NFL YTD: 31-37 (-11.30*)
NCAA YTD: 101-80 (+12.85*)
Indianapolis(+7) over Buffalo (1*)
- - Indy is a dome team that is built to play outdoors. As Mooch might say, ?Gonna be a close game, lots of fun.?
New Orleans(+3) over Philadelphia (1*)
- - New Orleans with the advantages of Sean Payton at the helm has been strong ATS as a dog, on the road, and after a loss. Maybe no team in the NFL loses less than NO by going from their first string to second string QB. Philadelphia has thrived against defenses that give up big plays and are weak against the run and will have the benefit of neither in this game.
Minnesota(+1)(-105) over Green Bay (1 Biscuit)
- - Bettors find Green Bay paying out like a broken slot machine with a rare 9-0 ATS run. QB Rodgers looked rusty last week, and with Covid and toe-vid issues, has still practiced only about twice in the last 3 weeks. Minnesota leads the league with 29 sacks, and Rodgers under pressure has a 14.9 passer rating this year. GB was ?buggered up? big time before the Seattle game, and it only got worse. HC Matt LaFleur said right after the Seattle game that it seemed like he had a tired team (which makes real sense with no bye yet for his short handed roster, and today makes 7 of 11 games on the road). GB will be facing lots of energy in the U.S. Bank dome, without the benefit of the seats being filled with 30+% Packers fans. Everything I know about the NFL, and most everything I?m seeing from Green Bay and Minnesota, has me feeling a road win against a quality division rival today is likely a bridge too far.
Dallas(+3)(-130) over Kansas City (1*)
- -
Houston(+10) over Tennessee (1*)
- - I like QB Tyrod Taylor in small doses but not for a whole season, and his squad should be poised to play reasonably well against the division kings, while nothing about this spot suggests a particularly best of November effort by the Titans.
Los Angeles Chargers(-6) over Pittsburgh (1*)
- - I'm going with offense over defense in prime time, despite the Steelers home game on the road.
Seattle(-3) over Arizona (1*)
- -
Washington(+3)(+100) over Carolina (1*)
- -
Detroit(+13) over Cleveland (1*)
- - I wanted to play Detroit last week, but I didn't. I tried to stay away today, but I haven't. I am 0-4 ATS or worse on Detroit games this season.
GL