NBA SUN 032209 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)
- Thread starter axp59
- Start date
Holy S...you aint lying!!
0-7SU
0-7ATS
on Sundays at home
numbers don't get any better when they're on the road. 2-11SU/1-11 ATS. I guess DET does firmly believe that SUN is the day of rest.
Nice numbers for the under too...
books look like they have a good number at MIA +1.5
jlip has me convinced on OKC...
todays card
no more NCAA for me. Lost WAS last night for the full game, got a little back on the 2nd half but overall record in NCAA is 3-4 and not worth the headache. That being said I am sure I will bet on the final 4 and title game.
Cleavland will kill the Nets today in my opinion and Detriot wont even be out of bed
by the time DWADE has 10 and Miami is up by as many. :mj07:
thats it for today,
BOLTA
todays card
- OKC Over 199 (tailing Jlip)
- NO U215 (POD for me):00hour
- Miami ML
no more NCAA for me. Lost WAS last night for the full game, got a little back on the 2nd half but overall record in NCAA is 3-4 and not worth the headache. That being said I am sure I will bet on the final 4 and title game.
Cleavland will kill the Nets today in my opinion and Detriot wont even be out of bed
by the time DWADE has 10 and Miami is up by as many. :mj07: thats it for today,
BOLTA
Yes Flippa...when the hell do I start finally trusting this eye? If I go back this season, I've had a very good run at my first spot games. Then of course I think I know better and start over analyzing things. LOL...it hasn't turned out badly but it would have saved me hours of work everyday. Maybe I'll try it Monday. I'll spot the game and run with it....NOT
Throw 'em out there if you got 'em. No secret I'm not a big fan of today's card in the bigs.
Can you tell I am a little slow and hung over this morning..... I spelled HYPED Hipe in my previous message...
Oh well. I cant figure this Miami/Det Line out. :shrug:
\
To me the play might be on the UNDER 184 but then again I might just pass and keep my winnings from yesterday.
Oh well. I cant figure this Miami/Det Line out. :shrug:
\
To me the play might be on the UNDER 184 but then again I might just pass and keep my winnings from yesterday.
Where do you list your pods? Dont wanna miss out. Are they in this thread? causu\e at the top of your post you say no picks inside. just a little confussed. thanks
This was one of the games I highlighted ProGuy on page 1 somewhere. I like this more than others but as I also pointed out, this has very minimum value for me. Given today's card, this could be my personal POD. I just do not trust NOH to dictate this game and keep it under. Maybe just an action bet on this as the number holds steady @215
I don't know what team is out there on the court sometimes wearing the Hornets uniforms...that's why.
This is making me think too much. Making me think that HOU/SAS is going way under. LOL
Update from Accuscore land:
Numbers confirm Miami outright winner.
Ax, I have no time to post all the numbers so I'm gonna email them to you for the group.
Numbers confirm Miami outright winner.
Ax, I have no time to post all the numbers so I'm gonna email them to you for the group.
- Apr 7, 2008
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I think the top CBB play for today is Missouri. James was cleared to play for Marquette but I doubt he has much of an impact. Even with him healthy I just don't see the Eagles beating Missouri or staying within a few points. I have seen alot of people want to jump on Marquette now because of this news, and I just don't see it. Homer bet or not I will be on Missouri hard.
I think this is also my card but all going to be action bets @ 1/20U. I'm just not convinced to go full 1U on any today.
Nice card Bro
trends for DET at home on Sunday points to an Under play but the 185 is tight. Better off taking the points or even the ML on MIA
- Mar 18, 2009
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By all means, analyze away.
As many would agree, it's quite informative, fun
and a great study to help further develop our own "eye"
I'm just pointing out the fact that whenever you mention "christmas", then I am automatically all over it.
:yup
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Nope, don't be confused. This is just a discussion thread. We talk about games and why certain numbers are 'off'. There are plenty of other threads that give out picks. We just talk. Thanks.
- Mar 18, 2009
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Morning all -
Nothing still jumps out...
If I were to go based on a fictitious "spidey" sense, these are how I would play sides today AND it must be emphasized that I'm likely going to sit today out.
Miami: +2.0
Detroit still w/o Hamilton and Wallace - am acknowledging that they've been competitive in their absence.
Houston: +3.5
Other than Yao/Battier/Scola, the team is relatively athletic, especially at the point guard position (Brooks/Lowry - who very well may turn into an excellent pure point) - the caveat here is Artest's disposition/propensity to flake at moments most detrimental to his team (overdribbling, taking wild 3s, etc.).
Minnesota: +1.0
Undermanned? Most definitely. Dead and buried? They're like the little engine that huffs and puffs - McHale knows full well the season's over, but he hasn't stopped coaching, trying to promote his young team's development - I also find that there's a better chemistry/unity among the Timberwolves w/ and w/o Jefferson; they do look like they actually play for one another. Thunder: Durant + Westbrook: there's only 1 ball for them to share - add in other younger players (Weaver, Green) who have a tendency to deviate from ball rotation/pre-arranged sets - I know they've been covering machines this year, similar to the Trail Blazers last and the Raptors during their Sam Mitchell coach-of-the-year season, but have an unsupported suspicion the sportsbooks have 'em figured out w/ 15 or so games left in the regular season.
Cleveland: -6.0
W/ Harris out, New Jersey goes as Carter goes - I'm one who subscribes that Carter may be the most underachieving talent in the NBA of recent vintage given his prodigious athletic abilities, but 32 years old is 32 years old and asking him to do all of the heavy lifting for an extended phase (and he's been delivering since Harris's injury) is a dubious proposition.
Since I usually start by conjuring up what I think sides will look like before using that data to explore further into totals, totals are also a no go.
