Week 2 Plays.......

[Scott4USC]

YTD Results
+8.3 units ($500 unit)
+ $4,150

Week 2 plays

5 units
UAB -7 -120 over Troy St. (Pinnacle + BetCris)

5 units
Georgia Tech -12 over UNC (3 units)
Gerogia Tech -11.5 -105 over UNC (2 units)

11.2 units to win 4.31 units
2-team ML Parlay
Auburn ML -640 over Miss. St.
G-Tech ML -505 over UNC

3 units
CAL/Washington over 44.5

2 units
Iowa -7 -129 over Iowa St. (Pinnacle)

2 units
Nevada +10 over Washington St.

2 units
Rice +25.5 over UCLA

2 units
SDSU +8 over Air Force

2 units
Marshall +10 over Kansas St.

1 unit
ND +7.5 -120 over Michigan


*******

Edit1: listed the added plays and updated record

Edit2: Added G-Tech -12

Edit3: Added SDSU +8

Edit4: Added ND +7.5 -120, deleted FAU play

Edit5: Added Marshall +10 & G-Tech -11.5

Edit6: Added 2-team ML parlay (AU + G-Tech) & CAL/UW over 44.5

 

[tulah]

I like Iowa but that's alot of juice.
Rice+21 looks very tempting. Rice will run all day & the Bruins Dline isn't all that strong. I could see UCLA by no more then 14. +21 is really generous .

GL on your plays ths week!

 

[Blackman]

Good luck this week.

 

[lowell]

good luck with your plays. you do know that your iowa pick is going against our respected capper from the big 12 who likes the other side. now we all really have a decision as to to follow. thanks for posting a line so we will know if you win or not. good luck

 

[redsfann]

You played Iowa at -7 -129 this early in the week? This line wil be somewhere around 4.5 to 5.5 by game time. You can't be basing a play on Iowa by last weekends results, can you?
Iowa State football only exists for one reason and one reason only--to beat Iowa. That is their whole season every single year. Their football program is the bad, red-headed step child in the state of Iowa. So what if the cyclones struggled again a 1-AA team while Iowa destroyed a terrible Ball State team using mostly backups?
I was at the Iowa game, and there were plenty of things that Iowa needs to work on before facing higher-caliber teams. The D-line is all new this year and while they dominated Ball State's front 4, facing an experienced Big 12 offensive line is a whole different animal. The schedule couldn't have been kinder to us in having Ball State come to town to be our punching bag and work out some kinks, but it also wasn't a fair fight and so its still difficult to assess the quality of Iowa's new starters.
Iowa State starts to get ready for the Iowa game about 30 seconds after the game ends the year before.
The points in this one is the only way to go. I will be the first one to offer my congrats if Iowa covers this number, but I don't see it happening. Good luck with your other picks this week, Scott.

 

[freelancc]

already seeing IOWA - 8 1/2

 

[Scott4USC]

Adding 1 unit Florida Atlantic +15 over Oklahoma St. (Betcris and Badlands have it)

FYI, this is a thur. night game and it is getting pounded. Last night it was +17 but I did not cap it until this morning. I missed out. I'll reply to other posts after I eat my breakfest.

 

[TimmyE]

hawkeyes, I disagree that the line will go down, a lot of people will be jumping on Iowa after last week, but I agree that it could be a close game and I'll take ISU once the line goes up a little.

 

[fletcher]

I say line will close out at -5 or 5.5 nice start scott and T ucla giving rice 21 is some what high I think but way to early in week for me to play anything i wait till thur most of the time unless i love a line because like i said rain does not bother me unless a down pour but want to always know my wind and look at the jet stream for weekend.

once again nice start scott.

 

[LetsMakeMoney]

You played Iowa at -7 -129 this early in the week? This line wil be somewhere around 4.5 to 5.5 by game time. You can't be basing a play on Iowa by last weekends results, can you?

there is no way that line goes below 7..........scott u did a goodjob grabbing them now. that line could easily go up to 9 or 9.5 by game time. :mj14: GL

 

[Scott4USC]

Thanks for nice words and support. Appreciate it.

Iowa is -8.5 and climbing.
UAB is -10 and climnbing.
Florida Atlantic is +14.5 and climbing.

Get on these games now!

redsfann

Good stuff. Basically what you said and the crazy $hit that happens in this rivalry is exactly why I made it a 2 unit play than a 5 unit play. I am very happy with 2 units on Iowa. Juice is high but it is worth it. All i need to do is hit or push 1 game when buying jucie. Usually -120 on key #'s. For me, key #'s are 3, 4, 7 and 10. I almost always will pay -120 for it. Last year Iowa won by 7pts and they should win by double digits this year.

 

[lowell]

i played them as soon as i saw your post and now i have 2 good middle chances after seeing line moves. thanks

 

[TimmyE]

line for Iowa State is now 8.5, i'll wait a little longer as I think it will keep rising.

 

[Scott4USC]

Adding 2 units Nevada +10 over Washington St. (badlands) Line is +9.5 at most places so get on early if you want +10 or buy it to +10 -120. I got -110 @badlands.

Adding 2 units Rice +25.5 over UCLA (2betdsi)


*Am looking at Vandy over Arkansas. I am losing value as I speak. Line was +11 and now +10.5. Might have to pull trigger soon! I get very paranoid over lines. Tulah, thanks for the heads up on Rice.

 

[Scott4USC]

I figured I do write-up on Iowa first since you can get Iowa under 9pts. UAB line is going out of whack so I?ll hold off on that even though it is my biggest play of week so far. Congrats to those who jumped on UAB when I did. However, I think Iowa is just as strong of a play. Just different in unit size. I'll explain why.

Iowa :thumb:

I don? think the ISU had enough offense to hang with Iowa. IMO ISU is sorta one dimensional. They don?t have a solid rushing game and that is prob. due to a weak OL. They had a ton of trouble rushing the ball against Ill. St. (a div. 2 school) I think HC Ferentz is good enough to have his defense excel against a 1 dimensional offense. ISU has solid QB and skill players on offense but I don?t think it will be enough to keep up with the Iowa O.

ISU is weak at OL and DB?s. Very vulnerable team against the deep pass. I am confident in QB Tates ability to make big plays against ISU. In addition, huge question marks with ISU special teams play.

Iowa looked sharp against a undermanned Ball St. team. ISU looked sluggish against a div. 1aa opponent. If ISU plays the same way they did against IL ST, Iowa will win by 4+ TD?s. But I know ISU will be pumped and more focused against Iowa. But regardless, these are positive signs pointing to Iowa.

ISU is a young team and I think it will take longer than 2 weeks for this team to mature and hang with Iowa who may end up being a legit top 10 team this year. What I am trying to say ISU would be better off playing Iowa later in the season vs 2nd game of year. Advantage IOWA. I am predicting a solid hard fought 20pt win for Iowa. If ISU executes and plays well, I still think Iowa wins by 10+pts. IMO Iowa outclasses ISU offensively, defensively, and special teams. I?ll gladly take Iowa to win by double digits if that means covering the spread!

I am very confident in this play and prob. should be rated higher than a 2unit play. I will only make it a 2 unit play because no matter how bad ISU is compared to how good Iowa is this rivalry has had some real strange games. Far worse ISU teams have actually upset an Iowa team that was nearly as good as this years team. Unfortunately we really don't have an accurate barometer on Iowa since Ball State was playing backups as starters. Remember, Iowa beat Ball St. like a top 5 program should! I feel this Iowa team is focused and prepared to do big things this year. They looked sharp and they will not be overlooking ISU. If this minor concern doesn?t bother you, I def. suggest pounding Iowa. Only thing stopping Iowa from covering is turning the ball over and giving ISU big plays early. I?ll risk 2 units that $hit doesn?t happen. If I had bigger weekend $$$ wise, I prob. would be risking 4-5 units on Iowa. This should be a 5 unit play for me. If the line goes to -4 or less, I'll make it a 10 unit play.

As an added bonus........

The visitor (Iowa) is 14-4 ATS the last 18 in this series!

Good luck!

good luck with your plays. you do know that your iowa pick is going against our respected capper from the big 12 who likes the other side. now we all really have a decision as to to follow. thanks for posting a line so we will know if you win or not. good luck

I have accountability. I post the line because the idea is to beat the spread. Absolutely NO REASON to keep that hidden. I keep a record, state my unit size, and post a line because I am not afraid of being tracked. I have nothing to hide and I will be here win or lose. I post analysis as to why "I" like a play so you know where I stand. I don't say I have information on a play, I state the information! You have the option to make up your mind for yourself. Even if you are on the other side. Nobody has to bet my plays blindly. That is what I think this site is about and how I feel I can be most productive. I also enjoy it and don't mind spending extra time helping others out. Others may disagree. Good luck to everyone and thanks for the positive comments. I really appreciate it. I should be up over 50 units at the end of the year. Almost broke 20 if things bounced my way last week. But my ultimate goal is to win enough $$$ to cover my USC futures wagers. If I have losing season (hopefully not) then maybe my USC future wagers cover that! Maybe I get lucky and come out ahead on both ends!

 

[TimmyE]

You might as well throw out the stats of these two. Its an in state rivalry, and you know how those things can turn out. Iowa has the talent to beat ISU by 30 pts, but as you could see last night, the more talented team doesn't always cover, or even win. Look at UCLA last year, they could have beat USC and they weren't sh!t. OSU has beat OU twice in the last few years and both times didn't have half the talent OU does.

Iowa's best regular season record in school history was in 2002 (11-1), unless you want to count before 1920 when they went 7-0 a couple times or something close.
In that season, the year they went on to play USC in the Orange Bowl, they gave Penn St 1 of their only 3 losses AT Penn St. (other 2 were at Mich and at Ohio St). Iowa also gave Michigan 1 of their only 2 losses AT Michigan (beat em 34-9). Yet, when they played Iowa State at Home, they only won 36-31.

Last year Iowa finished with the best overall record of any Big 10 team, after beating LSU in their bowl game, yet only beat ISU by 7 AT HOME.

Iowa is 9-2 ATS at home off a double digit straight up win!

They're not playing at home, its at ISU.

And Iowa is 1-6 ATS against ISU the last 7 games.

 

[Ratslla]

Thanks for the early plays and good luck this coming weekend my friend!

 

[Scott4USC]

Thanks for the correction TimmyE and I edited out, although you would think 30%+ of the stadium will be filled with Iowa fans.


Florida Atlantic :thumb:

I initially liked Fl. Atlantic last week over Kansas but ended up not making them a play. They were +24pt underdogs and ended up losing 30-19 competing the entire game. In fact, it was a 9-7 ball game after 2 quarters of play! Don't forget this was @Kansas. On the flip side, Oklahoma St. struggled against div. 2 opponent Montana St. winning 15-10. OSU was down 10-8 at the half and this was @OSU!

Now vegas is asking OSU to play @ Florida Atlantic and win by 16+pts? I see a lot of value in FAU who should be pumped up to play on a thur. night in front of their home crowd! OSU also should be playing a confident team who thinks they can hang with them.

I think OSU is weak in the secondary. Florida Atlantic threw for 299 yards against Kansas. I think they are capable enough to move the ball against the OSU defense.

Offensively OSU is installing a new system with a new HC. I do not think they are good enough to go on the road and win by 16+ pts.

I will gladly throw a unit on Florida Atlantic and the 15pts. Wish I got 17 though. If OSU turns the ball over this will be an easy cover!

Good luck!

 

[Irish]

Good luck...I like the Iowa play and I was hoping the line goes the other way when people start thinking the rivalry and that QB will make it a close game but the hawkeye defense should contain that QB and the one deep threat they have.

Cheers
Irish

 

[TimmyE]

Sorry Irish, the public will be on Iowa after both teams performance last week. Iowa could have put 100 pts up on Ball St, but then again, any team in this division would have out scored them by 30 or 40.

I'm not going to try and talk Scott out of it, because he's already on Iowa, and got it at 7, but if it goes up to 10 or 9.5 (where I can buy the .5) I'll take ISU. Iowa will more than likely win, but I think it will be close, hopefully within a TD.