NBA Tues 121509 early thoughts - value hunting
- Thread starter grindstone
- Start date
Updated leans
Updated leans
director: Anyone else likeing Raps-Heat over 204?
Raps give up an avg of 212 on the road, and Heat have given up 100+ in 6 straight. :scared Also the 7 spread is fishy as hell. Think Vegas is telling us something. Have a gut feeling, heat roll.
Updated leans
Heat -6.5 and over 204
Suns -2 (keep dropping please) and under 210.5
Houston -5
Charlotte-4.5
Cleveland under 194
Updated leans
director: Anyone else likeing Raps-Heat over 204?
Raps give up an avg of 212 on the road, and Heat have given up 100+ in 6 straight. :scared Also the 7 spread is fishy as hell. Think Vegas is telling us something. Have a gut feeling, heat roll.
Updated leans
Heat -6.5 and over 204
Suns -2 (keep dropping please) and under 210.5
Houston -5
Charlotte-4.5
Cleveland under 194
75% on the under and the number moves up from 186.5 to 188
i was wondering where all those runners were going :mj07: det/hou
i was wondering where all those runners were going :mj07: det/hou
NCAA GEM OF THE DAY YTD: 15-8 (65.2%)
Week 1 5-2
Week 2 4-3
Week 3 4-3
Week 4 2-0
NCAA GEM OF THE DAY: UNLV/S. Utah Over 137
The Runnin Rebs head to Southern Utah tonight fresh off their first loss of the season (80-95) at the hands of Kansas St. The Rebels currently ranked #23 will face a struggling Southern Utah squad losers of 5 straight by an average of 17.6 points.
Breaking down the numbers though, this Southern Utah squad has deceptively good scoring, especially in the Free Throw department where they shoot 75%. The Running Rebs are averaging nearly 80pts per game while S. Utah averages 67.5 giving us over 10pt differential from the line. Defensively these teams combine for 141 ppg a differential of 4, for a total combined differential of +7.25 over tonight's line.
3 Factors I believe will push this game even higher than the differential.
A) S. Utah's size down low with a 6'9 and 6'11 centers both of whom shoot (.814 and .708) from the FT line.
B) Running Rebs lack of defense, they've kept teams under 60 only 2x this year, keeping a team shooting 75% from the FT line under 60 will be difficult to do.
C) Rebs need to redeem themselves after the Kstate loss by blowing someone out and Southern Utah's lack of defense giving up (84,68,93,89,72) in their recent 5 losses.
Score Projection: UNLV 85 S. Utah 68
Week 1 5-2
Week 2 4-3
Week 3 4-3
Week 4 2-0
NCAA GEM OF THE DAY: UNLV/S. Utah Over 137
The Runnin Rebs head to Southern Utah tonight fresh off their first loss of the season (80-95) at the hands of Kansas St. The Rebels currently ranked #23 will face a struggling Southern Utah squad losers of 5 straight by an average of 17.6 points.
Breaking down the numbers though, this Southern Utah squad has deceptively good scoring, especially in the Free Throw department where they shoot 75%. The Running Rebs are averaging nearly 80pts per game while S. Utah averages 67.5 giving us over 10pt differential from the line. Defensively these teams combine for 141 ppg a differential of 4, for a total combined differential of +7.25 over tonight's line.
3 Factors I believe will push this game even higher than the differential.
A) S. Utah's size down low with a 6'9 and 6'11 centers both of whom shoot (.814 and .708) from the FT line.
B) Running Rebs lack of defense, they've kept teams under 60 only 2x this year, keeping a team shooting 75% from the FT line under 60 will be difficult to do.
C) Rebs need to redeem themselves after the Kstate loss by blowing someone out and Southern Utah's lack of defense giving up (84,68,93,89,72) in their recent 5 losses.
Score Projection: UNLV 85 S. Utah 68
- Mar 18, 2009
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Hamilton ( Detroit ) was listed as probable this morning ... now its known that he will start but will see limited action because he is stiff ans sore. His last game was his first game in six weeks and he played 30+ minutes and should not have ... he is the Pistons spark plug ... I see this game staying under the total but will wait till early evening to lock in.
I'm not locked in on anything yet for tonight ...
We may be on opposite sides for the first time in a while my friend. This should have a few lurkers :scared :mj03: :cuss:
Agree Batts
I initially liked Toronto but cant see ANY reason this line isn't Miami -2 or -3.
They are begging you to take Toronto.
JB I would agree but
JB I would agree but
.... withe 90% on Miami why are they teasing more to take them?
JB I would agree but
.... withe 90% on Miami why are they teasing more to take them?
After further review
After further review
It seems my initial info on the Public all over the Heat was wrong.
After further review
It seems my initial info on the Public all over the Heat was wrong.
