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  1. Smitty

    Saturday

    been in a bit of a tailspin since i lost the cowboys game last weekend. big factor i mentioned for today's game drastically reduces my first play. indy (+4.5) 2 units indy (ML) 1 unit to win 1.7. if i had any discipline, i'd stay off this game now. as i said last week, mitchell's status for...
  2. Smitty

    NC

    alabama (-5.5) 3 units under (56.5) 2 units 1st H under (27.5) 3 units. sorry, not much time for a write-up. one of the big differences is going to be lawrence. he's had a great year, but i don't see a freshman beating alabama in the nc game. hopefully the crimson tide have learned to cover...
  3. Smitty

    Sunday

    well, gold bond is not helping to soothe my pain after last night's anal raping. sitting on one of those inflatable donuts now. amazingly, that is not the first time i've lost a bet because the other team's kicker got hurt. but, because i never learn, i'm betting on another bad qb in a...
  4. Smitty

    Saturday

    indy (ML) 4 units to win 4.4. both games between these two were won by the road team by a fg. both teams played pretty weak schedules, only facing 5 playoff teams each. and that includes the two games against each other. but i'd say indy actually improved as the season went on, which makes...
  5. Smitty

    Tuesday

    Happy New Year Madjackers! i think i've had a profitable new years day maybe once or twice in the last ten years, so feel free to fade away. Outback Bowl i was so close to taking a hard pass on this game, and i really should. i mean, how the hell is iowa going to score? but how can i lay 7...
  7. Smitty

    Monday

    well, i probably ain't gonna catch lightning in a bottle again like i did on saturday. not loving too much. if i can eke out a profit today, i'll be happy. Military Bowl virginia tech (+7) 2 units vt (ML) 1 unit to win 2.2. obviously i can't love virginia tech. this is purely an...
  8. Smitty

    Sunday

    baltimore (-7) 4 units under (40.5) 4 units. this line is begging for cleveland money. but i like baltimore's defense to absolutely shut down the browns. they gave up a lot of yards to cleveland in the first matchup, but still held them to 9 points in regulation. their pass defense has been...
  9. Smitty

    Saturday

    well, as expected, i've been barely treading water after my great start to the bowl season. losing iowa st on the ML was a real kick in the balls. Peach Bowl it feels like these teams play each other in a bowl game every year, and i am always on the wrong side. i was going to take a hard pass...
  10. Smitty

    Friday

    Camping World Bowl syracuse (-3) 2 units under (66) 2 units. don't love it, but wvu has not been good in bowl games under holgersen. and syracuse's defense has been kinda sneaky decent.
  11. Smitty

    Thursday

    sorry i'm late - got caught up betting horses and almost forgot about the football. which means i haven't had time to really dig into this game, so i'm going with my gut. duke (ML) 2 units to win 3. duke's run defense has been pretty bad, but i don't know if temple will be patient enough to...
  13. Smitty

    Wednesday

    merry christmas to all! not sure if i'll be around early tomorrow, so i'm getting a jump on the games. Cotton Bowl, sorry, Servpro First Responder Bowl from the Cotton Bowl BC (ML) 4 units to win 4.4. ok, this is mostly a hunch play. but it's a strong hunch. in no small part because the...
  14. Smitty

    Sunday

    tampa/dallas over (48) 3 units. dallas averages 8 more points at home than on the road and here is the total score of each tampa road game this year... 88, 58, 63, 71, 72, 73, and 32. so with one exception, each has gone over 48 by at least 10 points. that one exception was last week, at...
  15. Smitty

    Saturday

    Birmingham Bowl wake forest (ML) 4 units to win 5.2 wake forest First Half(+0.5) 3 units. love the demon deacons here. i think they are simply the better team, and this is one of the rare times when the team from a power 5 conference is probably more motivated than the team from the "group of...
  16. Smitty

    Gasparilla Bowl

    marshall (-3.5) 6 units. taking a big shot with the thundering herd. well, to be more specific, i'm taking a big shot against usf. the bulls won their first 7 games of the year, and then proceeded to drop their last 5. you could make the argument that all 5 were against bowl teams, but the...
  17. Smitty

    Frisco Bowl

    sd st (ML) 3 units to win 3.3. under (47.5) 3 units. playing this a little harder than i should, because i don't really love this game. but it's bowl season! anyway, both teams rely on the ground game. ohio needs it to set up the passing game. sd st needs it because they have no passing...
  19. Smitty

    Boca Raton Bowl

    well, it's here. the game we've been waiting for all year. the cheribundi boca raton bowl. what is a cheribundi, you ask? i have no fucking clue. i'm assuming it's kellybundi's french sister. 1st H under (20.5) 3 units game under (41) 3 units. seriously, who's going to score in this game...
  20. Smitty

    Sunday

    after the day i had yesterday, no doubt i'm giving some of it back. green bay (+5) 3 units green bay (ML) 1 unit to win 1.9. i'm going to keep betting on the pack, now that mccarthy is gone. indy (-3) 3 units. pretty sure the entire dallas o-line is now made up of guys who were working...
  21. Smitty

    Saturday

    bowl season already? seriously? Autonation Cure Bowl the autonation cure bowl? wtf is that? are they curing cars? i'm so confused. tulane (-3) 4 units. both teams get more yards rushing than through the air, but tulane's defense gives up a full yard less on the ground. the green wave...
  22. Smitty

    Sunday

    the 7-day break was nice. hopefully i can turn things around. nyg/wash under (40.5) 3 units. just need dirty sanchez to not give the giants d 3 tds. with obj out, the giants game plan is going to be run saquon on first, run saquon on second, and throw the ball to saquon on third. gb...
  23. Smitty

    Sunday

    baltimore/atlanta over (46.5) 4 units. reminds me a lot of the baltimore/carolina game earlier this season. lamar jackson on the turf should run for 3 or 4 TDs by himself. chicago (-4) 4 units. yeah, i hate laying road chalk. but the giants' resurgence was a mirage. their last 3 games...
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