NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 6
Friday?s games
Temple (3-2) @ Cincinnati (4-0)
? Temple lost 61-14 at Rutgers, 28-3 at home to BC.
? Owls scored 45-24 in I-A wins over Akron/Memphis.
? Temple has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Owls have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Owls have freshman QB with 6 starts- he was at Georgia LY.
? Temple is 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
? Bearcats won at Notre Dame LW; letdown alert here.
? Cincy allowed 17 ppg in its three I-A wins.
? Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Cincinnati has 48 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cincinnati has a junior QB with 39 career starts.
? Last three games, Bearcats are + 7 in turnovers.
? Cincinnati is 12-6-1 ATS in last 19 games as home favorite.
? Cincinnati needs to impress pollsters to make national playoff.
? Temple won four of last five series games.
? Teams didn?t meet last season.
? Owls covered their last five visits to Cincinnati.
Charlotte (3-2) @ Florida International (1-4)
? Charlotte lost 20-9 at Georgia State, 24-14 at Illinois.
? 49ers beat Duke 31-28, MTSU 42-39, both at home.
? 49ers allowed 298+ rushing yards in three of four I-A games.
? Charlotte has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? 49ers have 29 returning starts on offensive line.
? Charlotte has a junior QB with 29 starts.
? Under Healy, 49ers are 2-1 ATS as a road favorite.
? FIU is 0-4 in I-A games, giving up 41.8 ppg.
? FIU lost 59-21 at Florida Atlantic, giving up 704 TY.
? Last three games, they allowed 584-599-704 yards.
? Panthers have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? FIU has 22 returning starts on offensive line.
? Panthers have senior QB with 7 starts.
? Under Davis, FIU is 6-1 ATS as a home underdog.
? FIU won all five series series, all as the favorite (2-2-1 ATS).
? Charlotte ran ball for 232+ yards in last four meetings.
? Teams didn?t play last season.
Stanford (3-2) @ Arizona State (3-1)
? Stanford scored 42-41-31 points in wins, 7-24 in losses.
? Stanford allowed 679 rushing yards in last three games.
? Cardinal has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Stanford has 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cardinal has freshman QB with four career starts.
? Last 7+ years, Stanford is 7-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
? This is their fourth conference game already.
? Arizona State allowed 250 or less yards in all three of its wins
? ASU lost 27-17 at BYU in its only road game.
? Sun Devils have 9 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
? ASU has 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Sun Devils have a soph QB with 20 career starts.
? Under Edwards, ASU is 6-2 ATS as road underdogs.
? Stanford won six of last seven series games.
? Cardinal won three of last four visits to Tempe.
? Teams last met in 2018.
? Favorites are 7-3 ATS last ten series games.
Saturday?s games
Michigan State (5-0) @ Rutgers (3-0)
? Michigan State is 5-0, winning 38-21 at Northwestern, 38-17 at Miami..
? MSU gave up 440-440-560 TY in last three games.
? Spartans have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? MSU has 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Michigan State has senior QB who started 26 games for Temple.
? Last three years, MSU is 4-2 ATS as road favorite.
? Rutgers lost last two games. 20-13 at Michigan, 52-13 to Ohio State.
? Scarlet Knights have wins over Temple (61-14), at Syracuse (17-7)
? Rutgers allowed 275 or less TY in first four games (541 LW).
? Knights have 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Rutgers has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
? Rutgers has junior QB with 12 career starts.
? Scarlet Knights are 3-8 ATS last 11 games as a home dog.
? Spartans won six of last seven series games.
? Rutgers (+11) upset Michigan State 38-27 LY.
? MSU won last three visits here, last two by combined 67-7.
Wake Forest (5-0) @ Syracuse (3-2)
? Wake has scored 35+ points in every game this year.
? Deacons won only road game, 37-17 at Virginia
? Last two games, Wake allowed 506-522 TY (716 PY)
? Wake has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Deacons have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
? Wake has a sophomore QB with 24 career starts.
? Under Clawson, Deacons are 2-6 ATS as road favorite.
? Syracuse?s I-A wins: 29-9 at Ohio U, 24-21 over Liberty.
? Syracuse ran ball for 228-239 yards in its last two games.
? Last two Syracuse games were both decided by a FG.
? Syracuse has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Syracuse has 120 returning starts on offensive line.
? Orange junior QB has 20 career starts.
? Under Babers, Syracuse is 9-11 ATS as home underdogs.
? Wake Forest is 3-2 in last five series games.
? Teams split last four meetings in Carrier Dome.
? Favorites are 7-2 ATS last nine series games.
? Average total last four series games, 73.3.
Boise State (2-3) @ BYU (4-0)
? Boise State is 2-3 SU; they were 100-27 the last 10 years.
? Broncos gave up 36-21-41 points in losses, 13-3 in wins.
? Boise State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Broncos have 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Boise has soph QB who has started 18 games.
? Last 4+ years, Boise is 5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? BYU is 5-0; they?ve already beaten three Pac-12 teams.
? All five Cougar wins were by 8+ points.
? Cougars have 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
? BYU has 86 returning starts on the offensive line.
? BYU has soph QB with two starts.
? Under Sitake, BYU is 11-13 ATS as home favorites.
? BYU won last two meetings, 28-25/51-17.
? Cougars gained 573 TY in LY?s 51-17 win at Boise.
? Broncos lost three of last four visits to Provo.
Utah (2-2) @ USC (3-2)
? Utah lost 26-17 at rival BYU, 33-31 at San Diego State.
? Utes gave up 219-204 YR in their two losses.
? Utah has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Utes have 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Utah has soph quarterback with 3 starts.
? Last seven years, Utah is 12-2 ATS as a road underdog.
? USC lost last two home tilts, 42-28 to Stanford, 45-27 to Oregon State.
? Trojans gained 431+ TY in their last three games.
? USC gave up 42-45 points in losses, 7-14-14 in wins.
? USC has an interim coach right now.
? Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? USC has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Trojans have a soph QB with 21 career starts.
? USC is 8-14 ATS last 22 games as a home favorite.
? USC won three of last four series games.
? Utes are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to the Coliseum.
? Average total in last six series games, 58.5.
TCU (2-2) @ Texas Tech (4-1)
? TCU gave up 622 RY, 74 points in losng last two games.
? Horned Frogs gave up 35.3 ppg in last three games.
? This is TCU?s first road game this season.
? TCU has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
? TCU has a soph QB this year, with 23 starts.
? Last four years, TCU is 7-5 ATS as a road favorite.
? Tech beat Houston 38-21, West Virginia 23-20 (outgained 424-346).
? Red Raiders? only loss was 70-35 at Texas.
? Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Tech has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tech?s soph QB has 12 starts (7 at Oregon).
? Under Wells, Red Raiders are 4-2 ATS as home underdogs.
? TCU won five of last seven series games.
? Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Lubbock.
Georgia (5-0) @ Auburn (4-1)
? Georgia won first four games by a combined 205-23.
? Dawgs are 3-0 in SEC, winning by average of 46-3.
? Dawgs ran football for 514 yards in last two games.
? Dawgs have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Georgia has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Dawgs? starting QB didn?t play LW (check status).
? Under Smart, Georgia is 14-6 ATS as a road favorite.
? Auburn ?s only loss was 28-20 at Penn State.
? Tigers beat LSU 24-19 LW; LSU threw for 325 yards.
? Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Auburn has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
? Tigers have a soph QB with 29 career starts.
? Last 5+ years, Auburn is 6-2 ATS as a home underdog.
? Georgia won three in row, 7 of last 8 series games.
? Teams split last six meetings played here.
? Favorites are 9-3 ATS in last dozen series games.
LSU (3-2) @ Kentucky (4-0)
? LSU lost 38-27 at UCLA, 24-19 at home to Auburn.
? Tigers ran ball for only 57.8 ypg vs I-A opponents.
? LSU gave up 486-453 TY in last two games.
? LSU has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Tigers have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
? LSU?s junior QB has made eight starts.
? Under Orgeron, Tigers are 7-0 ATS as road underdogs.
? Kentucky?s last three wins were all by 7 or fewer points.
? Wildcats are minus-9 in turnovers (minus in every game)
? Kentucky has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Wildcats have 62 returning starts on offensive line.
? Kentucky?s QB has 6 career starts; he transferred from Penn State.
? Last five years, Wildcats are 6-3 ATS as home underdogs.
? Teams haven?t met since 2014.
? LSU won 6 of last 7 meetings, last two 41-3/35-7.
? This is LSU?s first visit to Lexington since 2007.
Oklahoma (5-0) vs Texas (4-1) (@ Dallas)
? Oklahoma?s four I-A wins are by 5-7-3-6 points.
? Sooners? 37-31 win at K-State LW was their first road game.
? Sooners have 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Oklahoma has 103 returning starts on offensive line.
? Sooners? soph QB has started 24 games.
? Oklahoma is 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games as single-digit favorites.
? Texas ran for 1,035 yards last three weeks, after 40-21 loss at Arkansas.
? Longhorns allowed 67 points in two games away from Austin.
? Texas has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Longhorns have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Texas starts a sophomore QB; they scored 53.3 ppg last three games.
? Sarkisian is 26-17 ATS as a favorite, 6-6 on road.
? Longhorns are 4-7 ATS last 11 games as road favorite.
? Oklahoma won five of last six series games.
? Sooners beat Texas last two years, 53-45/34-27.
Michigan (5-0) @ Nebraska (2-2)
? Michigan scored 39.8 ppg in its 5-0 start.
? Wolverines? 38-17 win at Wisconsin LW was its first road game.
? Michigan ran ball for 350 ypg first three games, 112 last two weeks.
? Michigan has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Wolverines have 30 returning starts on offensive line.
? Michigan?s QB has started five games.
? Wolverines are 8-11 ATS last 19 road games.
? Nebraska is already playing its fifth game- they lost 23-16 @ Oklahoma LW.
? Huskers beat Fordham/Buffalo, lost 30-22 to Illinois.
? Nebraska has 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Nebraska has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cornhuskers have a junior QB with 27 starts.
? Nebraska is 10-5 ATS in last 15 games as road underdog.
? Nebraska is 3-2 in last five series games.
? Michigan won last meeting 56-10, three years ago.
? This is Wolverines? first visit to Lincoln since 2012.
Arkansas (4-1) @ Ole Miss (3-1)
? Arkansas got hammered 37-0 at Georgia LW after its 4-0 start.
? Hogs beat Texas A&M on neutral field; LW was their first true road tilt.
? Razorbacks? last three games stayed under the total.
? Arkansas has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Razorbacks have 110 returning starts on offensive line.
? Arkansas has a freshman QB with 6 starts.
? Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 9-4 ATS as underdogs.
? Last seven years, Arkansas is 29-16-2 ATS coming off a loss.
? Ole Miss got hammered 42-21 at Alabama LW after its 3-0 start.
? Rebels were outgained 451-291 by Crimson Tide.
? Rebels have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Ole Miss has 64 returning starts on offensive line.
? Rebels? soph QB has started 18 games.
? Last 3+ years, Ole Miss is 8-4 ATS as home favorite.
? Last five years, Ole Miss is 14-16 ATS coming off a loss.
? Arkansas won five of last seven series games.
? Teams split last six series games in Oxford.
? Underdogs are 8-2 ATS in last ten series games.
Penn State (5-0) @ Iowa (5-0)
? Penn State allowed 12 ppg in its 5-0 start.
? PSU won its only road game 16-10 at Wisconsin.
? Penn State has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Penn State has 47 returning starts on offensive line.
? Penn State has a junior QB, with 26 starts.
? Last 4+ years, Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS as road underdogs.
? Iowa allowed only 11.6 ppg in winning first five games.
? Iowa State is only team to gain more than 271 TY against them.
? Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Iowa has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Hawkeyes have a soph QB this year, with 12 starts.
? Last 3+ years, Iowa is 11-7 ATS as a home favorite.
? Penn State won six of last seven series games.
? Hawkeyes (-1) won 41-21 at Penn State LY.
? PSU won last three visits to Iowa, by 5-2-24 points.
? Favorites are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight series games.
Notre Dame (4-1) @ Virginia Tech (3-1)
? Notre Dame got upset at home LW after a 4-1 start.
? Notre Dame won 41-38 at Florida State in only true road game.
? Notre Dame has 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Notre Dame has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Notre Dame has been using two QB?s; they?ve been sacked 22 times.
? Last 3+ years, Notre Dame is 9-5-1 ATS on the road.
? Tech?s one loss was 27-21 at West Virginia- they beat UNC 17-10
? Hokies are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
? Tech has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Tech has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Hokies? junior QB has started eight games.
? Tech had LW off, played I-AA team week before that.
? Notre Dame won two of three series games.
? Notre Dame (-6.5) won 45-23 in Blacksburg in 2018.
UCLA (3-2) @ Arizona (0-4)
? UCLA lost two of last three games, giving up 35.3 ppg.
? Bruins gave up 569-465 TY in home losses to Fresno/ASU.
? UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Bruins have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
? UCLA?s junior QB is making his 28th career start.
? Bruins are 1-5-1 ATS in last seven games as road favorites.
? Arizona has now lost 16 games in a row.
? Wildcats? I-A losses this year are by 8-24-22 points.
? Arizona has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Arizona has 81 returning starts on offensive line.
? Arizona?s soph QB started 16 games at South Florida.
? Wildcats are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as an underdog.
? UCLA won seven of last nine series games.
? Home side won last five series games.
? Bruins lost 20-17/47-30 in last two visits to Tucson.