’s.
Broncos led 27-10 at halftime.
Only 8 of Denver’s 57 plays came on third down.
Dallas is 1-3 on the road; only win was over the 0-7 Jets.
Dallas is 0-4 when they score less than 37 points.
Cowboys are 3-6 ATS last nine games coming off a win.
Over is 4-1 in last five Dallas games.

Packers 35, Steelers 25
Pittsburgh led 16-7 at halftime.
Packers in second half: 36 plays, 279 yards, 28 points.
Steelers in 2nd half: 27 plays, 102 yards, nine points.
At one point, Jordan Love completed 20 consecutive passes.
Green Bay is 5-0-1 when it scores 27+ points.
Steelers allowed 32-31-35 points in their three losses.
Green Bay was 5-12 on third down, Pittsburgh 1-10.
Packers outgained the Steelers, 454-295.

— LSU fired football coach Brian Kelly, because college/minor league sports is off its rocker; Kelly was 34-14 at LSU, but lost three of his last four games. LSU expected to compete for a national title this season; now they’re a complete train wreck.
Kelly is owed just more than $54M in buyout money. million, with an M

Frank Wilson, LSU’s associate head coach and running backs coach, will take over the team as interim head coach. LSU’s next game is against Alabama November 8th; that should go well.

Couple weeks ago, Penn State paid coach James Franklin $49M to take a hike, and now this; who the hell has $100M laying around to give away? Franklin was 104-45 at Penn State and he got fired.

Yikes.

 

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WEEK TEN

 

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Week 10

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[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 9 NFL spreads:
— Ravens (-7.5) @ Miami
— Falcons @ New England (-5.5)
— Chargers (-9.5) @ Tennessee
— Bears (-2.5) @ Cincinnati
— Colts (-3.5) @ Pittsburgh
— 49ers (-2.5) @ NJ Giants

Quote of the Day
“We cannot, for whatever reason, we cannot get rid of the inconsistent ones that break your back. I have to break through there and give them a path to success there — that’s on me — and just eliminate those plays because there’s really great things on the other side of that.”
Bengals defensive coordinator Al Golden

Tuesday’s quiz
Which former NFL kicker was the host of Wheel of Fortune for six months, in 1989?

Monday’s quiz
Ed Orgeron was the football coach at LSU before Brian Kelly.

Sunday’s quiz
In the baseball movie For Love of the Game, JK Simmons plays the Tigers’ manager.

*********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……​

— Chiefs 28, Commanders 7
Mahomes threw for 299 yards, three TD’s.
For first time in his career, he threw INT’s on KC’s first two drives.
Chiefs’ next five drives: 43 plays, 336 yards, four TD’s.
Chiefs won/covered four of their last five games.
Washington lost four of its last five games.
Commanders in 2nd half: 20 plays, 81 yards, no points.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 2-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Commanders allowed 354+ yards in six of last seven games.

— In Week 8, AFC teams were 7-1 SU against NFC teams, but for the season, NFC teams still lead, 26-18.

— Vikings’ QB Carson Wentz had a shoulder operation, is out for the year; he had been playing through a dislocated shoulder that included a torn labrum and fractured socket, all of which apparently happened October 5th.

— NFL divisional trends:
AFC East
Home teams 2-4 ATS divisional games
13-9 ATS non-divisional games

AFC North
Home teams 4-0 ATS divisional games
7-15 ATS non-divisional games

AFC South
4-2 ATS non-divisional favorite
7-8 ATS non-divisional underdog.

AFC West
8-5 ATS non-divisional home games
3-7 ATS non-divisional road games

NFC East
6-5 ATS non-divisional favorite
4-5 ATS non-divisional underdog

NFC North
5-2 ATS non-divisional home favorite
2-4 ATS non-divisional road favorite

NFC South
12-14 ATS non-divisional games

NFC West
13-7 non-divisional games

— College football trends, conference games:

American
Favorites 19-11 ATS

ACC
Road teams 22-17 ATS
Home favorites 10-12 ATS

Big 18
Underdogs 24-19 ATS

Big X
Home teams 23-15 ATS
Favorites 24-15 ATS

Conference USA
Home teams 12-7 ATS

Mid-American
Home teams 21-6 ATS

Mountain West
Home teams 11-10 ATS

SEC
Home teams 20-16 ATS
Home favorites 13-10 ATS

Sun Belt
Home teams 18-10 ATS

Famous birthdays, October 28th:
Lenny Wilkens, 88
Dennis Franz, 81
Annie Potts, 73
Randy Wittman, 66
Bob Melvin, 64
Jami Gertz, 60
Steve Atwater, 59
Julia Roberts, 58
Terrell Davis, 53
Jarrett Jack, 42

— New Mexico Lobos are 4-0 at home for the first time since 1962.

— Good news: Vanderbilt’s football team is in the top 10 for the first time since 1941.
Bad news: big $$$ teams are going to be coming after coach Clark Lea, much like they did for James Franklin back when he was winning at Vanderbilt.

— Lakers’ start Luka Doncic is out at least a week; he has a left finger sprain and a lower left leg contusion. He scored 92 points in his first two games this season, but now he is hurt.

— Baltimore Orioles hired Craig Albernaz as their new manager; he was associate manager for the Cleveland Guardians the last couple years. Albernaz managed two years in the low minor leagues, after a nine-year career as a minor league catcher, mostly with Tampa Bay.

— Los Angeles Angels only gave their new manager Kurt Suzuki a one-year contract; there is speculation that there may not be a 2027 season because of labor issues, so if that happens, will be interesting to see if they take care of Suzuki for 2027, or let him go elsewhere.

— RIP to the great actress June Lockhart, who passed away over the weekend, at age 100.
Best known for starring roles in Lassie and Lost In Space, she also appeared in one of the better episodes of Magnum PI in that show’s first season, with Jose Ferrer. Overall, she had 179 acting credits.
RIP, ma’am.

 

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Tuesday, October 28