College Ball Week #6

jbly99

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That Coastal game hurt big time! No fun seeing a HR pop up on the gametracker scoreboard in the bottom of the 9th with 2 outs. Even in extras there was really no hope with UNC deciding to put Morin in the game who has been lights out all season. That was a tough one.
 

Mr. Poon

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agree man, especially since Coastal missed out on some opportunities to stretch their lead more than 2 but didn't capitalize down the stretch.
 

jbly99

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Just got off like chat with 5dimes...said lines will be posted at 4:00...ranked vs ranked teams: Possible games would be:
Florida/Ole Miss
Stanford/Zona
LSU/Arkansas
Kentucky/UGA
Ariz St/Oregon

Would like to get on UGA/Ariz St after looking at pitching matchups...Heyer for Zona + money is also intriguing
 

Mr. Poon

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way to go calling them, have done that before at betus.com, but they follow thegreek lines.

For Week #7:

Zona +2.5 -150 (vs. Stanford) for 1 unit as jbly said, Heyer gives Zona more than a fighting chance.

Florida -1.5 -120 (@ Ole Miss) for 2 units - if the Gators are going to beat you, typically it is by more than 1 run. Rebels have a decent squad but their pitching and defense hasn't been sharp in games against better competition.

Very tempted by Arky but Baxendale's rough outing last week worries me.
 

jbly99

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Good Luck tonight...i played all lines I mentioned above but hit UGA hardest +1.5 at various lines due to $100 limit...line now at -215.
 

jbly99

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Yah...u really have to research and guess at what lines will be released to take full advantage of games and get good prices. I jumped on ASU at -170 and it moved to -210 within 5 minutes
 

Mr. Poon

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Yah...u really have to research and guess at what lines will be released to take full advantage of games and get good prices. I jumped on ASU at -170 and it moved to -210 within 5 minutes

not a lot of people play, so those that do, they move the lines off of them pretty quickly. Especially if they know you called asking about them! Good indication you aren't some average Joe just plunking down cash to have action on a game.
 

jbly99

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oh..yah..im fully aware...usually play duing conference champioship and regionals each year on thegreek and know u have to get in ASAP when lines are released to get the best value. I just hate that 5dimes as started limiting the wagers again...the $100 rule wasnt in effect last week...just started with mid-week games this week.
 

Mr. Poon

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oh..yah..im fully aware...usually play duing conference champioship and regionals each year on thegreek and know u have to get in ASAP when lines are released to get the best value. I just hate that 5dimes as started limiting the wagers again...the $100 rule wasnt in effect last week...just started with mid-week games this week.

I simply think they forget and it fluctuates. Its not like MLB or NBA lines that are going to be up daily so the limit and rules are standard, its one of those infrequent sports, so they pay as much attention.
 

IE

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Arkansas at LSU


WHERE: Alex Box Stadium

Arkansas Razorbacks

RECORDS: LSU 19-6, 3-3 SEC; Arkansas 22-3, 5-1 SEC

LAST MEETING/SERIES: The Razorbacks swept LSU in Fayetteville last season with 2-0, 4-3 and 5-3 wins ? the Hogs? first sweep over the Tigers since 2004. LSU leads the series 51-26 and had won the previous six series against Arkansas, the last three in Baton Rouge.

RANKINGS: LSU, No. 12 Collegiate Baseball, No. 14, NCBWA, No. 14 USA Today/ESPN, No. 15 Baseball America; Arkansas, No. 3 BA, No. 3, NCBWA, No. 3 USA Today/ESPN, No. 4 CB




PROBABLE STARTING PITCHERS

Friday ? LSU, So. RH Kevin Gausman (4-0, 1.54 ERA, 41 IP, 50 SO/11 BB, .204 opponent BA) vs. Arkansas, Jr. RH D.J. Baxendale (5-1, 2.04, 39.2 IP, 31/8, .262 opponent BA); Saturday ? LSU, So. RH Ryan Eades (4-1, 2.04 ERA, 39.2 IP, 31 SO/8 BB, .248 opponent BA) vs. vs. Arkansas, So. RHP Ryne Stanek (6-0, 1.25, 36 IP, 31/13, .202 opponent BA); Sunday ? TBA vs. Arkansas, TBA
 

IE

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#LSU lineup for Game 1 vs. Arkansas: Jones 2B, Dozar 1B, Katz RF, Rhymes LF, Nola SS, Ross C, Hanover 3B, Didier DH, Foster CF.



Now things get a little interesting.



LSU has navigated the first two weeks of SEC play with some success and some frustration, with five one-run games and a 3-3 record.



The gauntlet takes an abrupt upturn the next two weeks, starting Friday when the 12th-ranked Tigers (19-6) open a three-game series at Alex Box Stadium with No. 3-ranked Arkansas (22-3, 5-1 SEC).



After three games against the Razorbacks, LSU heads to Gainesville to face top-ranked Florida for three.



The next six league games won?t make or break the Tigers? season. But a strong run could ignite momentum they haven?t enjoyed in the SEC since 2009. A slide right now would put LSU in comeback mode like it has faced much of the last two league seasons.



Either way, the competitive juices ought to be flowing nicely starting Friday.



?We know this is when we have to turn it up,? senior shortstop Austin Nola said. ?This is what playing in the SEC is all about.?



Against Arkansas, the Tigers know to brace for close games that go down to the wire.



Since Paul Mainieri arrived, the annual battles with the Razorbacks have been ultra-competitive. In 15 regular-season games, 10 have been decided by one or two runs. The Tigers have won six of those, the Hogs four ? including all three last year in their first sweep of LSU since 2004. That was also the last home series the Tigers lost to Arkansas.



?Every year we have really tight, hard-fought games,? said Mainieri, who also guided the Tigers to a pair of lopsided wins against the Razorbacks at the 2009 College World Series. ?The teams are really evenly matched and the coaches manage the game very similarly.?



Arkansas? Dave Van Horn has followed a similar path to Mainieri, taking a Northern program to unprecedented to success when he guided Nebraska to a pair of CWS appearances and then heading South where he has led the Hogs to Omaha twice.



Whatever the reason, the two coaches approach the game similarly.



?For the most part, I kind of know what he?s going to do; it?s just a matter of stopping them,? Mainieri said. ?He probably figures the same thing about us. It just makes for very good baseball. They?re very fundamentally sound, and their kids are very tough hard-nosed players, and I think the same thing is true with our team.?



The Razorbacks and Tigers aren?t exactly mirror images of each other this season, but they?re close.



Arkansas boasts one of the top pitching staffs in the SEC and leads the league in ERA (2.53) and ranks second in opponent batting average (.211) and hits given up (176).



The Tigers don?t stack up quite as strong as team-wise, but Kevin Gausman and Ryan Eades have been dazzling all season and have permitted only six runs in 27 SEC innings between them. Freshman Aaron Nola shrugged off a rugged first inning against Mississippi State and has allowed only four earned runs in his last 12.1 SEC innings of work.



Gausman struggled through his last outing with five walks (one intentional) in five innings and said he?s ready to get back on the mound this week, knowing that every glitch could be costly in SEC games that are razor close.



?We know a home run in the second inning could be the difference between winning and losing a game,? said Gausman (4-0, 1.54 ERA). ?Last week taught me to slow down. I was rushing toward home plate and rushing in my head. I hadn?t had that kind of control issues since I was in high school.




?I have to be better for my team because we know the Friday night guy for the other team is always going to be tough in this league.?



Offensively, LSU is marginally better than the Hogs over the course of the season, but Arkansas has scored 7 runs or more in four of six SEC games. The Razorbacks top the league with 130 walks and rank second with 36 stolen bases.



The Tigers? team batting average ? .302 overall ? has tumbled to .246 in league games and they have managed only 17 runs in six games, never more than 4.



?We need to relax a little bit in these SEC games and find a way to make things happen early in the game,? said first baseman/right fielder Mason Katz. ?We know all these games are going to be close and intense, so every at-bat is going to be important whether it?s in the first inning with nobody on base or in the eighth or ninth with the bases loaded.?



With the closeness and intensity likely to unfold the next three days, any edge either team can scrounge up could be beneficial.



For LSU, that may not be all that tough.



In last year?s three losses to the Razorbacks, the Tigers lost the opener on a home run and an unearned run, dropped the second game when they couldn?t hold onto a 3-0 lead they had grabbed in the top of the 9th inning and then gave away the third on a 9th-inning run after Austin Nola forged a 4-4 tie with a grand slam.



Those three losses triggered a stretch of nine losses in 12 games that left the Tigers? hole in the SEC standings (7-14) too deep to climb out of despite a late-season surge.



?We had three close games that we could?ve won and we ended up losing all three at their place,? Katz said. ?We remember them and try to make the changes so that maybe we can win those games by a run instead of losing them.?

NOTES: Nola will be on standby for opener
 

Mr. Poon

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1-1 on the night but lost the bigger play. Wahl did a great job shutting such a potent offense out. Great comeback by Zona to lessen the blow though as they score 4 in the bottom of the ninth to win 8-7.
 

jbly99

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Those postponements got me!!Had Great lines on both games. What a wild game in Arizona..Stan scores 7 on heyer but only 2 were earned!! Fantastic 9th inning comeback!
 

jbly99

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lines r out... I went ahead and played UGA -215 +1.5 which was what it closed at last night. Prolly stay away from Ariz St bc the line is just too high now -380...i had -170 before it was postponed
 
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