College Plays From 9/30 - 10/2....

AR182

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Was on the fence about this play, but a respected gambler that I know also likes it, so I played it....

Under 34 1st half A&M / Ok St....

Although this year Ok St. has averaged 33 1st half ppg by itself, that was against Wash.St.,Troy, & Tulsa....I am hoping that the A&M defense is better than the defenses of those 3 teams.... None of the 3 games (SF Austin, Lou Tech, & Fla. Int'l) that A&M has play thus far has gone over 34 points in the 1st half....Also hoping that the players on these teams get national TV jitters...In addition, one of the computer sites that I use projects that these teams will score 25 combined points in the 1st half tonight....


Good luck....
 

AR182

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A few more writeups....

Az.St.+4(120)....

Just played this because I saw 1 book going to 3....

I watched ASU's game last week vs, Oregon & came away impressed with them as they outyarded OU (#1 offense), 592-405 & forced OU to punt 11 times....The only negative that I saw was that they were very sloppy with ball as they committed 7 to's....Think if they can hold on to the ball, they should pull out some surprise wins this season....On the other hand, I haven't been impressed with OSU in their 3 games as they have been outgained this season by more than 130 yds. in each game....ASU is 7-3 ATs in the last 10 in this series & OSU may be looking ahead to next week's game against Arizona....


NCSt+4....

First, I'd like to say that I am glad that VT is coming off a shutout win, because think that they may be over confident coming into this game....I watched last week's VT/BC game & thought that the game was a lot closer than the score indicated....Although I had VT, I thought that I got a lucky win because of BC's inability to pass the football.....It has been shown that teams who have had success moving the ball against VT have done so not on the ground, but through the air....Their defense gave up 215 yards passing to Boise St (scored 33 pts.) & 251 yards passing to ECU (scored 27 pts.)....Those 2 teams are # 9 & #45 respectively in passing efficiency in the nation, while NC St. is #30....BSU & ECU are #17 & #13 respectively in passing offense while NC St. is #19....On the other side of the ball, VT is primarily a running team, but NCSt. allows 3.5 ypr (they haven't played anybody yet with the kind of running attack similar to VT's)....VT is ranked # 87 in the nation in passing, so I think that NCSt. can limit VT doing any damage through the air....

Play Against - Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (VT) - in a game involving two average rushing teams (3.5to 4.3 YPR), after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games....

Over the last 10 seasons the record for this system is....31-8....79.5%....

Over the last 3 seasons the system's record is....6-0....100%....


Tenn+17(120)....

Because of shaky QB play, neither team has looked very impressive this year....Last week vs. WVU, LSU had a punt return for a TD & practically everything they got was gift wrapped....They haven't looked like a team that should be favored over Tenn. by over 2 td's....True,Tenn. barely got by UAB last week & also got smashed at home by Oregon, but imo they still warrant a play at this price....LSU may be looking ahead to their matchup with Florida next week....

Under Les Miles coaching, LSU is 3-14-1(17.6%) ATS as a SEC home favorite, including 0-10-1 ATS playing against an opponent off a su win....

Play On - Road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (Tenn.) - after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games against opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games....

Over the last 10 seasons the record for this system is....73-30....70.8%....

The average line posted in these games was....Opp.favored by 15 pts....The average score in these games was....Team 21.8, Opp.33.6....


Clemson+4(120)....

Miami is coming off their impressive win last week over Pitt., while Clemson is coming off a bye....They have played 3 times since UM joined the ACC in 2004 & each game has gone into overtime....

As coach of Clemson, Dabo Sweeney is 10-2 su at Death Valley....One of the losses was against GT in his first game & the other came against TCU last year.....This game will be homecoming for CU....They are 64-19-3 in homecoming games & 34-3-2 (89.7%) since 1971....

Miami is 1-5 ATS as conference road favorite of 6 points or less, 0-6-1 ATS off a Thursday game, & 1-5 ATS in a game before their game against Fla.... Clemson is 6-1 ATS as a conference home dog & 5-1 ATS at home with rest vs. a conference opponent....


Good luck....
 

lowell

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Jul 6, 2003
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Was on the fence about this play, but a respected gambler that I know also likes it, so I played it....

Under 34 1st half A&M / Ok St....

Although this year Ok St. has averaged 33 1st half ppg by itself, that was against Wash.St.,Troy, & Tulsa....I am hoping that the A&M defense is better than the defenses of those 3 teams.... None of the 3 games (SF Austin, Lou Tech, & Fla. Int'l) that A&M has play thus far has gone over 34 points in the 1st half....Also hoping that the players on these teams get national TV jitters...In addition, one of the computer sites that I use projects that these teams will score 25 combined points in the 1st half tonight....


Good luck....

nice call on the under. glad i read your post. latched on the your winner. thanks.
 

Axle

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Nov 15, 2004
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Thanks AR.................at this site, "you're one of the ones" that make it great..........:SIB
 

RAYMOND

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GL AL YOUR ONE OF THE CLASS ACT AROUND HERE! YOUR GREAT PEOPLE:toast:
 

Irish

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AR
Don't let them get you down. I respect you and what you do. I also know your trying to help but to just follow someone with checking on stuff them self is a reason touts make a ton of money and those guys crying don't.

Good luck this weekend brother!

Cheers
Irish
 

Ronnie

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Oct 16, 2000
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You're a good man Al! Don't listen to the newbies or the idiots that we're surrounded by. Good Luck this weekend!
 

AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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Thanks guys....

Here is who I am playing so far....

Georgia-3 (120)....
Navy+10....
Clemson+4(120)....
Tenn+17(120)....
Toledo-3....
NC State+4....
Under 44(120) Tulane / Rutgers....
Under 53(120) Ohio / E. Mich....
Mich.St.+3 (130)....
Under 49(120) Fla. / Bama....
Under 42(120) Penn St / Iowa....
Army+6 (120)....
Under 47 Vandy / Conn....
Under 45 ND / BC....
Az.St.+4(120)....
Under 58 Kent. / Miss....
Minn.+6(120)....
Virginia+7....


Good luck....
 

Skipper

BITCH!!
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Feb 19, 2003
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AR - Was thinking of hitting the over on Kentucky/Ole Miss - see you are on the under. Talk to me on this one.
 

AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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AR - Was thinking of hitting the over on Kentucky/Ole Miss - see you are on the under. Talk to me on this one.

Hey Skip....I use a numerical system that I develop when I cap games & it gave me that there is a 55% chance that the total points scored will go below the number posted....Normally I wouldn't make a play on it, but I played it because a few other cappers that I read played it also....But my system hasn't worked so well over the past few years, I wouldn't let me sway you against making a play....

Good luck with whatever you play....
 

Cie

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Apr 30, 2003
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Good morning, sir. I blew past my stop loss of 20 units while you were away, but just decided that I will keep playing until I drain my account:( ..... or turn it around:00hour

Went with these:

Clem
ND
Ill
Duke
VT:scared
Army


Glad to see you on a couple. Good luck on all of 'em.

Of course, I don't have to tell you that I am pleased you are back.......Cheers:toast:
 
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