college plays for week #11....
- Thread starter AR182
- Start date
AR,
Good luck with all your plays this week. I highlighted this one because you are playing one of my favorite systems, that being playing dogs who lost the week before as DD favs. It, and all its off shoots like the one you wrote about, is one of the main things I look for during the season. It has served me well for several years now.
I was on the Cards already....good to see you on them as well.....and also, great tidbit about ND upset winners.
Good luck, my friend!!! :toast:
thanks guys...
adding.....
under 48 ark st / fiu....
I read that the asu qb has been battling a wrist injury to his throwing hand for the past few weeks which has caused asu to struggle offensively for the past few games....in addition they will also be w/o one of their top recievers, and best kick return guy kevin jones, who is suspended for tomorrows game.
after winning 3 games in a row, fiu has come back down to earth some in the last few weeks, and simply cannot run the football (average 95 rushing yds. per game at 2.7 ypc).....meanwhile asu has a very good defensive line, and should be able to concentrate on getting pressure on the fiu qb....
asu's offense averages 14.5 pts & their defense allows 26.5 ppg on the road this year.....fiu's offense averages 20 ppg at home, while their defense allows 19 ppg at home...
fiu is 6-0 under after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
good luck
adding.....
under 48 ark st / fiu....
I read that the asu qb has been battling a wrist injury to his throwing hand for the past few weeks which has caused asu to struggle offensively for the past few games....in addition they will also be w/o one of their top recievers, and best kick return guy kevin jones, who is suspended for tomorrows game.
after winning 3 games in a row, fiu has come back down to earth some in the last few weeks, and simply cannot run the football (average 95 rushing yds. per game at 2.7 ypc).....meanwhile asu has a very good defensive line, and should be able to concentrate on getting pressure on the fiu qb....
asu's offense averages 14.5 pts & their defense allows 26.5 ppg on the road this year.....fiu's offense averages 20 ppg at home, while their defense allows 19 ppg at home...
fiu is 6-0 under after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
good luck
thanks blackman...appreciate your comments...
making the ark st / fiu under 48 a 4* play...
good luck
making the ark st / fiu under 48 a 4* play...
good luck
ok thanks for the help. I had an old friend who would have asked "Well how many stars does he give ????!!" He was always making fun of the services 3000 star lock etc.
adding....
smu+3(130)....
both teams are coming off a bye....memphis is down to basically 1 qb, after losing their top 3 qbs to injuries...i also read that they will probably run some plays with one of their backs taking a direct snap from center...
smu has yet to record a win against a divison 1a team...before getting badly beat by navy right before their bye, smu was playing pretty good ball by going 3-0-1 ats in the 4 games previous to navy....including having 4th quarter leads against tulsa & houston....
the dog in this series is 11-1 ats & smu is 2-0 as a conference homedog this year...also memphis is 1-4-1 ats in their last 6 as a road favorite & 1-6 in their last 7 as a favorite....
play against - road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (memphis) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more.
since 1992 the ats record is.......24-6......80%
play on any college football conference dog (smu), in game 8 or later off b2b losses playing with a week of rest if they won 1 or less games last season & have won at least 1 game this season & their opponent is not off a dd victory.....
since 1980 the ats record is.....17-3........85%
good luck
smu+3(130)....
both teams are coming off a bye....memphis is down to basically 1 qb, after losing their top 3 qbs to injuries...i also read that they will probably run some plays with one of their backs taking a direct snap from center...
smu has yet to record a win against a divison 1a team...before getting badly beat by navy right before their bye, smu was playing pretty good ball by going 3-0-1 ats in the 4 games previous to navy....including having 4th quarter leads against tulsa & houston....
the dog in this series is 11-1 ats & smu is 2-0 as a conference homedog this year...also memphis is 1-4-1 ats in their last 6 as a road favorite & 1-6 in their last 7 as a favorite....
play against - road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (memphis) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more.
since 1992 the ats record is.......24-6......80%
play on any college football conference dog (smu), in game 8 or later off b2b losses playing with a week of rest if they won 1 or less games last season & have won at least 1 game this season & their opponent is not off a dd victory.....
since 1980 the ats record is.....17-3........85%
good luck
adding....
san jose st -7.....
this is a good matchup for sjs because lou tech's strength on offense is running the ball...they average 189 yd on the ground per game at 4.7 ypc...but their passing attack is simply horrible....on average for the year, the lt qbs are 12-29 (42%) for 156 yds per game with a horrible 5.4 ypp..but on the road the stats are even worse....the qb position is completing 11 of 30 passes (36.7%) for 143 ypg with a 4.8 ypp....so lt is effective when they play teams that are poor defending the run...like fresno st (lt won 38-35), who lt ran through last week....but sjs's strength on defense is stopping the run...they allow only 108 ypg on the ground at 3.4 ypc....& their pass defense only allows 52% completion rate.....so i don't see lou tech doing much on offense....
sjs gave myles eden his second start of the season last week at qb (cal transfer kyle reed has a bruised tailbone and has underachieved) and he delivered by going 23-of-31 for a career-high 295 yards and his first two td passes of the year......their top rb davis is not up to his 2006 form (1,007 yr / 6.2 ypc) after carrying just three times in '07 before getting hurt, but he does have 522 yr with a 4.8 average for the year....on defense lt allows
an average of 159 ypg on the ground....& allows 67.3% completion rate at an awful 9.6 ypp....so i see sjs being able to move the ball...
lou tech plays well at home with upsets over miss. st & fresno state, but they are 0-4 su/ats on the road, scoring a grand total of 24 points (6.0 per game)......
lou tech is 0-16-1 ats in games off a win in which they scored 35 or more points...
lou tech is 0-6 ats in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons....
lou tech is 1-9 ats in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.....
sjs is 11-1 ats at home against .500 or less opposition......
sjs is 7-0 ats as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.....
sjs is 13-3 ats after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons.....
i don't think that sjs will overlook tech (even with the team's poor road mark), as they lost last year at lou tech, after a big comeback (trailed 24-6 before losing 27-23) fell just short.....also the home team has won 6 of the last 7 in this matchup and a win here gives the sjs a great shot for a bowl game.
good luck
san jose st -7.....
this is a good matchup for sjs because lou tech's strength on offense is running the ball...they average 189 yd on the ground per game at 4.7 ypc...but their passing attack is simply horrible....on average for the year, the lt qbs are 12-29 (42%) for 156 yds per game with a horrible 5.4 ypp..but on the road the stats are even worse....the qb position is completing 11 of 30 passes (36.7%) for 143 ypg with a 4.8 ypp....so lt is effective when they play teams that are poor defending the run...like fresno st (lt won 38-35), who lt ran through last week....but sjs's strength on defense is stopping the run...they allow only 108 ypg on the ground at 3.4 ypc....& their pass defense only allows 52% completion rate.....so i don't see lou tech doing much on offense....
sjs gave myles eden his second start of the season last week at qb (cal transfer kyle reed has a bruised tailbone and has underachieved) and he delivered by going 23-of-31 for a career-high 295 yards and his first two td passes of the year......their top rb davis is not up to his 2006 form (1,007 yr / 6.2 ypc) after carrying just three times in '07 before getting hurt, but he does have 522 yr with a 4.8 average for the year....on defense lt allows
an average of 159 ypg on the ground....& allows 67.3% completion rate at an awful 9.6 ypp....so i see sjs being able to move the ball...
lou tech plays well at home with upsets over miss. st & fresno state, but they are 0-4 su/ats on the road, scoring a grand total of 24 points (6.0 per game)......
lou tech is 0-16-1 ats in games off a win in which they scored 35 or more points...
lou tech is 0-6 ats in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons....
lou tech is 1-9 ats in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.....
sjs is 11-1 ats at home against .500 or less opposition......
sjs is 7-0 ats as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.....
sjs is 13-3 ats after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons.....
i don't think that sjs will overlook tech (even with the team's poor road mark), as they lost last year at lou tech, after a big comeback (trailed 24-6 before losing 27-23) fell just short.....also the home team has won 6 of the last 7 in this matchup and a win here gives the sjs a great shot for a bowl game.
good luck
Great season AR.
What are your thoughts on the Iowa/Penn State game ? I know the public is all over PSU. Weather will be a factor.
Thoughts?
Thanks and Good luck today!
What are your thoughts on the Iowa/Penn State game ? I know the public is all over PSU. Weather will be a factor.
Thoughts?
Thanks and Good luck today!
adding....
kentucky+13(120)....
this is georgia's 3rd road game in a row...also georgia is 1-2 su & 0-3 ats the 3 years following their game with fla....
play on - home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (kentucky) - off a road win, when playing on a Saturday.
over the last 5 seasons the ats record is....26-2........92.9%
the situation's record this season is.....2-0.....
over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is.....17-1.....94%
northwestern also applies to the above system, but am not sure if i am playing it because osu is coming off a bye....
good luck
kentucky+13(120)....
this is georgia's 3rd road game in a row...also georgia is 1-2 su & 0-3 ats the 3 years following their game with fla....
play on - home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (kentucky) - off a road win, when playing on a Saturday.
over the last 5 seasons the ats record is....26-2........92.9%
the situation's record this season is.....2-0.....
over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is.....17-1.....94%
northwestern also applies to the above system, but am not sure if i am playing it because osu is coming off a bye....
good luck
thanks sooner...
i haven't decided on whether i am playing this game or not because there are many trends against psu..but don't think iowa is multi dimensional enough to beat a team as good as psu...
good luck
adding....
marshall+8....
this is a good situation for mu because they haven't played since last tues., while e. carolina is coming off an ot win.......the key to this game could be mu's qb because they are 3-0 su when the qb doesn't throw an int...
also ecu is 1-4 ats in their last 5....
i will take the over td with the team that is playing better....
good luck
marshall+8....
this is a good situation for mu because they haven't played since last tues., while e. carolina is coming off an ot win.......the key to this game could be mu's qb because they are 3-0 su when the qb doesn't throw an int...
also ecu is 1-4 ats in their last 5....
i will take the over td with the team that is playing better....
good luck
AR...I was about to write you to stay away from Army when I saw you switched.....thought maybe it was me but then i realized why after..lol...
Last week I was at a dinner with a b-ball ref retireing to Hawaii. I was at the Army table with everyone that works for the athletic program at the Point.you get even more info from those guys.They just kill Bowden the qb..about his passing skill. When the seasons over thats all there going to work on with him.If he can learn to pass he will be a threat.didn't know the Ind HS player of the Yr who went to the Point dropped out.He was talented but couldn't remember any plays..Armys new policy is "get out now..no more lingering around the program...".
Anyway GL today.. I'm jumping on some of your plays...like WV today and also troy
Last week I was at a dinner with a b-ball ref retireing to Hawaii. I was at the Army table with everyone that works for the athletic program at the Point.you get even more info from those guys.They just kill Bowden the qb..about his passing skill. When the seasons over thats all there going to work on with him.If he can learn to pass he will be a threat.didn't know the Ind HS player of the Yr who went to the Point dropped out.He was talented but couldn't remember any plays..Armys new policy is "get out now..no more lingering around the program...".
Anyway GL today.. I'm jumping on some of your plays...like WV today and also troy
Good Luck today AR....like a bunch of them, but my fav would be SJS w/ you for a nice amount on that one!
GL today AR. With you on a couple of your plays and tailing your ArkSt total. Thanks again for your dedication to making this the #1 Site!!!
