NFL Week 3
Titans (1-1) @ Jaguars (0-2)? Jacksonville lost its first two games; star CB Ramsey wants to be traded. QB Minshew was 23-33/178 in his first NFL start. Jaguars are 8-6 in last 14 games as a home underdog; they don?t have a takeaway yet (-3 in TO?s), scored only 21 points in five trips to red zone. Titans converted only 3-20 third down plays; they?re +5 in turnovers in two games. Tennessee won last four series games, winning 37-16/9-6 in last two visits here; they waxed Jaguars 9-6/30-9 in LY?s meetings. Last eight years, Titans are 5-18-1 ATS in AFC South road games; since ?14, Titans are 12-20-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points- they?re 3-6-1 in last 10 games as a road favorite.
Broncos (0-2) @ Packers (2-0)? Broncos lost first two games, outscored 20-3 in first half; Denver is only the 4th team in last 50 years to have no sacks or takeaways in their first two games. Since 2012, Broncos are 6-12 ATS as a road underdog. Denver has two TDs, six FG tries in first two games; they?ve scored only 27 points in seven trips to red zone. Green Bay won two division games to begin season, allowing two TD?s on 26 drives, but Packers have scored only one FG in second half- they didn?t score at all after 2nd drive of game LW. Packers are 21-12-2 ATS in last 35 games as a home favorite. Home team is 11-1-1 in this series; Denver lost last four visits here, with three losses by 26+ points.
Lions (1-0-1) @ Eagles (1-1)? Detroit blew 24-6 4th quarter lead in tying its opener, then upset Chargers 13-10 LW, picking off Rivers pass in end zone with 1:03 left. Since ?12, Lions are 16-20 ATS as road underdogs- they?re 8-12 in last 20 games as non-division road dogs. Eagles split their first two games, giving up 8.0/7.0 yards/pass attempt. Philly converted 20-35 third down plays- they trailed both games at halftime; Iggles won field position by 7-16 yards. Eagle opponents threw 88 passes, ran ball only 30 times in first two games. Philly covered twice in last nine games as a home favorite. Detroit won three of last four series games, but lost five of last six visits here (last here in ?13).
Ravens (2-0) @ Chiefs (2-0)? Baltimore won its first two games, running ball for 447 yards (QB Jackson ran for 120 yards vs Arizona LW); they?ve converted 14-25 on 3rd down, haven?t turned ball over (+3). Ravens are 5-9-1 ATS in last 15 games as a road underdog. Chiefs scored eight TD?s on 19 drives in their first two games, averaging 11.1/9.4 yds/pass attempt; they?ve had 15 plays already of 20+ yards. KC is 9-6 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite; they covered only twice in last eight home openers. Chiefs won last two series games (34-14/27-24 OT) but Ravens won three of last four visits here.
Bengals (0-2) @ Bills (2-0)? Buffalo won four of last five series games, four of which were decided by 4 or fewer points. Cincy covered seven of last nine games as road underdogs; they lost first two games this year, scoring only 16 points in six trips to red zone. Bengals ran ball only 33 times, threw it 93 times in Taylor?s first two games as HC. Buffalo won its first two games, both in Swamp; Bills are 10-5-1 in last 16 games as a HF, but since ?05, Week 3 HF?s who played their first two games on road are 6-22-2 ATS. Buffalo had decent balance in its first two games, running for 279 yards, throwing for 479, converting 10-23 on third down.
Falcons (1-1) @ Colts (1-1)? Colts split their first two road games, converting 14-27 third down plays, running ball for 370 yards; Brissett completed 69.1% of his passes, at 6.1 yards/attempt. Last two years, Indy is 5-3-1 ATS as a home favorite. Colts are 11-5 ATS in last 16 games vs NFC teams. Atlanta split first two games, turning ball over six times (-3), running ball only 34 times while throwing 89 times. Falcons are 0-10 ATS in last 10 games vs AFC foes, 1-7 ATS in last eight games as road underdogs; Atlanta lost three of four visits here, winning last one 31-7 in 2011. Falcons are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games outside NFC South.
Raiders (1-1) @ Vikings (1-1)? Minnesota covered 15 of last 20 games vs AFC opponents; they?re 20-5-1 ATS in last 26 games as a HF. Vikings ran ball for 370 yards in splitting first two games, but completed only 14-32 passes in loss at Lambeau LW. Oakland doesn?t play at home again until Nov 3; Raiders split two division home games, converting 16-28 on 3rd down. Last two years, Oakland is 3-12-1 ATS as road underdogs, 5-12-3 ATS overall outside AFC West- they?re 0-5 ATS in last five games on artificial turf. Oakland covered its last six road openers. Raiders won three of last four visits here; they?re 10-5 overall vs Vikings. Oakland gets G Incognito back from suspension, which helps their OL.
Jets (0-2) @ Patriots (2-0)? Patriots won six in row, 14 of last 16 games vs NYJ, winning last eight meetings here, last three by total of 105-12. NE covered 12 of last 14 games as a home favorite; they won first two games this year by combined 76-3. Patriots covered 15 of last 18 games when laying double digits- they haven?t allowed a TD yet this year, giving up one FG on 22 drives. Falk gets first NFL start here; he was 20-25/198 in his NFL debut vs Cleveland Monday; he was a 3-year starter in Pac-12, throwing 119 TD?s, 39 INT?s in three years at Wazzu. Gang Green has one TD on 22 drives this year, converting 9-31 on third down. Jets are 6-12-2 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog.
Dolphins (0-2) @ Cowboys (2-0)? Miami traded DB Fitzpatrick to Steelers Monday, as exodus of Dolphins? good players continues. Miami was outscored 102-10 in first two games, just like the ?73 Saints, who rallied to finish year 5-9. Dolphins have seven turnovers (-6), 10 3/outs on 23 drives, and were outscored 47-0 in 2nd half of games. Cowboys have to avoid overconfidence after pair of NFC East wins; Dallas scored 35-31 points in first two games, converting 13-21 on third down, scoring nine TD?s on 17 drives. Miami covered its last four road openers; over last 20 years, Week 3 road teams who lost their first two games at home are 4-6-1 ATS. Dallas won last three series meetings, by 17-1-10 points; Miami is 5-3 SU in visits here.
Giants (0-2) @ Buccaneers (1-1)? Rookie QB Jones gets first NFL start here; how he does is anyone?s guess. Giants have no takeaways yet (-4), allowed 12.7/7.2 yards/pass attempt in first two losses, by 18-14 points (NYG scored first in both games). Opponents have six TD?s on six trips to red zone. Big Blue covered eight of last nine games as a road dog outside the NFC East. Tampa Bay had extra rest after a Thursday win LW; since 2014, Buccaneers are 4-14 ATS as a home favorite. Teams split last two meetings, that were decided by total of five points. Giants won six of last seven series games, winning three of last four visits here. Line jumped 2.5 points wth rookie Jones announced as Giants? QB.
Panthers (0-2) @ Cardinals (0-1-1)? Cam Newton (foot) is a ??mark here; his backup is Kyle Allen, who won his only start 33-14 in Week 17 LY vs New Orleans (16-27/228 yards). Carolina is 6-16-1 ATS in its last 23 road games; they won last three games vs Arizona but lost 28-21/22-6 in last two visits here- home side won last six series games. Cardinals were outscored 34-6 in first half in their two games (0-1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS); they?re 14-18-1 ATS in last 33 home games. NFC West teams covered seven of first eight games this season; NFC South teams are 1-5 ATS outside their division. Over last 20 years, Week 3 road teams who lost their first two games at home are 4-6-1 ATS.
Steelers (0-2) @ 49ers (2-0)? Rudolph makes first NFL start; he was on Pitt?s bench LY, so he knows the system? he was a 3-year starter at Oklahoma State, was 12-19/112 vs Seattle LW, throwing two TD?s. Steeler defense gets boost, acquiring DB Fitzpatrick Monday; he?ll start here, but Pitt is 0-2 for first time since 2013 (started 0-4, ended up 8-8). Steelers covered five of last six tries as a road dog. 49ers opened with two road wins; they?re 4-11 ATS in last 15 tries as home favorites. Home side won last four series games; Steelers lost three of last four trips to SF. Niners covered seven of last nine games vs AFC teams. Since ?05, Week 3 HF?s who played their first two games on road are 6-22-2 ATS.
Saints (1-1) @ Seahawks (2-0)? Brees has missed only three games since 2006, so this is huge change for Saints; Bridgewater was 17-11 starting for Minnesota in 2014-15- he was 17-30/165 in relief LW in 27-9 loss to Rams. NO is 14-8-1 ATS in last 23 games as a road underdog. How they adjust their offense with Brees out will be interesting to see; will they use #3 QB Hill and run the option a little? Saints ran ball for only 57 yards LW. Seahawks are 4-8-1 in last 13 games as a home favorite; they?ve scored four TD?s in four trips to red zone this year. Seattle won three of last four series games; 2 of the 3 wins were in playoffs. Saints lost last three visits here, by 5-27-8 points. Seattle is 8-3-2 ATS in its last 13 non-division games.
Texans (1-1) @ Chargers (1-1)? Houston split its first two games- they were decided by total of 3 points; Texans covered four of last five tries as a road underdog, are 11-8-1 ATS in last 20 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Houston hasn?t allowed a first half TD yet; they converted 13 of 28 3rd down plays. Banged-up Chargers won opener in OT, then threw INT in end zone with 1:03 left in 13-10 loss at Detroit LW. Bolts are 5-9 ATS as a home favorite in Carson; they scored only 20 points in six visits to red zone this year. Chargers won five of last six series games; last meeting was in ?16. This is Texans? first visit here since ?13. Texans covered seven of last nine as a road dog outside their division.
Rams (2-0) @ Browns (1-1)? LA won first two games, not allowing first half TD;; this is second week in row Rams are playing team coming off a Monday night win, third week in row Rams are favored by 3 or fewer points- they?re 6-7 ATS in last 13 games with spread of 3 or less. Under McVay, LA is 8-5 ATS as a road favorite. Cleveland split pair of routs to start season; they?re only 5-23 on 3rd down so far, but hit an 89-yard TD to Beckham Monday night. Browns are 7-15-1 ATS in last 23 games as a home underdog. Rams won four of last five series games, winning 26-20/13-12 in last two visits here (last here in ?11). NFC West teams were 7-1 ATS in Weeks 1-2.
Bears (1-1) @ Redskins (0-2)? Chicago scored only one TD on 21 drives in its first two games, converting 6-26 on 3rd down; Bears got a 54-yard FG at the gun LW for its first win, temporarily ending their kicking dilemma. Last 5+ years, Bears are 3-4 as road favorites. Redskins allowed 32-31 points in losing pair of division games; they allowed 7.8/8.4 yards/pass attempt, giving up three TD plays of 50+ yards. Skins are 5-7 ATS in last dozen tries as a home underdog. Washington won last seven series games, with five of seven by 4 or fewer points. Bears lost last three visits here, by 2-8-5 points (last visit here in ?13). Skins covered nine of last 12 non-division games.