What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

[yanno]

13 point 4 Team teaser @ -140

Las Vegas Raiders - Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles pk

New York Jets - Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars -1.0

Indianapolis Colts - Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks -0.5

Tennessee Titans - San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers pk

Just wondering. So if one were going to lose, which one would it be?

If you played these teams on the moneyline at Pinnacle, at current odds, you would be laying (-185).

 

[Junior44]

13 point 4 Team teaser @ -140

Las Vegas Raiders - Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles pk

New York Jets - Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars -1.0

Indianapolis Colts - Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks -0.5

Tennessee Titans - San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers pk

Just wondering. So if one were going to lose, which one would it be?

If you played these teams on the moneyline at Pinnacle, at current odds, you would be laying (-185).

looks good yanno.........the only one that has a CHANCE and losing is if Phillip Rivers suddenly reverts back to 2015 form and throws for 400+ yards
g/l to you.............

 

[yanno]

Thanks Junior. The implied probability of the bet winning at odds of (-187) is 65.16%. I think the chances of the bet winning are much higher than this, which means the books are giving us a significant advantage. Of course I can't prove this, but as you imply, something weird would have to happen for one of these games to fall on its face.

For those who might want to know,

Implied Probability= Odds/Odds+100 ×100% so in this case, 187/287 x 100% = .65156 or 65.16% chance of winning rounded up

 

[kickserv]

13 point 4 Team teaser @ -140



If you played these teams on the moneyline at Pinnacle, at current odds, you would be laying (-185).

Much better playing at the 1.54 (-185) odds because if game ends in a push/tie on the 13 point teaser you lose. On a MoneyLine parlay you would not lose your wager.

 

[kickserv]

Implied Probability= Odds/Odds+100 ×100% so in this case, 187/287 x 100% = .65156 or 65.15% chance of winning rounded up

Actually the "implied odds" are actually better than that. The "implied odds" would be 65.15% if there were no "pushes", but since you have numerous selections that could push (MoneyLine Parlay) the "implied odds" would technically be different.

In other words if you can only win or lose a wager then the "implied odds" are 100 percent accurate.

 

[yanno]

You do not lose on a 13 point teaser with a tie at Pinnacle. Ties push. Go to bed.

 

[kickserv]

You do not lose on a 13 point teaser with a tie at Pinnacle. Ties push.

13 point teasers (Super Teaser) at Pinnacle Ontario LOSE

"If one or more selections in a Super Teaser tie or are voided for any reason, then the entire Super Teaser is deemed void."


Link = https://www.pinnacle.ca/en/future/betting-rules#Teasers

 

[kickserv]

"If one or more selections in a Super Teaser tie or are voided for any reason, then the entire Super Teaser is deemed void."

Actually that rule doesn't make much sense, you don't win, but you don't lose either. In the past you'd lose (on Super Teasers) if any game ended in a push, but that explanation above doesn't say that. It says you get your money back (void) if 3 selections win and the other is a push.

That is weird?

So you don't win, but you don't lose either

 

[Slumdog]

I’m going to play this. 😂

GL homeboys

 

[yanno]

If there is one game that makes me nervous here, it's probably the Eagles. I can just see the Raiders shock the world. The Philly weather is a mess, the locker room is a mess by some accounts, scoring may be very low, and then there is the Philly home field dis-advantage if they start off slow and the fans start calling for Nick Sirianni's head. And who knows what is wrong with Hurts?

Of course the Raiders are a warm weather team.

 

[Smitty]

You do not lose on a 13 point teaser with a tie at Pinnacle. Ties push. Go to bed.

kickserv doesn't sleep.

 

[Slumdog]

This will pay!! This is called the “yanno/slum make your bookie chit parlay of the day”

And after this hits. Rolling it all on minny +6. Fk You Sportbooks 🖕

😂

GL Jackers. Make em pay! 💰

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Tie on a super teaser, at pinnacle, makes it a push, even if you've lost the other 2 or 3 legs.

btw, too early for math, but don't that -140 4-teamer compute to an average lay of around -700 for each of the 4 legs? That 1.1428, to the power of 4, should give near the -140.

I preferred gym class.
Or no class. No class. Even still.

good luck

btw, they all should hit. Not sure which is most likely to miss, but Eagles L would be funniest.

 

[kickserv]

kickserv doesn't sleep.

 

[kickserv]

Tie on a super teaser, at pinnacle, makes it a push, even if you've lost the other 2 or 3 legs.

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

Sure it does. If one leg gets a push, there is no reduced odds that they can pay it out at. On a 3-leg, 3-teamer, at 6 points (+160 at pinnheads), if a leg pushes they can reduce it to a 2-teamer (-110 pinn). On the super teasers, they won't pay you if the rest hit, and you have a push, so how can they take your money if the rest lose?

Maybe didn't explain that well.
Please tell me no Romo in Arrowhead.

 

[kickserv]

Maybe didn't explain that well.

You explained it fine.

This makes ZERO sense.....

"Tie on a super teaser, at pinnacle, makes it a push, even if you've lost the other 2 or 3 legs."

 

[EXTRAPOLATER]

You explained it fine.

This makes ZERO sense.....

Those two thoughts aren't congruent.
My definition of explaining it fine would have to include it making sense.

btw, a push and a loss--on a standard (6-7 pts) 2-teamer--is also a push.

For football and basketball Teaser bets involving just two teams, when at least one selection is a tie or deemed to have no action, the entire bet is considered a push and all money is refunded. If any selection of a Super Teaser bet is a tie or deemed to have no action, the entire bet is graded as no action and all money is refunded irrespective of the number of teams involved.


source: https://www.pinnacle.com/betting-re...tegy/what-is-teasers-betting/qrpjtcdcqrhg4g9m

 

[yanno]

Sure it makes sense, because it's also a push even if you've won the other 2 or 3 legs. It's the only fair way to do it. And let's not forget that they charge -140 for this and -130 for 10 point, 3 team teasers. Which is I believe a bit more than other books who call a push a loss.

Don't pay any attention to me, you and Extrapolator just enjoy each other's company.

 

[kickserv]

a push and a loss--on a standard (6-7 pts) 2-teamer--is also a push.

No it isn't. And if any Sportsbook gives you your money back for losing one leg and pushing another it makes no sense. Sure that might be the rule somewhere, but it makes no sense. You lose any leg of any teaser you should lose your bet. Again, that might be the rule, but it makes no sense.

As for any other teasers...Losing a bunch of legs of a teaser and just tying one gets your money back makes no sense at all. If you lose any leg of a teaser you lose your wager. Thus, makes no sense on the information you posted above. In other words you explained it just fine, it just makes zero sense.