ML dogs in bowls

djv

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Thks DTB this all is good stuff. I hope it works out well again this year. I played little last two weeks of college just waiting to go after the bowl games. GL TO ALL.
 

$-Dubs

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Fellas, quick question. If I take all ML dogs through the pre-new year's games for 1 unit a piece, what type of unit outcome should I expect considering the results from the past 3-4 years? Thanks for the help.

-Boom
 

txhorns

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IE2002

Been using this site for the last 2 yrs now. He says it straight up. U get what ya pay for but it really has been a big help. Any time I had a question sent him an email and it was promptly returned. Always wondered how many people on MJ's used the site.
 
T

THE GOAT

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SO HOW DOES HE COME UP WITH TAKING MIAMI? THEY DIDNT COVER EITHER TIME:shrug: IS IT JUST A MONEYLINE THIMG.
THANKS FOR ALL THIS INFO
 

JEFF

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I don't imagine anyone is still following this strategy...
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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2003/2004 angle results
Graded on opening line link above.

Pick the winner 24-4
The ones that won but did not cover
Boise St-Hawaii-Bowling Green-Minnesto

Rushing angle
Teams rushing for most yards 18-10

Dogs
Covered 13 of 28 with 9 ml winners
Ml winners
Cal +2
Washington +7.5
Fresno +4
B.C. +2.5
Iowa +3
Miami +1
Clemson +6
Ohio St +6
LSU +5.5

Rushing angle took hit from previous 4 years starting off 1-7 1st 8 games but recovering in end.
ML did total flip with most coming in post 12-31 games.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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----continued from 2000

04/05 Bowls Angle results--More of same as previous years

Pick the winner--forget spread 24-4
Only teams to win and not cover
Lville-Georgia-Texas-Auburn

Rushing Angle 21-7
--teams to rush for more yards and lose
Ucla-Vir-UAB-N.D.-Cal-Fla-LSU

ML DogsAngle
Dogs were 16-12 of which 12 were ML winners
ML Winners
Wyoming +12.5
Fresno +6
Conn +3
Iowa St +3
Ohio St +2
B.C +4
Navy +1
T.T. +10.5
Minn +3
Arizona St +7.5
Tenn +5
Iowa +6.5
those that covered spread but not win
Boise St + 9.5
Wisconsin +7
Mich +7
Virginia Tech +6

Lines used were opening lines from NNS

See ya next year
 
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DOGS THAT BARK

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05-06 Bowls
Have brought this thread back yearly to to keep data current.
Don't do foots much anymore but been keep tally on money line dogs in bowls since 1999 and same trends seem to always play out.

For tracking purposes I put $20 @ Pinn on all dogs with line of +3 or more in Dec Bowl games--(never mess with Jan games) will use to track 05-06 games and tally up at conclusion.

52239814-1
2 4:10am
7-Dec-05 10:00am
31-Dec-05 Football
Money Tulsa vs Fresno State for Game +220 20.00 44.00
NCAA

52239814-2
3 4:10am
7-Dec-05 11:30am
31-Dec-05 Football
Money Iowa State vs TCU for Game +153 20.00 30.60
NCAA

52239829-1
4 4:12am
7-Dec-05 5:00pm
20-Dec-05 Football
Money Arkansas State vs So Mississippi for Game +670 20.00 134.00
NCAA

52239829-2
5 4:12am
7-Dec-05 5:00pm
22-Dec-05 Football
Money BYU vs California for Game +200 20.00 40.00
NCAA

52239829-3
6 4:12am
7-Dec-05 5:00pm
23-Dec-05 Football
Money Houston U vs Kansas for Game +141 20.00 28.20
NCAA

52239829-4
7 4:12am
7-Dec-05 1:00pm
26-Dec-05 Football
Money Akron vs Memphis for Game +194 20.00 38.80
NCAA

52239829-5
8 4:12am
7-Dec-05 5:30pm
27-Dec-05 Football
Money Rutgers vs Arizona State for Game +360 20.00 72.00
NCAA

52239829-6
9 4:12am
7-Dec-05 5:00pm
28-Dec-05 Football
Money Nebraska vs Michigan for Game +380 20.00 76.00
NCAA

52239829-7
10 4:12am
7-Dec-05 1:30pm
29-Dec-05 Football
Money Utah vs Georgia Tech for Game +290 20.00 58.00
NCAA

52239829-8
11 4:12am
7-Dec-05 5:00pm
29-Dec-05 Football
Money Oklahoma vs Oregon for Game +141 20.00 28.20
NCAA

52239829-9
12 4:12am
7-Dec-05 9:00am
30-Dec-05 Football
Money Virginia vs Minnesota U for Game +141 20.00 28.20
NCAA

52239829-10
13 4:12am
7-Dec-05 11:00am
30-Dec-05 Football
Money Northwestern vs UCLA for Game +145 20.00 29.00
NCAA

52239829-11
14 4:12am
7-Dec-05 12:30pm
30-Dec-05 Football
Money Missouri vs South Carolina for Game +162 20.00 32.40
NCAA

52239829-12
15 4:12am
7-Dec-05 8:00am
31-Dec-05 Football
Money South Florida vs NC State for Game +194 20.00 38.80
NCAA
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
results on pinnacle-- note there were 2 games not lined at date of wagers Clemson/Colorado and LSU/Miami --LSU would have fell in the -3 and over and paid +210 on money line-so missed one.

results of above- wagered $280-- $106 profit

52239829-1
2 4:12am
7-Dec-05 20-Dec-05 Football
Money Arkansas State vs So Mississippi for Game +670 20.00 -20.00
19 - 31 NCAA

52239829-2
3 4:12am
7-Dec-05 22-Dec-05 Football
Money BYU vs California for Game +200 20.00 -20.00
28 - 35 NCAA

52239829-3
4 4:12am
7-Dec-05 23-Dec-05 Football
Money Houston U vs Kansas for Game +141 20.00 -20.00
13 - 42 NCAA

52239829-4
5 4:12am
7-Dec-05 26-Dec-05 Football
Money Akron vs Memphis for Game +194 20.00 -20.00
31 - 38 NCAA

52239829-5
6 4:12am
7-Dec-05 27-Dec-05 Football
Money Rutgers vs Arizona State for Game +360 20.00 -20.00
40 - 45 NCAA

52239829-6
7 4:12am
7-Dec-05 28-Dec-05 Football
Money Nebraska vs Michigan for Game +380 20.00 76.00
32 - 28 NCAA

52239829-7
8 4:12am
7-Dec-05 29-Dec-05 Football
Money Utah vs Georgia Tech for Game +290 20.00 58.00
38 - 10 NCAA

52239829-8
9 4:12am
7-Dec-05 29-Dec-05 Football
Money Oklahoma vs Oregon for Game +141 20.00 28.20
17 - 14 NCAA

52239829-9
10 4:12am
7-Dec-05 30-Dec-05 Football
Money Virginia vs Minnesota U for Game +141 20.00 28.20
34 - 31 NCAA

52239829-10
11 4:12am
7-Dec-05 30-Dec-05 Football
Money Northwestern vs UCLA for Game +145 20.00 -20.00
38 - 50 NCAA

52239829-11
12 4:12am
7-Dec-05 30-Dec-05 Football
Money Missouri vs South Carolina for Game +162 20.00 32.40
38 - 31 NCAA

52239814-1
13 4:10am
7-Dec-05 31-Dec-05 Football
Money Tulsa vs Fresno State for Game +220 20.00 44.00
31 - 24 NCAA

52239814-2
14 4:10am
7-Dec-05 31-Dec-05 Football
Money Iowa State vs TCU for Game +153 20.00 -20.00
24 - 27 NCAA

52239829-12
15 4:12am
7-Dec-05 31-Dec-05 Football
Money South Florida vs NC State for Game +194 20.00 -20.00
0 - 14 NCAA
 
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rrc

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Good luck Dogs...

Good luck Dogs...

Thanks for keeping this thread alive the past several years.
 

DOGS THAT BARK

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Thanks my friend. Don't bet foots much anymore. Just mainly track these angles each year to see if they continue.Maybe someone can find something in them that they find useful.
 

dawgball

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DTB -- I actually came in this forum just to see if you had bumped this again.

Good stuff!
 

blgstocks

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I think the dogs ml record speaks for itself but has anyone who would be betting for against minnesota actually see minn play?!?!?
Minnesota played in a much tougher conference than Virginia and has an incredible rushing attack. By the way remember when Minnesota played the #1 rushing defense in OSU. They still put up 24 or something, even though they lost.

But according to Pinnacle, Virginia is a +3.5 and I dont see how they are going to keep up with Minnesota's offense.
 

Cappin Kirk

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Why are you only playing dogs that are +3 or more? By looking at the numbers, I think it makes more sense to play on all dogs from +1 to +10. I only saw a couple dogs of +10 or more win straight up (Ohio St. & Wyoming). I'm considering playing exactly what you did, only throwing out Rutgers, Nebraska, and Arkansas St. Although, Rutgers & Nebraska are borderline. I am also curious of what lines you are using for your data, opening or closing. All feedback will be appreciated.
 
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DOGS THAT BARK

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Kirk Don't follow my example--I don't follow foots any more just keeping stats from angles I found years ago that seemed to pan out every year. Got most of them originally back in late 90's from Jeff Nelson at nellie Sports. Lot of same data used that AR refered to in his 10 commandments--however appears AR has some interesting inputs on more current trends also. Reason I used lines of +3 or more is figure one could hit 30% and still come out decent.
Lines I used were @ Pinnacle at day thread was brought back up (12-07). I printed all lines there that day for grading purposes at conclusion.
 

sports addict

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Rushing angle question

Rushing angle question

When the team who outrushes the opponent covers 72% of the time, is that IN THE BOWL GAMES or is that the team who outrushed the opponent DURING THE SEASON?

If its in the bowl games are we to assume that we play the team who outrushed their opponent during the season? How else do we know before the game who is going to outrush?

Thanks for all the stats.
 
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