Tennessee(-32) over Vanderbilt (1*)
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SMU(-6') over Tulsa (1*)
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Alabama(-20') over Auburn
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I'm all in now.
GL
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SMU(-6') over Tulsa (1*)
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Alabama(-20') over Auburn
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I'm all in now.
GL
First and Ten
- Thread starter lostinamerica
- Start date
Adding those last 3 plays was brutal.
LSU(+6) over Texas A&M (1*)
- - I?m relying on knowledgeable capping sources I often rely on that the team taking the field tonight for the final game of Coach O in Death Valley will be a live dog.
California(+6') over UCLA (1*)
- - I learned from my brother-in-law about 25 years ago what a big rivalry the Bear Bowl is. Although it was easy money last week to bet on both teams kicking ass in rivalry games, what a risk it generally is to make a play on either of these yo-yo teams in 2021. I like the Cal coach, QB and defense, a bit, but they never really show progress, and they will likely get crushed after they came through for me last week.
Kentucky(+3)(-120) over Louisville (1*)
- - Another underrated football rivalry. The Kentucky defense ain't what it should be, but I just like this play better than other options with Pittsburgh or Clemson.
GL
LSU(+6) over Texas A&M (1*)
- - I?m relying on knowledgeable capping sources I often rely on that the team taking the field tonight for the final game of Coach O in Death Valley will be a live dog.
California(+6') over UCLA (1*)
- - I learned from my brother-in-law about 25 years ago what a big rivalry the Bear Bowl is. Although it was easy money last week to bet on both teams kicking ass in rivalry games, what a risk it generally is to make a play on either of these yo-yo teams in 2021. I like the Cal coach, QB and defense, a bit, but they never really show progress, and they will likely get crushed after they came through for me last week.
Kentucky(+3)(-120) over Louisville (1*)
- - Another underrated football rivalry. The Kentucky defense ain't what it should be, but I just like this play better than other options with Pittsburgh or Clemson.
GL
NCAA YTD: 111-92 (+10.45*)
NFL YTD: 41-47 (-12.60*)
Cincinnati(-10')(-105) over Houston (2*)
- - I wouldn?t play it any other way. You shouldn?t, either.
Georgia(-7)(-105) over Alabama (1.5*)
- - I?m on board with the idea that this is their time for HC Kirby Smart and his Georgia Bulldogs. In a game and a matchup of this magnitude, I won?t parse my thinking with any niceties about this game being some mere prelude, and a suspect Bama squad really has superior motivation.
Utah(-3) over Oregon (1*)
- - I?ve not really been going back and forth on this game as much as being unable to commit. I really like Oregon HC Cristobal and the way he looks to have his teams play tough and physical in a conference not known as such, and the Ducks now have a score to settle after being thrashed just two weeks ago. But I see Utah as the 2021 team that found and matured with a tough guy identity and the right QB at the helm. Now I?m hoping this Utah program that is hungry to earn its first Rose Bowl trip is ready to seize their opportunity.
GL
NFL YTD: 41-47 (-12.60*)
Cincinnati(-10')(-105) over Houston (2*)
- - I wouldn?t play it any other way. You shouldn?t, either.
Georgia(-7)(-105) over Alabama (1.5*)
- - I?m on board with the idea that this is their time for HC Kirby Smart and his Georgia Bulldogs. In a game and a matchup of this magnitude, I won?t parse my thinking with any niceties about this game being some mere prelude, and a suspect Bama squad really has superior motivation.
Utah(-3) over Oregon (1*)
- - I?ve not really been going back and forth on this game as much as being unable to commit. I really like Oregon HC Cristobal and the way he looks to have his teams play tough and physical in a conference not known as such, and the Ducks now have a score to settle after being thrashed just two weeks ago. But I see Utah as the 2021 team that found and matured with a tough guy identity and the right QB at the helm. Now I?m hoping this Utah program that is hungry to earn its first Rose Bowl trip is ready to seize their opportunity.
GL
Never had the balls to bet against Saban.
Through the years, if I thought the other team could cover- I just stayed off.
This year has shown numerous chinks in the "Tide Armor"
At times, their defense, other times, special teams.
They don't have the dominant run game of years past.
Young is going to be a tremendous QB.
But, I agree with your assessment.
Georgia is the best choice today.
Best of luck thru the bowl season, Barney
Through the years, if I thought the other team could cover- I just stayed off.
This year has shown numerous chinks in the "Tide Armor"
At times, their defense, other times, special teams.
They don't have the dominant run game of years past.
Young is going to be a tremendous QB.
But, I agree with your assessment.
Georgia is the best choice today.
Best of luck thru the bowl season, Barney
Cheers, Cousin Andy! :0008 :toast:
I'm sure you won't be following me in with a play on the Chokeyes.
Go Hawks!
GL
I'm sure you won't be following me in with a play on the Chokeyes.
Go Hawks!
GL
Oklahoma State(-6') over Baylor (1*)
- - As I wrote last week: ?I have repeatedly seen more and then more to like from Okie Lite . . . . What I don?t think I will ever like is HC Mike Gundy in any big game, ESPECIALLY when my wager requires him to win by more than a single point.? Sure enough, I was one of the unfortunates to have OSU at -4' last week, and now I have taken a fateful extra 1/2 point with my wager this week . . . Back to the well this week, backing the team that keeps showing me the right stuff, but resigned to the likelihood that an ATS cover is a bridge to far . . .I will toss out one interesting trend I read, that when a college team is looking for revenge against a team that beat them earlier in the season, they are a woeful 2-17 SU and 6-13 ATS when facing a behemoth with a winning percentage of .916 or greater; two instances today with Baylor and Appalachian State.
Louisiana Lafayette(+3)(-129) over Appalachian State (1*)
- - I know very little about either team, their strengths and weaknesses, their 2021 intangibles, or their recent and distant pasts, and I?m not inclined to spend research time this week trying to figure things out. What I do know is that in terms of things I found this week while looking up other things, I have tripped over enough instances of cappers I trust for their knowledge and effort making this a strong play for me to make it a play.
GL
- - As I wrote last week: ?I have repeatedly seen more and then more to like from Okie Lite . . . . What I don?t think I will ever like is HC Mike Gundy in any big game, ESPECIALLY when my wager requires him to win by more than a single point.? Sure enough, I was one of the unfortunates to have OSU at -4' last week, and now I have taken a fateful extra 1/2 point with my wager this week . . . Back to the well this week, backing the team that keeps showing me the right stuff, but resigned to the likelihood that an ATS cover is a bridge to far . . .I will toss out one interesting trend I read, that when a college team is looking for revenge against a team that beat them earlier in the season, they are a woeful 2-17 SU and 6-13 ATS when facing a behemoth with a winning percentage of .916 or greater; two instances today with Baylor and Appalachian State.
Louisiana Lafayette(+3)(-129) over Appalachian State (1*)
- - I know very little about either team, their strengths and weaknesses, their 2021 intangibles, or their recent and distant pasts, and I?m not inclined to spend research time this week trying to figure things out. What I do know is that in terms of things I found this week while looking up other things, I have tripped over enough instances of cappers I trust for their knowledge and effort making this a strong play for me to make it a play.
GL
Actually---- Georgia is my only play today.
I do sort of like Louisiana but staying off.
Knock em dead...
I do sort of like Louisiana but staying off.
Knock em dead...
Wake Forest/Pittsburgh(Ov72) (1*)
- - I can?t justify two full units worth of plays on a game about which I don?t really have any strong feelings. My stock in trade is picking a side to wager on in most every game in which the intensity is ratched up to a championship level, and in this game my lean to Pitt is probably because I follow Pitt on a weekly basis closer than any other ACC team. But my choice here is to play the Over between two teams I have watched put up pinball game-like numbers throughout the season, and maybe I can land one of those outcomes that is a no doubt winner early and entertaining as hell until the end (I?ll be watching with one eye even while I?m intently watching the Iowa game with both eyes).
USC(+4') over California (1*)
- - As if I need one more play. I don?t see USC looking to quit ahead of this game, and that?s enough to give Cal a big challenge.
GL
- - I can?t justify two full units worth of plays on a game about which I don?t really have any strong feelings. My stock in trade is picking a side to wager on in most every game in which the intensity is ratched up to a championship level, and in this game my lean to Pitt is probably because I follow Pitt on a weekly basis closer than any other ACC team. But my choice here is to play the Over between two teams I have watched put up pinball game-like numbers throughout the season, and maybe I can land one of those outcomes that is a no doubt winner early and entertaining as hell until the end (I?ll be watching with one eye even while I?m intently watching the Iowa game with both eyes).
USC(+4') over California (1*)
- - As if I need one more play. I don?t see USC looking to quit ahead of this game, and that?s enough to give Cal a big challenge.
GL
Iowa(+12) over Michigan (1*)
- - Almost no chance my money would not be with this flawed but not fraudulent Iowa team being given almost no chance going against Michigan for a trip to the Rose Bowl, no real insight to offer with a deeper look at my thoughts and prayers.
GL
- - Almost no chance my money would not be with this flawed but not fraudulent Iowa team being given almost no chance going against Michigan for a trip to the Rose Bowl, no real insight to offer with a deeper look at my thoughts and prayers.
GL
2021-2022 NCAA Bowl Season YTD: 0-0 (+0.00*)
2021 NCAA Regular Season YTD: 114-97 (+8.47*)
2021 NFL Regular Season YTD: 51-55 (-11.30*)
- - I feel good about my prospects for the Bowl season beginning around December 28, when teams I regularly follow for wagering and sports fanatic purposes come to the fore. Michigan, Ohio State, Minnesota, Cincinnati, Washington State, North Carolina, Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, Iowa, UCLA and Maryland will almost certainly be plays. Until then, I'm not too confident I will be squeezing out any profits, but the bankroll is intact for absorbing any reasonable losses . . . While I feel I have made a good effort to cap the late games for today, it is also a fact that 10 or less of the 211 NCAA wagers I have made this season have been games in which one of today's eight teams was a participant.
Marshall(+4) over Louisiana (1*)
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BYU(-6) over UAB (1*)
- - https://universe.byu.edu/2021/12/16...ith-plenty-on-the-line-for-independence-bowl/
Liberty(-9) over Eastern Michigan (1*)
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Utah State(+7) over Oregon State (1*)
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GL
2021 NCAA Regular Season YTD: 114-97 (+8.47*)
2021 NFL Regular Season YTD: 51-55 (-11.30*)
- - I feel good about my prospects for the Bowl season beginning around December 28, when teams I regularly follow for wagering and sports fanatic purposes come to the fore. Michigan, Ohio State, Minnesota, Cincinnati, Washington State, North Carolina, Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, Iowa, UCLA and Maryland will almost certainly be plays. Until then, I'm not too confident I will be squeezing out any profits, but the bankroll is intact for absorbing any reasonable losses . . . While I feel I have made a good effort to cap the late games for today, it is also a fact that 10 or less of the 211 NCAA wagers I have made this season have been games in which one of today's eight teams was a participant.
Marshall(+4) over Louisiana (1*)
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BYU(-6) over UAB (1*)
- - https://universe.byu.edu/2021/12/16...ith-plenty-on-the-line-for-independence-bowl/
Liberty(-9) over Eastern Michigan (1*)
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Utah State(+7) over Oregon State (1*)
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GL
2021-2022 NCAA Bowl Season YTD: 2-3 (-1.50*)
2021 NCAA Regular Season YTD: 114-97 (+8.47*)
2021 NFL Regular Season YTD: 65-65 (-8.90*)
North Carolina State (-2) over UCLA (1*)
- - A change from my anticipated play when the Bowl schedule was released. NC State is serious about building toward next year and it starts here.
Houston(-1') over Auburn (1*)
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Minnesota(-5) over West Virginia (1*)
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GL
2021 NCAA Regular Season YTD: 114-97 (+8.47*)
2021 NFL Regular Season YTD: 65-65 (-8.90*)
North Carolina State (-2) over UCLA (1*)
- - A change from my anticipated play when the Bowl schedule was released. NC State is serious about building toward next year and it starts here.
Houston(-1') over Auburn (1*)
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Minnesota(-5) over West Virginia (1*)
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GL
Maryland(-3)(-130) over Virginia Tech (1*)
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Oklahoma(-6')(-115) over Oregon (1*)
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Clemson(-2') over Iowa State (1*)
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GL
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Oklahoma(-6')(-115) over Oregon (1*)
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Clemson(-2') over Iowa State (1*)
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GL
2021-2022 NCAA Bowl Season YTD: 7-3 (+3.50*)
2021 NCAA Regular Season YTD: 114-97 (+8.47*)
2021 NFL Regular Season YTD: 65-65 (-8.90*)
I think I can feel good about 5-0 beginning on December 28. Really, with the last 5 plays, the Clemson game was the only one in which I was torn even a little toward the other side . . . Today?s card looks and feels a lot trickier to me, before I am back to feeling much more decisive about most of the games on December 31 and January 1.
Michigan State(-3)(-115) over Pittsburgh (1*)
- - I would be on Pitt if QB Pickett was playing to carve up the atrocious Michigan State pass defense. But without Picket, the HC Narduzzi I know seems likely to gravitate to a physical style that seems like just what HC Mel Tucker and this Michigan State team want to play.
North Carolina(-11) over South Carolina (1*)
- - NC seems very focused on capping their season with a strong effort in this game, and SC does not impress me if NC brings their A game.
Tennessee(-7') over Purdue (1*)
- - Really tough one for me because I am a believer in Purdue HC Jeff Brohm, and I think he will have his squad ready to rumble in order to cement a season in which the program took a major step forward, but without two huge playmakers, I think it will be Tennessee that finds a way to play from the lead and stay on the attack if this wager comes through . . . Actually, somewhat silly that I expect a live dog and am taking Tennessee.
GL
2021 NCAA Regular Season YTD: 114-97 (+8.47*)
2021 NFL Regular Season YTD: 65-65 (-8.90*)
I think I can feel good about 5-0 beginning on December 28. Really, with the last 5 plays, the Clemson game was the only one in which I was torn even a little toward the other side . . . Today?s card looks and feels a lot trickier to me, before I am back to feeling much more decisive about most of the games on December 31 and January 1.
Michigan State(-3)(-115) over Pittsburgh (1*)
- - I would be on Pitt if QB Pickett was playing to carve up the atrocious Michigan State pass defense. But without Picket, the HC Narduzzi I know seems likely to gravitate to a physical style that seems like just what HC Mel Tucker and this Michigan State team want to play.
North Carolina(-11) over South Carolina (1*)
- - NC seems very focused on capping their season with a strong effort in this game, and SC does not impress me if NC brings their A game.
Tennessee(-7') over Purdue (1*)
- - Really tough one for me because I am a believer in Purdue HC Jeff Brohm, and I think he will have his squad ready to rumble in order to cement a season in which the program took a major step forward, but without two huge playmakers, I think it will be Tennessee that finds a way to play from the lead and stay on the attack if this wager comes through . . . Actually, somewhat silly that I expect a live dog and am taking Tennessee.
GL
Michigan(+7') over Georgia (1.5*)
- - I guess Michigan has still earned no respect, and Georgia hasn?t slipped any.
Washington State(-7)(-105) over Central Michigan (1.5*)
- - In the decades I?ve been capping games, I find it extremely rare for a full team to be infused with a resolve of rallying for a huge chunk of their campaign after losing their coach, and the reason for the loss had nothing to do with the team sucking, and then at the end of that campaign the team is on the verge of accomplishing so freaking much. That take was the right side to be on in Wazzu's last game against their bitter nemesis. With the final chapter against a MAC squad on New Year's Eve, hold me back.
Cincinnati(+14) over Alabama (1*)
- - Simply put, I wouldn?t play it any other way. Cinci is no fraud when it comes to having players and playmakers all over the field that they can bring to bear and exploit in any contest of crucial matchups, with an exceptionally underrated head coach and staff that very much know what they are doing. If QB Desmond Ridder plays at the level he always has in big games, their will be some excitement in this game against a sporting Goliath.
Wake Forest(-17) over Rutgers (1*)
- - An overachieving Rutgers squad was beaten up and beaten down by the end of a grueling season, but Greg Schiano is the right type of prick head coach that can rally and recharge a beleaguered team being given a great opportunity they did not earn. What will Wake Forest do?
GL
- - I guess Michigan has still earned no respect, and Georgia hasn?t slipped any.
Washington State(-7)(-105) over Central Michigan (1.5*)
- - In the decades I?ve been capping games, I find it extremely rare for a full team to be infused with a resolve of rallying for a huge chunk of their campaign after losing their coach, and the reason for the loss had nothing to do with the team sucking, and then at the end of that campaign the team is on the verge of accomplishing so freaking much. That take was the right side to be on in Wazzu's last game against their bitter nemesis. With the final chapter against a MAC squad on New Year's Eve, hold me back.
Cincinnati(+14) over Alabama (1*)
- - Simply put, I wouldn?t play it any other way. Cinci is no fraud when it comes to having players and playmakers all over the field that they can bring to bear and exploit in any contest of crucial matchups, with an exceptionally underrated head coach and staff that very much know what they are doing. If QB Desmond Ridder plays at the level he always has in big games, their will be some excitement in this game against a sporting Goliath.
Wake Forest(-17) over Rutgers (1*)
- - An overachieving Rutgers squad was beaten up and beaten down by the end of a grueling season, but Greg Schiano is the right type of prick head coach that can rally and recharge a beleaguered team being given a great opportunity they did not earn. What will Wake Forest do?
GL
2021-2022 NCAA Bowl Season YTD: 9-9 (-2.13*)
Iowa(+3') over Kentucky (1*)
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Notre Dame(Pk) over Oklahoma State (1*)
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Arkansas(-3)(-125) over Penn State (1*)
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Ohio State(-4) over Utah (1*)
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Mississippi(-1) over Baylor (1*)
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GL
Iowa(+3') over Kentucky (1*)
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Notre Dame(Pk) over Oklahoma State (1*)
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Arkansas(-3)(-125) over Penn State (1*)
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Ohio State(-4) over Utah (1*)
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Mississippi(-1) over Baylor (1*)
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GL
2021-2022 NCAA Bowl Season YTD: 11-12 (-3.43*)
2021 NCAA Regular Season YTD: 114-97 (+8.47*)
2021 NFL Regular Season YTD: 74-70 (-5.65*)
Kansas State(-7') over LSU (1*)
- - https://www.madjacksports.com/forum...re-Christmas&p=4513942&viewfull=1#post4513942
This game is definitely embraced as being really important by the budding regime at KSU, and QB Skylar Thompson has been a genuine sparkplug every time I've seen him play.
GL
2021 NCAA Regular Season YTD: 114-97 (+8.47*)
2021 NFL Regular Season YTD: 74-70 (-5.65*)
Kansas State(-7') over LSU (1*)
- - https://www.madjacksports.com/forum...re-Christmas&p=4513942&viewfull=1#post4513942
This game is definitely embraced as being really important by the budding regime at KSU, and QB Skylar Thompson has been a genuine sparkplug every time I've seen him play.
GL
2021-2022 NCAA Bowl Season YTD: 12-12 (-2.43*)
2021 NCAA Regular Season YTD: 114-97 (+8.47*)
2021 NFL Regular Season YTD: 81-76 (-5.25*)
Georgia(-2') over Alabama (1*)
- - There is no question that Alabama was the desperate team in their first matchup. If Georgia had a relatively soft schedule (including the opener against Clemson), there is no question they have gained some useful seasoning while playing their last two games against Alabama and Michigan. I expect a pitched battle, and simply put, I hate the idea of letting Georgia carry my cash so that if Saban wins it will sting twice.
GL
2021 NCAA Regular Season YTD: 114-97 (+8.47*)
2021 NFL Regular Season YTD: 81-76 (-5.25*)
Georgia(-2') over Alabama (1*)
- - There is no question that Alabama was the desperate team in their first matchup. If Georgia had a relatively soft schedule (including the opener against Clemson), there is no question they have gained some useful seasoning while playing their last two games against Alabama and Michigan. I expect a pitched battle, and simply put, I hate the idea of letting Georgia carry my cash so that if Saban wins it will sting twice.
GL
