NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 7
Thursday?s game
Tulane (2-1) @ Houston (0-0)
? Tulane is 2-1; they blew a 24-0 halftime lead in their loss to Navy.
? Green Wave has run ball for 299.3 yards/game.
? Tulane has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Green Wave has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tulane?s senior QB has started 12 games.
? Green Wave os 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
? This is Houston?s season opener.
? Cougars have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
? Cougars have 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Houston?s junior QB has started nine games.
? Since 2017, Cougars are 8-5 ATS as a home favorite.
? Tulane beat Houston 38-31 LY; both teams ran ball for 300+ yards.
? Home team won last four series games.
? Tulane lost 7 of last 8 visits here, losing 48-17/30-18 in last two.
Friday?s game
Louisville (1-2) @ Georgia Tech (1-2)
? Louisville lost its first two ACC games, giving up 70 points.
? Cardinals have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
? Louisville has 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Louisville?s junior QB has started 17 games.
? Since 2014, Cardinals are 10-7 ATS as a road favorite.
? Georgia Tech upset Florida State, then lost next two games, 49-31/37-20.
? Tech has 9 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
? Yellow Jackets have 123 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tech?s freshman QB has started three games.
? Jackets are 2-6-1 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.
? Georgia Tech (-5) waxed Louisville 66-31 in their last meeting, in 2018.
13 of Saturday?s best games
Mississippi State (1-1) @ Kentucky (0-2)
? State was upset by Arkansas LW, after they upset LSU; Bulldogs are minus-4 in turnovers.
? MSU threw ball for 623 yards at LSU, 313 against the Razorbacks.
? Bulldogs have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
? MSU has 41 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Bulldogs have a senior QB who has 27 starts (25 at Stanford)
? Since 2017, MSU is 1-6 ATS as a road underdog; Leach is 18-8 ATS in his last 26 games as a road dog.
? Kentucky lost its first two games, giving up 71 points; they lost 42-41 in OT to Ole Miss LW.
? Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Kentucky has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Wildcats? senior QB has started 17 games.
? Kentucky is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games as a home favorite.
? Home side won last five series games.
? Miss State won nine of last 11 series games, but lost 40-38/28-7 in last two visits here.
Duke (0-4) @ Syracuse (1-2)
? Duke lost its first four games, giving up 38-38 points in last two games.
? Duke has 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Blue Devils have 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Duke has a junior QB who has started four games
? Since 2013, Duke is 7-3-1 ATS as a road favorite.
? Syracuse won its home opener 37-20 LW, after losing road games 31-6/21-10.
? Orangemen have 7 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
? Syracuse has 74 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Syracuse?s junior QB has started 14 games.
? Under Babers, Syracuse is 5-8 ATS as a home underdog.
? Road team won last two series games; Syracuse won 49-6 at Duke LY.
Pitt (3-1) @ Boston College (2-1)
? Pitt won two of first three ACC games, all at home; they gained 503 TY in their 30-29 loss to NC State LW. This is their first road game.
? Pitt has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Panthers have 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Pitt has a senior QB with 31 career starts.
? Since 2016, Panthers are 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
? BC split its first two ACC games, losing 26-22 to UNC here last week- they?ve run ball for only 70.3 yards/game.
? Eagles have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
? BC has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Eagles? QB is a Notre Dame transfer; he is 80-117 for 823 yards so far.
? Since 2017, Boston College is 8-1-1 ATS in last ten games as a home underdog.
? Pitt won four of last five series games; they lost 26-19 to BC last year.
? Panthers won 30-20/24-13 in their last two visits to Chestnut Hill.
NC State (2-1) @ Virginia
? NC State has won two of three games, splitting two road tilts.
? Average total in State?s games: 71.7.
? Wolfpack has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
? State has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Wolfpack has a sophomore QB with 8 career starts.
? Since 2017, NC State is 3-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? Virginia lost 41-23 at Clemson, after beating Duke 38-20 here.
? Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
? Virginia has 119 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cavs? sophomore QB has started two games.
? Since 2017, Virginia is 9-7 ATS as a home favorite.
? Virginia (+6) lost 35-21 at NC State in their last meeting, two years ago.
Miami (3-0) @ Clemson (3-0)
? Miami won its first three games, scoring 43.3 ppg.
? Hurricanes have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
? Miami has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Hurricanes have a senior QB who has started 22 games., 19 at Houston.
? Since 2015, Miami is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog.
? Clemson won its first two ACC games, 37-13 over Wake, 41-23 over Virginia.
? Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
? Tigers have only 17 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Clemson?s junior QB has started 29 games.
? Since 2017, Tigers are 12-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? Clemson won last two series games, 38-0/58-3.
Virginia Tech (2-0) @ North Carolina (2-0)
? Virginia Tech won its first two games, scoring 83 points.
? Hokies have 8 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
? Tech has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
? VT has a junior QB with seven career starts, five at Oregon.
? Under Fuente, Hokies are 5-2 ATS as a road underdog.
? North Carolina won its first two games, scoring 57 points- they stopped BC on a game-tying 2-point conversion in last minute LW.
? Tar Heels have 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? UNC has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
? UNC?s sophomore QB has started 15 games.
? Tar Heels are 2-4 ATS in last six games as a home favorite.
? Virginia Tech beat Carolina 43-41 in six OT?s LY; they won last four series games.
? Hokies won 22-19/34-3 in last two visits to Kenan Stadium.
Tennessee (2-0) @ Georgia (2-0)
? Tennessee won its first two games, scoring 31-35 points; they?ve won eight games in a row, going back to last year.
? Volunteers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
? Tennessee has 115 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Vols have a senior QB with 27 career starts.
? Under Pruitt, Tennessee is 6-2 ATS as a road underdog.
? Georgia won its first two games this year, by 27-21 points.
? Dawgs have 3 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
? Georgia has 39 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Georgia?s junior QB is a former walk-on who started his first game LW, but he?s played well in his 1.5 games. Quite the Cinderella story.
? Since 2015, Dawgs are 11-19 ATS as a home favorite.
? Georgia is 8-2 in last ten series games, winning last three, by 12-2-26 points.
? Vols lost five of last six visits to Athens; underdogs covered five of those six games.
? Underdogs are 10-5 ATS in last fifteen series games.
Oklahoma (1-2) @ Texas (2-1)
? Oklahoma has lost consecutive regular season games for first time since 1999.
? Sooners lost first two Big X games, 38-35/37-30.
? Sooners have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
? Oklahoma has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
? New QB for Oklahoma this season; he is 69-94/977 yards with 10 TD?s, four INT?s.
? Sooners are 9-13-1 ATS in last 23 games as a road favorite.
? Texas lost 33-31 at home to TCU LW, after scoring 122 points in their first two wins.
? Texas allowed 898 yards in splitting its first two Big X games.
? Longhorns have 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
? Texas has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Longhorns? senior QB has started 36 games.
? Under Herman, Texas is 5-3 ATS as a home underdog.
? Oklahoma won 8 of last 11 series games; they lost 48-45 to Texas LY.
? Underdogs covered six of last seven series games.
? Average total in last four series games: 74.3.
Texas Tech (1-2) @ Iowa State (2-1)
? Texas Tech lost its first two Big X games, 63-56 OT/31-21.
? Tech has 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
? Red Raiders have 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tech has a sophomore QB with 13 career starts.
? Since 2015, Red Raiders are 11-8 ATS as a road underdog.
? Iowa State won its first two Big X games, 37-34/37-30, after they got upset at home by Louisiana.
? Cyclones have 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
? ISU has 33 returning starts on the offensive line.
? ISU?s junior QB has started 24 games.
? Cyclones are 3-9 ATS in last dozen games as a home favorite.
? Iowa State won last four series games, all by 9+ points.
? Tech lost 40-31/66-10 in their last two visits to Ames.
Arkansas (1-1) @ Auburn (1-1)
? Arkansas upset Miss State LW, snapping their 20-game SEC losing streak.
? Arkansas has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
? Razorbacks have 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Hogs have a senior QB with 26 career starts, 24 of them at Florida.
? Since 2017, Arkansas is 3-6-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? Auburn lost 27-6 at Georgia LW, after beating Kentucky 29-13 in their opener.
? Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
? Auburn has 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tigers have a sophomore QB with 10 career starts.
? Since 2015, Auburn is 11-17-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? Auburn won six of last seven series games, winning last four by an average score of 48-9.
? Arkansas hasn?t won or covered any of its last three visits to the Plains.
Florida (2-0) @ Texas A&M (1-1)
? Florida won its first two games, scoring 89 points- they gave up 613 yards in their 51-35 win at Ole Miss.
? Gators have 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
? Florida has 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Gators have a senior QB with 12 career starts.
? Under Mullen, Florida is 6-1 ATS as a road favorite.
? A&M lost 52-24 at Alabama, after edging Vanderbilt 17-13 at home.
? Aggies have 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
? A&M has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Aggies? senior QB has started 36 games.
? Since 2017, A&M is 1-6 ATS as a home underdog.
? Texas A&M (+2.5) beat Florida 19-17 in Gainesville, in teams? last meeting three years ago.
Kansas State (2-1) @ TCU (1-1)
? K-State won its first two Big X games 38-35/31-21, after losing at home to Arkansas State.
? Wildcats? QB Thompson got hurt last week, is ??? to play here.
? Wildcats have 3 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
? K-State has only 2 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Wildcats have a senior QB who started 30 games.
? Since 2016, K-State is 14-4 ATS as a road underdog.
? K-State is doing well; their coach got his contract extended this week.
? TCU split its first two games, which were decided by total of five points.
? TCU has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
? Horned Frogs have 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
? TCU?s sophomore QB has made 12 starts.
? Since 2016, Frogs are 4-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.
? TCU won four of last six series games- they lost 24-17 in Manhattan LY.
? Wildcats split their last four visits to Fort Worth.
? Underdogs covered four of last six series games.
Marshall (2-0) @ Western Kentucky (1-2)
? Marshall beat Appalachian State 17-7 in its only I-A so far this year.
? Thundering Herd has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
? Marshall has 126 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Marshall has a junior QB who has started 24 games.
? Since 2016, Thundering Herd is 4-8 ATS as a road favorite.
? WKU snuck by Middle Tennessee 20-17 after losing its first two games.
? Hilltoppers have 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
? WKU has 102 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Hilltoppers? senior QB has 10 career starts, 7 of them at Maryland.
? WKU is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games as a home underdog.
? Marshall won last three series games, by 3-7-7 points- underdogs covered all three games.
? Thundering Herd split its last two visits to WKU.