CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL 2021-2022 NEWS/TRENDS/BEST BETS THRU NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP !

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Week 6

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6


Thursday?s game
Houston (4-1) @ Tulane (1-1)

? Houston lost 38-21 to Texas Tech; scored 39 ppg in three I-A wins.
? Cougars allowed 263 yards/game in last three I-A games.
? Cougars have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Houston has 103 returning starts on offensive line.
? Houston?s junior QB has started 22 games.
? Last 5+ years, Houston is 7-11 ATS as road favorites.
? Holgorsen is 10-12-1 ATS as a road favorite.

? Tulane is 0-4 vs I-A teams, giving up average of 45.3 ppg.
? Green Wave scored 21+ points in all four games (1-3 ATS).
? Green Wave has 10 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Tulane has 114 returning starts on offensive line.
? Green Wave are playing a freshman QB with 14 starts.
? Last 4+ years, Tulane is 6-0 ATS as a home underdog.
? In his career, Fritz is 8-2 ATS as a home underdog.

? Home side won last five series games.
? Houston lost 38-31/20-17 in last two visits to Tulane.
? Nationally, home dogs are 18-14 ATS in conference games.

Coastal Carolina (5-0) @ Arkansas State (1-4)
? Chanticleers won last two games by a combined 112-9.
? Coastal ran ball for 258.5 yards/game in I-A games.
? Chanticleers have 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Coastal has 137 returning starts on offensive line.
? Coastal?s QB has 16 career starts.
? Chanticleers are 4-2-1 ATS in last 7 games as a road favorite.

? Arkansas St is 0-4 vs I-A teams, giving up 51.5 ppg.
? RedWolves allowed 540+ TY in all four of those games.
? Arkansas has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Razorbacks have 149 returning starts on offensive line.
? Arkansas State?s QB started 25 games at Florida State.
? Last 6 years, Red Wolves are 3-2 ATS as home underdogs.
? ASU scored 33+ points in four of their five games.

? Red Wolves won three of four series games.
? Chanticleers lost two visits here, 28-27/51-17




NCAAF
Weather Report

Thursday, October 7


 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6


Friday?s games
Temple (3-2) @ Cincinnati (4-0)

? Temple lost 61-14 at Rutgers, 28-3 at home to BC.
? Owls scored 45-24 in I-A wins over Akron/Memphis.
? Temple has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Owls have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Owls have freshman QB with 6 starts- he was at Georgia LY.
? Temple is 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.

? Bearcats won at Notre Dame LW; letdown alert here.
? Cincy allowed 17 ppg in its three I-A wins.
? Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Cincinnati has 48 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cincinnati has a junior QB with 39 career starts.
? Last three games, Bearcats are + 7 in turnovers.
? Cincinnati is 12-6-1 ATS in last 19 games as home favorite.
? Cincinnati needs to impress pollsters to make national playoff.

? Temple won four of last five series games.
? Teams didn?t meet last season.
? Owls covered their last five visits to Cincinnati.

Charlotte (3-2) @ Florida International (1-4)
? Charlotte lost 20-9 at Georgia State, 24-14 at Illinois.
? 49ers beat Duke 31-28, MTSU 42-39, both at home.
? 49ers allowed 298+ rushing yards in three of four I-A games.
? Charlotte has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? 49ers have 29 returning starts on offensive line.
? Charlotte has a junior QB with 29 starts.
? Under Healy, 49ers are 2-1 ATS as a road favorite.

? FIU is 0-4 in I-A games, giving up 41.8 ppg.
? FIU lost 59-21 at Florida Atlantic, giving up 704 TY.
? Last three games, they allowed 584-599-704 yards.
? Panthers have 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? FIU has 22 returning starts on offensive line.
? Panthers have senior QB with 7 starts.
? Under Davis, FIU is 6-1 ATS as a home underdog.

? FIU won all five series series, all as the favorite (2-2-1 ATS).
? Charlotte ran ball for 232+ yards in last four meetings.
? Teams didn?t play last season.

Stanford (3-2) @ Arizona State (3-1)
? Stanford scored 42-41-31 points in wins, 7-24 in losses.
? Stanford allowed 679 rushing yards in last three games.
? Cardinal has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Stanford has 53 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cardinal has freshman QB with four career starts.
? Last 7+ years, Stanford is 7-9-1 ATS as road underdogs.
? This is their fourth conference game already.

? Arizona State allowed 250 or less yards in all three of its wins
? ASU lost 27-17 at BYU in its only road game.
? Sun Devils have 9 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
? ASU has 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Sun Devils have a soph QB with 20 career starts.
? Under Edwards, ASU is 6-2 ATS as road underdogs.

? Stanford won six of last seven series games.
? Cardinal won three of last four visits to Tempe.
? Teams last met in 2018.
? Favorites are 7-3 ATS last ten series games.

Saturday?s games
Michigan State (5-0) @ Rutgers (3-0)

? Michigan State is 5-0, winning 38-21 at Northwestern, 38-17 at Miami..
? MSU gave up 440-440-560 TY in last three games.
? Spartans have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? MSU has 120 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Michigan State has senior QB who started 26 games for Temple.
? Last three years, MSU is 4-2 ATS as road favorite.

? Rutgers lost last two games. 20-13 at Michigan, 52-13 to Ohio State.
? Scarlet Knights have wins over Temple (61-14), at Syracuse (17-7)
? Rutgers allowed 275 or less TY in first four games (541 LW).
? Knights have 11 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Rutgers has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
? Rutgers has junior QB with 12 career starts.
? Scarlet Knights are 3-8 ATS last 11 games as a home dog.

? Spartans won six of last seven series games.
? Rutgers (+11) upset Michigan State 38-27 LY.
? MSU won last three visits here, last two by combined 67-7.

Wake Forest (5-0) @ Syracuse (3-2)
? Wake has scored 35+ points in every game this year.
? Deacons won only road game, 37-17 at Virginia
? Last two games, Wake allowed 506-522 TY (716 PY)
? Wake has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Deacons have 102 returning starts on offensive line.
? Wake has a sophomore QB with 24 career starts.
? Under Clawson, Deacons are 2-6 ATS as road favorite.

? Syracuse?s I-A wins: 29-9 at Ohio U, 24-21 over Liberty.
? Syracuse ran ball for 228-239 yards in its last two games.
? Last two Syracuse games were both decided by a FG.
? Syracuse has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Syracuse has 120 returning starts on offensive line.
? Orange junior QB has 20 career starts.
? Under Babers, Syracuse is 9-11 ATS as home underdogs.

? Wake Forest is 3-2 in last five series games.
? Teams split last four meetings in Carrier Dome.
? Favorites are 7-2 ATS last nine series games.
? Average total last four series games, 73.3.

Boise State (2-3) @ BYU (4-0)
? Boise State is 2-3 SU; they were 100-27 the last 10 years.
? Broncos gave up 36-21-41 points in losses, 13-3 in wins.
? Boise State has 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Broncos have 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Boise has soph QB who has started 18 games.
? Last 4+ years, Boise is 5-1 ATS as a road underdog.

? BYU is 5-0; they?ve already beaten three Pac-12 teams.
? All five Cougar wins were by 8+ points.
? Cougars have 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
? BYU has 86 returning starts on the offensive line.
? BYU has soph QB with two starts.
? Under Sitake, BYU is 11-13 ATS as home favorites.

? BYU won last two meetings, 28-25/51-17.
? Cougars gained 573 TY in LY?s 51-17 win at Boise.
? Broncos lost three of last four visits to Provo.

Utah (2-2) @ USC (3-2)
? Utah lost 26-17 at rival BYU, 33-31 at San Diego State.
? Utes gave up 219-204 YR in their two losses.
? Utah has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Utes have 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Utah has soph quarterback with 3 starts.
? Last seven years, Utah is 12-2 ATS as a road underdog.

? USC lost last two home tilts, 42-28 to Stanford, 45-27 to Oregon State.
? Trojans gained 431+ TY in their last three games.
? USC gave up 42-45 points in losses, 7-14-14 in wins.
? USC has an interim coach right now.
? Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? USC has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Trojans have a soph QB with 21 career starts.
? USC is 8-14 ATS last 22 games as a home favorite.

? USC won three of last four series games.
? Utes are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to the Coliseum.
? Average total in last six series games, 58.5.

TCU (2-2) @ Texas Tech (4-1)
? TCU gave up 622 RY, 74 points in losng last two games.
? Horned Frogs gave up 35.3 ppg in last three games.
? This is TCU?s first road game this season.
? TCU has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Horned Frogs have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
? TCU has a soph QB this year, with 23 starts.
? Last four years, TCU is 7-5 ATS as a road favorite.

? Tech beat Houston 38-21, West Virginia 23-20 (outgained 424-346).
? Red Raiders? only loss was 70-35 at Texas.
? Red Raiders have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Tech has 84 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Tech?s soph QB has 12 starts (7 at Oregon).
? Under Wells, Red Raiders are 4-2 ATS as home underdogs.

? TCU won five of last seven series games.
? Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Lubbock.

Georgia (5-0) @ Auburn (4-1)
? Georgia won first four games by a combined 205-23.
? Dawgs are 3-0 in SEC, winning by average of 46-3.
? Dawgs ran football for 514 yards in last two games.
? Dawgs have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Georgia has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Dawgs? starting QB didn?t play LW (check status).
? Under Smart, Georgia is 14-6 ATS as a road favorite.

? Auburn ?s only loss was 28-20 at Penn State.
? Tigers beat LSU 24-19 LW; LSU threw for 325 yards.
? Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Auburn has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
? Tigers have a soph QB with 29 career starts.
? Last 5+ years, Auburn is 6-2 ATS as a home underdog.

? Georgia won three in row, 7 of last 8 series games.
? Teams split last six meetings played here.
? Favorites are 9-3 ATS in last dozen series games.

LSU (3-2) @ Kentucky (4-0)
? LSU lost 38-27 at UCLA, 24-19 at home to Auburn.
? Tigers ran ball for only 57.8 ypg vs I-A opponents.
? LSU gave up 486-453 TY in last two games.
? LSU has 9 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Tigers have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
? LSU?s junior QB has made eight starts.
? Under Orgeron, Tigers are 7-0 ATS as road underdogs.

? Kentucky?s last three wins were all by 7 or fewer points.
? Wildcats are minus-9 in turnovers (minus in every game)
? Kentucky has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
? Wildcats have 62 returning starts on offensive line.
? Kentucky?s QB has 6 career starts; he transferred from Penn State.
? Last five years, Wildcats are 6-3 ATS as home underdogs.

? Teams haven?t met since 2014.
? LSU won 6 of last 7 meetings, last two 41-3/35-7.
? This is LSU?s first visit to Lexington since 2007.

Oklahoma (5-0) vs Texas (4-1) (@ Dallas)
? Oklahoma?s four I-A wins are by 5-7-3-6 points.
? Sooners? 37-31 win at K-State LW was their first road game.
? Sooners have 5 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Oklahoma has 103 returning starts on offensive line.
? Sooners? soph QB has started 24 games.
? Oklahoma is 6-2-1 ATS in last nine games as single-digit favorites.

? Texas ran for 1,035 yards last three weeks, after 40-21 loss at Arkansas.
? Longhorns allowed 67 points in two games away from Austin.
? Texas has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Longhorns have 82 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Texas starts a sophomore QB; they scored 53.3 ppg last three games.
? Sarkisian is 26-17 ATS as a favorite, 6-6 on road.
? Longhorns are 4-7 ATS last 11 games as road favorite.

? Oklahoma won five of last six series games.
? Sooners beat Texas last two years, 53-45/34-27.

Michigan (5-0) @ Nebraska (2-2)
? Michigan scored 39.8 ppg in its 5-0 start.
? Wolverines? 38-17 win at Wisconsin LW was its first road game.
? Michigan ran ball for 350 ypg first three games, 112 last two weeks.
? Michigan has 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Wolverines have 30 returning starts on offensive line.
? Michigan?s QB has started five games.
? Wolverines are 8-11 ATS last 19 road games.

? Nebraska is already playing its fifth game- they lost 23-16 @ Oklahoma LW.
? Huskers beat Fordham/Buffalo, lost 30-22 to Illinois.
? Nebraska has 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Nebraska has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Cornhuskers have a junior QB with 27 starts.
? Nebraska is 10-5 ATS in last 15 games as road underdog.

? Nebraska is 3-2 in last five series games.
? Michigan won last meeting 56-10, three years ago.
? This is Wolverines? first visit to Lincoln since 2012.

Arkansas (4-1) @ Ole Miss (3-1)
? Arkansas got hammered 37-0 at Georgia LW after its 4-0 start.
? Hogs beat Texas A&M on neutral field; LW was their first true road tilt.
? Razorbacks? last three games stayed under the total.
? Arkansas has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Razorbacks have 110 returning starts on offensive line.
? Arkansas has a freshman QB with 6 starts.
? Under Pittman, Razorbacks are 9-4 ATS as underdogs.
? Last seven years, Arkansas is 29-16-2 ATS coming off a loss.

? Ole Miss got hammered 42-21 at Alabama LW after its 3-0 start.
? Rebels were outgained 451-291 by Crimson Tide.
? Rebels have 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Ole Miss has 64 returning starts on offensive line.
? Rebels? soph QB has started 18 games.
? Last 3+ years, Ole Miss is 8-4 ATS as home favorite.
? Last five years, Ole Miss is 14-16 ATS coming off a loss.

? Arkansas won five of last seven series games.
? Teams split last six series games in Oxford.
? Underdogs are 8-2 ATS in last ten series games.

Penn State (5-0) @ Iowa (5-0)
? Penn State allowed 12 ppg in its 5-0 start.
? PSU won its only road game 16-10 at Wisconsin.
? Penn State has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Penn State has 47 returning starts on offensive line.
? Penn State has a junior QB, with 26 starts.
? Last 4+ years, Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS as road underdogs.

? Iowa allowed only 11.6 ppg in winning first five games.
? Iowa State is only team to gain more than 271 TY against them.
? Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Iowa has 38 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Hawkeyes have a soph QB this year, with 12 starts.
? Last 3+ years, Iowa is 11-7 ATS as a home favorite.

? Penn State won six of last seven series games.
? Hawkeyes (-1) won 41-21 at Penn State LY.
? PSU won last three visits to Iowa, by 5-2-24 points.
? Favorites are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight series games.

Notre Dame (4-1) @ Virginia Tech (3-1)
? Notre Dame got upset at home LW after a 4-1 start.
? Notre Dame won 41-38 at Florida State in only true road game.
? Notre Dame has 3 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Notre Dame has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Notre Dame has been using two QB?s; they?ve been sacked 22 times.
? Last 3+ years, Notre Dame is 9-5-1 ATS on the road.

? Tech?s one loss was 27-21 at West Virginia- they beat UNC 17-10
? Hokies are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
? Tech has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Tech has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Hokies? junior QB has started eight games.
? Tech had LW off, played I-AA team week before that.

? Notre Dame won two of three series games.
? Notre Dame (-6.5) won 45-23 in Blacksburg in 2018.

UCLA (3-2) @ Arizona (0-4)
? UCLA lost two of last three games, giving up 35.3 ppg.
? Bruins gave up 569-465 TY in home losses to Fresno/ASU.
? UCLA has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Bruins have 73 returning starts on the offensive line.
? UCLA?s junior QB is making his 28th career start.
? Bruins are 1-5-1 ATS in last seven games as road favorites.

? Arizona has now lost 16 games in a row.
? Wildcats? I-A losses this year are by 8-24-22 points.
? Arizona has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Arizona has 81 returning starts on offensive line.
? Arizona?s soph QB started 16 games at South Florida.
? Wildcats are 6-10 ATS last 16 games as an underdog.

? UCLA won seven of last nine series games.
? Home side won last five series games.
? Bruins lost 20-17/47-30 in last two visits to Tucson.
 

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Long Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, October 7


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HOUSTON (4 - 1) at TULANE (1 - 4) - 10/7/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 102-135 ATS (-46.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULANE is 1-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TULANE is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COASTAL CAROLINA (5 - 0) at ARKANSAS ST (1 - 4) - 10/7/2021, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against COASTAL CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Cnotes53

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THURSDAY, OCTOBER 7
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


HOU at TULN 07:30 PM
HOU -6.5
U 60.0

+500 +500

CCU at ARST 07:30 PM
ARST +20.0
O 73.0

+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS AND OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units Record

10/07/2021..........1-3-0.........25.00%.........-11.50
10/02/2021.......29-22-2.........56.86%.......+24.00
10/01/2021..........3-3-0..........50.00%..........-1.50

Totals................33-28-2.........54.09%.......+11.00


BEST BETS:

10/07/2021............1-3-0.........25.00%...........-11.50
10/02/2021.........14-10-0.........58.33%..........+15.00
10/01/2021...........3-3-0 ..........50.00%........... -1.50

Totals..................18-16-0.........52.94%...........+2.00
 

Cnotes53

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FRIDAY, OCTOBER 8
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


TEM at CIN 07:00 PM
TEM +29.0
O 54.0
+500 +500

CHAR at FIU 07:00 PM
CHAR -3.0
O 60.5
+500 +500

STAN at ASU 10:30 PM
STAN +13.5
O 52.0

+500 +500
 

Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS AND OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units Record

10/08/2021..........3-3-0.........50.00%..........-1.50
10/07/2021..........1-3-0.........25.00%.........-11.50
10/02/2021.......29-22-2.........56.86%.......+24.00
10/01/2021..........3-3-0..........50.00%..........-1.50

Totals................36-31-2.........53.73%.......+ 9.50


BEST BETS:

10/08/2021............2-2-0.........50.00%............-1.00
10/07/2021............1-3-0.........25.00%...........-11.50
10/02/2021.........14-10-0.........58.33%..........+15.00
10/01/2021...........3-3-0 ..........50.00%........... -1.50

Totals..................20-18-0.........52.63%...........+1.00
 

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ArmadilloSports: Saturday?s Den: Info on 13 college games not in my top 13 this week

East Carolina (3-2) @ Central Florida (2-2)
? East Carolina won last two I-A games, scoring 42-52 points.
? ECU gave up 536 yards to a I-AA team, surviving 31-28.
? East Carolina has 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Pirates have 69 returning starts on the offensive line.
? East Carolina has a junior QB has started 30 games.
? Under coach Houston, Pirates are 6-3 ATS as road underdog.

? UCF lost last two games, giving up 42-34 points to Louisville/Navy.
? Knights ran ball for 255 yards, threw for 318.
? Knights lost as 15-point road favorite LW; couldn?t handle Navy?s option.
? UCF has 99 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Knights have a soph QB with 26 career starts.
? Last 2+ years, UCF is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
? Malzahn is 22-27-1 ATS as a home favorite.

? UCF won last five series games, scoring 47.8 ppg.
? East Carolina is 5-2 ATS in last seven trips to UCF.
? ECU gained 459+ TY in last three meetings.

Buffalo (2-3) @ Kent State (2-3)
? Bulls are 1-3 vs I-A teams; they beat Old Dominion 35-34.
? Buffalo gave up 433+ TY in all four I-A games.
? Buffalo has 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Bulls have only 18 returning starts on offensive line.
? Buffalo has a junior QB with 20 starts.
? Bulls are 4-9-1 ATS in last 14 games as road underdogs.

? Kent State is 1-3 vs I-A teams, giving up 41-30-37 points in losses.
? Flashes ran for 262 yards LY, in 27-20 win over Bowling Green.
? Kent State has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Flashes have 67 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Kent State has a senior QB with 21 starts.
? Last 7+ years, Flashes are 5-8 ATS as home favorites.

? Buffalo beat Kent State 70-41 LY, running for 515 yards.
? Bulls are 9-4 in last 13 series games.
? Buffalo is 5-2-1 ATS in last eight visits to Kent.

Georgia Tech (2-3) @ Duke (3-2)
? Georgia Tech is 1-3 vs I-A teams; they did upset North Carolina.
? Jackets gave up 580 TY in 52-21 home loss to Pitt LW.
? Georgia Tech has 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Jackets have 117 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Georgia Tech has been using two QB?s this season.
? Last six years, Jackets are 2-9 ATS as road favorites.

? Duke gave up 31+ points in three of four I-A games.
? Blue Devils gave up 530-456 TY in last two games.
? Duke has 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Blue Devils have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Duke has soph QB with five career starts.
? Under Cutcliffe, Blue Devils are 18-13-1 ATS as home dogs.

? Tech (even) ran for 377 yards, beat Duke 56-33 LY.
? Duke won five of last seven series games.
? Tech lost last three visits to Duke, by 18-23-14 points.

Virginia (3-2) @ Louisville (3-2)
? Virginia split four I-A games, giving up 41.3 ppg last three games.
? Cavaliers scored 30+ points in three of four I-A games.
? Virginia has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Cavaliers have 122 returning starts on offensive line.
? Virginia has a soph QB with 15 starts.
? Cavaliers are 7-5 ATS in last 12 games as road underdogs.

? Louisville gave up 43-37 points in losses to Ole Miss/Wake Forest.
? Cardinals allowed 453-501 TY in their last two games.
? Louisville has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Cardinals have 95 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cardinals? junior QB has started 17 games.
? Under Satterfield, Louisville is 6-2 ATS as home favorites.

? Louisville is 4-2 in last six series games.
? Cavaliers lost last three visits here, by 7-17-7 points.
? Louisville ran for 317 yards in 31-17 loss at Virginia LY.

Wyoming (4-0) @ Air Force (4-1)
? Wyoming escaped road games at No Illinois (50-43), UConn (24-22)
? Cowboys even squeezed out a 19-16 win over I-AA Montana State.
? Cowboys have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
? Wyoming has 144 returning starts on offensive line.
? Cowboys have a soph QB with 16 starts.
? Last three years, Wyoming is 3-6 ATS as road underdogs.

? Air Force ran for 400+ yards in its last three games.
? Falcons? one loss was 49-45 (-9) at home to Utah State.
? Falcons have 4 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Air Force has only 3 returning starts on offensive line.
? Falcons have junior QB this year, with 10 starts.
? Air Force is 6-3 ATS last nome games as home favorites.

? Wyoming won five of last seven series games.
? Cowboys split their last eight visits to Air Force.
? Underdogs are 8-3 ATS in last 11 series games.

San Jose State (3-2) @ Colorado State (1-3)
? San Jose split four I-A games, scoring 7-3 points in losses.
? Spartans are minus-7 in turnovers this season.
? Spartans have 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? San Jose has 112 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Spartans have senior QB with 13 career starts- he used to play at Arkansas.
? San Jose is 9-5 ATS last 14 games as a road dog (0-2 TY).

? Colorado State is 1-3, with 42-23 loss to a I-AA team.
? Rams were outgained only 278-250 in 24-14 loss at Iowa.
? Rams have 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? CSU has 91 returning starts on offensive line.
? Rams have a senior QB with five career starts.
? Colorado State is 3-8 ATS last 11 games as a home favorite.

? Colorado State won last three series games, scoring 38 ppg.
? Teams last met in 2018.
? Spartans won two of last three visits to Fort Collins.

Oregon State (4-1) @ Washington State (1-1)
? Oregon State won last four games, beating USC/Washington in last two.
? Beavers ran ball for 242+ yards in each of last four games.
? Beavers have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? OSU has 86 returning starts on offensive line.
? OSU?s sophomore QB has 8 career starts.
? Over last decade, Beavers are 1-5 ATS as road favorites.

? Wazzu is 1-3 vs I-A teams, scoring only 17.8 ppg.
? Rolovich is 5-8-1 ATS as a home underdog.
? All four of Wazzu?s I-A games stayed under total.
? Coogs have 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Wazzu has 68 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Coogs have a soph QB with nine career starts.
? Last 6+ years, Wazzu is 4-3 ATS as home underdog.

? Wazzu won last seven series games (5-2 ATS)
? Coogs scored 46.6 ppg in those seven wins.
? Beavers are 8-2 ATS in last ten visits to Pullman.

South Carolina (2-3) @ Tennessee (3-2)
? South Carolina lost its first two SEC games, 40-13/16-10.
? Average total in their four I-A games is only 35.8.
? South Carolina has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
? Gamecocks have 84 returning starts on offensive line.
? South Carolina has a freshman QB with 6 starts.
? Gamecocks are 3-5 ATS last 8 games as road underdogs.

? Tennessee split four I-A games, giving up 41-38 points in losses
? Tennessee ran for 458 yards in LW?s 62-24 win at Missouri.
? Tennessee has 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
? Vols have 70 returning starts on offensive line.
? Vols have QB with 19 starts who transferred from Va Tech.
? Tennessee is 5-10 ATS last 15 games as home favorites.

? Underdogs covered 8 of last 9 series games.
? Tennessee won last two meetings, 31-27/41-21.
? Gameoccks are 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 visits to Knoxville.

West Virginia (2-3) @ Baylor (3-0)
? West Virginia is 1-3 vs I-A teams, with losses by 6-3-3 points.
? All four of WVU?s I-A games stayed under the total.
? Mountaineers have 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? WVU has 54 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Mountaineers have junior QB with 36 career starts.
? West Virginia is 8-5 ATS last 13 games as road dogs.

? Baylor ran ball for 321.3 yds/game in whacking three stiffs.
? Bears outgained Kansas 576-166 in Big X opener LW.
? Bears have 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
? Baylor has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
? Bears have a soph QB this year, with 3 starts.
? Last four years, Baylor is 5-4 ATS as a home underdog.

? West Virginia won four of last five series games.
? WVU lost three of last four visits to Waco, losing by 3-24-31 points.
? Underdogs are 4-1 ATS in last five series games.

Memphis (3-2) @ Tulsa (1-4)
? Memphis split four I-A games, all decided by 5 or less points.
? Tigers allowed 468+ TY in three of those four games.
? Tigers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Memphis has 104 returning starts on offensive line.
? Memphis has a freshman QB with five starts.
? Last 6 years, Memphis was 1-6-1 ATS as a road dog.

? Tulsa gave up average of 40 ppg in last three games.
? Golden Hurricane lost to I-AA team, but gained 501 TY at Ohio State.
? Golden Hurricane has 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Tulsa has 120 returning starts on offensive line.
? Tulsa?s soph QB has started 5 games.
? Tulsa is 1-5-1 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.

? Memphis won last three series games, scoring 42-47-41 points.
? Tigers gained 426+ TY in last six meetings.
? Memphis won last three trips to Tulsa, by 1-27-24 points.

Alabama (5-0) @ Texas A&M (3-2)
? Alabama had one close game, winning 31-29 @ Florida Sept 18.
? Alabama held four of five opponents under 300 TY.
? Crimson Tide has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? Alabama has 89 returning starts on offensive line.
? Bama?s new QB has started five games.
? Last 3+ years, Alabama is 8-6 ATS as a road favorite.

? A&M lost last two games, Arkansas (20-10), Miss State (26-22).
? Aggies were held under 300 TY in three of last four games.
? A&M has 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Aggies have 15 returning starts on offensive line.
? A&M is playing two freshman QB?s; they?re struggling.
? Aggies are 3-6-1 ATS last 10 games as home underdogs.

? Alabama won last eight series games (5-2 ATS last seven)
? Crimson Tide scored 52-47-45 points in last three meetings.

Texas-El Paso (4-1) @ Southern Miss (1-4)
? Miners are 4-1; their last winning year was in 2014.
? UTEP held opponent under 300 TY in 3 of 4 I-A games.
? Miners have 11 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
? UTEP has 101 returning starts on offensive line.
? UTEP?s soph QB has 12 starts.
? Last 11 years, UTEP is 2-1 ATS as road favorites.

? Southern Miss is 0-4 vs I-A teams, scoring 12.3 ppg.
? Eagles were held under 260 TY in three of those four games.
? Southern Miss has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
? Eagles have 47 returning starts on offensive line.
? Southern Miss appears to be using three QB?s.
? Last 6+ years, Eagles are 6-2 ATS as home underdogs.

? Southern Miss won last five series games (3-1 ATS last four).
? UTEP is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Hattiesburg.

Tex-San Antonio (5-0) @ Western Kentucky (1-3)
? Unbeaten Roadrunners have wins at Illinois (37-30), Memphis (31-28).
? UTSA gave up 329/316 passing yards in last two games.
? A&M has 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
? Roadrunners have 122 returning starts on offensive line.
? UTSA has junior QB with 19 career starts.
? Roadrunners are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as road dogs.

? WKU is 1-3, but lost to two Big 14 teams (Indiana/Mich State).
? Hilltoppers scored 35-31-31 points in the three losses.
? WKU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
? Hilltoppers have 75 returning starts on offensive line.
? WKU?s QB played four years at I-AA Houston Baptist (40 starts)
? Last three years, WKU is 3-8 ATS as home favorites.

? These teams haven?t met since 2014.
 

Cnotes53

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SATURDAY, OCTOBER 9
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


OKLA at TEX 12:00 PM
TEX +3.0
+500

WVU at BAY 12:00 PM
WVU +1.0
+500

SOCAR at TENN 12:00 PM
TENN -11.0
+500

ARK at MISS 12:00 PM
ARK +5.0
+500

MSU at RUTG 12:00 PM
RUTG +4.0
+500

AKR at BGSU 12:00 PM
BGSU -14.0
+500

VAN at FLA 12:00 PM
VAN +39.0
+500

MD at OSU 12:00 PM
OSU -21.5
+500

GT at DUKE 12:30 PM
DUKE +4.5
+500
 

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ODU at MRSH 02:00 PM
ODU +21.5
+500

UVA at LOU 03:00 PM
UVA +2.5
+500

BSU at BYU 03:30 PM
BYU -6.0
+500

WIS at ILL 03:30 PM
ILL +12.0
+500

UGA at AUB 03:30 PM
UGA -14.5
+500

CONN at MASS 03:30 PM
CONN -3.0
+500

SJSU at CSU 03:30 PM
SJSU +3.5
+500

FAU at UAB 03:30 PM
UAB -3.5
+500

MTU at LIB 03:30 PM
LIB -19.5
O 59.0

+500 +500

SMU at NAVY 03:30 PM
SMU -13.5
+500

CMU at OHIO 03:30 PM
CMU -5.0
+500

BALL at WMU 03:30 PM
WMU -12.5
+500

FSU at UNC 03:30 PM
UNC -17.5
+500

WAKE at SYR 03:30 PM
WAKE -5.5
+500
 

Cnotes53

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PSU at IOWA 04:00 PM
PSU +2.5
U 41.0

+500 +500

ORST at WSU 04:00 PM
ORST -4.0
+500

UNT at MIZZ 04:00 PM
UNT +18.5
O 68.5

+500 +500

ECU at UCF 06:00 PM
ECU +10.0
O 65.5

+500 +500
 

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LATE NIGHT BEST BETS AND OPINIONS:

UTEP at USM 07:00 PM
UTEP -1.0
+500

WYO at AFA 07:00 PM
WYO +5.5
+500

BUFF at KENT 07:00 PM
BUFF +7.0
+500

USA at TXST 07:00 PM
USA -4.0
+500

UTSA at WKU 07:00 PM
WKU -3.5
+500

TCU at TTU 07:00 PM
TTU +2.5
+500

GASO at TROY 07:00 PM
TROY -5.5
+500

ND at VT 07:30 PM
VT -1.0
+500

MICH at NEB 07:30 PM
MICH -2.5
+500

LSU at UK 07:30 PM
LSU +2.0
+500
 

Cnotes53

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UTAH at USC 08:00 PM
USC -2.5
+500

GSU at ULM 08:00 PM
GSU -16.0
+500

ALA at TAM 08:00 PM
ALA -18.5
+500

MEM at TLSA 09:00 PM
O 61.0
+500

UNM at SDSU 09:00 PM
SDSU -19.5
+500

NMSU at NEV 10:30 PM
NMSU +28.5
+500

UCLA at ARIZ 10:30 PM
UCLA -16.0
+500

 

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS AND OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units Record

10/09/2021......19-29-0.........39.58%.........-64.50
10/07/2021..........1-3-0.........25.00%.........-11.50
10/02/2021.......29-22-2.........56.86%.......+24.00
10/01/2021..........3-3-0..........50.00%..........-1.50

Totals................52-57-2.........47.70%.........-53.50


BEST BETS:

10/09/2021.........14-18-0.........43.75%..........-29.00
10/07/2021............1-3-0.........25.00%...........-11.50
10/02/2021.........14-10-0.........58.33%..........+15.00
10/01/2021............3-3-0 .........50.00%........... -1.50

Totals..................32-34-0.........48.48%...........-27.00
 

Udog

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13) Texas A&M 41, Alabama 38:
? Aggies led this game 24-10 at halftime.
? Alabama blocked punt for a TD; A&M ran ensuing kick back for a TD.
? A&M scored ten points in last 3:00 to post the upset.

? Alabama outgained A&M 522-379.
? A&M QB Calzada threw for 285 yards, tying TD with 3:00 left.
? Alabama QB Young threw for 369 yards, three TD?s.

12) Oklahoma 54, Texas 48:
? RB Brooks ran 33 yards for a TD with 0:03 left.
? Longhorns hit 31-yard TD pass with 1:23 left to tie game.
? Texas led this game 28-7 after first quarter.

? Sooners? freshman QB Williams came off bench, threw for 211 yards, 2 TD?s.
? Brooks carried ball 25 times for 217 yards.
? Total yardage: 662-516, Oklahoma

11) Ole Miss 52, Arkansas 51:
? Hogs scored TD at 0:00 to make score 52-51; they went for 2 points and the win.
? To me, this was such a terrific game; you go to OT and the added TV exposure, which should benefit your recruiting. STAY ON TV!!!! Free advertising.
? Been long time since I saw a game where both team ran for 300+ yards.
? Total yardage was 676-611, Arkansas; Hogs had 38 first downs. Thirty. Eight.

The two offensive coordinators in this game, Kendal Briles and Jeff Lebby, are brothers-in-law.

10) Wake Forest 40, Syracuse 37 OT:
? Wake Forest is 6-0 for first time since 1944.
? Syracuse led 21-10 in second quarter.
? Deacons? WR Perry caught three passes for 137 yards, all TD?s, one in OT.
? Syracuse ran ball for 354 yards, outgained Wake 514-426.

9) Utah 42, USC 26:
? If USC?s athletic director doesn?t have Wake Forest coach Dave Clawson on top of his list for the Trojans? head coaching job, then he is committing malpractice. Wake Forest is smallest of all the Power 5 colleges; very tough place to win- Wake is 40-27 the last six seasons- they were 21-40 the five years before that.
? Firing Clay Helton in September made a rich donor(s) happy, but it was stupid.

8) Virginia 34, Louisville 33:
? Down 30-13 at one point, Cavaliers scored winning TD with 0:22 left.
? Virginia?s lefty QB Armstrong threw for 487 yards, three TD?s.
? Total yardage: Virginia, 522-503.

7) Upsets of the Week:
? Texas A&M (+19) 41, Alabama 38
? Florida State (+17.5) 35, North Carolina 25
? Akron (+14) 35, Bowling Green 20
? Northern Illinois (+13) 22, Toledo 20- Upsetting day in the MAC.
? Ball State (+12.5) 45, Western Michigan 20- Three double digit dogs won SU in MAC
? Boise State (+6.5) 26, BYU 17

6) Iowa 23, Penn State 20:
? Penn State led 17-3 in first half, then their QB got hurt. Not good.
? Nittany Lions? backup QB was 7-21 for 34 yards, two INT?s.
? Iowa outscored PSU 13-0 over final 16:36 of the game.

5) Kentucky 42, LSU 21:
? Kentucky is 6-0 for first time since 1950.
? SEC Network did this game; Jordan Rodgers is a very good analyst- he is also Aaron Rodgers? brother, who played QB at Vanderbilt.

The best TV teams are like two friends sitting there watching the game, having a beer, and we get to eavesdrop on them. Thats what this game was like; Rodgers and Tom Hart.

They were talking openly on the air about LSU coach Ed Orgeron being on the hot seat now; he won the national title when he had Joe Burrow at QB two years ago, but now they?re 8-8 since Burrow went to the NFL, and 8-8 doesn?t cut it in Baton Rouge.

There is a book out there called Meat Market, about recruiting in college football and it focuses on when Orgeron was coach at Ole Miss. If you like college football, read that book, and make your own judgements; I won?t say another word about it.

4) Notre Dame 32, Virginia Tech 29:
? Senior K Doerer made a 48-yard FG with 0:17 left.
? Notre Dame scored 10 points in final 2:29 to pull out the win.

3) Georgia Tech 31, Duke 27:
? Tech threw a 36-yard TD pass with 0:51 left.
? Yellow Jackets led 14-0 in first quarter.
? Duke ran 91 plays, Tech 64.

2) Michigan 32, Nebraska 29:
? Wolverines kicked FG with 1:29 left for the win.
? Nebraska rallied to lead 29-26 after trailing 19-7.
? Michigan kicked two FG?s in last 3:00; they?re 6-0.

1) Texas State 33, South Alabama 31, OT:
? They needed four rounds of OT to settle this one.
? South Alabama led 17-7 at halftime, 24-10 in 4th quarter.
? South Alabama?s QB is Jake Bentley, who previously played at South Carolina, Utah.
 

Udog

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Week 7 (Tues., Oct. 12 - Sat., Oct. 16)

LA LAFAYETTE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games vs. good offenses (>=5.9 YPP) since 1992.

S ALABAMA is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) after 2 conference games since 1992.

NAVY is 77-33 ATS (40.7 Units) in road games with <=6 days rest since 1992.

CLEMSON is 60-32 ATS (24.8 Units) after 2 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

MARSHALL is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after allowing 125 or less passing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.

MICHIGAN ST is 19-4 ATS (14.6 Units) in road games after outgaining opp by 225 or more total yards in their previous game since 19...

UCF is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA ST is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1992.

FLORIDA is 27-13 ATS (12.7 Units) vs poor rushing teams (<120 RYG) since 1992.

Sam Pittman is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in the first half of the season (Coach of ARKANSAS)

BAYLOR is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 62% or better in the last 3 seasons.

GEORGIA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games vs excellent teams (>75%) since 1992.

OKLAHOMA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 conference games over the last 2 seasons.

MISSISSIPPI ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after playing their last game on the road in the last 3 seasons.

NC STATE is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) vs good passing QB's (>8 PYA) in the last 3 seasons.

OLE MISS are 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) after 3 consecutive game where they committed 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

BUFFALO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games in the last 3 seasons.

TULSA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

NEBRASKA is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games vs. poor passing teams averaging 150 or less passing yards/game. since 1992.

RUTGERS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 62% or worse in the last 3 seasons.

BOISE ST is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.

WYOMING is 31-57 ATS (-31.7 Units) after scoring <=14 pts. since 1992.

MISSOURI is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

VIRGINIA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game since 1992.

BALL ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

AKRON is 2-18 ATS (-17.8 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

TROY is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after a win in the last 3 seasons.

N ILLINOIS are 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) off upset win vs conference foe since 1992.

MIAMI is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) off upset loss vs conference foe since 1992.

VIRGINIA TECH is 70-48 ATS (17.2 Units) off a non-conference game since 1992.

ARIZONA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

UAB is 14-30 ATS (-19 Units) vs poor rushing teams (<120 RYG) since 1992.

W MICHIGAN is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home games vs. good offenses (>425 TYG) since 1992.

W KENTUCKY is 27-12 ATS (13.8 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.

KANSAS are 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after going over the total in the last 3 seasons.

VANDERBILT is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) after being outgained by opp by 125 or more total yards last game in the last 3 seasons.

RICE is 27-8 ATS (18.2 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

NEW MEXICO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

LIBERTY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. bad defenses (>425 TYG) over the last 2 seasons.

UNLV is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse since 1992.

KANSAS ST is 15-1 ATS (13.9 Units) in home games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.

WASHINGTON ST is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in home games vs poor rushing def. (>200 RYG) since 1992.

ARMY is 17-41 ATS (-28.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.

UCLA is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) vs below avg teams (40-49%) since 1992.

UTEP is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.

HAWAII is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.
 
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