NBA TUE 102709 early thoughts - value hunting

axp59

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So is that mean if I put $10,000 to start, $400 for one game, if lost $384 on next game if win $416 on next game

Is that how it works?

OH DEAR GOD NO. $400 for a month or so. What you are describing is going to kill you. Stick with $400 until maybe Thanksgiving. DO NOT DO IT PER BET. Run the numbers hypothetically and that is a LOSING tactic brother.
 

Bennymac17

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40seven - I am with you on the Clippers Under 98 tonight.

IMO I think that is the best available number on the board, especially seeing the number on the Cavs-Celtics game fall to where it is at now.

With Griffin out and Baron Davis a game-time decision, I think its a good first night play.
 

axp59

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One Jackson on the BC CC Under, i may double it later, along with one unit on WW DM.

As for the LA over it seems that number is coming down, I do not want to over think day one BUT if the Clippers do not show and score 85 then the Lakers need to score 120...?

The play may be the Clippers Under 98.

BOL pal...action Jackson! Intriguing play on the LAC under. hmmmmmmmm
 

Eagle123

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OH DEAR GOD NO. $400 for a month or so. What you are describing is going to kill you. Stick with $400 until maybe Thanksgiving. DO NOT DO IT PER BET. Run the numbers hypothetically and that is a LOSING tactic brother.

but if even bet on each game I will need at least 70 to 80% winning rate in order to make profit

Take an example, the odds of tmr game from our book is like this

NBA
[20004] vs [20003]
Cleveland Cavaliers VS. Boston Celtics
under 185 @ 0.840

bet $100 only get $84

Hope u understand what I mean:shrug:
 

axp59

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that ain't right brother. -110 means .9091 in your neck of the woods. You need to shop around for better numbers bro. Your book is ripping you off big time.
 

Eagle123

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that ain't right brother. -110 means .9091 in your neck of the woods. You need to shop around for better numbers bro. Your book is ripping you off big time.

NBA betting down here is not common, most popular is soccer betting

This is the only book have NBA and NFL.
 

Griffin8s

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Oh thank the Lord!! Ax is back!!

Oh thank the Lord!! Ax is back!!

Missed you this summer Bro! Ready to get back at it. I maybe thinking about your homer tonight if they keep getting more points. We will see! GL to all of us this year!!!!!:00hour
 

axp59

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NBA betting down here is not common, most popular is soccer betting

This is the only book have NBA and NFL.

Eagle, I would reconsider this. Shopping for lines is essential to a winning strategy. The odds are stacked against you at this kind of juice and you will only dig yourself a hole big enough to eventually bury you. I'm really sad to hear this old friend.
 

axp59

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Missed you this summer Bro! Ready to get back at it. I maybe thinking about your homer tonight if they keep getting more points. We will see! GL to all of us this year!!!!!:00hour

GUNNY!!!!!Don't tell me you're already betting against your homeys. Good to see you bro. Gave up on NASCAR BTW. People make money on that??? :rolleyes: I'm not cut out for it.
 

Eagle123

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Eagle, I would reconsider this. Shopping for lines is essential to a winning strategy. The odds are stacked against you at this kind of juice and you will only dig yourself a hole big enough to eventually bury you. I'm really sad to hear this old friend.


May be I should look for some off shore book rather then stick with this local book

Get to sleep , see u tomorrow morning:cool:
 

Truckin'

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Ax Great to have you back sharing your knowledge. Best of luck to you this season.

I have not heard anybody mention anything about this in this thread and Ax I am not sure if this affects your LA total but Gasol is out.

:toast:
 

Mindframe913

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Had a great summer brother. I'm sorry I just didn't have the time to participate. I ended up in the black but certainly nothing to brag about. I checked out a new RL strategy this summer and might go with it for the full season next year. Hope you were profitable my friend.



O yea...finished first in wba contest on here...ready to get it goin now in nba
 

Truckin'

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May be I should look for some off shore book rather then stick with this local book

Get to sleep , see u tomorrow morning:cool:

Eagle here is a break down starting w/ $1000 using 5% of your bankroll and increasing the amount of your bet/unit as your bankroll increases.

Some people will disagree w/ 5% and say thats to much, ect but you do what you feel comfortable doing.

Units Bankroll Amount per bet/unit
0 ---------- 1000$ ------- 50$
+10 -------- 1500$ ------- 75$
+20 -------- 2250$ ------- 113$
+30 -------- 3380$ ------- 170$
+40 -------- 5080$ ------- 255$
+50 -------- 7630$ ------- 382$

Hope this helps :toast:
 

axp59

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Ax Great to have you back sharing your knowledge. Best of luck to you this season.

I have not heard anybody mention anything about this in this thread and Ax I am not sure if this affects your LA total but Gasol is out.

:toast:

good call Truck..that number is dropping as we speak. man i'm not in gameday shape LOL

good to see you pal :toast:
 
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