Saturday's Tip Sheet

[Lumi]

Houston Cougars (4-1) (2-0 H) vs Rice Owls (0-4) (0-1 A)

Game Time: 8:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Robertson Stadium Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Rice Owls HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 2 - 4 0 - 5 2 - 9 2 - 3 2 - 3 4 - 6 3 - 3 3 - 1 6 - 4
Last 5 games 2 - 1 0 - 2 2 - 3 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 1 - 2 2 - 0 3 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 2 - 2 0 - 3 2 - 5 2 - 1 1 - 2 3 - 3 1 - 3 3 - 0 4 - 3
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Houston Cougars HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 5 - 0 4 - 2 9 - 2 4 - 0 3 - 3 7 - 3 1 - 3 4 - 2 5 - 5
Last 5 games 3 - 0 1 - 1 4 - 1 3 - 0 0 - 2 3 - 2 1 - 2 2 - 0 3 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 3 - 0 2 - 2 5 - 2 3 - 0 1 - 3 4 - 3 1 - 2 3 - 1 4 - 3
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Rice Owls 0 - 0 2 - 3 1 - 1 1 - 2 1 - 0 1 - 3 0 - 0 2 - 3
Houston Cougars 1 - 3 2 - 0 1 - 0 2 - 3 3 - 0 1 - 0 4 - 0 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Rice Owls
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @ALBRM 24 - 44 L +3 +6 L -14 60.0 58.0 O +-10.0 T
09/12/09 Sat @TXTECH 10 - 55 L +24 +27 L -18 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat @OKST 24 - 41 L +32 +33 W 16 67.0 67.0 U -2.0 T
09/26/09 Sat VANDY 17 - 36 L +11 +7 L -12 47.0 49.0 O +- 4.0 T
10/03/09 Sat TLS 10 - 27 L +13 +17 L 0 63.0 62.5 U -25.5 T
10/10/09 Sat NAVY 14 - 63 L +14 +10.5 L -38.5 52.0 55.0 O +-22.0 T
10/17/09 Sat @ECA 13 - 49 L +20 +18 L -18 53.0 55.0 O +- 7.0 G
10/24/09 Sat CFL 7 - 49 L +9 +10 L -32 51.0 50.5 O +- 5.5 T
11/07/09 Sat @SMU 28 - 31 L +16.5 +17.5 W 14.5 55.0 57.5 O +- 1.5 G
11/14/09 Sat TLN 28 - 20 W -3 -3 W 5 55.0 57.5 U -9.5 T
11/21/09 Sat TXEP 30 - 29 W +8 +6.5 W 7.5 67.0 69.5 U -10.5 T


Houston Cougars
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat NWL 55 - 7 W -0 -0 W 48 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat @OKST 45 - 35 W +16 +16.5 W 26.5 69.0 72.0 O +- 8.0 T
09/26/09 Sat TXTECH 29 - 28 W -0 +1 W 2 72.0 74.5 U -17.5 G
10/03/09 Sat @TXEP 41 - 58 L -14 -14 L -31 66.0 69.5 O +-29.5 T
10/10/09 Sat @MSST 31 - 24 W -4 +3 W 10 67.0 67.5 U -12.5 G
10/17/09 Sat @TLN 44 - 16 W -21.5 -17 W 11 64.0 68.0 U -8.0 T
10/24/09 Sat SMU 38 - 15 W -17 -16.5 W 6.5 70.0 70.0 U -17.0 G
10/31/09 Sat SMS 50 - 43 W -9 -6.5 W 0.5 63.0 63.0 O +-30.0 G
11/07/09 Sat @TLS 46 - 45 W -3 -2 L -1 69.0 70.5 O +-20.5 T
11/14/09 Sat @CFL 32 - 37 L -7 -4.5 L -9.5 60.0 66.5 O +- 2.5 T
11/21/09 Sat MEM 55 - 14 W -24 -22.5 W 18.5 71.0 74.5 U -5.5 G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/26/05 Sat RICE 18 HOU 35 -16.5 -16.0 HOU +1 NL NL O +-53 G
09/02/06 Sat HOU 31 RICE 30 +13 +14 RICE +13 NL NL O +-61 T
10/13/07 Sat RICE 48 HOU 56 -17.0 -23.0 HOU --15 NL NL O +-104 G
11/29/08 Sat HOU 42 RICE 56 +3.5 +3 RICE +17 %-48 0 % O +-98 T




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
RICE (off) 19.8 21 31 89 2.9 44 27 0.6 249 5.7 338 1.0 1.4
HOU (def) 21.4 24 40 202 5.1 35 21 0.6 218 6.2 420 0.2 1.8
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
RICE (def) 44.0 21 33 148 4.5 31 21 0.7 295 9.5 443 0.6 1.2
HOU (off) 45.4 31 31 136 4.4 49 36 0.7 454 9.3 590 0.4 0.6
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
RICE (off) 18.6 18 33 97 2.9 37 21 0.6 201 5.4 298 1.3 0.9
HOU (def) 29.3 25 42 216 5.1 32 20 0.6 235 7.3 451 0.7 1.5
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
RICE (def) 40.4 22 41 188 4.6 29 19 0.7 256 8.8 444 0.5 1.1
HOU (off) 42.4 31 31 134 4.3 53 37 0.7 440 8.3 574 0.5 0.9



SCORING AVERAGES:

Rice Owls (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.2 4.6 7.8 6.2 5.8 0.0 12
POINTS ALLOWED 9.8 12.4 22.2 10.4 11.4 0.0 21.8



Houston Cougars (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 15.4 14.6 30 8.0 7.4 0.0 15.4
POINTS ALLOWED 5.4 8.0 13.4 1.4 6.6 0.0 8



Rice Owls (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 2.1 5.5 7.6 4.7 6.4 0.0 11.1
POINTS ALLOWED 11.6 9.1 20.7 9.4 10.3 0.0 19.7



Houston Cougars (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 11.9 11.3 23.2 6.9 12.3 0.0 19.2
POINTS ALLOWED 4.9 8.3 13.2 7.1 9.0 0.0 16.1



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Rice Owls 34 4.0
Houston Cougars 50 -20.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 52.5 UNKNOWN

 

[Lumi]

Preview:
Rice at Houston
When: 8:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Quick Hits


Overall Team Offense

The Houston Cougars are ranked 1 on offense, averaging 573.9 yards per game. The Cougars are averaging 132.3 yards rushing and 441.6 yards passing so far this season.


The Rice Owls are ranked 111 on offense, averaging 298.0 yards per game. The Owls are averaging 97.1 yards rushing and 200.9 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away



The Houston Cougars are 5-0 at home this season, 5-2 against conference opponents and 4-0 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Cougars are averaging 45.4 scoring, and holding teams to 21.4 points scored on defense.

The Rice Owls are 0-5 while on the road this season, 2-5 against conference opponents and 0-4 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Owls are averaging 19.8 scoring, and holding teams to 44.0 points scored on defense.

 

[Lumi]

Trends - Rice at No. 20 Houston

Trends - Rice at No. 20 Houston

Trends - Rice at No. 20 Houston


ATS Trends

Rice

Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Owls are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games in November.
Owls are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 conference games.
Owls are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. win.
Owls are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Owls are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Owls are 3-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Owls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.


Houston

Cougars are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Cougars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Cougars are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Cougars are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.


OU Trends

Rice


Over is 9-2 in Owls last 11 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Over is 13-3 in Owls last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Over is 17-4 in Owls last 21 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 25-7 in Owls last 32 road games.
Over is 49-14 in Owls last 63 games overall.
Over is 21-6 in Owls last 27 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Owls last 9 games on grass.
Over is 31-9 in Owls last 40 conference games.
Over is 16-5 in Owls last 21 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 22-7 in Owls last 29 games as a road underdog.
Over is 42-14 in Owls last 56 games as an underdog.
Over is 19-7 in Owls last 26 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Over is 19-7 in Owls last 26 games following a ATS win.
Over is 19-7 in Owls last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 20-8 in Owls last 28 games in November.


Houston

Under is 8-1 in Cougars last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 6-1 in Cougars last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Under is 6-1 in Cougars last 7 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 games in November.
Over is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 home games.
Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 8-3 in Cougars last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 8-3 in Cougars last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 5-2 in Cougars last 7 games as a home favorite.
Over is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Cougars last 7 games on grass.
Over is 7-3 in Cougars last 10 conference games.


Head to Head

Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

 

[Lumi]

New Mexico State (3-8) at San Jose State (1-9)

New Mexico State (3-8) at San Jose State (1-9)

New Mexico State (3-8) at San Jose State (1-9)


DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 28th, 8:00 p.m. (et).

FACTS & STATS: Site: Spartan Stadium (30,456) -- San Jose, California. Television: AggieVision. Home Record: NMSU 2-4, SJSU 1-4. Away Record: NMSU 1-4, SJSU 0-5. Neutral Record: NMSU 0-0, SJSU 0-0. Conference Record: NMSU 1-5, SJSU 0-6. Series Record: San Jose State leads, 14-2.

GAME NOTES: The final home game for legendary coach Dick Tomey takes place this weekend as he and his San Jose State Spartans challenge the New Mexico State Aggies to a Western Athletic Conference showdown in California.

Tomey, who still has a game left at Louisiana Tech the first week of December, announced that he will be hanging it up at the conclusion of this, a very difficult season for the Spartans. If not for a 19-9 win against Cal Poly, there would have been little positive to come from this campaign. Last week, the squad made it to overtime against Hawaii at home but eventually gave up the 17-10 decision to the Warriors.

As for the Aggies, they are trying to stay out of the WAC basement as they sport a 1-5 mark in league play and SJSU is 0-6 at the moment. New Mexico State has had trouble coming up with wins this season, one of the three coming against Prairie View by a scant three points the second week of the campaign. Last weekend, NMSU became just the latest victim of the surging Nevada scoring machine in a 63-20 debacle. On a positive note, the 20 points for the Aggies were more than the team had scored in the previous four games combined, but it still made little difference in the outcome.

Against the Aggies in a series that dates back to 1984, SJSU has won all but two of the 16 previous encounters, including a 31-14 triumph last season to give the Spartans five in a row over NMSU.

A pair of field goals by Kyle Hughes through the first three quarters were really the only signs of life for the NMSU offense against Nevada last week. Sure, Jeff Fleming tossed a pair of touchdowns to Marcus Allen in the fourth quarter, but by that point Nevada had already generated 63 points and had long gone to the backups in order to give the reserves some reps and keep the stars safe. Fleming threw for a mere 77 yards and the running game came up with a paltry 155 yards, mostly because the Nevada offense was on the field for so much of the time. Fleming has tried to be the savior for this team but it just hasn't happened. He has thrown for a mere four touchdowns and been picked off 11 times. Throw Trevor Walls into the mix and this squad has just six aerial scored and 16 INTs, nowhere near what it takes to stay competitive in an offensive-minded league like the WAC. The rushing offense has a total of only eight touchdowns and because of that the team is posting a mere 12.0 ppg, which has them ranked last in the entire nation this week.

Sixty-three points. What do you say to a defense after they've given up nine touchdowns in barely over three quarters of play? The only positive the Aggies could take from their experience against Nevada last week is knowing that they are not the only ones to be run over by the Wolf Pack. However, it is still hard to ignore the gaudy numbers as New Mexico State surrendered a whopping 574 yards and seven touchdowns on the ground. The Aggies will also forever be linking to the fact that they were the ones on the field when the Pack produced their third 1,000-yard rusher of the season. Because of the Nevada ground attack, the Aggies now rank second-to-last in the WAC and 114th in the country with an astounding 226.9 ypg allowed. The pass defense has been much better with just 197.6 ypg permitted, but some of that has to do with the fact that opposing coaches scheme their offenses to go after the Aggies on the ground to begin with. This group is averaging just 3.6 tackles for loss per game, which means most plays are well on their way before New Mexico State has time to react.

It was just another in a long line of disappointments for the Spartans last weekend as they ended up in the loss column yet again versus Hawaii. Kyle Reed, who scored the lone touchdown for SJSU, converted 14-of-22 passes for 131 yards, but was sacked once and tossed an interception. However, he was still head and shoulders above Jordan La Secla who completed just one of his three passes to his own teammate for 14 yards, two other tosses going into the hands of the visiting Warriors. The squad ran a mere 56 plays, compared to 77 for Hawaii, resulting in just 277 yards of total offense. Five times this season the Spartans have been held to 10 points or less, with the squad's best effort coming in a 29-25 setback in league play against Idaho the second week of October. There has been almost no rushing attack to speak of, the group averaging just 77.6 ypg to rank 115th in the country. Now that the Spartans have gone back and forth between La Secla and Reed the passing game is no longer stable either, and that's why this team is 118th in the nation in scoring with just 13.2 ppg.

The Spartans did well to slow down the Hawaii offense last week, making sure the Warriors scored on just two of their six opportunities inside the red zone. But as great as that effort may have been, the fact remains that SJSU still ended up losing in overtime. As poorly as the offense has performed this season for the Spartans, there's no denying that the defense has a big part in the squad having such a poor campaign. Permitting 270.3 ypg on the ground means the unit ranks last in the conference and 119th in the country this week and that plays heavily into the squad's 467.3 ypg of overall offense surrendered. The pass defense has been decent with 197 ypg allowed, but the secondary hasn't been nearly as aggressive going after passes this season as they were in the past. In fact, the squad has a combined five interceptions over 10 games, by no means threatening to opposing passers.

As sad as it is, the Spartans have been downright miserable this season and the only reason to think the squad will show up for a fight this weekend is in honor of coach Tomey, which is more than can be said for the Aggies.

Predicted Outcome: San Jose State 20, New Mexico State 14

 

[Lumi]

San Jose State Spartans (0-3) (0-1 H) vs New Mexico State Aggies (1-4) (0-3 A)

Game Time: 8:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Spartan Stadium Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
New Mexico State Aggies HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 2 - 4 1 - 4 3 - 8 1 - 4 2 - 2 3 - 6 1 - 2 2 - 2 3 - 4
Last 5 games 0 - 2 0 - 3 0 - 5 0 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 4 0 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 1 - 3 0 - 2 1 - 5 1 - 3 1 - 1 2 - 4 0 - 2 1 - 1 1 - 3
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
San Jose State Spartans HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 1 - 4 0 - 5 1 - 9 1 - 3 0 - 4 1 - 7 2 - 1 2 - 1 4 - 2
Last 5 games 0 - 2 0 - 3 0 - 5 0 - 2 0 - 2 0 - 4 1 - 1 1 - 1 2 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 0 - 3 0 - 3 0 - 6 0 - 3 0 - 2 0 - 5 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
New Mexico State Aggies 0 - 0 2 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 0 0 - 1 1 - 3 1 - 4 0 - 0
San Jose State Spartans 0 - 0 0 - 4 0 - 2 0 - 2 0 - 1 1 - 2 1 - 3 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

New Mexico State Aggies
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat ID 6 - 21 L -3 -2 L -17 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat PRARIE 21 - 18 W -0 -0 W 3 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat TXEP 12 - 38 L +12 +14 L -12 47.5 47.5 O +- 2.5 G
09/26/09 Sat @NM 20 - 17 W +7 +10 W 13 44.0 44.5 U -7.5 G
10/03/09 Sat @SDGST 17 - 34 L +14 +17 L 0 45.5 46.0 O +- 5.0 G
10/10/09 Sat UTST 20 - 17 W +11.5 +10.5 W 13.5 52.0 49.5 U -12.5 G
10/17/09 Sat @LATECH 7 - 45 L +18 +20 L -18 46.0 42.0 O +-10.0 G
10/24/09 Sat FRE 3 - 34 L +24 +24 L -7 56.0 53.5 U -16.5 G
10/31/09 Sat @OHST 0 - 45 L +40 +44 L -1 NL NL G
11/14/09 Sat @HI 6 - 24 L +15 +19 W 1 55.0 53.0 U -23.0 T
11/21/09 Sat NV 20 - 63 L +31 +30.5 L -12.5 NL NL G


San Jose State Spartans
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @USC 3 - 56 L +33 +35 L -18 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat UT 14 - 24 L +14 +13.5 W 3.5 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat @STAN 17 - 42 L +19 +17.5 L -7.5 47.5 47.5 O +-11.5 G
09/26/09 Sat CPS 19 - 9 W -0 -0 W 10 NL NL G
10/10/09 Sat ID 25 - 29 L -1 -6 L -10 51.0 53.0 O +- 1.0 G
10/17/09 Sat @FRE 21 - 41 L +17 +20 L 0 55.0 57.0 O +- 5.0 G
10/31/09 Sat @BST 7 - 45 L +33 +36 L -2 NL NL T
11/08/09 Sun NV 7 - 62 L +14 +14 L -41 63.0 60.5 O +- 8.5 G
11/14/09 Sat @UTST 9 - 24 L +10 +13 L -2 56.0 56.5 U -23.5 T
11/21/09 Sat HI 10 - 17 L +3 +2 L -5 54.0 53.5 U -26.5 G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/19/05 Sat NMST 10 SJST 27 -6.0 -7.5 SJST +9.5 NL NL O +-37 G
11/04/06 Sat SJST 31 NMST 21 +5 +6 NMST --4 NL NL O +-52 G
11/10/07 Sat NMST 17 SJST 51 -3.0 -4.0 SJST +30 NL NL O +-68 G
10/18/08 Sat SJST 31 NMST 14 0.0 +2.5 NMST --14.5 NL NL O +-45 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NMST (off) 10.0 10 36 91 2.5 21 12 0.6 89 4.2 180 1.6 1.2
SJST (def) 28.2 24 43 265 6.2 30 16 0.5 211 7.0 476 0.8 1.2
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NMST (def) 33.0 21 37 200 5.4 32 16 0.5 238 7.4 438 0.6 0.4
SJST (off) 15.0 17 25 95 3.8 33 21 0.6 225 6.8 320 1.6 0.6
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NMST (off) 12.0 13 38 139 3.7 22 11 0.5 95 4.3 234 1.5 0.8
SJST (def) 34.9 22 43 270 6.3 26 15 0.6 197 7.6 467 0.5 1.4
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NMST (def) 32.4 20 39 227 5.8 27 14 0.5 198 7.3 425 0.5 0.7
SJST (off) 13.2 16 27 78 2.9 34 20 0.6 204 6.0 282 1.1 0.8



SCORING AVERAGES:

New Mexico State Aggies (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 0.6 3.4 4 1.8 4.2 0.0 6
POINTS ALLOWED 6.2 12.4 18.6 8.2 6.2 0.0 14.4



San Jose State Spartans (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 1.4 5.4 6.8 1.4 6.8 0.0 8.2
POINTS ALLOWED 5.8 8.0 13.8 4.8 8.2 1.4 14.4



New Mexico State Aggies (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 2.1 2.7 4.8 2.0 5.2 0.0 7.2
POINTS ALLOWED 7.5 10.3 17.8 8.5 6.1 0.0 14.6



San Jose State Spartans (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 2.4 4.1 6.5 1.9 4.8 0.0 6.7
POINTS ALLOWED 6.4 12.3 18.7 7.3 8.2 0.7 16.2



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
New Mexico State Aggies 28.5 5.0
San Jose State Spartans 32.5 -8.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 52 UNKNOWN

 

[Lumi]

Preview:
New Mexico State at San Jose State
When: 8:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Spartan Stadium, San Jose, California

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The San Jose State Spartans are ranked 116 on offense, averaging 278.8 yards per game. The Spartans are averaging 77.4 yards rushing and 201.4 yards passing so far this season.

The New Mexico State Aggies are ranked 120 on offense, averaging 234.8 yards per game. The Aggies are averaging 140.2 yards rushing and 94.6 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The San Jose State Spartans are 1-4 at home this season, 0-6 against conference opponents and 1-3 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Spartans are averaging 15.0 scoring, and holding teams to 28.2 points scored on defense.

The New Mexico State Aggies are 1-4 while on the road this season, 1-5 against conference opponents and 2-3 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Aggies are averaging 10.0 scoring, and holding teams to 33.0 points scored on defense.

 

[Lumi]

Trends - New Mexico State at San Jose State

Trends - New Mexico State at San Jose State

Trends - New Mexico State at San Jose State

ATS Trends

New Mexico State

Aggies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Aggies are 16-34-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Aggies are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Aggies are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Aggies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.


San Jose State

Spartans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
Spartans are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
Spartans are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Spartans are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Spartans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Spartans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Spartans are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
Spartans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.


OU Trends

New Mexico State

Under is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 7-1 in Aggies last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 4-1 in Aggies last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Under is 16-5 in Aggies last 21 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 6-2 in Aggies last 8 road games.
Under is 5-2 in Aggies last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Aggies last 7 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-2 in Aggies last 7 conference games.
Under is 7-3 in Aggies last 10 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 9-4 in Aggies last 13 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 11-5 in Aggies last 16 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.


San Jose State

Under is 14-3 in Spartans last 17 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 9-2 in Spartans last 11 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 10-3-1 in Spartans last 14 games as a home favorite.
Under is 6-2 in Spartans last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 11-4-1 in Spartans last 16 games as a favorite.
Under is 19-7-1 in Spartans last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 27-10-1 in Spartans last 38 conference games.
Under is 13-5 in Spartans last 18 games in November.
Under is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 home games.
Under is 24-10-1 in Spartans last 35 games on grass.
Under is 35-16-1 in Spartans last 52 games overall.


Head to Head


Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

 

[Lumi]

Trends - New Mexico State at San Jose State

Trends - New Mexico State at San Jose State

Trends - New Mexico State at San Jose State

ATS Trends

New Mexico State

Aggies are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Aggies are 16-34-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Aggies are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Aggies are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Aggies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.


San Jose State


Spartans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
Spartans are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
Spartans are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Spartans are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Spartans are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Spartans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Spartans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Spartans are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 conference games.
Spartans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.


OU Trends

New Mexico State


Under is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 7-1 in Aggies last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 4-1 in Aggies last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Under is 16-5 in Aggies last 21 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 6-2 in Aggies last 8 road games.
Under is 5-2 in Aggies last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Aggies last 7 games as a road underdog.
Under is 5-2 in Aggies last 7 conference games.
Under is 7-3 in Aggies last 10 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 9-4 in Aggies last 13 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 11-5 in Aggies last 16 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.


San Jose State

Under is 14-3 in Spartans last 17 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 9-2 in Spartans last 11 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 10-3-1 in Spartans last 14 games as a home favorite.
Under is 6-2 in Spartans last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 11-4-1 in Spartans last 16 games as a favorite.
Under is 19-7-1 in Spartans last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 27-10-1 in Spartans last 38 conference games.
Under is 13-5 in Spartans last 18 games in November.
Under is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 home games.
Under is 24-10-1 in Spartans last 35 games on grass.
Under is 35-16-1 in Spartans last 52 games overall.


Head to Head

Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

 

[Lumi]

Notre Dame (6-5) at Stanford (7-4)

Notre Dame (6-5) at Stanford (7-4)

Notre Dame (6-5) at Stanford (7-4)



DATE & TIME: November 28th, 8:00 p.m. (et)

FACTS & STATS: Site: Stanford Stadium (50,000) -- Stanford, California. Television: ABC. Home Record: Notre Dame 5-3, Stanford 5-1. Away Record: Notre Dame 1-2, Stanford 2-3. Neutral Record: Notre Dame 0-0, Stanford 0-0. Conference Record: Notre Dame 0-0, Stanford 6-3. Series Record: Notre Dame leads, 16-7.

GAME NOTES: A bitterly disappointing regular season comes to a close for the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, who will take on a tough Stanford team in non- conference action.

Notre Dame has completely fallen apart, as a promising 4-1 start has turned into a 6-5 record. The last three outings have resulted in losses of five points or less, including last weekend's 33-30 overtime setback to UConn. Head coach Charlie Weis has been the topic of much conversation among fans and analysts, as it is the opinion of most that he will be coaching his last regular season game for the Irish this weekend.

As for Stanford, its Rose Bowl dreams were crushed last weekend with a 34-28 loss to rival Cal in the "Big Game". That defeat halted a three-game win streak for the Cardinal, which is now 7-4 overall and 6-3 in Pac-10 play. All four losses this season have come by 10 points or less for Jim Harbaugh's team.

Notre Dame has won the last seven meetings with Stanford and owns a 16-7 advantage in the all-time series.

The Notre Dame offense was held in check in regulation by UConn last weekend, as the Fighting Irish posted 20 points through 60 minutes of action. They did score a touchdown on their first possession in overtime, but a field goal on the second possession opened the door for the Huskies to win the game. Jimmy Clausen completed 30-of-45 passes for 329 yards and two touchdowns with no interceptions, another stellar performance by the Notre Dame signal caller. Golden Tate made nine catches for 123 yards and one touchdowns, while Michael Floyd finished with eight grabs for 104 yards and a score. Armando Allen spearheaded the ground attack with 106 yards. Overall this season, Clausen has thrown for 3,382 yards and 23 touchdowns with only four interceptions, tremendous numbers for one of the nation's truly elite quarterbacks. Tate has made 83 catches for 1,295 yards and 12 touchdowns, while Floyd has 38 catches for 710 yards and seven scores in the six games he has played. Notre Dame is averaging 29.4 ppg and 452.2 total ypg.

Notre Dame played fairly well against the UConn passing attack last week, as the Fighting Irish enabled only 12 of 25 attempts to be completed. Unfortunately, coach Weis' team looked helpless against the run, as UConn ran the ball 48 times for 231 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Notre Dame is allowed 24.2 ppg this season, and the defense is permitting 388.8 total ypg. Of the 30 touchdowns that have been surrendered to opposing offenses, 16 have come through the air. The Fighting Irish are giving up 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and 13.7 yards per pass completion, so there is obviously a wealth of room for improvement against both means of attack. Kyle McCarthy leads the team with 90 total tackles, and he has intercepted five passes. As for Darius Fleming, he has recorded 12 TFLs for Notre Dame.

Stanford tailback Toby Gerhart is a legitimate candidate for the Heisman Trophy despite his team's four losses. Gerhart has rushed for 1,531 yards and 23 touchdowns while averaging 5.3 yards per carry, and his consistency from week to week has been most impressive. Gerhart has certainly helped freshman quarterback Andrew Luck succeed under center. The rookie has connected on 55.2 percent of his passes for 2,377 yards and 13 touchdowns with only four interceptions, and he has rushed for 319 yards and two touchdowns as well. The top receiver on the roster is Ryan Whalen, who has recorded 48 grabs for 786 yards and three touchdowns. Stanford is averaging 35.4 ppg and 436.5 total ypg, tremendous numbers by any standards. Gerhart was outstanding against Cal last week, as he recorded 136 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 20 carries. Luck, unfortunately, was dreadful, completing only 10-of-30 passes with an interception.

Opponents are posting 25.1 ppg and 391.9 total ypg against a Stanford defense that has been mediocre at best. The Cardinal have permitted 18 rushing touchdowns and 15 scores through the air. They are surrendering 4.5 yards per rushing attempt and 11.5 yards per pass completion. Clearly, Harbaugh's offense is more responsible for the seven wins than the defensive unit. Keep an eye on Thomas Kaiser for the Cardinal, as he has 13 TFLs to his credit, including eight sacks. Stanford yielded 477 total yards to Cal last weekend, including 242 rushing yards on 57 attempts. The Cardinal came up with just one takeaway and allowed some big plays through the air. Clearly, the fact that Stanford surrendered 31 first downs to the Golden Bears in unacceptable.

Stanford is the smart pick in this game for a couple of simple reasons. The Fighting Irish simply cannot stop the run, and the Cardinal possess one of the nation's truly elite tailbacks.

Predicted Outcome: Stanford 34, Notre Dame 20

 

[Lumi]

Stanford Cardinal (2-2) (2-0 H) vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish (1-1) (0-0 A)

Game Time: 8:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Stanford Stadium Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Notre Dame Fighting Irish HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 4 - 3 2 - 2 6 - 5 2 - 5 1 - 3 3 - 8 4 - 3 1 - 2 5 - 5
Last 5 games 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 3 0 - 3 1 - 1 1 - 4 1 - 2 0 - 1 1 - 3
YTD vs. Conf. 0 - 1 0 - 0 0 - 1 0 - 1 0 - 0 0 - 1 0 - 1 0 - 0 0 - 1
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Stanford Cardinal HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 5 - 1 2 - 3 7 - 4 5 - 1 2 - 3 7 - 4 3 - 3 3 - 1 6 - 4
Last 5 games 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 2 - 1 2 - 0 4 - 1
YTD vs. Conf. 4 - 1 2 - 2 6 - 3 4 - 1 2 - 2 6 - 3 2 - 3 3 - 0 5 - 3
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 0 - 3 1 - 0 0 - 3 1 - 0 1 - 5 1 - 0 2 - 5 0 - 0
Stanford Cardinal 1 - 1 1 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 1 4 - 1 1 - 0 5 - 1 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Notre Dame Fighting Irish
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat NV 35 - 0 W -17 -15 W 20 58.5 61.0 U -26.0 G
09/12/09 Sat @MI 34 - 38 L -5.5 -3 L -7 48.0 46.5 O +-25.5 G
09/19/09 Sat MIST 33 - 30 W -11 -10 L -7 57.0 54.0 O +- 9.0 G
09/26/09 Sat @PUR 24 - 21 W -7 -6.5 L -3.5 59.0 59.0 U -14.0 G
10/03/09 Sat WA 37 - 30 W -13.5 -11.5 L -4.5 55.0 54.5 O +-12.5 G
10/17/09 Sat USC 27 - 34 L +8 +10 W 3 50.0 51.0 O +-10.0 G
10/24/09 Sat BC 20 - 16 W -10 -8 L -4 54.5 54.0 U -18.0 G
10/31/09 Sat WAST 40 - 14 W -31 -28 L -2 NL NL G
11/07/09 Sat NAVY 21 - 23 L -11 -12.5 L -14.5 54.0 56.0 U -12.0 G
11/14/09 Sat @PITT 22 - 27 L +6.5 +6 W 1 57.0 58.5 U -9.5 G
11/21/09 Sat CT 30 - 33 L -7.5 -6 L -9 59.0 58.5 O +- 4.5 G


Stanford Cardinal
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @WAST 39 - 13 W -19 -17 W 9 NL NL T
09/12/09 Sat @WF 17 - 24 L +0 +3 L -4 45.0 45.5 U -4.5 G
09/19/09 Sat SJST 42 - 17 W -19 -17.5 W 7.5 47.5 47.5 O +-11.5 G
09/26/09 Sat WA 34 - 14 W -9 -9.5 W 10.5 50.0 54.0 U -6.0 G
10/03/09 Sat UCLA 24 - 16 W -6.5 -5 W 3 45.0 45.0 U -5.0 G
10/10/09 Sat @ORST 28 - 38 L +0 -1 L -11 49.0 52.5 O +-13.5 T
10/17/09 Sat @AZ 38 - 43 L +4 +4.5 L -0.5 53.0 53.0 O +-28.0 G
10/24/09 Sat AZST 33 - 14 W -7.5 -7 W 12 48.0 49.0 U -2.0 G
11/07/09 Sat OR 51 - 42 W +5.5 +7 W 16 56.0 58.5 O +-34.5 G
11/14/09 Sat @USC 55 - 21 W +10 +11 W 45 51.0 58.0 O +-18.0 G
11/21/09 Sat CA 28 - 34 L -8 -7.5 L -13.5 64.0 60.5 O +- 1.5 G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/26/05 Sat ND 38 STAN 31 +17 +15.5 STAN +8.5 58.5 58.5 O +-10.5 G
10/07/06 Sat STAN 10 ND 31 -33.0 -30.0 ND --9 NL NL O +-41 G
11/24/07 Sat ND 21 STAN 14 -3.5 -4.5 STAN --11.5 43.0 46.0 U -11 G
10/04/08 Sat STAN 21 ND 28 -8.0 -6.5 ND +0.5 47.5 48.0 O +-1 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
ND (off) 30.0 26 37 161 4.4 38 24 0.6 293 7.7 454 0.5 0.8
STAN (def) 22.8 20 33 137 4.2 34 19 0.6 222 6.5 359 0.7 0.7
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
ND (def) 25.0 17 31 140 4.5 30 18 0.6 217 7.2 357 1.0 0.3
STAN (off) 35.3 21 44 231 5.3 21 12 0.6 186 8.9 417 0.3 1.2
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
ND (off) 29.4 25 34 130 3.8 38 26 0.7 322 8.5 452 0.5 0.7
STAN (def) 25.1 21 33 148 4.5 34 21 0.6 244 7.2 392 0.6 0.6
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
ND (def) 24.2 19 35 160 4.6 29 17 0.6 229 7.9 389 1.1 0.5
STAN (off) 35.4 22 41 219 5.3 25 14 0.6 217 8.7 436 0.4 0.9



SCORING AVERAGES:

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.8 13.8 17.6 0.8 11.8 0.0 12.6
POINTS ALLOWED 6.0 4.3 10.3 4.3 10.5 0.0 14.8



Stanford Cardinal (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 12.7 8.7 21.4 9.2 4.8 0.0 14
POINTS ALLOWED 3.3 5.2 8.5 6.3 8.0 0.0 14.3



Notre Dame Fighting Irish (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.0 9.9 14.9 3.6 9.3 0.6 13.5
POINTS ALLOWED 4.5 6.5 11 5.9 6.1 0.3 12.3



Stanford Cardinal (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 10.8 9.5 20.3 7.8 7.3 0.0 15.1
POINTS ALLOWED 4.5 5.9 10.4 7.1 7.5 0.0 14.6



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 70.5 -17.5 27.5
Stanford Cardinal 49
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 40.5 UNKNOWN

 

[Lumi]

Preview:
Notre Dame at Stanford
When: 8:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Stanford Stadium, Stanford, California

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Stanford Cardinal are ranked 19 on offense, averaging 436.5 yards per game. The Cardinal are averaging 219.3 yards rushing and 217.2 yards passing so far this season.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are ranked 11 on offense, averaging 452.2 yards per game. The Fighting Irish are averaging 130.2 yards rushing and 322.0 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

The Stanford Cardinal are 5-1 at home this season, 6-3 against conference opponents and 1-1 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Cardinal are averaging 35.3 scoring, and holding teams to 22.8 points scored on defense.

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are 1-2 while on the road this season, 0-1 against conference opponents and 6-4 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Fighting Irish are averaging 26.7 scoring, and holding teams to 28.7 points scored on defense.

 

[Lumi]

Trends - Notre Dame at Stanford

Trends - Notre Dame at Stanford

Trends - Notre Dame at Stanford

ATS Trends

Notre Dame

Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Fighting Irish are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Fighting Irish are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Fighting Irish are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.


Stanford

Cardinal are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.
Cardinal are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Cardinal are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Cardinal are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite.
Cardinal are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Cardinal are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Cardinal are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Cardinal are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Cardinal are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. INDEP.


OU Trends

Notre Dame


Under is 5-1-1 in Fighting Irish last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-1 in Fighting Irish last 7 games in November.
Under is 13-3 in Fighting Irish last 16 road games.
Under is 13-3 in Fighting Irish last 16 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 4-1 in Fighting Irish last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Fighting Irish last 5 games on grass.
Under is 24-8-1 in Fighting Irish last 33 games as a road underdog.
Under is 9-3 in Fighting Irish last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 13-5 in Fighting Irish last 18 games as an underdog.
Under is 13-6 in Fighting Irish last 19 vs. Pac-10.


Stanford

Over is 7-0 in Cardinal last 7 games in November.
Under is 8-1 in Cardinal last 9 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 6-1 in Cardinal last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinal last 6 games overall.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinal last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Cardinal last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Cardinal last 5 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Cardinal last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-1 in Cardinal last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 29-8-1 in Cardinal last 38 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 10-3 in Cardinal last 13 games as a home favorite.
Under is 36-14-1 in Cardinal last 51 games following a S.U. loss.


Head to Head

Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Stanford.
Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

 

[Lumi]

San Diego State (4-7) at U-N-L-V (4-7)

San Diego State (4-7) at U-N-L-V (4-7)

San Diego State (4-7) at U-N-L-V (4-7)

DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 28th, 9:00 p.m. (et).

FACTS & STATS: Site: Sam Boyd Stadium (41,800) -- Las Vegas, Nevada. Television: The Mtn. Home Record: SDSU 3-3, UNLV 3-3. Away Record: SDSU 1-4, UNLV 1-4. Neutral Record: SDSU 0-0, UNLV 0-0. Conference Record: SDSU 2-5, UNLV 2-5. Series Record: San Diego State leads, 11-7.

GAME NOTES: A couple of Mountain West Conference foes showing identical records across the board meet in Sin City this weekend, as the UNLV Rebels entertain the San Diego State Aztecs in the season finale at Sam Boyd Stadium.

For UNLV Head coach Mike Sanford, this will be his final game with the school, having been told he will not be brought back following this, his fifth year in Las Vegas. Under the direction of Sanford, the Rebels are a mere 15-43 and at this point have lost two of their last three outings. Last week, the team watched from the sidelines during its bye, giving it more time to reflect on a 45-17 loss to Air Force on the road in Colorado on November 14th.

As for the Aztecs, under first-year head coach Brady Hoke, they have been very inconsistent in 2009 and are at the moment suffering through a three-game slide. Last weekend, the team was saddled with a 38-7 loss at Utah, marking the lowest point total of the campaign for SDSU.

Last year, the Rebels lost to the Aztecs by a score of 42-21 on the road, which leaves UNLV with an 11-7 deficit in the all-time series.

Ryan Lindley threw a 17-yard TD pass to Dominique Sandifer in the fourth quarter of the meeting with nationally-ranked Utah last week, but that was the extent of the offense for the visitors to Salt Lake City. Lindley converted 17-of-37 for 207 yards and was picked off twice, one of those being returned 30 yards for a touchdown by Utah's Joe Dale. The running game for the Aztecs was almost nonexistent as it processed a mere 55 yards on 29 attempts. But it was just last week that the Aztecs failed to make a distinct impression on the ground because now they are averaging a mere 76 ypg, which has them last in the MWC and 116th in the country. Clearly the offense belongs in the hands of Lindley who has thrown for almost 250 ypg and 22 touchdowns, but he has also suffered 14 interceptions as well. DeMarco Sampson has had some huge efforts this season for SDSU and leads the group with his 59 catches for 802 yards and eight TDs.

With five minutes remaining in the first half the SDSU defense had surrendered 28 points to the home team, so at that point the outcome had already been pretty much decided. On a positive note for the Aztecs, they stood tall in the second half and didn't allow a single point, which is something to applaud given how porous the unit had been earlier in the contest. However, before the squad can get too excited about limiting the output of Utah in the second half, they have to remember that they are still sixth in the conference and 96th in the country in terms of scoring defense, giving up 30.7 ppg at this juncture. Luke Laolagi has been a solid fighter for the San Diego State defense, placing fourth on the team with his 46 tackles and posting two interceptions to go along with a pair of forced fumbles. And yet, even with Laolagi changing the pace of games, this is a team that gained a mere 13 turnovers and ranks last in the league and 110th in the country with a turnover margin of minus-0.91 per game.

Trying to figure out the UNLV offense this season has been tough on a lot of people. Having quarterbacks Omar Clayton and Mike Clausen shuttling in and out of the lineup seems to have caused more harm than good. While it is true that Clayton has converted 60.1 percent of his pass attempts for 195.6 ypg and 12 touchdowns, his 10 interceptions tend to overshadow his positive contributions. In Clausen's case, he's been used more as a running back than anything else, placing second on the team with his 288 yards and seven touchdowns on the ground, trailing only Channing Trotter who has 493 yards and eight TDs. Perhaps the only constant for this group from last year has been the performance of wideout Ryan Wolfe who has set several team and conference records for his career and leads the team with 74 grabs for 760 yards this season. But for all his efforts, Wolfe has made it into the end zone just two times in 2009.

Except for a couple of games here and there that dot the season schedule, the UNLV defense has been less than stellar. In fact, it has been downright brutal at times, particularly when giving up 63 points to Nevada and 59 points to BYU in back-to-back games in early October. At that point almost all was lost for this squad because there were only a couple of potential wins left on the board. The run defense has been beaten and bruised, allowing a lofty 231.2 ypg which ranks the group last in the Mountain West and 115th in the country this week. The pass efficiency defense has a ranking of 152.46 and there only a handful of teams in the country giving up more than 33.2 ppg, so there's a lot that needs to be addressed in the off season as they Rebels find a new leader to follow.

Given how badly the UNLV defense has performed this season, it only makes sense that Lindley take advantage and goes over the top as much as possible as he guides the Aztecs to a rare road win.

Predicted Outcome: San Diego State 35, UNLV 17

 

[Lumi]

UNLV Rebels (1-4) (0-2 H) vs San Diego State Aztecs (3-1) (1-0 A)

Game Time: 9:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Sam Boyd Stadium Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
San Diego State Aztecs HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 3 - 3 1 - 4 4 - 7 1 - 3 2 - 3 3 - 6 4 - 1 1 - 3 5 - 4
Last 5 games 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 3 0 - 3 1 - 1 1 - 4 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 1 - 3 1 - 2 2 - 5 1 - 3 2 - 1 3 - 4 3 - 1 1 - 2 4 - 3
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
UNLV Rebels HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 3 - 3 1 - 4 4 - 7 2 - 3 1 - 4 3 - 7 2 - 3 3 - 1 5 - 4
Last 5 games 1 - 1 1 - 2 2 - 3 1 - 1 1 - 2 2 - 3 0 - 2 1 - 1 1 - 3
YTD vs. Conf. 1 - 2 1 - 3 2 - 5 1 - 2 1 - 3 2 - 5 1 - 2 2 - 1 3 - 3
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
San Diego State Aztecs 0 - 1 2 - 2 2 - 2 0 - 1 0 - 2 1 - 1 1 - 3 0 - 0
UNLV Rebels 1 - 1 0 - 3 1 - 4 0 - 0 1 - 1 1 - 2 2 - 3 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

San Diego State Aztecs
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @UCLA 14 - 33 L +24 +18 L -1 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat SU 35 - 19 W -0 -0 W 16 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat @ID 20 - 34 L -3 -3 L -17 56.0 56.0 U -2.0 T
09/26/09 Sat @AF 14 - 26 L +19 +17.5 W 5.5 54.0 52.5 U -12.5 G
10/03/09 Sat NMST 34 - 17 W -14 -17 L 0 45.5 46.0 O +- 5.0 G
10/17/09 Sat BYU 28 - 38 L +18 +17 W 7 58.0 53.0 O +-13.0 G
10/24/09 Sat @COST 42 - 28 W +7.5 +8 W 22 52.0 50.5 O +-19.5 G
10/31/09 Sat NM 23 - 20 W -16 -16 L -13 49.0 52.5 U -9.5 G
11/07/09 Sat TCU 12 - 55 L +24 +24.5 L -18.5 48.0 49.0 O +-18.0 G
11/14/09 Sat WY 27 - 30 L -1 -7 L -10 47.0 48.0 O +- 9.0 G
11/21/09 Sat @UT 7 - 38 L +16.5 +20.5 L -10.5 54.0 54.5 U -9.5 G


UNLV Rebels
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat SAC 38 - 3 W -0 -0 W 35 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat ORST 21 - 23 L +8.5 +6.5 W 4.5 53.0 54.0 U -10.0 G
09/19/09 Sat HI 34 - 33 W -6.5 -7 L -6 55.0 56.0 O +-11.0 G
09/26/09 Sat @WY 27 - 30 L -6 -3.5 L -6.5 47.0 47.5 O +- 9.5 G
10/03/09 Sat @NV 28 - 63 L +2 +7 L -28 58.0 58.5 O +-32.5 G
10/10/09 Sat BYU 21 - 59 L +14 +17 L -21 61.0 64.0 O +-16.0 G
10/17/09 Sat UT 15 - 35 L +17 +16 L -4 61.0 61.5 U -11.5 G
10/24/09 Sat @NM 34 - 17 W -2.5 -1 W 16 55.0 59.0 U -8.0 G
10/31/09 Sat @TCU 0 - 41 L +31 +35 L -6 NL NL G
11/07/09 Sat COST 35 - 16 W +1.5 -1.5 W 17.5 59.0 62.0 U -11.0 G
11/14/09 Sat @AF 17 - 45 L +17 +17 L -11 48.0 47.0 O +-15.0 G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
10/08/05 Sat SDGST 10 UNLV 13 +9 +10 UNLV +13 50.0 53.0 U -30 G
11/11/06 Sat UNLV 7 SDGST 21 -8.0 -9.5 SDGST +4.5 NL NL O +-28 G
11/10/07 Sat SDGST 38 UNLV 30 -1.5 -3.0 UNLV --11 50.0 49.0 O +-19 G
11/22/08 Sat UNLV 21 SDGST 42 +12.5 +10 SDGST +31 60.0 58.5 O +-4.5 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
SDGST (off) 19.4 18 25 52 2.1 41 23 0.6 286 7.0 338 2.0 0.6
UNLV (def) 28.2 20 34 164 4.8 31 21 0.7 249 8.0 413 0.5 0.3
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
SDGST (def) 31.8 19 41 175 4.3 25 14 0.6 181 7.2 356 0.8 0.0
UNLV (off) 27.3 21 31 121 3.9 35 22 0.6 249 7.1 370 1.3 0.2
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
SDGST (off) 23.3 18 27 76 2.8 37 20 0.5 257 6.9 333 1.3 0.8
UNLV (def) 33.2 23 40 231 5.8 28 19 0.7 226 8.1 457 0.3 1.0
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
SDGST (def) 30.7 21 43 169 3.9 28 17 0.6 211 7.5 380 0.8 0.3
UNLV (off) 24.5 21 33 127 3.8 35 21 0.6 220 6.3 347 1.1 0.5



SCORING AVERAGES:

San Diego State Aztecs (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 2.8 3.8 6.6 4.6 8.2 0.0 12.8
POINTS ALLOWED 12.4 11.2 23.6 5.4 2.8 0.0 8.2



UNLV Rebels (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.3 5.2 8.5 7.3 11.5 0.0 18.8
POINTS ALLOWED 4.5 10.2 14.7 6.3 7.2 0.0 13.5



San Diego State Aztecs (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.8 7.2 11 5.7 6.5 0.0 12.2
POINTS ALLOWED 8.6 9.7 18.3 6.2 6.2 0.0 12.4



UNLV Rebels (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.7 6.2 9.9 6.2 8.5 0.0 14.7
POINTS ALLOWED 5.5 9.8 15.3 7.3 10.5 0.0 17.8



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
San Diego State Aztecs 51 -1.0 4.0
UNLV Rebels 46
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 47.5 UNKNOWN

 

[Lumi]

Preview:
San Diego State at UNLV
When: 9:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels are ranked 81 on offense, averaging 347.1 yards per game. The Runnin' Rebels are averaging 127.2 yards rushing and 219.9 yards passing so far this season.

The San Diego State Aztecs are ranked 93 on offense, averaging 332.5 yards per game. The Aztecs are averaging 76.0 yards rushing and 256.5 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels are 3-3 at home this season, 2-5 against conference opponents and 2-2 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Runnin' Rebels are averaging 27.3 scoring, and holding teams to 28.2 points scored on defense.

The San Diego State Aztecs are 1-4 while on the road this season, 2-5 against conference opponents and 2-2 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Aztecs are averaging 19.4 scoring, and holding teams to 31.8 points scored on defense.

 

[Lumi]

Trends - San Diego State at UNLV

Trends - San Diego State at UNLV

Trends - San Diego State at UNLV

ATS Trends

San Diego State

Aztecs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Aztecs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Aztecs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Aztecs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Aztecs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.


UNLV

Runnin' Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Runnin' Rebels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Runnin' Rebels are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Runnin' Rebels are 11-26 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Runnin' Rebels are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite.
Runnin' Rebels are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
Runnin' Rebels are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite.
Runnin' Rebels are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Runnin' Rebels are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Runnin' Rebels are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
Runnin' Rebels are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Runnin' Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Runnin' Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
Runnin' Rebels are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.


OU Trends

San Diego State

Over is 5-1 in Aztecs last 6 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Aztecs last 5 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Aztecs last 5 games in November.
Over is 4-1 in Aztecs last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 4-1 in Aztecs last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Aztecs last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Aztecs last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 14-4 in Aztecs last 18 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 6-2 in Aztecs last 8 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-2 in Aztecs last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Aztecs last 7 road games.
Over is 5-2 in Aztecs last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.


UNLV

Under is 5-0 in Runnin' Rebels last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Runnin' Rebels last 5 games following a bye week.
Under is 4-1 in Runnin' Rebels last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Runnin' Rebels last 5 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Runnin' Rebels last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 4-1 in Runnin' Rebels last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Under is 4-1 in Runnin' Rebels last 5 conference games.
Over is 10-3 in Runnin' Rebels last 13 games as a home favorite.
Under is 5-2 in Runnin' Rebels last 7 home games.
Over is 5-2 in Runnin' Rebels last 7 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 13-6 in Runnin' Rebels last 19 games as a favorite.


Head to Head

Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Home team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

 

[Lumi]

U-C-L-A (6-5) at (24) U-S-C (7-3)

U-C-L-A (6-5) at (24) U-S-C (7-3)

U-C-L-A (6-5) at (24) U-S-C (7-3)



Saturday, November 28th, 10:00 p.m. (et)



GAME NOTES: The USC Trojans have dropped to 24th in the most recent AP poll, and they will attempt to get on track against the UCLA Bruins in Pac-10 action.

UCLA has been arguably the nation's streakiest team this season. After opening the season with three straight wins, the Bruins proceeded to lose their next five outings. Fortunately, the team has gone on another streak, stringing three straight wins together to move to 6-5 overall and become eligible for a bowl game. The Bruins bettered their Pac-10 mark to 3-5 with a 23-13 decision over Arizona State in front of the home crowd last weekend.

For most programs, a 7-3 record would be a source of pride, but for USC, it is a symbol of disappointment and perhaps a fall from dominance. The Trojans have lost two of their last three outings, and they have been idle since getting hammered by Stanford on November 14th by a 55-21 final. They will close out the regular season with Arizona next weekend, but the fact that Pete Carroll's team will not be playing in a BCS bowl game is tough to swallow for fans and players alike.

USC leads the all-time series with UCLA by a 43-28-7 margin, and Carroll is 7-1 against the Bruins since taking over as head coach of the Trojans.

UCLA has reason to be proud of its effort against Arizona State last weekend, but it should be pointed out that the offense didn't play well. The Bruins finished with only 292 total yards, including 131 rushing yards on 36 attempts, and they failed to score an offensive touchdown. Kevin Prince took the snaps for the Bruins, and he completed just 15-of-31 passes for 161 yards. Fortunately, he wasn't intercepted.

Give a ton of credit to the UCLA defense, as two touchdowns in the first half were the difference in the game. First, Alterraun Verner intercepted a pass and racked 68 yards for a touchdown to give the Bruins a 7-0 lead. Then, in the second quarter, Akeem Ayers put the club up by a 17-7 margin with a nine- yard fumble return for a score. The pass defense did yield a couple of long touchdowns, but UCLA played well against the run and got the job done overall.

"As a program, you have to learn to crawl before you can walk," said UCLA coach Rick Neuheisel after the win over Arizona State as he addressed the student section. "Next week, let's see if we can't run a little bit."

Overall this season, UCLA is scoring a modest 22.6 ppg while generating 340.9 total ypg. The Bruins have struggled to move the ball on the ground, as they are rushing for a mere 114.8 ypg at a clip of 3.5 yards per carry. The fact that only 19 total offensive touchdowns have been scored in 11 games is a sign of a stagnant offense. Prince has completed 57.6 percent of his passes for 1,739 yards and six touchdowns with five interceptions, while fellow quarterback Kevin Craft has been mediocre as well. There are no standouts present at either the tailback or receiver positions.

Fortunately, UCLA has been able to hold opponents to 20.6 ppg and 338.5 total ypg. The Bruins don't excel against either the run or the pass, but they have been fairly solid against both means of attack. The defense has certainly been opportunistic, as it has registered 17 interceptions to date to go along with 10 fumble recoveries and 22 sacks. Kyle Bosworth leads the Bruins with 70 total tackles, and Brian Price has recorded a staggering total of 20.5 TFLs, including seven sacks. As for Rahim Moore, he has intercepted nine passes in 11 games, seemingly making him a lock for All-America honors.

USC turned the ball over four times against Stanford last time out, including three interceptions for freshman quarterback Matt Barkley. He completed 21- of-31 passes for 196 yards with one touchdown, and that effort simply wasn't good enough. Joe McKnight rushed for 142 yards and a touchdown in the loss, as he showed off some of his explosiveness. Unfortunately, USC had the ball for fewer than 24 minutes.

"This isn't what we grew up watching," Barkley said. "I'm not used to this....I don't know what to think right now."

Stanford gashed the USC defense for 325 rushing yards two weeks ago, as the Cardinal was able to average 6.5 yards per carry. In all, the Trojans yielded 469 yards and seven touchdowns, a truly embarrassing effort.

Overall this season, USC is averaging 27.5 ppg and 400.2 total ypg, solid numbers that fall short of what has come to be expected of the Trojans. Barkley got off to a solid start this season, but he has declined in recent weeks. He has completed a modest 57.9 percent of his passes for 2,035 yards and 11 touchdowns with 10 interceptions. McKnight has rushed for 932 yards and eight touchdowns on only 143 carries, and it remains a mystery why Carroll does not give the speedster the ball more often.

USC's defense should not be judged on the poor performance against Stanford, as the team is limiting opponents to 21.7 ppg and 347.1 total ypg this season. The Trojans have been tough against the run, with the exception of last game, as they are limiting foes to 3.7 yards per attempt and 135.6 ypg. There has been some trouble slowing down the pass, however, and there have been just 16 total takeaways mustered by USC this season. Taylor Mays continues to pace USC in tackles with 73, but the highly overrated safety hasn't made hardly any impact plays this season.

"We came out there, and there was something wrong," Mays said after the loss to Stanford. "It is very disappointing. It's almost sickening. To be a senior and leave a legacy like this, it's sickening."

It has been a long time since we have seen the Trojans struggle to this level. Carroll is an outstanding coach, and he will right the ship for USC.

Predicted Outcome: USC 42, UCLA 20

 

[Lumi]

Southern California Trojans (3-1) (1-0 H) vs UCLA Bruins (1-5) (0-3 A)

Game Time: 10:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: The Coliseum Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
UCLA Bruins HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 4 - 2 2 - 3 6 - 5 3 - 3 3 - 2 6 - 5 1 - 3 0 - 4 1 - 7
Last 5 games 2 - 0 1 - 2 3 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 1 3 - 2 0 - 1 0 - 2 0 - 3
YTD vs. Conf. 2 - 2 1 - 3 3 - 5 1 - 3 2 - 2 3 - 5 1 - 2 0 - 3 1 - 5
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Southern California Trojans HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 3 - 1 4 - 2 7 - 3 1 - 3 1 - 5 2 - 8 2 - 1 2 - 4 4 - 5
Last 5 games 1 - 1 2 - 1 3 - 2 0 - 2 0 - 3 0 - 5 2 - 0 2 - 1 4 - 1
YTD vs. Conf. 2 - 1 2 - 2 4 - 3 0 - 3 1 - 3 1 - 6 2 - 1 1 - 3 3 - 4
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
UCLA Bruins 1 - 0 2 - 2 1 - 2 2 - 0 3 - 1 0 - 2 3 - 3 0 - 0
Southern California Trojans 1 - 5 0 - 0 1 - 3 0 - 2 1 - 3 0 - 0 1 - 3 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

UCLA Bruins
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat SDGST 33 - 14 W -24 -18 W 1 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat @TN 19 - 15 W +6.5 +11 W 15 46.0 45.0 U -11.0 G
09/19/09 Sat KSST 23 - 9 W -14 -11.5 W 2.5 45.0 45.0 U -13.0 G
10/03/09 Sat @STAN 16 - 24 L +6.5 +5 L -3 45.0 45.0 U -5.0 G
10/10/09 Sat OR 10 - 24 L +6 +3.5 L -10.5 46.5 45.0 U -11.0 G
10/17/09 Sat CA 26 - 45 L +6 +3.5 L -15.5 45.0 44.0 O +-27.0 G
10/24/09 Sat @AZ 13 - 27 L +8 +7.5 L -6.5 49.0 50.5 U -10.5 G
10/31/09 Sat @ORST 19 - 26 L +8.5 +10 W 3 49.5 48.0 U -3.0 T
11/07/09 Sat WA 24 - 23 W -3.5 -5 L -4 NL NL G
11/14/09 Sat @WAST 43 - 7 W -20 -17.5 W 18.5 NL NL T
11/21/09 Sat AZST 23 - 13 W -6 -4.5 W 5.5 42.0 41.5 U -5.5 G


Southern California Trojans
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat SJST 56 - 3 W -33 -35 W 18 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat @OHST 18 - 15 W -4.5 -7 L -4 45.0 45.5 U -12.5 G
09/19/09 Sat @WA 13 - 16 L -22 -20 L -23 55.0 53.5 U -24.5 T
09/26/09 Sat WAST 27 - 6 W -43 -45.5 L -24.5 53.0 55.5 U -22.5 G
10/03/09 Sat @CA 30 - 3 W -4 -5 W 22 48.0 47.0 U -14.0 G
10/17/09 Sat @ND 34 - 27 W -8 -10 L -3 50.0 51.0 O +-10.0 G
10/24/09 Sat ORST 42 - 36 W -20 -21 L -15 50.0 52.0 O +-26.0 G
10/31/09 Sat @OR 20 - 47 L -4.5 -3 L -30 48.0 49.0 O +-18.0 T
11/07/09 Sat @AZST 14 - 9 W -14 -11.5 L -6.5 45.0 45.5 U -22.5 G
11/14/09 Sat STAN 21 - 55 L -10 -11 L -45 51.0 58.0 O +-18.0 G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
12/03/05 Sat UCLA 19 USC 66 -20.0 -21.0 USC +26 75.0 74.5 O +-10.5 G
12/02/06 Sat USC 9 UCLA 13 +13 +12 UCLA +16 48.0 47.5 U -25.5 G
12/01/07 Sat UCLA 7 USC 24 -16.0 -19.0 USC --2 48.0 46.0 U -15 G
12/06/08 Sat USC 28 UCLA 7 +27 +33 UCLA +12 NL NL O +-35 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
UCLA (off) 22.0 18 30 106 3.5 34 20 0.6 220 6.5 326 0.0 0.8
USC (def) 25.0 18 40 144 3.6 32 18 0.6 182 5.7 326 0.3 1.8
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
UCLA (def) 19.8 19 39 143 3.7 27 17 0.6 193 7.1 336 1.8 1.0
USC (off) 36.5 19 34 216 6.4 25 17 0.7 231 9.2 447 1.3 1.3
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
UCLA (off) 22.6 18 33 114 3.5 33 19 0.6 226 6.8 340 0.7 0.9
USC (def) 21.7 20 36 136 3.8 35 19 0.5 212 6.1 348 0.6 1.0
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
UCLA (def) 20.6 18 36 146 4.1 29 17 0.6 193 6.7 339 1.5 0.9
USC (off) 27.5 18 34 181 5.3 28 16 0.6 219 7.8 400 1.1 0.7



SCORING AVERAGES:

UCLA Bruins (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.0 5.0 9 5.0 8.0 0.0 13
POINTS ALLOWED 6.6 4.0 10.6 6.2 3.0 0.0 9.2



Southern California Trojans (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.8 12.3 19.1 10.5 7.0 0.0 17.5
POINTS ALLOWED 5.8 2.5 8.3 5.3 11.5 0.0 16.8



UCLA Bruins (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.9 6.6 12.5 5.0 5.1 0.0 10.1
POINTS ALLOWED 7.4 4.3 11.7 6.2 2.8 0.0 9



Southern California Trojans (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.4 8.9 15.3 6.9 5.3 0.0 12.2
POINTS ALLOWED 5.4 3.3 8.7 5.6 7.4 0.0 13



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
UCLA Bruins 58.5
Southern California Trojans 68.5 -14.0 1.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 44.5 UNKNOWN

 

[Lumi]

Preview:
UCLA at Southern California
When: 10:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Los Angeles Coliseum, Los Angeles, California

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Southern California Trojans are ranked 48 on offense, averaging 400.3 yards per game. The Trojans are averaging 181.3 yards rushing and 219.0 yards passing so far this season.


The UCLA Bruins are ranked 87 on offense, averaging 340.9 yards per game. The Bruins are averaging 114.8 yards rushing and 226.1 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Southern California Trojans are 3-1 at home this season, 4-3 against conference opponents and 3-0 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Trojans are averaging 36.5 scoring, and holding teams to 25.0 points scored on defense.

The UCLA Bruins are 2-3 while on the road this season, 3-5 against conference opponents and 3-0 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Bruins are averaging 22.0 scoring, and holding teams to 19.8 points scored on defense.

 

[Lumi]

Trends - UCLA at No. 22 Southern California

Trends - UCLA at No. 22 Southern California

Trends - UCLA at No. 22 Southern California

ATS Trends

UCLA

Bruins are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Bruins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Bruins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Bruins are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Bruins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games in November.
Bruins are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
Bruins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.


Southern California


Trojans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Trojans are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games in November.
Trojans are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a bye week.
Trojans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Trojans are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a S.U. loss.
Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Trojans are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Trojans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.


OU Trends

UCLA

Under is 5-0 in Bruins last 5 games as a road underdog.
Under is 7-1 in Bruins last 8 games following a bye week.
Under is 7-1 in Bruins last 8 games in November.
Under is 6-1 in Bruins last 7 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Bruins last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 14-3-1 in Bruins last 18 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Bruins last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 20-6-1 in Bruins last 27 games following a ATS win.
Under is 6-2-1 in Bruins last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 21-7-1 in Bruins last 29 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 21-7-1 in Bruins last 29 conference games.
Under is 20-7 in Bruins last 27 games on grass.
Under is 22-8-1 in Bruins last 31 games overall.
Under is 19-7-1 in Bruins last 27 games as an underdog.


Southern California


Under is 5-0 in Trojans last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Over is 4-0 in Trojans last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 10-1 in Trojans last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 games as a home favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 games as a favorite.
Under is 15-5-1 in Trojans last 21 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 21-7-1 in Trojans last 29 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Over is 5-2 in Trojans last 7 games on grass.
Under is 21-10-1 in Trojans last 32 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 33-16-2 in Trojans last 51 conference games.


Head to Head

Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Bruins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Southern California.