Cnotes College Football News-Notes-Rumors-Best Bets 2025-2026 !

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES CFB NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS !

11/08/2025................12, - 6 - 0....................66.66%..............+ 27.00
11/07/2025...................4 - 2 - 0....................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/06/2025...................4 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..............+ 20.00
11/05/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%...............- 1.00
11/04/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/01/2025...................8 - 9 - 0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,47.05%...............- 9.50

TOTALS......................33 - 20 - 0....................62.26%...............+ 55.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
Notable starting pitchers who are free agents this winter:
— Dylan Cease
— Zac Gallen
— Shota Imanaga
— Merrill Kelly
— Ranger Suarez
— Framber Valdez

Quote of the Day
“It was the most improbable victory I have ever been a part of, and there couldn’t have been a better place to make it happen.”
Indiana football coach Curt Cignetti

Sunday’s quiz
Which college’s sports teams are known as the Anteaters?

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

Friday’s quiz
Philip Rivers is the all-time leader in passing yards for NC State.

********************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..​

— Indiana 27, Penn State 24
Hoosiers drove 80 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:36 left.
WR Cooper make a great catch in back of the end zone to win the game.
Penn State lost their sixth straight game, after a 3-0 start.

— Vanderbilt 45, Auburn 38 OT
QB Pavia threw for 377 yards, three TD’s, also ran for 112 yards.
Auburn led 20-10 at halftime.
Auburn is 1-6 in SEC, with five losses by 7 or fewer points.

— Oregon 18, Iowa 16
Ducks kicked a 39-yard field goal with 0:03 left, for the road win.
Oregon ran ball 36 times for 261 yards.
Ducks outgained Hawkeyes 373-239 on a rainy day in Iowa City.

— UConn 37, Duke 34
Huskies drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:58 left.
Duke led 28-23 after the third quarter.
Crowd of 38,106 was UConn’s largest home crowd since 2013.

— Iowa State 20, TCU 17
Cyclones scored two TD’s in last 8:12 for a comeback win.
Game-winning TD was a 79-yard punt return with 6:32 left.
TCU outgained the Cyclones 432-272, but had three turnovers.

— Delaware 27, Louisiana Tech 24
Blue Hens scored nine points in the last 0:40, are now 5-4.
Delaware scored TD with 0:34 left, then recovered an onside kick.
Delaware QB Minicucci threw for 304 yards, two TD’s.

— Wisconsin 13, Washington 10
Badgers threw for only 48 yards, half of them on a fake punt.
Washington led 10-3 at halftime, didn’t score in second half.
Wisconsin’s win snaps a six-game losing skid.

— Football upsets of the week:
California (+18.5) 29, Louisville 26
Wisconsin (+10.5) 13, Washington 10
Missouri State (+7.5) 21, Liberty 17
Wake Forest (+7) 16, Virginia 9
Iowa State (+6.5) 20, TCU 17
Delaware (+5.5) 25, Louisiana Tech 24

— Famous birthdays, November 9th
Virgil Carter, 80
Lou Ferrigno, 74
Teddy Higuera, 68
Adam Dunn, 46
Michael Busch, 28
Sunday would’ve been the 90th birthday for Bob Gibson, the great pitcher

— Alabama 103, St John’s 96
84-possession track meet was like an old Loyola Marymount game.
Crimson Tide led 53-44 at halftime.
St John’s was 28-40 on foul line, Alabama 14-22

— Michigan State 69, Arkansas 66
6-9 frosh Ward scored 18 points in 23:00 off MSU’s bench.
Brickfest: teams combined to shoot 8-42 on the arc.
Razorbacks led 39-36 at halftime.

— Virginia Tech 107, Providence 101 OT
Providence led by 8 early in second half.
6-9 frosh Avadalas scored 33 points, had six assists.
Tech was 12-28 behind the arc, Friars were 11-28.

— Marshall 85, Toledo 73
Rockets led 40-30 at halftime.
Thundering Herd shot 66.7% inside arc, 15-37 on the arc.
Jalen Speer scored 20 points; 14 of his 15 shots were behind the arc.

— Memphis 76, San Francisco 70
Memphis led by 23 early in second half.
Two leading scorers for Memphis scored 25-24 points; both guys are playing for their third team in three years, all different teams.

— Cal-Santa Barbara 85, San Jose State 74
6-3 senior Mahaney is UCSB’s key player; he was a star for two years at Saint Mary’s, when the Gaels went 53-26, 29-3 in WCC games.
Last year he bolted to UConn, where he only played about 12:00/game. Now he is back as a star at a very good mid-major program. He had 17 points, six assists for the Gauchos in this game.

— Tulane 79, Texas State 71
Texas State led by 20 with 4:15 left in the first half.
6-4 junior Brumbaugh was 19-19 on foul line, scored 33 points.
Texas State’s whole team was 11-13 on the foul line.

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
— Baylor 78, Washington 69- Bears shot 57.1% inside the arc.
— Indiana 100, Marquette 77- Hoosiers shot 14-28 on the arc, scored 1.32 ppp
— Oklahoma State 87, Texas A&M 63- Cowboys shot 62.5% inside the arc.
— North Texas 64, Loyola Chi 62- Mean Green led by 14 at half, had to rally late.
— Liberty 88, FSU 68- Flames are 3-0, with wins over Charleston/FAU.
— Harvard 86, New Hampshire 75- UNH led 48-28 late in the first half.

Quote of the Day
“He’s just been in total command. It’s a continuation of a guy that really works his tail off throughout the course of the week. He uses the accumulation of knowledge and experience, and he’s just playing really confident. It looks like the game is really in slow motion to him right now.”
Rams coach Sean McVay, talking about Matthew Stafford

Monday’s quiz
Where did Colts’ QB Daniel Jones play his college football?

Sunday’s quiz
Cal-Irvine’s sports teams are known as the Anteaters.

Saturday’s quiz
In the movie Moneyball, Philip Seymour Hoffman played A’s manager Art Howe.

******************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….​

Rams 42, 49ers 26
Rams’ first drive: 10 plays, 64 yards, TD
Rams’ second drive: 7 plays, 86 yards, TD
Rams’ third drive: 9 plays, 59 yards, TD
Matthew Stafford is 9th QB ever to throw 400+ TD passes.
Rams’ first three drives in 2nd half: 23 plays, 166 yards, 3 TD’s
Rams are 16-7 ATS in last 23 games as a favorite.
Mac Jones threw for 319 yards, three TD’s.
49ers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a win.

Texans 36, Jaguars 29
Jaguars led 29-10 after the third quarter.
Houston drove 93 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:31 left.
Houston was 10-15 on third down, Jacksonville 4-11.
Texans won 13 of last 16 series games.
Houston is 4-0 when it scores 26+ points, 0-5 when it doesn’t.
Texans outgained Jacksonville, 412-213.
Jaguars led 17-0 after they scored on a 73-yard punt return.
Backup QB Mills threw for 292 yards, two TD’s.

Dolphins 30, Bills 13
Dolphins snap a seven-game losing streak vs Buffalo.
Miami led 16-0 after the third quarter.
Bills’ first seven drives: 38 plays, 172 yards, zero points.
Buffalo has scored 28+ points in wins, 20-14-13 in losses.
Dolphins ran the ball 32 times for 197 yards.
Miami is 10-6 ATS last 16 games as a home underdog.
Miami is 12-8-1 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Dolphins went over their team total in six of last eight games.

Colts 31, Falcons 25 OT
Jonathan Taylor ran for 244 yards, three TD’s.
Colts kicked a 44-yard FG with 0:25 left to force overtime.
Inday’s last four drives: 26 plays, 201 yards, 18 points.
Colts’ team total: over 8-2
Indy is 8-0 scoring 29+ points (20-20 in losses)
Colts outgained Atlanta, 519-290.
Colts were 2-12 on third down, Atlanta 0-8.
Falcons lost their last four games, by 10-24-1-6 points.

Jets 27, Browns 20
Jets ran kick back for TD, punt back for TD, both in first quarter.
Jets won last two games, scoring 39-27 points, after an 0-7 start.
QB Fields was 6-11/54 passing, for the whole freakin’ game.
Total yardage: Cleveland 278, Jets 169.
Home teams are 8-0 ATS in Cleveland games this year.
Browns are 0-5 on road, losing by 24-24-14-19-7 points.
Overall, Browns have lost their last 13 road games.
Cleveland gained less than 280 yards in six of last seven games.

Ravens 27, Vikings 19
Ravens’ first four drives: 20 plays, 58 yards, 3 points.
Ravens rest of game: 50 plays, 293 yards, 24 points.
Baltimore won its last three games, scoring 30-28-27 points.
Last four games, Ravens allowed 17-16-6-19 points.
Vikings were 3-14 on third down, turned ball over three times.
Last six games, Minnesota is minus-9 in turnovers.
Vikings had an 86-yard TD drive to start the game.
Vikings rest of game: 58 plays, 276 yards, 12 points.

Famous birthdays, November 10th:
Larry Parrish, 71
Jack Clark, 69
Mackenzie Phillips, 67
Isaac Bruce, 53
Shawn Green, 52
Zach Ertz, 34
Teddy Bridgewater, 32
JJ Bleday, 27

Bears 24, Giants 20
Down 20-10, Chicago had TD drives of 91-53 yards in last 3:56.
Bears are 6-0 when they allow less than 27 points.
Bears won six of their last seven games.
In its wins, Chicago is +17 in turnovers; they’re minus-3 in losses.
Giants outgained Chicago, 431-391.
QB Dart (concussion) sat out the 4th quarter; threw for 242 yards, ran for 66 more.
Giants lost last four games, giving up 33-38-34-24 points.
Giants allowed 18-17 points in wins, 21+ points in losses.

Patriots 28, Buccaneers 23
Patriots won their last seven games (6-1 ATS).
Patriots had TD plays of 72-55-69 yards.
QB Henderson ran ball 14 times for 147 yards, two TD’s.
Vrabel is 64-50 as an NFL head coach, 8-2 this year.
Bucs are 4-0 giving up less than 24 points, 2-3 giving up 24+.
QB Mayfield threw ball for 273 yards, three TD’s.
WR Egbuka caught six passes for 115 yards and a TD.
NFC South teams are 14-16 ATS in non-divisional games.

Saints 17, Panthers 7
Rookie QB Shough threw for 282 yards, two TD’s.
Saints outgained Carolina, 388-175.
Saints are 17-11-1 ATS last 29 games as a road underdog.
New Orleans is 13-5-1 ATS in last 19 NFC South road games.
Saints were 8-17 on third down, Carolina 3-9.
Last four weeks, Panthers scored 13-9-16-7 points.
Last three games, Carolina was held to 244/265/175 total yards.
Since 2020, Panthers are 1-10 ATS as a home favorite.

Lions 44, Commanders 22
Lions scored on all eight drives: 55 plays, 537 yards.
Detroit outgained Washington, 546-288.
Lions are 13-2 ATS last 15 games as a road favorite.
Detroit is 6-0 when it runs for 100+ yards, 0-3 when it doesn’t.
Commanders lost last five games, last four by 22-21-24-22 points.
In those five games, Washington gave up 35.8 ppg.
Opponents’ over/under total: over 7-2 last nine games.
Commanders are 1-6-1 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.

Seahawks 44, Cardinals 22
Seattle scored two defensive TD’s in the first 16:00 of the game.
Seahawks’ first three drives: 22 plays, 222 yards, 21 points.
Seattle led 35-0 with 8:33 left before halftime.
Seahawks won/covered seven of their last eight games.
Seattle averaged 13.4 yards/pass attempt.
Seahawks ran ball 46 times for 198 yards.
Cardinals lost six of their last seven games.
This was Arizona’s first loss by more than four points.

Chargers 25, Steelers 10
WR McConkey caught four passes for 107 yards and a TD.
Chargers won four of their last five games.
Chargers are 7-3 ATS last ten games as a home favorite.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 10-5 ATS in games coming off a win.
Steelers in first half: 27 plays, 71 yards, 3 points.
Chargers outgained Pittsburgh, 314-221.
Steelers were 2-11 on third down, turned ball over three times.
Pittsburgh is +12 in turnovers in its wins, minus-6 in losses.

 

[Udog]

WEEK TWELVE

 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 12

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 12

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 11 NFL spreads:
— Jets @ New England (-11.5)
— Commanders vs Dolphins (-2.5) (@ Madrid, Spain)
— Bengals @ Pittsburgh (-4.5)
— Chargers (-2.5) @ Jacksonville
— Buccaneers @ Buffalo (-5.5)
— Bears @ Minnesota (-3.5)

Thought of the Day
“It’s important to make someone happy, but it’s most important to start with yourself.”

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie The Rewrite, Hugh Grant plays an Oscar-winning screen writer who leaves Hollywood when his career takes a downturn; he gets a job teaching writing at which eastern college?

Monday’s quiz
Colts’ QB Daniel Jones played his college football at Duke.

Sunday’s quiz
Cal-Irvine’s sports teams are known as the Anteaters.

***************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….​

— Eagles 10, Packers 7
NFL’s first scoreless first half in two years.
Eagles in first half: 31 plays, 94 yards, no points.
Eagles first 3 drives in 2nd half: 17 plays, 136 yards, 10 points.
Eagles are 14-2-1 ATS last 17 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Green Bay averaged only 4.0 yards/pass play.
Green Bay is 0-3 when they score less than 27 points.
In their three losses, Packers were held to 10-13-7 points.
Packers are 5-9-1 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.

— New Jersey Giants fired coach Brian Daboll Monday; Giants were 9-7-1 in Daboll’s first season, but were 11-33 since then, including 2-8 this season. Daboll was making $5M/year, os he gets roughly $7.5M to take a hike.
Daboll was doing a good job bringing along rookie QB Jaxson Dart this year; will be interesting to see who the Giants hire as their new coach.

— Jaxson Dart, by the way, is the first QB EVER with a rushing TD in five straight games.

— Rookie QB’s who start get coaches fired; Tennessee fired its coach this year, while they’re starting rookie Cam Ward. It is almost like the rich humans who own these teams cannot comprehend that it takes time to develop a quarterback who wins games.

— Minnesota Vikings had eight false starts Sunday, in a home game, the most by any NFL home team since 2009.

— NFL divisional trends:

AFC East
Underdogs 5-2 ATS divisional games
10-6 ATS non-divisional underdog

AFC North
Home teams 4-0 ATS divisional games
10-19 ATS non-divisional games

AFC South
Favorites 4-1 ATS divisional games
12-13 ATS non-divisional games

AFC West
7-4 ATS non-divisional home favorite
1-6 ATS non-divisional road favorite

NFC East
4-7 ATS non-divisional home games
6-8 ATS non-divisional underdog

NFC North
Favorites 3-1 ATS divisional games

NFC South
6-9 ATS non-divisional home games

NFC West
Home teams 1-5 ATS divisional games
17-6 ATS non-divisional games

— College football trends, conference games:
American
Favorites 24-15 ATS

ACC
Road teams 31-20 ATS

Big 18
Home favorites 14-18 ATS
Home underdogs 14-10 ATS

Big X
Favorites 33-17 ATS

Conference USA
Home underdogs 9-5 ATS

Mid-American
Home teams 26-8 ATS

Mountain West
Home favorites 10-9 ATS
Home underdogs 5-5 ATS

SEC
Home teams 25-21 ATS

Sun Belt
Home teams 21-16 ATS

— Famous birthdays, November 11th:
Stanley Tucci, 65
Demi Moore, 63
Leonardo DiCaprio, 51
Mark Sanchez, 39
Stedman Bailey, 35
Ladd McConkey, 24

— RIP to Lenny Wilkens, who passed away over the weekend at age 88; he is one of only five people who was inducted into the Basketball Hall of Fame as both a player and a coach.

He scored 16.5 ppg in a 15-year playing career, then coached for 30 more years, winning 1,412 games, including the 1979 NBA title with the Seattle SuperSonics.

He is the only person to be in both the NBA’s 75th season celebration lists, as a player and as a coach.
RIP, sir.

— Guy in California won $2.04B (that’s billion, with a B) last week; after taxes, he took home $628M. Dude paid $1.42B in taxes.

— North Carolina senior captain Seth Trimble broke his left arm in practice Sunday, will have surgery this week. No word on how long he’ll be out of the Tar Heels’ lineup. North Carolina is off to a 2-0 start, including a win over Kansas.

— Iowa State 96, Mississippi State 80
Cyclones shot 65% inside the arc, led by 18 at the half.
Miss State had 26 turnovers, Cyclones only 9.
Game was played on a neutral court in South Dakota.
Game like these are important to see early in the season, as we try to get a handle on which teams and which leagues are the best this season.

— Santa Clara 87, Xavier 68
Musketeers shot only 37% inside the arc in an ugly home loss.
Xavier had only three players score more than four points.
Impressive win for the WCC here.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Tuesday, November 11

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday, November 11​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
KENT at AKR	07:30 PM	AKR -7.0***** O 49.0*****	+500 +500
OHIO at WMU	08:00 PM	WMU -1.0***** U 47.0*****	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES CFB NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS !

11/11/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%.............+ 9.50
11/08/2025.................12 - 6 - 0....................66.66%..............+ 27.00
11/07/2025...................4 - 2 - 0....................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/06/2025...................4 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..............+ 20.00
11/05/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%...............- 1.00
11/04/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/01/2025...................8 - 9 - 0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,47.05%...............- 9.50

TOTALS......................36 - 21 - 0....................63.15%...............+ 64.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Odds on guys to be the Giants’ next coach:
7-1- Mike McCarthy
8-1- Klint Kubiak
9-1- Steve Spagnuolo
19-2- Lou Anarumo
10-1- Kliff Kingsbury
12-1- Jesse Minter, Jeff Hafley

Quote of the Day
“We believe our pitching is a strength. Doesn’t mean we wouldn’t want to add more pitching. We will certainly be opportunistic on the pitching side. There are some things that we’d like to do on the pitching side, but run scoring was the thing that got in our way more than anything. And we’ve got to add to that.”
Pirates’ GM Ben Cherington

Wednesday’s quiz
Who was the basketball coach at Boston College, last time they made the NCAA Tournament?
(Hint: He played in the ABA and NBA)

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie The Rewrite, Hugh Grant plays an Oscar-winning screen writer who leaves Hollywood when his career takes a downturn; he gets a job teaching writing at SUNY-Binghamton.

Monday’s quiz
Colts’ QB Daniel Jones played his college football at Duke.

**********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……​

— Michigan 85, Wake Forest 84
Deacons led 77-70, missed nine of last 10 shots from floor.
Michigan was 25-37 on foul line, Wake 16-21
Michigan big man Mara had 18 points, 13 rebounds, six assists.
Watching this game, it felt a lot like March. Excellent game.

— Illinois 81, Texas Tech 77
Stojakovic scored 23 points in 26:00 off the bench.
JT Toppin scored 35 points for Tech
Illinois was 16-23 on foul line, Red Raiders 3-4

— Gonzaga 90, Creighton 63
Zags outscored Creighton 46-25 in second half.

Rough start to season for Big East:
DePaul lost to Buffalo
Xavier lost to Santa Clara
Marquette lost by 23 to Indiana
St John’s lost to Arizona, giving up 103 points.
Villanova lost to BYU.
Providence lost to Virginia Tech

— Florida 78, Florida State 76
Gators were favored by 16.5 points.
Florida out-rebounded the Seminoles, 58-36
Florida shot 57.6% inside the arc, was minus-8 in turnovers.

— Louisville 96, Kentucky 88
Louisville had only six turnovers, shot 62.1% inside the arc.
Cardinals were 13-40 on the arc, 18-29 inside the arc.
Louisville led 53-46 at halftime.

— Cincinnati 74, Dayton 62
Dayton shot 2-26 behind the arc.
Cincinnati led 27-11 early, turned ball over 24 times (minus-11)

— Ole Miss 83, Memphis 77
Ole Miss made 8 of their 13 3-point shots.
Rebels were 21-33 on foul line, Memphis 14-20.

— Cal-Santa Barbara 92, Sacramento State 87
Gauchos shot 13-27 on arc, scored 1.26 points/possession.
Thru three games, UCSB’s eFG% is 62.6% (#17 in country)

— Arkansas State 86, Missouri State 85
Missouri State led by 16 late in the first half.
Arkansas State scored 33 points in 1st half, 53 in 2nd half.

— Central Connecticut 60, Boston College 59
Eagles have already lost to FAU and now this game. Not good for a program that hasn’t had a winning record in the ACC since 2011. BC led this game by 11 early in the second half.

— Famous birthdays, November 12th:
Al Michaels, 81
Neil Young, 80
Jody Davis, 69
Ryan Gosling, 45
Anne Hathaway, 43
Charlie Morton, 42
Russell Westbrook, 37
Marcell Ozuna, 35
Dexter Lawrence, 28
Terrell Burgess, 27
Addison Barger, 26
Paolo Banchero, 23

— New Jersey Jets are the only team since 1950 with zero or one takeaway in their first nine games of a season.
Since 1950, fewest takeaways in first nine games:
1- Jets, 2025
3- Jets, 2014
4- Falcons, 2019
4- Steelers 2011

— Tampa Bay Bucs’ rookie WR Emeka Egbuka was the 2011 national champion in the Pitch, Hit and Run baseball competition, when he was 10 years old.

— When the Houston Texans rallied to beat the Jaguars 36-29 Sunday, it was the first-ever NFL game that ended with a 36-29 score.

— LSU fired football coach Brian Kelly when he had $54M left on his contract; now the school is trying to weasel out of paying Kelly what they owe him, A lawyer who is familiar with cases like this says that when all is said and done, it is highly unlikely that Kelly won’t get all that money.

— Listening to lot of early season college basketball games, have already heard 3-4 guys say that this is the best freshman class in college basketball in the last 20 years..

— St John’s is expected to be a Top 5/Top 10 team this year, but they only have one player from New York City, which is unusual for them.

— ESPN is putting out Bracketology already, predicting the 68-team brackets for the NCAA Tournament, which starts more than four months from now. Give it a rest guys, let the kids play some games before projecting the tournament.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Wednesday, November 12

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday, November 12​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
NIU at MASS	07:00 PM	NIU -10.5***** O 43.5*****	+500 +500
TOL at M-OH	07:00 PM	M-OH +4.5*****	+500
BUFF at CMU	07:00 PM	CMU -2.0*****	+500