CNOTES 2019 NFL SEASON'S BEST BETS- OPINIONS-NEWS-TRENDS THRU THE SUPERBOWL !

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MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 16
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


CLE at NYJ 08:15 PM

NYJ +6.5

U 45.5
 

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Beckham puts on show in MetLife return, Browns top Jets 23-3
September 16, 2019
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EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. (AP) Odell Beckham Jr. had an 89-yard touchdown catch and a spectacular one-handed grab in his return to MetLife Stadium, and Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns did just enough to beat the short-handed and banged-up New York Jets 23-3 on Monday night.

Beckham, traded from the Giants in March, helped the Browns (1-1) bounce back from a 30-point loss to Tennessee in their opener to top the Jets (0-2).

New York lost quarterback Trevor Siemian to an ankle injury in the second quarter, and Luke Falk - promoted from the practice squad earlier in the day - played the rest of the game. Siemian was starting in place of Sam Darnold, who's sidelined for at least a few weeks while recovering from mononucleosis.

The Jets couldn't get anything going on offense, and the Browns blew open the game late in the third quarter.

Falk led the Jets on their longest drive of night to that point - 60 yards - but Le'Veon Bell could only get 1 yard on a fourth-and-2 pass, turning the ball over on downs at the Browns 11.

On the very next play, Mayfield hit Beckham with a slant pass, and the receiver outran the Jets' defenders all the way to the end zone for an 89-yard TD that put Cleveland up 23-3 with 3:32 remaining in the third quarter.

The touchdown came after Beckham called out Jets defensive coordinator Gregg Williams last Thursday, saying the coach - then with the Browns - instructed players to hurt him in a preseason game in 2017. Williams denied Beckham's accusations, jokingly asking reporters: ''Odell who?'' Williams, who led the Browns to a 5-3 record as their interim coach last season, also chided reporters for giving Beckham attention.

Well, Williams clearly knows who Beckham is now. The coach was seen shouting angrily on the sideline after Beckham's touchdown.

And, that wasn't all for Beckham, who finished with six catches for 161 yards and the TD.

He helped the Browns take a 3-0 lead on their first possession on Austin Seibert's 23-yard field goal - a drive highlighted by a spectacular 33-yard, one-handed grab that got Cleveland down to the Jets 4.

It was reminiscent of Beckham's highlight-reel, one-handed reception for the Giants on ''Sunday Night Football'' as a rookie in 2014. On this one, Mayfield found Beckham down the right sideline, and the receiver stuck out his right hand to snare the ball behind Nate Hairston - in nearly the same spot as his big catch five years ago.

And, yes, Beckham was wearing his expensive watch - despite the NFL telling him last week not to.

Beckham then had to come out of the game because officials made him change his mirrored visor. He returned with a clear visor on his helmet.

Seibert's 48-yarder gave the Browns a 6-0 lead with 6:15 left in the opening quarter as Cleveland outgained New York 101-4 in the first quarter.

Nick Chubb's 19-yard touchdown run in the opening quarter put Cleveland up 13-0. The drive was helped by a defensive holding call on Hairston - starting in place of Trumaine Johnson - on fourth-and-2 from the Jets 24.

NOW WHAT?

Siemian was knocked out of the game after throwing a long incomplete pass to Ryan Griffin and Cleveland's Myles Garrett slammed into him, and fell on top of him. Siemian appeared to roll his left ankle as Garrett, who was penalized for roughing the passer, sent him to the turf.

Falk replaced Siemian with 7:58 left in the half and helped the Jets get their first points to cheers of ''Luuuke!'' Sam Ficken, the Jets' fourth kicker since July, booted a 46-yarder - and got loud cheers from the crowd who had seen the likes of Chandler Catanzaro, Taylor Bertolet and Kaare Vedvik struggle.

Siemian finished 3 of 6 for 3 yards, while Falk was 20 of 25 for 198 yards as the Jets lost their seventh straight at home, dating to last season.

STATS


Mayfield, who beat the Jets last year in his NFL debut during a Thursday night game that ended Cleveland's 19-game winless skid, was 19 of 35 for 325 yards, including the long TD to Beckham, and an interception.

Garrett had three of the Browns' four sacks.

Bell had 68 yards rushing on 21 carries and had 10 catches for 61 yards for the Jets.

EMOTIONAL RETURN

Browns defensive end Chris Smith played after his girlfriend, Petara Cordero, was killed in car accident last week.

The 26-year-old Cordero was killed after she exited Smith's Lamborghini and was standing on the highway's shoulder when she was hit by an oncoming car.

INJURIES

Browns: TE David Njoku sustained a concussion in the opening quarter and didn't return. ... S Morgan Burnett injured his quadriceps.

Jets: LB Jordan Jenkins left in the first quarter with a calf injury. ... WR Demaryius Thomas, making his Jets debut after being acquired from New England last week, injured a hamstring.

UP NEXT


Browns: host Los Angeles Rams next Sunday night in their second straight prime-time game.

Jets: at AFC East rival New England next Sunday.
 

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WEEK 3

Thursday, September 19, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
8:20 PM Tennessee Titans Jacksonville Jaguars

Sunday, September 22, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
1:00 PM Cincinnati Bengals Buffalo Bills
1:00 PM Miami Dolphins Dallas Cowboys
1:00 PM Denver Broncos Green Bay Packers
1:00 PM Atlanta Falcons Indianapolis Colts
1:00 PM Baltimore Ravens Kansas City Chiefs
1:00 PM Oakland Raiders Minnesota Vikings
1:00 PM New York Jets New England Patriots
1:00 PM Detroit Lions Philadelphia Eagles
4:05 PM Carolina Panthers Arizona Cardinals
4:05 PM New York Giants Tampa Bay Buccaneers
4:25 PM Houston Texans Los Angeles Chargers
4:25 PM Pittsburgh Steelers San Francisco 49ers
4:25 PM New Orleans Saints Seattle Seahawks
8:20 PM Los Angeles Rams Cleveland Browns

Monday, September 23, 2019
Time (ET) Away Home
8:15 PM Chicago Bears Washington Redskins


******************************


NFL SEPT. OPINIONS AND BEST BETS: ALL BASED ON 5 UNITS

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

09/16/2019.......1-1-0.........50.00%..............-0.50
09/15/2019....15-11-1.........57.69%...........+14.50
09/12/2019.......1-1-0..........50.00%............-0.50
09/09/2019.......3-1-0..........75.00%............+9.50
09/08/2019.....16-10-0.........61.54%...........+25.00
09/05/2019..... 1-1-0........... 50.00%........... -0.50

Totals..............37-25-1........ 59.67%.......... +47.50


*****************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS.............UNITS. ............O/U...............UNITS.............TOTALS


09/16/2019.............0 - 0........... +0.00...............1 - 0..............+5.00.............+5.00
09/15/2019.............6 - 4............+8.00...............7 - 4..............+13.00...........+21.00
09/12/2019.............1 - 0............+5.00...............0 - 1..............-5.50...............-0.50
09/09/2019.............1 - 1.............-0.50...............2 - 0..............+10.00............+9.50
09/08/2019.............6 - 5............+2.50...............8 - 3..............+23.50...........+26.00
09/05/2019.............0 - 1.............-5.50...............1 - 0..............+5.00..............-0.50

Totals..................14 - 11............+9.50.............19 - 8 ............+51.00.............+60.50
 

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Tuesday?s 6-pack

Six interesting college football spreads this week:

? Utah (-4.5) @ USC

? Michigan State (-6.5) @ Northwestern

? Michigan @ Wisconsin (-3)

? Kentucky @ Mississippi State (-7)

? Auburn @ Texas A&M (-4)

? Oklahoma State @ Texas (-5)

Tweet of the Day
?Cowboys got to 2-0 and Sean Payton got a new contract. For Jason Garrett, today was pretty?pretty?good.?
Tim Cowlishaw

Tuesday?s quiz
Who coached the Tennessee Titans in their only Super Bowl appearance?

Monday?s quiz
Chris Chandler was the Atlanta Falcons? QB the first time they played in a Super Bowl, when they lost to Denver

Sunday?s quiz
Pro wrestler/actor Dwayne (The Rock) Johnson played college football at Miami.

*************************

Tuesday?s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) Bad news on the quarterback front Monday; Ben Roethlisberger is done for the year- he needs elbow surgery. Roethlisberger will be 38 in March; there is a chance his Hall of Fame career is over.

Mason Rudolph takes over as Pittsburgh?s starter; they traded #3 QB Josh Dobbs to the Jaguars last week, a move they probably regret now. Looks like the new backup is Devlin Hedges, who played college ball at Samford.

12) Drew Brees needs surgery for ligament damage in his right thumb, is out for at least six weeks; Teddy Bridgewater is the Saints? new starter.

11) I?m endorsing something today that I never thought I?d endorse, the Peyton Manning stories on ESPN+ about the history of the NFL . Watched one the other day about the Lombardi Trophy, and it was excellent.

Lot of information in there, even if Peyton continues to be annoying at the same time, just like his TV commercials. But if you like NFL history, this is good stuff.

10) Armen Keteyian wrote an article on Nick Saban in The Athletic last week that made me sad, talking about how when Saban won his first national title at Alabama, he didn?t/couldn?t enjoy the win, he was still correcting mistakes made during the game, and then stressing out about the things that had to be done about recruiting in the next few days.

If you can?t enjoy winning, coaching is a miserable job, because no one enjoys losing. Saban had a staff meeting in a hotel meeting room at 10am the day after Alabama won the title, less than 12 hours after the championship game ended.

Understood that you don?t sustain winning without that single-minded focus, but life is short, and you need to enjoy the good things along the way, too.

9) From Jen McCaffrey:
In 2001, an FBI investigation called Operation Bullpen found that over 75% of all autographed items on the market were forgeries. As a result, Major League Baseball created an authentication department that now employs 220 current and former law enforcement officials.

Authenticators Inc. is a company that works with MLB to ensure the legitimacy of milestone and game-used items as well as any player-autographed items. At least two authenticators are present at all 2,430 regular season games, with more at postseason games and special events like the All-Star Game and Home Run Derby.

8) Baseball stuff:
? Braves put IF Johan Camargo (hairline fracture of shin) on the IL.

7) Football stuff:
? Steelers? QB Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) is out for the year.
? Saints? QB Drew Brees is out for six weeks.
? Redskins RB Derrius Guice (knee) was put on IR.
? Florida Gators QB Feleipe Franks (dislocated ankle) is out for the year.

6) Virginia basketball coach Tony Bennett turned down a raise this week while extending his contract another year. The Cavaliers announced the extension Monday, saying Bennett asked for the money he turned down to be used to pay his staff more and for improvements to both his program as well as other Virginia teams.

5) Browns 23, Jets 3:
? Terrible game; wasn?t nearly as close as the final score indicates.
? Beckham caught an 89-yard TD pass to officially seal the win.
? Teams combined to convert 6-27 on third down.

? 3rd-stringer Falk was 20-25/198 in relief of injured QB Siemian.
? Jets had 45 total yards in the first half, wound up with 262.
? Le?veon Bell had 31 touches for 129 yards.

4) Handicapping 101? France upset the USA in that FIBA basketball tournament in China, then lost their next game by 14 to Argentina. For once, life makes perfect sense. Peaks and valleys, you have an emotional win, then a very disappointing loss.

3) In case you were wondering, the highest paid player on the WNBA?s Las Vegas Aces makes $115,000 a year. They play a 34-game regular season. Was wondering the other day, so I looked it up, but I can?t find out how much WNBA coaches make.

2) If I owned an NBA team and was shelling out hundreds millions of dollars to pay the players, no way in hell would I want any of them playing in these international tournaments during the offseason that don?t mean a damn thing. One of them gets hurt, then what?

1) Best wishes to Nationals? skipper Dave Martinez, who felt chest pains and underwent a cardiac catheterization Monday- he?ll miss the series in St Louis this week. Chip Hale is the interim manager for Washington.
 
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Eli Manning benched, Daniel Jones named Giants' starting QB
September 17, 2019
By The Associated Press


EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. (AP) Eli Manning's long and distinguished reign as the New York Giants' starting quarterback is seemingly over. Let the Daniel Jones era begin.

Coach Pat Shurmur announced Tuesday that the No. 6 overall pick in the NFL draft is replacing two-time Super Bowl MVP as the Giants' quarterback, beginning Sunday at Tampa Bay.

The move comes less than 24 hours after Shurmur refused to say Manning would remain the starter following two straight losses, the sixth time in seven years New York has gotten off to a 0-2 start.

The 38-year-old Manning has been the Giants' starter since replacing Kurt Warner after nine games in the 2004 season, the year Manning was traded to New York by San Diego after it took him with the No. 1 overall pick.

Manning led the Giants to Super Bowl titles following the 2007 and '11 seasons, beating Tom Brady and the Patriots both times.

''Eli and I spoke this morning,'' Shurmur said. ''I told him that we are making a change and going with Daniel as the starter. I also talked to Daniel. Eli was obviously disappointed, as you would expect, but he said he would be what he has always been, a good teammate, and continue to prepare to help this team win games. Daniel understands the challenge at hand, and he will be ready to play on Sunday.''

In two games, Manning completed 56 of 89 passes for 556 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions for a passer rating of 78.7. But the Giants have scored only four touchdowns, despite averaging 420 yards.

''Ultimately, this is a move that I felt was best for this team at this time,'' said Shurmur, who is in his second season with the Giants. ''I have said it since I got here, I am very fond of Eli. His work ethic, his preparation, his football intelligence. All those attributes are as good as I have ever seen in a player. And Eli worked as hard as you could ask of anybody to get ready for this season. This move is more about Daniel moving forward than about Eli.''

The question of when Jones would take over has been a constant topic since the Giants drafted him, and the issue gained momentum when the 22-year-old Duke product completed 29 of 34 passes for 416 yards, two touchdowns, no interceptions in the preseason. His 137.2 quarterback rating was the best in the league.

The hint of an impending change surfaced Monday and a day later, Shurmur benched the man who has been the face of the organization for the past 15-plus years.

Manning, who is playing in a team-record 16th season with the Giants, knew the change was a possibility.

''We're 0-2 and you are looking for answers,'' he said Monday. ''I get it, we drafted a guy early and you are not winning games, these things are going to come up. I just have to keep working and do whatever my job is.''

On Sunday, his job will be as Jones' backup.

Jones will be the third of the 11 quarterbacks selected in this year's draft to both play and start a game. Kyler Murray, the first overall selection by Arizona, started the Cardinals' first two games. Gardner Minshew II, a sixth-round selection by Jacksonville out of Washington State, started the Jaguars' loss Sunday in Houston as a replacement for the injured Nick Foles.

Manning has started 232 of the Giants' last 233 regular-season games. The loss Sunday to the Bills dropped his record to .500 at 116-116.

Manning started 210 consecutive regular-season games from Nov. 21, 2004 to Nov. 23, 2017, the second-longest streak by a quarterback in NFL history. Only Brett Favre (297) started more consecutive games. Manning did not play on Dec. 3, 2017, at Oakland when Ben McAdoo started Geno Smith instead.

McAdoo and general manager Jerry Reese were fired the next day and Manning returned to running the team, starting the last 22 games.

Manning holds all of the Giants' career passing records, including attempts (8,061, which places him sixth in NFL history), completions (4,860, sixth), passing yards (56,537, seventh) and touchdown passes (362, eighth).
 

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Hot & Not Report - Week 3
September 16, 2019
By Matt Blunt


After last week's piece shifted the focus to the collegiate game, it's back to discussing NFL action this week now that we've got essentially two full weeks under our belt. The Browns and Jets still have to do battle tonight, and some could say that Jets QB Sam Darnold and his mono diagnosis kicked off a brutal week for QB injuries. ON Sunday we saw Saints QB Drew Brees get knocked out of the game with a thumb injury that will have him on the shelf for multiple weeks, and Pittsburgh's QB Ben Roethlisberger is now lost for the year with elbow concerns.

With Andrew Luck's abrupt retirement at the end of August, it's been an ever-changing landscape at the QB position so far in the NFL, and chances are it won't end there. The Giants and Dolphins have legitimate questions to ask themselves about who will be their starter for the bulk of the season, and a team like Washington is starting to inch closer to that boat as well.

QB issues aside, Week 3 is always an interesting one as we've now come and gone through Opening Week and Overreaction Week in the betting market, and more data points are out there to use as support. Team identities are starting to get firmer ? if their QB has stayed healthy ? and for some, it's about potentially preventing their season from going off the rails after a rough start.

It's that notion that I've isolated for this week, as Week 3 brings some of their own interesting betting opportunities for NFL teams that have been money burners (0-2 ATS) or money earners (2-0 ATS) so far. The market has seen (or been burnt) by these teams inability to cash betting tickets, and that in itself can create market disparities in terms of the perception and reality of how good a certain team may actually be.

So it's ?perfect? ATS teams in the NFL that are travelling in Week 3 that have become the focus this week. While two of the winless squads ? New Orleans and Pittsburgh ? have new QB's starting in Week 3 and may be taken much more lightly or even omitted from this following group, the changes at QB are likely to create an even bigger gap in terms of the perception of those squads.

But here are the situations to keep in mind as you go through the week breaking down the board:

Who's Hot

Back the Money Burners on the road


NFL teams that are 0-2 ATS and are playing on the road in Week 3 are 9-3 ATS the past three seasons
This trend seems to be a strong one over the past three years and it's done well in each individual year as well, as the record sits at 7-2 ATS the past two years, and it was 4-1 ATS in 2018. On the surface, a trend like this does make some sense in the idea that 0-2 ATS squads can be a little undervalued after being money burners (for a variety of reasons) through two weeks. Bettors maybe haven't like what they've seen from these squads, have been burned by them for a big wager, last leg of a parlay etc, and or just don't believe they are a capable or competitive team that season. This year we've got six (potentially seven) different teams fitting this role too.

The list of teams that are 0-2 ATS and on the road in Week 3 are Carolina, Chicago, Pittsburgh, New Orleans, Miami, the New York Giants and possibly the New York Jets should they fail against the number on MNF. All of those squads do fit different aspects of the reasons behind having yet to cover a spread, and having already discussed the situations that face New Orleans and Pittsburgh this week, I won't go more in-depth on them. But chances are both will be a little undervalued ? especially compared to what they could have been with Brees and Roethlisberger under center ? and may be worth a look once point spreads are established.

Miami and the Giants definitely fit the bill of being teams that aren't likely to be all that competitive this year, as they've shown nothing to have bettors believe putting their hard earned money down on them is worth the risk. The Giants are currently catching +6.5 points nearly everywhere as they head down to Tampa Bay to face a well-rested Bucs team, while Miami's going to Dallas and currently catching three TD's. I can't imagine either of those sides being all that popular as the week goes on, but points are points and they might actually be catching a few more then they should be given the overall perception of the organizations. Week 3 has proven in the past that some level of professional pride tends to kick in for these slumping squads, and I would venture a guess that at least one of the Giants or Miami ends up cashing an ATS ticket this week.

The remaining two teams that are for sure on this list are Chicago and Carolina, and each are road chalk in Washington and Arizona respectively. Laying points with these ?money burners? may look tough to do for some, but it again speaks to the idea that they may actually be a little undervalued right now because of that 0-2 ATS start. The Bears and Panthers are both hovering around laying a FG against their respective opponents, and you can't help but wonder if they were 1-1 ATS already, would these spreads be a point or two higher. That's a question you should keep in mind throughout the week, as if Arizona and Washington find themselves turning into 'public home dogs', it might be best to expect the Panthers and Bears to get into that ATS winner's circle.

Who's Not

Fade the Money Earners


2-0 ATS teams that are on the road in Week 3 are 3-9 ATS the past three seasons
This run is quite the opposite idea of things when you sit down and think about it, as these perfect ATS teams that go out on the road ? sometimes for the first time that year ? tend to be thought too highly of in terms of either the number that exists out there and/or the perception in terms of generating a strong majority of support from the market. It's been a great two opening weeks for these teams and bettors ? the majority of whom love to ride streaks ? have no problem backing the hot hand because that's what's worked so far.

So whether or not these lines are actually inflated or not to the side of these perfect ATS road teams can be debated, but just because something has worked twice so far, doesn't mean it will continue to work going forward. That's such a reactive way to handicap in my opinion and being proactive - whether it's getting action down early in the week, finding more predictive numbers/stats to base opinions on etc ? will tend to bring you more success.

This year, we've only got one team that fits that role, and it's the LA Rams on SNF as they travel to Cleveland to face the Browns. Depending on how Cleveland performs tonight will have plenty to do with the number that comes out ? especially if Cleveland stinks up the joint again and/or loses to a Jets team without their starting QB.

But for a market who was all about backing the Saints this past week with their revenge narrative against the Rams, LA's performance in that game ? even with Brees getting hurt ? had to increase their stock in the eyes of many, especially those who had the Saints this weekend, and should the Browns lose tonight on MNF, without question an early flurry of Rams money is likely to flood in. That scenario would set up a situation where we'd have a 2-0 ATS Rams team visiting an 0-2 ATS Browns team, and 0-2 ATS teams at home in Week 3 are 5-3 ATS the past two seasons.

It may be then that we see all this Browns love we've seen and heard about in the market for months finally come to fruition, but regardless of what happens on MNF tonight, I'd be hesitant to pull the trigger on the defending NFC Champions next week.
 

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This report may update as gamedays get closer....


NFL
Long Sheet

Week 3


Thursday, September 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (1 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (0 - 2) - 9/19/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 118-154 ATS (-51.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 4-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 4-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sunday, September 22

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DENVER (0 - 2) at GREEN BAY (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 110-81 ATS (+20.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 194-139 ATS (+41.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (1 - 0 - 1) vs. PHILADELPHIA (1 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALTIMORE (2 - 0) at KANSAS CITY (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (0 - 2) at BUFFALO (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (1 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (1 - 1) at MINNESOTA (1 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY JETS (0 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 132-101 ATS (+20.9 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 132-101 ATS (+20.9 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 204-146 ATS (+43.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 195-146 ATS (+34.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 102-75 ATS (+19.5 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 116-87 ATS (+20.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 4-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (0 - 2) at DALLAS (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY GIANTS (0 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (0 - 2) at ARIZONA (0 - 1 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (1 - 1) at SEATTLE (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HOUSTON (1 - 1) at LA CHARGERS (1 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 30-5 ATS (+24.5 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PITTSBURGH (0 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 0) - 9/22/2019, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA RAMS (2 - 0) at CLEVELAND (0 - 1) - 9/22/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 195-240 ATS (-69.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 195-240 ATS (-69.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 149-190 ATS (-60.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 70-103 ATS (-43.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, September 23

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CHICAGO (1 - 1) at WASHINGTON (0 - 2) - 9/23/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 91-121 ATS (-42.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 91-121 ATS (-42.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 91-121 ATS (-42.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
 

Cnotes53

Registered
Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
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NFL

Week 3


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Trend Report
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Thursday, September 19

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 3-9-2 ATS in its last 14 games
Jacksonville is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
Jacksonville is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Jacksonville's last 9 games when playing at home against Tennessee
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games
Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
Tennessee is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tennessee's last 9 games when playing on the road against Jacksonville


Sunday, September 22

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games at home
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Miami
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games when playing Dallas
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games
Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Denver is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Denver is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay

Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games
Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas City's last 15 games at home
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City

Minnesota Vikings
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games
Oakland is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
Oakland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Oakland is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota

Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
Buffalo is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Cincinnati
Buffalo is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Cincinnati
Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
Buffalo is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Buffalo
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Cincinnati is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Cincinnati is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo

Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indianapolis's last 11 games
Indianapolis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Indianapolis's last 21 games at home
Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indianapolis

New England Patriots
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New England's last 14 games
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games at home
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 5 games when playing NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games
NY Jets is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games
NY Jets is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 5 games when playing New England
NY Jets is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing on the road against New England

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Philadelphia is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 14 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 4-7-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Arizona is 1-7-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games at home
Arizona is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Arizona is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Carolina is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games
Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
Carolina is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games at home
Tampa Bay is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
Tampa Bay is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games when playing NY Giants
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games
NY Giants is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
NY Giants is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games on the road
NY Giants is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Giants is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Giants's last 16 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Giants is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
NY Giants is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay

Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Chargers is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games
LA Chargers is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
LA Chargers is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games at home
LA Chargers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston Texans
Houston is 2-3-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Houston is 4-6-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Houston is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers

Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle's last 10 games when playing New Orleans
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 11 games
New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games when playing Seattle
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle

San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
San Francisco is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games at home
San Francisco is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 16-6-1 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 7-17-1 SU in its last 25 games
Cleveland is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Cleveland is 6-18-1 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Cleveland's last 22 games at home
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Rams is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Clevelan


Monday, September 23

Washington Redskins
Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Chicago is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Chicago is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Washington
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
 

Cnotes53

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301TENNESSEE -302 JACKSONVILLE
JACKSONVILLE is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992.

461DENVER -462 GREEN BAY
DENVER is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 straight unders in the last 3 seasons.

463DETROIT -464 PHILADELPHIA
DETROIT is 31-56 ATS (-30.6 Units) in road games after a win since 1992.

465BALTIMORE -466 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in the 1rst half of the season in the last 2 seasons.

467CINCINNATI -468 BUFFALO
CINCINNATI is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) after a loss by 21 or more points since 1992.

469ATLANTA -470 INDIANAPOLIS
ATLANTA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

471OAKLAND -472 MINNESOTA
OAKLAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games with <=6 days rest in the last 3 seasons.

473NY JETS -474 NEW ENGLAND
NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game in the last 2 seasons.

475MIAMI -476 DALLAS
MIAMI is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games with <=6 days rest in the last 3 seasons.

477NY GIANTS -478 TAMPA BAY
NY GIANTS are 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.

479CAROLINA -480 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in the last 3 seasons.

481NEW ORLEANS -482 SEATTLE
NEW ORLEANS are 65-42 ATS (18.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.

483HOUSTON -484 LA CHARGERS
LA CHARGERS are 17-1 ATS (15.9 Units) in home games against the AFC South since 1992.

487LA RAMS -488 CLEVELAND
LA RAMS are 149-190 ATS (-60 Units) with <=6 days rest since 1992.

489CHICAGO -490 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.
 

Cnotes53

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NFL odds turned upside down after Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger injuries
Jason Logan

Las Vegas oddsmakers estimate Ben Roethlisberger to be worth about 6.5 points to the Pittsburgh Steelers' pointspreads.

It was a bad Sunday for future Hall-of-Fame quarterbacks, as Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger went down with injuries that are stirring up the NFL odds for Week 3 and beyond.

Brees left the New Orleans Saints? highly-anticipated matchup with the Los Angeles Rams with a thumb injury that will require surgery, leaving him on the sidelines for at least six weeks. Roethlisberger was forced out of the Pittsburgh Steelers' loss to the Seattle Seahawks with an elbow injury that will end his 2019 season just two games into the schedule.

New Orleans? Week 3 odds for the team?s road game against the Seattle Seahawks were off the board as of Monday morning. According to oddsmakers at the Las Vegas Superbook at Westgate, if Brees was healthy, the line would be New Orleans +1. However, with Brees out, the Superbook projects a spread of Saints +5.5 or higher with No. 2 passer Teddy Bridgewater expected to start.

As for Pittsburgh?s Week 3 trip to play the San Francisco 49ers, sportsbooks are hanging the Steelers as 1-point underdogs. Covers? senior writer in Las Vegas, Patrick Everson, reports that oddsmakers priced Roethlisberger to be worth about 6.5 points to Pittsburgh?s spreads, due to a less-experienced backup in QB Mason Rudolph.

The Week 3 NFL odds weren?t the only lines moving in Vegas upon the news of these quarterback injuries. The Saints? odds to win the Super Bowl slipped from as far as 9/1 to 20/1 to win the Big Game while the Steelers dropped from 20/1 to 50/1 at William Hill sportsbooks in Nevada and New Jersey.

Divisional odds were also on the move Monday morning. New Orleans remains the favorite to win the NFC South, set at -120 at Caesars Entertainment sportsbooks. However, the Atlanta Falcons (+165), Carolina Panthers (+700), and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1,100) all saw their divisional futures adjust.

Over in the AFC North, Pittsburgh is now +1,600 to win the division behind the Baltimore Ravens (-200) and Cleveland Browns (+170) while the Cincinnati Bengals are listed as +3,000 long shots at Caesars' sportsbooks.
 

Cnotes53

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Bet Now/Bet Later NFL Week 3 odds: Catch the Chiefs below the key number
Jason Logan

If you aren?t sold on the Ravens running up the score and think the Chiefs are worth your pocket change, hit the home side under the key number of seven right now.

Being a successful sports bettor is not about betting on the best team, but betting the best number. Scoring the optimal odds for your wager can sometimes be a race to the window ? or your mobile ? to get the spread or total you want before it changes. Or, sometimes it?s a waiting game until just before kickoff, projecting how the public players will manipulate the numbers.

Senior Industry Analyst Jason Logan gives you a heads-up on the best ?Bet Now/Bet Later? games on the NFL board each week.

Week 3 gives us a clearer picture of who teams really are but there?s not enough out there to point the finger with confidence. That makes getting down on the best spread and total for your opinion even more important. Here goes Week 3...

SPREAD TO BET NOW: KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -6.5

NFL bettors get a great game in the 1 pm E.T. slot in Week 3 with the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs butting heads in a battle of offenses ranked No. 1 and No. 3 in average yards, respectively. However, Baltimore?s results should be treated like a king cobra: respect what it can do, but don?t trust it.

The Ravens ransacked the boxscore in matchups with Miami and Arizona ? two teams that sat at the bottom of the NFL season win totals board this summer. Baltimore?s defense could be exposed against this elite K.C. offense. The Ravens gave Arizona only 22 minutes with the football last Sunday and rookie passer Kyler Murray produced 349 yards passing and 17 points in that short frame. Baltimore is allowing 5.4 yards per play through two weeks, yet ranks second in yards allowed per game. Hmmmm.

Kansas City is in Arrowhead for the first time this season after two solid road showings. The Chiefs blasted Oakland in Week 2 after putting 40 on the Jacksonville Jaguars (who lost their starting QB in the middle of the game) in Week 1. While those opponents/circumstances are almost as soft as the Ravens? slate, Kansas City did do so away from home and will have a sizable edge in the homer opener Sunday, especially when it comes to crowd noise versus Lamar Jackson and this wheelin?-dealin? Baltimore attack.

If you aren?t sold on the Ravens running up the score and think the Chiefs are worth your pocket change, hit the home side under the key number of seven right now. Plenty of books have already moved to -7 so getting the fave at -6.5 could be vital in what should be a really fun game.


SPREAD TO BET LATER: MIAMI DOLPHINS +21.5

There?s a point in every bad team?s season in which the betting markets over-correct so much, it actually makes a bad bet a good one. And for a team as bad as the Dolphins, that tipping point could be as early as Week 3.

The math is simple: one team heading down, losing its first two games by a combined 92 points, and tanking like Zion Williamson is waiting on the other side. The other team is 2-0, putting up the second-most yardage in the NFL, and one of the most popular franchises (and bets) in all of sports. Mix it up in a bowl with a dash of early sharp money, and you get a spread moving from as low as -15.5 to -21.5 on the home side.

For those not tempted by more than three touchdowns worth of cushion, know this: Dallas has played two terrible football teams (New York and Washington) in the opening weeks of the season, so tread lightly with those big numbers. And in both of those games, there were moments in which the Cowboys took their foot off the gas and made bettors a little uncomfortable (trust me I know. I?m a Dallas fan). The team surrendered 10 points in the second half to the Giants (seven in the fourth) and allowed the Redskins to score 14 in the second half (seven in the final frame). Those types of let-ups are the nightmares backdoor covers are made out of.

If you?re on the fence about the Dolphins, just let the media puff up the Cowboys and bash the Fins (especially now that they?re trading away top young players) this week. Come Sunday, you could be looking at even more points.


TOTAL TO BET NOW: UNDER 44.5 NEW ORLEANS AT SEATTLE

How much is Drew Brees worth to the Saints? odds? Well, the lookahead had New Orleans getting a point in Seattle with a total of 50 before Brees was ruled out for the next six weeks with a thumb injury. So, do the math lazy.

Losing Brees is crushing but the Saints are somewhat set up to absorb that injury better than most teams. Backup Teddy Bridgewater has experience and shared plenty of reps with dynamic QB Taysom Hill in the preseason. That switch does shorten the New Orleans attack, but it doesn?t completely pull the plug.

The Seahawks offense went back to the basics in Week 2, running the football 33 times and chewing up almost 36 minutes in time of possession in a win over Pittsburgh. Last season, the Seahawks loved to pound the turf at CenturyLink, averaging 175.5 yards on the ground per home game (almost 39 yards more than on the road) with nearly six more handoffs as a host.

This game is also in Seattle, where people still put weight into this home-field edge. I will say, the crowd noise could give the Saints? backups some issues on snap counts and audibles and rain is also in the forecast for Sunday, so yeah? it?s Seattle.

If you project a low-scoring finish in the wake of the Brees injury, then have at it. This total will likely tick down before the 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff. But watch for sharp buy back on the Over. Plug this Over/Under into your Covers Live App and let the line alerts do the heavy lifting.


TOTAL TO BET LATER: OVER 48 HOUSTON AT L.A. CHARGERS

These teams combined for a grand total of just 23 points in Week 2, with Houston just getting past Jacksonville 13-12 and Los Angeles falling 13-10 at Detroit. That?s ticked this total down from 49 points to as low as 47.5 at some books.

Those early Under bettors have been quick to downgrade two very strong offensive teams that ran into solid defenses and played in tough situational spots last Sunday. I try to keep my own wagers out of the way with these ?Bet Now/Later? articles, but I like the Over in this Week 3 matchup and love seeing the total go the other way.

Houston has a loaded receiving corps and showed that on Monday Night Football in Week 1, and now that group gets to snack on a bunch of rusty lawn chairs ? or whatever secondary the Bolts have left after getting chewed up by the injury bugs. Unfortunately for the Texans, their defense is not so loaded, giving up key plays and big gains to both Brees in the opener and rookie QB Gardner Minshew and the Jaguars last week.

The L.A. offense (which sits fourth in yards per game) left a ton of points on the table in Motown, with two touchdowns called back on penalties, a goal-line fumble, an interception in the end zone and two missed field goals. We?ve seen the Chargers do this exact thing in the past, only to rebound with a strong scoring effort the following week.

If you?re like me and love the Over, be patient and let this continue to creep down. Injury reports on Thursday and Friday won?t paint a pretty picture for the Bolts pass defense, so you might want to snap up the Over on the lowest number you can get before then. Good luck.
 

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Tech Trends - Week 3
September 17, 2019
By Bruce Marshall


THURSDAY, SEPT. 19

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
TENNESSEE at JACKSONVILLE (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Titans have won and covered last four meetings, and six of last seven. Last three in series ?under? as well.
Tech Edge: Titans and slight to ?under,? based on series trends.


SUNDAY, SEPT. 22

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DENVER at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Broncos 1-5 vs. line since late 2018, 9-19-1 last 29 vs. points since early 2017. Also ?under? eleven in a row since mid 2018. Pack ?under? 9-3 last 12 since mid 2018.
Tech Edge: ?Under? and Pack, based on ?totals? and team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DETROIT at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Lions 5-7 vs. line since early 2018, though have covered 4 of last 6 as road dog. Lions ?under? 8-1 last 9 since late 2018, Birds only 2-7 as Linc chalk since LY.
Tech Edge: "Under" and slight to Lions, based on "totals" and team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
BALTIMORE at KANSAS CITY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Ravens 5-2-1 vs. line last 7 reg season since late 2018. Also covered last four on road. KC just 1-4 last five as Arrowhead chalk reg season. Chiefs also ?over? 6-2 last eight reg season.
Tech Edge: Ravens and slight to ?over,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CINCINNATI at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cincy is notable 8-2 last ten as road dog and even after SF loss is 5-1 last six vs. line since late 2018. Bills 1-2 as home chalk LY.
Tech Edge: Bengals and ?under,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
ATLANTA at INDIANAPOLIS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Falcs on 3-12 skid vs. line last 15 on road reg season. Colts ?under? 8-3 last eleven since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Colts and slight to ?under,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
OAKLAND at MINNESOTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Raiders 1-7 vs. line last eight away from Coliseum LY and now 2-13-2 vs. points last 17 away from home. Oakland also ?under? 9-3-1 last 13 away from Coliseum. Zimmer ?under? 15-5-1 since late 2017 reg season.
Tech Edge: ?Under? and Vikings, based on ?totals? and team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NY JETS at NEW ENGLAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Gase lost and failed to cover all three at Gillette Stadium while with Dolphins, and his Miami teams were just 8-14-1 as dog the past two seasons. Jets also routed last three at Foxborough as home team 7-1-1 last nine in series. Also last six ?under? in series. Belichick 18-7 vs. spread reg season at home since 2016.
Tech Edge: Patriots and ?under,? based on team and series trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
MIAMI at DALLAS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Miami no covers last five since late 2018 and 2-11 vs. spread last 13 on road. Dak 6-2-1 last nine as host.
Tech Edge: Cowboys, based on team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NY GIANTS at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Eli was 6-1 as road dog LY before losing in opener at Cowboys. Eli ?over? 7-3 last ten since late 2018. Bucs 1-6 last seven as home chalk and ?under? 7-1 last eight since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Giants and ?under,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CAROLINA at ARIZONA (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Cam on 2-8 spread skid since late 2018. Panthers 2-8 vs. line last ten away, and ?under? 5-2 last seven since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Cards and ?under,? based on Panthers trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ORLEANS at SEATTLE (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Note Saints were 3-0 as dog LY with a healthy Brees (check status here) and prior to last week were 20-8-1 as dog since 2014. Saints also ?under? 9-3 last 11 away.
Tech Edge: "Under" and slight to Saints (if dog and Brees plays), based on ?totals? and trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
HOUSTON at LA CHARGERS (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Texans on 8-3-1 spread run last 12 reg season. Also ?over? last four on road. Bolts just 2-7 vs. spread at Carson since LY.
Tech Edge: Texans and slight to ?over,? based on team and ?totals? trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
PITTSBURGH at SAN FRANCISCO (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Steel 0-4 as road chalk LY, though 4-1 as road dog since LY. Tomlin 2-7 last nine vs. line since late 2018. Niners 2-0 SU and vs. line in 2019.
Tech Edge: 49ers, based on recent trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
LA RAMS at CLEVELAND (NBC, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Rams 10-6 vs. spread last 16 as visitor, while Browns 3-1 as home dog LY. Rams ?under? 7-2 last 9 away from Coliseum.
Tech Edge: Slight to ?under,? based on ?totals? trends.


MONDAY, SEPT. 23

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CHICAGO at WASHINGTON (ESPN, 8:15 p.m. ET)
Jay Gruden was 5-1 as dog before QB injuries mounted in 2018, now 1-1 as dog in 2019. Bears ?under? last 9 since late 2018.
Tech Edge: Redskins and ?under,? based on team and ?totals? trends.
 

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Newton sits out practice with foot injury
September 17, 2019
By The Associated Press


CHARLOTTE, N.C. (AP) Cam Newton's status for Sunday's game at Arizona is uncertain after the 2015 league MVP reaggravated a mid-foot sprain.

Newton did not practice Tuesday and Panthers coach Ron Rivera gave no timetable for his QB's potential return, saying ''He's going to get his treatment, we'll see how he feels and we'll adjust to it as we go through it.''

Rivera said backup Kyle Allen would make his second career NFL start for the Panthers against Arizona if Newton isn't able to play. Rivera said that means the Panthers (0-2) will have to circle the wagons with four of their next five games on the road.

''Does it change things (if Newton is out)? Yes, it changes things dramatically,'' Rivera said. ''If we're going to go to end up going with Kyle for a while, yes, we have to find out who we are with him as the quarterback. And going on the road it is going to be a little bit of a challenge.''

Rivera said he first learned that Newton's foot was sore after Carolina's 20-14 loss to the Buccaneers Thursday night, although he told reporters after the game ''don't worry about the foot.'' After four days of rest and treatment, Newton reported to the team's headquarters on Tuesday morning but didn't feel ready to practice.

''He's going to do everything he can to get back out as soon as he can,'' Rivera said.

Newton was not made available for comment Tuesday.

The 30-year-old Newton originally sprained his left foot in Carolina's third preseason game against the Patriots but returned to practice in time for the regular season opener. The Panthers have since stumbled to a poor start, losing to the Rams and Buccaneers at home.

Newton's lack of production has been a major reason why.

He ranks 31st in the NFL in passer efficiency rating (71) among qualifying QBs and has completed just 56 percent of his passes for 572 yards with no touchdown passes and one interception. As a runner, Newton hasn't been effective either, carrying five times for minus-2 yards with two fumbles, leading to some questions about his long-term future with the team.

Newton has not thrown or run for a touchdown in his last four games dating back to last season when he was plagued by shoulder injuries.

He joins a list of high-profile NFL quarterbacks who could be on the sideline this weekend.

Pittsburgh's Ben Roethlisberger (elbow) is out for the season, New Orleans' Drew Brees (hand) is out indefinitely, Jacksonville's Nick Foles (collarbone) is on injured reserve and Eli Manning of the New York Giants has been benched.

Panthers safety Eric Reid said if Newton is out any length of time he would ''welcome'' the team signing former 49ers teammate Colin Kaepernick, who remains a free agent. But Reid expressed little hope that would happen, reiterating that he feels league owners won't sign Kaepernick because of his stance on protesting racial and social injustice.

''The Panthers have not approached me about Colin, but I would welcome that,'' Reid said. ''As you alluded to, there are a lot of quarterbacks around the league who are in need of a quarterback. Colin is sitting by his phone.''

However, Rivera said he doesn't expect the Panthers to sign an experienced quarterback at this time, even though Allen and rookie Will Grier only have one career start between them.

''I don't think so,'' Rivera said. ''The guys we have here, we brought them here for a reason.''

Allen's only NFL start came in Week 17 of last season when he led the Panthers to a 33-14 win over the playoff-bound Saints, completing 16 of 27 passes for 266 yards with three total touchdowns.

''Kyle balled last year,'' said Panthers wide receiver Jarius Wright. ''He came in fully committed to being the starting quarterback and he did his job. He also gave us a chance to do our jobs. Any time that happens you can live with that. It's that next man up mentality.''
 

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Browns better under bright lights, but many problems remain
September 17, 2019


CLEVELAND (AP) Once Odell Beckham switched on the afterburners and jetted away from the Jets for the longest touchdown of his career, the Browns put a disappointing loss and an emotional week behind them.

They can breathe again. For a second.

Under the bright lights and back where he spent his first five NFL seasons, Beckham scored on an electrifying 89-yard play and made another one of those famous one-handed catches as the Browns eased some of the pressure on them with a 23-3 win Monday night over the New York Jets, who were missing their two best players and down to their third-string quarterback.

New York's misfortune was perfectly timed for the Browns (1-1), who had performed so poorly in their Week 1 loss to Tennessee.

This was better, but still not where the Browns want to be.

''We didn't play our best football,'' said Beckham, who had 161 yards receiving but couldn't escape more drama, this time with an illegal helmet visor. ''But we got the `W' and that's all that matters.''

There are still some major issues for rookie coach Freddie Kitchens to address. Cleveland cut its penalties from Week 1 in half, dropping from a mind-boggling 18 to 9, but star defensive end Myles Garrett offset a career-high three sacks with five penalties - two for roughing.

Quarterback Baker Mayfield and the Browns' offense isn't hitting on all cylinders, and Kitchens is still searching for the right passing-running balance as he juggles play calling and other duties.

The Browns, though, avoided an 0-2 start that could have upended their season and made a brutal stretch ahead - Cleveland's next five opponents are all 2-0 - even tougher.

''Consistency for us is the goal right now,'' said Mayfield, who completed 19 of 35 passes for a misleading 325 yards. ''That falls back on me. We are just scratching the surface.''

WHAT'S WORKING

Cleveland's defensive front four, led by the ferocious Garrett, devastated New York's offensive line from the start. The Jets couldn't protect Trevor Siemian, who started in place of an ill Sam Darnold.

WHAT NEEDS HELP

Kitchens seems to be trying too hard to make all his skill players happy, when he should probably be getting the ball more to Nick Chubb.

The second-year running back had 22 touches - 18 carries for 62 yards and a 19-yard TD, four receptions for 36 yards. But the Browns are often lined up with five receivers, and Kitchens put Mayfield in harm's way by having him throw late in the game despite a three-score lead.

''We need to get the ball out of his hands quicker,'' Kitchens said. ''He is taking too many hits. I do not like my quarterback to take hits. I need to get the ball out of his hands quicker.''

STOCK UP

Garrett's goal is to be NFL Defensive Player of the Year, and he's the early leader.

With five sacks in two games, Garrett has set the tone for his season, but he might need to slow down a tad. He was twice flagged for late hits on Siemian, who suffered a season-ending ankle injury on the second penalty.

Both infractions were suspect, but the league is cracking down on hits to QBs and Garrett must avoid being labeled dirty or reckless.

STOCK DOWN

Mayfield has been inaccurate and hesitant through two games. Now that teams have more tape to watch on him, Mayfield is being shown different defensive looks and he's been slow to adjust.

He was off target on Cleveland's first series, missing a wide-open Jarvis Landry on third down and wasted some other potential big plays by leaving the pocket early.

''He just missed some of the throws,'' said Kitchens, who got a little defensive about his QB on a teleconference. ''Some of the angles were off. Just overall, just missing throws. He is not going to make every throw. I have to do a better job of creating better throws for him.''

INJURED

Tight end David Njoku suffered a concussion in the first half when Mayfield hung him out with a high pass and he was undercut. ... Chubb briefly left the game, but Kitchens said he only got the wind knocked out of him.

KEY NUMBER

21.7 mph - That's how fast Beckham was clocked running on his long TD, a speed that would warrant a traffic ticket in school zones.

NEXT STEPS

The Browns passed their first prime-time test, but they'll face a much bigger challenge this week against the defending NFC champion Los Angeles Rams on Sunday night.

Kitchens felt his team played with more ''passion and not off emotion'' against the Jets.

It was a small step forward for the Browns, who couldn't afford to take another one sideways.
 

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Can the Cowboys or Patriots break the betting curse of the NFL's biggest favorites?
Jason Logan

Despite decades of dominance, it would seem the one thing Tom Brady & Co. can?t conquer is the 20-plus mountain at the sportsbook. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS when giving 20 or more points to opponents.

A 20-point favorite in the NFL is somewhat like a Siberian tiger: you know they?re out there, but you don?t see them often.

Well, someone better call National Geographic because Week 3 of the NFL season features not one ? but two 20-point faves on Sunday?s odds board. The New England Patriots are currently 22.5-point home favorites hosting the New York Jets and the Dallas Cowboys are giving 21.5 points to the visiting Miami Dolphins.

The Patriots are no strangers to lofty pointspreads. New England just breezed through an 18-point spread on the road against the Dolphins last Sunday, cruising to a 43-0 victory (setting the table for the Miami-Dallas line), and going back to 1984 has been a favorite of 20-plus points four times in that span.

However, despite all the Super Bowl rings and decades of dominance, it would seem the one thing Tom Brady & Co. can?t conquer is the 20-plus mountain at the sportsbook. The Patriots are 0-4 ATS when giving 20 or more points to opponents, which is par for the course when it comes to these monumental handicaps.

In that same 35-year span (our Covers databases goes back as far as 1984), there have been seven NFL favorites of 20 points or more and none of those teams have covered the spread: a perfect 0-7 ATS for the greatest betting mismatches in NFL history.

Here?s a quick rundown of those odds and results:

October 13, 2013 - Jacksonville at Denver (-26.5): Denver 35-19
December 12, 2011 ? Indianapolis at New England (-20.5) ? New England 31-24
December 23, 2007 ? Miami at New England (-22) ? New England 28-7
December 16, 2007 ? N.Y. Jets at New England (-20.5) ? New England 20-10
November 25, 2007 ? Philadelphia at New England (-24) ? New England 31-28
December 5, 1993 ? Cincinnati at San Francisco (-24) ? San Francisco 21-8
October 11, 1987 ? Atlanta at San Francisco (-23.5) ? San Francisco 25-17
 

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Wednesday?s 6-pack

NFL trends for Week 3:

? Falcons are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games vs AFC opponents.

? Eagles covered twice in last nine games as a home favorite.

? Vikings are 20-5-1 ATS in last 26 games as a home favorite.

? Denver is 4-12 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog.

? Patriots covered 12 of last 14 games as a home favorite.

? Raiders covered their last six road openers.

Tweet of the Day
?Eli and I spoke this morning. I told him that we are making a change and going with Daniel as the starter. I also talked to Daniel. Eli was obviously disappointed, as you would expect, but he said he would be what he has always been, a good teammate, and continue to prepare to help this team win games???
Giants? coach Pat Shurmur

Wednesday?s quiz
Who was the Giants? head coach before Pat Shurmur?

Tuesday?s quiz
Jeff Fisher coached the Tennessee Titans in their only Super Bowl appearance.

Monday?s quiz
Chris Chandler was the Atlanta Falcons? QB the first time they played in a Super Bowl, when they lost to Denver

***************************

Wednesday?s List of 13: Mid-week musings??

13) NFL trends; over last 20 years, 11 NFL teams started their season 0-2, with both losses at home; those teams went 4-6-1 vs spread in their Week 3 road game.

This week, Jets, Panthers, Dolphins fit the bill.

12) Since 2005, NFL Week 3 home teams who played their first two games on the road are 11-28-2 vs spread; 6-22-2 when favored, 5-6 as an underdog.

49ers, Colts, Bills, Jets fit the bill this week.

11) Daniel Jones is starting at QB for the Giants Sunday in Tampa; last time Eli Manning got benched, that coach got fired a few weeks later, and Eli started again. We?ll see how this goes, but Jones doesn?t play defense, which is the Giants? biggest problem.

10) Submitted for your perusal, with no comment:
Jim Plunkett: 72-72 regular season, 8-2 playoffs, two Super Bowls.
Eli Manning: 116-116 regular season, 8-4 playoffs, two Super Bowls.

9) Steelers signed QB Paxton Lynch to their practice squad; he figures to be Mason Rudolph?s backup sooner than later.

8) NFC West teams are 7-1 against the spread so far this season.

7) MAC teams are 4-12 ATS as a road underdog outside their conference.

6) Nation-wide, home underdogs are 11-18 ATS in non-conference college games.

5) Pretty cool with Giants? OF Mike Yastrzemski in Boston this week, playing on the same field where his Hall of Fame grandfather played from 1961-83.

Carl Yastrzemski hit 452 homers playing half his games in a ballpark not built for lefty hitters; he had an .841 career OPS.

Mike Yastrzemski was traded from the sadsack Orioles to San Francisco on March 23; he is hitting .263 with 19 homers in a breakout rookie season- this should be a fun week for him.

4) Cardinals beat Washington 4-2 Monday night, but St Louis pitchers struck out only one batter the whole game, which in this day and age is pretty rare.

3) Sean Payton agreed to a 5-year contract extension that takes him through 2024, which would be his 19th season coaching the Saints.

2) New England is -22.5 against the Jets; how many points would you have to get before you would take the Jets?

Dolphins are +21 at Dallas; when was last time two NFL teams got 20+ points in the same week?

1) Big X teams are 13-4 ATS out of conference this season, 9-2 as a favorite.
 

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NFL Week 3

Titans (1-1) @ Jaguars (0-2)? Jacksonville lost its first two games; star CB Ramsey wants to be traded. QB Minshew was 23-33/178 in his first NFL start. Jaguars are 8-6 in last 14 games as a home underdog; they don?t have a takeaway yet (-3 in TO?s), scored only 21 points in five trips to red zone. Titans converted only 3-20 third down plays; they?re +5 in turnovers in two games. Tennessee won last four series games, winning 37-16/9-6 in last two visits here; they waxed Jaguars 9-6/30-9 in LY?s meetings. Last eight years, Titans are 5-18-1 ATS in AFC South road games; since ?14, Titans are 12-20-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points- they?re 3-6-1 in last 10 games as a road favorite.

Broncos (0-2) @ Packers (2-0)? Broncos lost first two games, outscored 20-3 in first half; Denver is only the 4th team in last 50 years to have no sacks or takeaways in their first two games. Since 2012, Broncos are 6-12 ATS as a road underdog. Denver has two TDs, six FG tries in first two games; they?ve scored only 27 points in seven trips to red zone. Green Bay won two division games to begin season, allowing two TD?s on 26 drives, but Packers have scored only one FG in second half- they didn?t score at all after 2nd drive of game LW. Packers are 21-12-2 ATS in last 35 games as a home favorite. Home team is 11-1-1 in this series; Denver lost last four visits here, with three losses by 26+ points.

Lions (1-0-1) @ Eagles (1-1)? Detroit blew 24-6 4th quarter lead in tying its opener, then upset Chargers 13-10 LW, picking off Rivers pass in end zone with 1:03 left. Since ?12, Lions are 16-20 ATS as road underdogs- they?re 8-12 in last 20 games as non-division road dogs. Eagles split their first two games, giving up 8.0/7.0 yards/pass attempt. Philly converted 20-35 third down plays- they trailed both games at halftime; Iggles won field position by 7-16 yards. Eagle opponents threw 88 passes, ran ball only 30 times in first two games. Philly covered twice in last nine games as a home favorite. Detroit won three of last four series games, but lost five of last six visits here (last here in ?13).

Ravens (2-0) @ Chiefs (2-0)? Baltimore won its first two games, running ball for 447 yards (QB Jackson ran for 120 yards vs Arizona LW); they?ve converted 14-25 on 3rd down, haven?t turned ball over (+3). Ravens are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog. Chiefs scored eight TD?s on 19 drives in their first two games, averaging 11.1/9.4 yds/pass attempt; they?ve had 15 plays already of 20+ yards. KC is 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite; they covered only twice in last eight home openers. Chiefs won last two series games (34-14/27-24 OT) but Ravens won three of last four visits here.

Bengals (0-2) @ Bills (2-0)? Buffalo won four of last five series games, four of which were decided by 4 or fewer points. Cincy covered seven of last nine games as road underdogs; they lost first two games this year, scoring only 16 points in six trips to red zone. Bengals ran ball only 33 times, threw it 93 times in Taylor?s first two games as HC. Buffalo won its first two games, both in Swamp; Bills are 10-5-1 in last 16 games as a HF, but since ?05, Week 3 HF?s who played their first two games on road are 6-22-2 ATS. Buffalo had decent balance in its first two games, running for 279 yards, throwing for 479, converting 10-23 on third down.

Falcons (1-1) @ Colts (1-1)
? Colts split their first two road games, converting 14-27 third down plays, running ball for 370 yards; Brissett completed 69.1% of his passes, at 6.1 yards/attempt. Last two years, Indy is 5-3-1 ATS as a home favorite. Colts are 11-5 ATS in last 16 games vs NFC teams. Atlanta split first two games, turning ball over six times (-3), running ball only 34 times while throwing 89 times. Falcons are 0-10 ATS in last 10 games vs AFC foes, 1-7 ATS in last eight games as road underdogs; Atlanta lost three of four visits here, winning last one 31-7 in 2011. Falcons are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games outside NFC South.

Raiders (1-1) @ Vikings (1-1)? Minnesota covered 15 of last 20 games vs AFC opponents; they?re 20-5-1 ATS in last 26 games as a HF. Vikings ran ball for 370 yards in splitting first two games, but completed only 14-32 passes in loss at Lambeau LW. Oakland doesn?t play at home again until Nov 3; Raiders split two division home games, converting 16-28 on 3rd down. Last two years, Oakland is 3-12-1 ATS as road underdogs, 5-12-3 ATS overall outside AFC West- they?re 0-5 ATS in last five games on artificial turf. Oakland covered its last six road openers. Raiders won three of last four visits here; they?re 10-5 overall vs Vikings. Oakland gets G Incognito back from suspension, which helps their OL.

Jets (0-2) @ Patriots (2-0)? Patriots won six in row, 14 of last 16 games vs NYJ, winning last eight meetings here, last three by total of 105-12. NE covered 12 of last 14 games as a home favorite; they won first two games this year by combined 76-3. Patriots covered 15 of last 18 games when laying double digits- they haven?t allowed a TD yet this year, giving up one FG on 22 drives. Falk gets first NFL start here; he was 20-25/198 in his NFL debut vs Cleveland Monday; he was a 3-year starter in Pac-12, throwing 119 TD?s, 39 INT?s in three years at Wazzu. Gang Green has one TD on 22 drives this year, converting 9-31 on third down. Jets are 6-12-2 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.

Dolphins (0-2) @ Cowboys (2-0)? Miami traded DB Fitzpatrick to Steelers Monday, as exodus of Dolphins? good players continues. Miami was outscored 102-10 in first two games, just like the ?73 Saints, who rallied to finish year 5-9. Dolphins have seven turnovers (-6), 10 3/outs on 23 drives, and were outscored 47-0 in 2nd half of games. Cowboys have to avoid overconfidence after pair of NFC East wins; Dallas scored 35-31 points in first two games, converting 13-21 on third down, scoring nine TD?s on 17 drives. Miami covered its last four road openers; over last 20 years, Week 3 road teams who lost their first two games at home are 4-6-1 ATS. Dallas won last three series meetings, by 17-1-10 points; Miami is 5-3 SU in visits here.

Giants (0-2) @ Buccaneers (1-1)? Rookie QB Jones gets first NFL start here; how he does is anyone?s guess. Giants have no takeaways yet (-4), allowed 12.7/7.2 yards/pass attempt in first two losses, by 18-14 points (NYG scored first in both games). Opponents have six TD?s on six trips to red zone. Big Blue covered eight of last nine games as a road dog outside the NFC East. Tampa Bay had extra rest after a Thursday win LW; since 2014, Buccaneers are 4-14 ATS as a home favorite. Teams split last two meetings, that were decided by total of five points. Giants won six of last seven series games, winning three of last four visits here. Line jumped 2.5 points wth rookie Jones announced as Giants? QB.

Panthers (0-2) @ Cardinals (0-1-1)? Cam Newton (foot) is a ??mark here; his backup is Kyle Allen, who won his only start 33-14 in Week 17 LY vs New Orleans (16-27/228 yards). Carolina is 6-16-1 ATS in its last 23 road games; they won last three games vs Arizona but lost 28-21/22-6 in last two visits here- home side won last six series games. Cardinals were outscored 34-6 in first half in their two games (0-1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS); they?re 14-18-1 ATS in last 33 home games. NFC West teams covered seven of first eight games this season; NFC South teams are 1-5 ATS outside their division. Over last 20 years, Week 3 road teams who lost their first two games at home are 4-6-1 ATS.

Steelers (0-2) @ 49ers (2-0)? Rudolph makes first NFL start; he was on Pitt?s bench LY, so he knows the system? he was a 3-year starter at Oklahoma State, was 12-19/112 vs Seattle LW, throwing two TD?s. Steeler defense gets boost, acquiring DB Fitzpatrick Monday; he?ll start here, but Pitt is 0-2 for first time since 2013 (started 0-4, ended up 8-8). Steelers covered five of last six tries as a road dog. 49ers opened with two road wins; they?re 4-11 ATS in last 15 tries as home favorites. Home side won last four series games; Steelers lost three of last four trips to SF. Niners covered seven of last nine games vs AFC teams. Since ?05, Week 3 HF?s who played their first two games on road are 6-22-2 ATS.

Saints (1-1) @ Seahawks (2-0)? Brees has missed only three games since 2006, so this is huge change for Saints; Bridgewater was 17-11 starting for Minnesota in 2014-15- he was 17-30/165 in relief LW in 27-9 loss to Rams. NO is 14-8-1 ATS in last 23 games as a road underdog. How they adjust their offense with Brees out will be interesting to see; will they use #3 QB Hill and run the option a little? Saints ran ball for only 57 yards LW. Seahawks are 4-8-1 in last 13 games as a home favorite; they?ve scored four TD?s in four trips to red zone this year. Seattle won three of last four series games; 2 of the 3 wins were in playoffs. Saints lost last three visits here, by 5-27-8 points. Seattle is 8-3-2 ATS in its last 13 non-division games.

Texans (1-1) @ Chargers (1-1)? Houston split its first two games- they were decided by total of 3 points; Texans covered four of last five tries as a road underdog, are 11-8-1 ATS in last 20 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Houston hasn?t allowed a first half TD yet; they converted 13 of 28 3rd down plays. Banged-up Chargers won opener in OT, then threw INT in end zone with 1:03 left in 13-10 loss at Detroit LW. Bolts are 5-9 ATS as a home favorite in Carson; they scored only 20 points in six visits to red zone this year. Chargers won five of last six series games; last meeting was in ?16. This is Texans? first visit here since ?13. Texans covered seven of last nine as a road dog outside their division.

Rams (2-0) @ Browns (1-1)? LA won first two games, not allowing first half TD;; this is second week in row Rams are playing team coming off a Monday night win, third week in row Rams are favored by 3 or fewer points- they?re 6-7 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or less. Under McVay, LA is 8-5 ATS as a road favorite. Cleveland split pair of routs to start season; they?re only 5-23 on 3rd down so far, but hit an 89-yard TD to Beckham Monday night. Browns are 7-15-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home underdog. Rams won four of last five series games, winning 26-20/13-12 in last two visits here (last here in ?11). NFC West teams were 7-1 ATS in Weeks 1-2.

Bears (1-1) @ Redskins (0-2)? Chicago scored only one TD on 21 drives in its first two games, converting 6-26 on 3rd down; Bears got a 54-yard FG at the gun LW for its first win, temporarily ending their kicking dilemma. Last 5+ years, Bears are 3-4 as road favorites. Redskins allowed 32-31 points in losing pair of division games; they allowed 7.8/8.4 yards/pass attempt, giving up three TD plays of 50+ yards. Skins are 5-7 ATS in last dozen tries as a home underdog. Washington won last seven series games, with five of seven by 4 or fewer points. Bears lost last three visits here, by 2-8-5 points (last visit here in ?13). Skins covered nine of last 12 non-division games.
 

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By: Josh Inglis


FOURNETTE-ME-NOT

The Houston Texans game-planned against Jacksonville Jaguars running back Leonard Fournette last week and almost got beat by rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew. Look for the Tennessee Titans to take Minshew more seriously, allowing Fournette to get a little less attention and have better results than 87 yards on 19 touches.

The Jags RB has been a workhorse in the early season playing 115 of 125 snaps, taking 28 of 29 backfield carries and receiving 12 of 13 backfield targets. The pair of Minshew and Fournette will also have another week, although a short one, to familiarize themselves with each other.

We are going to take the Over on Fournette?s total yards (receiving and rushing) against a Titans team that surrendered 188 yards on 38 touches ? 4.94 yards per touch ? to Indianapolis running backs last week. We?re comfortable taking the Over on any number below 110 yards (rushing yards total at 70.5 O/U) as we look for Fournette to have his best game to date in 2019.


KANSAS WITH WOLVES

Start off the week off with an easy, non-prop wager that should be locked in sooner rather than later. There?s a lot of value in taking early lines and if you are looking for some help in the early week, check out Covers? weekly Opening Line Report podcast as well as Bet Now/Bet Later. Just two more useful tools to add to your repertoire.

The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs matchup is the biggest game of the week. The must-see tilt will showcase two of the league?s top early MVP candidates in Kansas City?s Patrick Mahomes (+250) and Baltimore?s Lamar Jackson (+1600).

The Chiefs opened as 5.5-point favorites and that number moved quickly up to 6.5 and up to 7 on some books. If you think it?s a good spot to take the Ravens (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) by nearly a touchdown you may want to rethink that.

A big indicator is the quality of opponent faced this year. There is a lot of buzz about Baltimore but keep in mind that they beat the Dolphins ? barely counts as a win ? and struggled to put away a rookie quarterback and head coach in Arizona.

Baltimore allowed Kyler Murray to pass for 349 yards and look susceptible in the secondary. This doesn?t bode well for the Ravens as the Chiefs sport a league-best 403 passing yards per game - 63 yards better than second place.

Arrowhead Stadium will be rocking as the Ravens will be walking into the Chiefs? home opener. We are going to get on the Chiefs at -6.5 now rather than later.


DRAWN AND QUARTERED

With everyone likely tuning into the Ravens and Chiefs for their 1 p.m. ET pleasure, here?s another prop that will impress your fellow watchers as you awkwardly fist pump what could be a meaningless field goal.

The Chiefs got blanked in the second half in Oakland last week, but that was after four TDs in the second quarter and a three-score lead. Kansas City will have to keep its foot on the accelerator this Sunday as they know that the Baltimore offense can put up points in a hurry.

Assuming the Chiefs will not slow their offensive juggernaut down, jump on Kansas City Chiefs to score every quarter (+120). Baltimore allowed the Cardinals to score in every quarter last week and it will only be more difficult at Arrowhead this Sunday.


KICKING WITH CONFIDENCE

Eddy ?The Haberno? Pi?eiro is the darling of Chicago after last week?s 53-yard, game-winning kick in Denver. The kicker made all three of his attempts in the thin air and is 4 for 4 to start the year.

As the title suggests, Pi?eiro will be kicking with confidence entering his Week 3 matchup versus the Washington Redskins, who have allowed over 900 yards to two very good offenses. Thankfully, the Chicago is not a good offense - not even close.

Expect Mitch Trubisky and the offense to sputter on Monday under the lights, leaving the rookie kicker to clean up the mess. We like two plays here and are 4-0 on kicking props to start the year. For the ?Safe Sallys?, take Chicago first score method as a field goal (+110), and for the rest take Chicago Over 2.5 FGs (+225).


DOWN WITH THE DOLPHINS

The books have caught on to our ?Fade the Fish? betting strategies (2-0 to start the year) as their Under 1.5 total TDs has plummeted to -175 after being -120 the last two weeks. We will be looking at a couple of first-half props instead, that may hold more value.

With the possibility of Dallas jumping out to a big lead early, the Cowboys may be inclined to rest some players in the second half. The Dallas defense has allowed one first-half TD in both of its games this year and will have a good chance of blanking the warm-blooded mammals at home. Miami managed to move the chains just twice in the first half last week while going three-and-out on four of five possessions in the first 30 minutes.

Dolphins head coach Brian Flores has named Ryan Fitzpatrick as the Week 3 starter. Through two games, Fitzpatrick has a 27.3 percent uncatchable pass rate ? good (well, not so good) for third-worst in the league. He also sits in last with a 50 percent completion rate and has a sub-40 passer rating. It must suck to be Josh Rosen.

The Under 0.5 first-half TDs is where we?re putting our money at -110. The Dolphins? team total Under 6.5 (-110) is also something to consider as an alternative. Good luck with your Fins fades.
 

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NFL Betting Trends through Week 2:

Road Teams: 21-10-1 ATS
Home Teams: 10-21-1 ATS

Favorites: 13-18-1 ATS
Underdogs: 18-13-1 ATS

Home Faves: 5-13-1 ATS
Home Dogs: 5-8 ATS

Road Faves: 8-5 ATS
Road Dogs: 13-5-1 ATS

Over/Under: 12-20
 

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TNF - Titans at Jaguars
Kevin Rogers

LAST WEEK

One week after the Titans (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) blew out the Browns to open the season, Tennessee dropped its first game of 2019 in a 19-17 setback to Indianapolis. The Titans were flipped from a 5 ?-point road underdog at Cleveland to a three-point home favorite against the Colts. Tennessee failed to start 2-0 for the 11th straight season, while losing in Week 2 for the first time since 2015.

The Titans have allowed only 32 points in two games, which ranks sixth in the NFL, while yielding 288 yards to the Colts. However, Tennessee trailed at halftime, 13-7 before scoring 10 consecutive points to take a 17-13 advantage heading into the fourth quarter. Jacoby Brissett hit T.Y. Hilton on a four-yard touchdown strike to put the Colts ahead with under five minutes remaining to improve to 14-2 in the last 16 matchups with the Titans.

Marcus Mariota threw for 248 yards and three touchdowns in the season-opening blowout of the Browns, but racked up only 154 yards against Indianapolis. Derrick Henry eclipsed the 80-yard mark for the second consecutive week and reached the end zone for the second time in 2019, but not one Tennessee receiver compiled more than 39 yards receiving.

The Jaguars (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS) faced their second opponent last week that is coming off a division title in 2018, but had an excellent opportunity to win. After trailing 13-3 in the fourth quarter at Houston, Jacksonville kicked a field goal then got within one point on rookie Gardner Minshew?s touchdown pass to D.J. Chark, Jr. in the final minute. The Jaguars elected to go for the two-point conversion and the win, but running back Leonard Fournette was stuffed at the goal-line and Jacksonville lost, 13-12.

Jacksonville managed the cover as 7 ?-point underdogs, but the offense didn?t bust the 300-yard mark, while Minshew threw for 213 yards in his first professional start in place of the injured Nick Foles. Minshew actually rushed for more yards (56) than Fournette (47) on less attempts, while the Jaguars? defense allowed one touchdown after yielding 40 points to Kansas City in Week 1.

The big drama surrounding the Jaguars has been the recent trade demand of Pro-Bowl cornerback Jalen Ramsey. The former Florida State standout wants out of Jacksonville in his fourth season with the Jaguars following a recent dustup with head coach Doug Marrone during the Houston loss. Jacksonville is off to an 0-2 start for the fifth time in eight seasons, but no team in the AFC South owns a 2-0 record.

AFC SOUTH BREAKDOWN

Only two weeks into the season and three of the four teams in the division have posted 1-1 records. The Colts, Titans, and Texans are 1-1, while the Jaguars are 0-2. However, Jacksonville is the only team in this group to play two playoff teams from last season in its first two games. The schedule eases up the next six weeks as the Jaguars will face Denver and Carolina on the road (both winless through two weeks), host New Orleans without Drew Brees, travel to Cincinnati, and welcome in the Jets in Week 8 before three straight divisional matchups.

Tennessee plays seven straight non-division opponents after Thursday as the Titans head to Atlanta in Week 4 before hosting Buffalo in Week 5. The Titans face a pair of AFC West foes in Week 6 (Denver) and Week 7 (L.A. Chargers) before taking on the Buccaneers at home in Week 8 and at Carolina in Week 9.

HOME/ROAD SPLITS

The Titans were favored on the road three times in 2018, as Tennessee put together a 1-2 SU/ATS record in those games. Tennessee lost at Miami and Buffalo, but the Titans cruised past the Giants in Week 15 with a 17-0 shutout of 2 ?-point favorites.

Since upsetting New England in Week 2 last season, the Jaguars own a 2-6 record in their last eight home contests (which includes a 24-18 defeat in London to the Eagles), while Jacksonville is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 opportunities in the underdog role.

SERIES HISTORY

Tennessee swept Jacksonville last season to extend its winning streak in the series to four games since 2017. The Titans limited the Jaguars to a total of 15 points in the two victories, starting with a 9-6 triumph as 10-point underdogs at TIAA Bank Field in Week 3. Neither team reached the end zone as Ryan Succop knocked down three field goals in the victory for Tennessee, while Mariota and Henry combined for 108 yards rushing.

The Titans cruised to a 30-9 blowout of the Jaguars at Nissan Stadium in December to easily cash as 5 ?-point favorites. Henry had his breakout game as a pro as the Heisman Trophy winner rushed for 238 yards and four touchdowns, which included a 99-yard scamper in the second quarter. Jacksonville last beat Tennessee, 38-17 in Week 16 of the 2016 season as four-point home underdogs.

TOTAL TALK

Chris David, a weekly guest on the Bet and Collect Podcast, offered up his total notes for this particular matchup and he touches on the early trend that we?ve seen in primetime spots this season.

He explained, ?Bettors playing the ?under? blindly in the night games have watched their bankroll grow with the low side going 6-1 through seven games. And the lone ?over? ticket in the Saints-Texans matchup was helped with 41 points in the second-half and 13 of those came in the final minute.?

For savvy bettors keeping track of halftime wagers, the ?under? has gone 7-0 in the night games. In the second-half of those same contests, we?ve seen more points but the ?under? still holds a 4-3 mark.

Even though this total is sitting in the high thirties, David noted that this series has leaned to the ?over? recently and an offensive outburst is possible.

?The high side has cashed in five of the last seven meetings in this series, which includes a split last season,? David noted. ?Digging deeper, I looked at Mariota?s numbers versus the Jaguars in his career and he owns a 6-2 record in games that he?s started or played in. What?s eye-opening about those eight games is that every season, Mariota and the Titans have been hit or miss offensively. The team posted 30 and 9 in 2018 versus the Jaguars, 37 and 15 in 2017 before scoring 36 and 17 in 2016."

"Going back to his rookie year, the Titans scores 13 and 42. What offense shows up this week is obviously uncertain but this angle should be kept in your betting memory bank when the pair meet later in the season.?

Jacksonville will meet Tennessee in Week 12 at Nissan Stadium from Nashville.

Another notable trend to watch for Thursday is that Tennessee has watched the ?over? cash in seven straight night games going back to the 2016 season while Jacksonville is on a 3-0 ?over? run in primetime spots during the same span.

HANDICAPPER?S CORNER

NFL expert Joe Nelson checks in this week on this matchup as he looks how Jacksonville can exploit Tennessee?s defense, ?As expected, Tennessee has good defensive numbers allowing 5.0 yards per play (9th in the NFL), but surprisingly the Titans have struggled against the run by giving up 5.0 yards per rush to offset very strong pass defense numbers. Jacksonville?s defense has been vulnerable against the pass through two weeks, allowing 8.2 yards per attempt (25th in the NFL) while performing better against the run. Having to play Kansas City in Week 1 certainly weighs on the numbers for the Jaguars who could still project as one of the better defensive teams in the AFC.?

From Jacksonville?s standpoint with Minshew making his second start, Nelson points out his numbers haven?t been bad, but the Jags need to score more, ?Minshew has been more than adequate with nearly 78 percent completions and 8.4 yards per attempt and just one interception while also offering some mobility but ultimately the Jaguars have only scored 38 points in two games. Last season, six of the team?s 11 losses came by six or fewer points and the Jaguars had two SU wins vs. playoff teams at home.?

FIRST HALF/SECOND HALF BETS

After the Chiefs covered both the first and second halves in the season opener, the Jaguars rebounded by covering each half in the Texans? loss. The Titans have covered in three of four halves this season with first and second half wins at Cleveland, while cashing in the second half against Indianapolis last Sunday.

Tennessee has hit the ?under? in three of four halves, with the lone ?over? cashing in the second half of the Cleveland game. Jacksonville saw the ?over? cash in each half of the Kansas City loss, but the ?under? connected in both halves of the Houston defeat.

LINE MOVEMENT

When CG Technologies released their weekly odds in June for every game in the NFL season (for the exception of Week 17), the Jaguars were listed as a three-point favorite against the Titans. Fast-forward to now and Tennessee is listed as a 1 ?-point favorite at CG Technologies. The total has dipped to 39, as the ?under? has cashed in six of seven primetime games this season.
 
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