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Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 2
Top 13 games of the week
Virginia vs NC State (-3)
Virginia (1-0)
Virginia (-18) routed Coastal Carolina 48-7 at home LW.
Virginia outgained the Chanticleers, 454-254
Cavaliers have had three straight losing seasons.
Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Cavaliers have 182 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morris started 21 games at North Texas, TCU.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 15-8 ATS as an underdog.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 9-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Elliott, Cavaliers are 15-8 ATS in ACC games.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 8-2 ATS in games coming off a win.
NC State (1-0)
NC State (-13) beat East Carolina LW, 24-17.
ECU threw for 383 yards: total yardage, 423-413, Wolfpack
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Bailey started 9 games LY (2,413 PY; 17 TD’s, 10 INTs)
Wolfpack was 6-7 LY, its first losing year since 2019.
Wolfpack is 5-14 ATS in last 19 games as a favorite.
Last 3 years, State is 4-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Deoren, Wolfpack is 39-44 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2 years, Wolfpack is 10-6ATS in conference games.
NC State is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six series games.
Cavaliers are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Raleigh.
Iowa vs Iowa State (-3)
Iowa (1-0)
Iowa drubbed a I-AA team 34-7 last week.
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.
Iowa hasn’t had a losing season since 2012.
Since 2021, Hawkeyes are 7-4 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Ferentz is 53-44-4 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2018, Iowa is 15-9 ATS in non-conference games.
Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS last week.
Iowa State (2-0)
Iowa State nipped K-State 24-21 in Ireland, drilled a I-AA team LW.
Cyclones have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Cyclones have 105 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.
ISU was 11-3 LY, won their first bowl since 2020.
In his career, Campbell is 47-48-2 ATS as a favorite.
Last two years, ISU is 6-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2018, Cyclones are 11-14 ATS in non-league games.
Big X teams were 5-2 ATS last week.
Iowa won seven of last nine series games.
Hawkeyes are 6-0 SU/4-1-1 ATS in last six visits to Ames.
Under is 17-3 in last 20 meetings.
Baylor @ SMU (-3)
Baylor (0-1)
Baylor (+2.5) lost 38-24 at home to Auburn LW.
Auburn ran for 307 yards; Baylor threw for 419 yards.
Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Robertson had 3,071 PY (28 TD’s, 8 INTs) LY.
Bears were 8-5 LY, after 6-7/3-9 seasons.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 10-8 ATS as a road dog.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 16-15 ATS as a underdog overall..
Baylor is 9-7 ATS in its last 16 non-league games.
Bears had a positive turnover ratio the last six years.
Big X teams were 5-2 ATS last week.
SMU (1-0)
SMU drilled a I-AA team 42-13 last week.
Mustangs were 11-3/11-3 the last two years.
Mustangs have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mustangs have 117 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Jennings started 13 times the last two years.
SMU lost ACC title game LY, 34-31 to Clemson
Last two years, SMU is 9-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 17-10 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 5-10 ATS in non-conference games.
ACC teams were 4-6 ATS last week.
These teams haven’t met since 2016.
Illinois (-3) @ Duke
Illinois (1-0)
Illinois drilled a I-AA team 52-3 last week.
Illinois has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Illini has 193 returning starts on OL.
Senior QB Altmyer has 23 career starts.
Illinois was 10-3 LY, its second winning year the last 10 years.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 15-4 ATS on the road.
In his career, Bielema is 17-13-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 6-8-1 ATS in non-league games.
Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS last week.
Duke (1-0)
Duke poached Tulane’s QB, is paying him $4M this year.
Duke beat a I-AA team 45-17 last week.
QB Mensah threw for 389 yards in that game.
Mensah started 13 games at Tulane.
Blue Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last three years, Duke is 10-6 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 11-3 ATS as an underdog
Since 2020, Duke is 13-7 ATS in non-league games.
ACC teams were 4-6 ATS last week.
These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
Ole Miss (-10) @ Kentucky
Ole Miss (1-0)
Ole Miss (-33) gained 695 yards LW, pounded Georgia State 63-7.
Rebels have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 78 returning starts on offensive line.
New QB Simmons was 20-31/341 passing last week.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 22-18-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 10-5-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Kiffin is 20-18-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 17-22-2 ATS in SEC games.
Kentucky (1-0)
Kentucky (-9.5) beat Toledo 24-16 last week.
Rockets outgained Kentucky, 329-305.
Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Wildcats have 170 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Calzada started 21 games at Texas A&M in 2021, then was at Auburn, I-AA Incarnate Word the last three years.
Kentucky is 7-3 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.
In his career, Mark Stoops is 11-15-2 ATS as a home dog.
Last four years, Kentucky is 17-15 ATS in SEC games.
Last 4+ years, Wildcats are minus-23 in turnovers.
Ole Miss won seven of last 10 series games.
This is Rebels’ first visit to Lexington since 2020.
Kansas @ Missouri (-6)
Kansas (2-0)
Kansas beat Fresno State 31-7, whacked a I-AA team 46-7.
Jayhawks have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Kansas has 82 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Daniels started 12 games last year.
In his career, Leipold is 13-21-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 7-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Kansas is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 12-8-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Last week, Big X teams were 5-2 ATS.
Missouri (1-0)
Mizzou drubbed a I-AA team 61-6 last week.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.
Mizzou was 6-2 ATS as a favorite last season.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 8-12-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 19-18-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 9-10-1 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, SEC teams were 5-5 ATS
These former rivals haven’t met since 2011.
Fresno State @ Oregon State (-3)
Fresno State (1-1)
Fresno split its first two games, despite a minus-5 turnover ratio.
FSU’s new coach won two I-AA national titles at North Dakota State.
Bulldogs have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Fresno has 50 starts returning on offensive line.
EJ Warner (Kurt’s son) is the new QB; he has 31 career starts (Temple/Rice)
Since 2017, Fresno is 12-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Fresno is 15-8-1 ATS in its last 24 games as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 13-10 ATS in their last 21 non-conference tilts.
Bulldogs ran ball for 37 yards vs Kansas, 351 vs Georgia Southern.
Last week, Mountain West teams were 8-4 ATS.
Oregon State (0-1)
Beavers (+1.5) lost 34-15 at home to Cal last week.
Golden Bears outgained OSU, 356-313
Oregon State has 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Beavers have 44 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Murphy started 12 games at Duke.
OSU went 5-7 LY, after three straight winning years.
OSU was 1-3 ATS as a home favorite LY (12-2 from 2021-23)
Beavers aren’t in a league this year; they will be next year.
Beavers are 4-9 ATS last in their last 13 games.
Oregon State (even) won last meeting, 35-32 in 2022.
Western Kentucky @ Toledo (-7)
Western Kentucky (2-0)
WKU (-10.5) beat Sam Houston 41-24, beat I-AA team 55-6 LW.
Hilltoppers have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
WKU has 58 starts back on offensive line- lot of transfers.
Senior QB McIvor (20 starts) comes in with his OC from I-AA Abilene Christian.
In their opener, Hilltoppers threw for 406 yards against the Bearkats.
Since 2018, Hilltoppers are 17-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Helton, WKU is 17-11 as an underdog, 13-8 on road.
Last four years, WKU was 13-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Last week, C-USA teams were 2-2 ATS
Toledo (0-1)
Toledo (+9.5) lost 24-16 at Kentucky last week.
Rockets outgained Kentucky, 329-305
Toledo has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Rockets have 42 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gleason started 12 games LY.
Last three years, Toledo is 9-9 ATS as a home favorite.
In 9 years under coach Candle, Rockets are 38-42 ATS as a favorite.
Last two years, Rockets are 6-4 ATS in non-conference games.
Last week, MAC teams were 6-4 ATS, all as underdogs.
Hilltoppers (+2.5) beat Toledo 24-21 at home last year.
Rockets outgained WKU, 325-207
Boston College @ Michigan State (-3)
Boston College (1-0)
BC beat a I-AA team 66-10 LW, throwing for 458 yards.
Eagles have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Eagles have 66 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Lonergan was a backup at Alabama LY.
Last 2 years, Boston College is 6-4 ATS as an underdog.
In his college career, O’Brien is 10-5 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, Eagles are 35-21-1 ATS as an underdog.
Last three years, ACC teams are 4-10 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, ACC teams were 4-6 ATS
Michigan State (1-0)
Spartans (-22) beat Western Michigan 23-6 at home last week.
MSU has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Spartans have 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Chiles started 12 games last year.
Last three years, Spartans were 5-7/4-8/5-7.
MSU is 0-5 ATS last five games as a home favorite.
In his career, coach Smith is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Spartans are 9-4 ATS in last 13 non-league games.
Last week, Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS
These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
Michigan vs Oklahoma (-6)
Michigan (1-0)
Michigan (-34) beat New Mexico 34-17 last week.
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 77 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Underwood threw for 251 yards in his college debut.
Since 2020, Michigan is 4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Michigan was 3-3 ATS as an underdog in Moore’s first year as coach.
Last 3 years, Wolverines were 5-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Defensive coordinator Martindale has a significant NFL resume.
Last week, Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS
Oklahoma (1-0)
Oklahoma beat a I-AA team 35-3 last week.
Sooners finished 6-7 two of the last three years.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 11-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Overall under Venables, Sooners are 14-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 9-4 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, SEC teams were 5-5 ATS.
These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
UCLA (-2.5) @ UNLV
UCLA (0-1)
UCLA (+5) lost 43-10 at home to Utah last week.
Utah outgained the Bruins, 492-220.
UCLA has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Bruins have 91 returning starts on offensive line; lot of transfers.
Soph QB Iamaleava started 14 games at Tennessee.
UCLA was 5-7 LY, after three straight winning seasons.
Since 2021, UCLA is 6-3 ATS as a road favorite.
UCLA was 0-2 ATS as a favorite last year.
Last 10+ years, Bruins are 10-21-1 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS.
UNLV (2-0)
UNLV beat a I-AA team 38-31, won 38-21 at Sam Houston.
UNLV has 3 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
New coach Mullen is 105-61 in his college career.
Rebels have 37 starts returning on offensive line; lot of transfers.
Junior QB Colandrea started 11 games at Virginia LY.
Last week, Rebels outgained Sam Houston 404-332.
UNLV was 9-5/11-3 last 2 years, but most of those people are gone.
Last four years, UNLV is 17-9 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Mullen is 15-10 ATS as a home underdog.
Last week, Mountain West teams were 8-4 ATS.
These teams haven’t met since 2016.
San Diego State @ Washington State (-1.5)
San Diego State (1-0)
Aztecs blanked a I-AA team 42-0 last week.
San Diego State has 4 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Aztecs have 67 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Denegal was a backup at Michigan for two years.
Aztecs went 4-8/3-9 the last two seasons.
Since 2021, San Diego State is 8-6 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, coach Lewis is 12-17 ATS as a home favorite.
San Diego State is 5-9 ATS last 14 non-conference games.
Last week, Mountain West teams were 8-4 ATS.
Washington State (1-0)
Wazzu snuck past I-AA Idaho 13-10 last week.
Coogs were outgained 221-211, ran ball for only 3 yards.
Coogs have 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Wazzu has 92 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Potter was 23-30/208 in his first college start.
Last three years, Wazzu is 8-6 ATS as a home favorite.
New coach Rogers was HC at I-AA South Dakota State.
Coogs have had winning seasons in 7 of last 10 years.
Since 2021, Wazzu is 14-10-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Coogs (+14.5) upset San Diego State 29-26 last year.
Aztecs outgained Wazzu, 414-371
That was teams’ first meeting since 2011.
Arizona State (-7) @ Mississippi State
Arizona State (1-0)
ASU beat a I-AA team 38-19 last week.
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Leavitt had 2,885 PY LY, with 24 TD’s, 6 INTs.
Sun Devils were 11-3 LY, after 3-9/3-9 seasons.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 7-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 2-0 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Dillingham, Sun Devils are 4-3 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, Big X teams were 5-2 ATS.
Mississippi State (1-0)
Miss State (-14) won 34-17 at Southern Miss last week.
Bulldogs outgained USM, 465-301
Bulldogs have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bulldogs have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Shapen has 27 career starts.
Since 2019, MSU is 2-13-1 ATS as a home underdog.
MSU was 5-5 ATS as a dog last year, Lebby’s first year as HC.
Bulldogs are 8-4-1 ATS in last 15 games non-league games.
Last week, SEC teams were 5-5 ATS, 1-1 as an underdog.
Arizona State (-5.5) beat the Bulldogs 30-23 last year.
ASU ran ball for 346 yards, outgained Miss State, 415-292
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 2
Top 13 games of the week
Virginia vs NC State (-3)
Virginia (1-0)
Virginia (-18) routed Coastal Carolina 48-7 at home LW.
Virginia outgained the Chanticleers, 454-254
Cavaliers have had three straight losing seasons.
Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Cavaliers have 182 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morris started 21 games at North Texas, TCU.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 15-8 ATS as an underdog.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 9-4 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Elliott, Cavaliers are 15-8 ATS in ACC games.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 8-2 ATS in games coming off a win.
NC State (1-0)
NC State (-13) beat East Carolina LW, 24-17.
ECU threw for 383 yards: total yardage, 423-413, Wolfpack
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Bailey started 9 games LY (2,413 PY; 17 TD’s, 10 INTs)
Wolfpack was 6-7 LY, its first losing year since 2019.
Wolfpack is 5-14 ATS in last 19 games as a favorite.
Last 3 years, State is 4-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Deoren, Wolfpack is 39-44 ATS as a favorite.
Last 2 years, Wolfpack is 10-6ATS in conference games.
NC State is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six series games.
Cavaliers are 1-4 SU/ATS in last five visits to Raleigh.
Iowa vs Iowa State (-3)
Iowa (1-0)
Iowa drubbed a I-AA team 34-7 last week.
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.
Iowa hasn’t had a losing season since 2012.
Since 2021, Hawkeyes are 7-4 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Ferentz is 53-44-4 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2018, Iowa is 15-9 ATS in non-conference games.
Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS last week.
Iowa State (2-0)
Iowa State nipped K-State 24-21 in Ireland, drilled a I-AA team LW.
Cyclones have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Cyclones have 105 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.
ISU was 11-3 LY, won their first bowl since 2020.
In his career, Campbell is 47-48-2 ATS as a favorite.
Last two years, ISU is 6-4 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2018, Cyclones are 11-14 ATS in non-league games.
Big X teams were 5-2 ATS last week.
Iowa won seven of last nine series games.
Hawkeyes are 6-0 SU/4-1-1 ATS in last six visits to Ames.
Under is 17-3 in last 20 meetings.
Baylor @ SMU (-3)
Baylor (0-1)
Baylor (+2.5) lost 38-24 at home to Auburn LW.
Auburn ran for 307 yards; Baylor threw for 419 yards.
Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Robertson had 3,071 PY (28 TD’s, 8 INTs) LY.
Bears were 8-5 LY, after 6-7/3-9 seasons.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 10-8 ATS as a road dog.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 16-15 ATS as a underdog overall..
Baylor is 9-7 ATS in its last 16 non-league games.
Bears had a positive turnover ratio the last six years.
Big X teams were 5-2 ATS last week.
SMU (1-0)
SMU drilled a I-AA team 42-13 last week.
Mustangs were 11-3/11-3 the last two years.
Mustangs have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mustangs have 117 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Jennings started 13 times the last two years.
SMU lost ACC title game LY, 34-31 to Clemson
Last two years, SMU is 9-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 17-10 ATS as a favorite.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 5-10 ATS in non-conference games.
ACC teams were 4-6 ATS last week.
These teams haven’t met since 2016.
Illinois (-3) @ Duke
Illinois (1-0)
Illinois drilled a I-AA team 52-3 last week.
Illinois has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Illini has 193 returning starts on OL.
Senior QB Altmyer has 23 career starts.
Illinois was 10-3 LY, its second winning year the last 10 years.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 15-4 ATS on the road.
In his career, Bielema is 17-13-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 6-8-1 ATS in non-league games.
Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS last week.
Duke (1-0)
Duke poached Tulane’s QB, is paying him $4M this year.
Duke beat a I-AA team 45-17 last week.
QB Mensah threw for 389 yards in that game.
Mensah started 13 games at Tulane.
Blue Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last three years, Duke is 10-6 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 11-3 ATS as an underdog
Since 2020, Duke is 13-7 ATS in non-league games.
ACC teams were 4-6 ATS last week.
These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
Ole Miss (-10) @ Kentucky
Ole Miss (1-0)
Ole Miss (-33) gained 695 yards LW, pounded Georgia State 63-7.
Rebels have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Rebels have 78 returning starts on offensive line.
New QB Simmons was 20-31/341 passing last week.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 22-18-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Kiffin, Rebels are 10-5-1 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Kiffin is 20-18-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Kiffin, Ole Miss is 17-22-2 ATS in SEC games.
Kentucky (1-0)
Kentucky (-9.5) beat Toledo 24-16 last week.
Rockets outgained Kentucky, 329-305.
Wildcats have 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Wildcats have 170 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Calzada started 21 games at Texas A&M in 2021, then was at Auburn, I-AA Incarnate Word the last three years.
Kentucky is 7-3 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.
In his career, Mark Stoops is 11-15-2 ATS as a home dog.
Last four years, Kentucky is 17-15 ATS in SEC games.
Last 4+ years, Wildcats are minus-23 in turnovers.
Ole Miss won seven of last 10 series games.
This is Rebels’ first visit to Lexington since 2020.
Kansas @ Missouri (-6)
Kansas (2-0)
Kansas beat Fresno State 31-7, whacked a I-AA team 46-7.
Jayhawks have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Kansas has 82 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Daniels started 12 games last year.
In his career, Leipold is 13-21-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 7-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Kansas is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 non-conference games.
Under Leipold, Kansas is 12-8-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Last week, Big X teams were 5-2 ATS.
Missouri (1-0)
Mizzou drubbed a I-AA team 61-6 last week.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.
Mizzou was 6-2 ATS as a favorite last season.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 8-12-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 19-18-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 9-10-1 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, SEC teams were 5-5 ATS
These former rivals haven’t met since 2011.
Fresno State @ Oregon State (-3)
Fresno State (1-1)
Fresno split its first two games, despite a minus-5 turnover ratio.
FSU’s new coach won two I-AA national titles at North Dakota State.
Bulldogs have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Fresno has 50 starts returning on offensive line.
EJ Warner (Kurt’s son) is the new QB; he has 31 career starts (Temple/Rice)
Since 2017, Fresno is 12-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Fresno is 15-8-1 ATS in its last 24 games as an underdog.
Bulldogs are 13-10 ATS in their last 21 non-conference tilts.
Bulldogs ran ball for 37 yards vs Kansas, 351 vs Georgia Southern.
Last week, Mountain West teams were 8-4 ATS.
Oregon State (0-1)
Beavers (+1.5) lost 34-15 at home to Cal last week.
Golden Bears outgained OSU, 356-313
Oregon State has 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Beavers have 44 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Murphy started 12 games at Duke.
OSU went 5-7 LY, after three straight winning years.
OSU was 1-3 ATS as a home favorite LY (12-2 from 2021-23)
Beavers aren’t in a league this year; they will be next year.
Beavers are 4-9 ATS last in their last 13 games.
Oregon State (even) won last meeting, 35-32 in 2022.
Western Kentucky @ Toledo (-7)
Western Kentucky (2-0)
WKU (-10.5) beat Sam Houston 41-24, beat I-AA team 55-6 LW.
Hilltoppers have 2 starters back on offense, 4 on defense
WKU has 58 starts back on offensive line- lot of transfers.
Senior QB McIvor (20 starts) comes in with his OC from I-AA Abilene Christian.
In their opener, Hilltoppers threw for 406 yards against the Bearkats.
Since 2018, Hilltoppers are 17-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Helton, WKU is 17-11 as an underdog, 13-8 on road.
Last four years, WKU was 13-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Last week, C-USA teams were 2-2 ATS
Toledo (0-1)
Toledo (+9.5) lost 24-16 at Kentucky last week.
Rockets outgained Kentucky, 329-305
Toledo has 8 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Rockets have 42 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gleason started 12 games LY.
Last three years, Toledo is 9-9 ATS as a home favorite.
In 9 years under coach Candle, Rockets are 38-42 ATS as a favorite.
Last two years, Rockets are 6-4 ATS in non-conference games.
Last week, MAC teams were 6-4 ATS, all as underdogs.
Hilltoppers (+2.5) beat Toledo 24-21 at home last year.
Rockets outgained WKU, 325-207
Boston College @ Michigan State (-3)
Boston College (1-0)
BC beat a I-AA team 66-10 LW, throwing for 458 yards.
Eagles have 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Eagles have 66 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Lonergan was a backup at Alabama LY.
Last 2 years, Boston College is 6-4 ATS as an underdog.
In his college career, O’Brien is 10-5 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2017, Eagles are 35-21-1 ATS as an underdog.
Last three years, ACC teams are 4-10 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, ACC teams were 4-6 ATS
Michigan State (1-0)
Spartans (-22) beat Western Michigan 23-6 at home last week.
MSU has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Spartans have 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Chiles started 12 games last year.
Last three years, Spartans were 5-7/4-8/5-7.
MSU is 0-5 ATS last five games as a home favorite.
In his career, coach Smith is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Spartans are 9-4 ATS in last 13 non-league games.
Last week, Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS
These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
Michigan vs Oklahoma (-6)
Michigan (1-0)
Michigan (-34) beat New Mexico 34-17 last week.
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 77 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Underwood threw for 251 yards in his college debut.
Since 2020, Michigan is 4-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Michigan was 3-3 ATS as an underdog in Moore’s first year as coach.
Last 3 years, Wolverines were 5-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Defensive coordinator Martindale has a significant NFL resume.
Last week, Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS
Oklahoma (1-0)
Oklahoma beat a I-AA team 35-3 last week.
Sooners finished 6-7 two of the last three years.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 11-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Overall under Venables, Sooners are 14-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 9-4 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, SEC teams were 5-5 ATS.
These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
UCLA (-2.5) @ UNLV
UCLA (0-1)
UCLA (+5) lost 43-10 at home to Utah last week.
Utah outgained the Bruins, 492-220.
UCLA has 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Bruins have 91 returning starts on offensive line; lot of transfers.
Soph QB Iamaleava started 14 games at Tennessee.
UCLA was 5-7 LY, after three straight winning seasons.
Since 2021, UCLA is 6-3 ATS as a road favorite.
UCLA was 0-2 ATS as a favorite last year.
Last 10+ years, Bruins are 10-21-1 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, Big 18 teams were 3-11 ATS.
UNLV (2-0)
UNLV beat a I-AA team 38-31, won 38-21 at Sam Houston.
UNLV has 3 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
New coach Mullen is 105-61 in his college career.
Rebels have 37 starts returning on offensive line; lot of transfers.
Junior QB Colandrea started 11 games at Virginia LY.
Last week, Rebels outgained Sam Houston 404-332.
UNLV was 9-5/11-3 last 2 years, but most of those people are gone.
Last four years, UNLV is 17-9 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Mullen is 15-10 ATS as a home underdog.
Last week, Mountain West teams were 8-4 ATS.
These teams haven’t met since 2016.
San Diego State @ Washington State (-1.5)
San Diego State (1-0)
Aztecs blanked a I-AA team 42-0 last week.
San Diego State has 4 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
Aztecs have 67 starts returning on offensive line.
Soph QB Denegal was a backup at Michigan for two years.
Aztecs went 4-8/3-9 the last two seasons.
Since 2021, San Diego State is 8-6 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, coach Lewis is 12-17 ATS as a home favorite.
San Diego State is 5-9 ATS last 14 non-conference games.
Last week, Mountain West teams were 8-4 ATS.
Washington State (1-0)
Wazzu snuck past I-AA Idaho 13-10 last week.
Coogs were outgained 221-211, ran ball for only 3 yards.
Coogs have 4 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Wazzu has 92 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Potter was 23-30/208 in his first college start.
Last three years, Wazzu is 8-6 ATS as a home favorite.
New coach Rogers was HC at I-AA South Dakota State.
Coogs have had winning seasons in 7 of last 10 years.
Since 2021, Wazzu is 14-10-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Coogs (+14.5) upset San Diego State 29-26 last year.
Aztecs outgained Wazzu, 414-371
That was teams’ first meeting since 2011.
Arizona State (-7) @ Mississippi State
Arizona State (1-0)
ASU beat a I-AA team 38-19 last week.
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Leavitt had 2,885 PY LY, with 24 TD’s, 6 INTs.
Sun Devils were 11-3 LY, after 3-9/3-9 seasons.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 7-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 2-0 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Dillingham, Sun Devils are 4-3 ATS in non-league games.
Last week, Big X teams were 5-2 ATS.
Mississippi State (1-0)
Miss State (-14) won 34-17 at Southern Miss last week.
Bulldogs outgained USM, 465-301
Bulldogs have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bulldogs have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Shapen has 27 career starts.
Since 2019, MSU is 2-13-1 ATS as a home underdog.
MSU was 5-5 ATS as a dog last year, Lebby’s first year as HC.
Bulldogs are 8-4-1 ATS in last 15 games non-league games.
Last week, SEC teams were 5-5 ATS, 1-1 as an underdog.
Arizona State (-5.5) beat the Bulldogs 30-23 last year.
ASU ran ball for 346 yards, outgained Miss State, 415-292
Friday’s 6-pack:
Top six QB’s in passing yards in Chargers’ history:
59,271—Philip Rivers
43,040— Dan Fouts
26,938— John Hadl
21,093— Justin Herbert
16,085— Stan Humphries
12,348— Drew Brees
Quote of the Day
“I ain’t talked to Aaron (Rodgers) since he left, so wish him the best this season. Yeah, but we ain’t chopped it up since he left.”
Jets’ WR Garrett Wilson
Friday’s quiz
Which city does the movie Good Will Hunting take place in?
Thursday’s quiz
Of the 32 starting QB’s in the NFL right now, Dak Prescott has started 130 games, the most of any starting QB who hasn’t played in a Super Bowl.
Wednesday’s quiz
Mark Sanchez was QB for the Jets, last time they played in a playoff game.
*****************************************
There was an hour-long lightning delay in the third quarter.
Eagles’ DL Jalen Carter got ejected before the first play; he spit on Dallas QB Prescott, while standing right next to an official.
There were 7 possessions in first half: 5 TD’s, 2 field goals. Eagles led 21-20 at half.
Eagles in first half: 30 plays, 216 yards, 21 points.
Eagles in second half: 34 plays, 83 yards, 3 points.
Cowboys lost five of their last six visits to Philadelphia.
Last seven years, Eagles are 4-3 SU/1-6 ATS in home openers.
Dallas in first half: 32 plays, 177 yards, 20 points.
Dallas in second half: 26 plays, 136 yards, no points.
Cowboys have covered their last five road openers.
Under is 7-3 in Cowboys’ last ten season openers.
— Buffalo Bills signed K Matt Prater to their practice squad; their regular kicker, Tyler Bass, has been banged-up with a hip injury. This would be Prater’s 20th year in the NFL.
— Bill Belichick has banned New England Patriots’ staff from watching his North Carolina team practice; his disdain towards the Patriots’ organization after his departure from the team two years ago apparently hasn’t lessened any.
Scouts from other teams are limited to watching just three sessions of UNC practice, but three sessions are better than none; not sure how this will help his recruiting going forward.
— Obscure Stat of the Day:
Milwaukee P Jose Quintana faced three batters in an inning Wednesday; all three guys hit a ground ball back to Quintana, the first time that happened in a 1-2-3 inning since 2017.
— New York Mets are going all-in on young starting pitchers; they’re calling up Brandon Sproat to start Sunday’s game in Cincinnati. Sproat is 8-6, 4.24 in 25 AAA starts this season.
— Detroit Lions signed QB CJ Beathard to their practice squad, to be their #3 QB, behind Jared Goff and Kyle Allen. Beathard has started 13 NFL games, for the 49ers/Jaguars.
— 20-year-old Kendall George, the 36th overall pick in the 2023 baseball draft, has stolen 97 bases in 110 games this year- he is hitting .290 with a .406 on-base percentage. George is one of the LA Dodgers’ top minor league prospects.
— Washington Nationals VP of Amateur Scouting Danny Haas has bolted Washington for the Baltimore Orioles.
— Famous birthdays, September 5th:
William Devane, 86
Billy Kilmer, 86
Michael Keaton, 74
Willie Gault, 65
Jeff Brantley, 62
Brad Hopkins, 55
Ryan Spilborghs, 46
Colt McCoy, 39
TJ Warren, 32
Jarren Duran, 29
Steven Kwan, 28
Mac Jones, 27
William Devane is a great actor who grew up here in Albany; his father was Franklin D Roosevelt’s chauffeur when FDR was governor of New York.
— Phillies 2, Brewers 0
Game was scoreless after six innings.
Trea Turner had the go-ahead hit in the 7th.
Jhoan Duran got his 26th save this season.
— Pirates 5, Dodgers 3
Paul Skenes threw six shutout innings.
Dodgers got swept three straight in Pittsburgh.
Pirates are 42-30 at home, 22-47 on the road.
— Rays 4, Guardians 2
Tampa Bay has won seven games in a row.
Ryan Pepiot threw five no-hit IP (90 PT), got the win.
Rays are only two games out of the last AL playoff spot.
— Royals 4, Angels 3
Bobby Witt’s 8th inning home run was a game-winner.
Adam Frazier got his 1,000th career hit.
Royals are only two games out of the last AL playoff spot.
— New York 8, Astros 4
Trent Grisham hit his career-high 30th home run.
New York holds the AL’s #1 Wild Card slot.
Astros still lead AL West by 3.5 games.
— White Sox 11, Twins 8
Minnesota led 7-4 after six innings.
Kyle Teel was 3-4 with three runs scored, four RBI
White Sox sweep the four game series in the Twin Cities.
— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Mets, Padres
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
Top six QB’s in passing yards in Chargers’ history:
59,271—Philip Rivers
43,040— Dan Fouts
26,938— John Hadl
21,093— Justin Herbert
16,085— Stan Humphries
12,348— Drew Brees
Quote of the Day
“I ain’t talked to Aaron (Rodgers) since he left, so wish him the best this season. Yeah, but we ain’t chopped it up since he left.”
Jets’ WR Garrett Wilson
Friday’s quiz
Which city does the movie Good Will Hunting take place in?
Thursday’s quiz
Of the 32 starting QB’s in the NFL right now, Dak Prescott has started 130 games, the most of any starting QB who hasn’t played in a Super Bowl.
Wednesday’s quiz
Mark Sanchez was QB for the Jets, last time they played in a playoff game.
*****************************************
Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…..
— Eagles 24, Cowboys 20There was an hour-long lightning delay in the third quarter.
Eagles’ DL Jalen Carter got ejected before the first play; he spit on Dallas QB Prescott, while standing right next to an official.
There were 7 possessions in first half: 5 TD’s, 2 field goals. Eagles led 21-20 at half.
Eagles in first half: 30 plays, 216 yards, 21 points.
Eagles in second half: 34 plays, 83 yards, 3 points.
Cowboys lost five of their last six visits to Philadelphia.
Last seven years, Eagles are 4-3 SU/1-6 ATS in home openers.
Dallas in first half: 32 plays, 177 yards, 20 points.
Dallas in second half: 26 plays, 136 yards, no points.
Cowboys have covered their last five road openers.
Under is 7-3 in Cowboys’ last ten season openers.
— Buffalo Bills signed K Matt Prater to their practice squad; their regular kicker, Tyler Bass, has been banged-up with a hip injury. This would be Prater’s 20th year in the NFL.
— Bill Belichick has banned New England Patriots’ staff from watching his North Carolina team practice; his disdain towards the Patriots’ organization after his departure from the team two years ago apparently hasn’t lessened any.
Scouts from other teams are limited to watching just three sessions of UNC practice, but three sessions are better than none; not sure how this will help his recruiting going forward.
— Obscure Stat of the Day:
Milwaukee P Jose Quintana faced three batters in an inning Wednesday; all three guys hit a ground ball back to Quintana, the first time that happened in a 1-2-3 inning since 2017.
— New York Mets are going all-in on young starting pitchers; they’re calling up Brandon Sproat to start Sunday’s game in Cincinnati. Sproat is 8-6, 4.24 in 25 AAA starts this season.
— Detroit Lions signed QB CJ Beathard to their practice squad, to be their #3 QB, behind Jared Goff and Kyle Allen. Beathard has started 13 NFL games, for the 49ers/Jaguars.
— 20-year-old Kendall George, the 36th overall pick in the 2023 baseball draft, has stolen 97 bases in 110 games this year- he is hitting .290 with a .406 on-base percentage. George is one of the LA Dodgers’ top minor league prospects.
— Washington Nationals VP of Amateur Scouting Danny Haas has bolted Washington for the Baltimore Orioles.
— Famous birthdays, September 5th:
William Devane, 86
Billy Kilmer, 86
Michael Keaton, 74
Willie Gault, 65
Jeff Brantley, 62
Brad Hopkins, 55
Ryan Spilborghs, 46
Colt McCoy, 39
TJ Warren, 32
Jarren Duran, 29
Steven Kwan, 28
Mac Jones, 27
William Devane is a great actor who grew up here in Albany; his father was Franklin D Roosevelt’s chauffeur when FDR was governor of New York.
— Phillies 2, Brewers 0
Game was scoreless after six innings.
Trea Turner had the go-ahead hit in the 7th.
Jhoan Duran got his 26th save this season.
— Pirates 5, Dodgers 3
Paul Skenes threw six shutout innings.
Dodgers got swept three straight in Pittsburgh.
Pirates are 42-30 at home, 22-47 on the road.
— Rays 4, Guardians 2
Tampa Bay has won seven games in a row.
Ryan Pepiot threw five no-hit IP (90 PT), got the win.
Rays are only two games out of the last AL playoff spot.
— Royals 4, Angels 3
Bobby Witt’s 8th inning home run was a game-winner.
Adam Frazier got his 1,000th career hit.
Royals are only two games out of the last AL playoff spot.
— New York 8, Astros 4
Trent Grisham hit his career-high 30th home run.
New York holds the AL’s #1 Wild Card slot.
Astros still lead AL West by 3.5 games.
— White Sox 11, Twins 8
Minnesota led 7-4 after six innings.
Kyle Teel was 3-4 with three runs scored, four RBI
White Sox sweep the four game series in the Twin Cities.
— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Mets, Padres
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Mariners
- Sep 10, 2018
- 19,275
- 25
- 48
NCAAF
Dunkel
Week 2
FCS - Friday
DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR WESTERN ILLINOIS AT NORTHWESTERN
Date: Friday, September 5
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 54.681; Northwestern 74.156
Dunkel Line & Total: Northwestern by 19 1/2; 57
Vegas Line & Total: Northwestern by 28; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (+28); Over
DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR EASTERN WASHINGTON AT BOISE STATE
Date: Friday, September 5
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 62.695; Boise State 81.166
Dunkel Line & Total: Boise State by 18 1/2; 64
Vegas Line & Total: Boise State by 29 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+29 1/2); Over
Dunkel
Week 2
FCS - Friday
DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR WESTERN ILLINOIS AT NORTHWESTERN
Date: Friday, September 5
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 54.681; Northwestern 74.156
Dunkel Line & Total: Northwestern by 19 1/2; 57
Vegas Line & Total: Northwestern by 28; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (+28); Over
DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR EASTERN WASHINGTON AT BOISE STATE
Date: Friday, September 5
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Washington 62.695; Boise State 81.166
Dunkel Line & Total: Boise State by 18 1/2; 64
Vegas Line & Total: Boise State by 29 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (+29 1/2); Over
