(Ahman)Green Bay -4.5
3 is the magic number. It's the number of BIG PLAY threats Green Bay has. It's Farve, Green, and Driver(Franks sometimes). Philly has 1 in McNabb. That's it. No true down field threat. I don't see Philly hanging around much in this one. Believe me, the number looks enticing. I could get 5.5 in many places. This is the first game this year that Philly will be playing on REAL GRASS. They have played all 8 games on either Field Turf (home and Meadowlands) or Astro Turf(Dallas and Atlanta). Philly has looked like the team of old...against the Jets, Bills, and Falcons??? Green Bay is a team that peaks midseason and falls on their faces down the stretch. Midseason is now. I don't see any answers to Green Bay's big play abilities from a thinly rotated, injury plagued Eagles squad that has given up more than they have scored this year. So? How are you 5-3 after giving up more points than you have scored you ask? By playing bad teams. The only good team the Eagles have played was New England and the Pats exploited the piss out of the injury-plagued Eagle Secondary. All of Philly's wins have been against bad teams(Jets, Falcons, Bills, Giants, Redskins) they have not yet beaten one team with a .500 record yet. Lot's of reasons to think you are getting a value with the points. That would only apply to a good team. In my opinion, Philly isn't a good team. I'm betting on Winners tonight in Green Bay and the Ultimate Winner in Brett Farve. Ahman Green has to rank right up there with Holmes as a true game breaker. This game definately won't showcase the excitement of last week's fixer...I mean thriller. I would be suprised to say Green Bay come up short of winning by 2 TD's in this one.
Green Bay 24 Eagles 10
Even the Packer's D-Line will look sharp vs that pitiful Philly O-Line. And to think I almost took Philly when I first saw this number.
Some Trends and Stats for both teams:
Packers
5-0 ATS as Favorites vs opponent of BB SU Wins(Philly)
8-1 ATS L9 MNF Games
15-2-1 ATS Versus Philly in the betting situation of Betting Green Bay vs an opponent of BB SU and ATS wins.
Mike Sherman's Packers are 6-1 ATS on MNF
8-3 ATS home vs opponent off SU win
These things are full of crap but I love hunting for them. It's like finding lint in your pockets.
Seriously...
My calculations have the Packers winning approximately 24-21 but I had to take the Pack in this spot on Monday Night against a team that appears to have found itself to the Public Eye but has really pulled it off with smoke and mirrors (no pun intended w/ the Giants game) with a banged up defense versus some pretty pitiful teams. They will be a step slower in the first game on real grass all year. They are a true turf team. I think it's about that time of year that Green Bay peaks way too soon and what better way to follow up an exorcism of the demons at the Metrodome than to have a Big Win against a preceived good team on MNF.
3 is the magic number. It's the number of BIG PLAY threats Green Bay has. It's Farve, Green, and Driver(Franks sometimes). Philly has 1 in McNabb. That's it. No true down field threat. I don't see Philly hanging around much in this one. Believe me, the number looks enticing. I could get 5.5 in many places. This is the first game this year that Philly will be playing on REAL GRASS. They have played all 8 games on either Field Turf (home and Meadowlands) or Astro Turf(Dallas and Atlanta). Philly has looked like the team of old...against the Jets, Bills, and Falcons??? Green Bay is a team that peaks midseason and falls on their faces down the stretch. Midseason is now. I don't see any answers to Green Bay's big play abilities from a thinly rotated, injury plagued Eagles squad that has given up more than they have scored this year. So? How are you 5-3 after giving up more points than you have scored you ask? By playing bad teams. The only good team the Eagles have played was New England and the Pats exploited the piss out of the injury-plagued Eagle Secondary. All of Philly's wins have been against bad teams(Jets, Falcons, Bills, Giants, Redskins) they have not yet beaten one team with a .500 record yet. Lot's of reasons to think you are getting a value with the points. That would only apply to a good team. In my opinion, Philly isn't a good team. I'm betting on Winners tonight in Green Bay and the Ultimate Winner in Brett Farve. Ahman Green has to rank right up there with Holmes as a true game breaker. This game definately won't showcase the excitement of last week's fixer...I mean thriller. I would be suprised to say Green Bay come up short of winning by 2 TD's in this one.
Green Bay 24 Eagles 10
Even the Packer's D-Line will look sharp vs that pitiful Philly O-Line. And to think I almost took Philly when I first saw this number.
Some Trends and Stats for both teams:
Packers
5-0 ATS as Favorites vs opponent of BB SU Wins(Philly)
8-1 ATS L9 MNF Games
15-2-1 ATS Versus Philly in the betting situation of Betting Green Bay vs an opponent of BB SU and ATS wins.
Mike Sherman's Packers are 6-1 ATS on MNF
8-3 ATS home vs opponent off SU win
These things are full of crap but I love hunting for them. It's like finding lint in your pockets.
Seriously...
My calculations have the Packers winning approximately 24-21 but I had to take the Pack in this spot on Monday Night against a team that appears to have found itself to the Public Eye but has really pulled it off with smoke and mirrors (no pun intended w/ the Giants game) with a banged up defense versus some pretty pitiful teams. They will be a step slower in the first game on real grass all year. They are a true turf team. I think it's about that time of year that Green Bay peaks way too soon and what better way to follow up an exorcism of the demons at the Metrodome than to have a Big Win against a preceived good team on MNF.
