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  1. Smitty

    Saturday

    penn st/minnesota over (50) 1 unit. two inept offenses... a total that is about a td higher than it probably should be... something strange is afoot at the circle k. i have no idea how these two teams score 40, much less 50. but it's going to happen. northwestern (+6) 3 units. wildcats have...
  2. Smitty

    Sunday

    it's truly amazing what a little discipline can do for your bankroll. stayed off a couple games i had a bad feeling about and ended up going 4-1. worked yesterday and last sunday. san diego -9 at st louis - this would normally be an automatic play for me on the home dog. san diego has now...
  3. Smitty

    Saturday

    based on how this week has started, it feels like this is the week when i give some back. so i'm going to tread lightly. ark st/indiana over (66) 2 units. the red wolves (i still want to call them the indians) put up 26 at auburn (only 3 points were in garbage time, so it's pretty legit), so...
  4. Smitty

    Thursday

    south florida (+10) 2 units. south florida has covered 4 straight in this matchup. yeah, i know they've dropped off big time this year, but now i have skip holtz getting 10 points from bill stewart? that's enough for me. here's the teams that wvu has beat so far this year: unlv, maryland...
  5. Smitty

    Monday Night

    wow, if i hadn't added on the bills i would have been 4-0 with that crappy card yesterday. amazing. time to give a little back. let's get one thing out in the open. both of these quarterbacks are horrible. yes, horrible. they are a turnover waiting to happen each time they drop back, and...
  7. Smitty

    Sunday

    wow, what a shitty card. how can anyone get excited about any game today? not a single thing really stands out to me. still gotta force some plays, right? so here are some thoughts on a few games and a couple plays for one unit each. denver/baltimore - flacco is back home, so he should be...
  8. Smitty

    Saturday

    looks like a 12-pack today. :scared temple (+3.5) 1 unit. would like this more if pierce was at full strength, but i like temple catching points from anyone in the mac at this point. georgia (-11) 2 units. this is so insanely obvious that i'm pulling back a little on it. they could have...
  9. Smitty

    Sunday

    pitt (-2.5) 2 units. joe flacco is still god awful bad on the road. SF (+7) 1 unit. let down for the falcons. st louis (+2) 2 units. hoping steven jackson can go today, but seattle is terrible on the road. 1-9 ATS their last 10 (ok, the 1 was at st louis). the rams are showing signs of...
  10. Smitty

    Saturday

    sorry, no time for write-ups va tech (-3.5) 2 units washington (+10) 2 units clemson (+3) 2 units stanford (+6.5) 1 unit
  11. Smitty

    Sunday

    sorry, no time for write-ups today altanta (+3) 3 units kc (+3) 1 unit houston (-2.5) 1 unit st louis (+4.5) 1 unit ny/miami under (35.5) 2 units
  13. Smitty

    Saturday

    washington st (+22) 2 units. i'm going to keep playing against usc until they cover. if nothing else, good chance at a backdoor cover, as usc has a revenge game against washington next week. temple (+14) 2 units. my, how times have changed in just one year. last year, psu was laying 29.5...
  14. Smitty

    Thursday

    miami (-4.5) 2 units. acc vs big east. two conferences that would be dominated by the best of the mountain west and wac. ok, maybe dominated is a little too strong, but boise, tcu, and even utah would likely win either of these conferences. but i digress. as mediocre as the acc is, it's...
  15. Smitty

    Sunday

    first nfl plays of the year. one unit each. buffalo (+12.5) the pack has a monday night game at chicago on deck. balt/cincy under (39.5) flacco still sucks on the road. cincy may have a more competent pass offense to take advantage of baltimore's defensive secondary, but i can't trust palmer...
  16. Smitty

    Saturday

    after hitting what will likely be my biggest play of the season on southern miss last night, i'm looking forward to giving it back today. kent st (+21) 2 units. starting off by going against my team. this line just feels too low and it's not moving, despite 90% on psu. while i expected psu...
  17. Smitty

    Friday

    wish i grabbed this one when the lines came out. southern miss (-6) 4 units. at first look, this line is ridiculous. kansas just beat a ranked georgia tech team. southern miss got blown out by south carolina to start the year. even 4 points seemed high. and now it's been driven up to 6...
  19. Smitty

    Week One

    treading very lightly today. maybe just one play (i was going to play uconn/mich, but am probably staying off it now for reasons below. fresno (-2.5) 2 units. no kelly for cincinnati. the bearcats struggled with physical teams, and if there's one characteristic of fresno st under pat hill...
  20. Smitty

    Opening Night

    holy shit, it's time for football again. welcome back, everybody. and hello to the new guys. playing more than i expected tonight, but isn't that always the way? marshall (+28) 1 unit. mtsu (+1) 2 units. was going to absolutely hammer mtsu until the incident with dasher. the line...
  21. Smitty

    Friday Hoops

    just a few plays tonight... vermont (+15.5) 2 units. this line seemed a little low to start with for a #1 seed... onuaku's injury is nothing new... there's no way people are pounding vermont... and yet the line is dropping. how strange. first ever 16 seed to beat a 1 seed? florida st (-1.5)...
  22. Smitty

    Monday Hoops

    old dominion (-9) 2 units. after a big comeback against a team that had owned them recently, then a hard-fought win over a very physical northeastern team, i have to believe bill & mary will hit the wall tonight. for just two people (including one female) they have done well to get this far...
  23. Smitty

    Saturday Hoops

    is it really the last weekend of the regular season? wvu (+3) 1 unit. 'nova still not playing particularly well. they blew a huge lead late in their game against cincinnati. wvu under (152) 1 unit. if this game is close down the stretch, you won't see a flurry of points from the FT line in...
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