Good to see you back as always. Your insight and thoughtful analysis continues to be one of the greatest assets of this site.
college plays for 9/3-9/7...
- Thread starter AR182
- Start date
adding....
baylor+3(125)...
baylor returns 9 from last year's starting offense, including 3 from the o-line & their key skill players...with sophomore sensation griffin back at qb along with finley & judy returning in the backfield & with 7 of last year's top receivers also back, baylor can score from anywhere on the field....
the baylor defense also returns 9 from last year's team, including 2 from the d-line...on the whole the defnese performed pretty well last year...although baylor's defense allowed an average of 31 points per game in 2008, they were actually better than average defensively after compensating for the great offensive teams that they faced in the big 12.....they gave up 5.6 yards per play in 11 games against fbs teams, but those opponents would combine to average 6.0 yppl against an average defensive team.......with last year's experience & practically everybody returning, baylor's defense should be very solid this year...
wake forest returns 9 starters from last year's offense, including all 5 from the o-line & their qb....last year wf's problem on offense was that they were unable to run the ball very effectively, & with all 5 linemen returning, that should improve, but even with this improvement, the running attack will still be very medicre...
on defense, wf returns 4 from last year's starters, including 3 from the d-line.....they lost all of their starting linebackers & 3/4 of their 2nd dary from last year's team....
i know this may surprise some people but i think baylor is the better team & they have had the whole off-season to think about revenging their humiliating loss to wake last year...
i'll take the points....
good luck...
baylor+3(125)...
baylor returns 9 from last year's starting offense, including 3 from the o-line & their key skill players...with sophomore sensation griffin back at qb along with finley & judy returning in the backfield & with 7 of last year's top receivers also back, baylor can score from anywhere on the field....
the baylor defense also returns 9 from last year's team, including 2 from the d-line...on the whole the defnese performed pretty well last year...although baylor's defense allowed an average of 31 points per game in 2008, they were actually better than average defensively after compensating for the great offensive teams that they faced in the big 12.....they gave up 5.6 yards per play in 11 games against fbs teams, but those opponents would combine to average 6.0 yppl against an average defensive team.......with last year's experience & practically everybody returning, baylor's defense should be very solid this year...
wake forest returns 9 starters from last year's offense, including all 5 from the o-line & their qb....last year wf's problem on offense was that they were unable to run the ball very effectively, & with all 5 linemen returning, that should improve, but even with this improvement, the running attack will still be very medicre...
on defense, wf returns 4 from last year's starters, including 3 from the d-line.....they lost all of their starting linebackers & 3/4 of their 2nd dary from last year's team....
i know this may surprise some people but i think baylor is the better team & they have had the whole off-season to think about revenging their humiliating loss to wake last year...
i'll take the points....
good luck...
- Apr 28, 2006
- 1,552
- 32
- 0
:mj07: :mj07: sweet jennifer is very lucky for me...& i wouldn't change it....:00hour
thanks guys...appreciate it....
adding...
lsu-17(115).....
normally i wouldn't take such a big favorite on the road...but i will do it for the very first game of the season, where the team has had plenty of time to prepare for this game....
lsu is on a mission coming off a very disappointing year last season that has left a bad taste with the team.....as a matter of fact the 5 losses they suffered last season is the most defeats by a defending national champion in the ap poll since 1943...& as a result lsu has had an overhaul of their coaching staff...
on offense, lsu has 7 returning starters, including 3 from the o-line & their qb, jefferson who gained valuable experience last year & who impressed me very much in their bowl game....lsu also has many quality people at the skilled positions...they have a powerful runner in scott & a explosive receiver in lafell..scoring points will definitely not be a problem this year at lsu.....
on defense lsu is returning 6 from last year, including 1 from the d-line....the biggest hire that miles did was hire john chavis, a highly thought of defensive coordinator from tenn...& from what i have read chavis has moved a few people around to different positions & cut down on the revolving door of personnel that seemed to hinder the defense last year...lsu expects to get back to the quality defense that they have had in the past...
wash. has a new coach & has 8 players back from last year on offense, including 3 from the o-line & the qb, locker who missed the final 8 games of last season & he has some talent around him, including a very fast wide receiver returning named goodwin...however the offensive line is a big concern for the coaching staff...
the defense is returning 10 from last season's starters, including 4 from the d-line...but that doesn't necessarily mean that is a good thing...because last year the wash. defense allowed 211 yds per game through the air & 241 yds on the ground..the 2ndary is a very big concern for the coaches...
some trends....
under miles, lsu is 36-9-4 (80%) ats when they win su as a road favorite...
miles is 13-4 ats (76%) in non-conference games as the coach of lsu.....the average score was lsu 41.6, opponent 9.5....
i previously wrote about teaming a new coach with a lousy team (4 wins or less the previous season) against a good team (one who won 6 or more games last year) in season openers......they are 5-49 su & 13-36-2 ats (26.5%).......in addition they are also 0-8 ats as home dogs of 15 or more points....
i know wash. has completely different coaching staff this year, but imo it will take time to wash that losing mentality out of the player's system....so i think the following trend is applicable.....wash. is 1-11 ats in all games over the last 2 seasons.....the average score was wash.13.3, opponent 38.6....
a few systems that pertains to this play...
play on game 1 away favs of more than 14 points that won at least 7 games the previous season.
the ats record since 1997 is....20-5-1.....80.0%....
play on lsu, kentucky, & miss....
play against - any team (wash) - in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 5 or more straight losses, with an experienced qb returning as starter......
over the last 10 seasons the ats record is.....37-11.....77.1%.....
over the last 5 seasons the system's ats record is....18-3....85.7%....
over the last 3 seasons the system's ats record is.....16-1.....94%....
i think lsu will come to play saturday night on national tv....
good luck...
adding...
lsu-17(115).....
normally i wouldn't take such a big favorite on the road...but i will do it for the very first game of the season, where the team has had plenty of time to prepare for this game....
lsu is on a mission coming off a very disappointing year last season that has left a bad taste with the team.....as a matter of fact the 5 losses they suffered last season is the most defeats by a defending national champion in the ap poll since 1943...& as a result lsu has had an overhaul of their coaching staff...
on offense, lsu has 7 returning starters, including 3 from the o-line & their qb, jefferson who gained valuable experience last year & who impressed me very much in their bowl game....lsu also has many quality people at the skilled positions...they have a powerful runner in scott & a explosive receiver in lafell..scoring points will definitely not be a problem this year at lsu.....
on defense lsu is returning 6 from last year, including 1 from the d-line....the biggest hire that miles did was hire john chavis, a highly thought of defensive coordinator from tenn...& from what i have read chavis has moved a few people around to different positions & cut down on the revolving door of personnel that seemed to hinder the defense last year...lsu expects to get back to the quality defense that they have had in the past...
wash. has a new coach & has 8 players back from last year on offense, including 3 from the o-line & the qb, locker who missed the final 8 games of last season & he has some talent around him, including a very fast wide receiver returning named goodwin...however the offensive line is a big concern for the coaching staff...
the defense is returning 10 from last season's starters, including 4 from the d-line...but that doesn't necessarily mean that is a good thing...because last year the wash. defense allowed 211 yds per game through the air & 241 yds on the ground..the 2ndary is a very big concern for the coaches...
some trends....
under miles, lsu is 36-9-4 (80%) ats when they win su as a road favorite...
miles is 13-4 ats (76%) in non-conference games as the coach of lsu.....the average score was lsu 41.6, opponent 9.5....
i previously wrote about teaming a new coach with a lousy team (4 wins or less the previous season) against a good team (one who won 6 or more games last year) in season openers......they are 5-49 su & 13-36-2 ats (26.5%).......in addition they are also 0-8 ats as home dogs of 15 or more points....
i know wash. has completely different coaching staff this year, but imo it will take time to wash that losing mentality out of the player's system....so i think the following trend is applicable.....wash. is 1-11 ats in all games over the last 2 seasons.....the average score was wash.13.3, opponent 38.6....
a few systems that pertains to this play...
play on game 1 away favs of more than 14 points that won at least 7 games the previous season.
the ats record since 1997 is....20-5-1.....80.0%....
play on lsu, kentucky, & miss....
play against - any team (wash) - in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 5 or more straight losses, with an experienced qb returning as starter......
over the last 10 seasons the ats record is.....37-11.....77.1%.....
over the last 5 seasons the system's ats record is....18-3....85.7%....
over the last 3 seasons the system's ats record is.....16-1.....94%....
i think lsu will come to play saturday night on national tv....
good luck...
a safety in the last 48 seconds of the game gave me a push on the total of the utah game..feel very fortunate that it was a push after all the points scored in the 1st half.....& hit the under in the troy game...
adding....
stanford-16 (120).....
like the lsu bet i wouldn't be laying double digits on the road normally but feel that since it's the first game of the season, stanford will be focused for this conference game....
stanford is a team on the rise under coach jim harbaugh, who has taken su from 1-11 in 2005 to 4-8 in his first season & 5-7 last year....under harbaugh stanford improved 9 1/2 points in 2007 & another 7 points last year & while the rate of improvement will slow, su should be a few points better in 2009.....
their offense is returning 8 from last season's starters, including 3 from the o-line & their punishing runner,toby gerhart who ran for over 1100 yards & scored 15 tds....last year stanford ran for an average of 200 yds. per game at 4.9 ypr.....su averaged 26 points per game last year & are expected to be even better this year because of the new qb that will be starting this year...andrew luck clearly was head & shoulders above last year's starter during spring & fall pratices.....& in addition their top pass receivers are also returning...speedy baldwin & sure handed whalen should flourish with this new qb....
on defense, su is returning 7 from last year's defense, including 3 from the d-line....su had 1 of the top pass rushes in the pac 10 last season & should be at least just as good this year...last season their weakness was in the 2ndary but this season they have upgraded it & should be better...
last season paul wulff took over as head coach at wash. st. & it was a complete disaster...some have questioned whether he is competent enough to be a head coach at this level....& finding any positive reports from their camp was impossible...
here is an excerpt of the typical news that has come out from the wsu camp....
HOWIE STALWICK; For The News Tribune
Last updated: August 23rd, 2009 12:19 AM (PDT)
PULLMAN ?
"Two weeks before embarking on their annual exchange of helmet paint with the enemy, the Washington State Cougars do not have a starting quarterback. The only receiver with more than 11 career catches is out with a pulled hamstring. A key running back is sidelined with a bad knee. Most of the offensive two-deep is rife with unknowns. All that, and WSU?s most pressing concerns may lie on the defensive side of the ball.
Historically awful a year ago, the Cougars? defense will try to make amends with a two-deep that may include 11 players who did not play college football last year. The starting lineup might include three freshmen, only one of whom has redshirted.
Yikes !!!"
their offense returns 8 from last year's team, including 4 from the o-line & their starting qb...the offense will be improved this season but they only averaged 13 ppg, ran for 95 yds per game & passed for 146 yds. per game last season.....& eventhough they should be improved this season,imo the improvement will not be enough to make them any where near a mediocre team.....
the wsu defense is returning 6 from last season's defense, including 1 from the d-line....& again their defense was so horrible there is only 1 way to go...last season they allowed 196 rushing yds. per game & 248 passing yds. per game....
last season stanford beat wash.st 58-0 but harbaugh called off the dogs in the middle of the 3rd quarter....while i don't see them duplicating last years score, they still should win rather comfortably....
good luck....
adding....
stanford-16 (120).....
like the lsu bet i wouldn't be laying double digits on the road normally but feel that since it's the first game of the season, stanford will be focused for this conference game....
stanford is a team on the rise under coach jim harbaugh, who has taken su from 1-11 in 2005 to 4-8 in his first season & 5-7 last year....under harbaugh stanford improved 9 1/2 points in 2007 & another 7 points last year & while the rate of improvement will slow, su should be a few points better in 2009.....
their offense is returning 8 from last season's starters, including 3 from the o-line & their punishing runner,toby gerhart who ran for over 1100 yards & scored 15 tds....last year stanford ran for an average of 200 yds. per game at 4.9 ypr.....su averaged 26 points per game last year & are expected to be even better this year because of the new qb that will be starting this year...andrew luck clearly was head & shoulders above last year's starter during spring & fall pratices.....& in addition their top pass receivers are also returning...speedy baldwin & sure handed whalen should flourish with this new qb....
on defense, su is returning 7 from last year's defense, including 3 from the d-line....su had 1 of the top pass rushes in the pac 10 last season & should be at least just as good this year...last season their weakness was in the 2ndary but this season they have upgraded it & should be better...
last season paul wulff took over as head coach at wash. st. & it was a complete disaster...some have questioned whether he is competent enough to be a head coach at this level....& finding any positive reports from their camp was impossible...
here is an excerpt of the typical news that has come out from the wsu camp....
HOWIE STALWICK; For The News Tribune
Last updated: August 23rd, 2009 12:19 AM (PDT)
PULLMAN ?
"Two weeks before embarking on their annual exchange of helmet paint with the enemy, the Washington State Cougars do not have a starting quarterback. The only receiver with more than 11 career catches is out with a pulled hamstring. A key running back is sidelined with a bad knee. Most of the offensive two-deep is rife with unknowns. All that, and WSU?s most pressing concerns may lie on the defensive side of the ball.
Historically awful a year ago, the Cougars? defense will try to make amends with a two-deep that may include 11 players who did not play college football last year. The starting lineup might include three freshmen, only one of whom has redshirted.
Yikes !!!"
their offense returns 8 from last year's team, including 4 from the o-line & their starting qb...the offense will be improved this season but they only averaged 13 ppg, ran for 95 yds per game & passed for 146 yds. per game last season.....& eventhough they should be improved this season,imo the improvement will not be enough to make them any where near a mediocre team.....
the wsu defense is returning 6 from last season's defense, including 1 from the d-line....& again their defense was so horrible there is only 1 way to go...last season they allowed 196 rushing yds. per game & 248 passing yds. per game....
last season stanford beat wash.st 58-0 but harbaugh called off the dogs in the middle of the 3rd quarter....while i don't see them duplicating last years score, they still should win rather comfortably....
good luck....
Christopher Walsh
BamaOnLine.com Senior Writer
Talk about it in BOL Round Table
TUSCALOOSA - University of Alabama senior defensive end Brandon Deaderick, who was shot in a failed robbery attempt Monday night, has been cleared to play in Saturday's game against Virginia Tech.
We're very, very fortunate that his injuries were not significant or serious," UA coach Nick Saban said during his weekly radio show Thursday evening. "The bullet goes through his arm, through his hip, out his groin. We're very fortunate that he doesn't have any other significant issues. Those are the kinds of things you can actually lose your life over."?
He continued: "Brandon is doing extremely well. He actually practiced today. It's a little unbelievable to me. The first thing I do is talk to our medical staff, they actually say he'll do no damage to himself. These things are actually being treated like a puncture wound because he had no damage to any nerves, no damage to any bone in either wound. It's like stepping on a nail, when it heals up he can play.
"We're going to take it day-to-day. He really wants to play. I'll talk to him and defer to him because he's been cleared by the medical staff. I've met with his parents and talked with them. We want to do what's best for him and we never want to do something that would be detrimental to his future career or even our season if he played before he's ready."
Deaderick, 22, started all 14 games last season and has played in 34 career games for Alabama, while making 21 starts. He has 60 career tackles with 8.5 tackles for loss and six sacks. If Deaderick isn't able to start, Marcell Dareus is expected to replace him.
BamaOnLine.com Senior Writer
Talk about it in BOL Round Table
TUSCALOOSA - University of Alabama senior defensive end Brandon Deaderick, who was shot in a failed robbery attempt Monday night, has been cleared to play in Saturday's game against Virginia Tech.
We're very, very fortunate that his injuries were not significant or serious," UA coach Nick Saban said during his weekly radio show Thursday evening. "The bullet goes through his arm, through his hip, out his groin. We're very fortunate that he doesn't have any other significant issues. Those are the kinds of things you can actually lose your life over."?
He continued: "Brandon is doing extremely well. He actually practiced today. It's a little unbelievable to me. The first thing I do is talk to our medical staff, they actually say he'll do no damage to himself. These things are actually being treated like a puncture wound because he had no damage to any nerves, no damage to any bone in either wound. It's like stepping on a nail, when it heals up he can play.
"We're going to take it day-to-day. He really wants to play. I'll talk to him and defer to him because he's been cleared by the medical staff. I've met with his parents and talked with them. We want to do what's best for him and we never want to do something that would be detrimental to his future career or even our season if he played before he's ready."
Deaderick, 22, started all 14 games last season and has played in 34 career games for Alabama, while making 21 starts. He has 60 career tackles with 8.5 tackles for loss and six sacks. If Deaderick isn't able to start, Marcell Dareus is expected to replace him.
Hope the kid can play. I am predicting a long year in Tuscaloosa, though....
GL the rest of the week:weed:
thanks cie....
i got an e-mail last night from somebody asking me why do i bet so many games...my answer was that i don't think i am good enough to just pick out a few games & play them......i use a few different methods of capping games & 1 of them is a numerical system that i devised a few years ago & i have done well with it....most of the plays that i am playing this week follow this system.....& a few follow a belief that i have that line play wins games.....
adding....
under 55 (120) c. mich / az.....
c. mich. has 6 starters back from last year's team, including 3 from the o-line & their very productive qb who is a threat both running & throwing the ball...his receivers are back but are a little thin at the running back position because they have lost to graduation their top back, snead....
on defense, cm returns 10 from last year's defense, including 3 from the d-line..they are led by highly thought linebacker, nick bellore & defensive end frank zombo (15.5 tackles for a loss & 9 sacks)....the defense is supposed to be very much improved this season....
az. returns 7 from last years starting unit, including 3 from the o-line...but they have to break in a new qb this year & haven't decided who the new qb will be according to recent articles that i have read.....they lose their all-time leading receiver this year & have a highly thought of returning tightend who they were going to rely on as the cornerstone of their receiving corp....this te, gronkowski caught 47 passes & 10 tds in just 10 games last season......but gronkowski has a bad back and has been downgraded to doubtful for this game, which should hurt their passing game, especially around the goal line......
on defense, az returns 7 from last season's starters, including 4 from the d-line...this defense should be very tough to throw against & will be more experienced & deeper than the 32nd ranked unit from last season...it wouldn't surprise me if they finish in the top 20 nationally in total defense.....
i will be surprised if this game gets past 50 in total combined points......
good luck....
i got an e-mail last night from somebody asking me why do i bet so many games...my answer was that i don't think i am good enough to just pick out a few games & play them......i use a few different methods of capping games & 1 of them is a numerical system that i devised a few years ago & i have done well with it....most of the plays that i am playing this week follow this system.....& a few follow a belief that i have that line play wins games.....
adding....
under 55 (120) c. mich / az.....
c. mich. has 6 starters back from last year's team, including 3 from the o-line & their very productive qb who is a threat both running & throwing the ball...his receivers are back but are a little thin at the running back position because they have lost to graduation their top back, snead....
on defense, cm returns 10 from last year's defense, including 3 from the d-line..they are led by highly thought linebacker, nick bellore & defensive end frank zombo (15.5 tackles for a loss & 9 sacks)....the defense is supposed to be very much improved this season....
az. returns 7 from last years starting unit, including 3 from the o-line...but they have to break in a new qb this year & haven't decided who the new qb will be according to recent articles that i have read.....they lose their all-time leading receiver this year & have a highly thought of returning tightend who they were going to rely on as the cornerstone of their receiving corp....this te, gronkowski caught 47 passes & 10 tds in just 10 games last season......but gronkowski has a bad back and has been downgraded to doubtful for this game, which should hurt their passing game, especially around the goal line......
on defense, az returns 7 from last season's starters, including 4 from the d-line...this defense should be very tough to throw against & will be more experienced & deeper than the 32nd ranked unit from last season...it wouldn't surprise me if they finish in the top 20 nationally in total defense.....
i will be surprised if this game gets past 50 in total combined points......
good luck....
thanks tp...appreciate it...
adding....
under 62 (120) georgia / ok st....
placed this bet a few days ago at 61.5 & bought a .5 point.....this morning i saw the line at 60.5 / 61...don't know what it is now...but i would play it at anything above 59...
i believe this line is inflated because of the public's perception of the high octane big 12offense....but looking at ok st's stats from last year.....they averaged 40.6ppg.....but looking deeper the real big points came against teams such as....56 vs. houston, 57 vs. missouri st, 55 vs. troy,56 vs. tex. a & m, & 59 vs. iowa st....but if you look at what ok st scored against tougher defenses, the numbers are different....28 vs. missouri, 34 vs. baylor, 20 vs. tex. tech, & 30 vs. colorado..which average out to 27.2 ppg....they did score 41 vs. okla. & 31 vs. oregon...but those scores got out of hand because of the pace of those games.....i don't think this will happen with georgia because of them breaking in a new qb & the fact that georgia is returning 5 from the o-line.....i look for the georgia coach to try to play keep away.....
georgia's offense is returning 7 from last year's starters, including the 5 from the o-line & they have an additional 3 in reserve who has started in various games for georgia ...they lose the top nfl pick, qb stafford & is replaced by joe cox who has thrown 58 total passes in college....& lose the great back moreno, who was drafted by denver...& he will be replaced by a stable of backs (jackson,samuel, & thomas to name a few)...so i see georgia rotating their backs in this game to try to keep everybody fresh..the geo. coach, richt has said..."we rushed for somewhere between 2,000-2,300 yds. every year..i'm sure we will be somewhere in that range again".....
on defense, georgia returns 6 from last year's starters, including 2 from the d-line.....eventhough the geo. defense disappointed last year, they did place 5 of their defensive starters on the all-sec team.....they get back dt owens who didn't play last year because of injury & he is teamed with atkins to give geo. solid run stuffers in the middle of the line....their linebackers will be the strength of the defense..& although the 2ndary should do well, they lack depth....
ok st returns 8 from last year's starters, including 3 from the o-line...& 3 of their 4 top playmakers from last season....robinson at qb, rb hunter (1555 yards at 6.5 ypr), & 1st team all-american wr bryant (87 catches for 1480 yards & 19 TD's)...they will be missing highly ranked te, pettigrew, who was drafted by the lions....
the ok st defense is returning 6 from last season's starters, including 2 from the d-line....looking at the stats, the cowboys' defense allowed 418 yards per game last season, but they were actually slightly better than average in allowing 5.8 yppl to a schedule of good offensive teams that would combine to average 5.9 yppl against an average team.....remember they played tex. tech, missouri, okla,& texas...it is safe to say that georgia won't be as potent as these teams in the first game of the season.....they should have a better pass rush (just 15 sacks last season) & a good set of linebackers should help the run defense (even without #2 tackler lemon, who is now out for the season)......
a small trend....
richt is 16-5 under in the first month of the season as the coach of georgia......the average score was georgia 29.6, opponent 12.4.....
imo, at the start of the season defenses are usually ahead of offenses because it usually takes some time to figure out how to move the ball & get into a rhythm.....& i think this game will be lower than many think it will be & will be surprised if goes past the mid-50's....
good luck...
adding....
under 62 (120) georgia / ok st....
placed this bet a few days ago at 61.5 & bought a .5 point.....this morning i saw the line at 60.5 / 61...don't know what it is now...but i would play it at anything above 59...
i believe this line is inflated because of the public's perception of the high octane big 12offense....but looking at ok st's stats from last year.....they averaged 40.6ppg.....but looking deeper the real big points came against teams such as....56 vs. houston, 57 vs. missouri st, 55 vs. troy,56 vs. tex. a & m, & 59 vs. iowa st....but if you look at what ok st scored against tougher defenses, the numbers are different....28 vs. missouri, 34 vs. baylor, 20 vs. tex. tech, & 30 vs. colorado..which average out to 27.2 ppg....they did score 41 vs. okla. & 31 vs. oregon...but those scores got out of hand because of the pace of those games.....i don't think this will happen with georgia because of them breaking in a new qb & the fact that georgia is returning 5 from the o-line.....i look for the georgia coach to try to play keep away.....
georgia's offense is returning 7 from last year's starters, including the 5 from the o-line & they have an additional 3 in reserve who has started in various games for georgia ...they lose the top nfl pick, qb stafford & is replaced by joe cox who has thrown 58 total passes in college....& lose the great back moreno, who was drafted by denver...& he will be replaced by a stable of backs (jackson,samuel, & thomas to name a few)...so i see georgia rotating their backs in this game to try to keep everybody fresh..the geo. coach, richt has said..."we rushed for somewhere between 2,000-2,300 yds. every year..i'm sure we will be somewhere in that range again".....
on defense, georgia returns 6 from last year's starters, including 2 from the d-line.....eventhough the geo. defense disappointed last year, they did place 5 of their defensive starters on the all-sec team.....they get back dt owens who didn't play last year because of injury & he is teamed with atkins to give geo. solid run stuffers in the middle of the line....their linebackers will be the strength of the defense..& although the 2ndary should do well, they lack depth....
ok st returns 8 from last year's starters, including 3 from the o-line...& 3 of their 4 top playmakers from last season....robinson at qb, rb hunter (1555 yards at 6.5 ypr), & 1st team all-american wr bryant (87 catches for 1480 yards & 19 TD's)...they will be missing highly ranked te, pettigrew, who was drafted by the lions....
the ok st defense is returning 6 from last season's starters, including 2 from the d-line....looking at the stats, the cowboys' defense allowed 418 yards per game last season, but they were actually slightly better than average in allowing 5.8 yppl to a schedule of good offensive teams that would combine to average 5.9 yppl against an average team.....remember they played tex. tech, missouri, okla,& texas...it is safe to say that georgia won't be as potent as these teams in the first game of the season.....they should have a better pass rush (just 15 sacks last season) & a good set of linebackers should help the run defense (even without #2 tackler lemon, who is now out for the season)......
a small trend....
richt is 16-5 under in the first month of the season as the coach of georgia......the average score was georgia 29.6, opponent 12.4.....
imo, at the start of the season defenses are usually ahead of offenses because it usually takes some time to figure out how to move the ball & get into a rhythm.....& i think this game will be lower than many think it will be & will be surprised if goes past the mid-50's....
good luck...
