Saturday's Tip Sheet

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
(22) Utah (9-2) at (18) B-Y-U (9-2)

(22) Utah (9-2) at (18) B-Y-U (9-2)

(22) Utah (9-2) at (18) B-Y-U (9-2)



Saturday, November 28th, 5:00 p.m. (et)

GAME NOTES: In the only game this week pitting two Top-25 programs against each other, the 18th-ranked BYU Cougars entertain the 22nd-ranked Utah Utes in Mountain West Conference action in Provo on Saturday afternoon.

BYU arrives in this regular-season finale having won three straight games since being trounced by TCU (38-7) last month. Most recently the Cougars dismissed Air Force, handing the Falcons a 38-21 loss in the last game of the season for the academy. Aside from the loss to MWC foe TCU, the Cougars also bowed in the second game of the season versus Florida State, back when the Seminoles were fooling people into thinking they were a real threat.

As for the Utes, they bounced back from their disappointing 55-28 setback against the Horned Frogs a couple weeks ago to take down San Diego State in the final home game of the season at Rice-Eccles Stadium, 38-7. The victory was the seventh in the last eight games for a Utah team that also bowed to Oregon by a touchdown on the road in the third game of the season.

Utah doubled up BYU last year in a 48-24 decision, but the Utes still have a 53-33-4 edge in the all-time series.

"Looking back at this past weekend, I thought we played fairly well," said Utah head coach Kyle Whittingham during his weekly press conference. "We started off fast and got a big 38-0 lead at halftime. I was disappointed in our production in the second half, but we took care of business and got the win."

Being disappointed in the production in the second half might be an understatement, given that the Utes failed to score a single point after intermission. In the first quarter Eddie Wide posted a pair of rushing touchdowns, while Jordan Wynn finished the outing 14-of-28 for 195 yards and a score passing the ball, but barely made a sound following the break. Perhaps coach Whittingham was wondering where his team's killer mentality had gone after the first 30 minutes of action.

For three quarters the Utah defense didn't allowed the Aztecs to get a sniff of the end zone, but the unit finally gave way a few minutes into the fourth period. Nevertheless, even as the secondary surrendered 207 yards through the air, coach Whittingham acknowledged a better effort from the run defense this time around.

"On defense, it was good to see the run defense get back on track. It was very poor the week prior and it was good to see them get back and hold SDSU to 55 yards rushing."

The run defense has been rather sporadic this year, stringing together a couple of strong efforts like they did versus Wyoming and New Mexico when they permitted just 51 and 82 yards, respectively, but then allowing an unsightly 342 yards and five touchdowns to TCU.

The pass defense has been a much safer option for the Utes, ranked 15th in the country and third in the conference with only 176.4 ypg.

Over on the BYU side of things, the Cougars are driven by the experience and pose of quarterback Max Hall who threw for a season-high 377 yards and five touchdowns in the win against the Falcons last week. Hall, who became the program's all-time leader in wins as a starting quarterback with his 31st, also rewrote his own MWC record for 300-yard passing games in a single season with his eighth.

For his efforts Hall was named the MWC Offensive Player of the Week for the fifth time in 2009 and the 10th time in his career, so it certainly is no fluke when he puts the team on his back and takes them to the victory circle more often than not.

Aside from the opener against Oklahoma in Dallas and the effort versus TCU, the BYU offense seems to have been right on track for much of the season, in spite of what head coach Bronco Mendenhall has said about the unit. Hall has the passing attack clicking on all cylinders right now, averaging 303 ypg to rank first in the Mountain West and ninth in the country.

Hall has gotten himself noticed with his incredible 70.3 percent accuracy and 28 TDs, against 14 interceptions this year. Not only has Hall made a name for himself outside of the MWC, he has also helped tight end Dennis Pitta achieve similar heights by feeding him with 55 receptions, leading to 753 yards and seven touchdowns. Easily Hall's favorite receiver, Pitta leads the nation in five of six stats for tight ends and has been named a finalist for the John Mackey Award as a result.

Since giving up a whopping 313 yards and four touchdowns on the ground to Florida State so long ago, the BYU defense has permitted just one opponent (Air Force) to generate more than 127 yards on the ground, and since the Falcons are one of the top running teams in the country it only makes sense. So through out that performance and it is easy to see the improvements made by the group on the line of scrimmage.

"It's gonna be a great game," coach Mendenhall admits of the meeting with in- state rival Utah. "You have two teams that are having great success, two teams that are in the top-25 in the country and two teams that are 35 miles apart and a state championship on the line with two teams that have played very good football over the last four years."

The advantage in this game has to be given to BYU because of the experience of Hall in the pocket. Not to short-change any of the Utah players, but right now the Utes are still trying to get comfortable with Wynn at quarterback and the Cougars have no such worries.

Predicted Outcome: BYU 35, Utah 21
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
College Football Matchup - (22) Utah at (18) B-Y-U

(22) Utah Utes (9-2) at (18) B-Y-U Cougars (9-2)
Date: Saturday, November 28th
Kickoff: 5 p.m. (et)
Site: LaVell Edwards Stadium (64,045) -- Provo, Utah
Surface: Natural Grass
Home Record: Utah 6-0; B-Y-U 3-2
Away Record: Utah 3-2; B-Y-U 5-0
Neutral Record: Utah 0-0; B-Y-U 1-0
Conference Record: Utah 6-1; B-Y-U 6-1
Current Road Win/Loss Streak: Utah 1L
Current Home Win/Loss Streak: B-Y-U 1W
Television: The Mountain/CBS College Sports
Announcers: James Bates, Todd Christensen, Toby Christensen and Sammy Linebaugh
All-Time Series: Utah (53-33-4)
Last Meeting: November 22, 2008 (Utah, 48-24 at Utah)
Series Streak: B-Y-U has won two of the last three meetings.

Season Schedule/Results
Utah Utes
Sep 3 - W vs. Utah State, 35-17
Sep 12 - W at San Jose St, 24-14
Sep 19 - L at Oregon, 24-31
Sep 26 - W vs. Louisville, 30-14
Oct 3 - Open
Oct 10 - W at Colorado State, 24-17
Oct 17 - W at U-N-L-V, 35-15
Oct 24 - W vs. Air Force, 23-16 OT
Oct 31 - W vs. Wyoming, 22-10
Nov 7 - W vs. New Mexico, 45-14
Nov 14 - L at T-C-U, 28-55
Nov 21 - W vs. San Diego St, 38-7
Nov 28 - at B-Y-U, 5:00 PM
B-Y-U Cougars
Sep 5 - W vs. Oklahoma, 14-13 (at Dallas, TX)
Sep 12 - W at Tulane, 54-3
Sep 19 - L vs. Florida State, 28-54
Sep 26 - W vs. Colorado State, 42-23
Oct 2 - W vs. Utah State, 35-17
Oct 10 - W at U-N-L-V, 59-21
Oct 17 - W at San Diego St, 38-28
Oct 24 - L vs. T-C-U, 7-38
Oct 31 - Open
Nov 7 - W at Wyoming, 52-0
Nov 14 - W at New Mexico, 24-19
Nov 21 - W vs. Air Force, 38-21
Nov 28 - vs. Utah, 5:00 PM
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
BYU Cougars (3-2) (1-2 H) vs Utah Utes (3-0) (2-0 A)

Game Time: 5:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Lavell Edwards Stadium Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Utah Utes HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 6 - 0 3 - 2 9 - 2 3 - 3 1 - 4 4 - 7 0 - 4 2 - 2 2 - 6
Last 5 games 4 - 0 0 - 1 4 - 1 2 - 2 0 - 1 2 - 3 0 - 3 1 - 0 1 - 3
YTD vs. Conf. 4 - 0 2 - 1 6 - 1 2 - 2 1 - 2 3 - 4 0 - 3 1 - 2 1 - 5
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
BYU Cougars HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 3 - 2 6 - 0 9 - 2 1 - 3 4 - 2 5 - 5 3 - 2 3 - 1 6 - 3
Last 5 games 1 - 1 3 - 0 4 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 2 2 - 3 1 - 1 2 - 0 3 - 1
YTD vs. Conf. 2 - 1 4 - 0 6 - 1 1 - 1 2 - 2 3 - 3 2 - 1 3 - 0 5 - 1
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Utah Utes 1 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 3 0 - 1 3 - 3 0 - 0 3 - 3 0 - 0
BYU Cougars 3 - 2 1 - 0 3 - 2 1 - 0 1 - 2 0 - 1 1 - 3 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Utah Utes
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/03/09 Thu UTST 35 - 17 W -24 -21 L -3 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat @SJST 24 - 14 W -14 -13.5 L -3.5 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat @OR 24 - 31 L +6.5 +4.5 L -2.5 53.5 54.0 O +- 1.0 T
09/26/09 Sat LOU 30 - 14 W -12.5 -14 W 2 51.0 53.0 U -9.0 G
10/10/09 Sat @COST 24 - 17 W -7.5 -9 L -2 54.0 51.0 U -10.0 G
10/17/09 Sat @UNLV 35 - 15 W -17 -16 W 4 61.0 61.5 U -11.5 G
10/24/09 Sat AF 23 - 16 W -8 -9.5 L -2.5 42.5 42.5 U -3.5 G
10/31/09 Sat WY 22 - 10 W -14 -18 L -6 44.0 43.5 U -11.5 G
11/07/09 Sat NM 45 - 14 W -28 -27.5 W 3.5 NL NL G
11/14/09 Sat @TCU 28 - 55 L +16 +20 L -7 47.0 48.5 O +-34.5 G
11/21/09 Sat SDGST 38 - 7 W -16.5 -20.5 W 10.5 54.0 54.5 U -9.5 G


BYU Cougars
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @OK 14 - 13 W +21 +23 W 24 67.0 64.0 U -37.0 G
09/12/09 Sat @TLN 54 - 3 W -18 -19.5 W 31.5 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat FLST 28 - 54 L -6.5 -8.5 L -34.5 55.0 54.0 O +-28.0 G
09/26/09 Sat COST 42 - 23 W -18 -19 L 0 59.0 56.5 O +- 8.5 G
10/02/09 Fri UTST 35 - 17 W -27 -24 L -6 64.0 62.5 U -10.5 G
10/10/09 Sat @UNLV 59 - 21 W -14 -17 W 21 61.0 64.0 O +-16.0 G
10/17/09 Sat @SDGST 38 - 28 W -18 -17 L -7 58.0 53.0 O +-13.0 G
10/24/09 Sat TCU 7 - 38 L -0 +2.5 L -28.5 49.0 52.0 U -7.0 G
11/07/09 Sat @WY 52 - 0 W -10.5 -13.5 W 38.5 49.5 48.5 O +- 3.5 G
11/14/09 Sat @NM 24 - 19 W -28 -27.5 L -22.5 NL NL G
11/21/09 Sat AF 38 - 21 W -7.5 -9.5 W 7.5 48.0 47.0 O +-12.0 G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/19/05 Sat UT 41 BYU 34 -11.5 -10.0 BYU --17 56.0 58.0 O +-17 G
11/25/06 Sat BYU 33 UT 31 +9 +10.5 UT +8.5 55.0 54.5 O +-9.5 G
11/24/07 Sat UT 10 BYU 17 -6.0 -4.5 BYU +2.5 47.5 47.0 U -20 G
11/22/08 Sat BYU 24 UT 48 -4.0 -7.0 UT +17 52.0 53.5 O +-18.5 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
UT (off) 27.0 17 34 159 4.7 32 19 0.6 213 6.7 372 0.8 1.2
BYU (def) 30.6 22 41 165 4.0 31 18 0.6 231 7.5 396 0.8 0.6
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
UT (def) 26.4 21 38 164 4.3 30 16 0.5 198 6.6 362 1.6 0.8
BYU (off) 30.0 21 32 137 4.3 33 22 0.7 278 8.4 415 2.0 1.0
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
UT (off) 29.8 19 38 176 4.6 29 18 0.6 222 7.7 398 0.6 1.0
BYU (def) 21.5 19 33 113 3.4 32 20 0.6 221 6.9 334 1.1 0.7
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
UT (def) 19.1 18 38 142 3.7 30 15 0.5 179 6.0 321 1.4 0.6
BYU (off) 35.5 24 36 150 4.2 32 23 0.7 303 9.5 453 1.3 0.7



SCORING AVERAGES:

Utah Utes (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.2 5.6 11.8 6.2 9.0 0.0 15.2
POINTS ALLOWED 6.2 8.8 15 6.6 4.8 0.0 11.4



BYU Cougars (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.2 11.2 17.4 4.2 8.4 0.0 12.6
POINTS ALLOWED 5.6 8.8 14.4 6.8 9.4 0.0 16.2



Utah Utes (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 7.8 7.5 15.3 6.8 7.0 0.6 14.4
POINTS ALLOWED 5.5 5.3 10.8 3.9 4.4 0.0 8.3



BYU Cougars (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.2 12.6 18.8 7.6 9.1 0.0 16.7
POINTS ALLOWED 4.5 5.8 10.3 4.9 6.4 0.0 11.3



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Utah Utes 54 3.0
BYU Cougars 54.5 -4.5
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 46.5 UNKNOWN
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Preview:
Utah at Brigham Young
When: 5:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Lavell Edwards Stadium, Provo, Utah

Quick Hits


Overall Team Offense

The Brigham Young Cougars are ranked 10 on offense, averaging 452.5 yards per game. The Cougars are averaging 149.7 yards rushing and 302.8 yards passing so far this season.


The Utah Utes are ranked 50 on offense, averaging 397.8 yards per game. The Utes are averaging 176.0 yards rushing and 221.8 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Brigham Young Cougars are 3-2 at home this season, 6-1 against conference opponents and 3-1 against non-conference opponents.


At home the Cougars are averaging 30.0 scoring, and holding teams to 30.6 points scored on defense.


The Utah Utes are 3-2 while on the road this season, 6-1 against conference opponents and 3-1 against non-conference opponents.


On the road, the Utes are averaging 27.0 scoring, and holding teams to 26.4 points scored on defense.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Trends - No. 19 Utah at No. 15 Brigham Young

Trends - No. 19 Utah at No. 15 Brigham Young

Trends - No. 19 Utah at No. 15 Brigham Young


ATS Trends

Utah

Utes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Utes are 25-7-1 ATS in their last 33 games as an underdog.
Utes are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Utes are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Utes are 25-8-1 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog.
Utes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.
Utes are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.
Utes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Utes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Utes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Utes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Utes are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.


Brigham Young

Cougars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cougars are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cougars are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Cougars are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a S.U. win.
Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.


OU Trends

Utah

Over is 4-0 in Utes last 4 games as a road underdog.
Over is 6-1 in Utes last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Over is 5-1-1 in Utes last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 8-2-1 in Utes last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Utes last 5 games in November.
Over is 4-1 in Utes last 5 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-2 in Utes last 8 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Utes last 7 conference games.
Over is 7-3 in Utes last 10 games following a ATS win.
Under is 14-6 in Utes last 20 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.


Brigham Young

Over is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games in November.
Over is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 8-2 in Cougars last 10 games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 7-2 in Cougars last 9 conference games.
Under is 5-2 in Cougars last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 5-2 in Cougars last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Cougars last 10 games overall.
Over is 7-3 in Cougars last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 7-3 in Cougars last 10 games on grass.
Over is 7-3 in Cougars last 10 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.


Head to Head

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Brigham Young.


Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Utes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Brigham Young.
Underdog is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Utah State (3-8) at Idaho (7-4)

Utah State (3-8) at Idaho (7-4)

Utah State (3-8) at Idaho (7-4)

DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 28th, 5:00 p.m. (et).

FACTS & STATS: Site: Kibbie Dome (18,000) -- Moscow, Idaho. Television: ESPN Regional. Home Record: USU 3-2, Idaho 4-1. Away Record: USU 0-6, Idaho 3-3. Neutral Record: USU 0-0, Idaho 0-0. Conference Record: USU 2-5, Idaho 4-3. Series Record: Utah State leads, 17-16-2.

GAME NOTES: Former assistant coaches who worked side-by-side while at Northern Arizona back in 1995-96, Idaho's Robb Akey and Utah State head coach Gary Andersen now lead their respective programs into battle this Saturday afternoon in the Kibbie Dome.

In the case of Akey, who has suffered a number of bitter seasons in Moscow, he has gotten his team to seven wins and has them potentially making it to the postseason. However, Akey knows full well that his team cannot close out the regular season on a flat note and right now the squad has dropped two in a row and three of the last four outings. The Vandals have had some extra time to prepare for this game, getting a week off following their 63-25 loss to Boise State on the blue turf on November 14th.

Ironically, the last opponent for the Aggies in Western Athletic Conference action was also the Broncos, bowing to the sixth-ranked team in the nation by a score of 52-21 on Friday night. The defeat was the third in the last four games for a team that is desperate to pick up its third league win of the campaign.

USU won last year's battle between these two teams by a score of 42-17, giving the Aggies a 17-16-2 lead in the all-time series.

Tied with mighty Boise State at 14-14 midway through the second quarter, USU probably thought it had a fighting chance against the top-scoring program in the country. Unfortunately, the Aggies were pelted with three quick touchdowns in a span of just five minutes and all of a sudden were trailing by three touchdowns at the break. Michael Smith and Robert Turbin kept things interesting with three combined touchdowns, but quarterback Diondre Borel could not evade the BSU defense which caught him four times behind the line of scrimmage. Borel finished 18-of-30 for 201 yards and an interception. Ranked first in the WAC in terms of total offense with 270.2 ypg, Borel has had a hand in his team ranking third in the conference in rushing with 195.3 ypg. The unit ranks 24th in the country in total offense with better than 430 ypg, but when it comes to scoring points the squad is good for just 27 ppg (64th nationally). Take away the team's 53-point effort against Southern Utah in the third game of the season and that stat would be even more hard to explain.

As many teams have found out this season, the Broncos tend to need a little time to warm up, and that they did against Utah State last week. The Aggies woke up a sleeping giant and watched as the visitors generated 323 yards and six touchdowns on the ground, not to mention another 249 yards through the air for good measure. Bobby Wagner did all he could to keep the home team close with his game-high 16 tackles, but it just wasn't meant to be. Wagner logged the only tackle for loss by the Aggies as well. Defense has not been one of the strong areas for Utah State again this season, the team allowing 32.6 ppg to rank seventh in the conference and 104th in the conference heading into this week. The attack at the line of scrimmage has been weak, considering opponents are generating 211.9 ypg on the ground and the Aggies are averaging just 4.6 tackles for loss per game and a mere 1.3 sacks per outing. Were it not for the nine points allowed to SJSU a couple weeks back and the minimal yardage posted by the Spartans, things would appear even more bleak for USU.

Against the Broncos a couple weeks ago Idaho continually shot itself in the foot with five interceptions and a pair of fumbles. The Vandals offense in that contest was being directed by quarterback Brian Reader who was standing in for the injured Nathan Enderle. Reader was thrown to the wolves, having five passes picked off even as he threw for 305 yards and a score. Running back DeMaundray Woolridge provided some relief with his 143 yards and two touchdowns, but not nearly enough had Enderle been able to make the trip. This week Enderle is still listed as questionable and one has to wonder why coach Akey would put him in harm's way, but he might just need to call on his QB to ensure a win and a better shot at the postseason. As it stands, the Idaho offense ranks 14th in the country with better than 444 ypg, but it is Enderle who has played a critical role in developing that number and the team's 30.3 ppg. Having senior guard Mike Iupati, a finalist for the Outland Trophy, should be more than enough to keep Enderle safe should he make an appearance.

In their four losses this season the Vandals have permitted an average of 51.5 ppg, far above the 34 ppg given up overall, so when Idaho is not stopping opponents it just gets worse and worse. The pass defense was especially victimized by Boise State the last time out, permitting Kellen Moore to throw for 299 yards and five touchdowns. As a result, the unit is now giving up 259.2 ypg through the air and that ranks the group second-to-last in the conference and 111th in the nation this week. Because of all the touchdowns that have passed overhead, the Vandals have a mark of 152.54 when it comes to pass efficiency rating. While Iupati is the one who shines on the offensive side of the ball, the defense puts a lot of faith in the play of Shiloh Keo who leads the unit with his 103 tackles and is also first with three interceptions. What this group sorely lacks is someone who can push the pocket and make stops in the backfield, the team averaging just 3.9 TFLs and 1.1 sacks per game.

If the Vandals think they are a lock for the postseason they might come out flat in this meeting, so it is the job of coach Akey to talk the bunch up and get them ready to stop Borel and Turbin on the other side of the ball.

Predicted Outcome: Idaho 31, Utah State 28
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Idaho Vandals (4-1) (3-0 H) vs Utah State Aggies (1-4) (0-3 A)

Game Time: 5:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Clarence D. Martin Stadium Surface: Turf




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Utah State Aggies HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 3 - 2 0 - 6 3 - 8 3 - 1 4 - 2 7 - 3 2 - 2 2 - 3 4 - 5
Last 5 games 2 - 1 0 - 2 2 - 3 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 3
YTD vs. Conf. 2 - 2 0 - 3 2 - 5 3 - 1 1 - 2 4 - 3 2 - 2 1 - 2 3 - 4
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Idaho Vandals HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 4 - 1 3 - 3 7 - 4 3 - 2 4 - 2 7 - 4 2 - 3 3 - 0 5 - 3
Last 5 games 2 - 1 0 - 2 2 - 3 1 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 4 1 - 2 1 - 0 2 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 2 - 1 2 - 2 4 - 3 1 - 2 2 - 2 3 - 4 1 - 2 2 - 0 3 - 2
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Utah State Aggies 0 - 2 4 - 0 4 - 1 0 - 1 2 - 0 1 - 1 0 - 0 3 - 1
Idaho Vandals 0 - 0 4 - 2 2 - 1 2 - 1 1 - 1 2 - 1 0 - 0 3 - 2



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Utah State Aggies
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/03/09 Thu @UT 17 - 35 L +24 +21 W 3 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat @TXAM 30 - 38 L +17.5 +20 W 12 59.5 59.5 O +- 8.5 G
09/26/09 Sat SU 53 - 34 W -0 -0 W 19 NL NL T
10/02/09 Fri @BYU 17 - 35 L +27 +24 W 6 64.0 62.5 U -10.5 G
10/10/09 Sat @NMST 17 - 20 L -11.5 -10.5 L -13.5 52.0 49.5 U -12.5 G
10/17/09 Sat NV 32 - 35 L +11.5 +8.5 W 5.5 62.0 66.0 O +- 1.0 T
10/24/09 Sat LATECH 23 - 21 W +2 -1.5 W 0.5 56.0 53.0 U -9.0 T
10/31/09 Sat @FRE 27 - 31 L +15 +17 W 13 61.0 63.5 U -5.5 G
11/07/09 Sat @HI 36 - 49 L -3.5 -2 L -15 58.0 60.0 O +-25.0 T
11/14/09 Sat SJST 24 - 9 W -10 -13 W 2 56.0 56.5 U -23.5 T
11/20/09 Fri BST 21 - 52 L +24 +23 L -8 59.0 62.5 O +-10.5 T


Idaho Vandals
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @NMST 21 - 6 W +3 +2 W 17 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat @WA 23 - 42 L +21 +20.5 W 1.5 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat SDGST 34 - 20 W +3 +3 W 17 56.0 56.0 U -2.0 T
09/26/09 Sat @NIL 34 - 31 W +14.5 +15 W 18 51.0 53.5 O +-11.5 T
10/03/09 Sat COST 31 - 29 W +7.5 +5 W 7 56.0 57.0 O +- 3.0 T
10/10/09 Sat @SJST 29 - 25 W +1 +6 W 10 51.0 53.0 O +- 1.0 G
10/17/09 Sat HI 35 - 23 W -7.5 -8 W 4 57.0 61.0 U -3.0 T
10/24/09 Sat @NV 45 - 70 L +11 +16.5 L -8.5 65.0 67.0 O +-48.0 G
10/31/09 Sat LATECH 35 - 34 W -3.5 -3 L -2 56.0 57.5 O +-11.5 T
11/07/09 Sat FRE 21 - 31 L +7.5 +9 L -1 68.0 67.0 U -15.0 T
11/14/09 Sat @BST 25 - 63 L +28.5 +32.5 L -5.5 NL NL T



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
10/01/05 Sat UTST 13 ID 27 +2.5 -1.0 ID +13 NL NL O +-40 T
09/30/06 Sat ID 41 UTST 21 +2.5 +3 UTST --17 NL NL O +-62 T
11/24/07 Sat UTST 24 ID 19 -1.5 -2.0 ID --7 NL NL O +-43 T
09/20/08 Sat ID 17 UTST 42 -1.5 -4.0 UTST +21 NL NL O +-59 T




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
UTST (off) 24.0 22 42 190 4.5 33 19 0.6 237 7.2 427 0.5 0.7
ID (def) 27.4 22 34 135 4.0 36 23 0.6 278 7.7 413 0.6 0.6
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
UTST (def) 34.7 23 41 236 5.8 31 17 0.5 250 8.1 486 1.2 0.7
ID (off) 31.2 22 34 152 4.5 31 19 0.6 271 8.7 423 0.6 0.6
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
UTST (off) 27.0 21 42 195 4.6 31 18 0.6 235 7.6 430 0.4 0.9
ID (def) 34.0 22 33 155 4.7 33 22 0.7 259 7.8 414 0.5 0.6
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
UTST (def) 32.6 21 39 212 5.4 32 17 0.5 236 7.4 448 1.0 0.7
ID (off) 30.3 21 35 161 4.6 30 18 0.6 281 9.4 442 1.3 0.6



SCORING AVERAGES:

Utah State Aggies (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 8.0 5.7 13.7 4.5 5.8 0.0 10.3
POINTS ALLOWED 11.7 10.5 22.2 5.8 6.7 0.0 12.5



Idaho Vandals (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 7.0 4.6 11.6 7.0 12.6 0.0 19.6
POINTS ALLOWED 12.4 6.0 18.4 2.6 6.4 0.0 9



Utah State Aggies (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 7.5 9.0 16.5 4.8 5.6 0.0 10.4
POINTS ALLOWED 7.3 12.1 19.4 6.5 6.8 0.0 13.3



Idaho Vandals (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.6 9.1 14.7 6.6 8.9 0.0 15.5
POINTS ALLOWED 10.4 8.7 19.1 6.5 8.5 0.0 15



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Utah State Aggies 32.5
Idaho Vandals 33.5 -5.0 2.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 52 UNKNOWN
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Preview:
Utah State at Idaho
When: 5:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Kibbie Activity Center, Moscow, Idaho


Quick HitsOverall Team Offense

The Idaho Vandals are ranked 15 on offense, averaging 443.7 yards per game. The Vandals are averaging 162.6 yards rushing and 281.1 yards passing so far this season.


The Utah State Aggies are ranked 24 on offense, averaging 430.3 yards per game. The Aggies are averaging 195.3 yards rushing and 235.0 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Idaho Vandals are 4-1 at home this season, 4-3 against conference opponents and 3-1 against non-conference opponents.
At home the Vandals are averagi
ng 31.2 scoring, and holding teams to 27.4 points scored on defense.

The Utah State Aggies are 0-6 while on the road this season, 2-5 against conference opponents and 1-3 against non-conference opponents.


On the road, the Aggies are averaging 24.0 scoring, and holding teams to 34.7 points scored on defense.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Trends - Utah State at Idaho

Trends - Utah State at Idaho

Trends - Utah State at Idaho

ATS Trends

Utah State

Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Aggies are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Aggies are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a bye week.
Aggies are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
Aggies are 5-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Aggies are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Aggies are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November.
Aggies are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Aggies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss.
Aggies are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
Aggies are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Aggies are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Aggies are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games on turf.
Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.


Idaho

Vandals are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Vandals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Vandals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Vandals are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Vandals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
Vandals are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Vandals are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite.
Vandals are 4-10 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Vandals are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Vandals are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a bye week.
Vandals are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. loss.
Vandals are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Vandals are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
Vandals are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games following a ATS loss.
Vandals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Vandals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Vandals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.


OU Trends

Utah State

Over is 4-1 in Aggies last 5 games on turf.
Under is 3-1-1 in Aggies last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 8-3-1 in Aggies last 12 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2-1 in Aggies last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Over is 5-2-1 in Aggies last 8 games as an underdog.


Idaho

Over is 6-1 in Vandals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-1 in Vandals last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Vandals last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Vandals last 8 games overall.
Under is 6-2 in Vandals last 8 games as a home favorite.
Over is 6-2 in Vandals last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Over is 9-3 in Vandals last 12 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Vandals last 7 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 7-3 in Vandals last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.


Head to Head

Favorite is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Texas Tech (7-4) vs. Baylor (4-7)

Texas Tech (7-4) vs. Baylor (4-7)

Texas Tech (7-4) vs. Baylor (4-7)


DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 28th, 6:00 p.m. (et).

FACTS & STATS: Site: Cowboys Stadium (76,000) -- Arlington, Texas. Television: FSN. Home Record: Texas Tech 6-1, Baylor 2-4. Away Record: Texas Tech 1-3, Baylor 2-3. Neutral Record: Texas Tech 0-0, Baylor 0-0. Conference Record: Texas Tech 4-3, Baylor 1-6. Series Record: Texas Tech leads, 34-32-1.

GAME NOTES: The Baylor Bears and Texas Tech Red Raiders will close out their respective regular-season schedules on a neutral site, as the two are set for a Big 12 Conference clash at the new Cowboys Stadium in Arlington.

Texas Tech has gone just 1-3 outside of Lubbock this season. But the Red Raiders are coming off last week's 41-13 dismantling of Oklahoma. The win made the team bowl eligible for a 16th straight season, and it also pushed Mike Leach atop the program's list of all-time winningest coaches. Although they are not currently ranked, the Red Raiders received votes in both major polls.

Baylor's 38-3 loss to Texas A&M last weekend effectively ended the Bears' hopes of receiving their first bowl bid in 15 years. They've lost two straight and six of their last seven, with all six setbacks coming by double digits. Baylor has lost three straight at home.

Texas Tech leads the all-time series, 34-32-1, although this marks the first neutral-site meeting between the two schools. Texas Tech has won the last 13 matchups.

The Texas Tech offense was in top form last week in what was the program's most lopsided win ever against Oklahoma. Baron Batch powered the ground game with 136 yards and two TDs on the ground, while Taylor Potts threw for 388 yards and two scores. The Sooners entered the game boasting the nation's 18th- ranked pass defense, but they were no match for the Red Raiders and their second-ranked passing attack (390.8 ypg). Alex Torres had a breakout game, catching a season-high 11 passes for 163 yards and a touchdown. By the end of the day, Texas Tech had converted 32 first downs and piled up 549 yards of total offense, while holding a 14-minute edge in time of possession. On the season, the Red Raiders are scoring 38.2 ppg, which ranks seventh in the nation.

Defensively, Texas Tech loves to get after the quarterback. The team ranks second in the nation in sacks (3.27), largely because of senior defensive end Brandon Sharpe. Sharpe picked up 2.5 sacks against OU to give him 13 on the season, which ranks 2nd in the nation. Daniel Howard has dropped opposing quarterbacks 7.5 times this season, while three others have at least three sacks apiece. The whole defense put on a clinic against the Sooners, who didn't find the end zone until midway through the fourth quarter when they were trailing by four touchdowns. The Sooners netted just 48 rushing yards on 26 combined carries, and they converted only 3-of-13 third downs.

It has been a learning process for Baylor freshman quarterback Nick Florence since taking over for injured starter Robert Griffin following a season-ending knee injury in late-September. Florence posted a school-record 427 passing yards in a win at Missouri earlier this month. However, he hasn't found much success apart from that outing. In their past six losses, the Bears have averaged only 8.5 ppg. In last week's setback to Texas A&M, Florence threw for only 177 yards and was intercepted twice. The BU offense converted only 2- of-13 third downs, and scored on only one of its five trips to the red zone. With a struggling young quarterback and virtually no ground game to speak of, those kinds of statistics have become commonplace for the Baylor offense this season.

Opposing teams have been able to move the ball almost at will against Baylor's defense. A lot of that has to do with a run defense that ranks 100th out of 120 schools in the Football Bowl Subdivision. Last week, Texas A&M running backs combined for 375 rushing yards (7.2 ypg) and three touchdowns against the Bears. Against Texas two weeks ago, the Longhorns averaged 6.4 yards per carry as they racked up 224 yards and three scores on the ground. The Bears simply don't make a lot of plays in the backfield, as they rank 110th in the nation in tackles for loss (4.36). One of the few bright spots on this unit has been senior linebacker Joe Pawelek, who leads the team with 97 tackles to go along with 2.5 sacks, an interception and five pass breakups.

With the emerging Griffin under center, this was supposed to be a breakout year for the Baylor football program. But the Bears simply haven't been able to get up off the canvas, and now they are headed for a 14th straight losing season. Considering their struggles to put points on the board, this game has the potential to get out of hand quickly.

Predicted Outcome: Texas Tech 51, Baylor 13
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-1) (3-1 H) vs Baylor Bears (3-5) (1-2 A)

Game Time: 6:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Jones Stadium Surface: Turf




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Baylor Bears HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 2 - 4 2 - 3 4 - 7 1 - 4 3 - 2 4 - 6 2 - 3 1 - 4 3 - 7
Last 5 games 0 - 3 1 - 1 1 - 4 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 3 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 3
YTD vs. Conf. 0 - 3 1 - 3 1 - 6 1 - 2 2 - 2 3 - 4 1 - 2 1 - 3 2 - 5
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Texas Tech Red Raiders HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 6 - 1 1 - 3 7 - 4 4 - 2 2 - 2 6 - 4 3 - 2 0 - 4 3 - 6
Last 5 games 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 1 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 4
YTD vs. Conf. 3 - 1 1 - 2 4 - 3 3 - 1 2 - 1 5 - 2 2 - 2 0 - 3 2 - 5
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Baylor Bears 0 - 0 3 - 2 3 - 2 0 - 0 0 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 4 0 - 0
Texas Tech Red Raiders 0 - 1 2 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 1 - 0 0 - 0 4 - 2



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Baylor Bears
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @WF 24 - 21 W +5 +3 W 6 51.0 51.0 U -6.0 G
09/19/09 Sat CT 22 - 30 L -7 -10 L -18 45.5 45.5 O +- 6.5 G
09/26/09 Sat NWL 68 - 13 W -0 -0 W 55 NL NL G
10/03/09 Sat KENTST 31 - 15 W -21 -23 L -7 48.0 48.5 U -2.5 G
10/10/09 Sat @OK 7 - 33 L +24 +27.5 W 1.5 54.0 53.0 U -13.0 G
10/17/09 Sat @IAST 10 - 24 L +1.5 +1.5 L -12.5 53.0 53.0 U -19.0 G
10/24/09 Sat OKST 7 - 34 L +10.5 +9 L -18 53.0 51.0 U -10.0 G
10/31/09 Sat NE 10 - 20 L +12 +13 W 3 46.5 46.0 U -16.0 G
11/07/09 Sat @MO 40 - 32 W +14.5 +14 W 22 45.0 45.0 O +-27.0 G
11/14/09 Sat TX 14 - 47 L +25 +23.5 L -9.5 50.0 52.0 O +- 9.0 G
11/21/09 Sat @TXAM 3 - 38 L +10 +5.5 L -29.5 62.0 61.0 U -20.0 G


Texas Tech Red Raiders
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat NDAK 38 - 13 W -0 -0 W 25 NL NL T
09/12/09 Sat RICE 55 - 10 W -24 -27 W 18 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat @TX 24 - 34 L +17.5 +20 W 10 69.0 66.5 U -8.5 G
09/26/09 Sat @HOU 28 - 29 L +0 -1 L -2 72.0 74.5 U -17.5 G
10/03/09 Sat NM 48 - 28 W -35 -34.5 L -14.5 57.5 57.0 O +-19.0 T
10/10/09 Sat KSST 66 - 14 W -17 -16.5 W 35.5 58.0 55.0 O +-25.0 T
10/17/09 Sat @NE 31 - 10 W +6 +10.5 W 31.5 55.0 59.0 U -18.0 T
10/24/09 Sat TXAM 30 - 52 L -24 -22 L -44 68.0 66.0 O +-16.0 T
10/31/09 Sat KS 42 - 21 W -7.5 -6.5 W 14.5 66.0 66.0 U -3.0 T
11/14/09 Sat @OKST 17 - 24 L +4 +5 L -2 63.0 59.0 U -18.0 T
11/21/09 Sat OK 41 - 13 W +4 +6.5 W 34.5 54.0 56.0 U -2.0 T



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
10/29/05 Sat TXTECH 28 BAY 0 +9 +12.5 BAY --15.5 60.0 60.0 U -32 G
11/04/06 Sat BAY 21 TXTECH 55 -17.0 -16.5 TXTECH +17.5 NL NL O +-76 T
11/03/07 Sat TXTECH 38 BAY 7 +21 +20.5 BAY --10.5 NL NL O +-45 G
11/29/08 Sat BAY 28 TXTECH 35 -22.0 -22.5 TXTECH --15.5 NL NL O +-63 T




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
BAY (off) 16.8 17 26 82 3.2 39 24 0.6 270 6.9 352 1.6 0.2
TXTECH (def) 21.6 20 35 115 3.3 36 21 0.6 215 6.0 330 0.4 1.6
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
BAY (def) 29.6 26 41 190 4.6 39 24 0.6 273 7.0 463 0.8 0.4
TXTECH (off) 45.7 27 24 92 3.8 52 35 0.7 431 8.3 523 1.6 1.0
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
BAY (off) 21.5 17 28 100 3.6 36 22 0.6 243 6.8 343 1.4 0.5
TXTECH (def) 22.5 21 37 125 3.4 36 22 0.6 224 6.2 349 0.6 1.2
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
BAY (def) 27.9 22 41 186 4.5 35 22 0.6 223 6.4 409 0.8 0.6
TXTECH (off) 38.2 26 24 79 3.3 51 34 0.7 391 7.7 470 1.4 1.0



SCORING AVERAGES:

Baylor Bears (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.0 2.8 7.8 4.8 4.2 0.0 9
POINTS ALLOWED 4.2 12.4 16.6 8.2 6.8 0.0 15



Texas Tech Red Raiders (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 9.4 9.4 18.8 11.6 15.3 0.0 26.9
POINTS ALLOWED 2.9 6.3 9.2 3.4 9.0 0.0 12.4



Baylor Bears (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.8 5.0 9.8 6.8 4.8 0.0 11.6
POINTS ALLOWED 6.5 10.7 17.2 6.5 5.1 0.0 11.6



Texas Tech Red Raiders (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 8.2 9.1 17.3 9.3 11.6 0.0 20.9
POINTS ALLOWED 3.7 5.1 8.8 4.6 9.1 0.0 13.7



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Baylor Bears 45.5 3.0
Texas Tech Red Raiders 60 -18.5
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 65.5 UNKNOWN
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Preview:
Baylor vs Texas Tech
When: 6:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, Texas

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are ranked 6 on offense, averaging 470.2 yards per game. The Red Raiders are averaging 79.4 yards rushing and 390.8 yards passing so far this season.

The Baylor Bears are ranked 84 on offense, averaging 343.0 yards per game. The Bears are averaging 100.3 yards rushing and 242.7 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 6-1 at home this season, 4-3 against conference opponents and 3-1 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Red Raiders are averaging 45.7 scoring, and holding teams to 21.6 points scored on defense.

The Baylor Bears are 2-3 while on the road this season, 1-6 against conference opponents and 3-1 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Bears are averaging 16.8 scoring, and holding teams to 29.6 points scored on defense.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Trends - Baylor vs Texas Tech

Trends - Baylor vs Texas Tech

Trends - Baylor vs Texas Tech



ATS Trends

Baylor

Bears are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Bears are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss.
Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Bears are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Bears are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.


Texas Tech

Red Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Red Raiders are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS win.
Red Raiders are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Red Raiders are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Red Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as a favorite.
Red Raiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.


OU Trends

Baylor

Under is 4-0 in Bears last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Bears last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Bears last 9 games as an underdog.
Under is 6-2 in Bears last 8 games overall.
Under is 6-2 in Bears last 8 conference games.
Under is 5-2 in Bears last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Bears last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.


Texas Tech

Over is 4-0 in Red Raiders last 4 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 4-1 in Red Raiders last 5 games overall.
Under is 4-1 in Red Raiders last 5 games on fieldturf.
Under is 4-1 in Red Raiders last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 4-1 in Red Raiders last 5 neutral site games.
Under is 4-1 in Red Raiders last 5 conference games.
Over is 20-6 in Red Raiders last 26 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 9-3 in Red Raiders last 12 games following a S.U. win.
Over is 8-3 in Red Raiders last 11 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-2 in Red Raiders last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 7-3 in Red Raiders last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.


Head to Head

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Favorite is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Bears are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Washington State (1-10) at Washington (3-7)

Washington State (1-10) at Washington (3-7)

Washington State (1-10) at Washington (3-7)



DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 28th, 6:30 p.m. (et).

FACTS & STATS: Site: Husky Stadium (72,500) -- Seattle, Washington. Television: FSN-NW. Home Record: WSU 1-4, UW 3-2. Away Record: WSU 0-6, UW 0-5. Neutral Record: WSU 0-0, UW 0-0. Conference Record: WSU 0-9, UW 2-5. Series Record: Washington leads, 64-31-6.

GAME NOTES: The Washington State Cougars head to Husky Stadium in Seattle to take on state-rival Washington, as the two are set for their annual Apple Cup showdown.

For the Cougars, this will be their last game on what has been a miserable 2009-10 docket. Their only win on the season was an overtime victory against SMU in the third week of the season. They've lost eight straight since then, all by double digits.

All three of Washington's wins this season have come at home. However, the Huskies have lost four straight overall, including a 48-21 setback at Oregon State two weeks ago. The Huskies will wrap up their season at home next week against California.

UW leads the all-time series, 64-31-6, although the Cougars have won the last two meetings. WSU has never won three in a row in the series.

Out of 120 schools in the Football Bowl Subdivision, Washington State ranks 119th in both total offense (256.4 ypg) and scoring offense (13.1 ppg). In fact, the Cougars haven't scored more than 10 points in a game since October. Quarterback Kevin Lopina reclaimed his starting job last week for the first time since being benched following the second game of the season. But he didn't exactly light up the scoreboard, as he completed only 15-of-32 passes for 133 yards in a 42-10 loss to Oregon State. Running back Dwight Tardy was held to 37 yards on 10 carries, though he did score the Cougars' lone touchdown on a one-yard run in the second quarter. Tardy has rushed for 2,204 yards for his career, but this year he has found little running room behind an offensive line that has been constantly shuffling due to injuries throughout the season

Remarkably, WSU has given up 40 points or more in each of the last five games. The Cougars now rank dead-last in the FBS in total defense, as they are allowing an awfully generous 516.6 yards per game. With Oregon State moving the ball at will, three WSU defenders had double-digit tackles, led by Alex Hoffman-Ellis, who finished with a game-high 15 stops. The Cougars allowed 567 total yards in the game, with 283 coming on the ground, as the Beavers averaged a combined 7.3 yards per carry and scored four rushing touchdowns. Oregon State also converted 7-of-12 third downs and found the end zone on all five of their trips to the red zone.

The Huskies did their best to keep up with OSU two weeks ago, but every time they scored, the Beavers answered right back and then some. Jake Locker tossed three touchdown passes, including two to Jermaine Kearse. However, Locker also threw an interception and was sacked four times, as he finished with only 153 yards through the air. Chris Polk was effective on the ground, totaling 116 yards on 19 carries. However, with the Beavers scoring points in bunches, they were content to give up a few yards a pop and keep the clock running. On the year, Polk has averaged 89 rushing yards per game, though he has found the end zone only three times. Locker averages 235.6 passing yards per contest and has thrown 17 TDs, though he is completing only 56.9 percent of his passes and has been picked 10 times.

Defensively, the Huskies rank 104th in the nation in terms of total defense (421.5 ypg) and they are yielding 31 ppg. Oregon State running back Jacquizz Rodgers gashed the Huskies for 159 yards (8.8 ypc) and two scores on the ground, while Beavers' quarterback Sean Canfield picked apart the Washington secondary for four passing TDs. The Huskies allowed OSU to convert 8-of-13 third downs while scoring on all six trips to the red zone. Nate Williams led the charge on defense for Washington, collecting a game-high 11 tackles. Mason Foster was hot on his heels with 10 tackles, including 2.5 for loss, and he forced a fumble. The Huskies forced three fumbles in the game, though they recovered only one.

Washington State has not led a game in regulation all year long. While the Huskies haven't done a whole lot since an early-season upset of USC, they can at least move the ball a bit. Look for Washington to retain possession of the Apple Cup in what figures to be an ugly game.

Predicted Outcome: Washington 18, Washington State 9
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Washington Huskies (1-2) (1-1 H) vs Washington State Cougars (0-3) (0-2 A)

Game Time: 6:30 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Seahawks Stadium Surface: Turf




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Washington State Cougars HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 1 - 5 0 - 5 1 - 10 2 - 4 3 - 2 5 - 6 0 - 1 2 - 1 2 - 2
Last 5 games 0 - 2 0 - 3 0 - 5 0 - 2 2 - 1 2 - 3 0 - 0 1 - 0 1 - 0
YTD vs. Conf. 0 - 4 0 - 4 0 - 8 1 - 3 2 - 2 3 - 5 0 - 1 2 - 1 2 - 2
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Washington Huskies HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 3 - 2 0 - 5 3 - 7 3 - 2 2 - 3 5 - 5 3 - 1 2 - 2 5 - 3
Last 5 games 1 - 1 0 - 3 1 - 4 1 - 1 1 - 2 2 - 3 2 - 0 1 - 1 3 - 1
YTD vs. Conf. 2 - 1 0 - 4 2 - 5 2 - 1 1 - 3 3 - 4 2 - 1 1 - 2 3 - 3
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Washington State Cougars 0 - 0 3 - 2 3 - 1 0 - 1 0 - 0 2 - 4 0 - 0 2 - 4
Washington Huskies 0 - 0 2 - 3 2 - 2 0 - 1 0 - 1 3 - 1 0 - 0 3 - 2



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Washington State Cougars
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat STAN 13 - 39 L +19 +17 L -9 NL NL T
09/12/09 Sat HI 20 - 38 L +6 +2 L -16 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat SMU 30 - 27 W +4.5 +5 W 8 56.0 57.0 U 0.0 T
09/26/09 Sat @USC 6 - 27 L +43 +45.5 W 24.5 53.0 55.5 U -22.5 G
10/03/09 Sat @OR 6 - 52 L +28 +35 L -11 56.0 55.0 O +- 3.0 T
10/10/09 Sat AZST 14 - 27 L +21.5 +20.5 W 7.5 49.5 47.0 U -6.0 T
10/24/09 Sat @CA 17 - 49 L +35 +36 W 4 56.0 59.0 O +- 7.0 G
10/31/09 Sat @ND 14 - 40 L +31 +28 W 2 NL NL G
11/07/09 Sat @AZ 7 - 48 L +31 +32.5 L -8.5 NL NL G
11/14/09 Sat UCLA 7 - 43 L +20 +17.5 L -18.5 NL NL T
11/21/09 Sat ORST 10 - 42 L +29 +31 L -1 NL NL T


Washington Huskies
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat LSU 23 - 31 L +14 +18 W 10 54.0 52.5 O +- 1.5 T
09/12/09 Sat ID 42 - 23 W -21 -20.5 L -1.5 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat USC 16 - 13 W +22 +20 W 23 55.0 53.5 U -24.5 T
09/26/09 Sat @STAN 14 - 34 L +9 +9.5 L -10.5 50.0 54.0 U -6.0 G
10/03/09 Sat @ND 30 - 37 L +13.5 +11.5 W 4.5 55.0 54.5 O +-12.5 G
10/10/09 Sat AZ 36 - 33 W -0 +3.5 W 6.5 52.0 53.5 O +-15.5 T
10/17/09 Sat @AZST 17 - 24 L +3 +6.5 L -0.5 47.0 47.5 U -6.5 G
10/24/09 Sat OR 19 - 43 L +5.5 +9.5 L -14.5 54.0 54.5 O +- 7.5 T
11/07/09 Sat @UCLA 23 - 24 L +3.5 +5 W 4 NL NL G
11/14/09 Sat @ORST 21 - 48 L +10 +13.5 L -13.5 58.0 57.5 O +-11.5 T



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/19/05 Sat WAST 26 WA 22 +3 +3 WA --1 53.0 56.0 U -8 T
11/18/06 Sat WA 35 WAST 32 -10.5 -8.5 WAST --11.5 45.5 43.0 O +-24 T
11/24/07 Sat WAST 42 WA 35 -7.0 -6.0 WA --13 57.0 63.0 O +-14 T
11/22/08 Sat WA 13 WAST 16 +8.5 +7 WAST +10 48.0 47.0 U -18 T




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
WAST (off) 10.0 12 31 82 2.6 27 15 0.6 162 6.0 244 1.0 1.2
WA (def) 28.6 20 31 160 5.2 31 21 0.7 234 7.5 394 0.8 0.8
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
WAST (def) 43.2 26 46 266 5.8 25 18 0.7 241 9.6 507 0.2 0.8
WA (off) 27.2 20 32 116 3.6 35 20 0.6 243 6.9 359 0.8 0.6
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
WAST (off) 13.1 13 30 73 2.4 31 16 0.5 182 5.9 255 1.4 1.4
WA (def) 31.0 21 34 166 4.9 30 20 0.7 256 8.5 422 0.7 1.2
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
WAST (def) 39.3 26 40 234 5.9 33 22 0.7 283 8.6 517 0.8 1.2
WA (off) 24.1 20 31 122 3.9 35 20 0.6 236 6.7 358 1.0 0.7



SCORING AVERAGES:

Washington State Cougars (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 0.6 4.2 4.8 1.2 4.0 0.0 5.2
POINTS ALLOWED 19.0 13.2 32.2 4.0 7.0 0.0 11



Washington Huskies (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.2 6.6 12.8 4.2 10.2 0.0 14.4
POINTS ALLOWED 6.0 6.2 12.2 10.4 6.0 0.0 16.4



Washington State Cougars (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 0.5 4.0 4.5 3.9 4.4 0.3 8.6
POINTS ALLOWED 15.1 11.7 26.8 4.5 7.9 0.0 12.4



Washington Huskies (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.2 6.3 12.5 4.2 7.4 0.0 11.6
POINTS ALLOWED 7.8 7.8 15.6 8.2 6.5 0.7 15.4



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Washington State Cougars 53.5 -0.5 26.5
Washington Huskies 49
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 52.5 UNKNOWN
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Preview:
Washington State at Washington
When: 6:30 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Husky Stadium, Seattle, Washington

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Washington Huskies are ranked 72 on offense, averaging 358.2 yards per game. The Huskies are averaging 122.6 yards rushing and 235.6 yards passing so far this season.

The Washington State Cougars are ranked 119 on offense, averaging 256.5 yards per game. The Cougars are averaging 72.7 yards rushing and 183.7 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away


The Washington Huskies are 3-2 at home this season, 2-5 against conference opponents and 1-2 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Huskies are averaging 27.2 scoring, and holding teams to 28.6 points scored on defense.

The Washington State Cougars are 0-4 while on the road this season, 0-8 against conference opponents and 1-2 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Cougars are averaging 9.0 scoring, and holding teams to 44.0 points scored on defense.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Trends - Washington State at Washington

Trends - Washington State at Washington

Trends - Washington State at Washington

ATS Trends

Washington State

Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
Cougars are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Cougars are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.


Washington

Huskies are 25-57-2 ATS in their last 84 conference games.
Huskies are 15-35-2 ATS in their last 52 home games.
Huskies are 14-34-3 ATS in their last 51 games as a home favorite.
Huskies are 12-30 ATS in their last 42 games on turf.
Huskies are 9-23-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Huskies are 14-37-3 ATS in their last 54 games as a favorite.
Huskies are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Huskies are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Huskies are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games overall.
Huskies are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss.
Huskies are 4-16-2 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Huskies are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. loss.
Huskies are 5-23-2 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Huskies are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Huskies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a bye week.


OU Trends

Washington State

Under is 7-0 in Cougars last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 games in November.
Over is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games following a bye week.
Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Cougars last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 7-2 in Cougars last 9 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 8-3 in Cougars last 11 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Cougars last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Under is 5-2 in Cougars last 7 road games.
Under is 5-2 in Cougars last 7 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 5-2 in Cougars last 7 games as a road underdog.
Under is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games as an underdog.
Under is 10-4 in Cougars last 14 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Over is 7-3-1 in Cougars last 11 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 7-3 in Cougars last 10 conference games.
Over is 40-18 in Cougars last 58 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 11-5-1 in Cougars last 17 games on turf.


Washington

Over is 4-0 in Huskies last 4 games as a home favorite.
Over is 6-1 in Huskies last 7 games on turf.
Over is 6-1 in Huskies last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Over is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 home games.
Under is 6-2 in Huskies last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 11-4-1 in Huskies last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 8-3-1 in Huskies last 12 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Huskies last 7 games following a bye week.
Under is 5-2 in Huskies last 7 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Over is 5-2 in Huskies last 7 games as a favorite.
Under is 7-3 in Huskies last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.


Head to Head

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Washington.
Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Underdog is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Tennessee (6-5) at Kentucky (7-4)

Tennessee (6-5) at Kentucky (7-4)

Tennessee (6-5) at Kentucky (7-4)


DATE & TIME: November 28th, 7:00 p.m. (et)

FACTS & STATS: Site: Commonwealth Stadium (67,530) -- Lexington, Kentucky. Television: ESPNU. Home Record: Tennessee 6-2, Kentucky 3-3. Away Record: Tennessee 0-3, Kentucky 3-1. Neutral Record: Tennessee 0-0, Kentucky 1-0. Conference Record: Tennessee 3-4, Kentucky 3-4. Series Record: Tennessee leads, 72-23-9.

GAME NOTES: The Tennessee Volunteers will attempt to post their 25th consecutive victory over the Kentucky Wildcats as the SEC foes meet this weekend in Lexington.

Tennessee has never played a night game in Lexington, and it will be interesting to see how the club reacts to the enemy crowd and crisp weather. The Vols have won three of their last four games to move to 6-5 overall, and the most recent outing resulted in a 31-16 triumph over Vanderbilt last weekend. Lane Kiffin's Vols have been competitive even in defeat this season, as four of the five losses have come by 10 or fewer points.

As for Kentucky, it has improved to 7-4 overall and 3-4 in SEC play with three consecutive victories. The Wildcats showed a great deal of heart and toughness last weekend by knocking off Georgia in Athens. Rich Brooks remains rather anonymous among SEC coaches, but he continues to field a quality product at Kentucky.

Twenty-four straight wins over Kentucky has enabled Tennessee to stretch its advantage to 72-23-9 in the all-time series between the teams.

Tennessee is a solid offensive team that is averaging 30.6 ppg and 391.0 total ypg. The Vols are led by quarterback Jonathan Crompton, who has quietly had a strong season. He has completed 58.5 percent of his passes for 2,345 yards and 25 touchdowns with only 11 interceptions. Tennessee lacks a standout receiver, making Crompton's numbers all the more impressive. Montario Hardesty paces the ground attack with 1,127 yards and nine touchdowns, as he, like Crompton, has seemingly been overlooked despite tremendous production. In the victory over Vanderbilt last weekend, Tennessee posted 422 total yards, including over 200 yards both rushing and passing. Hardesty pounded out a career-high 171 yards and a touchdown on 32 attempts, while Crompton threw for 221 yards and two scores.

With the exception of a few rough outings, Tennessee has played tremendous defense this season, especially considering the difficult schedule Kiffin's group has faced. The Vols are yielding 20.7 ppg while holding opponents to 313.2 total ypg. Tennessee has been tremendous against the pass, limiting opposing quarterback to 9.5 yards per completion with a collective total of five passing scores in 11 games. There are a couple of tremendous performers on the defensive side of the ball, including safety Eric Berry, who is widely regarded as one of the best players in the nation at his position. Berry has record 75 tackles, including five TFLs, to go along with two interceptions and three fumble recoveries. Hard-hitting linebacker Rico McCoy has 99 tackles to his credit, and he has forced four fumbles. Wes Brown made a big play for the defense against Vanderbilt last weekend, as his 25-yard interception return for a touchdown in the closing seconds of the game sealed the victory. The Vols held the Commodores to 297 total yards in the clash.

Kentucky is scoring 27.5 ppg this season to go along with 342.9 total ypg. There are two dynamic playmakers in the fold for the Wildcats in Derrick Locke, a tailback, and Randall Cobb, a converted quarterback who does a little bit of everything. Locke has rushed for 821 yards and five touchdowns while making 22 catches for 221 yards and two scores. As for Cobb, he has run for 436 yards and nine touchdowns, and his 33 catches for 403 yards and four scores leads all receivers. Mike Hartline, the team's first-string quarterback, continues to be shelved with injury, and Morgan Newton has been taking the snaps lately. Against Georgia last week, Newton threw three touchdown passes, including a pair to Locke, to lead his team to victory. In addition to his 80 receiving yards, Lock rushed for 80 yards as well. Cobb had a pair of rushing scores but was limited to only 59 combined rushing and receiving yards.

The Wildcats are not a dominant defensive team, but they have played fairly well in most games. Opponents are posting 22.2 ppg and 355.4 total ypg against Kentucky, which has room for improvement against both the run and the pass, as foes are gaining 4.6 yards per rushing attempt and 13.6 yards per completion. Micah Johnson continues to lead the 'Cats in tackles with 84, and Sam Maxwell is tops with five interceptions. There are both positives and negatives to report from Kentucky's defensive performance against Georgia last weekend. The Wildcats allowed 487 total yards and three touchdowns to the Bulldog offense, and those figures could certainly be better. Still, coach Brooks can take pride in the fact that his club came up with four takeaways, including a pair of interceptions.

The streak will come to an end this weekend, as Kentucky will finally earn a victory over Tennessee. The duo of Locke and Cobb will be too much for the Vols to handle.

Predicted Outcome: Kentucky 27, Tennessee 24
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Kentucky Wildcats (3-4) (2-3 H) vs Tennessee Volunteers (2-3) (0-2 A)

Game Time: 7:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Commonwealth Stadium Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Tennessee Volunteers HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 6 - 2 0 - 3 6 - 5 4 - 4 2 - 1 6 - 5 4 - 2 1 - 2 5 - 4
Last 5 games 3 - 0 0 - 2 3 - 2 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 2 - 0 1 - 1 3 - 1
YTD vs. Conf. 3 - 1 0 - 3 3 - 4 2 - 2 2 - 1 4 - 3 2 - 1 1 - 2 3 - 3
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Kentucky Wildcats HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 3 - 3 4 - 1 7 - 4 1 - 4 5 - 0 6 - 4 4 - 1 2 - 2 6 - 3
Last 5 games 2 - 1 2 - 0 4 - 1 1 - 1 2 - 0 3 - 1 2 - 0 1 - 1 3 - 1
YTD vs. Conf. 0 - 3 3 - 1 3 - 4 0 - 3 4 - 0 4 - 3 2 - 1 2 - 2 4 - 3
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Tennessee Volunteers 0 - 0 2 - 1 2 - 1 0 - 0 3 - 4 0 - 0 4 - 4 0 - 0
Kentucky Wildcats 2 - 0 3 - 0 5 - 0 0 - 0 1 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 4 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Tennessee Volunteers
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat WKTY 63 - 7 W -28 -31 W 25 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat UCLA 15 - 19 L -6.5 -11 L -15 46.0 45.0 U -11.0 G
09/19/09 Sat @FL 13 - 23 L +25 +30 W 20 52.5 53.0 U -17.0 G
09/26/09 Sat OH 34 - 23 W -21 -21.5 L -10.5 46.0 44.0 O +-13.0 G
10/03/09 Sat AUB 22 - 26 L -3 -2 L -6 47.5 50.0 U -2.0 G
10/10/09 Sat GA 45 - 19 W +1 -0 W 26 46.0 46.5 O +-17.5 G
10/24/09 Sat @AL 10 - 12 L +17 +14 W 12 44.0 42.5 U -20.5 G
10/31/09 Sat SC 31 - 13 W -5 -6 W 12 40.0 42.5 O +- 1.5 G
11/07/09 Sat MEM 56 - 28 W -26 -26 W 2 52.0 53.5 O +-30.5 G
11/14/09 Sat @MS 17 - 42 L +3.5 +6 L -19 45.0 48.0 O +-11.0 G
11/21/09 Sat VANDY 31 - 16 W -18 -17 L -2 48.0 47.0 U 0.0 G


Kentucky Wildcats
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @MIAOH 42 - 0 W -10 -16 W 26 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat LOU 31 - 27 W -12 -13 L -9 48.0 49.0 O +- 9.0 G
09/26/09 Sat FL 7 - 41 L +21 +20 L -14 56.0 53.0 U -5.0 G
10/03/09 Sat AL 20 - 38 L +15 +16.5 L -1.5 47.5 47.0 O +-11.0 G
10/10/09 Sat @SC 26 - 28 L +13 +9 W 7 47.0 46.5 O +- 7.5 G
10/17/09 Sat @AUB 21 - 14 W +14.5 +13.5 W 20.5 55.0 57.0 U -22.0 G
10/24/09 Sat NELA 36 - 13 W -15 -14 W 9 50.0 47.5 O +- 1.5 G
10/31/09 Sat MSST 24 - 31 L -3 -3.5 L -10.5 46.0 46.5 O +- 8.5 G
11/07/09 Sat EK 37 - 12 W -0 -0 W 25 NL NL G
11/14/09 Sat @VANDY 24 - 13 W -3 -3 W 8 43.5 45.0 U -8.0 G
11/21/09 Sat @GA 34 - 27 W +7.5 +9.5 W 16.5 53.0 50.5 O +-10.5 G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/26/05 Sat TN 27 KY 8 +11 +7.5 KY --11.5 47.0 48.0 U -13 G
11/25/06 Sat KY 12 TN 17 -18.0 -20.5 TN --15.5 61.0 60.5 U -31.5 G
11/24/07 Sat TN 52 KY 50 -3.5 -2.5 KY --4.5 61.0 64.5 O +-37.5 G
11/29/08 Sat KY 10 TN 28 -6.0 -4.0 TN +14 39.0 38.0 U 0 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
TN (off) 13.3 17 31 97 3.1 31 17 0.5 178 5.7 275 1.0 0.0
KY (def) 27.0 20 41 214 5.2 27 13 0.5 179 6.6 393 1.3 0.3
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
TN (def) 25.7 21 41 234 5.7 23 15 0.7 123 5.3 357 0.7 0.7
KY (off) 25.8 19 38 166 4.4 28 16 0.6 152 5.4 318 1.5 1.0
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
TN (off) 30.6 21 36 165 4.6 32 19 0.6 226 7.1 391 1.1 0.5
KY (def) 22.2 18 39 179 4.6 27 13 0.5 177 6.6 356 1.4 0.5
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
TN (def) 20.7 18 34 141 4.1 32 18 0.6 172 5.4 313 0.8 1.1
KY (off) 27.5 20 43 196 4.6 25 14 0.6 147 5.9 343 1.0 0.5



SCORING AVERAGES:

Tennessee Volunteers (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.3 4.3 7.6 1.0 4.7 0.0 5.7
POINTS ALLOWED 6.7 7.7 14.4 5.7 5.7 0.0 11.4



Kentucky Wildcats (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 7.3 8.0 15.3 4.5 6.0 0.0 10.5
POINTS ALLOWED 8.0 5.7 13.7 8.8 4.5 0.0 13.3



Tennessee Volunteers (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.5 11.5 18 5.0 7.5 0.0 12.5
POINTS ALLOWED 4.2 6.3 10.5 6.6 3.6 0.0 10.2



Kentucky Wildcats (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.5 8.5 14 5.9 7.6 0.0 13.5
POINTS ALLOWED 6.2 6.8 13 6.1 3.1 0.0 9.2



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Tennessee Volunteers 61.5 -10.5 7.5
Kentucky Wildcats 47
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 49.5 UNKNOWN
 

Lumi

LOKI
Forum Member
Aug 30, 2002
21,104
58
0
58
In the shadows
Preview:
Tennessee at Kentucky
When: 7:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, Kentucky

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Kentucky Wildcats are ranked 85 on offense, averaging 342.9 yards per game. The Wildcats are averaging 196.2 yards rushing and 146.7 yards passing so far this season.

The Tennessee Volunteers are ranked 55 on offense, averaging 391.0 yards per game. The Volunteers are averaging 164.9 yards rushing and 226.1 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

The Kentucky Wildcats are 3-3 at home this season, 3-4 against conference opponents and 4-0 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Wildcats are averaging 25.8 scoring, and holding teams to 27.0 points scored on defense.

The Tennessee Volunteers are 0-3 while on the road this season, 3-4 against conference opponents and 3-1 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Volunteers are averaging 13.3 scoring, and holding teams to 25.7 points scored on defense.
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top