NFL 2021-2022 FOOTBALL SEASON PREVIEWS-NEWS-NOTES-PICKS-RUMORS !
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NFL DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS
Date W-L-T % Units
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0.........34.78%.........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
TOTALS:.............10-17-0.........37.03%.........-43.50
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BEST BETS:
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%.........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
TOTALS:.............7-11-0..........38.88%.........-26.50
UPDATED 12/06/2021
Date W-L-T % Units
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0.........34.78%.........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
TOTALS:.............10-17-0.........37.03%.........-43.50
****************************
BEST BETS:
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%.........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
TOTALS:.............7-11-0..........38.88%.........-26.50
UPDATED 12/06/2021
- Sep 10, 2018
- 19,295
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- 48
Betting Recap - Week 13
Dan Dobish
Overall Notes
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Lions +7 (ML +270) vs. Vikings, 29-27
Steelers +4 (ML +175) vs. Ravens, 20-19
Chargers +3 (ML +125) at Bengals, 41-22
Seahawks +2.5 (ML +125) vs. 49ers, 30-23
The largest favorites to cover
Rams (-14) vs. Jaguars, 37-7
Buccaneers (-10.5) at Falcons, 30-17
Colts (-10) at Texans, 31-0
Chiefs (-8.5) vs. Broncos, 22-9
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Atlanta Falcons (50.5) looked like it was hurtling toward an easy OVER result. The teams combined for 20 points in the first quarter, and a total of 37 points by the half, with the defending champs leading 20-17 at the break.
Things slowed down substantially in the third quarter, as the Buccaneers managed just a touchdown, with the Falcons blanked. The Falcons put up a good egg again, and the Bucs were able to scratch out just a field goal down the stretch. Hopefully you didn't start buying shots for the bar and celebrating at halftime, as the offense slowed to a crawl in a hugely disappointing second half after plenty of fireworks in the first 30.
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II
Like the Bucs-Falcons game above, the Jacksonville Jaguars-Los Angeles Rams (48) look to be in good shape for an OVER. But whenever you need help from the Jaguars offense to get things across the finish line, it usually doesn't end up very well.
The Rams led 10-0 at the end of the first quarter, and they held a 16-7 lead at the break, with the Jacksonville offense actually chipping in. After a pair of touchdowns in the first 11:33 of the third quarter, the Rams held a 30-7 lead, and they started to power things down and go to more of a run-based attack. OVER bettors needed the Jags to do something, anything. It wasn't happening.
L.A. posted a 1-yard touchdown from QB Matthew Stafford to WR Odell Beckham Jr. with 10:52 to go in regulation, and then OVER bettors had to painfully watch the rest of the game go without any points. The Jaguars have now hit the UNDER in second consecutive outings.
Going Streaking
-- The aforementioned Jaguars have cashed the UNDER in seven straight consecutive outings, including each of the past four games on the road.
-- The Denver Broncos have hit the UNDER in six consecutive games after its low-scoring 22-9 loss at Kansas City on SNF, and they're now 10-2 in 12 games to the UNDER so far this season.
-- The Miami Dolphins have picked up five consecutive victories, and they're 5-0 ATS in five outings, while hitting the UNDER in five of the past six.
Total Recall
The lowest total on the board in Week 13 was the Giants-Dolphins (40) game, and it wasn't even close. These teams got off to a slow start with a scoreless first quarter, and the Giants managed just three fields, one in the second, third and fourth quarters. Miami is on a five-game win streak, and the UNDER is 4-1 during that span and 5-1 in the past six overall.
The second-lowest odds on the board are the pending titanic Monday night AFC matchup between the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills (41). The next lowest game, the Arizona Cardinals-Chicago Bears (43), and that game was played in the rain. No worries. Each quarter ended up having a total of 10 or more points, including the final quarter which saw 17 total points for 55 overall.
On the flip side, the highest total on the board for Week 13 was in the Bucs-Falcons (50.5) game, and we told you how that one painfully ended. The second-highest total on the board was the Los Angeles Chargers-Cincinnati Bengals (50) game, and we had 16 or more points in three of the four quarters for a total of 63 points for the easy OVER.
In the primetime games, the UNDER was a perfect 3-0 for the second consecutive week, with the MNF game between the Patriots and Bills in the cold, wind and snow easily cashing UNDER. In fact, QB Mac Jones had just three total pass attempts. The UNDER is now on a 9-1 run across the past 10 primetime games. The UNDER is now 22-14-1 (61.1%) through 37 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.
Looking Ahead to Week 14
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Football (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The first-place Cowboys (8-4) and Washington (6-6) square off at FedEx Field for the first of two meetings down the stretch. This game will go a long way in determining the NFC East, too. A Washington win, and they're right in this thing, while a loss will push the Cowboys well ahead with just four regular-season games remaining.
Dallas slapped the brakes on a two-game mini-slide with a 27-17 win and cover over the New Orleans Saints on Thursday night last week. While they've been a bit inconsistent, going 2-3 ATS, the UNDER is a solid 5-1 across the past six outings.
Washington is on a four-game win streak, and they're 4-0 ATS during the run, too, getting back to .500 after a 2-6 SU start. The WFT is just 2-5 ATS in the past seven games at home against the Cowboys, although the underdog is an impressive 29-13 ATS in the past 42 meetings. The OVER has also cashed in nine of the previous 11 in the series.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Jaguars (2-10) will face the Titans (8-4) for the first time since Week 5 in Jacksonville. The Titans went down to TIAA Bank Stadium and picked up a 37-19 win for their highest scoring output of the season. That kicked off a six-game win streak, and 5-0 ATS run following a shocking loss on the road to the New York Jets.
Jacksonville was manhandled on the road against the Los Angeles Rams, dropping a fifth straight game since its stunning 9-6 win over the Buffalo Bills in Week 9 as a 14.5-point underdog. They're also 0-3 ATS across the past three, while the UNDER continues to cook for the Jags. The UNDER has hit in seven straight outings, with the last OVER hitting in that first meeting with Tennessee.
The Jaguars are just 2-7 ATS in the past nine meetings with the Titans, while going 1-4-1 ATS in the past six trips to Nashville. The OVER is also 5-1 in the past six meetings at Nissan Stadium, too.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)
The Bears (4-8) tumbled in the rain against the Arizona Cardinals, slipping five games back of the first-place Packers (9-3), who were staying dry and warm during a bye. Both teams are 2-1 SU inside the NFC North Division, but the Pack have a huge advantage in overall record, obviously. The point differential for the Bears is minus-86, while the Packers are at plus-41.
Chicago has posted just one win in the past seven games overall, while going 0-3 ATS across the past three games, and 1-6 ATS in the previous seven outings. The UNDER is 8-3 in the previous 11 outings for Chicago, too, although the OVER cashed against the Cards.
Green Bay has been amazing against the spread, going 10-1 ATS across the past 11 games overall, with the only non-cover in Week 11 at Minnesota in a 34-31 loss. The OVER has hit in the past two for Green Bay after a 7-0 UNDER run from Weeks 4 through 10.
The Bears are just 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Lambeau Field, while going 7-21 ATS in the previous 28 meetings in this series. The favorite has cashed in four straight meetings, too.
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)
The Rams (8-4) and Cardinals (10-2) square off in a titanic NFC West Division battle on MNF. These teams met in Week 4 at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles, with the Cardinals rolling to a 37-20 win as 3.5-point underdogs as the OVER connected.
Arizona welcomed back QB Kyler Murray from a multi-week absence, and he helped the Cards to a 33-22 win in rainy Chicago. The OVER is still 3-1 in the previous four outings with or without Murray. The offense has continued to hum.
Los Angeles registered a 37-7 win against Jacksonville in Week 13, cashing as a 14-point favorite. It was L.A.'s first cover as a double-digit favorite in three tries this season. The UNDER is 3-1 in the previous four for the Rams, and 5-2-1 across the past eight outings.
Despite the ugly loss in L.A. earlier in the season, the Rams are still 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine meetings overall, and 6-0 ATS in the past six trips to Arizona. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six in this series, too.
Dan Dobish
Overall Notes
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Lions +7 (ML +270) vs. Vikings, 29-27
Steelers +4 (ML +175) vs. Ravens, 20-19
Chargers +3 (ML +125) at Bengals, 41-22
Seahawks +2.5 (ML +125) vs. 49ers, 30-23
The largest favorites to cover
Rams (-14) vs. Jaguars, 37-7
Buccaneers (-10.5) at Falcons, 30-17
Colts (-10) at Texans, 31-0
Chiefs (-8.5) vs. Broncos, 22-9
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers-Atlanta Falcons (50.5) looked like it was hurtling toward an easy OVER result. The teams combined for 20 points in the first quarter, and a total of 37 points by the half, with the defending champs leading 20-17 at the break.
Things slowed down substantially in the third quarter, as the Buccaneers managed just a touchdown, with the Falcons blanked. The Falcons put up a good egg again, and the Bucs were able to scratch out just a field goal down the stretch. Hopefully you didn't start buying shots for the bar and celebrating at halftime, as the offense slowed to a crawl in a hugely disappointing second half after plenty of fireworks in the first 30.
The Biggest Disappointment of the Week - Part II
Like the Bucs-Falcons game above, the Jacksonville Jaguars-Los Angeles Rams (48) look to be in good shape for an OVER. But whenever you need help from the Jaguars offense to get things across the finish line, it usually doesn't end up very well.
The Rams led 10-0 at the end of the first quarter, and they held a 16-7 lead at the break, with the Jacksonville offense actually chipping in. After a pair of touchdowns in the first 11:33 of the third quarter, the Rams held a 30-7 lead, and they started to power things down and go to more of a run-based attack. OVER bettors needed the Jags to do something, anything. It wasn't happening.
L.A. posted a 1-yard touchdown from QB Matthew Stafford to WR Odell Beckham Jr. with 10:52 to go in regulation, and then OVER bettors had to painfully watch the rest of the game go without any points. The Jaguars have now hit the UNDER in second consecutive outings.
Going Streaking
-- The aforementioned Jaguars have cashed the UNDER in seven straight consecutive outings, including each of the past four games on the road.
-- The Denver Broncos have hit the UNDER in six consecutive games after its low-scoring 22-9 loss at Kansas City on SNF, and they're now 10-2 in 12 games to the UNDER so far this season.
-- The Miami Dolphins have picked up five consecutive victories, and they're 5-0 ATS in five outings, while hitting the UNDER in five of the past six.
Total Recall
The lowest total on the board in Week 13 was the Giants-Dolphins (40) game, and it wasn't even close. These teams got off to a slow start with a scoreless first quarter, and the Giants managed just three fields, one in the second, third and fourth quarters. Miami is on a five-game win streak, and the UNDER is 4-1 during that span and 5-1 in the past six overall.
The second-lowest odds on the board are the pending titanic Monday night AFC matchup between the New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills (41). The next lowest game, the Arizona Cardinals-Chicago Bears (43), and that game was played in the rain. No worries. Each quarter ended up having a total of 10 or more points, including the final quarter which saw 17 total points for 55 overall.
On the flip side, the highest total on the board for Week 13 was in the Bucs-Falcons (50.5) game, and we told you how that one painfully ended. The second-highest total on the board was the Los Angeles Chargers-Cincinnati Bengals (50) game, and we had 16 or more points in three of the four quarters for a total of 63 points for the easy OVER.
In the primetime games, the UNDER was a perfect 3-0 for the second consecutive week, with the MNF game between the Patriots and Bills in the cold, wind and snow easily cashing UNDER. In fact, QB Mac Jones had just three total pass attempts. The UNDER is now on a 9-1 run across the past 10 primetime games. The UNDER is now 22-14-1 (61.1%) through 37 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.
Looking Ahead to Week 14
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Football (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The first-place Cowboys (8-4) and Washington (6-6) square off at FedEx Field for the first of two meetings down the stretch. This game will go a long way in determining the NFC East, too. A Washington win, and they're right in this thing, while a loss will push the Cowboys well ahead with just four regular-season games remaining.
Dallas slapped the brakes on a two-game mini-slide with a 27-17 win and cover over the New Orleans Saints on Thursday night last week. While they've been a bit inconsistent, going 2-3 ATS, the UNDER is a solid 5-1 across the past six outings.
Washington is on a four-game win streak, and they're 4-0 ATS during the run, too, getting back to .500 after a 2-6 SU start. The WFT is just 2-5 ATS in the past seven games at home against the Cowboys, although the underdog is an impressive 29-13 ATS in the past 42 meetings. The OVER has also cashed in nine of the previous 11 in the series.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (Sunday, 1 p.m. ET)
The Jaguars (2-10) will face the Titans (8-4) for the first time since Week 5 in Jacksonville. The Titans went down to TIAA Bank Stadium and picked up a 37-19 win for their highest scoring output of the season. That kicked off a six-game win streak, and 5-0 ATS run following a shocking loss on the road to the New York Jets.
Jacksonville was manhandled on the road against the Los Angeles Rams, dropping a fifth straight game since its stunning 9-6 win over the Buffalo Bills in Week 9 as a 14.5-point underdog. They're also 0-3 ATS across the past three, while the UNDER continues to cook for the Jags. The UNDER has hit in seven straight outings, with the last OVER hitting in that first meeting with Tennessee.
The Jaguars are just 2-7 ATS in the past nine meetings with the Titans, while going 1-4-1 ATS in the past six trips to Nashville. The OVER is also 5-1 in the past six meetings at Nissan Stadium, too.
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET)
The Bears (4-8) tumbled in the rain against the Arizona Cardinals, slipping five games back of the first-place Packers (9-3), who were staying dry and warm during a bye. Both teams are 2-1 SU inside the NFC North Division, but the Pack have a huge advantage in overall record, obviously. The point differential for the Bears is minus-86, while the Packers are at plus-41.
Chicago has posted just one win in the past seven games overall, while going 0-3 ATS across the past three games, and 1-6 ATS in the previous seven outings. The UNDER is 8-3 in the previous 11 outings for Chicago, too, although the OVER cashed against the Cards.
Green Bay has been amazing against the spread, going 10-1 ATS across the past 11 games overall, with the only non-cover in Week 11 at Minnesota in a 34-31 loss. The OVER has hit in the past two for Green Bay after a 7-0 UNDER run from Weeks 4 through 10.
The Bears are just 1-4 ATS in the past five trips to Lambeau Field, while going 7-21 ATS in the previous 28 meetings in this series. The favorite has cashed in four straight meetings, too.
Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET)
The Rams (8-4) and Cardinals (10-2) square off in a titanic NFC West Division battle on MNF. These teams met in Week 4 at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles, with the Cardinals rolling to a 37-20 win as 3.5-point underdogs as the OVER connected.
Arizona welcomed back QB Kyler Murray from a multi-week absence, and he helped the Cards to a 33-22 win in rainy Chicago. The OVER is still 3-1 in the previous four outings with or without Murray. The offense has continued to hum.
Los Angeles registered a 37-7 win against Jacksonville in Week 13, cashing as a 14-point favorite. It was L.A.'s first cover as a double-digit favorite in three tries this season. The UNDER is 3-1 in the previous four for the Rams, and 5-2-1 across the past eight outings.
Despite the ugly loss in L.A. earlier in the season, the Rams are still 7-1-1 ATS in the past nine meetings overall, and 6-0 ATS in the past six trips to Arizona. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the past six in this series, too.
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Tech Trends - Week 14
Bruce Marshall
Thursday, Dec. 9
PITTSBURGH at MINNESOTA (FOX, 8:20 p.m.)
Tomlin 11-4 last 15 as dog and 5-2 in role TY.
Steelers 5-7 ATS this year.
Vikings has won and covered three straight before losses to Niners and Lions.
Vikings 3-2 vs. line at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Tech Edge: Steelers based on total trends.
Sunday, Dec. 12
LAS VEGAS at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Last three gone Over in series, though Under in four of previous five.
Raiders 1-4 vs. line last five but 3-2 vs. line away.
Chiefs Under 6-1 last seven.
Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.
NEW ORLEANS at N.Y. JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Saints lost five SU.
Saints 1-4 chalk TY.
Jets 3-9 vs line, also Over six straight before Under against Miami.
Tech Edge: Over based on total trends.
ATLANTA at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Panthers won and covered in Atlanta on Halloween but lost and failed to cover seven of last nine.
Falcons 4-1 SU on road TY and 3-1-1 vs. line.
Falcons won and covered last three on BoA Stadium.
Tech Edge: Falcons based on team and series trends.
BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Ravens won and covered four of last five meetings.
Baltimore Under last five on road.
Browns no covers last three, also no covers in four of last five and six of last eight.
Cleveland Under in last three and four of last five at home.
Tech Edge: Under and Ravens based on total and team trends.
DALLAS at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Boys 5-1 vs. line on road after win in Nola.
Dak is Under in five of last six games.
Washington won and covered last four.
Washington Under in six of last seven.
Washington won and covered both meetings last season.
Tech Edge: Under and Washington total and recent trends.
SEATTLE at HOUSTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Seattle 1-6 last 7 SU.
Texans Under last four and six of last seven.
Tech Edge: Under and Texans based on total and recent trends.
JACKSONVILLE at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Road team has cover last three in series.
Titans 8-1 SU and vs. line in last nine vs. Jags.
Meyer Under in last seven and 10 of last 11.
Titans Over in 30 of last 42 games since 2091, only 2-2 since Derrick Henry injury.
Tech Edge: Under and Titans current and series trends.
BUFFALO at TAMPA BAY (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)
Bills yet to cover back-to-back games (falied to cover vs. Pats).
Bills 4-2 SU and vs. line on road.
Bucs won last nine at home SU and 8-1 vs. line.
Tech Edge: Buccaneers based on team trends.
DETROIT at DENVER (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)
Only four non-covers for Lions TY despite 1-10-1 record.
Lions covered last four and Under in eight of last 10.
Denver Under last six and 10 of last 12.
Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.
N.Y. GIANTS at L.A. CHARGERS (FOX, 4:05 p.m.)
G-Men just 1-3 last 4 vs. line on road.
G-Men 12-5 last 17 as road dog however.
G-Men six-game Under run.
Bolts 3-4 SU, 2-5 vs. line in last seven.
Bolts no cover last three at home.
Tech Edge: Giants and Under based on team and total trends.
SAN FRANCISCO at CINCINNATI (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)
Niners Under in six of last nine on road, also 11-6 vs. spread last 16 as visitor.
Bengals 1-4 ATS last five in Cincinnati.
Tech Edge: Niners and Under based on team and total trends.
CHICAGO at GREEN BAY (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)
Packers won and covered last five in series.
Packers 9-2 SU, 10-1 vs. line last 11.
Packers also Under seven straight before two straight Overs.
Bears lost last five SU in Green Bay, 1-4 vs. line in those five.
Bears 5-17 vs. points last 22 vs. Packers and 1-5 SU vs. line last six TY.
Bers 3-8 Under run
Tech Edge: Packers and Under based on team and total trends.
Monday, Dec. 6
L.A. RAMS at ARIZONA (ESPN, 8:15 p.m.)
McVay 8-0 Su vs. Cards prior to Oct. 3 loss.
Rams no covers in last three on road.
Cards 3-2 SU and 2-3 vs. line at home TY.
Cards covered nine of last 12 TY hoeever.
Tech Edge: Cardinals based on recent trends.
Bruce Marshall
Thursday, Dec. 9
PITTSBURGH at MINNESOTA (FOX, 8:20 p.m.)
Tomlin 11-4 last 15 as dog and 5-2 in role TY.
Steelers 5-7 ATS this year.
Vikings has won and covered three straight before losses to Niners and Lions.
Vikings 3-2 vs. line at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Tech Edge: Steelers based on total trends.
Sunday, Dec. 12
LAS VEGAS at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Last three gone Over in series, though Under in four of previous five.
Raiders 1-4 vs. line last five but 3-2 vs. line away.
Chiefs Under 6-1 last seven.
Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.
NEW ORLEANS at N.Y. JETS (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Saints lost five SU.
Saints 1-4 chalk TY.
Jets 3-9 vs line, also Over six straight before Under against Miami.
Tech Edge: Over based on total trends.
ATLANTA at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Panthers won and covered in Atlanta on Halloween but lost and failed to cover seven of last nine.
Falcons 4-1 SU on road TY and 3-1-1 vs. line.
Falcons won and covered last three on BoA Stadium.
Tech Edge: Falcons based on team and series trends.
BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Ravens won and covered four of last five meetings.
Baltimore Under last five on road.
Browns no covers last three, also no covers in four of last five and six of last eight.
Cleveland Under in last three and four of last five at home.
Tech Edge: Under and Ravens based on total and team trends.
DALLAS at WASHINGTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Boys 5-1 vs. line on road after win in Nola.
Dak is Under in five of last six games.
Washington won and covered last four.
Washington Under in six of last seven.
Washington won and covered both meetings last season.
Tech Edge: Under and Washington total and recent trends.
SEATTLE at HOUSTON (FOX, 1:00 p.m.)
Seattle 1-6 last 7 SU.
Texans Under last four and six of last seven.
Tech Edge: Under and Texans based on total and recent trends.
JACKSONVILLE at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m.)
Road team has cover last three in series.
Titans 8-1 SU and vs. line in last nine vs. Jags.
Meyer Under in last seven and 10 of last 11.
Titans Over in 30 of last 42 games since 2091, only 2-2 since Derrick Henry injury.
Tech Edge: Under and Titans current and series trends.
BUFFALO at TAMPA BAY (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)
Bills yet to cover back-to-back games (falied to cover vs. Pats).
Bills 4-2 SU and vs. line on road.
Bucs won last nine at home SU and 8-1 vs. line.
Tech Edge: Buccaneers based on team trends.
DETROIT at DENVER (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)
Only four non-covers for Lions TY despite 1-10-1 record.
Lions covered last four and Under in eight of last 10.
Denver Under last six and 10 of last 12.
Tech Edge: Under based on total trends.
N.Y. GIANTS at L.A. CHARGERS (FOX, 4:05 p.m.)
G-Men just 1-3 last 4 vs. line on road.
G-Men 12-5 last 17 as road dog however.
G-Men six-game Under run.
Bolts 3-4 SU, 2-5 vs. line in last seven.
Bolts no cover last three at home.
Tech Edge: Giants and Under based on team and total trends.
SAN FRANCISCO at CINCINNATI (CBS, 4:25 p.m.)
Niners Under in six of last nine on road, also 11-6 vs. spread last 16 as visitor.
Bengals 1-4 ATS last five in Cincinnati.
Tech Edge: Niners and Under based on team and total trends.
CHICAGO at GREEN BAY (NBC, 8:20 p.m.)
Packers won and covered last five in series.
Packers 9-2 SU, 10-1 vs. line last 11.
Packers also Under seven straight before two straight Overs.
Bears lost last five SU in Green Bay, 1-4 vs. line in those five.
Bears 5-17 vs. points last 22 vs. Packers and 1-5 SU vs. line last six TY.
Bers 3-8 Under run
Tech Edge: Packers and Under based on team and total trends.
Monday, Dec. 6
L.A. RAMS at ARIZONA (ESPN, 8:15 p.m.)
McVay 8-0 Su vs. Cards prior to Oct. 3 loss.
Rams no covers in last three on road.
Cards 3-2 SU and 2-3 vs. line at home TY.
Cards covered nine of last 12 TY hoeever.
Tech Edge: Cardinals based on recent trends.
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PITTSBURGH is 70-36 ATS (30.4 Units) vs. good passing QB (>7 PYA) since 1992.
LAS VEGAS are 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. in the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-17 ATS (-16.7 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the season in the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after the first month of the season in the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.
SEATTLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games in the 2nd half of the season in the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 5-22 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 50-27 ATS (20.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games after a road upset loss since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the seasons.
CHICAGO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a win by 14 or more pts. in the last 2 seasons.
LAS VEGAS are 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. in the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 2-17 ATS (-16.7 Units) against teams who force 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the season in the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games after the first month of the season in the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.
SEATTLE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games in the 2nd half of the season in the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 5-22 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 50-27 ATS (20.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games after a road upset loss since 1992.
TAMPA BAY is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better in the second half of the seasons.
CHICAGO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after a win by 14 or more pts. in the last 2 seasons.
- Sep 10, 2018
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 14
Thursday game
Pittsburgh (6-5-1) @ Minnesota (5-7)
? Steelers are 1-2-1 SU last four games, with win by one point
? Last five games, Pittsburgh converted 33-69 on third down.
? Last three weeks, Pittsburgh was outscored 55-16 in first half.
? Steelers are 13-5 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog.
? Pittsburgh is 5-0-1 SU giving up less than 24 points.
? Steelers have been outgained five games in a row.
? Last three weeks, Steelers ran ball for only 55-51-85 yards.
? Under is 24-14-1 in their last 39 games on artificial turf.
? Minnesota lost to 0-10-1 Lions last week, on last play of game.
? 11 of Vikings? 12 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
? Minnesota has led by 6+ points in every game this year.
? Underdogs are 9-3 ATS in Viking games this season.
? Vikings are 12-14 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or less.
? Minnesota is 1-8 ATS last nine games as home favorites.
? Minnesota has been outscored 103-28 in last 2:00 of each half.
? Over is 4-1 in Vikings last five games.
? Pittsburgh won four of last five meetings (3-2 ATS).
? Teams split last two meetings played here.
Sunday games
Las Vegas (6-6) @ Kansas City (8-4)
? Las Vegas is 6-0 when it scores 26+ points, 0-6 when it does not.
? Raiders lost four of last five games, outscored 89-48 in second half.
? Raiders scored 46 points on last 12 red zone drives (3.83).
? Raiders converted only 18 of last 69 third down plays.
? Raiders are 10-5 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
? Raiders are 5-3 ATS last eight AFC West road games.
? Las Vegas is 5-8 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
? Last eight games, Las Vegas has 46 plays of 20+ yards (+12)
? Chiefs won last four games, giving up 11.2 ppg.
? Chiefs outscored foes 56-13 in first half of those games.
? Kansas City is 6-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
? Chiefs have ten takeaways in last four games (+6)
? Kansas City is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games as home favorites.
? Kansas City is 5-6 ATS in last 11 AFC West home games.
? Six of Chiefs? last seven games stayed under the total.
? Chiefs are 6-13-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
? Chiefs threw for 422 yards, routed Raiders 41-14 in Week 10.
? Chiefs outgained Las Vegas, 516-299
? Kansas City won 14 of last 17 series games.
? Raiders are 2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Arrowhead.
New Orleans (5-7) @ NJ Jets (3-9)
? QB Hill hurt his hand in last Thursday?s game (check status)
? Saints lost last five games, giving up 29.6 ppg (1-4 ATS).
? Last five weeks, New Orleans was outscored 73-20 in first half.
? Saints are 3-3 SU in true road games this year
? New Orleans is 17-8 ATS last 25 games as road favorites.
? New Orleans is 6-4-1 ATS last 11 games vs AFC opponents.
? Opponents converted 22 of last 47 third down plays.
? New Orleans has 39 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 55.
? Six of their last nine games went over the total.
? Jets lost four of their last five games.
? Jets gave up 35.1 ppg in their last seven games.
? In those seven games, Jets allowed 42 plays of 20+ yards.
? Jets have been outscored 95-36 in first quarter, 213-83 in first half.
? Jets are 16-12-2 ATS last 30 games as home underdogs.
? Jets are 15-25 ATS last 40 games coming off a loss.
? Seven of last nine Jet games went over the total.
? Last seven games, Jets are minus-11 in turnovers.
? Saints won three of last four series games.
? Underdogs covered four of last five meetings.
? Teams split last two meetings played here.
San Francisco (6-6) @ Cincinnati (7-5)
? 49ers won/covered three of their last four games.
? Last four games, 49ers outscored opponents 78-45 in first half.
? 49ers are 4-1 if they give up 22 or less points, 2-5 if they give up more.
? 49ers are 1-5 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.
? 49ers are 4-2 SU on road, losing in Arizona/Seattle.
? Last three games, 49ers are +5 in turnovers (9-4).
? 49ers are 4-6 ATS last nine games with spread of 3 or less.
? Last four years, 49ers are 11-16-1 ATS coming off a win.
? Bengals lost three of last five games, after a 5-2 start.
? Cincinnati scored 31+ points in five of last seven games.
? Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-4 otherwise.
? Bengals are 6-11 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.
? Cincy is 8-11-2 ATS last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
? Last ten games, Bengals scored 34 TD?s on 108 drives.
? Cincinnati is 9-4 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
? Five of last six Bengal games went over the total.
? 49ers won three of last four series games.
? Road team won last three meetings.
? Bengals are 0-2 in Super Bowls, both against the 49ers.
Jacksonville (2-10) @ Tennessee (8-4)
? Jaguars lost four in row, 25 of their last 27 games.
? Jacksonville has seven losses by 10+ points.
? Jaguars have six TD?s on their last 57 drives.
? Jacksonville is minus-15 in turnovers (5-20)
? Jaguars are 8-16-1 ATS in last 25 games as road underdogs.
? Last four games, Jacksonville was outscored 93-28 in first half.
? Last two games,Jaguars converted 19-39 third down plays.
? 11 of their last 12 games stayed under the total.
? Tennessee lost last two games, with nine turnovers (-9)
? Last two games, Titans lost field position by 13-16 yards.
? Last four years, Tennessee is 8-11 ATS as home favorite.
? Ten of Titans? last 20 TD drives were 60 yards or shorter.
? Tennessee has only five TD plays longer than 18 yards.
? Tennessee is 3-5 ATS last eight AFC South home games.
? Titans are 3-6 ATS last nine post-bye games.
? Over is 6-3 in Tennessee?s last nine games.
? Titans won 37-19 at Jacksonville in Week 5.
? Jaguars outgained Tennessee 454-368, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
? Tennessee won nine of last ten series games.
? Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Nashville.
Baltimore (8-4) @ Cleveland (6-6)
? Last four weeks, Ravens scored 10-16-16-19 points.
? Last four weeks, Ravens have one first half touchdown.
? Ravens? last three wins were by 3-3-6 points.
? Baltimore is 3-3 SU on road this year (under 5-1)
? Last six games, opponents are 26-88 on third down
? Last three years, Ravens are 5-2 ATS in AFC North road tilts.
? Last three years, Baltimore is 8-0 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
? Last four Baltimore games stayed under the total.
? Cleveland is 3-5 SU in its eight seven games.
? Browns scored 7-13-10 points in their last three games.
? Mayfield is playing thru shoulder/knee issues.
? Cleveland outscored foes 51-18 in last 2:00 of each half.
? Cleveland is 2-4 in games decided by six or fewer points.
? Browns are 4-9 ATS in last thirteen AFC North home games.
? Last three games, Cleveland converted 16-56 third down plays.
? Under is 4-1 in Browns? last five home games.
? Browns had bye LW, so they?re playing back/back games vs Ravens.
? Ravens beat Cleveland 16-10 at home two weeks ago.
? Baltimore outgained Browns 303-262, were minus-2 in turnovers.
? Ravens won 22 of last 26 series games.
? Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Cleveland.
Atlanta (5-7) @ Carolina (5-7)
? Atlanta lost three of its last four games.
? Falcons led seven of last ten games at halftime.
? Atlanta is 4-2 if it allows 25 or less 25 points, 1-5 if it gives up 26+.
? Atlanta is 11-17 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or less.
? Last four games, Atlanta was outscored 46-7 in second half.
? Last three years, Atlanta is 9-8 ATS as road underdogs.
? Atlanta is 5-3 ATS in last eight NFC South road games.
? Under is 5-1 in last six Atlanta games.
? Panthers fired their offensive coordinator during the bye week.
? Carolina lost seven of last nine games after a 3-0 start.
? Carolina is 0-7 if it allows more than 14 points.
? Panthers lost last four home games, by 3-6-18-6 points.
? Panthers are 7-12 ATS last 19 games as home favorites.
? Carolina lost field position battle in 10 of last 11 games.
? Last nine games, Panthers were outscored 128-63 in second half.
? Last three Carolina games went over the total.
? Carolina ran for 203 yards, won 19-13 in Atlanta in Week 8.
? Panthers won last two meetings, ending 1-8 series skid.
? Falcons are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Charlotte.
Dallas (8-4) @ Washington (6-6)
? Dallas played on Thursday last two weeks, had extra prep time here.
? Cowboys lost three of their last five games SU.
? Cowboys are 4-2 SU/5-1 ATS on road this season.
? Cowboys has outscored foes 69-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
? Last four years, Dallas is 6-7 ATS as a road favorite.
? Last four years, Cowboys are 16-12 ATS coming off a win.
? Five of last six Dallas games stayed under the total.
? Last nine years, Dallas is 16-11 ATS in NFC East road games.
? Washington is 4-0 since its bye, winning last two 17-15/17-15.
? Washington converted 29 of last 59 third down plays.
? Washington was 1-7 ATS before their bye, are 4-0 since.
? Washington held last four opponents to 310 or less TY.
? Washington is 14-7 ATS last 21 games coming off a win.
? Washington is 4-9 ATS in last 13 NFC East home tilts.
? Six of last seven Washington games stayed under the total.
? Opponents converted 8 of last 29 third down plays.
? Washington swept Dallas LY, ending 1-8 series skid.
? Cowboys covered five of last seven visits here.
? Favorites are 5-2 ATS in last seven series games.
Seattle (4-8) @ Houston (2-12)
? Seattle lost three of its last four games.
? Seattle lost last three road games, outscored 57-35.
? Seahawks lost eight of their last 11 games overall.
? Seattle is 4-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-7 if it doesn?t.
? Seattle is 5-9-1 ATS last 15 games as road favorites.
? Seattle converted 11 of last 37 third down plays.
? Seahawks are 10-5-1 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC teams.
? Six of Seahawks? last eight games stayed under total.
? Rookie Mills (0-6 as starter) likely gets nod at QB here.
? Texans lost ten of their last eleven games.
? Last six games, Houston was outscored 93-37 in 1st half.
? Texans are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as home underdogs.
? Houston was +8 in turnovers in its wins (minus-8 in losses).
? Houston was held under 300 total yards in last four games.
? Under is 8-2 in Texans? last ten games.
? Houston is 5-14 ATS last 19 games coming off a loss.
? Seahawks won three of last four series games.
? Teams split last two meetings played here.
Detroit (1-10-1) @ Denver (6-6)
? Lions scored on last play LW, getting first ?21 win.
? Detroit is 4-0 ATS since its bye week.
? Lions? last four games were decided by total of seven points.
? Detroit lost four games it led in 4th quarter, most in NFL.
? Detroit covered its last four road games.
? Eight of last ten Detroit games stayed under the total.
? Detroit is 9-7 ATS against AFC opponents.
? Lions have four losses by 3 or fewer points.
? Denver is 5-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-5 if it doesn?t.
? Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 25.8 ppg in losses.
? Broncos are 1-3 ATS this season, coming off a loss.
? Broncos are 5-11-2 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
? Broncos are 14-11-1 ATS in last 26 games vs NFC teams.
? Broncos are 12-15 ATS last 27 games coming off a win.
? 10 of 12 Denver games stayed under the total.
? AFC West home favorites are 4-13 ATS outside the division.
? Broncos won last two meetings, 27-17/24-12.
? Lions lost two of last three visits to Denver.
NY Giants (4-8) @ LA Chargers (7-5)
? 3rd-string QB Fromm likely gets start here- would be his first NFL game.
? Giants split last six games, after a 1-5 start.
? Last three games, Giants scored two TD?s on 31 drives.
? Giants are 23-10 ATS last 33 games as road dogs (3-3 TY).
? Giants have been outscored 74-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
? You?re reading armadillosports.com
? Opponents have started 12 drives in Giant territory (minus-6).
? Giants are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC opponents.
? Last six Giant games stayed under the total.
? Chargers are 3-7-1 ATS as favorites at SoFi Stadium.
? Chargers lost four of last seven games SU, after a 4-1 start.
? LA is 5-1 when it scores 27+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
? Last eight games, Chargers allowed 30.1 points/game.
? Bolts are 6-10-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
? Last 11 years, Chargers are 4-6 ATS as a double digit favorite.
? Over is 3-1 in Chargers? last four home games.
? Chargers converted 18 of last 39 third down plays.
? Chargers won/covered last four meetings.
? Giants played in SoFi last year, lost 17-9 to Rams.
Buffalo (7-5) @ Tampa Bay (9-3)
? Short week for Buffalo, after Monday night loss to Patriots.
? Bills lost four of last six games, after a 4-1 start.
? Before their bye, Buffalo averaged 19.8 first half points.
? Since their bye, Buffalo averaged 7.7 first half points.
? Buffalo turned ball over 12 times in last five games (-4).
? Bills? last four opponents converted only 19-75 on third down.
? Bills are 11-3-1 last 15 games with spread of 3 or less points.
? Under is 4-2 in last six Buffalo games.
? Tampa Bay scored 30-38-30 points in winning last three games.
? Buccaneers are 7-3-1 as home favorites with Brady at QB.
? Bucs have 46 TD?s on 126 drives this season.
? Last 11 games, Tampa Bay is +11 in turnovers.
? Tampa Bay outscored last three opponents 47-7 in 2nd half.
? Tampa Bay is 22-17-3 ATS in last 42 games coming off win.
? Bucs are 7-1-3 ATS in last 11 games vs AFC squads.
? Tampa Bay is 10-11-3 ATS last 24 games coming off a win.
? Home side won last five series games.
? Bills lost last three visits to Tampa, outscored 77-26.
Chicago (4-8) @ Green Bay (9-3)
? Chicago lost five of last seven games (1-6 ATS)
? Bears are 5-9 ATS in last fourteen road games.
? Dalton is 2-2 as starter this year; Bears scored 18 ppg those games.
? Last ten games, Chicago is minus-10 in turnovers.
? Last six games, Chicago was outscored 92-39 in first half.
? Last 11 years, Bears are 1-5 ATS as a double digit underdog.
? Bears are 7-9 ATS in last 16 NFC North road games.
? Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Chicago games.
? Green Bay split last four games, after 7-1 start.
? Packers won/covered all five home games TY.
? Green Bay is 14-6 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
? In Rodgers? last five starts, Green Bay converted 33-70 on third down.
? Last three games, Packer opponents converted 20-41 on third down.
? Last seven years, Packers are 2-6 ATS as a double digit favorite.
? Green Bay is 7-1-1 ATS this season, coming off a win.
? Seven of last nine Packer games stayed under the total.
? Packers won 24-14 at Soldier Field in Week 6.
? Green Bay won 23 of last 27 series games.
? Bears are 3-7 ATS in last ten visits to Lambeau.
Monday?s game
LA Rams (8-4) @ Arizona (10-2)
? Rams lost three of their last four games.
? Under McVay, LA is 6-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? Rams are minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +10 in wins.
? Last eight games, LA converted only 33-95 on 3rd down
? Rams are 8-5-1 ATS last 14 NFC West road games.
? Rams are 15-20 ATS last 35 games coming off a win.
? Rams are 10-6-1 ATS last 17 games with spread of 3 or less.
? Three of Rams? last four games stayed under the total.
? Cardinals covered eight of their last ten games.
? Arizona is 3-4 ATS in last seven NFC West home games.
? Arizona is 4-10 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
? Cardinals had three TD drives shorter than 30 yards last week.
? Cardinals are +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
? Redbirds are 12-9 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
? Over is 3-1 in last four Arizona games.
? Arizona has 53 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 29.
? Cardinals ran for 216 yards, won 37-20 at SoFi in Week 4.
? Rams won nine of last ten series games.
? LA covered its last six visits to Arizona.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 14
Thursday game
Pittsburgh (6-5-1) @ Minnesota (5-7)
? Steelers are 1-2-1 SU last four games, with win by one point
? Last five games, Pittsburgh converted 33-69 on third down.
? Last three weeks, Pittsburgh was outscored 55-16 in first half.
? Steelers are 13-5 ATS last 18 games as a road underdog.
? Pittsburgh is 5-0-1 SU giving up less than 24 points.
? Steelers have been outgained five games in a row.
? Last three weeks, Steelers ran ball for only 55-51-85 yards.
? Under is 24-14-1 in their last 39 games on artificial turf.
? Minnesota lost to 0-10-1 Lions last week, on last play of game.
? 11 of Vikings? 12 games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
? Minnesota has led by 6+ points in every game this year.
? Underdogs are 9-3 ATS in Viking games this season.
? Vikings are 12-14 ATS in last 26 games with spread of 3 or less.
? Minnesota is 1-8 ATS last nine games as home favorites.
? Minnesota has been outscored 103-28 in last 2:00 of each half.
? Over is 4-1 in Vikings last five games.
? Pittsburgh won four of last five meetings (3-2 ATS).
? Teams split last two meetings played here.
Sunday games
Las Vegas (6-6) @ Kansas City (8-4)
? Las Vegas is 6-0 when it scores 26+ points, 0-6 when it does not.
? Raiders lost four of last five games, outscored 89-48 in second half.
? Raiders scored 46 points on last 12 red zone drives (3.83).
? Raiders converted only 18 of last 69 third down plays.
? Raiders are 10-5 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
? Raiders are 5-3 ATS last eight AFC West road games.
? Las Vegas is 5-8 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
? Last eight games, Las Vegas has 46 plays of 20+ yards (+12)
? Chiefs won last four games, giving up 11.2 ppg.
? Chiefs outscored foes 56-13 in first half of those games.
? Kansas City is 6-0 if it allows 17 or less points, 2-4 if they allow more.
? Chiefs have ten takeaways in last four games (+6)
? Kansas City is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games as home favorites.
? Kansas City is 5-6 ATS in last 11 AFC West home games.
? Six of Chiefs? last seven games stayed under the total.
? Chiefs are 6-13-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
? Chiefs threw for 422 yards, routed Raiders 41-14 in Week 10.
? Chiefs outgained Las Vegas, 516-299
? Kansas City won 14 of last 17 series games.
? Raiders are 2-6 ATS in last eight visits to Arrowhead.
New Orleans (5-7) @ NJ Jets (3-9)
? QB Hill hurt his hand in last Thursday?s game (check status)
? Saints lost last five games, giving up 29.6 ppg (1-4 ATS).
? Last five weeks, New Orleans was outscored 73-20 in first half.
? Saints are 3-3 SU in true road games this year
? New Orleans is 17-8 ATS last 25 games as road favorites.
? New Orleans is 6-4-1 ATS last 11 games vs AFC opponents.
? Opponents converted 22 of last 47 third down plays.
? New Orleans has 39 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 55.
? Six of their last nine games went over the total.
? Jets lost four of their last five games.
? Jets gave up 35.1 ppg in their last seven games.
? In those seven games, Jets allowed 42 plays of 20+ yards.
? Jets have been outscored 95-36 in first quarter, 213-83 in first half.
? Jets are 16-12-2 ATS last 30 games as home underdogs.
? Jets are 15-25 ATS last 40 games coming off a loss.
? Seven of last nine Jet games went over the total.
? Last seven games, Jets are minus-11 in turnovers.
? Saints won three of last four series games.
? Underdogs covered four of last five meetings.
? Teams split last two meetings played here.
San Francisco (6-6) @ Cincinnati (7-5)
? 49ers won/covered three of their last four games.
? Last four games, 49ers outscored opponents 78-45 in first half.
? 49ers are 4-1 if they give up 22 or less points, 2-5 if they give up more.
? 49ers are 1-5 SU when they score fewer than 30 points.
? 49ers are 4-2 SU on road, losing in Arizona/Seattle.
? Last three games, 49ers are +5 in turnovers (9-4).
? 49ers are 4-6 ATS last nine games with spread of 3 or less.
? Last four years, 49ers are 11-16-1 ATS coming off a win.
? Bengals lost three of last five games, after a 5-2 start.
? Cincinnati scored 31+ points in five of last seven games.
? Bengals are 7-1 scoring 24+ points, 0-4 otherwise.
? Bengals are 6-11 ATS last 17 games as a home favorite.
? Cincy is 8-11-2 ATS last 20 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
? Last ten games, Bengals scored 34 TD?s on 108 drives.
? Cincinnati is 9-4 ATS last 13 games coming off a loss.
? Five of last six Bengal games went over the total.
? 49ers won three of last four series games.
? Road team won last three meetings.
? Bengals are 0-2 in Super Bowls, both against the 49ers.
Jacksonville (2-10) @ Tennessee (8-4)
? Jaguars lost four in row, 25 of their last 27 games.
? Jacksonville has seven losses by 10+ points.
? Jaguars have six TD?s on their last 57 drives.
? Jacksonville is minus-15 in turnovers (5-20)
? Jaguars are 8-16-1 ATS in last 25 games as road underdogs.
? Last four games, Jacksonville was outscored 93-28 in first half.
? Last two games,Jaguars converted 19-39 third down plays.
? 11 of their last 12 games stayed under the total.
? Tennessee lost last two games, with nine turnovers (-9)
? Last two games, Titans lost field position by 13-16 yards.
? Last four years, Tennessee is 8-11 ATS as home favorite.
? Ten of Titans? last 20 TD drives were 60 yards or shorter.
? Tennessee has only five TD plays longer than 18 yards.
? Tennessee is 3-5 ATS last eight AFC South home games.
? Titans are 3-6 ATS last nine post-bye games.
? Over is 6-3 in Tennessee?s last nine games.
? Titans won 37-19 at Jacksonville in Week 5.
? Jaguars outgained Tennessee 454-368, but were minus-2 in turnovers.
? Tennessee won nine of last ten series games.
? Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in last six visits to Nashville.
Baltimore (8-4) @ Cleveland (6-6)
? Last four weeks, Ravens scored 10-16-16-19 points.
? Last four weeks, Ravens have one first half touchdown.
? Ravens? last three wins were by 3-3-6 points.
? Baltimore is 3-3 SU on road this year (under 5-1)
? Last six games, opponents are 26-88 on third down
? Last three years, Ravens are 5-2 ATS in AFC North road tilts.
? Last three years, Baltimore is 8-0 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
? Last four Baltimore games stayed under the total.
? Cleveland is 3-5 SU in its eight seven games.
? Browns scored 7-13-10 points in their last three games.
? Mayfield is playing thru shoulder/knee issues.
? Cleveland outscored foes 51-18 in last 2:00 of each half.
? Cleveland is 2-4 in games decided by six or fewer points.
? Browns are 4-9 ATS in last thirteen AFC North home games.
? Last three games, Cleveland converted 16-56 third down plays.
? Under is 4-1 in Browns? last five home games.
? Browns had bye LW, so they?re playing back/back games vs Ravens.
? Ravens beat Cleveland 16-10 at home two weeks ago.
? Baltimore outgained Browns 303-262, were minus-2 in turnovers.
? Ravens won 22 of last 26 series games.
? Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in last seven visits to Cleveland.
Atlanta (5-7) @ Carolina (5-7)
? Atlanta lost three of its last four games.
? Falcons led seven of last ten games at halftime.
? Atlanta is 4-2 if it allows 25 or less 25 points, 1-5 if it gives up 26+.
? Atlanta is 11-17 ATS in last 28 games with spread of 3 or less.
? Last four games, Atlanta was outscored 46-7 in second half.
? Last three years, Atlanta is 9-8 ATS as road underdogs.
? Atlanta is 5-3 ATS in last eight NFC South road games.
? Under is 5-1 in last six Atlanta games.
? Panthers fired their offensive coordinator during the bye week.
? Carolina lost seven of last nine games after a 3-0 start.
? Carolina is 0-7 if it allows more than 14 points.
? Panthers lost last four home games, by 3-6-18-6 points.
? Panthers are 7-12 ATS last 19 games as home favorites.
? Carolina lost field position battle in 10 of last 11 games.
? Last nine games, Panthers were outscored 128-63 in second half.
? Last three Carolina games went over the total.
? Carolina ran for 203 yards, won 19-13 in Atlanta in Week 8.
? Panthers won last two meetings, ending 1-8 series skid.
? Falcons are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Charlotte.
Dallas (8-4) @ Washington (6-6)
? Dallas played on Thursday last two weeks, had extra prep time here.
? Cowboys lost three of their last five games SU.
? Cowboys are 4-2 SU/5-1 ATS on road this season.
? Cowboys has outscored foes 69-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
? Last four years, Dallas is 6-7 ATS as a road favorite.
? Last four years, Cowboys are 16-12 ATS coming off a win.
? Five of last six Dallas games stayed under the total.
? Last nine years, Dallas is 16-11 ATS in NFC East road games.
? Washington is 4-0 since its bye, winning last two 17-15/17-15.
? Washington converted 29 of last 59 third down plays.
? Washington was 1-7 ATS before their bye, are 4-0 since.
? Washington held last four opponents to 310 or less TY.
? Washington is 14-7 ATS last 21 games coming off a win.
? Washington is 4-9 ATS in last 13 NFC East home tilts.
? Six of last seven Washington games stayed under the total.
? Opponents converted 8 of last 29 third down plays.
? Washington swept Dallas LY, ending 1-8 series skid.
? Cowboys covered five of last seven visits here.
? Favorites are 5-2 ATS in last seven series games.
Seattle (4-8) @ Houston (2-12)
? Seattle lost three of its last four games.
? Seattle lost last three road games, outscored 57-35.
? Seahawks lost eight of their last 11 games overall.
? Seattle is 4-1 if it scores 28+ points, 0-7 if it doesn?t.
? Seattle is 5-9-1 ATS last 15 games as road favorites.
? Seattle converted 11 of last 37 third down plays.
? Seahawks are 10-5-1 ATS in last 16 games vs AFC teams.
? Six of Seahawks? last eight games stayed under total.
? Rookie Mills (0-6 as starter) likely gets nod at QB here.
? Texans lost ten of their last eleven games.
? Last six games, Houston was outscored 93-37 in 1st half.
? Texans are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as home underdogs.
? Houston was +8 in turnovers in its wins (minus-8 in losses).
? Houston was held under 300 total yards in last four games.
? Under is 8-2 in Texans? last ten games.
? Houston is 5-14 ATS last 19 games coming off a loss.
? Seahawks won three of last four series games.
? Teams split last two meetings played here.
Detroit (1-10-1) @ Denver (6-6)
? Lions scored on last play LW, getting first ?21 win.
? Detroit is 4-0 ATS since its bye week.
? Lions? last four games were decided by total of seven points.
? Detroit lost four games it led in 4th quarter, most in NFL.
? Detroit covered its last four road games.
? Eight of last ten Detroit games stayed under the total.
? Detroit is 9-7 ATS against AFC opponents.
? Lions have four losses by 3 or fewer points.
? Denver is 5-1 if it scores 23+ points, 1-5 if it doesn?t.
? Denver gave up 16 or less points in its wins, 25.8 ppg in losses.
? Broncos are 1-3 ATS this season, coming off a loss.
? Broncos are 5-11-2 ATS last 18 games as a home favorite.
? Broncos are 14-11-1 ATS in last 26 games vs NFC teams.
? Broncos are 12-15 ATS last 27 games coming off a win.
? 10 of 12 Denver games stayed under the total.
? AFC West home favorites are 4-13 ATS outside the division.
? Broncos won last two meetings, 27-17/24-12.
? Lions lost two of last three visits to Denver.
NY Giants (4-8) @ LA Chargers (7-5)
? 3rd-string QB Fromm likely gets start here- would be his first NFL game.
? Giants split last six games, after a 1-5 start.
? Last three games, Giants scored two TD?s on 31 drives.
? Giants are 23-10 ATS last 33 games as road dogs (3-3 TY).
? Giants have been outscored 74-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
? You?re reading armadillosports.com
? Opponents have started 12 drives in Giant territory (minus-6).
? Giants are 3-9 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC opponents.
? Last six Giant games stayed under the total.
? Chargers are 3-7-1 ATS as favorites at SoFi Stadium.
? Chargers lost four of last seven games SU, after a 4-1 start.
? LA is 5-1 when it scores 27+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
? Last eight games, Chargers allowed 30.1 points/game.
? Bolts are 6-10-1 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
? Last 11 years, Chargers are 4-6 ATS as a double digit favorite.
? Over is 3-1 in Chargers? last four home games.
? Chargers converted 18 of last 39 third down plays.
? Chargers won/covered last four meetings.
? Giants played in SoFi last year, lost 17-9 to Rams.
Buffalo (7-5) @ Tampa Bay (9-3)
? Short week for Buffalo, after Monday night loss to Patriots.
? Bills lost four of last six games, after a 4-1 start.
? Before their bye, Buffalo averaged 19.8 first half points.
? Since their bye, Buffalo averaged 7.7 first half points.
? Buffalo turned ball over 12 times in last five games (-4).
? Bills? last four opponents converted only 19-75 on third down.
? Bills are 11-3-1 last 15 games with spread of 3 or less points.
? Under is 4-2 in last six Buffalo games.
? Tampa Bay scored 30-38-30 points in winning last three games.
? Buccaneers are 7-3-1 as home favorites with Brady at QB.
? Bucs have 46 TD?s on 126 drives this season.
? Last 11 games, Tampa Bay is +11 in turnovers.
? Tampa Bay outscored last three opponents 47-7 in 2nd half.
? Tampa Bay is 22-17-3 ATS in last 42 games coming off win.
? Bucs are 7-1-3 ATS in last 11 games vs AFC squads.
? Tampa Bay is 10-11-3 ATS last 24 games coming off a win.
? Home side won last five series games.
? Bills lost last three visits to Tampa, outscored 77-26.
Chicago (4-8) @ Green Bay (9-3)
? Chicago lost five of last seven games (1-6 ATS)
? Bears are 5-9 ATS in last fourteen road games.
? Dalton is 2-2 as starter this year; Bears scored 18 ppg those games.
? Last ten games, Chicago is minus-10 in turnovers.
? Last six games, Chicago was outscored 92-39 in first half.
? Last 11 years, Bears are 1-5 ATS as a double digit underdog.
? Bears are 7-9 ATS in last 16 NFC North road games.
? Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Chicago games.
? Green Bay split last four games, after 7-1 start.
? Packers won/covered all five home games TY.
? Green Bay is 14-6 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
? In Rodgers? last five starts, Green Bay converted 33-70 on third down.
? Last three games, Packer opponents converted 20-41 on third down.
? Last seven years, Packers are 2-6 ATS as a double digit favorite.
? Green Bay is 7-1-1 ATS this season, coming off a win.
? Seven of last nine Packer games stayed under the total.
? Packers won 24-14 at Soldier Field in Week 6.
? Green Bay won 23 of last 27 series games.
? Bears are 3-7 ATS in last ten visits to Lambeau.
Monday?s game
LA Rams (8-4) @ Arizona (10-2)
? Rams lost three of their last four games.
? Under McVay, LA is 6-3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? Rams are minus-7 in turnovers in losses, +10 in wins.
? Last eight games, LA converted only 33-95 on 3rd down
? Rams are 8-5-1 ATS last 14 NFC West road games.
? Rams are 15-20 ATS last 35 games coming off a win.
? Rams are 10-6-1 ATS last 17 games with spread of 3 or less.
? Three of Rams? last four games stayed under the total.
? Cardinals covered eight of their last ten games.
? Arizona is 3-4 ATS in last seven NFC West home games.
? Arizona is 4-10 ATS last 14 games as a home favorite.
? Cardinals had three TD drives shorter than 30 yards last week.
? Cardinals are +15 in turnovers in wins, minus-3 in losses.
? Redbirds are 12-9 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
? Over is 3-1 in last four Arizona games.
? Arizona has 53 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 29.
? Cardinals ran for 216 yards, won 37-20 at SoFi in Week 4.
? Rams won nine of last ten series games.
? LA covered its last six visits to Arizona.
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NFL
Week 11
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Trend Report
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Pittsburgh @ Minnesota
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Seattle @ Houston
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Jacksonville @ Tennessee
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Tennessee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Jacksonville
Las Vegas @ Kansas City
Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Las Vegas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Dallas @ Washington
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games when playing Dallas
New Orleans @ NY Jets
New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New Orleans is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games on the road
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 9 games
Atlanta @ Carolina
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Baltimore @ Cleveland
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
NY Giants @ LA Chargers
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Detroit @ Denver
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games at home
San Francisco @ Cincinnati
San Francisco
San Francisco is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Buffalo @ Tampa Bay
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Buffalo is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Chicago @ Green Bay
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Rams @ Arizona
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Arizona is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
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Week 11
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Trend Report
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Pittsburgh @ Minnesota
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Seattle @ Houston
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Jacksonville @ Tennessee
Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Tennessee
Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
Tennessee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Jacksonville
Las Vegas @ Kansas City
Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Las Vegas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
Dallas @ Washington
Dallas
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games when playing Dallas
New Orleans @ NY Jets
New Orleans
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New Orleans is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games on the road
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 9 games
Atlanta @ Carolina
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Baltimore @ Cleveland
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
NY Giants @ LA Chargers
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
LA Chargers
LA Chargers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Detroit @ Denver
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games at home
San Francisco @ Cincinnati
San Francisco
San Francisco is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Buffalo @ Tampa Bay
Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Buffalo is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Chicago @ Green Bay
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Rams @ Arizona
LA Rams
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Arizona is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
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The Steelers are 4-1 SU in their last four matchups against the Vikings.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Vikings games.
The Steelers are 2-4 SU in their last four road games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five matchups between Pittsburgh and Minnesota.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Vikings games.
The Steelers are 2-4 SU in their last four road games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five matchups between Pittsburgh and Minnesota.
NFL DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS
Date W-L-T % Units
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0.........34.78%.........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
TOTALS:.............11-18-0.........37.93%.........-44.00
****************************
BEST BETS:
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%.........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
TOTALS:.............8-12-0..........40.00%.........-27.00
UPDATED 12/09/2021
Date W-L-T % Units
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0.........34.78%.........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
TOTALS:.............11-18-0.........37.93%.........-44.00
****************************
BEST BETS:
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%.........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
TOTALS:.............8-12-0..........40.00%.........-27.00
UPDATED 12/09/2021
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Gridiron Angles - Week 14
Vince Akins
NFL Play ON ATS Trend:
Matchup: Detroit at Denver (4:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Broncos are 12-0 ATS since October 27, 2019 when the total is over 39 and they scored less than 17 points last game.
NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend:
Matchup: Las Vegas at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Raiders are 0-7 ATS since 2012 facing a team they lost to by more than 14 points in the first meeting of the season.
NFL Play OVER OU Trend:
Matchup: New Orleans at N.Y. Jets (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Saints are 10-0 OU since 2000 coming off a home game where they completed less than 50% of their passes.
NFL Play UNDER OU Trend:
Matchup: Baltimore at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Ravens are 0-14-1 OU since October 2015 when they are on the road for the second straight game.
NFL Choice Trend:
Matchup: Dallas at Washington (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- Washington is 0-11-1 ATS since January 2012 as a dog of more than three points coming off a game where they did not force a turnover.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
Vince Akins
NFL Play ON ATS Trend:
Matchup: Detroit at Denver (4:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Broncos are 12-0 ATS since October 27, 2019 when the total is over 39 and they scored less than 17 points last game.
NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend:
Matchup: Las Vegas at Kansas City (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Raiders are 0-7 ATS since 2012 facing a team they lost to by more than 14 points in the first meeting of the season.
NFL Play OVER OU Trend:
Matchup: New Orleans at N.Y. Jets (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Saints are 10-0 OU since 2000 coming off a home game where they completed less than 50% of their passes.
NFL Play UNDER OU Trend:
Matchup: Baltimore at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Ravens are 0-14-1 OU since October 2015 when they are on the road for the second straight game.
NFL Choice Trend:
Matchup: Dallas at Washington (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- Washington is 0-11-1 ATS since January 2012 as a dog of more than three points coming off a game where they did not force a turnover.
Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
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Washington has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last seven games.
Dallas has covered the spread in seven straight games when facing the NFC.
Washington has lost seven straight divisional games when playing in December.
The point total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings.
The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the past five divisional games.
The Chiefs are 3-10 ATS in the past 13 games at home.
The Chiefs are 21-10-1 ATS in the past 32 divisional games.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six divisional games for the Raiders.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four home games for the Chiefs.
New York has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games when facing the NFC.
Zach Wilson has scored a rushing TD in two straight games.
New Orleans has won nine straight games prior to playing a divisional game.
New York has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last nine games.
Ryan Tannehill has scored a rushing TD in three of his last four home games.
Tennessee has covered the spread in five of its last six home games when facing Jacksonville.
Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in three straight games.
Jacksonville has gone UNDER the point total in seven straight games.
Jacksonville has lost 14 straight road games.
The Ravens are 2-5 ATS in the past seven road games.
The Ravens are 9-3 ATS in the past 12 divisional games.
The Ravens are 15-5-1 ATS in the past 21 road games.
The Browns are 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Browns are 2-6 ATS in the past eight home games.
The Browns are 11-27-1 ATS in the past 39 divisional games.
The UNDER is 5-0 in the past five road games for the Ravens.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five home games for the Browns.
The Ravens are 10-2-1 ATS in the past 13 trips to Cleveland.
Carolina has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games when facing the NFC as the favorite.
Atlanta has covered the spread in four of its last six road games.
Carolina has lost four straight home games.
The point total has gone UNDER in five of the last six meetings.
The road team has won four of the last five meetings.
Houston has lost 10 of its last 12 games.
Seattle has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games when playing as the favorite.
Seattle has gone UNDER the point total in nine of its last 10 games.
The Lions are 5-1 ATS across the last six games.
The Broncos are 3-6 ATS across the last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last ten Lions games.
The total has gone UNDER in six straight Broncos games.
The Giants are 4-2 ATS across the last six games.
The Chargers are 2-5 ATS across the last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in six straight Giants games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six Chargers games.
San Francisco is 4-11 in the past 15 games as a favorite.
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in the past five home games.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven games for San Francisco.
The OVER is 7-2-1 in the past 10 as a road favorite for San Francisco.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six games for Cincinnati.
Buffalo is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 road games.
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in the past six games as an underdog.
Tampa Bay is 4-0 ATS in the past four home games.
Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in the past seven against winning teams.
The OVER is 6-0 in the past six for Buffalo as an underdog.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four as a road 'dog for Buffalo.
The UNDER is 5-2 in Tampa Bay's past seven games overall.
The OVER is 11-4 in the past 15 for Tampa Bay as a home fave.
The Bears are 1-6 ATS across the last seven games.
The Packers are 10-1 ATS this season.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 11 Bears games.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last nine Packers games.
Dallas has covered the spread in seven straight games when facing the NFC.
Washington has lost seven straight divisional games when playing in December.
The point total has gone OVER in four of the last five meetings.
The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in the past five divisional games.
The Chiefs are 3-10 ATS in the past 13 games at home.
The Chiefs are 21-10-1 ATS in the past 32 divisional games.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six divisional games for the Raiders.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four home games for the Chiefs.
New York has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games when facing the NFC.
Zach Wilson has scored a rushing TD in two straight games.
New Orleans has won nine straight games prior to playing a divisional game.
New York has gone OVER the point total in seven of its last nine games.
Ryan Tannehill has scored a rushing TD in three of his last four home games.
Tennessee has covered the spread in five of its last six home games when facing Jacksonville.
Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in three straight games.
Jacksonville has gone UNDER the point total in seven straight games.
Jacksonville has lost 14 straight road games.
The Ravens are 2-5 ATS in the past seven road games.
The Ravens are 9-3 ATS in the past 12 divisional games.
The Ravens are 15-5-1 ATS in the past 21 road games.
The Browns are 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall.
The Browns are 2-6 ATS in the past eight home games.
The Browns are 11-27-1 ATS in the past 39 divisional games.
The UNDER is 5-0 in the past five road games for the Ravens.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the past five home games for the Browns.
The Ravens are 10-2-1 ATS in the past 13 trips to Cleveland.
Carolina has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games when facing the NFC as the favorite.
Atlanta has covered the spread in four of its last six road games.
Carolina has lost four straight home games.
The point total has gone UNDER in five of the last six meetings.
The road team has won four of the last five meetings.
Houston has lost 10 of its last 12 games.
Seattle has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games when playing as the favorite.
Seattle has gone UNDER the point total in nine of its last 10 games.
The Lions are 5-1 ATS across the last six games.
The Broncos are 3-6 ATS across the last nine games.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last ten Lions games.
The total has gone UNDER in six straight Broncos games.
The Giants are 4-2 ATS across the last six games.
The Chargers are 2-5 ATS across the last seven games.
The total has gone UNDER in six straight Giants games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six Chargers games.
San Francisco is 4-11 in the past 15 games as a favorite.
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in the past five home games.
The OVER is 5-2 in the past seven games for San Francisco.
The OVER is 7-2-1 in the past 10 as a road favorite for San Francisco.
The OVER is 5-1 in the past six games for Cincinnati.
Buffalo is 8-3 ATS in the past 11 road games.
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in the past six games as an underdog.
Tampa Bay is 4-0 ATS in the past four home games.
Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in the past seven against winning teams.
The OVER is 6-0 in the past six for Buffalo as an underdog.
The OVER is 4-0 in the past four as a road 'dog for Buffalo.
The UNDER is 5-2 in Tampa Bay's past seven games overall.
The OVER is 11-4 in the past 15 for Tampa Bay as a home fave.
The Bears are 1-6 ATS across the last seven games.
The Packers are 10-1 ATS this season.
The total has gone UNDER in eight of the last 11 Bears games.
The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last nine Packers games.
SUNDAY, DECEMBER 12
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
SEA at HOU 01:00 PM
HOU +10.0
+500
NO at NYJ 01:00 PM
U 42.0
+500
ATL at CAR 01:00 PM
U 41.0
+500
BAL at CLE 01:00 PM
CLE -3.0
+500
JAC at TEN 01:00 PM
JAC +8.5
U 44.5
+500 +500
LV at KC 01:00 PM
LV +10.0
+500
DAL at WAS 01:00 PM
WAS +6.5
O 48.0
+500 +500
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
SEA at HOU 01:00 PM
HOU +10.0
+500
NO at NYJ 01:00 PM
U 42.0
+500
ATL at CAR 01:00 PM
U 41.0
+500
BAL at CLE 01:00 PM
CLE -3.0
+500
JAC at TEN 01:00 PM
JAC +8.5
U 44.5
+500 +500
LV at KC 01:00 PM
LV +10.0
+500
DAL at WAS 01:00 PM
WAS +6.5
O 48.0
+500 +500
LATE GAMES:
DET at DEN 04:05 PM
DET +13.0
U 42.0
+500 +500
NYG at LAC 04:05 PM
NYG +9.5
+500
SF at CIN 04:25 PM
SF -2.5
O 49.0
+500 +500
BUF at TB 04:25 PM
TB -4.0
O 52.5
+500 +500
SUNDAY NIGHT BAILOUT !
CHI at GB 08:20 PM
GB -11.5
U 42.5
+500 +500
DET at DEN 04:05 PM
DET +13.0
U 42.0
+500 +500
NYG at LAC 04:05 PM
NYG +9.5
+500
SF at CIN 04:25 PM
SF -2.5
O 49.0
+500 +500
BUF at TB 04:25 PM
TB -4.0
O 52.5
+500 +500
SUNDAY NIGHT BAILOUT !
CHI at GB 08:20 PM
GB -11.5
U 42.5
+500 +500
NFL DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS
Date W-L-T % Units
12/12/2021........6-11-1.........36.11%.........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0.........34.78%.........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
TOTALS:............17-29-1.........36.95%.........-70.50
****************************
BEST BETS:
12/12/2021..........5-7-0..........41.66............-13.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%.........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
TOTALS:............13-19-0..........40.62%.........-40.50
UPDATED 12/12/2021
Date W-L-T % Units
12/12/2021........6-11-1.........36.11%.........-30.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........-0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021.........8-15-0.........34.78%.........-42.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
TOTALS:............17-29-1.........36.95%.........-70.50
****************************
BEST BETS:
12/12/2021..........5-7-0..........41.66............-13.50
12/09/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/06/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%.........- 0.50
12/05/2021..........5-9-0..........35.71%.........-25.50
12/02/2021..........1-1-0..........50.00%...........-0.50
TOTALS:............13-19-0..........40.62%.........-40.50
UPDATED 12/12/2021
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