NBA TUE 033109 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)
- Thread starter axp59
- Start date
Your are not entirely crazy...I like it but staying the hell away playing an over with these two teams.
Ax,
Do you analyze teams playing night games after day games (Sun to Mon or maybe even Sun to Tue).
It seems to me that there could be a trend - especially for teams that go over or have a higher scoring game in the Sunday matinee and play Mon night regardless of venue.
Example
MN and NJ playing a high scoring game on Sun afternoon and NJ playing an under last night.
Thanks,
Pistol
Do you analyze teams playing night games after day games (Sun to Mon or maybe even Sun to Tue).
It seems to me that there could be a trend - especially for teams that go over or have a higher scoring game in the Sunday matinee and play Mon night regardless of venue.
Example
MN and NJ playing a high scoring game on Sun afternoon and NJ playing an under last night.
Thanks,
Pistol
Well good to hear I'm not going to be committed. I have two more games I like and I know one of those would definitely make me sound crazy
You gotta Love today!
You gotta Love today!
I really like the way you jumped on the 76ers Under! I think you called it like i see it. It is Playoof times and the defenses will be ready.
The other big play today is the Stones plus 9 1/2. I think a small ML play is in order but certainly they should cover. I t will be a low scoring fight the Cav's will pull away early, the Stones back and the Cav's should pull it out.
Just like the Jazz Knicks last night.
the Prof across the street is being hammered has he settled over here in our quiet place?
:shrug:
You gotta Love today!
I really like the way you jumped on the 76ers Under! I think you called it like i see it. It is Playoof times and the defenses will be ready.
The other big play today is the Stones plus 9 1/2. I think a small ML play is in order but certainly they should cover. I t will be a low scoring fight the Cav's will pull away early, the Stones back and the Cav's should pull it out.
Just like the Jazz Knicks last night.
the Prof across the street is being hammered has he settled over here in our quiet place?
:shrug:
I never thought about that from that angle. They'd be getting more rest though than the average b2b since the previous game was in the afternoon. On the other side would be a late game and coming back to play an early game. hmmmmm
thanks pistol..
man, i've read those allegations. something is not right. those trends he was pulling out of nowhere required serious resources well beyond my spreadsheets and the old guys I'm calling LOL
This is just off my numbers and haven't looked in depth yet. Thunder/Spurs Over. My numbers don't even have it at minimal value right now(1/2pt off) but one thing that catches my eye is that they set this one at 188 when the last meeting, which was in OKC not SA, the total was 186.5 and they had that 78-76 shootout. I just thought off public perception this would be lower. Also surprised that the total hasn't moved all day. Well that is my first take on this will dig deeper in a few.
- Mar 18, 2009
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Like I said in an earlier post, it did go way over tonight's total last time. The only reason I can think of why it's so much lower this time is that the bookies expect a more playoff-type game as we are on the eve of April.
:topic:
anyone remember the Steelers game last NOV against the Chargers.
I lost :banghead:
nope, I won :00hour
nope, I lost :banghead:
oh, I should have won :cursin: :cursin: :cursin:
that must have been the most depressing turn of events in my gambling life. I was just thinking about anything that would make me feel better about the moose last night. :shrug:
just a thought...
anyone remember the Steelers game last NOV against the Chargers.
I lost :banghead:
nope, I won :00hour
nope, I lost :banghead:
oh, I should have won :cursin: :cursin: :cursin:
that must have been the most depressing turn of events in my gambling life. I was just thinking about anything that would make me feel better about the moose last night. :shrug:
just a thought...
put me in the loony bin with you...I think this over is the POD...LOL
I just couldn't throw it out there because it defies all logic.
- Mar 21, 2009
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The system he was using excludes april. Tonight would be the last night and it would favor the bobcats. Because LA on B2B.
not only did i lose my bet i lost my fantasy game that week because i had the steelers defense. it will take awhile for that one to be beat
- Mar 21, 2009
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I had the chargers with the points. I didnt even feel right cashing. That was Bull. Polamalo is a nut lol.
Accuscore as of 1:45pm EST:
Cavs 10.7 and 174.1
Sixers 1.1 and 189.5
Lakers 7 and 188.6
Spurs 14.5 and 191.5
Nuggets 14.2 and 225
Blazers 4.9 and 195.9
Hornets 10 and 205
Pacers 3.4 and 217
Mavs 9.3 and 200.1
Cavs 10.7 and 174.1
Sixers 1.1 and 189.5
Lakers 7 and 188.6
Spurs 14.5 and 191.5
Nuggets 14.2 and 225
Blazers 4.9 and 195.9
Hornets 10 and 205
Pacers 3.4 and 217
Mavs 9.3 and 200.1
I was thinking about this one as well but after losing the over with OKC/BOS the other day, I just can't do it.
I remember that game very well, Ax - lost money on it as well - couldn't believe when the refs just signalled the end of the game since the winner wasn't in doubt, and the interception/TD was a moot point. Assholes...
- Mar 21, 2009
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