Philly Monday late play

[Jimboski]

Not much action around these parts ESP. on weekdays, but thought I'd post something that looks interesting for today.

Philly Phinally (10th):
Either favorite (nos. 1 or 3) can steal this race and doing so wouldn't be a surprise. Moya, whose on the no. 1, isn't the guy I like to see on my EARLY speeder and Montanez, an EXCELLENT rider BTW, isn't at his best on early speedsters either. Asfaras the horses go - the 1 is a little prone to dropping the anchor at some pt. in the homestretch and the no. 3 is not nearly as comfortable facing $7.5k claimers as she is vs. $5k ers. Still, both have good early speed which works pretty good at this track.

If the no. 9, MARYVILLE with a M.L. of 10-1 , or no. 10 SILVER PAYDAY with a M.L. of 12-1 can get somewhat decent position - this race could be their's. I'll be using each in my exotics for this race. Plenty of value with either of these two.

G.L.

 

[hogman14]

GL Jimbo

 

[Hamster]

Thanks for the horsy alerts.

 

[Jimboski]

Good to seeyas, Hamster and Hogman. We're diehards

Well, looks like I wasn't the only person who gave those two longshots a chance.... .. . no. 9 opened at 6-1 and no. 10 opened at 9-2. Think they may have made a mistake about which to faovor over the other though.

We'll see what happens. Plenty of time to post.

 

[Jimboski]

EGADS.. the no. 3 is 10-1 :mj16:

 

[Jimboski]

Just notes that may help:

no. 3 doesn't look too gd. in prerace but odds are VERY inviting
no. 7 is one tough cookie based on what I know about it.
Can't leave out no. 9

turns out that this one is really hard to figure.

 

[Nosigar]

Track is sloppy!

 

[LUCKY 7]

Damn nice call Jimbo!!! The 10 looked great on the track! Broke dead last and came flying like it had a rocket up its ass to win it. It got bet hard from the 12-1 morning line but still a $10.60 winner. Thanks again Jimboski! :00hour

 

[Jimboski]

Results

Results

Moral of the story -> NEVA overcomplicate a good initial pick.

For me? Coulda been a nice triple stacked birthday cake.. turned out to be a little strawberry SHORTcake. Basically, a modest (W/Pl/Sh @3x) PAYDAY race. Exotics ate up most, but not all, of the dang whipped cream.

 

[Jimboski]

mo stuff

mo stuff

Nosigar - saw that, but thanks for the reminder. I DO check out EVERY (and mean EVERY) dang thing before I post anything. May toy around with other tracks (very little of that though) but even though Philly is a Mickey Mouse operation - I am dead serious about this place and I play this track for moola .. entertainment is a distant second priority. Skipping most of the races is crucial.

Almost always leave the place with a pin stuck in my ass though.. annoying as hell. Today it was that dang 3rd race. JUST LAST NIGHT I waz telling Mrs. Jimboski (she's the "SKI" in jimboSKI) that I'm noticing the 6 and the 7 coming in together in the tris very often. THEN, I said, "Yeah, 1-6-7 and 2-6-7 are good nos. to box in tries if ya like the 6 or the 7 in a race".
What do I do in that 3rd race.... got the dang right nos. in my trifectas on paper and then I go and take off the no. 7 hoss from the win and place spots and make him a side play (W/PL@2x)for a medium sized SIDE bet. No show bet, cause I had him coming in 3rd in the trifecta plays. Yeah, I did that to cut back the size of the bets and make sure I didn't let that no. 7 come in without me also. Sooo... I did accomplish the objective of not letting him come in without me and ruined a $645 triple. Did fine, but NOT $645 fine. SHEEEET !

Lucky7: now, if I only could make better sense of my plays like you do
Thank you for the Kudos.

Now ... on to Tues. which is a day that has been the luckiest for me.