NBA SAT 032109 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

[Goalie31]

JC any leans on NC game.I'm on the over in this one..GL

 

[JCWhy]

Was there ever a decision made on Ind/Char???

Not sure what everyone else did on this but I'm locked in for a unit.

 

[axp59]

I would hope after the bashing MSU had taken at the other site, people would come over and be civil!Remind me to send you a tracking device if you are going to stay on the run!

G31, I am good where I am.

 

[JCWhy]

JC any leans on NC game.I'm on the over in this one..GL

I don't have any leans in that game. I stayed far away as I'm unsure how effective Lawson will be. GL

 

[axp59]

ax-

Late getting over here, just got your pm buddy. Glad to see you finally found a home! From reading the last couple nights threads, it looks like you have been hot! Love it brother, I'm here to join the fun!! I have not gotten a chance to look over the card yet today, lady is tyin me down! I'm gonna check it out right now. Again, glad to see you found a nice little spot here.

Glad to see you brother. Take your time and familiarize yourself with the new format. Bro, check out the emoticons...crazy!!!

 

[eeeerock]

Ax, I'm tailing you on the Purdue/Washington Under.

Uh oh i'm on the over here,well one of us will win,can't say GL cuz then I would be going against myself,hope I avoid being on the opposite side of you.

 

[axp59]

Was there ever a decision made on Ind/Char???

Not me, at least not yet.

 

[axp59]

While I've been a member for awhile (never posted), I wasn't around and just wanted to say that I'm sorry I've missed out on the quality discussions.

I do much more during football season, but will post when I feel I have something to offer.

In the Michigan / Oklahoma game, to me, the question is - will Oklahoma be able to get the ball inside? If they can, they should be able to win by double digits. If you think that the Michigan defense will be able to stop them from getting the ball inside, then I can see liking Michigan.

Personally, I like Oklahoma to get it done, but won't be shocked by Michigan stepping up.

In the NBA today, my leans would be on MIL and CHI, but in both cases, don't feel there is enough value at the current lines. I thought money might come in on the Lakers (still might).

Good Luck,
Bart

Bart, would love to have you join in on the fun. Got some straight shooters here with differing opinions but always respectful to one another. Hey, ask these guys how much crap I get everytime I throw out an overs play for discussion? We're in this to make some money and have fun doing it together. Hope to see you again soon

 

[axp59]

Ax, I'm tailing you on the Purdue/Washington Under.

I think it's a solid play if the plan is to go inside and under...

 

[axp59]

Uh oh i'm on the over here,well one of us will win,can't say GL cuz then I would be going against myself,hope I avoid being on the opposite side of you.

all good, should be a close one and please no OT..LOL

 

[barts185]

Got some straight shooters here with differing opinions but always respectful to one another.

If you ever see me be disrespctful to anyone, I'll ban myself.

Beating the books is hard enough.

No one should ever have to put up with disrespect for trying to help others.

It really seems like a good thing you have going here, hope that I'll be able to help.

 

[PickNPop]

Tidbit from Bator over at *overs:

"tonight will be the Knicks' eighth game since New Year's in which they were playing a team that beat them at the Garden in their last meeting. The Knicks have covered all seven rematches so far. "

 

[axp59]

No one should ever have to put up with disrespect for trying to help others.

It really seems like a good thing you have going here, hope that I'll be able to help.

You'll fit right in just fine. These guys are great!

 

[axp59]

Tidbit from Bator over at *overs:

"tonight will be the Knicks' eighth game since New Year's in which they were playing a team that beat them at the Garden in their last meeting. The Knicks have covered all seven rematches so far. "

There's a gem for ya. How do they do it? and what does that mean for the total?

 

[bostonsbetter]

Hey Ax...
Good to see you again!

On my cell so I cant search the thread... but I like the bos u191.5.

Im sure ur probably on it. Have you locked anything yet?

 

[LookKaPyPy]

Yes, I see MEM breaking 80 here but barely. First, it's going to take just a few games for even the a pro like KG to get his NBA legs back. Yes his presence alone will change the dynamics in this team but once your legs starts feeling hollow in 4Q, it's a struggle to D up like you want to. Second, the Celtics team D has changed while KG was out. Muscle memory does take a little time to correct even when it's already familiar with the movement. They changed their defensive scheme while KG was out and now has to revert back to the old. This too will take a little time.

Yeah that's of course very true indeed. Grizz should get really affected as they rely more on their frontcourt for scoring than backcourt and now with KG back, they could get stuck, slowed down and unable to find ways to solve the defense.
One key match-up would be who guards Rudy Gay...assuming that it's Pierce one could argue that Gay is taller, and his high release lets him shoot over, but Pierce is heavier and more experienced. If he could shut down LBJ, pushing Gay out and letting him do his work from beyond the arc (where he's weaker) shouldn't be much of a problem. I like the tough young Gasol, but can't see him do much more.
So, lets say that realistically Celts build up a solid 7+ lead, chances are Grizz are either gonna start jacking up 3s or slowing down and working the opp D, get some late calls or clear shots. They have been shooting better 3ps, but this Celts D is solid through and through on the backcourt side.

Both teams on b2b, we could actually see a way slower pace than usual, especially with one team trailing few buckets, no

 

[granpa]

Orl/NYK

Orl/NYK

Anyone have thoughts on Orl/NYK 1h U? NY averaging 44 & Orl 56 respectively L5 games. Current line is 110.

Thanks, G:0corn

 

[axp59]

Hey Ax...
Good to see you again!

On my cell so I cant search the thread... but I like the bos u191.5.

Im sure ur probably on it. Have you locked anything yet?

Wow, took you a while to get here homie. Yep already on that play. i'm about to post my final card because I'm going out tonight. Party up in Lowell.

GL bro.

 

[PickNPop]

There's a gem for ya. How do they do it? and what does that mean for the total?

Well according to this stat, it means that the Knicks would hang around, which would be bad for our under as a blowout would be better.

However, the Bricks might be done for the season considering they got beat bad by the Harris-less Nets and the previously 0-28 against the East Queens. Here's hoping it's the latter!

 

[axp59]

Yeah that's of course very true indeed. Grizz should get really affected as they rely more on their frontcourt for scoring than backcourt and now with KG back, they could get stuck, slowed down and unable to find ways to solve the defense.
One key match-up would be who guards Rudy Gay...assuming that it's Pierce one could argue that Gay is taller, and his high release lets him shoot over, but Pierce is heavier and more experienced. If he could shut down LBJ, pushing Gay out and letting him do his work from beyond the arc (where he's weaker) shouldn't be much of a problem. I like the tough young Gasol, but can't see him do much more.
So, lets say that realistically Celts build up a solid 7+ lead, chances are Grizz are either gonna start jacking up 3s or slowing down and working the opp D, get some late calls or clear shots. They have been shooting better 3ps, but this Celts D is solid through and through on the backcourt side.

Both teams on b2b, we could actually see a way slower pace than usual, especially with one team trailing few buckets, no

I'm about to lock this under. I'm getting ready to go out for the evening and I already put too much thought into this game. You liking the under bro?