I've had very good success with the bowls for 3 straight years with a spreadsheet that I made after PLENTY of hours/weeks/months of work. Last year it came out ahead again, but not by much so I stopped posting the plays.
Looks like it might be back in form again, so I'm going to take my chances at ruining my record up to this point by (1) upping the ante on my plays and (2) the REAL danger.... post a few plays.
I DON'T play most of the games; I just focus on the Sheet's bestest (strongest) plays and go from there. So far I'm 5-2 ATS (sorry didn't post a thing from it yet and don't expect anybody to beilieve me). Not that great, but what is great is that the Sheet's "STRONGest" plays just murdered da bums on the other side of the ball. Well, for the most part.
The murderers. -> N. Illi, BYU, San Diego St, Maryland, and last night - Okie St.
The murdered -> Ohio (why did I ever play a team like that?) and W. Virginia (I don't believe in the "throwing the game" bit. You know, they bet on the other team stuff. But, if there is any truth to that "sour grapes" theory.. this game was proof).
Before I come back and tellyas that I'm at 10-2 so far
- think I'll take my chances of ruining the record by (1) raising my bet amounts from this point on and (2) the REAL danger... post a few Sheet plays here.
Not making a side play for this one; but they play today so I'll post it. The puter sez that ARMY (+7) IS a STRONG play. Yeah, a doggie too. Fact is, despite all the winning FAVORITES above - the records (3 years of Bowls games) I have for the puter picks shows that it's underdog picks have the bestest w/l percentage record. For me, I just can't pull the trigger on this one. But I did look at it from a human (that's me) standpoint and decided that the UNDER (51) just might work. I mostly base that on Army utilizing their training and doing the "crab crawl" thing when they get the ball.. That should eat up the clocks pretty good. Also, Army is most adept at T/Os and the more times they get the ball - the faster that clock rolls. Looks to me like neither team is an offensive giant cept when they face cream puffs. Might be a chance that the weather in Dallas could help the cause also?
Nebraska (-13, -14... puter sez it make no difference) Strong play.
Notre Dame +3 (I'll make mine + 3 1/2) another Strong play.
Like teasers? I don't. But the Mieneke Care Car Bowl (anybody remember when REAL bowl game had names of plants, flowers and fruits?). Thems ruining college footsball just like they did to hoss racin.. greedy bastages. Well, thinking of hosses - remember that Breeders Cup year that had almost EVERY stinkin horse was a clone of all the other horses and we were expected to pick winners in that fiasco? I wrote about that BC in my old forum and I wrote it BEFORE any of the races were run.
According my puter - there's a game between two cloned teams in that Meineke thang. Look at ALL the stats for these two teams. EVERY key factor/stat (IMO, and theres plenty of them) are VERY close to being identical. VERY close and several were absolutely identical; never saw a matchup like this before; each from a different conference and after a full season too. Just unreal. I ain't biting, but IF I played a teaser - So. Fla +13 (7pt. teaser) would be the key play in it.
G. L .
I got the puter figures and calculated lines for all the games if anybody's interested, but it's best to just go with it's "STRONG" plays. There's more, but let's give these a shot for now and see if the ball keeps bouncing the right way.
Looks like it might be back in form again, so I'm going to take my chances at ruining my record up to this point by (1) upping the ante on my plays and (2) the REAL danger.... post a few plays.
I DON'T play most of the games; I just focus on the Sheet's bestest (strongest) plays and go from there. So far I'm 5-2 ATS (sorry didn't post a thing from it yet and don't expect anybody to beilieve me). Not that great, but what is great is that the Sheet's "STRONGest" plays just murdered da bums on the other side of the ball. Well, for the most part.
The murderers. -> N. Illi, BYU, San Diego St, Maryland, and last night - Okie St.
The murdered -> Ohio (why did I ever play a team like that?) and W. Virginia (I don't believe in the "throwing the game" bit. You know, they bet on the other team stuff. But, if there is any truth to that "sour grapes" theory.. this game was proof).
Before I come back and tellyas that I'm at 10-2 so far
- think I'll take my chances of ruining the record by (1) raising my bet amounts from this point on and (2) the REAL danger... post a few Sheet plays here. Not making a side play for this one; but they play today so I'll post it. The puter sez that ARMY (+7) IS a STRONG play. Yeah, a doggie too. Fact is, despite all the winning FAVORITES above - the records (3 years of Bowls games) I have for the puter picks shows that it's underdog picks have the bestest w/l percentage record. For me, I just can't pull the trigger on this one. But I did look at it from a human (that's me) standpoint and decided that the UNDER (51) just might work. I mostly base that on Army utilizing their training and doing the "crab crawl" thing when they get the ball.. That should eat up the clocks pretty good. Also, Army is most adept at T/Os and the more times they get the ball - the faster that clock rolls. Looks to me like neither team is an offensive giant cept when they face cream puffs. Might be a chance that the weather in Dallas could help the cause also?
Nebraska (-13, -14... puter sez it make no difference) Strong play.
Notre Dame +3 (I'll make mine + 3 1/2) another Strong play.
Like teasers? I don't. But the Mieneke Care Car Bowl (anybody remember when REAL bowl game had names of plants, flowers and fruits?). Thems ruining college footsball just like they did to hoss racin.. greedy bastages. Well, thinking of hosses - remember that Breeders Cup year that had almost EVERY stinkin horse was a clone of all the other horses and we were expected to pick winners in that fiasco? I wrote about that BC in my old forum and I wrote it BEFORE any of the races were run.
According my puter - there's a game between two cloned teams in that Meineke thang. Look at ALL the stats for these two teams. EVERY key factor/stat (IMO, and theres plenty of them) are VERY close to being identical. VERY close and several were absolutely identical; never saw a matchup like this before; each from a different conference and after a full season too. Just unreal. I ain't biting, but IF I played a teaser - So. Fla +13 (7pt. teaser) would be the key play in it.
G. L .
I got the puter figures and calculated lines for all the games if anybody's interested, but it's best to just go with it's "STRONG" plays. There's more, but let's give these a shot for now and see if the ball keeps bouncing the right way.
