What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

yanno

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13 point 4 Team teaser @ -140

Las Vegas Raiders - Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles pk

New York Jets - Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars -1.0

Indianapolis Colts - Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks -0.5

Tennessee Titans - San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers pk

Just wondering. So if one were going to lose, which one would it be? :smilies8

If you played these teams on the moneyline at Pinnacle, at current odds, you would be laying (-185).
 
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Junior44

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13 point 4 Team teaser @ -140

Las Vegas Raiders - Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles pk

New York Jets - Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars -1.0

Indianapolis Colts - Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks -0.5

Tennessee Titans - San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers pk

Just wondering. So if one were going to lose, which one would it be? :smilies8

If you played these teams on the moneyline at Pinnacle, at current odds, you would be laying (-185).
looks good yanno.........the only one that has a CHANCE and losing is if Phillip Rivers suddenly reverts back to 2015 form and throws for 400+ yards :ROFLMAO:
g/l to you.............
 

yanno

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Thanks Junior. The implied probability of the bet winning at odds of (-187) is 65.16%. I think the chances of the bet winning are much higher than this, which means the books are giving us a significant advantage. Of course I can't prove this, but as you imply, something weird would have to happen for one of these games to fall on its face.

For those who might want to know,

Implied Probability= Odds/Odds+100 ×100% so in this case, 187/287 x 100% = .65156 or 65.16% chance of winning rounded up
 
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kickserv

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13 point 4 Team teaser @ -140



If you played these teams on the moneyline at Pinnacle, at current odds, you would be laying (-185).


Much better playing at the 1.54 (-185) odds because if game ends in a push/tie on the 13 point teaser you lose. On a MoneyLine parlay you would not lose your wager.
 

kickserv

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Implied Probability= Odds/Odds+100 ×100% so in this case, 187/287 x 100% = .65156 or 65.15% chance of winning rounded up

Actually the "implied odds" are actually better than that. The "implied odds" would be 65.15% if there were no "pushes", but since you have numerous selections that could push (MoneyLine Parlay) the "implied odds" would technically be different.

In other words if you can only win or lose a wager then the "implied odds" are 100 percent accurate.
 

yanno

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You do not lose on a 13 point teaser with a tie at Pinnacle. Ties push. Go to bed. :)
 
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kickserv

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"If one or more selections in a Super Teaser tie or are voided for any reason, then the entire Super Teaser is deemed void."

Actually that rule doesn't make much sense, you don't win, but you don't lose either. In the past you'd lose (on Super Teasers) if any game ended in a push, but that explanation above doesn't say that. It says you get your money back (void) if 3 selections win and the other is a push.

That is weird?

So you don't win, but you don't lose either
Dave Chapelle GIF by MOODMAN
 
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