NBA SAT 032109 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

[easterntimezone]

Back and taking a f*cking hit on that Man U game; wish I could be less visceral in my analysis and more stone cold clinical; got caught up in all the 'expert' punditry talking about how they would take out their frustrations/etc. - ALL the signs pointing to a Man U victory = SEXY... Ugh...

Gonna lie low and watch the Hawks-Cavs game; got it at 184.5 for 1/2 unit - w/ the smart $ surge to 186, hopefully on the right side.

Will check in later after the afternoon matinee contest... Also like Joe's -1 for UDub, but that's more of a fan play personally than anything else - and am assuring all Big 10/Purdue alum that I'm not fading the conference, I swear!

1 side and 1 total max tonight in the Association. Not really tempted to go beyond that.

HEAVY leans:

Lakers: -3.5 (wondering if it'll be pushed up again once sharp $ enters the fray)

New York/Orlando: U 215; bought 1/2 unit, likely will make it a full...

Don't have a decent enough read (yet) on the Indiana/Charlotte, Boston/Memphis games.

 

[coolhandluke]

Sell me on your CLE play Luke.

I'm just tailing Yoyo on that one, got to tail right now as I'm just doing to bad latelyon my own, also tailing a once a week play capper on another forum on villa O 145.
Never seen him lose, but now that I said that.........
He says it's a gift?

 

[cubboy]

joes up to his old tricks

joes up to his old tricks

hes at it again ax o 2h 77.5 vtech game winner winner...:00hour :00hour

 

[axp59]

See you in a bit ETZ...GL to us on CLE

Luke, nothing wrong with that approach...It's good to know when and when you can't rely on your own senses

 

[Chooch77]

Ax, It's great seeing you on here! I know you're locked in on NY under so here is some reinforcement.

Orlando plays great defensively at home, allowing just 91.7 ppg. Plus, Orlando is 20-6 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was ORLANDO 104.9, OPPONENT 92.9 in these games. Also, Orlando is 11-3 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. The average score was ORLANDO 100.6, OPPONENT 95.2.

 

[axp59]

hes at it again ax o 2h 77.5 vtech game winner winner...:00hour :00hour

Of course he is...the guy is a hell of capper no doubt...and a class act to boot

 

[axp59]

Ax, It's great seeing you on here! I know you're locked in on NY under so here is some reinforcement.

Orlando plays great defensively at home, allowing just 91.7 ppg. Plus, Orlando is 20-6 UNDER in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was ORLANDO 104.9, OPPONENT 92.9 in these games. Also, Orlando is 11-3 UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season. The average score was ORLANDO 100.6, OPPONENT 95.2.

Finally good to see you here chooch...

some good info here. I'm sure you bought already. I'm going to keep this at 1U. got thought on my C's total tonight pal?

 

[coolhandluke]

hes at it again ax o 2h 77.5 vtech game winner winner...:00hour :00hour

He won the first half Under on that game also!!!
Glad to see he stops by here now, wish he would "mirror" his plays in a thread here also, I think a lot of people would like that. Less clutter. Never checked him out before he was mentioned here yesterday.

 

[easterntimezone]

See you in a bit ETZ...GL to us on CLE7

:mj09:

Quick question and I don't mean to pry Ax and you need not answer if you're uncomfortable about it; you mentioned whom I gather was your Pinoy mentor, a Mr. Lau - personally curious if he happened to be Pinoy of Chinese descent. Personally am part of the so-called 'Celestials' (reference - 'Deadwood'/pioneer West) and know 1sthand how feverish that particular ethnic enclave gets if anything remotely resembling a gambling enterprise is on the table... Was taken aback tho' by the popularity as well in the Philippines just on an imprecise sampling of the presence of message boards of either expatriate Pinoys or directly located in the Philippines.

Good luck to all.

 

[coolhandluke]

See you in a bit ETZ...GL to us on CLE

Luke, nothing wrong with that approach...It's good to know when and when you can't rely on your own senses

Alot of people should read that one sentence you wrote, and not let ego drive them "against the grain"
so to speak, when it happens................

 

[axp59]

:mj09:

Quick question and I don't mean to pry Ax and you need not answer if you're uncomfortable about it; you mentioned whom I gather was your Pinoy mentor, a Mr. Lau - personally curious if he happened to be Pinoy of Chinese descent. Personally am part of the so-called 'Celestials' (reference - 'Deadwood'/pioneer West) and know 1sthand how feverish that particular ethnic enclave gets if anything remotely resembling a gambling enterprise is on the table... Was taken aback tho' by the popularity as well in the Philippines just on an imprecise sampling of the presence of message boards of either expatriate Pinoys or directly located in the Philippines.

Good luck to all.

You need to PM me ETZ and I will send you my email address...I think we have a lot to discuss.

I loved deadwood BTW

 

[BIGWave]

Finally good to see you here chooch...

some good info here. I'm sure you bought already. I'm going to keep this at 1U. got thought on my C's total tonight pal?

You've bought this one??
Where are your picks going to be posted??? I noticed the NO PICKS in the title.

Have an exceptional day.
BIGWave

 

[axp59]

Alot of people should read that one sentence you wrote, and not let ego drive them "against the grain"
so to speak, when it happens................

Luke, I think that just comes with age bud!

 

[Chooch77]

Been working on college all morning. Really like LSU to give N.C. a scare today.

Looks like Garnett is back huh? Played about 15 mins last night. They're a great defensive team with him in the lineup

 

[axp59]

You've bought this one??
Where are your picks going to be posted??? I noticed the NO PICKS in the title.

Have an exceptional day.
BIGWave

LOL :mj07:

That's to keep the riff raffs out of the threads just looking for picks...

I bought this last night for a % and bought the whole thing today after much research and discussion.

 

[axp59]

Been working on college all morning. Really like LSU to give N.C. a scare today.

Looks like Garnett is back huh? Played about 15 mins last night. They're a great defensive team with him in the lineup

With his sea legs back, they once again become that auto look for an under play...not auto play but certainly a look

 

[BIGWave]

LOL :mj07:

That's to keep the riff raffs out of the threads just looking for picks...

I bought this last night for a % and bought the whole thing today after much research and discussion.

Cheers. Like the "play" in the title thread....:mj07:
Nice to have one decided on.............gotta go to work...............crap!!!!

Let's bring this one in. :0corn

 

[axp59]

BIGWAVE

Dave,

ROFL...I had no idea why the hell you sent me that link but...now i realize you were just bustin my balls. Too damn funny. Seriously, I hope you got to the right place. When you're done with my car, can you please paint the fence?

 

[axp59]

TURK JUST WENT TOUT

 

[burnetto57]

Good day Ax and others,

Action Junkie came out in me early( with House $): went full Unit Parlay on Vill -2 1/2 and Cleve -7 1/2: I'm freakin a little cause both teams have healthy leads - but we all know how BBall swings can be