Cnotes MLB 2019 Thru the World Series News, Notes, Trends Best Bets and Opinions !

[Cnotes53]

Weekly Total Talk
Joe Williams

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Boston Common

The Boston Red Sox have looked very ordinary so far this season, and no one expected even 18 regular-season games that they would be dead-last in the majors with a minus-40 run differential. They were scorched by the New York Yankees by an 8-0 score in Tuesday's series opener, and they have just one run over the past two games. The 'under' has connected in three in a row for Boston, and the under is 4-1 in their past five against teams with a losing record, and 4-0 in their past four road games against teams with a losing overall home mark, too. With Nathan Eovaldi on the mound, though, that could turn around. The over is 6-0-1 in his past seven starts, and 4-0 in his past four on the road while going 3-0-1 in his past four games inside the division.

For the Yankees, they too have struggled, and are below .500 midway through April. They were expected to battle the Red Sox in the standings, but not to avoid the basement in the American League East. The under is 6-1 in the past seven home starts for the Yankees, while going 4-1 in their past five games against teams with a winning percentage under .400. Like Eovaldi, the over has been a common 'Happ'-ening for JA Happ. The over is 6-0 across his past six starts, and 5-0 in his past five outings against divisional foes. The over is also 5-1 in Happ's past six hoe outings, and 7-0-1 in his past eight against teams with a losing overall record. The over is also 7-3 in the past 10 meetings between these AL East rivals.

Looking Ahead

Wednesday, April 17

The Giants and Nationals do battle in the nation's capital at 7:05 p.m. ET. The under is 6-1-1 in San Francisco's past eight games against National League East foes, while going 4-1-1 in their past six games overall. The undeer is also 4-1 in Jeff Samardzija's past five starts overall. The over is 5-0 in Washington's past five against teams with a losing record, and 16-6 in their past 22 overall. The over is also 24-9-1 in the past 34 games at home. However, the under is a whopping 16-3 in Jeremy Hellickson's past 19 starts overall, 4-1 in his past five home starts and 4-0 in his past four against teams with a losing overall mark.

The Astros and Athletics continue their battle in Oakland. The under is 8-3 in Houston's past 11 on the road, while going 5-2 in the past seven road outings against a team with a winning home mark. The over is a perfect 8-0 in the past eight overall for Oakland, and 4-0 in the past four against divisional foes. However, the under is 7-3 in the past 10 at home for the A's, and 4-1 in Frankie Montas' past five outings while going 4-1 in his past five inside the division, too. The over is 15-5-1 in the past 21 meetings in this series in Oakland.

Wind Report

The wind won't be a factor in many parks, although the winds will affect the Giants and Nationals. We'll have breezy conditions knocking balls down, as a wind blows 10-13 mph from right field into the face of the batters. If the game in Minneapolis gets underway with a 70 percent chance of rain from 6-9 pm CDT, the batters will be facing stiff wind from 12-15 mph blowing in from the left-center field power alley. In Texas, the wind will also be blowing in from 13-16 mph, keeping totals down.

Thursday, April 18

Hey, for what it's worth (not much), the under is 7-0 in the past seven for the Reds on a Thursday. More importantly, the under is 9-1-1 in their past 11 games against pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. The under is also 21-6 in their past 27 games on the road, while going 17-5 in their past 22 road games against a teams with a winning record. For the Padres, they like going low on Thursdays, too, going 24-9-1 in their past 34 on the day. The under is 7-3 in their past 10 home games heading into Wednesday. However, in this series, the over is 10-1 in the past 11 meetings, and 4-1-1 in the past six battles at Petco Park.

The Mariners have RHP Felix Hernandez on the bump, and he is opposed by RHP Chris Stratton. The over is 8-3-1 in the past 12 overall for the M's, and 7-3-1 in their past 11 games against right-handed starting pitchers. In addition, the over is 4-1 in King Felix's past five road outings, and 6-2 in his past eight against AL West foes. For the Halos , they entered Wednesday's game with a 16-5-1 mark in their past 22 games, and 9-4 in the past 13 vs. RHP. In addition, tue under is 7-2 in Hernandez's past nine road outings against the Angels, and 15-6-1 in his past 22 overall against the Halos.

Wind Report

For the afternoon game between the Diamondbacks and Braves, there will be a 10-13 mph wind blowing in from center field to home plate. The winds will be blowing out moderately for the Giants-Nationals at 9-12 mph. In Detroit, the White Sox-Tigers game will see rain in the forecast starting right around first pitch. If they do get underway, the winds will be gusting in from 17-20 mph, keeping totals down. Winds will be blowing left to right at Target Field for Jays-Twins, a steady 13 mph wind. For Phillies-Rockies, the winds will be gusting early on from the left-center field power alley to home plate, decreasing as the game progresses.

 

[Cnotes53]

By: Andrew Caley

STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS

STREAKING

Trevor Williams, RHP Pittsburgh Pirates (1-0, 2.45 ERA, $394): Williams is off to a strong start to 2019, despite the lone win on his 2019 resume. The right hander has an ERA south of 2.50 through is first three appearances ? all three qualifying as quality starts ? and helped the Bucs cash as +174 underdogs at Washington in his last outing.

SLUMPING

Matt Harvey, RHP Los Angeles Angels (0-1, 10.05 ERA, $72): Harvey was bailed out in his most recent effort, allowing six runs on seven hits through just 4 1-3 innings but the Halos put 11 runs on the board to clean up the righty?s mess. Over his last two starts, Harvey has given up 14 runs on 8 1-3 innings with eight of those coming against the Texas Rangers ? today?s opponent.


3 STRIKES

EARLY RISERS

The Tampa Bay Rays have produced early action in the bulk of their games to start the 2019 MLB season. Tampa Bay has scored or allowed at least one first-inning run in 13 of its first 17 games so far. The Rays have been the first to strike on the scoreboard in 10 of those contests, while opponents have had success plating a run in the opening frame in four games, including Tuesday?s 4-2 win over Baltimore in which the Orioles opened scoring on a single from Rio Ruiz in the first. Baseball bettors should take a look at first-inning props and totals.

HOME RUN HAPP

Veteran southpaw J.A. Happ has a new home in the Bronx but the change in venue hasn?t helped in terms of keeping the ball in the park. Happ has allowed at least one home run in each of his three starts to begin 2019, and if you go back to last season, he?s served up dingers in six straight appearances. In fact, the left hander has allowed a total of 18 home runs in his las t 18 outings, going back to June 20 of last year. FanDuel has Red Sox sluggers J.D Martinez and Mookie Betts priced at +230 and +320 to hit a home run Wednesday, respectively.

OOOOOOOO-VERS IN OAKLAND

The Oakland Athletics have been a favorite of Over bettors in the past couple weeks, topping the total in eight straight games heading into tonight?s contest with the Houston Astros (more on that above). Oakland kicked off the schedule as one of the hottest Under plays in baseball, playing Over the number in the season opener then proceeded to finish Under in seven straight games. However, with an abundance of offense ? 5.18 runs per game ? and a dipping defense ? 4.63 ERA ? the Over results are bubbling to the top. Tonight?s total is set at nine runs.

 

[Cnotes53]

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 17
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

NYM at PHI 01:05 PM
NYM +105
O 9.0

STL at MIL 01:40 PM
STL +131
O 9.5

KC at CHW 02:10 PM
U 8.5

CIN at LAD 03:10 PM
CIN +150
U 8.0

BOS at NYY 06:35 PM
BOS +111
O 9.0

PIT at DET 06:40 PM
O 8.5

CLE at SEA 06:40 PM
CLE -128
O 7.5

SF at WAS 07:05 PM
SF +121
U 8.5

CHC at MIA 07:10 PM
U 8.0

BAL at TB 07:10 PM
U 8.5

ARI at ATL 07:20 PM
ARI +149
U 9.0

TOR at MIN 07:40 PM
U 8.5

LAA at TEX 08:05 PM
U 10.5

HOU at OAK 10:07 PM
HOU +101
O 9.0

 

[Cnotes53]

Diamond Trends - Wednesday
April 17, 2019
By Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Rangers are 15-0 SU in the second game of a home series when they are off a game as a dog and their opponent's starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than two on the season.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Angels are 0-13 SU in the last game of a road series vs a team that has a better record.

Batter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Cardinals are 11-0 OU on the road when their line is within 20 cents of pickem off a road game in which Matt Carpenter was hitless in at least three at bats, going over by an average of 3.59 runs per game.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Indians are 12-0 OU when Carlos Carrasco starts as a favorite and their opponent is on a three-plus game losing streak, going over by an average of 3.04 runs per game.

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB MARCH/APRIL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

04/17/2019 9-13-0 40.91% -20.00
04/16/2019 12-11-0 52.17% +4.90
04/15/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
04/14/2019 8-16-0 33.33% -45.95
04/13/2019 11-10-2 52.38% +1.40
04/12/2019 13-8-0 61.90% +22.65
04/11/2019 8-7-1 53.33% +5.70
04/10/2019 11-9-1 55.00% +13.45
04/09/2019 14-9-1 60.87% +18.15
04/08/2019 5-4-0 55.56% +2.75
04/07/2019 13-17-0 43.33% -24.70
04/06/2019 8-17-1 32.00% -51.35
04/05/2019 10-9-1 52.63% +2.50
04/04/2019 3-12-0 20.00% -51.10
04/03/2019 13-12-0 52.00% -4.70
04/02/2019 11-9-0 55.00% +4.35
04/01/2019 8-7-2 53.33% +10.50
03/31/2019 12-12-0 50.00% +0.60
03/30/2019 14-10-0 58.33% +24.90
03/29/2019 8-6-1 57.14% +4.05
03/28/2019 11-16-0 40.74% -33.45

Totals............208-216-8 49.05% -29.85


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BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

04/17/2019.............2 - 5...................-11.00...................6 - 8..............-14.00.................-25.00
04/16/2019.............2 - 4....................-6.60....................8 - 7..............+1.50..................-5.10
04/15/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50....................0 - 1...............-5.50..................-11.00
04/14/2019.............1 - 6....................-23.35..................5 - 7...............-13.50.................-36.85
04/13/2019.............2 - 1....................+22.30.................4 - 6...............-13.00.................+9.30
04/12/2019.............1 - 4.....................-13.40.................8 - 3...............+28.50................+15.10
04/11/2019.............4 - 2.....................+13.20................4 - 5...............-7.50...................+5.70
04/10/2019.............3 - 2.....................+11.60................6 - 6................-3.00..................+8.60
04/09/2019.............3 - 2.....................+8.10..................7 - 6...............+2.00.................+10.10
04/08/2019.............1 - 1....................+0.15...................3 - 2...............+4.00.................+4.15
04/07/2019.............4 - 4....................-2.00....................5 - 9...............-18.50.................-20.50
04/06/2019.............3 - 4....................+0.20...................2 - 11..............-50.50................-50.30
04/05/2019.............1 - 3.....................-9.50....................4 - 6...............-13.00................-22.50
04/04/2019.............0 - 4.....................-20.00..................3 - 5................-12.50...............-32.50
04/03/2019.............2 - 4......................-7.55...................8 - 5...............+12.50...............+4.95
04/02/2019.............1 - 2......................-1.65...................8 - 4...............+18.00...............+16.35
04/01/2019.............4 - 2......................+11.00................4 - 5................-7.50.................+3.50
03/31/2019.............5 - 7......................-6.90...................7 - 5................+7.50................+0.60
03/30/2019.............4 - 1.....................+29.90.................7 - 6................+2.00................+31.90
03/29/2019.............0 - 2.....................-10.00..................6 - 1................+24.50..............+14.50
03/28/2019.............1 - 4.....................-13.40..................4 - 8.................-24.00...............-37.40


Totals....................44 - 65....................-34.40...............109 - 116...........-82.00................116.40

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday?s 6-pack

? Rays 8, Orioles 1? Tampa Bay has won 14 of its first 18 games.

? Cubs 6, Marlins 0? Miami is 4-15 and sinking fast.

? Indians 1, Mariners 0? Seattle started season 13-2, has now lost six in a row.

? A?s 2, Astros 1? Oakland beats its division rival for first time in five tries.

? Royals 4, White Sox 3 (10)? Tim Anderson homered, tossed his bat, then got drilled his next time up and the benches emptied. Go figure.

? Pacers (+7.5) were up 2 with 0:51 left in Boston, and not only lost?.they didn?t cover the spread, losing 99-91.

Quote of the Day
?There?s the media. I meet the media twice each day ? before batting practice, and then after the game. I think it?s gone well so far. I really like the group of media members in Baltimore. I also feel like I?m getting better at it. It?s something I?ve never really had any experience with. People ask me if there?s anything I didn?t realize I was getting myself into, and it?s that I?m talking a lot more than I ever have. To the media. To players. To coaches. To a lot of people. You talk a lot as a manager.?
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde

Thursday?s quiz
Miami Marlins have won two World Series; how many times have they won the NL East?

Wednesday?s quiz
When Gerald Ford became President in 1974, Nelson Rockefeller was his Vice President.

Tuesday?s quiz
Terry Francona has managed the Phillies, Red Sox and Indians.

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Week 1 NFL spreads
Packers @ Bears (-3.5, 46)
Falcons @ Vikings (-4.5, 47.5)
Redskins @ Eagles (-8, 46.5)
Bills @ Jets (-3.5, 38.5)
Ravens (-3.5, 37) @ Dolphins
49ers @ Buccaneers (-2.5, 49)
Chiefs (-5.5, 52.5) @ Jaguars
Titans @ Browns (-5, 45)
Rams (-2.5, 51) @ Panthers
Lions @ Cardinals (even, 49)
Bengals @ Seahawks (-7.5, 43.5)
Colts @ Chargers (-3.5, 48)
Giants @ Cowboys (-7.5, 46.5)
Steelers @ Patriots (-6, 51.5)
Texans @ Saints (-7.5, 53.5)
Broncos @ Raiders (-2.5, 43)

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Thursday?s List of 13: Quick comments on the 2019 NFL schedule

13) 100th season of the NFL starts with league?s oldest rivals (Packers/Bears) opening the season with a Thursday night game in Chicago September 5.

12) Monday night doubleheader in Week 1: Texans @ Saints, Broncos @ Raiders.

11) Cleveland Browns have four primetime games:
? Week 2, at Jets (Monday night)
? Week 3, Rams (Sunday night)
? Week 5, at 49ers (Monday night)
? Week 11, Steelers (Thursday night)

10) Reunion games:
? Bears @ Raiders, Week 5 (Khalil Mack against his old team)
? Redskins @ Vikings, Week 8 (Kirk Cousins against his old team)

9) Teams that open with two straight home games:
Panthers-Dolphins-Jets-Raiders

Teams that open with two straight road games:
Bills-Colts-Chiefs-49ers

8) Teams that finish with two straight home games:
Broncos-Vikings-Patriots-Seahawks-Buccaneers.
Teams that finish with two straight road games:
Cardinals-Packers-Saints-Raiders-Steelers.

7) Thanksgiving Day games:
Bears-Lions, Bills-Cowboys, Saints-Falcons

6) Pittsburgh plays five of its last seven games on road; they play Cleveland twice in three weeks, in Weeks 11, 13.

5) Teams with three straight weeks on road:
? Eagles, Week 6-8. This appears to be the only one in the whole league. Am guessing Philly brass won?t be happy with this.

4) Miami plays one road game in the first six weeks; they have four home games and a bye, with only road game in in Week 3 at Dallas.

3) Divisional games in Week 1:
Packers-Bears, Bills-Jets, Giants-Cowboys, Broncos-Raiders, Redskins-Eagles

2) Earliest byes: Jets, 49ers in Week 4.
Latest byes: Cardinals, Chiefs, Chargers, Vikings in Week 12.

1) No Thursday night game in Week 16-17.

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday?s games

National League

Diamondbacks (9-9) @ Braves (9-8)
Weaver is 0-1, 5.63 in his three starts; he allowed eight runs in 4.2 IP in his only start vs Atlanta. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 2-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-3 Over/under: 3-0

Soroka was 2-1, 3.51 in his first five MLB starts LY. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Diamondbacks won four of their last five road games (over 13-5). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven.

Atlanta lost four of its last six games; five of their last eight games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2-1 last nine

Giants (8-11) @ Nationals (8-8)
Pomeranz is 0-1, 3.86 in three starts; he is 2-0, 2.19 in two starts vs Washington. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 0-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 0-3

Corbin is 0-0, 2.84 in three starts; he is 8-8, 3.04 in 25 games (23 starts) vs SF. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 3-0

Giants won four of last six games, are 3-6 on road. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2-1 in last seven

Washington is 7-5 in its last 12 games; they?re 4-6 at home. Over is 10-5 in their last 15 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 5-4-1 at home

Dodgers (12-8) @ Brewers (12-7)
Urias is 0-1, 5.93 in three starts. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

Davies is 2-0, 2.55 in three starts; he is 3-1, 2.30 in five starts vs LA. Team in his starts: 3-0
5-inning record: 3-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 0-3

Dodgers won their last four games; their last five games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-1 in last seven

Milwaukee won four of last six games; they?re 7-3 at home. Over is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 10-2 in last 12

Reds (5-12) @ Padres (11-8)
Roark is 0-0, 4.30 in three starts; he is 3-1, 2.90 in five games (4 starts) vs San Diego. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-3 Over/under: 1-2

Paddack is 0-0, 1.93 in three starts. Team in his starts: 3-0
5-inning record: 0-1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 1-2

Cincinnati lost its last four games (under 13-4). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-5-1 in last 14.

San Diego lost its last three games; under is 7-2 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-1 in last four.


American League

White Sox (7-10) @ Tigers (8-9)
Nova is 0-1, 1.38 in two road starts; he is 0-3, 5.36 in eight games (7 starts) vs Detroit. Team in his starts: 0-3
5-inning record: 0-1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

Ross is 1-2, 4.00 in three starts; he is 3-0, 3.51 in five games (4 starts) vs Chicago. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 0-3

Chicago won three of its last four games (under 5-1 in last six). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 10-2-1 last 13

Detroit lost its last five games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-1 in last four

Blue Jays (7-12) @ Twins (9-6)
Buchholz allowed one run in six IP in his first ?19 start; he is 4-2, 3.76 in 13 games (10 starts) vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

Pineda is 2-0, 3.00 in three starts; he is 2-4, 3.98 in 13 starts vs Toronto. Team in his starts: 3-0
5-inning record: 3-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 1-1-1

Blue Jays lost 11 of their last 16 games; five of their last eight games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 12-6-1

Minnesota split its last eight games; six of their last nine games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-3-1 last 13.

Royals (6-12) @ New York (8-9)
Bailey is 1-1, 5.29 in three starts. he is 1-1, 5.84 in two starts vs NY. Team in his starts: 1-2
5-inning record: 2-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 2-1

German is 2-0, 2.45 in two starts. Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 1-1

Rpyals won four of their last six games; their last four road games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-3-1 last ten.

New York won three of last four games (under 8-2-1 at home). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1 last four

Orioles (7-12) @ Tampa Bay (14-4)
Cashner is 3-0, 3.86 in his last three starts; he is 2-1, 4.13 in four starts vs Tampa Bay. Team in his starts: 3-1
5-inning record: 2-1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-4 Over/under: 2-1-1

Bullpen game for Tampa Bay. Team in bullpen games: 2-1
5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning:0-3 Over/under: 2-1

Orioles lost 11 of their last 14 games; nine of their last 13 games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 9-8-2

Tampa Bay won eight of its last nine games; under is 9-0 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2 in last seven.

Mariners (13-8) @ Angels (8-10)
Hernandez is 1-1, 5.84 in three starts; he is 5-7, 3.30 in 27 starts in Anaheim. Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

Pena is 0-1, 4.38 in three starts (12.1 IP). Team in his starts: 2-1
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 0-3

Seattle lost its last six games after a 13-2 start; over is 12-5-1 in their last 18 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 12-8

Angels lost four of last five games; they?re 6-1 at home. Under is 6-4-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 8-2 in last ten.

__________________________________

Today?s Tip
At some point I?ll start posting baseball picks.

2019 bankroll: plus 10 bennetts
Pending future bets:
? Matt Olson under 32.5 home runs
? Joey Lucchesi, over 8.5 wins
? Cincinnati Reds, under 79.5 wins
? Los Angeles Angels, under 83.5 wins
? Houston Astros (6-1) to win World Series
__________________________________

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 4/17
Ariz 2-8??2-9???4
Atl 1-5??6-11???7
Cubs 2-11??1-5???3
Reds 1-8??1-8???..2
Colo 1-13??0-5??..1
LA 1-6??8-12???9
Mia 1-7??2-12??..3
Milw 2-9??.5-9??..7
Mets 3-12??0-5??..3
Philly 1-5??.3-11??..4
Pitt 3-9??.3-6??.6
StL 3-10??.2-7??..5
SD 4-10??.1-9??.5
SF 0-8??.0-10?..0
Wash 2-6??.3-9??..5

Orioles 4-11??.4-7???8
Boston 2-12?..1-6???.3
W Sox 2-8??.1-8???.3
Clev 4-11??.3-6??..7
Det 0-8??.3-9???3
Astros 4-11??.2-6??..6
KC 2-5??.6-12??.8
Angels 1-10??1-6???2
Twins 1-7??1-7???..2
NYY 3-6??3-10???.6
A?s 3-11??.1-9??..4
Sea 4-9??.5-11???9
TB 7-9??.3-8???10
Texas 1-5??.4-10???5
Toronto 0-8??.2-10??2

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL? 7-3 AL, favorites -$390 under 5-4-1
AL @ NL? 5-4 NL, favorites -$167 over 5-4
Total: 11-8 AL, favorites -$ 557 Under 9-9-1

 

[Cnotes53]

LEADING OFF: Braves need a closer, Royals-Chisox tempers
April 17, 2019
By The Associated Press

A look at what's happening around the majors Thursday:

CLOSER NEEDED

The Braves have a big hole in their bullpen now that closer Arodys Vizcaino will miss the rest of the season after having right shoulder surgery. General manager Alex Anthopoulos has heard fans chanting at SunTrust Park for the team to sign free agent closer Craig Kimbrel and bring him back to Atlanta, and he indicated the Braves are exploring all available options.

''There's been a ton of turnover from the beginning of camp to where we are today,'' Anthopoulos said. ''I think it goes without saying we're going to look to do what we can both internally and externally.''

The NL East champion Braves have recently used A.J. Minter as their closer, but he's struggled.

DISCIPLINE DAY?

Major League Baseball will certainly review at the bench-clearing fray that erupted after Kansas City's Brad Keller drilled Tim Anderson with a fastball on Wednesday. In his previous at-bat, the energetic White Sox shortstop had spiked his bat to celebrate a home run.

Anderson, the AL's leading hitter, was ejected along with Keller, Chicago manager Rick Renteria and Royals bench coach Dale Sveum.

Anderson has often talked about encouraging players to express themselves, something MLB has tried to embrace with its ''Let the Kids Play'' marketing campaign. But not everybody in the game sees such exuberance the same way.

AILING

The Red Sox will see how second baseman Dustin Pedroia is feeling, a day after an early exit at Yankee Stadium because of discomfort in his left knee. The 35-year-old former AL MVP was pulled in the second inning.

Pedroia was activated April 9 and is 2 for 20 at the plate. He has been slowed since a slide into his surgically repaired left knee at second base by Baltimore's Manny Machado in April 2017.

Pedroia had left knee surgery in October 2017 and was limited to three games in the majors last year.

WELCOME BACK

The Dodgers return to Milwaukee for the first time since Game 7 of last year's NL Championship Series, when they sank the Brewers to earn a second straight pennant.

Julio Urias got one out for Los Angeles as a reliever in that game, and he'll start the opener of this four-game series. He also faced Milwaukee last Friday and allowed six runs in five innings. Brewers righty Zach Davies makes his second straight start against the Dodgers. He pitched seven innings of one-run ball in a win last Saturday.

 

[Cnotes53]

Weekend Watch
Joe Williams

Thursday, April 18

The Giants and Nationals have a battle of left-handed pitchers for the matinee game from the nation's capital. San Francisco has won just three of their past 11 on the road against left-handed starting pitchers, and they're 1-6 in the past seven against NL East opponents. In addition, San Francisco is just 7-22 in the past 29 games away from home. The Nationals are 1-5 in the past six vs. LHP, although they're 4-1 in the past five against teams with a losing overall record. The 'over' has connected in five of the past six meetings overall, and the over is 4-1-1 in the past six meetings at Nationals Park.

The Reds have dropped four in a row against NL West opponents, and they're 0-5 in the past five road games against a team with a losing home mark. Cincinnati is also 10-28 in the past 38 contests against teams with a winning overall mark. The Padres have won just once in the past five at home, and they're 0-4 in the past four at home vs. RHP. The under is 22-6 in the past 28 road games, and 18-5 in their past 23 away from home against winning teams. The under is 7-3 in San Diego's past 10 home games, too. However, the over is 10-1 in the past 11 meetings, and 4-1-1 in the past six meetings at Petco Park. Weather Report The wins will be blowing in at a 14-17 mph clip from right field to home plate, and there is a 35 percent chance of rain or greater fort he White Sox-Tigers game all throughout the early-evening hours. A postponement here wouldn't be a surprise. For the Jays-Twins in Minneapolis, the wind will blow out to right field at 10-13 mph. In Denver, wind will also be an issue, but it's blowing in from left-center field at 11-14 mph in the early to middle innings, tapering off to 8-11 mph by the final third of the game.

Friday, April 19

Madison Bumgarner takes the ball on Friday for the series opener against the Pirates in the Steel City. San Francisco is just 1-5 in the past six starts by MadBum, and 0-4 in his past four assignments against NL Central opponents. In addition, they're just 9-23 in his past 32 starts away from home. The Pirates have won four in a row at home, and four of the past five overall. In addition, the Bucs have won 15 of the past 20 games against teams with a losing overall mark. San Francisco has won seven of their past nine trips to Pittsburgh, too.

Justin Verlander makes the start on the road against the Texas Rangers against Drew Smyly in a matchup which looks ultra-favorable on paper. The 'Stros have won seven in a row against teams with a winning overall mark, and they're 4-0 in the past four after an odd day. In addition, Houston has won 21 of the past 29 against AL West foes, and 20 of their past 28 vs. LHP. Houston has also won 20 of Verlander's past 24 starts on the road, and 16 of his past 22 against divisional opponents. The Rangers have won four in a row at home, and they're 5-1 in the past six at Globe Life Park vs. RHP. Houston has also won 18 of their past 23 trips to Arlington, while the under has hit in four of the past five meetings in Texas. Weather Report The Diamondbacks and Cubs will square off in an afternoon battle at Wrigley, and the wind will be blowing in briskly from left field into the face of the batters at a whopping 24-27 mph. That will help 'under' bettors immensely. There is a 30 percent chance of precipitation in Baltimore for the Twins-O's matchup. If the game does get underway, the winds will be blowing out at 17-20 mph to left-center field.

In Pittsburgh, a delay is likely, as the weather forecast calls for a 50 percent or greater chance of rain through 10 p.m., lowering to 30 percent. The Giants and Bucs might have trouble getting underway. There is a 30-40 percent chance of rain for Royals-Yankees, too. If they are able to play, the winds will blow 17-20 mph from right to left. The White Sox-Tigers will deal with 40 or more percent chance of rain, and winds 19-22 mph blowing out to right field. For the Braves-Indians, they'll also faced a steady rain, and it sounds unlikely they'll get the interleague series opener in. In Texas, the Astros and Rangers will deal with winds of 10-13 mph blowing out to the right-center field power alley. Lastly, the Mets and Cardinals will also deal with breezy conditions, blowing 15-18 mph from left field to first base.

Saturday, April 20

Matt Shoemaker will take the ball for the Blue Jays, and he knows the Athletics well from his days with the Angels. He is 4-1 with a 3.79 ERA across eight starts against the A's since the start of the 2016 season, and they're hitting just .258 against him. Shoemaker is 2-1 with a 3.91 ERA in five outings at Overstock.com Coliseum, and the A's are hitting just .217 against him there with 24 strikeouts over 25 1/3 innings. If anyone gives him trouble, it would be who you expect. 1B/DH Khris Davis is 6-for-15 (.400) with two doubles and two solo homers, while OF Stephen Piscotty has two homers and seven RBI vs. Shoemaker in just nine at-bats.

The Rays will take their hacks against Red Sox SP Rick Porcello, who enters 0-3 with an 11.12 ERA and 3.00 WHIP. The struggles could continue, as Tampa Bay's current roster is a collective .287 with five doubles, a triple, two homers and 13 RBI across 150 at-bats. However, since the start of the 2016 season he is 9-6 with a 3.71 ERA with 106 strikeouts over 106 2/3 innings across 17 starts vs. Tampa Bay. That includes a 5-3 mark, 2.93 ERA and 56 strikeouts over 55 1/3 innings in nine starts at Tropicana Field.

Gerrit Cole and the Astros will look to take care of the Rangers in Arlington. You know Houston's dominance vs. Texas, but he is just 1-2 overall this season despite a 3.24 ERA, 36 strikeouts and a 0.92 WHIP. Since joining the Astros he is 2-0 with a 2.88 ERA in four starts vs. the Rangers, and they're hitting just .180 against him with nine walks and 40 strikeouts across 25 innings.

Sunday, April 21

Collin McHugh will face the Rangers in the series finale. He is humming along with a 3-1 record, 1.96 ERA and 0.83 WHIP with 27 strikeouts over 23 innings in four starts. Since the start of the 2016 season he is 2-1 with a 3.62 ERA with 26 strikeouts and just three homers over 27 1/3 innings in four starts and six relief appearances against Texas. He is also 2-1 in three starts and three relief appearances at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, but he has a dismal 5.12 ERA in those appearances. If anyone gives him trouble, it might be Elvis Andrus and Rougned Odor. Andrus is 7-for-22 (.318) against him overall, while Odor is 7-for-23 (.304) with a double, a home run and five RBI.

In a replay of the 1995 World Series, the Cleveland Indians host the Atlanta Braves at Progressive Field on Sunday Night Baseball. RHP Shane Bieber will make the start, and he has impressed to date for a team already with an embarrassment of riches in the pitching department. Bieber is 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA and 0.81 WHIP over his three starts and four appearances across 21 innings with 22 strikeouts. He enters play with three consecutive quality starts. Max Fried is also on a similar roll, posting three straight quality starts heading into play, posting a 2-0 record, 0.92 ERA and 0.86 WHIP with 12 strikeouts and just four walks over 19 2/3 innings. While the Braves entered the series 5-1 in the past six interleague games, the under is 4-1 in their past five interleague road outings vs. RHP. The under is 5-1 in Cleveland's past six interleague home games against teams with a winning record entering the series, too. The under was also 9-2-1 in the previous 12 meetings between Atlanta and Cleveland heading into Friday's series opener.

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (8 - 9) at ATLANTA (9 - 7) - 12:10 PM
LUKE WEAVER (R) vs. TOUKI TOUSSAINT (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

LUKE WEAVER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
WEAVER is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 15.42 and a WHIP of 2.570.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

TOUKI TOUSSAINT vs. ARIZONA since 1997
TOUSSAINT is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.235.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (8 - 10) at WASHINGTON (7 - 8) - 1:05 PM
DREW POMERANZ (L) vs. PAT CORBIN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 60-110 (-35.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-71 (-28.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
POMERANZ is 24-35 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 89-88 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-30 (-17.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-46 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-13 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 0-5 (-7.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
WASHINGTON is 18-22 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-29 (-22.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 36-33 (-13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-0 (+1.7 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

DREW POMERANZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
POMERANZ is 2-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 0.811.
His team's record is 2-0 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

PAT CORBIN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CORBIN is 8-8 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.108.
His team's record is 11-12 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 11-12. (-2.7 units)

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LA DODGERS (11 - 8) at MILWAUKEE (12 - 6) - 8:10 PM
JULIO URIAS (L) vs. ZACH DAVIES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 111-87 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 33-33 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 77-67 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 114-77 (+32.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 62-34 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 78-43 (+33.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 54-38 (+20.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+1.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

JULIO URIAS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
URIAS is 1-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.94 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

ZACH DAVIES vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
DAVIES is 3-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.30 and a WHIP of 0.989.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (10 - 6) at COLORADO (6 - 12) - 8:40 PM
ZACH EFLIN (R) vs. KYLE FREELAND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-43 (-20.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-52 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 70-54 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 58-39 (+22.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 57-49 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FREELAND is 25-13 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FREELAND is 16-8 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FREELAND is 17-5 (+14.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 5-12 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ZACH EFLIN vs. COLORADO since 1997
EFLIN is 1-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 9.20 and a WHIP of 1.977.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

KYLE FREELAND vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
FREELAND is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 3.030.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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CINCINNATI (5 - 11) at SAN DIEGO (11 - 8) - 10:10 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. CHRIS PADDACK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 11-30 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 50-79 (-23.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 34-54 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 21-43 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 21-37 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 19-33 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TANNER ROARK vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
ROARK is 3-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 0.786.
His team's record is 3-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

CHRIS PADDACK vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHI WHITE SOX (7 - 9) at DETROIT (8 - 8) - 1:10 PM
IVAN NOVA (R) vs. TYSON ROSS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

IVAN NOVA vs. DETROIT since 1997
NOVA is 0-4 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.77 and a WHIP of 1.649.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.7 units)

TYSON ROSS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
ROSS is 2-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.545.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (7 - 11) at MINNESOTA (8 - 6) - 1:10 PM
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. MICHAEL PINEDA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BUCHHOLZ is 16-26 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in April games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 105-127 (-41.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-0 (+2.7 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 4-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.328.
His team's record is 6-4 (-0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.7 units)

MICHAEL PINEDA vs. TORONTO since 1997
PINEDA is 2-4 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.339.
His team's record is 4-9 (-6.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-9. (-6.1 units)

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KANSAS CITY (5 - 12) at NY YANKEES (7 - 9) - 6:35 PM
HOMER BAILEY (R) vs. DOMINGO GERMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 10-30 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
BAILEY is 2-21 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BAILEY is 1-12 (-11.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BAILEY is 7-18 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday since 1997. (Team's Record)
BAILEY is 2-14 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 94-69 (-30.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

HOMER BAILEY vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BAILEY is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.84 and a WHIP of 1.541.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

DOMINGO GERMAN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

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BALTIMORE (7 - 11) at TAMPA BAY (13 - 4) - 7:10 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. RYAN YARBROUGH (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

ANDREW CASHNER vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
CASHNER is 2-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.458.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

RYAN YARBROUGH vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

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SEATTLE (13 - 7) at LA ANGELS (8 - 9) - 10:07 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. CHRIS STRATTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 33-19 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
STRATTON is 15-4 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRATTON is 11-3 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRATTON is 10-1 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRATTON is 10-4 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 13-7 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 50-38 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 35-25 (+14.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-7 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games in April games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 72-50 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 70-55 (+13.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 17-18 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.56 and a WHIP of 1.188.
His team's record is 25-29 (-8.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 28-20. (+5.4 units)

CHRIS STRATTON vs. SEATTLE since 1997
STRATTON is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 8.31 and a WHIP of 2.079.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB

Thursday, April 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Arizona is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Atlanta is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games
San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Francisco is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Francisco's last 21 games when playing Washington
San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of San Francisco's last 15 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Nationals
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Washington's last 22 games
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Washington's last 21 games when playing San Francisco
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 15 games when playing at home against San Francisco

Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Chi White Sox is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Chi White Sox is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Chi White Sox is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Chi White Sox is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Chi White Sox is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Detroit's last 17 games
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
Minnesota is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 12 games when playing at home against Toronto

Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games at home
NY Yankees is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
NY Yankees is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games
Baltimore is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Baltimore's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games on the road
Baltimore is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
LA Dodgers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
LA Dodgers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home
Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Philadelphia is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games
Philadelphia is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games on the road
Philadelphia is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Colorado
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
Colorado is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games
Colorado is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games
Seattle is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Seattle is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road
Seattle is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Angels
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Angels
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
LA Angels is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Angels's last 11 games
LA Angels is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Angels is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games at home
LA Angels is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
LA Angels is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
LA Angels is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
LA Angels is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Cincinnati is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cincinnati's last 18 games on the road
Cincinnati is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
Cincinnati is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 11 games when playing San Diego
Cincinnati is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Cincinnati is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego Padres
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 10 games at home
San Diego is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Diego's last 11 games when playing Cincinnati
San Diego is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
San Diego is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, April 18


Arizona @ Atlanta

Game 951-952
April 18, 2019 @ 12:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Weaver) 15.938
Atlanta
(Soroka) 14.369
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+115); Under

San Francisco @ Washington

Game 953-954
April 18, 2019 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Pmeranz) 14.870
Washington
(Corbin) 15.715
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-200
8
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-200); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit

Game 961-962
April 18, 2019 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Nova) 14.261
Detroit
(Ross) 15.093
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-125
8
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-125); Over

Toronto @ Minnesota

Game 963-964
April 18, 2019 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Buchholz) 14.855
Minnesota
(Pineda) 16.559
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-175
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-175); Under

Kansas City @ NY Yankees

Game 965-966
April 18, 2019 @ 6:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Bailey) 15.957
NY Yankees
(German) 14.831
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-210
9
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+180); Over

Baltimore @ Tampa Bay

Game 967-968
April 18, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Cashner) 13.720
Tampa Bay
(Wood) 17.200
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-240
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-240); Over

LA Dodgers @ Milwaukee

Game 955-956
April 18, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 16.421
Milwaukee
(Davies) 15.594
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-120); Under

Philadelphia @ Colorado

Game 957-958
April 18, 2019 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Eflin) 15.298
Colorado
(Freeland) 16.522
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-115
11
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-105); Over

Seattle @ LA Angels

Game 969-970
April 18, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Hernandez) 16.291
LA Angels
(Stratton) 14.758
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+100); Under

Cincinnati @ San Diego

Game 959-960
April 18, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Roark) 15.420
San Diego
(Paddack) 13.467
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+140); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

By: Andrew Caley



The Under is 26-6 in Kyle Freeland's 32 career starts at Coors Field. The total for today's game against the visiting Phillies is 11.


STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS

STREAKING

Zach Davies, Milwaukee Brewers (2-0, 1.53 ERA, $330): If there is a weak spot on this Brewers team, most would say it?s the starting rotation, but Davies is doing his best to prove otherwise.

The veteran right-hander has been red-hot to start the season, allowing just three earned runs in his first three starts, with a WIHP of 1.30. He?ll look to keep it rolling tonight against the Dodgers, the last team he faced, where he pitched 7 innings, allowing just one run on eight hits. The Brewers are slight -105 home dogs with a total of 9.5.

SLUMPING

Chris Stratton, Los Angeles Angels (0-1, 5.54 ERA, $178): Stratton?s first season with the Angels hasn?t gotten off on the right foot, despite the fact L.A. has won his last two starts. Stratton has battled his control all season walking 10 batters and with a WHIP of 2.00 his ERA could be worse. That has resulted in short outing as he hasn?t pitched five innings this season.

Stratton will try to bounce back when he and the Angels host the suddenly slumping Mariners Thursday night in L.A. The Haloes are currently -120 home favorites with a total of 9.5.


3 STRIKES

RAYS EARLY RISERS

We mentioned this yesterday, but the Tampa Bay Rays have produced early action in the bulk of their games to start the 2019 MLB season. Tampa Bay has scored or allowed at least one first-inning run in 14 of its first 18 games so far. The Rays have been the first to strike on the scoreboard in 11 of those contests, including plating three first inning runs in yesterday's 8-1 win over the Orioles. While opponents have had success plating a run in the opening frame in four games. Baseball bettors should take a look at first-inning props and totals for today's series finale with the O's.

 

[Cnotes53]

Diamond Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Rays are 16-0 SU at home after a game in which they hit at least one home run and it is before the All-Star break.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Royals are 0-20 SU as a road 170+ dog off a road game in which they scored in more innings than their opponent.

Batter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Yankees are 8-0 SU at home off a home game in which Aaron Judge was hitless in at least four at bats, winning by an average of 5.50 runs per game. The Yankees got to double-digit runs in each of their last three in this spot.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Rockies are 7-0 SU in franchise history as a DOG with Kyle Freeland when they scored less than three runs in his last start and lost.

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, APRIL 18
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SF at WAS 01:05 PM
WAS -190
O 7.5

CHW at DET 01:10 PM
U 9.0

TOR at MIN 01:10 PM
MIN -166
U 8.0

KC at NYY 06:35 PM
KC +182
O 9.0

BAL at TB 07:10 PM
BAL +223
O 8.5

LAD at MIL 08:10 PM
MIL -101
U 9.5

PHI at COL 08:40 PM
COL +104
U 11.0

SEA at LAA 10:07 PM
SEA +111
O 9.5

CIN at SD 10:10 PM
U 7.0

 

[Cnotes53]

Corbin takes 1-hitter into 8th, Nationals beat Giants 4-2
April 18, 2019
By The Associated Press

WASHINGTON (AP) Patrick Corbin took a one-hitter into the eighth inning in his first victory with Washington, Wilmer Difo homered and the Nationals beat the punchless San Francisco Giants 4-2 on Thursday.

Signed to a $140 million, six-year contract in December after pitching for six seasons in Arizona, Corbin started three games without a decision with his new team before throwing a gem in the deciding matchup of a three-game series.

Corbin (1-0) struck out nine, walked one and a hit a batter over 7 2/3 innings against a struggling San Francisco offense that came in with a .208 average. The lone hits against the lefty were Evan Longoria's fifth-inning double and Erik Kratz's two-out RBI double in the eighth.

After Kratz broke up the shutout, Kyle Barraclough entered and retired pinch-hitter Buster Posey. Sean Doolittle worked the ninth, giving up three hits and a run while earning his second save.

San Francisco starter Drew Pomeranz (0-2) gave up four runs and six hits in 4 2/3 innings.

After the Giants went down in order to start the game, Ryan Zimmerman hit a two-out RBI double in the bottom half for a 1-0 lead. In the third, Anthony Rendon extended his career-best hitting streak to 16 games with a two-out double and scored on a double by Juan Soto. Difo hit a solo shot in the fourth, and Pomeranz was lifted after issuing a bases-loaded walk in the fifth.

DIAMONDBACKS 4, BRAVES 1

ATLANTA (AP) - Christian Walker continued his remarkable late-innings production with a two-run homer in the seventh, Luke Weaver got Arizona off to a good start and the Diamondbacks beat Atlanta to complete a three-game sweep.

Walker lined the opposite-field homer to right-center off Chad Sobotka (0-1) following a single by Adam Jones. It was Walker's sixth homer - all in the seventh inning or later. He added a double in the ninth.

Weaver (1-1) struck out nine in five scoreless innings, fanning the last five batters he faced. He allowed four hits.

The Diamondbacks have won four straight, including their first sweep of the Braves since 2016.

Arizona led 4-0 before Freddie Freeman led off the eighth with a homer against Matt Andriese.

Yoshihisa Hirano, who earned the win in the opening game of the series, gave up a one-out single to Ender Inciarte in the ninth. Hirano struck out pinch-hitter Josh Donaldson and ended the game on Ozzie Albies' flyball for his first save.

BLUE JAYS 7, TWINS 4

MINNEAPOLIS (AP) - Randal Grichuk, Justin Smoak and Teoscar Hernandez homered to help Toronto beat Minnesota.

Eric Sogard added a three-run double for the Blue Jays. They took three of four at Target Field.

Eddie Rosario homered twice for the Twins.

Blue Jays relievers Thomas Pannone, Ryan Tepera, Tim Mayza and Joe Biagini (1-1) combined to allow one run in 3 1-3 innings. Ken Giles earned his sixth save in seven chances with a scoreless ninth.

Michael Pineda (2-1) had his worst start of the season, allowing six earned runs and seven hits in 3 2-3 innings. He struck out one batter, threw a wild pitch and allowed two home runs to equal his combined total from his first three starts.

TIGERS 9, WHITE SOX 7

DETROIT (AP) - Nicholas Castellanos had three hits and drove in a pair of runs and Detroit beat Chicago to end a five-game losing streak.

Grayson Greiner had a career-high three hits and two RBIs for the Tigers. Miguel Cabrera, playing on his 36th birthday, also drove in a pair of runs to help Detroit set season highs for runs and hits (14).

With the score tied at 7, Greiner led off the eighth with a single and moved up when Carson Fulmer (0-1) hit both JaCoby Jones and Josh Harrison with pitches. Castellanos and Cabrera put the Tigers ahead with back-to-back sacrifice flies.

Drew VerHagen (1-0) picked up the win after recording the last out of the eighth inning. Shane Greene pitched the ninth for his ninth save in nine attempts.

ROYALS 6, YANKEES 1

NEW YORK (AP) - Homer Bailey won consecutive starts for the first time since July 2017, holding New York to three hits over six innings for Kansas City.

Jorge Soler and Ryan O'Hearn hit solo home runs off Domingo German (3-1), and the Royals won their second straight after starting the season 5-12, including 0-5 on the road.

Bailey (2-1) allowed a tying run to the Yankees on Gleyber Torres' first-inning sacrifice fly, then gave up just one more hit. Bailey, who struck out six and walked one, had not won back-to-back starts since July 4, 2017, at Colorado and five days later at Arizona.

Richard Lovelady got five outs, and former Yankee Ian Kennedy finished. New York was limited to four singles, including a pair by Clint Frazier in the fourth and ninth innings.

DODGERS 3, BREWERS 1

MILWAUKEE (AP) - Cody Bellinger hit his 10th home run, Max Muncy hit a two-run shot, and Julio Urias struck out a career-high nine and allowed one hit in six strong innings as Los Angeles extended its winning streak to five games with a win over Milwaukee.

Bellinger drove a 3-2 pitch from reliever Matt Albers (1-1) into the Dodgers' bullpen in right center in the sixth inning. Muncy followed with a homer that landed in the netting above the Brewers' bullpen in left.

That was all the offense Urias (1-1) needed.

Kenley Jansen pitched the ninth for his sixth save, despite Christian Yelich hitting his 10th home run.

Milwaukee starter Zach Davies allowed three hits over five innings, with three walks and two strikeouts.

ORIOLES 6, RAYS 5, 11 INNINGS

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. (AP) - Joey Rickard drove in the winning run in the 11th inning with an RBI double, his fourth hit of the game, to lift Baltimore over Tampa Bay.

Rickard doubled off Diego Castillo (0-1) after two-out singles by Chris Davis and Rio Ruiz kept the inning alive for Baltimore.

John Means (2-2) got the win with two innings of relief for the Orioles, who snapped a six-game losing streak against Tampa Bay. Trey Mancini had three hits and Pedro Severino homered for the Orioles.

Tommy Pham had four hits, included his third home run of the season for the Rays, but was picked off while trying to steal third base with the score tied in the ninth after Avisail Garcia homered off Mychal Givens.

The Rays lost for just the second time in their last 10 games.

ROCKIES 6, PHILLIES 2

DENVER (AP) - Ryan McMahon homered twice and had five RBIs in his return to the lineup and Kyle Freeland pitched six scoreless innings in Colorado's win over Philadelphia.

McMahon had the first multi-homer game of his career and helped the Rockies snap a five-game home losing streak. Colorado has won four in a row overall after dropping eight straight.

J.T. Realmuto hit his seventh homer, and Cesar Hernandez had three hits for Philadelphia.

McMahon had been out of the lineup since suffering a strained left elbow against the Los Angeles Dodgers on April 5. He missed 10 games, but came back strong to help Freeland get his eighth win in his last nine decisions at Coors Field.

Freeland (2-3) allowed just two hits and didn't walk a batter.

Tony Wolters had three hits and Nolan Arenado two for the Rockies.

REDS 4, PADRES 1

SAN DIEGO (AP) - Joey Votto hit his first career leadoff homer and Tucker Barnhart and Jesse Winker also connected as Cincinnati beat San Diego to snap a four-game losing streak.

Votto, 35 and in his 14th big league season, was batting leadoff for the third straight game and just the fourth time in his career. He drove rookie Chris Paddack's third pitch to right-center, his second.

Barnhart, batting ninth while starter Tanner Roark batted eighth, hit a two-run shot to right with two outs in the fifth. The homer was upheld after a video review. Winker homered off Phil Maton with one out in the ninth, his fifth.

Roark (1-0) earned his first win in his fourth start. He held the Padres to one run and four hits in 5 1/3 innings, struck out five and walked two. Raisel Iglesias struck out the side in the ninth for his third save.

Paddack (0-1) allowed three runs and three hits in six innings while striking out five and walking one in his fourth start.

MARINERS 11, ANGELS 10

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB MARCH/APRIL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

04/18/2019 10-6-0 62.50% +25.65
04/17/2019 9-13-0 40.91% -20.00
04/16/2019 12-11-0 52.17% +4.90
04/15/2019 2-2-0 50.00% -1.00
04/14/2019 8-16-0 33.33% -45.95
04/13/2019 11-10-2 52.38% +1.40
04/12/2019 13-8-0 61.90% +22.65
04/11/2019 8-7-1 53.33% +5.70
04/10/2019 11-9-1 55.00% +13.45
04/09/2019 14-9-1 60.87% +18.15
04/08/2019 5-4-0 55.56% +2.75
04/07/2019 13-17-0 43.33% -24.70
04/06/2019 8-17-1 32.00% -51.35
04/05/2019 10-9-1 52.63% +2.50
04/04/2019 3-12-0 20.00% -51.10
04/03/2019 13-12-0 52.00% -4.70
04/02/2019 11-9-0 55.00% +4.35
04/01/2019 8-7-2 53.33% +10.50
03/31/2019 12-12-0 50.00% +0.60
03/30/2019 14-10-0 58.33% +24.90
03/29/2019 8-6-1 57.14% +4.05
03/28/2019 11-16-0 40.74% -33.45

Totals............218-222-8 49.54% -4.20


*****************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

04/18/2019.............4 - 0...................+31.00..................5 - 3..............+8.50.................+39.50
04/17/2019.............2 - 5...................-11.00...................6 - 8..............-14.00.................-25.00
04/16/2019.............2 - 4....................-6.60....................8 - 7..............+1.50..................-5.10
04/15/2019.............0 - 1....................-5.50....................0 - 1...............-5.50..................-11.00
04/14/2019.............1 - 6....................-23.35..................5 - 7...............-13.50.................-36.85
04/13/2019.............2 - 1....................+22.30.................4 - 6...............-13.00.................+9.30
04/12/2019.............1 - 4.....................-13.40.................8 - 3...............+28.50................+15.10
04/11/2019.............4 - 2.....................+13.20................4 - 5...............-7.50...................+5.70
04/10/2019.............3 - 2.....................+11.60................6 - 6................-3.00..................+8.60
04/09/2019.............3 - 2.....................+8.10..................7 - 6...............+2.00.................+10.10
04/08/2019.............1 - 1....................+0.15...................3 - 2...............+4.00.................+4.15
04/07/2019.............4 - 4....................-2.00....................5 - 9...............-18.50.................-20.50
04/06/2019.............3 - 4....................+0.20...................2 - 11..............-50.50................-50.30
04/05/2019.............1 - 3.....................-9.50....................4 - 6...............-13.00................-22.50
04/04/2019.............0 - 4.....................-20.00..................3 - 5................-12.50...............-32.50
04/03/2019.............2 - 4......................-7.55...................8 - 5...............+12.50...............+4.95
04/02/2019.............1 - 2......................-1.65...................8 - 4...............+18.00...............+16.35
04/01/2019.............4 - 2......................+11.00................4 - 5................-7.50.................+3.50
03/31/2019.............5 - 7......................-6.90...................7 - 5................+7.50................+0.60
03/30/2019.............4 - 1.....................+29.90.................7 - 6................+2.00................+31.90
03/29/2019.............0 - 2.....................-10.00..................6 - 1................+24.50..............+14.50
03/28/2019.............1 - 4.....................-13.40..................4 - 8.................-24.00...............-37.40


Totals....................48 - 65....................-3.40...............114 - 119..............-73.50................76.90

 

[Cnotes53]

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

? Tampa Bay Rays have outscored opponents 22-3 in first inning.

? A?s signed DH Khris Davis to a 2-year, $33.5 contract extension.

? Kyle Freeland has made 33 career starts at Coors Field; under is 27-6.

? Mariners 11, Angels 10? Seattle blew a 10-2 lead, won in 9th inning.

? Golden St 132, Clippers 105? Warriors led 73-52 at halftime.

? St Louis 3, Winnipeg 2? Blues trailed 2-0 after second period.


**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here??

13) St John?s struggled with hiring a basketball coach; apparently there was an internal divide about who the school should go after. St John?s is located in Jamaica, Queens, which is part of New York City. You?d think it would be a prime job.

The basketball coach at Loyola-Chicago interviewed for the St John?s job, was offered an 8-year contract that doubled his salary, and turned it down. Not many people turn down $2M a year.

Loyola is in the Missouri Valley Conference, the 15th-rated league in America. Ramblers have been in the MVC for six years, going 27-9 the last two years, after going 27-45 in their first four years, when Wichita State was in the Valley and it was a tougher league (#10 league in 2017).

12) Porter Moser is the Loyola coach who turned St John?s down; he?s been a head coach for 15 years at three schools. Here is his breakdown:

2001-03, Ark-Little Rock: 48-34 overall, 25-19 in Sun Belt games. No trips to NCAA?s.
2004-07, Illinois State: 51-67 overall, 22-50 in MVC games, when both Creighton/Wichita were in the league. No trips to NCAA?s.
2012-present, Loyola: 141-125 overall, 6-28 in Horizon games, then 54-54 in MVC. One trip to NCAA?s.

11) 15 years as a head coach, one time in the NCAA tournament, but it was one great time, An 11-seed in 2018, Loyola made it to the Final Four, with three of their four wins in NCAA?s that year by either one or two points.

Big East was the #5 league this season, after being #2 or #3 the previous four years.

10) Then there is Iona coach Tim Cluess, who is 199-108 in nine years as coach at Iona, which is in New Rochelle. According to Mapquest, Iona/St John?s are 19.1 miles apart. Under Cluess, Iona is 124-46 in MAAC games; they?ve made the NCAA tournament the last four years and six of last eight years.

Cluess also coached D-II ball at CW Post (now LIU Post) for four years, going 98-23.

Cluess played at St John?s from 1979-81; three of his brothers also played at St John?s; he knows the NYC/New Jersey area. Not sure why St John?s didn?t hire him, but Cluess took his name out of the running Thursday.

Update: St John?s hired former UAB/Missouri/Arkansas coach Mike Anderson. His teams will play hard and play fast. He?s never had a losing season (two 16-16 seasons) and won 20+ games in 11 of 17 seasons as a head coach.

Elsewhere in the world??..
9) Chargers are going to wear their powder blue jerseys as their home uniform for the 2019 season, which is a smart decision. I?m wondering how many fans come up from San Diego to Carson for Charger home games now; they move into the Inglewood dome in 2020.

8) Tampa Bay Buccaneers might not be too happy with their 2019 schedule; they go seven weeks without playing a home game, and during those 49 days, they?ll travel a total of 20,378 miles to play in Los Angeles, New Orleans, London, Nashville and Seattle.

They play the Giants at home in Week 3, and then not again until Week 10.

7) USC has already added three grad transfers for next season, all kids who can shoot the 3; they shot 37-40-45% from the arc last year, at Akron-Columbia-San Jose State. Trojans have couple of highly-touted freshman big men coming in- they should be a lot better next season.

6) First seven games at the new ballpark in Las Vegas was 9,744, which amounts to seven sellouts. AAA Aviators are the Oakland A?s farm club.

Old ballpark was downtown, next to the Cashman Center; terrific park to watch a game. New park is in Summerlin, right near the Red Rock Hotel, roughly 14 miles from downtown.

5) LSU told athletic director Joe Alleva take a hike; not sure what this means for basketball coach Will Wade, who was suspended by Alleva but was reinstated last week.

4) Baseball injuries:
? A?s put P Marco Estrada (back) on the IL.
? Phillies put OF Odubel Herrera (hamstring) in the IL.

3) In 2015, there were 104 complete games pitched in the major leagues, only 42 last year.

2) Joey Votto popped out to the first baseman Wednesday night, for the first time in his 6,828 major league plate appearances. He still has never popped out to the catcher or the pitcher.

1) New Jersey Jets do not leave the eastern time zone at all during the 2019 season; they even have three home games in preseason, seeing how the Jets-Giants game is a Giants ?home? game.

By way of contrast, LA Rams play four games in eastern time zone, a preseason game in Hawai?i and a regular season game in London. Lot of travel for them.

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday's Diamond Notes
Kevin Rogers

Hottest team: Rays (8-2 last 10 games)

Although Tampa Bay fell in extra innings on Thursday to Baltimore as a -250 home favorite, the Rays are coming off their sixth consecutive series victory to sit atop the AL East at 14-5. Tampa Bay erased a 5-2 deficit to force extras, but Baltimore scored a run in the top of the 11th inning to win 6-5 and prevent the Rays from their first sweep at Tropicana Field this season.

The Rays welcome in the defending champion Red Sox this weekend as Boston has slumped to a 6-13 record out of the gate. Manager Kevin Cash is going back to the bullpen-by-committee approach on Friday with right-hander Ryne Stanek making his fifth start of the season. Stanek has yet to pitch more than two innings in any of his eight appearances, while not allowing a run in four starts. In Boston?s previous trip to Tampa Bay last August, the Rays pulled off a three-game sweep, while allowing only five runs.

Coldest team: Marlins (1-9 last 10 games)

For as well as the Rays are playing, their Sunshine State counterparts are playing as bad as anyone in baseball. Granted, the talent isn?t there, but Miami has plated two runs or less in each of its last eight losses, while getting shut out in back-to-back home defeats to the Cubs this week. The Marlins own an 0-6 record in series openers, while scoring three runs in their past four Game 1?s.

The Nationals travel to Miami this weekend as Washington grabbed 13 of 19 matchups last season. The last time the Marlins won a game, Caleb Smith started against the Phillies six days ago in a 10-3 blowout. The Miami southpaw yielded one hit in six innings as the Marlins improved to 7-3 in his past 10 starts since May 2018. Smith heads to the hill on Friday opposite former Marlins? standout Anibal Sanchez, who is seeking his first win in four starts this season.

Hottest pitcher: German Marquez, Rockies (2-1, 2.00 ERA)

Colorado finally broke through the win column at Coors Field following an 0-5 start at home in Thursday?s 6-2 triumph over Philadelphia. The Rockies turn to their best pitcher of 2019 so far in Marquez, who tossed a complete-game one-hitter against the Giants his last time out in a 4-0 win. The good news for the right-hander is in three road starts he has given up one earned run, while Colorado owns a 3-0 record away from Coors. The bad news is Marquez was racked in his lone home start against the Braves by giving up five runs in five innings of a 7-1 loss. Last season when Marquez faced the Phillies at home, he shut them down by striking out 11 batters in seven scoreless innings of a 14-0 rout.

Coldest pitcher: Corey Kluber, Indians (1-2, 6.16 ERA)

Kluber is coming off three consecutive seasons of 18 or more victories, while capturing the 2017 AL Cy Young award. However, the Cleveland ace couldn?t hold onto an early 3-0 lead at Kansas City his last time out as he was racked for six runs in less than three innings of a 9-8 loss. Kluber has pitched well in two starts, but has also not pitched past the fourth inning in losses to the Royals and White Sox. The right-hander returns home to face the suddenly struggling Braves as Cleveland seeks its fourth consecutive win after sweeping Seattle on the road.

Biggest OVER run: Blue Jays (6-3 last nine)

Toronto continues its road trip as the Blue Jays are coming off their first series win of the season at Minnesota. The Jays? offense busted out by scoring 5, 6, and 7 runs in the three victories at Target Field, while plating at least four runs in seven of the past nine games. Toronto ventures to Oakland to face an Athletics? squad that was limited to three runs against the Astros in a two-game home series. Marcus Stroman is winless in four starts for Toronto, but he hasn?t been helped in the run support department as the Jays have scratched together only six runs in those four appearances.

Biggest UNDER run: Dodgers (6-0 last six)

Los Angeles allowed five or more runs 10 times in its first 15 games. The Dodgers? staff has locked down of late by giving up a total of eight runs in the past five contests, all victories. L.A. held off Milwaukee on Thursday, 3-1 as the Brewers? lone run came on a Christian Yelich solo homer in the ninth inning. The Dodgers had cashed three straight OVER tickets prior to this 6-0 run to the UNDER as Ross Stripling takes the mound on Friday at Miller Park. Stripling dominated the Brewers at Chavez Ravine last weekend by giving up four hits and one run in eight innings of a 7-1 victory to mark his second consecutive UNDER.

Matchup to watch: Astros at Rangers

Both Lone Star State squads have looked good to begin this season as they hook up for their second series this month. The Rangers captured two of three in Arlington in early April, as Texas limited Houston to only six runs in the entire series.

However, Houston has been on fire since dropping that series by winning 10 of its last 11 games. The Astros ran off 10 consecutive victories at one point, including sweeps of the Athletics, Yankees, and Mariners. Houston saw its hot streak end in Wednesday?s 2-1 setback at Oakland, but the Astros own a perfect 6-0 record in series openers this season.

Justin Verlander (2-0, 3.52 ERA) has tossed quality starts in three of four outings this season, while coming off a gem at Seattle in which he struck out 11 batters in six innings. However, the lone non-quality appearance for Verlander came at Texas on April 2 as the former Cy Young winner was knocked around for four runs in four innings of a 6-4 defeat as a hefty -220 road favorite.

Drew Smyly (0-1, 7.15 ERA) counters for the Rangers, who are fresh off a three-game home sweep of the slumping Angels. Smyly is winless in three starts, while yielding four earned runs in each of his past two outings. In his first start of the season against the Astros, the southpaw scattered four hits and allowed one run in three innings of a 2-1 setback in the series opener.

Betcha didn?t know: Since the start of last season, the Giants have compiled a 3-10 road record when Madison Bumgarner takes the mound. San Francisco has lost each of Bumgarner?s past five starts away from Oracle Park, including defeats to Los Angeles and San Diego earlier this month. The Giants continue their road trip in Pittsburgh, as the Pirates have won four consecutive games at PNC Park.

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, April 19


Arizona @ Chicago Cubs

Game 901-902
April 19, 2019 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Kelly) 16.454
Chicago Cubs
(Hendrcks) 15.209
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-160
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+140); N/A

San Francisco @ Pittsburgh

Game 903-904
April 19, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Bmgrner) 14.754
Pittsburgh
(Lyles) 15.940
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by `1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-110
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-110); Over

Minnesota @ Baltimore

Game 915-916
April 19, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Berrios) 15.939
Baltimore
(Cobb) 14.467
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-190
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-190); Under

Kansas City @ NY Yankees

Game 917-918
April 19, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Junis) 15.498
NY Yankees
(Sabathia) 14.289
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-180
9
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+160); Under

Atlanta @ Cleveland

Game 929-930
April 19, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Toussaint) 15.099
Cleveland
(Kluber) 16.565
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-150
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-150); Under

Boston @ Tampa Bay

Game 921-922
April 19, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Rdriguez) 00..000
Tampa Bay
(Stanek) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston

Dunkel Pick:
Boston
( );

Washington @ Miami

Game 905-906
April 19, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Sanchez) 15.830
Miami
(Smith) 12.560
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-120); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit

Game 919-920
April 19, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Rodon) 15.715
Detroit
(Zmmrmnn) 14.639
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-115); Over

Houston @ Texas

Game 923-924
April 19, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Verlnder) 17.682
Texas
(Smyly) 16.321
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-220
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-220); Under

LA Dodgers @ Milwaukee

Game 907-908
April 19, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Strpling) 15.464
Milwaukee
(Chacin) 16.551
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-125
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+105); Under

NY Mets @ St. Louis

Game 909-910
April 19, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Vargas) 13.584
St. Louis
(Wnwrght) 16.368
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 3
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-145
9
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-145); Over

Philadelphia @ Colorado

Game 911-912
April 19, 2019 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Velasquez) 15.900
Colorado
(Marquez) 14.920
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-125
10
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+105); Under

Toronto @ Oakland

Game 927-928
April 19, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Stroman) 15.456
Oakland
(Brooks) 16.588
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-130
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-130); Over

Seattle @ LA Angels

Game 925-926
April 19, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Gonzales) 16.343
LA Angels
(Pena) 14.706
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-105); Under

Cincinnati @ San Diego

Game 913-914
April 19, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(DeSclfni) 15.536
San Diego
(Strahm) 13.531
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+115); Over