Fade wants
- Thread starter eeeerock
- Start date
my fav fades on Atl as well. Iwant to and am really really close to playing the Jets but can't seem to find the inner strength. Probably just watch my fantasy dudes with no action. This is about as close to a must win for the dirty birds as they come
2nd that,having a hard time to play Jets as well.I think I'm screwing up by not just fading and leaving my thoughts out of it!!!!
New York Jets at Atlanta Falcons ? Open: -7.5, Move: -10.5, Move: -10
Books opened the Falcons as low as 7.5-point home favorites, and have been the public choice since post. Atlanta has jumped as many as three points at some books, with both public and sharp money on the home team.
According to Mike Perry of Sportsbook.com, 72 percent of the action for this game is on Atlanta, pushing the spread through the key number of -10. However, once the spread got to 10.5, money came back on New York, buying up the inflated underdog.
Like most Monday games, the public sides with the favorite and the Over, and Week 5 is no different.
Not for nothing, but Ive seen many many games where the final number ends up right there in the middle for the 'sharps' to clean up. Im talking about exactly an 8, 9, or 10 pt win. Betting on Geno 911 on the road is something I cant do without 2 tds though. So, live betting or HT plays.
Ive cashed in several times this year betting ON shitty Jacksonville. Just last week against the Rams I had 17' for a winner and against Seattle I grabbed +31' at the half when they were down 24. The key to winning with these garbage teams is getting the best value and most points you can. Still, you have to know when to say when like trying to grab Houston and a couple TDs last night was never gonna work.
GL
Books opened the Falcons as low as 7.5-point home favorites, and have been the public choice since post. Atlanta has jumped as many as three points at some books, with both public and sharp money on the home team.
According to Mike Perry of Sportsbook.com, 72 percent of the action for this game is on Atlanta, pushing the spread through the key number of -10. However, once the spread got to 10.5, money came back on New York, buying up the inflated underdog.
Like most Monday games, the public sides with the favorite and the Over, and Week 5 is no different.
Not for nothing, but Ive seen many many games where the final number ends up right there in the middle for the 'sharps' to clean up. Im talking about exactly an 8, 9, or 10 pt win. Betting on Geno 911 on the road is something I cant do without 2 tds though. So, live betting or HT plays.
Ive cashed in several times this year betting ON shitty Jacksonville. Just last week against the Rams I had 17' for a winner and against Seattle I grabbed +31' at the half when they were down 24. The key to winning with these garbage teams is getting the best value and most points you can. Still, you have to know when to say when like trying to grab Houston and a couple TDs last night was never gonna work.
GL
Totally agree with this.. I do the same thing. I think they take into consideration that original backers are going to continue to pound their play making the other side very valuable especially after ea. score/punt..
Do you consider taking the other side of that equation and take the favorite for a first half play ? Or is it a patience play to find the over inflated dog value in the second half ?
