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[Cnotes53]

Weekly Total Talk
Joe Williams

Low, Low Halo?

The Los Angeles Angels host the Toronto Blue Jays in the final game of a three-game set, as the Halos go for the sweep. The under has connected in five of the past seven games for the Blue Jays, although Wednesday's game snuck over the line with nine total runs on a 8.5 number. The under is 8-2-1 in Toronto's past 12 games against a left-handed starting pitcher, although the over is 3-1-1 in their past five on the road vs. LHP. The over is also 9-2-1 in the past 12 road outings by RHP Aaron Sanchez, while going 6-1-1 in the past eight oad outings against a team with a losing record, and 9-4 in his past 13 starts overall. The over is also 5-1 in their past six games overall on the road against teams with a losing record.

For the Angels, the over is 4-1 in their past five games at home, and 6-2 in the past eight games overall. The over is 4-1 in their past five against teams with a losing record, and 4-1 in the past five against AL East clubs, too. The over is 7-1 in the past eight games vs. RHP, while going 5-1 in the past six home outings vs. RHP. However, the under is a perfect 4-0 in each of LHP Tyler Skaggs' starts this season, while going 4-1 in his past five home outings dating back to last season. The over, however, is 9-4-1 in the past 14 home starts by Skaggs against teams with a losing overall mark.


Looking Ahead

Thursday, May 2

The Cardinals and Nationals hook up in the fourth of a four-game set, and St. Louis is looking for the sweep. The over is 13-6-1 in the past 20 road games for the Cardinals, while going 11-5-1 in the past 17 away from home against a right-handed starting pitcher. The over is also 8-2-1 in the past 11 against NL East teams, although the under is 3-0-1 in the past four vs. RHP and 3-1-1 in their past five games overall. The over is 35-17-2 in the past 54 home games for the Nationals, while going 9-4 in their past 13 games against teams with a winning percentage over .600.

RHP Stephen Strasburg starts for the Nats, and the over is an incredible 37-12-2 in the past 51 home starts, while going 6-2 in his past eight starts overall. The over is also 4-0 in the past four starts against NL Central teams, and 21-5-1 in the past 27 home outings against teams with a winning overall record. The over is also 4-0 in his past four outings against teams from the NL Central.

The Red Sox and White Sox battle on the south side. The under is 7-0-1 in the past eight by LHP David Price, and 4-0-1 in the past five road outings by the southpaw. The under is also 4-1 in his past five road outings against teams with a losing overall record. For the White Sox, the under is 5-2-1 in the past eight games at home, 6-1-1 in their past eight home games against a losing team and 5-1 in their past six vs. LHP. However, the over is 6-1 in RHP Lucas Giolito's past seven starts, and 7-1 in his past eight outings at home.

Wind Report

The only place the conditions will affect the game play will be on the south side of Chicago, as the wind will be blowing out from 10-13 mph. That could potentially affect the total.


Friday, May 3

The Athletics and Pirates kick off an interleague series in the Steel City on Friday, with LHP Brett Anderson taking on RHP Joe Musgrove. The under is 16-5-2 in the past 23 interleague games for the A's, while going a perfect 7-0 in their past seven interleague road games vs. RHP. However, the over is 4-1 in Anderson's past five starts, while going 3-1-1 in the past five road starts by Anderson. The over is also 4-0 in his past four starts on a grass surface. For the Bucs, the under is 5-2 in the past seven at home, and 5-1 in their past six interleague home games. The under is also a perfect 5-0 in the past five against teams with a losing record, and 4-1 in the past five home games vs. LHP.

The Mariners and Indians kick off a three-game set on Friday night in Cleveland. The over has been plentiful for the M's, going 21-8-2 in the past 31 games overall and 10-2-1 in the past 13 road outings. The over is also 9-2-1 in their past 12 road games vs. RHP, and 3-1-1 in the past five overall against righties. The over is also 5-0-1 in LHP Yusei Kikuchi's past six outings overall. For the Tribe, the under is 5-0-1 in the past six against AL West clubs. The under is also 6-1-1 in their past eight overall, while going 4-1 in RHP Shane Bieber's past five starts. The under is also 5-0-1 in the past six against teams with a winning record.

It's a southpaw battle when Dodgers LHP Clayton Kershaw and Padres LHP Eric Lauer hook up in San Diego. Surprisingly, the over is 6-0 in Kershaw's past six road starts, and 5-0 in his past five on the road against teams with a winning overall mark. The over is also 3-1-1 in the past five against winning teams. The over is 6-2 in L.A.'s past eight against southpaws, too, and 11-4-1 in the past 16 against AL West foes. For the Padres it's the exact opposite. The under is 5-1 in the past six at home, and 7-2 in their past nine vs. LHP. The under is also 5-0 in the past five at home vs. LHP. The under is 8-3-1 in the past 12 overall for the Padres, but the over is 4-1 in Lauer's past five starts overall. In this series, the over is 5-0-1 in the past six meetings in this series, and the over is 9-2 in the past 11 starts by Kershaw against the Padres.

Wind Report

The winds will be gusting in from the left-center field power alley into the face of the batters at 10-12 mph for the Cardinals-Cubs afternoon game at Wrigley Field. On the south side, the Red Sox and White Sox will be affected by 10-13 mph winds blowing from third base to first base, potentially affect the power stroke of right-handed batters.

 

[Cnotes53]

LEADING OFF: Kluber's broken forearm checked, Ohtani eager
May 1, 2019
By The Associated Press

A look at what's happening around the majors today:

KLUBER HURT

Indians ace Corey Kluber will be re-evaluated in Cleveland, a day after a line drive in Miami broke his right forearm. There was no early word on how long the two-time AL Cy Young Award winner would be out.

The right-hander was put in a cast after being struck by Brian Anderson's liner. Kluber has a 5.80 ERA this season for the AL Central champions.

ALL SET?

Shohei Ohtani says he's disappointed he won't return to the Los Angeles Angels' lineup this week. The AL Rookie of the Year says he's ready to play whenever the team allows it.

Ohtani had Tommy John surgery Oct. 1, and he is currently taking the final rehab steps for his return. Although he won't travel with the Angels for their series in Monterrey, Mexico, this weekend, he could be ready to play when the Angels visit Detroit on Tuesday.

The two-way star isn't expected to pitch this season while recovering from the elbow surgery, but is expected back in the batter's box soon.

TRY AGAIN

Noah Syndergaard (1-3, 6.45 ERA) tries to get on track when the Mets finish a 10-game homestand with a 12:10 p.m. matinee against Cincinnati. Syndergaard has lost his last two outings and hasn't gone more than five innings in any of his past three, allowing 14 earned runs and 27 hits over 15 innings during that span. But he is 4-0 with a 2.67 ERA in five career starts vs. Cincinnati.

SIMMERING

Jacob Rhame and the Triple-A Syracuse Mets finish a series against the Lehigh Valley IronPigs with a 10:35 a.m. game in Allentown, Pennsylvania. The matchup between the top affiliates from New York and Philadelphia got off to a testy start this week. As Rhame warmed up Monday night, the video board at the ballpark played a clip of Rhys Hoskins taking a 34-second trot around the bases after homering off the reliever last week at Citi Field. The homer came a day after Rhame buzzed Hoskins with a couple of pitches - Rhame was suspended two games and later sent to the minors.

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, MAY 2
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

SD at ATL 12:10 PM
ATL -138
U 8.5

CIN at NYM 12:10 PM
CIN +152
O 7.5

COL at MIL 01:10 PM
MIL -120
O 8.5

HOU at MIN 01:10 PM
HOU -102
O 8.0

TB at KC 02:15 PM
KC +147
O 8.0

STL at WAS 04:05 PM
STL +130
U 9.0

BOS at CHW 08:10 PM
CHW +172
U 8.5

TOR at LAA 10:07 PM
TOR +138
U 8.5

 

[Udog]

Diamond Trends - Thursday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Red Sox are 13-0 SU in the first game of a series with no rest as a favorite after a game in which they scored in at least five separate innings and it is before the All-Star break.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Reds are 0-14 SU as a dog of more than 135 when they are off a game as a dog in which they scored three runs or fewer and won.

Batter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Nationals are 8-0 SU as a home favorite off a home game in which Adam Eaton was hitless in at least three at bats.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Mets are 13-0 OU with Noah Syndergaard in franchise history when their bullpen gave up runs in their last two games and they lost in his last start, going over by an average of 5.54 runs per game.

 

[Cnotes53]

Syndergaard does it all in Mets' 1-0 win over Reds
May 2, 2019
By The Associated Press

NEW YORK (AP) Noah Syndergaard became the first pitcher in 36 years to homer and throw a shutout in a 1-0 victory, lifting the New York Mets over the Cincinnati Reds on Thursday.

Syndergaard (2-3) struck out 10 and allowed four hits in his third career complete game, shaking off a sloppy start to the season with a do-it-all effort. He became the first Mets starter to get an out in the eighth this season, and the franchise's first starter ever to go yard in a 1-0 complete-game win.

Thor did his hammering in the third inning, driving a ball 407 feet to the opposite field in left-center off Tyler Mahle (0-4).

The previous pitcher to homer in a 1-0 complete-game win was the Los Angeles Dodgers' Bob Welch against the Reds on June 17, 1983, according to the Elias Sports Bureau.

NATIONALS 2, CARDINALS 1

WASHINGTON (AP) - Stephen Strasburg reached 1,500 strikeouts in fewer innings than any pitcher in major league history, and Washington beat St. Louis after a long rain delay to salvage the finale of a four-game series.

Despite the strong performance by Strasburg, the Nationals (13-17) fired pitching coach Derek Lilliquist after the game and replaced him with minor league pitching coordinator Paul Menhart. General manager Mike Rizzo made the announcement moments after the final out.

Strasburg (3-1) lasted 6 2/3 innings, giving up a run and six hits with two walks and nine strikeouts. He got opposing starter Dakota Hudson looking in the fifth for his eighth strikeout of the game and the 1,500th of his career - in 1,272 1/3 innings.

According to the Elias Sports Bureau, Boston left-hander Chris Sale held the previous mark, reaching 1,500 in 2017 after 1,290 innings.

Sean Doolittle struck out pinch-hitter Paul Goldschmidt with the bases loaded to end the eighth, then finished for his fourth save.

Hudson (2-2) allowed two runs, one earned, and four hits in six innings. Kolten Wong hit an RBI single and Yairo Munoz had three hits for St. Louis, which had won five straight.

TWINS 8, ASTROS 2

MINNEAPOLIS (AP) - Jose Berrios won his fourth straight start, Jason Castro homered off former battery mate Brad Peacock and drove in four runs, and AL-leading Minnesota beat Houston.

Backed by a six-run fourth from the Twins against Peacock (2-2), Berrios (5-1) finished seven smooth innings with seven hits and two runs allowed to push the Twins to their first season series victory over the Astros since 2013.

With 52 home runs in 29 games, the Twins have powered their way to or near the top of the league in several hitting categories.

WHITE SOX 6, RED SOX 4

CHICAGO (AP) - Nicky Delmonico hit a three-run homer with one out in the bottom of the ninth inning to lift Chicago over Boston.

It was Chicago's second straight walk-off win. Yonder Alonso had a two-run single in the nightcap of Wednesday's doubleheader against Baltimore for a 7-6 victory.

James McCann hit a two-run homer for the White Sox, who have won five of six.

Andrew Benintendi homered, J.D. Martinez had three hits and Rafael Devers drove in two runs as the Red Sox had their three-game winning streak snapped.

Chicago's rally in the ninth began with a one-out error by Devers on a grounder to third by Jose Rondon. Alonso followed with a single to put runners at the corners. Delmonico, who entered as a pinch hitter in the seventh, connected off Ryan Brasier (1-1) to win it.

Carson Fulmer (1-1) got two outs for the victory.

ROCKIES 11, BREWERS 6

MILWAUKEE (AP) - Nolan Arenado, David Dahl and Raimel Tapia homered to help Colorado earn a four-game split with Milwaukee.

Arenado had three hits, including his ninth home run this season. Dahl finished a triple short of the cycle for the Rockies, who outscored the Brewers 22-10 in the final two games of the series.

Jon Gray (3-3) allowed seven runs and seven hits in 5 2/3 innings with nine strikeouts.

Freddy Peralta (1-1) fell behind 7-0 by the second inning and gave up nine runs - six earned - eight hits and three walks in four innings.

RAYS 3, ROYALS 1

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) - Brandon Lowe hit a two-run homer off Wily Peralta with two outs in the ninth inning, and Tampa Bay split a four-game series with Kansas City.

Peralta (2-2) walked Daniel Robertson on four pitches leading off the ninth, and Lowe connected with two outs for his seventh home run this season.

Adam Kolarek (2-1) got the final two outs of the eighth, and Diego Castillo struck out two in a perfect ninth for his fourth save in as many chances.

PADRES 11, BRAVES 2

ATLANTA (AP) - Ian Kinsler and Wil Myers homered, Matt Strahm worked six innings and San Diego routed Atlanta to earn a split of a four-game series.

The Padres broke the game open with a five-run fifth, helped by an errant throw from Atlanta pitcher Mike Foltynewicz (0-1) that allowed four unearned runs to score. San Diego added five runs in the sixth - the first time since 2000 they have scored five runs in consecutive innings.

Strahm (1-2) took a shutout into the sixth before allowing a two-run single to Nick Markakis.

ANGELS 6, BLUE JAYS 2

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB MAY'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

05/02/2019 5-11-0 31.25% -31.40
05/01/2019 4-20-1 16.60% -91.05

Totals...............9 - 31 - 1...22.50% -122.45


*****************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

05/02/2019.............1 - 4.....................-11.40..................4 - 4..................-2.00................-13.40
05/01/2019.............4 - 4.....................+1.10...................1 - 12................-61.00..............-59.90

Totals.....................5 - 8......................-10.30..................5 - 16...............-63.00...............-73.30


********************************


APRIL'S BEST BETS:

Totals.................77 - 109...................-38.35...............177 - 192............-149.00...............-187.35

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday?s 6-pack

Spreads on some random NFL games this fall:

? Week 10: Chargers (-4) @ Oakland

? Week 11: Patriots @ Philadelphia (-1.5)

? Week 12: Packers (-1) @ San Francisco

? Week 13: Saints (-3) @ Atlanta

? Week 14: Cowboys @ Chicago (-3.5)

? Week 15: Colts @ New Orleans (-4)

Tweet of the Day
?I should feel bad for Rosen who hasn?t earned anything in the NFL yet? I was a 5th rounder & in 11 seasons 5 guys were specifically drafted to take my job. I could have (cried) about it or compete & f?ing fight for it. Period. That?s the @nfl & Life.?
Former NFL lineman David Diehl

Friday?s quiz
What is the western-most province in Canada?

Thursday?s quiz
In the basketball movie Hoosiers, Gene Hackman coached at Hickory HS.

Wednesday?s quiz
Celtics? general manager Danny Ainge holds the Toronto Blue Jays? franchise record for youngest player to hit a home run.

************************

Friday?s List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here?..

13) Mets 1, Reds 0? Noah Syndergaard threw a complete game 1-0 shutout and hit a home run; this is only the 7th time this has EVER happened, and only second time since 1971. Here are the other six times this happened (thanks to Andrew Simon for the research):

? Red Ruffing 8/13/32
? Spud Chandler, 5/21/38
? Early Wynn, 5/1/59
? Jim Bunning, 5/5/65
? Juan Pizarro, 9/16/71
? Bob Welch, 6/17.83

12) %age of runs scored on home runs the last four years:
2016: 40.2%
2017: 42.3%
2018: 40.3%
2019: 43.4% (thru Monday)

Before 2016, the all-time record was 37.3%.

11) Milwaukee Brewers have pitching issues; only once in their last 18 games has their starting pitcher finished the 6th inning; in half of those 18 games, the starter didn?t even finish the 5th inning, so there has been a tremendous strain on their bullpen.

10) Pac-12 is joining the ACC, Big 14 in moving to 20 conference basketball games, starting with the 2020-21 season. This does two main things:
? Creates more programming for the Pac-12 Network.
? Decreases the opportunities for mid-majors to schedule quality non-league games.

Now, if the geniuses who run the Pac-12 would allow their network to be shown on DirecTV. then maybe the league could get the exposure it deserves.

9) Golden State Warriors? TV guy Jim Barnett was in the SF Giants? TV booth during the game Wednesday night; he was saying how when he played in the NBA (Barnett had an 11-year career, scoring 11.7 ppg), he went through four pairs of sneakers per season.

Then he was saying that nowadays, Stephen Curry wears a different pair of sneakers every game. Must make the Warriors? equipment manager?s job a real joy.

8) Apparently the family of a Chinese student admitted to Stanford in 2017 paid $6.5M to try to guarantee her spot there. My question is, why? Stanford is an excellent school, but still??

Why $6.5M? Why not $1M? Or $10M?

Is it that difficult to get into these schools? Or that lucrative to be an alumnus of one of these schools? Why not just save the $6.5M and go to a state school?

7) Baseball injuries:
? White Sox put P Carlos Rodon (edema in left arm) on IL.

6) College basketball transfer portal:
? Rutgers poaches Stony Brook grad transfer Akwasi Yeboah (16.7 ppg).

5) Wednesday night was 7th time in Jacob deGrom?s career that he?s thrown 7+ scoreless innings without getting the win in that game.

4) From the New York Post:

?Over last three fiscal years, Madison Square Garden paid CEO James Dolan $75.6M, according to a lawsuit filed on behalf of his shareholders. The average salary for CEO?s at similar companies is $17M a year.

The lawsuit claims Dolan is too focused on touring and recording as the frontman and guitarist for his band JD & the Straight Shot. In 2017 the band performed 50 times in six countries and 41 US cities.?

Lot fewer people would complain about Dolan if the Knicks didn?t suck every year. They?ve missed the playoffs the last six years, haven?t won an NBA title since 1973. NHL?s Rangers haven?t won the Stanley Cup since 1994; that is their only title since 1940- they missed the playoffs the last two years.

3) There are 16 players in the Pro Football Hall of Fame who weren?t drafted.

2) Sounds like Auburn is going to have a freshman QB starting this fall, which isn?t always good for a coach?s job security.

1) Get well soon to Celtics? GM Danny Ainge, who suffered a mild heart attack in Milwaukee Tuesday night. He received immediate medical attention and is expected to make a full recovery.

 

[Cnotes53]

LEADING OFF: Vlad Jr. in Texas, MLB-best Twins visit Yankees
May 2, 2019
By The Associated Press

A look at what's happening around the majors Friday:

CHILD'S PLAY

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the Blue Jays open a weekend series at Texas, where the touted rookie's Hall of Fame father was part of the 2010 Rangers team that won the AL championship and went to franchise's first World Series. During Guerrero's only season in Texas, the club's hitting coach was Clint Hurdle, now manager of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Hurdle, whose Pirates swept a two-game series at Texas this week, said the elder Guerrero approached him one August night that season and told the coach to meet him in the batting cage the next day.

''I'm always wondering, am I ever going to get to work with this guy? Because I hadn't,'' Hurdle said, laughing while recalling the story. ''He walks in with Junior and says, `My son, here, please work with my son.' ... And he walked out.'' Hurdle conducted about a 30-minute session with the 11-year-old Guerrero, concluding he was ''very advanced'' and hit the ball ''way too hard'' for his age.

''That was my experience working with Vlad,'' Hurdle said.

HOUSE OF HORRORS

Minnesota (19-10) takes baseball's best record into the opener of a three-game series at Yankee Stadium, where the Twins are 14-50 since 2002 - including the postseason. James Paxton (3-2, 3.38 ERA) pitches for New York against Kyle Gibson (2-0, 4.88), who is 1-5 with a 6.86 ERA in eight starts against the Yankees.

NL CENTRAL SHOWDOWN

An old rivalry is renewed when the NL-leading Cardinals (20-11) and Cubs meet for the first time this season at Wrigley Field. Jack Flaherty (3-1) gets the ball for St. Louis, which had won five straight before a rain-delayed 2-1 loss at Washington on Thursday. Flaherty has not allowed a run in 12 innings this season during day games. Kyle Hendricks (1-4) starts for the second-place Cubs, who are riding a four-game winning streak.

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday's Diamond Notes
May 3, 2019
By Kevin Rogers

Hottest team: Twins (10-3 last 13)

Believe it or not, Minnesota owns the top record in Major League Baseball at 19-10 after capturing three of four home games from Houston. Forgiving an 11-0 defeat on Tuesday night, the Twins limited the Astros to a total of four runs in the three wins, while blowing out the defending AL West champions, 8-2 on Thursday to finish their homestand at 6-1.

The Twins travel to the Bronx tonight to face the Yankees, who return home from a 6-3 west coast road swing. Kyle Gibson looks to remain hot on the mound for Minnesota as the right-hander is coming off a pair of victories over Baltimore in which he allowed three earned runs in 13 innings of work. The Twins have won four of Gibson?s five starts this season, while giving up one earned run in 11.2 innings in two starts against New York in 2018, although Minnesota lost both games.

Coldest team: Athletics (0-6 last six)

Oakland traveled out east last weekend owning a winning record at 14-13, but back-to-back sweeps at the hands of Toronto and Boston have put the A?s under .500. The offense hasn?t done much on this trip by not scoring more than four runs in any of the six losses, while giving up at least five runs in each of the past five defeats.

The A?s remain on the road for an interleague series with the Pirates at PNC Park this weekend. Pittsburgh is riding a brief two-game winning streak following an eight-game skid after grabbing a pair of games at Texas. Brett Anderson started the season with three straight wins for Oakland, but the southpaw is winless in his past three appearances, while suffering his worst outing of the season at Toronto his last time out by getting tagged for six runs and 10 hits in 4.1 innings of work.

Hottest pitcher: Tyler Glasnow, Rays (5-0, 1.75 ERA)

The Pirates traded Glasnow last season to Tampa Bay in exchange for Chris Archer and it seemed to be deal that would favor Pittsburgh in the short term. However, the Rays are the ones in the driver?s seat of this trade as the right-hander hasn?t yielded more than two earned runs in any of his six starts, while Tampa Bay is 5-1 in his appearances. Glasnow is 3-0 away from Tropicana Field, including a victory at Fenway Park over the Red Sox his last time out. Tampa Bay travels to Baltimore to face the Orioles as Glasnow tossed seven innings in a 4-2 triumph over the O?s as a -235 favorite in mid-April.

Coldest pitcher: Chris Sale, Red Sox (0-5, 6.30 ERA)

Amazingly, Boston is winless in six starts made by Sale in 2019, including three defeats as a favorite of -200 or higher. The numbers have actually improved for the lanky left-hander as Sale has given up four earned runs and struck out 18 in his last two starts, although the Sox lost at home to the Tigers and Rays. Sale heads back to Chicago to face his former team, the White Sox trying to break through the win column. Boston lost on a walk-off homer on Thursday to drop to 3-8 in series openers, while the Red Sox haven?t been much better in Game 2?s of a series off a loss by going 2-5.

Biggest OVER run: Mariners (8-1-1 last 10)

Don?t look at the scoreboard if you?re a fan of the Mariners recently as Seattle?s pitching has allowed 46 runs in the last four games. The M?s lost all four of those home contests to the Rangers and Cubs, including three defeats by 11 runs or more. Prior to this cold spell offensively, Seattle plated 19 runs in the first two games of its series against Texas. The M?s own a 9-2-1 mark to the OVER in the last 12 games away from T-Mobile Park as Seattle heads to Cleveland for a weekend series. Southpaw Yusei Kikuchi has drilled the OVER in three straight road starts, as the Mariners scored five runs or more in those contests.

Biggest UNDER run: Reds (13-3-1 last 17)

Cincinnati is by far the top UNDER team in baseball as the Reds have cashed only seven OVERS on the season. The Reds exchanged a pair of 1-0 contests against the Mets the last two days, while scoring three runs or less in five of the past six games. Cincinnati?s offense hasn?t been great this season, but the Reds have received quality pitching since a shaky start the opening week. Sonny Gray heads to the hill for Cincinnati against San Francisco as the Reds are 5-1 to the UNDER in the right-hander?s six starts. The offense has been inconsistent when Gray takes the ball as the Reds have scored five and seven runs in two wins, but have posted two runs or less in four losses.

Matchup to watch: Dodgers vs. Padres

It?s not a surprise that Los Angeles sits atop the NL West at 20-13, but San Diego is making a threat towards the top spot in the division at 18-14. The Padres started their road swing strong with a pair of victories at Washington, but blew a 6-0 lead in the finale in an extra innings loss and went on to lose two of the first three games at Atlanta. San Diego?s bats woke up on Thursday afternoon as the Padres scored five runs each in consecutive innings of an 11-2 rout of the Braves.

The storyline heading into tonight?s contest is Manny Machado facing his former team (albeit for the second half of 2018) for the first time since signing his mega-deal with the Padres. Southpaw Eric Lauer began the season with a masterful start against the Giants by tossing six scoreless innings, but he is winless in his past three outings. Lauer was sharp in his previous start against the Dodgers last September as a +240 underdog in L.A. by posting five innings and allowing one run in a 5-3 win.

The Dodgers lost two of three to the rival Giants earlier this week, including a pair of low-scoring one-run defeats. Los Angeles turns to Cy Young winner Clayton Kershaw, who is unbeaten in three starts after beating Pittsburgh his last time out, 3-1. The Dodgers have won all seven starts made by Kershaw against the Padres dating back to the start of the 2016 season, including four wins at Petco Park.

Betcha didn?t know: The Braves were embarrassed on Thursday by the Padres (you probably knew that). Atlanta heads to Miami as Kevin Gausman has dominated the Marlins in two starts since getting traded from the Orioles last season. The Braves? right-hander hasn?t given up a run in 12 innings against Miami, while the Marlins are 1-6 in their last seven games off a win after beating Cleveland on Wednesday.

 

[Cnotes53]

901St Louis -902 Chicago Cubs
ST LOUIS are 12-2 SU (9.8 Units) in day games in the current season.

903Washington -904 Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA is 30-18 SU (10.2 Units) in home games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent in the last 3 seasons.

905Atlanta -906 Miami
MIAMI is 6-13 SU (-10.9 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

907San Francisco -908 Cincinnati
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-35 SU (-20.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the last 3 seasons.

909Ny Mets -910 Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE is 44-43 SU (-3.3 Units) in home games when the money line is -100 to -150 in the last 3 seasons.

911Arizona -912 Colorado
ARIZONA is 19-7 SU (11.6 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

913La Dodgers -914 San Diego
LA DODGERS are 8-24 SU (-16 Units) vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game over the last 2 seasons.

915Tampa Bay -916 Baltimore
BALTIMORE is 104-136 SU (-45.6 Units) as an underdog of +100 or higher in the last 3 seasons.

917Minnesota -918 Ny Yankees
NY YANKEES are 86-64 SU (15.6 Units) after a loss in the last 3 seasons.

919Kansas City -920 Detroit
DETROIT is 23-12 SU (13.1 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons.

919Kansas City -920 Detroit
RON GARDENHIRE is 23-12 SU (9.8 Units) in home games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start (Coach of DETROIT)

921Seattle -922 Cleveland
CLEVELAND is 51-73 SU (-29.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive road games in the last 3 seasons.

923Toronto -924 Texas
TEXAS are 9-1 SU (7.9 Units) after a 2 game span where the bullpen threw 9 total innings or more in the current season.

925Boston -926 Chi White Sox
BOSTON is 22-9 SU (13.1 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons.

927Oakland -928 Pittsburgh
PITTSBURGH is 10-3 SU (8.3 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the current season.

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, May 3

National League
Cardinals (20-11) @ Cubs (16-12)
Flaherty is 2-0, 2.77 in his last two starts; he is 1-1, 5.87 in two starts at Wrigley. Team in his starts: 4-2
5-inning record: 4-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-6 Over/under: 5-1

Hendricks is 1-1, 2.25 in two home starts; he is 5-2, 3.38 in 14 starts vs St Louis. Team in his starts: 1-4
5-inning record: 1-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-5 Over/under: 2-3

Cardinals won 10 of their last 12 games; they?re 8-7 on road. Over is 9-6 in their road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-4-1 last 12.

Chicago won its last four games; under is 7-3 in their last 10 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five.

Nationals (13-17) @ Phillies (17-13)
Hellickson is 2-0, 5.95 in four starts; he is 2-1, 2.18 in four games (3 starts) vs Philly. Team in his starts: 3-1
5-inning record: 2-0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-4 Over/under: 4-0

Eickhoff is 1-1, 2.77 in two starts; he is 1-1, 2.88 in four starts vs Washington. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 0-2

Nationals lost six of their last eight games; their last three games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 last eight on road. Washington fired their pitching coach last night.

Philly won six of last eight home games; under is 5-2 in their last seven. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1-1 last seven.

Braves (15-16) @ Marlins (9-21)
Gausman is 0-2, 6.65 in his last four starts; he is 3-1, 1.52 in four starts vs Miami. Team in his starts: 2-3
5-inning record: 2-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5 Over/under: 3-2

Urena is 1-1, 2.70 in his last three starts; he is 2-6, 5.91 in 14 games (11 starts) vs Atlanta. Team in his starts: 1-5.
5-inning record: 1-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-6 Over/under: 4-2
Urena drilled Ronald Acu?a with the 1st pitch of game LY; he was tossed.

Braves are 3-5 in their last eight games; over is 4-2 in their last six road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3 last ten.

Miami lost four of its last five games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

Giants (13-18) @ Reds (13-18)
Beede was 0-1, 8.22 in two starts LY. He is 1-1, 1.99 in five AAA starts this year. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

Gray is 0-2, 4.96 in his last three starts; he is 2-0, 2.08 in two starts vs SF. Team in his starts: 2-4
5-inning record: 2-2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6 Over/under: 1-5

Giants lost four of last six games; under is 8-3-1 in their road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 10-3 last 13 games overall.

Cincinnati won five of its last six home games; they split pair of 1-0 games last two days. Under is 6-2-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-2 in last ten.

Mets (16-15) @ Brewers (17-16)
Matz is 2-0, 2.08 in his last two starts; he is 4-1, 3.16 in five starts vs Milwaukee. Team in his starts: 3-2
5-inning record: 3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-5 Over/under: 3-1-1

Woodruff is 2-0, 4.41 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 4-2
5-inning record: 4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6 Over/under: 4-2

Mets are 3-5 in their last eight games; four of their last five games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2-2 last 10 road games.

Milwaukee lost six of its last nine home games; under is 6-2 in their last eight home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 last eight.

Diamondbacks (18-13) @ Rockies (15-17)
Ray is 1-0, 4.09 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 4.15 in five starts at Coors Field. Team in his starts: 3-3
5-inning record: 2-3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-6 Over/under: 3-3

Anderson is 0-2, 11.34 in four starts; he is 2-0, 5.77 in eight games (6 starts) vs Arizona. Team in his starts: 1-3
5-inning record: 0-2-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-4 Over/under: 4-0

Diamondbacks won seven of last nine games; under is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-5 last 14.

Colorado won five of last seven home games; over is 6-2 in last eight games overall. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1 last six overall.

Dodgers (20-13) @ Padres (18-14)
Kershaw is 1-0, 2.25 in three starts; he is 8-2, 1.61 in 14 starts at Petco Park. Team in his starts: 3-0
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2

Lauer is 1-3, 5.74 in his last five starts; he is 3-0, 0.92 in three starts vs LA. Team in his starts: 3-3
5-inning record: 3-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6 Over/under: 4-2

Dodgers won five of last seven games; under is 6-4 in their last ten road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five.

San Diego won seven of last ten games; under is 12-3 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 last nine.

American League
Rays (20-11) @ Orioles (11-21)
Glasnow is 5-0, 1.75 in six starts; he is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts vs Baltimore. Team in his starts: 5-1
5-inning record: 6-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-6 Over/under: 0-5-1

Straily is 1-1, 3.21 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 3.75 in two starts vs Tampa. Team in his starts: 1-3
5-inning record: 2-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4 Over/under: 3-1

Rays won six of last nine games; over is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-1 last four games.

Baltimore lost five of last six games; over is 11-2 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 10-4-1 last 15 games.

Twins (19-10) @ New York (17-13)
Gibson is 2-0, 2.08 in his last two starts; he is 1-0, 4.50 in three starts in the Bronx. Team in his starts: 4-1
5-inning record: 4-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5 Over/under: 3-2

Paxton is 2-0, 1.37 in his last three starts; he is 3-1, 2.51 in five starts vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 4-2
5-inning record: 4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-6 Over/under: 4-2

Twins won six of last seven games; over is 6-2 in their last eight road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-1 last six games.

New York won five of last six home games; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 last eight games.

Royals (11-21) @ Tigers (13-15)
Lopez is 0-3, 5.61 in six starts; he is 0-1, 10.29 in two starts vs Detroit. Team in his starts: 1-5
5-inning record: 2-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-4 Over/under: 5-1

Boyd is 2-1, 3.12 in his last four starts; he is 3-7, 6.65 in 14 starts vs KC. Team in his starts: 3-3
5-inning record: 1-3-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6 Over/under: 1-4-1

Royals lost five of last six road games; over is 4-1 in their last five. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under is 7-3-3 in their road games.

Detroit lost five of its last six games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 last seven games.

Mariners (18-15) @ Indians (16-13)
Kikuchi is 1-1, 5.61 in seven starts. Team in his starts: 4-3
5-inning record: 5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-7 Over/under: 6-1

Bieber is 2-1, 4.28 in five starts. Team in his starts: 3-2
5-inning record: 2-1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-5 Over/under: 1-4

Mariners lost last four games, allowing 46 runs; over is 9-1 in their last 10 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-0 last six games.

Cleveland lost three of last four games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3 last eight games.

Blue Jays (14-17) @ Rangers (14-15)
Thornton is 0-3, 7.13 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 1-5
5-inning record: 0-3-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-6 Over/under: 2-3-1

Minor is 3-1, 1.75 in his last five starts; he is 4-0, 2.57 in six games (4 starts) vs Toronto. Team in his starts: 3-3
5-inning record: 4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6 Over/under: 3-3

Blue Jays lost their last three games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 last eight road games.

Texas lost seven of its last nine games; over is 7-0-1 in their last eight. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 last eight games overall.

Red Sox (14-18) @ White Sox (14-15)
Former White Sock Sale is 0-5, 6.90 in six starts; he is 1-1, 4.15 in two starts vs his old team. Team in his starts: 0-6
5-inning record: 0-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-6 Over/under: 3-3

Lopez is 2-0, 2.50 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 1.42 in one start vs Boston. Team in his starts: 3-3
5-inning record: 3-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-6 Over/under: 4-2

Boston won five of its last eight games; over is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3-1 last nine.

White Sox won five of their last six games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 last eight. Chicago won on walk-off hits last two nights.

Interleague
A?s (14-19) @ Pirates (14-14)
Anderson is 0-2, 7.62 in his last three starts; he is 2-1, 3.10 in four starts vs Pittsburgh. Team in his starts: 3-3
5-inning record: 4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-6 Over/under: 4-2

Musgrove is 2-0, 4.15 in his last three starts; he is 1-1, 1.33 in seven games (3 starts) vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 3-3
5-inning record: 3-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-6 Over/under: 3-2-1

A?s are 0-6 on this road trip (under 3-1-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 last six games.

Pittsburgh won its last two games after losing previous eight; over is 4-1 in their last five. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-1 last nine home games.

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 5/2
Ariz 6-16??3-13??.9
Atl 4-11??9-18??13
Cubs 3-15??2-11??..5
Reds 5-18??3-11??..8
Colo 3-19??2-12??..5
LA 2-16??9-14??11
Mia 1-12??5-17??..6
Milw 3-14?..8-17??..11
Mets 5-15??1-14??..6
Philly 3-12?..5-16??..8
Pitt 3-13?..4-13???7
StL 4-14?..2-15??..6
SD 6-16??1-15??.7
SF 0-15??2-16??..2
Wash 4-12??.4-15??..8

Orioles 5-17??.5-13??.10
Boston 3-16?..2-15???.5
W Sox 3-14??.5-14???8
Clev 4-17??.6-11??..10
Det 1-16??.3-12??.4
Astros 6-18??.2-13??..8
KC 4-12??.8-20??.12
Angels 5-14??3-17???8
Twins 6-14??4-16???10
NYY 7-16??6-14???13
A?s 3-17??.3-15??..6
Sea 5-15??.7-17??.12
TB 10-15??.7-15??17
Texas 4-12??.5-14???8
Toronto 0-14??.5-15???4

Interleague play- 2019
NL @ AL? 10-9 NL, favorites -$949 over 10-8-1
AL @ NL? 9-8 AL, favorites +$343 over 10-7
Total: 18-18, favorites -$606 Over 20-15-1

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, May 3

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ST LOUIS (20 - 11) at CHICAGO CUBS (16 - 12) - 2:20 PM
JACK FLAHERTY (R) vs. KYLE HENDRICKS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 20-11 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 17-9 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-15 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1806-1844 (-266.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 964-859 (-156.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 208-231 (-55.2 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 449-396 (-81.8 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 916-918 (-171.6 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1335-1374 (-207.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 59-69 (-38.5 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 112-96 (-24.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 227-217 (-47.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
HENDRICKS is 11-15 (-13.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JACK FLAHERTY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
FLAHERTY is 1-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.421.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

KYLE HENDRICKS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HENDRICKS is 5-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.122.
His team's record is 11-4 (+7.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-6. (+2.6 units)

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WASHINGTON (13 - 17) at PHILADELPHIA (17 - 13) - 7:05 PM
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. JERAD EICKHOFF (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 95-97 (-35.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 61-67 (-23.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-17 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-11 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHINGTON is 44-51 (-27.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 16-10 (+12.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 (+1.3 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HELLICKSON is 2-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.45 and a WHIP of 1.232.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

JERAD EICKHOFF vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
EICKHOFF is 1-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 1-3 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

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ATLANTA (15 - 16) at MIAMI (9 - 21) - 7:10 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. JOSE URENA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
GAUSMAN is 23-48 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 0-7 (-8.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 14-33 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 14-25 (-14.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 1-8 (-8.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 37-37 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 106-90 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 52-42 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 53-32 (+22.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 36-27 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 79-59 (+20.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-12 (-10.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-1 (+0.3 Units) against MIAMI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. MIAMI since 1997
GAUSMAN is 3-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.52 and a WHIP of 0.845.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.5 units)

JOSE URENA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
URENA is 2-5 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.54 and a WHIP of 1.291.
His team's record is 2-9 (-7.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-5. (-0.7 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (13 - 18) at CINCINNATI (13 - 18) - 7:10 PM
TYLER BEEDE (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 63-114 (-36.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-74 (-33.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-72 (-27.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 418-379 (-82.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
GRAY is 26-32 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 7-16 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 9-16 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 13-22 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TYLER BEEDE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

SONNY GRAY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
GRAY is 2-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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NY METS (16 - 15) at MILWAUKEE (17 - 16) - 8:10 PM
STEVEN MATZ (L) vs. BRANDON WOODRUFF (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 10-19 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 68-90 (-31.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 61-102 (-36.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 119-87 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 44-17 (+18.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 19-10 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 25-10 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 83-48 (+34.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 51-34 (+19.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 57-45 (+16.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+1.8 Units) against NY METS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

STEVEN MATZ vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MATZ is 4-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.16 and a WHIP of 0.926.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

BRANDON WOODRUFF vs. NY METS since 1997
WOODRUFF is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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ARIZONA (18 - 13) at COLORADO (15 - 17) - 8:40 PM
ROBBIE RAY (L) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 107-92 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 76-58 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 64-42 (+26.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 62-52 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 11-6 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ARIZONA is 8-1 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
RAY is 8-1 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ANDERSON is 13-24 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ANDERSON is 6-13 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ROBBIE RAY vs. COLORADO since 1997
RAY is 3-4 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.77 and a WHIP of 1.641.
His team's record is 4-8 (-6.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-1.7 units)

TYLER ANDERSON vs. ARIZONA since 1997
ANDERSON is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.841.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

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LA DODGERS (20 - 13) at SAN DIEGO (18 - 14) - 10:10 PM
CLAYTON KERSHAW (L) vs. ERIC LAUER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 120-92 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 82-72 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 83-69 (-29.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 37-57 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 2-8 (-8.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
KERSHAW is 18-6 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.90 and a WHIP of 0.975.
His team's record is 26-8 (+10.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 20-14. (+5.4 units)

ERIC LAUER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LAUER is 3-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 0.92 and a WHIP of 1.017.
His team's record is 3-0 (+5.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.3 units)

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TAMPA BAY (20 - 11) at BALTIMORE (11 - 21) - 7:05 PM
TYLER GLASNOW (R) vs. DANIEL STRAILY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
STRAILY is 40-25 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
STRAILY is 12-3 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRAILY is 34-30 (+15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 110-83 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 76-61 (+12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 68-40 (+25.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 58-136 (-53.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 27-61 (-27.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 31-63 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 4-26 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 34-89 (-43.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 34-94 (-47.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 40-95 (-35.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 25-75 (-32.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-2 (+0.2 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

TYLER GLASNOW vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
GLASNOW is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 0.818.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
STRAILY is 1-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (19 - 10) at NY YANKEES (17 - 13) - 7:05 PM
KYLE GIBSON (R) vs. JAMES PAXTON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 138-152 (+28.9 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
GIBSON is 84-80 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
GIBSON is 21-13 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GIBSON is 24-19 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 156-133 (-61.9 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

KYLE GIBSON vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
GIBSON is 1-5 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.86 and a WHIP of 1.549.
His team's record is 1-7 (-5.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-6. (-4.8 units)

JAMES PAXTON vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PAXTON is 3-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.012.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (11 - 21) at DETROIT (13 - 15) - 7:10 PM
JORGE LOPEZ (R) vs. MATT BOYD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 11-4 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
BOYD is 12-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 73-134 (-44.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 420-368 (-71.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JORGE LOPEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
LOPEZ is 0-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 10.29 and a WHIP of 2.286.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

MATT BOYD vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BOYD is 3-7 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 6.65 and a WHIP of 1.569.
His team's record is 6-8 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-9. (-6.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (18 - 15) at CLEVELAND (16 - 13) - 7:10 PM
YUSEI KIKUCHI (L) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 1-10 (-9.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 107-88 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 53-41 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 8-1 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 11-3 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 25-16 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 107-87 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-17 (-14.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 62-55 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 24-27 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 32-40 (-20.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against SEATTLE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

YUSEI KIKUCHI vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
KIKUCHI is 0-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

SHANE BIEBER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BIEBER is 1-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (14 - 17) at TEXAS (14 - 15) - 8:05 PM
TRENT THORNTON (R) vs. MIKE MINOR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 20-12 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 125-113 (+32.4 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TRENT THORNTON vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

MIKE MINOR vs. TORONTO since 1997
MINOR is 4-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 0.962.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (14 - 18) at CHI WHITE SOX (14 - 15) - 8:10 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 14-18 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SALE is 0-6 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SALE is 24-36 (-19.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 9-2 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LOPEZ is 9-1 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 103-53 (+25.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 1-0 (+1.8 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CHRIS SALE vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SALE is 1-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.462.
His team's record is 1-1 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
LOPEZ is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.422.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (14 - 19) at PITTSBURGH (14 - 14) - 7:05 PM
BRETT ANDERSON (L) vs. JOE MUSGROVE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 392-485 (-94.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 6-15 (-11.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 1-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 134-102 (+32.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 19-5 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 667-592 (+65.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
OAKLAND is 111-85 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

BRETT ANDERSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ANDERSON is 2-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.377.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

JOE MUSGROVE vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MUSGROVE is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.06 and a WHIP of 1.001.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, May 3


St. Louis @ Chicago Cubs

Game 901-902
May 3, 2019 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Flaherty) 17.938
Chicago Cubs
(Hendrcks) 16.114
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-115
7
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-115); Under

Oakland @ Pittsburgh

Game 927-928
May 3, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Andrson) 13.941
Pittsburgh
(Musgrve) 15.452
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-115); Over

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore

Game 915-916
May 3, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 14.560
Baltimore
(Straily) 13.604
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-215
9
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-215); Under

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 903-904
May 3, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Hellckson) 14.656
Philadelphia
(Eickhoff) 15.686
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-165
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-165); Under

Minnesota @ NY Yankees

Game 917-918
May 3, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Gibson) 16.193
NY Yankees
(Paxton) 17.624
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-155
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-155); Over

Seattle @ Cleveland

Game 921-922
May 3, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Kikuchi) 13.798
Cleveland
(Bieber) 12.951
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-145
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+125); Under

Atlanta @ Miami

Game 905-906
May 3, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Gausman) 13.661
Miami
(Urena) 14.933
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-155
8
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+135); Over

San Francisco @ Cincinnati

Game 907-908
May 3, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Beede) 15.536
Cincinnati
(Gray) 14.610
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-155
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+135); Over

Kansas City @ Detroit

Game 919-920
May 3, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Lopez) 13.481
Detroit
(Boyd) 14.845
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-145
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-145); Over

Toronto @ Texas

Game 923-924
May 3, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Thornton) 15.907
Texas
(Minor) 14.514
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-150
10
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+130); Under

Boston @ Chicago White Sox

Game 925-926
May 3, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Sale) 15.938
Chicago White Sox
(Giolito) 14.631
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-195
8
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-195); Over

NY Mets @ Milwaukee

Game 909-910
May 3, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Matz) 15.988
Milwaukee
(Woodruff) 14.327
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(+105); Over

Arizona @ Colorado

Game 911-912
May 3, 2019 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Ray) 16.966
Colorado
(Andrson) 18.011
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-120
11
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+100); Over

LA Dodgers @ San Diego

Game 913-914
May 3, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 17.370
San Diego
(Lauer) 15.875
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-155
7
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-155); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

Diamond Trends - Friday
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Yankees are 21-0 SU at home off a road loss in which they never led.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Twins are 0-19 SU in the first game of a series with no rest as a road dog of more than 130 after they hit at least one home run and it is before the All-Star break.

Batter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Yankees are 10-0 OU off a road game in which Luke Voit hit a home run, going over by an average of 3.45 runs per game.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

-- The Rockies are 0-10 SU as a dog with Tyler Anderson.

 

[Udog]

STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS

STREAKING

James Paxton, New York Yankees (3-2, 3.38 ERA, $-81): After making the move to the Big Apple from Seattle, there was some uncertainty about how the lefthander would adjust to hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium, but Paxton is really starting to settle in.

Over his last three starts Paxton has been on fire, allowing just three runs while striking out 32 batters through 19.2 innings of work. A matter of fact, Paxton has actually pitched at his best at home this season, with just one run allowed through 19.2 innings. He will hope to continue his success today as the Yankees host the high-scoring Minnesota Twins.

SLUMPING

Sonny Gray, Cincinnati Reds (0-4, 3.64, $-227): Unlike most of the pitchers who make our slumping column, Gray has actually pitched pretty well despite his 0-4 start to the season. He has an impressive WHIP of 0.98 and opponent BA of .198 through six starts. Unfortunately the Reds haven't given him much run support; in Gray's four losses, Cincy has scored a total of four runs. Gray will go for his first win of the season tonight against the Giants who rank 29th in the majors in both runs per game with 3.16 and batting with .214.


WEATHER

Not too much to report in the area of weather for today's games, with wind possibly only playing a factor in (where else) the Windy City. There is a 10 mph wind breeze towards right field at Guaranteed Rate Field for the Sox game, while a 12 MPH wind is blowing towards home plate at Wrigley for the matchup between the Cardinals and Cubs.


3 STRIKES

ARENADO ON FIRE

Rockies third baseman Nolan Arenado has been on fire lately, batting .355 with three doubles, five homers and 10 RBI over his last ten games. Today the Rockies will be facing off against the Diamondbacks and starting pitcher Robbie Ray. Arenado has batted .355 with three doubles and three homeruns in 31 at bats against Ray in his career. Arenado has -167 odds to get an RBI today and +230 odds to crank a homerun.

STARTING OFF ON THE WRONG FOOT

The Baltimore Orioles are just 10-44 in their last 54 opening games of a series. Today they begin their home series against the Tampa Bay Rays who are 8-1 in their previous nine Game 1s and have 5-0 Tyler Glasnow on the mound. The O's are understandily heavy underdogs in this one, at +203.

OVER BETTORS REJOICE

The Seattle Mariners have been the best Over bet in the majors this season going 22-9 O/U. They're also 5-0-1 to the Over in Yusei Kikuchi's last six starts. Tonight Kikuchi and the M's will face off against Shane Bieber and Cleveland. While Bieber has been a strong Under bet this season (2-4 O/U) the Over has cashed in five straight meetings between these two teams.

 

[Cnotes53]

FRIDAY, MAY 3
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

STL at CHC 02:20 PM
STL -102
U 7.5

WAS at PHI 07:05 PM
PHI -166
U 9.0

MIN at NYY 07:05 PM
NYY -152
O 7.5

TB at BAL 07:05 PM
TB -223
U 9.5

OAK at PIT 07:05 PM
PIT -113
O 8.0

SF at CIN 07:10 PM
SF +136
O 8.0

ATL at MIA 07:10 PM
MIA +143
O 8.0

SEA at CLE 07:10 PM
SEA +129
U 8.5

KC at DET 07:10 PM
DET -149
O 8.0

TOR at TEX 08:05 PM
TOR +142
U 9.0

BOS at CHW 08:10 PM
BOS -184
O 8.0

NYM at MIL 08:10 PM
NYM +122
O 8.5

ARI at COL 08:40 PM
COL +102
O 11.0

LAD at SD 10:10 PM
LAD -151
U 7.5

 

[Cnotes53]

Hendricks needs 81 pitches for CG, Cubs beat Cards 4-0
May 3, 2019
By The Associated Press

CHICAGO (AP) Kyle Hendricks needed just 81 pitches for a four-hitter, Anthony Rizzo homered for his third straight game and the Chicago Cubs beat the NL Central-leading St. Louis Cardinals 4-0 on Friday.

The second-place Cubs won their season-high fifth in a row while cutting St. Louis' lead to 1+ games. The Cardinals have back-to-back losses after five consecutive victories.

Hendricks (2-4) pitched his third career shutout and fourth complete game, his first since he shut out Miami on Aug. 1, 2016. The right-hander struck out three and did not walk a batter, after getting pounded in a loss at Arizona last week. Hendricks improved to 6-2 in 15 starts against St. Louis.

Rizzo made it 3-0 with a three-run drive against Jack Flaherty (3-2) in the third and finished with three hits. Javier Baez added an RBI single in the seventh, and the Cubs opened a 10-game homestand with a win.

Flaherty allowed three runs and four hits in 5 2/3 innings.

BRAVES 7, MARLINS 2

MIAMI (AP) - Freddie Freeman and Brian McCann each homered to help Atlanta settle its score with Miami pitcher Jose Urena.

Braves right-hander Kevin Gausman was ejected in the second inning for throwing a 97 mph fastball behind Urena (1-5), who was at the center of a melee between the teams last season. Touki Toussaint (2-0), recalled from Triple-A Gwinnett, replaced Gausman and allowed one run in four innings with six strikeouts.

Gausman's first pitch to Urena was knee-high behind the batter, and plate umpire Jeff Nelson immediately signaled the ejection.

The game was Urena's first against the Braves since he was suspended for six games for intentionally hitting Atlanta's Ronald Acuna Jr. on the arm with a pitch last August, triggering a bench-clearing confrontation.

YANKEES 6, TWINS 3

NEW YORK (AP) - Gary Sanchez homered twice and New York overcame its latest injury, beating Minnesota after starter James Paxton exited early with soreness in his left knee.

Already with 13 players on the injured list, the Yankees said Paxton will have an MRI on Saturday. The oft-injured Paxton, acquired from Seattle in an offseason trade to be a front-end starter, lasted only three innings on a nippy, 51-degree night.

Jonathan Holder (2-0) tossed two perfect innings before Adam Ottavino and Tommy Kahnle each worked a hitless inning. Aroldis Chapman got three outs for his sixth save.

Sanchez launched a 428-foot shot off Kyle Gibson (2-1) leading off the fifth and lined a laser to left field against birthday boy Mike Morin for his 10th home run in the seventh.

GIANTS 12, REDS 11, 11 INNINGS

CINCINNATI (AP) - Stephen Vogt hit a tying homer in the ninth inning, Evan Longoria connected in the 11th and San Francisco rallied from an eight-run deficit for a victory over Cincinnati.

Down 8-0 after three innings, the Giants piled up three homers off the NL's top bullpen to pull it out and ruin top prospect Nick Senzel's debut for the Reds.

The Giants were down to their final out when Vogt connected off Raisel Iglesias for his first homer, tying it 11-11. Longoria led off the 11th with a homer just inside the left field foul pole off Jared Hughes (2-1), allowing San Francisco to get the better of a matchup between the NL's two worst offenses.

Reyes Moronta (1-2) escaped a threat in the 10th. Will Smith retired the side in the 11th for his eighth save in eight chances.

PHILLIES 4, NATIONALS 2

PHILADELPHIA (AP) - Rhys Hoskins hit a three-run homer, Jerad Eickhoff threw five crisp innings and Philadelphia beat Washington.

After Kurt Suzuki went deep off Seranthony Dominguez (3-0) to give the Nationals a 2-1 lead in the sixth, the Phillies rallied.

Jean Segura's infield single with one out chased Jeremy Hellickson. Lefty Dan Jennings (0-1) entered to face Bryce Harper, who drew a walk. Nationals manager Dave Martinez had a right-hander warming up in the bullpen but kept Jennings in to pitch to Hoskins. The cleanup hitter blasted a 1-1 pitch out to left to give Philadelphia a 4-2 lead.

RED SOX 6, WHITE SOX 1

CHICAGO (AP) - Chris Sale snapped out of his early season funk to earn his first win with an impressive performance against his former team, tossing six scoreless innings of three-hit ball in Boston's victory over Chicago.

Sale (1-5) entered with a 6.30 ERA through six starts but was dominant against Chicago in striking out a season-high 10. The left-hander retired seven of his first eight batters and didn't allow a hit until Yoan Moncada lined a sharp single with two outs in the fourth.

Rafael Devers launched a three-run homer deep to center off Reynaldo Lopez in the first inning. Michael Chavis added two-run shot to the top of the left field stands in the sixth as Boston won for the fourth time in its last five games.

Lopez (2-4) allowed six runs and eight hits through five-plus innings. In his previous start, the right-hander yielded only an unearned run and struck out a career-high 14 in six innings.

INDIANS 2, MARINERS 1

CLEVELAND (AP) - Pinch-hitter Tyler Naquin's two-out single in the ninth inning drove in the winning run and Cleveland defeated Seattle.

Naquin, batting for Jordan Luplow, grounded the first pitch from Anthony Swarzak (2-1) through the right side to score Leonys Martin from second base. Naquin was mobbed by teammates down the right field line after Cleveland's second walkoff win of the season.

The hit also provided some good news for the Indians, who placed pitcher Corey Kluber on the 10-day injured list before the game. Kluber broke his right arm after being hit by a line drive Wednesday and is out indefinitely. The Indians said Kluber does not need surgery for now and will be re-examined in three to four weeks.

Brad Hand (1-1) struck out two in the ninth to earn the win.

BREWERS 3, METS 1

MILWAUKEE (AP) - Ryan Braun hit a tiebreaking, two-run homer in the fifth inning off Steven Matz (3-2), Brandon Woodruff pitched five solid innings and Milwaukee beat New York.

Braun had three hits to lift his average to .226, including his seventh home run of the season. Milwaukee played its fifth consecutive game without NL MVP Christian Yelich, who continues to deal with low back discomfort.

Woodruff (4-1) gave up six hits and one run in five innings to beat the Mets for the second time in a week. He walked two and struck out seven.

Josh Hader got six outs for his eighth save in eight tries. Hader allowed the first two batters in the ninth to reach before striking out the next three.

ATHLETICS 14, PIRATES 1

PITTSBURGH (AP) - Josh Phegley drove in a career-high eight runs to set a franchise record for most RBIs in a game by a catcher and Oakland snapped a six-game losing streak.

Phegley sandwiched a run-scoring single in the third between bases-clearing doubles in the second and fourth and added a long solo homer in the ninth. He finished 4 for 5 for the A's, who jumped on Joe Musgrove (1-3) early to win for just the fifth time in 18 tries away from O.Co Coliseum.

Matt Chapman added his ninth home run for Oakland and Kendry Morales went 3 for 4 as the A's set season highs in both runs and hits (16), and nearly matched their entire 15-run output during the six-game slide that dropped them to the bottom of the American League West.

Brett Anderson (4-2) allowed one run on four hits with two walks and four strikeouts to pick up his first win since April 9. Anderson even added a pair of singles at the plate for the first multihit game of his career.

RAYS 7, ORIOLES 0

BALTIMORE (AP) - Tyler Glasnow pitched seven innings of three-hit ball to earn his major league-leading sixth win, and Tampa Bay got a slump-breaking homer from Mike Zunino in a rout of Baltimore.

Glasnow (6-0) struck out eight, walked none and lowered his AL-best ERA to 1.47. It's been an impressive turnaround for the right-hander, who entered this season with a 4-16 lifetime record.

Zunino snapped an 0-for-17 skid with a three-run homer off Dan Straily (1-2) to make it 4-0 in the fourth inning.

TIGERS 4, ROYALS 3

DETROIT (AP) - Matthew Boyd struck out nine in another solid outing, and Detroit scored three runs in the first inning.

It was the sixth straight quality start for Boyd (3-2), who allowed two runs and five hits in seven innings. He walked one. Shane Greene allowed a solo homer to Jorge Soler in the ninth, but he was able to close the game out for his American League-leading 13th save in 13 chances.

Jorge Lopez (0-3) settled down nicely after a tough first inning. He allowed four runs and five hits in seven innings.

DODGERS 4, PADRES 3

 

[Cnotes53]

MLB MAY'S OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

05/03/2019 19-9-0 67.86% +51.65
05/02/2019 5-11-0 31.25% -31.40
05/01/2019 4-20-1 16.60% -91.05

Totals..............28 - 40 - 1..41.17% -70.80


*****************************

BEST BETS:

DATE........................ATS................... ..UNITS..................O/U..................UNITS.............TOTALS

05/03/2019.............2 - 3.....................-1.10...................10 - 4................+28.00.............+26.90
05/02/2019.............1 - 4.....................-11.40..................4 - 4..................-2.00................-13.40
05/01/2019.............4 - 4.....................+1.10...................1 - 12................-61.00..............-59.90

Totals.....................7 - 11....................-11.40..................15 - 20...............-35.00..............-46.40


********************************


APRIL'S BEST BETS:

Totals.................77 - 109...................-38.35...............177 - 192............-149.00...............-187.35

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday?s 6-pack

More spreads on some random NFL games this fall:

? Week 10: Seahawks @ San Francisco (-2.5)

? Week 11: Steelers @ Cleveland (-3)

? Week 12: Cowboys @ New England (-6.5)

? Week 13: Bears (-3) @ Detroit

? Week 14: Giants @ Philadelphia (-8.5)

? Week 15: Jets @ Baltimore (-6)


Tweet of the Day
?That was like a rat down a drain pipe!!!?
Golf commentator late Thursday night, after a long putt went in on the European Tour

Saturday?s quiz
Who was the Arizona Diamondbacks? manager the year they won the World Series?

Friday?s quiz
British Columbia is the western-most province in Canada.

Thursday?s quiz
In the basketball movie Hoosiers, Gene Hackman coached at Hickory HS.

**************************

Saturday?s List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind??.

13) A 14-year old kid named Yang Kuang played in the European Tour event in China this week; he made the cut by a stroke, making a 15-foot putt on the last hole to finish the two days -1.

They show the kid get up and down from the bunker; he isn?t very big, but what a future he has, to be able to hold his own against pros when he is just starting high school.

12) So I?m having lunch at Denny?s Friday, and the couple in the next booth is having a fairly big argument; they?re newlyweds, and the Mrs is ?stressed out?, but they can?t agree on why she is stressed out, which stresses her out even further. Neither person is happy.

This goes on for a while, then they mercifully ask for the check, take their argument elsewhere. Hopefully they have a comfortable couch in their home, seeing how the Mr figured to be sleeping there Friday night. Oy.

11) The dictionary defines ?scapegoat? this way:

?a person who is blamed for the wrongdoings, mistakes, or faults of others, especially for reasons of expediency.?

Or in the case of the Washington Nationals, pitching coach Derek Lilliquist, who got told to take a hike Thursday after Washington stumbled to a 13-17 start.

Not his fault Bryce Harper signed in Philly.

10) Braves 7, Marlins 2? Last year, when Ronald Acuna was batting leadoff and hitting lot of homers, Jose Urena of Miami drilled him with the first pitch of a game and got tossed. Lot of words were exchanged since then. This game was the first time since then that Urena faced Atlanta.

Bottom of 2nd inning, Urena comes to bat and the first pitch is behind him, which wasn?t very subtle- Urena actually did a good job to avoid the pitch. Home plate ump immediately tosses Braves? P Kevin Gausman out of the game, which didn?t go over well with the Atlanta dugout.

9) You know the home team is pretty sad when their TV people send the roving reporter out to promote the stadium?s concession stands in the 2nd inning, and during her report, there is no one else in the shot. No one. Zero. Bupkis.

Marlins? home games are like the old joke, that if you?re an escaped convict, that would be a good place to hide out, since no one would think to look for anyone there.

8) With more strikeouts/home runs in baseball, that means fewer balls in play; does that lead to teams play worse fielders, since they?re going to get less action?

Milwaukee is playing Mike Moustakas at 2B, Travis Shaw at 3B; I?m guessing they have to have a 2B with better range than Moustakas somewhere in their system.

7) NFL and FOX agreed to fewer, but longer commercial breaks during next year?s Super Bowl. Four commercial breaks per quarter instead of five, with each running for 2.5 minutes instead of two minutes. Overall, same amount of commercials will be shown.

6) Detroit Lions? trainer quit this week, to pursue ?other opportunities?; the guy had spent 25 years in the NFL, the last five in Detroit. He was replaced by somebody from U of Michigan, who had previously spent time with the Patriots, Giants. Go figure. Matt Patricia spent a long time with the Patriots.

I may be a conspiracy theorist here, but guys don?t quit jobs like that, not when they?ve spent 25 years in the league. New head coach comes in, and after one season the trainer ?quits?. It will read that he jumped ship, but the suspicion here is that he got pushed.

5) Hope for New Jersey Jets? fans this season:

Since 2000, Jets head coaches, 1st year and then after??

2000 Al Groh First year: 9-7 Only lasted one year
2001 Herm Edwards: First year: 10-6 Rest of time: 29-35
2006: Eric Mangini: First year: 10-6 Rest of time: 13-19
2008: Rex Ryan: First year: 9-7 Rest of time: 37-43
2015: Todd Bowles: First year: 10-6 Rest of time: 14-33
2019 will be Adam Gase?s first year as Jets? coach.

4) Cincinnati Reds scored total of nine runs in Tyler Mahle?s first six starts, which explains why they lost five of those games. Mahle is 0-4, 4.09 with a 1.30 WHIP; he hasn?t been terrible, just hasn?t gotten any support whatsoever.

3) Cubs 4, Cardinals 0? Kyle Hendricks threw an 81-pitch complete game, the fewest pitches in a complete game since Aaron Cook in 2012.

2) Giants 12, Reds 11 (11)? Cincinnati led 8-0 in 3rd inning, 11-7 in 8th inning but lost, day after splitting pair of 1-0 games in New York. Stephen Vogt went 3-3 with three runs scored for SF, in a game he didn?t enter until the fifth inning.

1) The governor of Montana signed a sports betting bill this week, the first state this year to pass a sports betting bill. Tennessee will also have sports betting soon; governors in Iowa, Indiana have similar bills on their desks.

Montana expects to have their system up for the NFL season.

 

[Cnotes53]

Weekend Watch
Joe Williams

Saturday, May 4

The Cardinals and Cubs square off at Wrigley Field on Saturday afternoon at 4:05 p.m. ET on national television. The Cards have rattled off 10 victories over their past 13 games, and they're also 10-3 in the past 13 against right-handed starting pitchers, too. In addition, they're 13-6 in the past 19 starts by RHP Michael Wacha, while going 7-2 in his past nine against National League Central Division foes. However, the Cards are just 1-4 in the past five road outings against teams with a winning overall mark, and 3-8 in the past 11 road outings overall against teams with a winning record. For the Cubs, they have picked up five consecutive victories, while going 4-0 in their past four vs. RHP. They're also 4-1 in the past five at home. However, the Cubbies have managed just one win over the past five starts by RHP Yu Darvish. In this series, the Cards have won just five times in the past 21 trips to Wrigley Field, while going 1-5 in the past five road outings by Wacha in Chicago. The 'over' is 8-2-1 in the past 11 meetings in Wrigley, and 5-1-1 in Wacha's past seven starts on the north side.

The Nationals and Phillies face each other on Friday night, as LHP Patrick Corbin and RHP Jake Arrieta do battle at 'The Vault'. Currently OF Bryce Harper's new team is five games above his old team in the NL East standings. Washington has won just twice in the past seven on the road, while going 1-4 in the past five overall. They're also 1-5 in the past six vs. RHP. For the Phillies, they're 5-1 in the past six starts, and 4-0 in the past four against NL East opponents. Philly has also won five of the past six at home, and they're 26-9 in the past 35 at home vs. LHP. In addition, they're 4-1 in Arrieta's past five starts against divisional foes.

On the south side, it's a battle of Sox, and a battle of southpaws, too, as LHP Eduardo Rodriguez of the Red Sox battles LHP Manny Banuelos. Boston is starting to piece things together after a slow start, going 4-1 in the past five on the road, while going 4-1 in the past five overall, too. However, they're still just 1-5 in their past six tries vs. LHP, and 0-4 in the past four on the road against southpaws. E-Rod has been hot, and the BoSox are 4-0 in his past four against AL Central teams, 12-3 in his past 15 on the road and 22-5 in his past 27 against teams with an overall losing record. The White Sox are 4-1 in their past five vs. LHP, and 5-2 in the past seven overall, too. They're also 5-2 in the past seven on the south side. In this series the under is an impressive 10-2 in the past 12 meetings, while going 4-1 in the past five battles at Guaranteed Rate Field.

It's more lefty-on-lefty crime when the Dodgers battle the Padres at Petco as LHP Rich Hill and LHP Joey Lucchesi battle. The Dodgers have won six of their past eight overall, and they're 5-2 in the past seven road outings against a team with a winning record. They're also 8-1 in Hill's past nine starts, and 4-0 in his past four road outings. For the Padres, they're 7-3 in the past 10 vs. LHP, while going 5-1 in the past six at home against lefties. The Padres have dropped each of their past four against divisional foes. They're 4-1 in Lucchesi's past five home outings, but 3-13 in the past 16 against NL West foes. L.A. has won four of their past five trips to San Diego, and they're 6-2 in Hill's past eight starts against the Padres.

Weather Report

The weather report looks great all across the MLB venues on Saturday, with precipitation chances under 20 percent and wind under 10 mph. Weather won't play a factor.


Sunday, May 5

The Braves and Marlins will square off in South Florida. RHP Julio Teheran is on the bump, and the Braves are just 1-4 over his past five road outings, although they're 6-2 in his past eight outings against teams with a losing overall record. The Marlins are just 2-10 in RHP Pablo Lopez's past 12 starts, and they 0-7 in his past seven outings against divisional foes. The over is 5-2 in Teheran's past seven outings overall, while the under is 5-0 in Lopez's past five outings. The over is also 8-3 in the past 11 starts against the Marlins by Teheran.

RHP Zack Greinke and RHP German Marquez will do battle in the Mile High City, as the Diamondbacks and Rockies square off. Arizona has won six straight starts by Grinke, and they're 11-4 across his past 15 road outings. They're also 11-5 in the past 16 starts by Greinke against divisional opponents. The Rockies have won six of Marquez's past eight home outings, and they're 5-2 in the past seven starts overall by the righty. They're also 7-3 in the past 10 starts against NL West opponents by Marquez. The Rockies are 4-0 in Marquez's past four vs. the Diamondbacks, and the over is 5-0 across the past five starts by Marquez against Arizona.

The Cardinals and Cubs are the nationally televised game on Sunday night, with RHP Adam Wainwright and LHP Jose Quintana doing battle. St. Louis has won seven of the past 10 starts by Waino, and they're 38-17 in his past 55 inside the divisiion. The Cubbies have won each of Quintana's past four starts, and they're 4-1 in his past five at home against winning teams, 6-2 in his past eight overall against winning club and an impressive 20-7 in the past 27 starts by Q at home. The under is 4-1-1 in Quintanan's past six while working on six days of rest, and, for what it's worth, the under is 8-3-1 in his past 12 showings on a Sunday. The under is also 4-1-1 in his past six against the Cards. For St. Louis, the under is 4-0-1 in Waino's past five starts, 8-1-1 in his past 10 overall against teams with a winning overall record and 6-2-1 in Wainwright's past nine against the Cubs.

Weather Report

The Rays and O's will face a 50 percent chance of rain for the start of their 1:05 p.m. ET game on Sunday. However, the rain will taper off considerably and they'll get it underway, perhaps after a slight delay. The same holds true for the Nationals-Phillies battle, as their is a 35 percent chance of rain for the first hour of Sunday's game, but less than 20 percent after.

In the Bronx the rains will also be falling, potentially pushing back the Twins-Yankees battle by a few hours. However, they'll likely be able to get it in, as rain chances diminish to 25 percent by 4:00 p.m.

For the Blue Jays-Rangers battle in Arlington it will be the winds which affect the game. There will be a 9-12 mph wind blowing in from right field to home plate, knocking the ball down for left-handed hitters in particular. For Dodgers-Padres in San Diego, the winds will be blowing in from 9-12 mph from left field to home plate. Lastly, the Astros and Angels will face 10-13 mph winds blowing in from the left-center field power alley to home plate at Monterrey Baseball Stadium.