Saturday's Tip Sheet

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New Mexico (1-10) at (4) T-C-U (11-0)

New Mexico (1-10) at (4) T-C-U (11-0)

New Mexico (1-10) at (4) T-C-U (11-0)



Saturday, November 28th, 1:00 p.m. (et)


GAME NOTES: Two teams at opposite ends of the spectrum in the Mountain West Conference settle into Carter Stadium in Fort Worth this weekend, as the fourth-ranked TCU Horned Frogs continue to eye a spot in a BCS Bowl Game as they take on the New Mexico Lobos.

Until now, TCU has taken care of every team the schedule has presented, ripping off 11 wins in as many chances in 2009, and a total of 13 consecutive victories dating back to last season. The Horned Frogs have gotten the job done with a wildly successful offense and a stingy defense that has allowed just two opponents (Texas State and Utah) to score more than 17 points this year.

Last weekend, TCU went from being tied 10-10 with Wyoming in the second quarter to dismantling the Cowboys in the second half with a 35-point run, en route to the 45-10 triumph.

As for the Lobos their long, strange trip under new head coach Mike Locksley has been marred by one misstep after another. However, last weekend the team finally found a ray of hope in an otherwise dark and dismal campaign, posting a 29-27 come-from-behind win against Colorado State. The victory snapped a lengthy 14-game slide for the Lobos.

"It was a four-quarter ballgame like we expected," coach Locksley said after the long overdue win. "We had all three phases come through and make plays for us to win this game, which makes it even sweeter."

The decision actually came down to kicker James Aho who booted a pair of field goals in the fourth quarter after the Rams had taken the lead on a huge defensive play that resulted in a touchdown.

"I was thinking of my seniors and how hard they've worked this year," said Aho of his critical attempt with just 12 seconds remaining in regulation. "I had to repay them for all the hard work they put in. I was thinking of them and my aunt, who died of breast cancer. It's Breast Cancer Awareness night here and she was in my thoughts as I lined up."

Quarterback Donovan Porterie converted 22-of-37 passes for 197 yards and a couple of touchdowns, getting by with a pair of picks and three sacks, while Desmond Dennis rolled up 133 yards and a score on a mere seven carries on the ground.

From a defensive standpoint, the Lobos recovered three fumbles and picked off a CSU pass in order to help themselves get into the win column finally. Carmen Messina, one of the nation's top tacklers, tallied 11 stops, while Frankie Solomon make nine tackles and had one forced fumble and one recovery. Messina still ranks first in the country with an average of 13.27 tackles per contest, but all that means is that too many of his teammates are missing in action when they should be making plays.

At no point this season has the UNM defense allowed less than 23 points, which is why the group currently ranks 108th in the country and last in the conference with 34.6 ppg surrendered. What is most troubling about this unit is the inconsistency, one week permitting just 96 passing yards to New Mexico State and the next watching Texas Tech air it out for 453 yards and three scores. Sometimes you can never be sure what you are going to get with this group.

The TCU offense took a little time to warm up last week, but once it got rolling only the clock could stop the Horned Frogs as they closed out their meeting with Wyoming on a 35-point run. With running being the key word here, the Frogs generated 355 yards and four touchdowns on the ground, thanks in large part to Matthew Tucker who gained 134 yards and two TDs, followed by Joseph Turner who also turned in a two-touchdown performance.

Orchestrating it all was Andy Dalton who converted 10-of-19 passes for 168 yards and a touchdown. If there was one flaw with the offense it was that Dalton threw an interception and the team fumbled away the ball three other times, with one of those being returned almost the length of the field for a touchdown.

A finalist for National Coach of the Year, Gary Patterson has been leading one of the best stories in college football this season, but it hasn't been an overnight success and the Horned Frogs haven't really snuck up on anyone.

"I think they like that we aren't out there beating our own chests," coach Patterson concedes."We just do the things we need to do. I think people like the way we play, how hard we play, we do it with class and we are very workmanlike. It's not one of those things where you have a lot of dancing going on."

Although, one could say that this team has been dancing up a storm on offense, ranking second in the conference and fifth in the nation in rushing with 261.5 ypg. Turner, Tucker and Ed Wesley have all gained more than 600 yards on the ground this season and have combined for 23 touchdowns. Even more amazing is the fact that this team overall has 34 rushing scores, compared to just six for the opposition.

That's been the key with the Horned Frogs all season is that opponents cannot just scheme to try and beat this team on offense or defense, it has to be done on both fronts. The defense is allowing a mere 238.8 ypg (fourth in the nation) and 12.6 ppg (sixth), thanks in large part to the efforts of guys like Jerry Hughes who ranks 10th in the country with almost one sack per game.

Last season TCU, which is still fourth in the BCS rankings as of Sunday, posted a 26-3 win against the Lobos to take a 7-3 edge in the all-time series, but assume that this year there's more to prove in the final game of the regular season for TCU.

Predicted Outcome: TCU 52, New Mexico 7
 

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TCU Horned Frogs (5-0) (3-0 H) vs New Mexico Lobos (0-4) (0-3 A)

Game Time: 1:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Amon Carter Stadium Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
New Mexico Lobos HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 1 - 5 0 - 5 1 - 10 2 - 4 2 - 3 4 - 7 2 - 2 2 - 1 4 - 3
Last 5 games 1 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 4 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 1 - 1 0 - 1 1 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 1 - 3 0 - 3 1 - 6 2 - 2 1 - 2 3 - 4 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
TCU Horned Frogs HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 5 - 0 6 - 0 11 - 0 3 - 1 5 - 1 8 - 2 2 - 1 1 - 3 3 - 4
Last 5 games 2 - 0 3 - 0 5 - 0 2 - 0 3 - 0 5 - 0 1 - 0 1 - 1 2 - 1
YTD vs. Conf. 3 - 0 4 - 0 7 - 0 3 - 0 3 - 1 6 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 2 2 - 3
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
New Mexico Lobos 0 - 0 2 - 3 1 - 3 1 - 0 0 - 1 2 - 3 2 - 4 0 - 0
TCU Horned Frogs 4 - 1 1 - 0 5 - 1 0 - 0 3 - 1 0 - 0 3 - 1 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

New Mexico Lobos
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @TXAM 6 - 41 L +11 +15.5 L -19.5 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat TLS 10 - 44 L +12.5 +17 L -17 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat AF 13 - 37 L +13 +17 L -7 46.0 46.0 O +- 4.0 G
09/26/09 Sat NMST 17 - 20 L -7 -10 L -13 44.0 44.5 U -7.5 G
10/03/09 Sat @TXTECH 28 - 48 L +35 +34.5 W 14.5 57.5 57.0 O +-19.0 T
10/10/09 Sat @WY 13 - 37 L +13 +10 L -14 47.0 45.0 O +- 5.0 G
10/24/09 Sat UNLV 17 - 34 L +2.5 +1 L -16 55.0 59.0 U -8.0 G
10/31/09 Sat @SDGST 20 - 23 L +16 +16 W 13 49.0 52.5 U -9.5 G
11/07/09 Sat @UT 14 - 45 L +28 +27.5 L -3.5 NL NL G
11/14/09 Sat BYU 19 - 24 L +28 +27.5 W 22.5 NL NL G
11/21/09 Sat COST 29 - 27 W +3.5 +4 W 6 49.0 53.5 O +- 2.5 G


TCU Horned Frogs
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/12/09 Sat @VA 30 - 14 W -11.5 -13 W 3 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat SWT 56 - 21 W -0 -0 W 35 NL NL G
09/26/09 Sat @CLEM 14 - 10 W +1.5 +2 W 6 42.0 41.0 U -17.0 G
10/03/09 Sat SMU 39 - 14 W -26 -28 L -3 48.0 52.5 O +- 0.5 G
10/10/09 Sat @AF 20 - 17 W -9.5 -10 L -7 43.0 43.0 U -6.0 G
10/17/09 Sat COST 44 - 6 W -20.5 -23 W 15 47.5 50.5 U -0.5 G
10/24/09 Sat @BYU 38 - 7 W +0 -2.5 W 28.5 49.0 52.0 U -7.0 G
10/31/09 Sat UNLV 41 - 0 W -31 -35 W 6 NL NL G
11/07/09 Sat @SDGST 55 - 12 W -24 -24.5 W 18.5 48.0 49.0 O +-18.0 G
11/14/09 Sat UT 55 - 28 W -16 -20 W 7 47.0 48.5 O +-34.5 G
11/21/09 Sat @WY 45 - 10 W -28 -31 W 4 NL NL G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
10/01/05 Sat NM 28 TCU 49 -3.0 -1.5 TCU +19.5 50.0 48.0 O +-29 G
11/11/06 Sat TCU 27 NM 21 +6 +6 PUSH NL NL O +-48 G
11/03/07 Sat NM 0 TCU 37 -4.0 -3.5 TCU +33.5 46.0 44.0 U -7 G
08/30/08 Sat TCU 26 NM 3 +3.5 +6.5 NM --16.5 NL NL O +-29 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NM (off) 16.2 21 31 75 2.4 46 27 0.6 261 5.7 336 0.8 0.8
TCU (def) 13.8 10 27 53 2.0 30 14 0.5 166 5.5 219 1.0 1.0
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NM (def) 38.8 25 38 152 4.0 38 23 0.6 321 8.4 473 0.8 0.8
TCU (off) 47.0 26 49 304 6.2 24 15 0.6 206 8.6 510 0.6 1.4
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NM (off) 16.9 18 30 108 3.6 39 23 0.6 220 5.6 328 1.0 0.9
TCU (def) 12.6 12 31 87 2.8 29 13 0.4 152 5.2 239 0.9 0.8
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NM (def) 34.5 23 42 162 3.9 31 19 0.6 256 8.3 418 0.6 0.9
TCU (off) 39.7 25 48 260 5.4 23 15 0.7 211 9.2 471 0.5 1.2



SCORING AVERAGES:

New Mexico Lobos (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.4 4.6 8 2.6 5.6 0.0 8.2
POINTS ALLOWED 4.6 12.2 16.8 12.4 9.6 0.0 22



TCU Horned Frogs (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.2 16.8 23 10.2 13.8 0.0 24
POINTS ALLOWED 2.6 5.6 8.2 4.2 1.4 0.0 5.6



New Mexico Lobos (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.7 4.5 8.2 3.2 5.5 0.0 8.7
POINTS ALLOWED 7.1 10.2 17.3 9.5 7.7 0.0 17.2



TCU Horned Frogs (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 7.3 13.3 20.6 10.5 8.6 0.0 19.1
POINTS ALLOWED 2.0 5.4 7.4 2.7 2.5 0.0 5.2



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
New Mexico Lobos 47.5 29.0
TCU Horned Frogs 56.5 -13.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 43.5 UNKNOWN
 

Lumi

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Preview:
New Mexico at Texas Christian
When: 1:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas

Quick Hits


Overall Team Offense

The Texas Christian Horned Frogs are ranked 5 on offense, averaging 472.6 yards per game. The Horned Frogs are averaging 261.5 yards rushing and 211.2 yards passing so far this season.

The New Mexico Lobos are ranked 97 on offense, averaging 328.4 yards per game. The Lobos are averaging 108.5 yards rushing and 219.9 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Texas Christian Horned Frogs are 5-0 at home this season, 7-0 against conference opponents and 4-0 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Horned Frogs are averaging 47.0 scoring, and holding teams to 13.8 points scored on defense.

The New Mexico Lobos are 0-5 while on the road this season, 1-6 against conference opponents and 0-4 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Lobos are averaging 16.2 scoring, and holding teams to 38.8 points scored on defense.
 

Lumi

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Trends - New Mexico at No. 4 Texas Christian

Trends - New Mexico at No. 4 Texas Christian

Trends - New Mexico at No. 4 Texas Christian


ATS Trends

New Mexico

Lobos are 19-7-2 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Lobos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Lobos are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Lobos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Lobos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
Lobos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
Lobos are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Lobos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.


Texas Christian

Horned Frogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
Horned Frogs are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Horned Frogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Horned Frogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Horned Frogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Horned Frogs are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in November.
Horned Frogs are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 conference games.
Horned Frogs are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Horned Frogs are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Horned Frogs are 32-13 ATS in their last 45 games as a favorite.
Horned Frogs are 44-18 ATS in their last 62 home games.
Horned Frogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Horned Frogs are 39-17 ATS in their last 56 games as a home favorite.
Horned Frogs are 37-17-1 ATS in their last 55 games on grass.
Horned Frogs are 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 games overall.
Horned Frogs are 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.


OU Trends

New Mexico

Under is 5-0 in Lobos last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Lobos last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 8-2 in Lobos last 10 games in November.
Under is 10-3 in Lobos last 13 games on grass.
Under is 14-5 in Lobos last 19 conference games.
Under is 5-2 in Lobos last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.


Texas Christian

Over is 4-0 in Horned Frogs last 4 games in November.
Under is 2-0-2 in Horned Frogs last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 8-1-2 in Horned Frogs last 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Over is 4-1-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-1-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 home games.
Over is 4-1-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 6-2-1 in Horned Frogs last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 5-2 in Horned Frogs last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.


Head to Head

Favorite is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Lobos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
 

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Southern Mississippi (7-4) at East Carolina (7-4)

Southern Mississippi (7-4) at East Carolina (7-4)

Southern Mississippi (7-4) at East Carolina (7-4)


DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 28th, 1:30 p.m. (et)

FACTS & STATS: Site: Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium (43,000) -- Greenville, North Carolina. Television:CBSCSN. Home Record: USM 6-0, ECU 4-1. Away Record: USM 1-4, ECU 3-3. Neutral Record: USM 0-0, ECU 0-0. Conference Record: USM 5-2, ECU 6-1. Series Record: Southern Mississippi leads, 26-8.

GAME NOTES: A spot in the Conference USA championship game is on the line this weekend in Greenville, as the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles take on the East Carolina Pirates at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium.

ECU, the defending C-USA champions, hold a one game lead over USM in the East Division, so the winner of this game will move on to the league title game to be held on December 5th. UCF is also in the mix at 5-2, but won't have the chance for the title, as it lost to both USM and ECU this season.

The Pirates took one step closer to repeating as East Division champions last weekend, when they defeated UAB by a 37-21 score. It marked the eighth win in the last nine league home games for ECU, which improved to 7-4 overall and 6-1 within the conference.

As for the Eagles, they are looking to return to the C-USA championship game for the first time since losing to Houston in 2006. USM moved closer to that goal last weekend, capturing a 44-34 victory over Tulsa. The win was the second in a row and fourth in five games for the Eagles, who now stand at 7-4 overall and 5-2 in league play.

USM has had its way with ECU over the years and owns a 26-8 advantage in the head-to-head series. The Eagles have won six of the last seven meetings overall and each of the past seven encounters played in Greenville.

Martevious Young threw for 276 yards and a career-high four touchdowns, leading USM past Tulsa over the weekend. He completed 12-of-21 pass attempts and added 59 yards on the ground. It was another terrific effort by Young, who moved into a starting role earlier in the year after Austin Davis was lost with a foot injury. Young has now completed 61.8 percent of his pass attempts, with 12 scores and only one pick, while contributing 251 yards on the ground. DeAndre Brown has started to regain his form that made him one of the top freshman wideouts in the nation least season and he leads the Eagles with 36 receptions, 575 yards and seven scores in nine games. Last weekend, Brown had three catches that went for 135 yards and a pair of scores, including one for 95 yards. For the ground attack, the Eagles are averaging a hardy 188.3 ypg behind the duo of Damion Fletcher and Tory Harrison. Fletcher heads the club with 877 yards and eight scores, while Harrison checks in with 547 yards and eight touchdowns.

Defensively, the Eagles haven't been all that good this season, but that is the case for many of the teams in C-USA. Last weekend, USM was exploited by Tulsa for 589 total yards, including 396 through the air. The unit, though, stepped up by forcing three turnovers and holding Tulsa to just six points over the final two quarters. USM has been able to compensate for the 382.8 total ypg is giving up on the year by recording 25 takeaways and 33 sacks. Cordarro Law heads the team with 13.5 TFLs and 7.5 sacks and he had a sack and two forced fumbles in last weekend's win. Korey Williams is another player to keep a look out for, as he tops the roster in tackles (103), while adding nine TFLs and 6.5 sacks to the mix.

Dwayne Harris totaled three touchdowns last weekend, helping ECU defeated UAB in a crucial league game. The versatile wideout grabbed eight balls for 108 yards and two scores, in addition to returning a kickoff 99 yards for another touchdown. It was the third kickoff return for a touchdown this season by Harris, who also leads the team with 62 receptions for 727 yards and five scores. Patrick Pinkney has been responsible for getting him the ball and he was effective last weekend, completing 20-of-25 pass attempts for 250 yards and three touchdowns. The veteran quarterback doesn't post big numbers, but he always seems to get the job done and has now thrown for 2,207 yards on the year. Dominique Lindsay paces ECU's ground attack, which is churning out 147.5 ypg, with 856 yards and he is averaging 5.3 yards per carry.

The Pirates possess one of the top defensive units in the league despite what the numbers would indicate in last weekend's win over UAB. In that game, ECU was torched for 520 total yards, including 273 rushing, although many of those yards came when the game was out of reach. Still, the Pirates countered by forcing two turnovers and recording four sacks. For the season, ECU has now recorded 28 takeaways and 25 sacks, while limiting foes to just 21.4 ppg. Van Eskridge leads the defense with 55.5 tackles and four interceptions and that includes a pick last weekend. C.J. Wilson is player capable of dominating up front and the defensive end leads the team with 5.5 sacks for the year.

This is obviously the biggest game of the season for both teams, as the winner gets the chance to play for the conference title. ECU is a team that gets the job done in all phases of the game and that is why it should prevail over a dangerous USM squad this weekend.

Predicted Outcome: East Carolina 31, Southern Mississippi 24
 

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East Carolina Pirates (3-1) (1-0 H) vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles (2-4) (0-4 A)

Game Time: 1:30 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Southern Miss Golden Eagles HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 6 - 0 1 - 4 7 - 4 3 - 2 2 - 3 5 - 5 2 - 2 2 - 3 4 - 5
Last 5 games 3 - 0 1 - 1 4 - 1 3 - 0 1 - 1 4 - 1 1 - 2 1 - 1 2 - 3
YTD vs. Conf. 4 - 0 1 - 2 5 - 2 3 - 1 1 - 2 4 - 3 1 - 2 1 - 2 2 - 4
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
East Carolina Pirates HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 4 - 1 3 - 3 7 - 4 2 - 1 3 - 3 5 - 4 2 - 2 4 - 2 6 - 4
Last 5 games 2 - 1 2 - 0 4 - 1 2 - 0 2 - 0 4 - 0 2 - 1 2 - 0 4 - 1
YTD vs. Conf. 3 - 0 3 - 1 6 - 1 2 - 1 3 - 1 5 - 2 2 - 1 2 - 2 4 - 3
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 1 - 2 1 - 1 0 - 2 2 - 1 3 - 2 0 - 0 3 - 2 0 - 0
East Carolina Pirates 2 - 1 1 - 2 1 - 2 2 - 1 2 - 1 0 - 0 2 - 1 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Southern Miss Golden Eagles
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat ALCORN 52 - 0 W -0 -0 W 52 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat CFL 26 - 19 W -10 -16 L -9 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat VA 37 - 34 W -14.5 -13.5 L -10.5 46.5 46.0 O +-25.0 G
09/26/09 Sat @KS 28 - 35 L +14 +11.5 W 4.5 60.0 58.5 O +- 4.5 T
10/01/09 Thu @ALBRM 17 - 30 L -10 -10.5 L -23.5 60.5 58.5 U -11.5 T
10/10/09 Sat @LOU 23 - 25 L -2 -2.5 L -4.5 52.0 50.5 U -2.5 G
10/17/09 Sat MEM 36 - 16 W -11 -15.5 W 4.5 53.0 54.0 U -2.0 G
10/24/09 Sat TLN 43 - 6 W -23 -21 W 16 53.0 52.0 U -3.0 G
10/31/09 Sat @HOU 43 - 50 L +9 +6.5 L -0.5 63.0 63.0 O +-30.0 G
11/14/09 Sat @MRSHL 27 - 20 W -3 -3 W 4 50.0 51.0 U -4.0 T
11/21/09 Sat TLS 44 - 34 W -7 -8.5 W 1.5 57.0 55.5 O +-22.5 G


East Carolina Pirates
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat APLST 29 - 24 W -0 -0 W 5 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat @WV 20 - 35 L +7.5 +6 L -9 43.0 44.0 O +-11.0 T
09/19/09 Sat @NC 17 - 31 L +10 +8 L -6 42.0 44.5 O +- 3.5 G
09/26/09 Sat CFL 19 - 14 W -11 -10 L -5 44.0 44.0 U -11.0 G
10/03/09 Sat @MRSHL 21 - 17 W -3.5 -2 W 2 45.0 48.0 U -10.0 T
10/10/09 Sat @SMU 21 - 28 L -7.5 -4.5 L -11.5 52.0 53.0 U -4.0 G
10/17/09 Sat RICE 49 - 13 W -20 -18 W 18 53.0 55.0 O +- 7.0 G
11/03/09 Tue @MEM 38 - 19 W -7.5 -6 W 13 48.5 48.5 O +- 8.5 G
11/05/09 Thu VATECH 3 - 16 L +9 +13 L 0 52.0 51.5 U -32.5 G
11/15/09 Sun @TLS 44 - 17 W +7 +4.5 W 31.5 50.0 51.0 O +-10.0 T
11/21/09 Sat ALBRM 37 - 21 W -6.5 -14 W 2 59.0 56.0 O +- 2.0 G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
10/01/05 Sat SMS 33 ECA 7 +7 +7.5 ECA --18.5 NL NL O +-40 G
10/28/06 Sat ECA 20 SMS 17 -3.5 -6.0 SMS --9 NL NL O +-37 G
09/15/07 Sat SMS 28 ECA 21 +3 +1.5 ECA --5.5 44.0 47.0 O +-2 G
11/15/08 Sat ECA 3 SMS 21 -1.5 -2.5 SMS +15.5 NL NL O +-24 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
SMS (off) 27.6 22 35 141 4.0 34 22 0.6 269 7.9 410 0.4 0.8
ECA (def) 17.6 20 38 153 4.0 33 20 0.6 211 6.4 364 1.6 0.8
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
SMS (def) 32.0 26 36 144 4.0 38 25 0.7 302 7.9 446 1.0 0.8
ECA (off) 27.4 18 34 131 3.9 32 19 0.6 225 7.0 356 1.2 1.0
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
SMS (off) 34.2 23 40 191 4.8 29 18 0.6 229 7.9 420 0.4 0.9
ECA (def) 21.4 20 35 128 3.7 34 21 0.6 238 7.0 366 1.3 1.3
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
SMS (def) 24.5 22 36 118 3.3 37 23 0.6 265 7.2 383 1.1 1.2
ECA (off) 27.1 19 37 147 4.0 31 18 0.6 209 6.7 356 0.9 0.7



SCORING AVERAGES:

Southern Miss Golden Eagles (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.6 8.6 15.2 4.0 8.4 0.0 12.4
POINTS ALLOWED 7.6 8.6 16.2 6.4 9.4 0.0 15.8



East Carolina Pirates (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 9.6 8.6 18.2 2.4 6.8 0.0 9.2
POINTS ALLOWED 3.8 4.2 8 1.2 8.4 0.0 9.6



Southern Miss Golden Eagles (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.7 11.9 18.6 6.5 9.1 0.0 15.6
POINTS ALLOWED 6.2 7.6 13.8 4.4 6.3 0.0 10.7



East Carolina Pirates (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 8.1 8.9 17 3.9 6.2 0.0 10.1
POINTS ALLOWED 3.3 7.0 10.3 4.8 6.3 0.0 11.1



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Southern Miss Golden Eagles 48.5 -2.5 5.0
East Carolina Pirates 42
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 42.5 UNKNOWN
 

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Preview:
Southern Mississippi at East Carolina
When: 1:30 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, North Carolina

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The East Carolina Pirates are ranked 74 on offense, averaging 356.8 yards per game. The Pirates are averaging 147.5 yards rushing and 209.4 yards passing so far this season.

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles are ranked 30 on offense, averaging 419.5 yards per game. The Golden Eagles are averaging 190.5 yards rushing and 229.0 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The East Carolina Pirates are 4-1 at home this season, 6-1 against conference opponents and 1-3 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Pirates are averaging 27.4 scoring, and holding teams to 17.6 points scored on defense.

The Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles are 1-4 while on the road this season, 5-2 against conference opponents and 2-2 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Golden Eagles are averaging 27.6 scoring, and holding teams to 32.0 points scored on defense.
 

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Trends - Southern Mississippi at East Carolina

Trends - Southern Mississippi at East Carolina

Trends - Southern Mississippi at East Carolina

ATS Trends

Southern Mississippi

Golden Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Golden Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Golden Eagles are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
Golden Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Golden Eagles are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog.
Golden Eagles are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.


East Carolina

Pirates are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Pirates are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Pirates are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
Pirates are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Pirates are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.


OU Trends

Southern Mississippi

Over is 4-0 in Golden Eagles last 4 games as an underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Golden Eagles last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Golden Eagles last 5 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 4-1 in Golden Eagles last 5 games in November.
Under is 8-2 in Golden Eagles last 10 conference games.
Under is 5-2 in Golden Eagles last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Golden Eagles last 7 road games.
Under is 10-4 in Golden Eagles last 14 games following a ATS win.
Under is 12-5 in Golden Eagles last 17 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 7-3 in Golden Eagles last 10 games on grass.
Over is 7-3 in Golden Eagles last 10 games as a road underdog.


East Carolina

Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 conference games.
Over is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-3 in Pirates last 10 games in November.
Under is 9-4 in Pirates last 13 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.


Head to Head

Golden Eagles are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in East Carolina.
Golden Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.
Road team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
 

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U-C-F (7-4) at U-A-B (5-6)

U-C-F (7-4) at U-A-B (5-6)

U-C-F (7-4) at U-A-B (5-6)


DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 28th, 1:30 p.m. (et)

FACTS & STATS: Site: Legion Field (72,000) -- Birmingham, Alabama. Television: None. Home Record: UCF 6-1, UAB 3-1. Away Record: UCF 1-3, UAB 2-5. Neutral Record: UCF 0-0, UAB 0-0. Conference Record: UCF 5-2, UAB 4-3. Series Record: UCF leads, 5-1.

GAME NOTES: The UAB Blazers will try to gain bowl eligibility when they host the UCF Knights this Saturday afternoon in a Conference-USA tussle at Legion Field.

The Knights head into this contest fresh off a dominating, 49-0 decision over Tulane. It was the fourth win in the last five games for UCF, which is now 5-2 in league play. UCF has struggled away from home however, as the team has suffered three of its four losses on the road.

As for the Blazers, they saw their three-game winning streak come to an end this past weekend with a 37-21 setback to East Carolina. The loss dropped UAB to below .500 on the year, and left the team with a mediocre 4-3 mark in conference action. Most of UAB's success this season has occurred at home where the team has captured three of its five victories.

In terms of the all-time series between the two schools, the Knights have won five of the six previous meetings.

The Knights have not been overwhelming offensively, but the team has done well enough to average a respectable 25.6 ppg. Brynn Harvey has paced the ground game for UCF, as the tailback has rushed for 947 yards and 13 scores on the year. Brett Hodges is leading the way through the air, as the quarterback has thrown for 2,033 yards and 13 touchdowns against nine interceptions. In the team's recent win over Tulane, the Knights exploded for 504 total yards, en route to a 49-point performance. Harvey led the way on the ground once again, rushing for 129 yards and three scores, while Hodges added 234 yards and two touchdowns through the air. Both touchdowns went to Kamar Aiken, who now has a team-high six touchdown receptions on the year.

The real success for UCF this season has been on the defensive side of the football, as the team is limiting opponents to just 20.1 ppg on just 331.8 total ypg. The defense has really excelled against the run, holding teams to just 71.4 ypg on a mere 2.2 yards per carry. UCF has also made plenty of big plays throughout the year, forcing 25 turnovers (15 fumbles and 10 interceptions), while also recording 34 sacks. The Knights were outstanding in their recent win over Tulane, as UCF held the Green Wave scoreless on just 50 total yards. The Knights actually held Tulane to negative 30 yards in the contest, and also forced five turnovers, to go along with three sacks.

Offensively the Blazers have relied heavily on their ground game, which is churning out 232.2 ypg on 5.9 ypg. Overall the team is producing a solid 416.7 total ypg, and that has led to 27.8 ppg. However, leading the team on the ground has not been a tailback, but instead the quarterback Joe Webb, who has rushed for 1,290 yards and 10 touchdowns. Webb has also been success throwing the ball, and comes into this game with 1,977 yards and 18 touchdowns against seven interceptions. Against East Carolina this past weekend the team racked up 520 total yards, but still found a way to lose to the Pirates by 16 points. Webb led the way in the setback with 132 rushing yards, and also added 247 yards and two touchdowns through the air.

The reason UAB heads into this weekend with a record below .500 is mainly because of the play of the defense, which is surrendering 32.2 ppg. The main problem for this unit has come against the pass, as the Blazers are being torched for 318.9 ypg through the air, and out of the 44 touchdowns allowed by this unit, 25 have come via the pass. The defense has forced 20 turnovers on the season, but pressuring the quarterback has been another issue for this unit, as the team comes into this weekend with just 18 sacks. UAB allowed 37 points in its loss to East Carolina on Saturday, but despite the large amount of points surrendered, the defense managed to hold the Pirates to just 325 total yards, including just 75 rushing yards on 3.1 ypc. Hiram Atwater led the way with eight tackles in the loss, giving him a team-high 79 stops on the year.

The Knights will have one task on Saturday and that is stopping Webb. If UCF can contain the Blazer quarterback, then the Knights should have no problem corralling a win.

Predicted Outcome: UCF 28, UAB 17
 

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UAB Blazers (2-2) (1-0 H) vs Central Florida Golden Knights (2-1) (1-0 A)

Game Time: 1:30 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Legion Field Surface: Turf




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Central Florida Golden Knights HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 6 - 1 1 - 3 7 - 4 4 - 2 4 - 0 8 - 2 3 - 3 1 - 1 4 - 4
Last 5 games 3 - 0 1 - 1 4 - 1 2 - 1 2 - 0 4 - 1 2 - 1 1 - 0 3 - 1
YTD vs. Conf. 4 - 0 1 - 2 5 - 2 3 - 1 3 - 0 6 - 1 3 - 1 1 - 1 4 - 2
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
UAB Blazers HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 3 - 1 2 - 5 5 - 6 3 - 1 2 - 5 5 - 6 2 - 1 4 - 3 6 - 4
Last 5 games 1 - 0 2 - 2 3 - 2 1 - 0 2 - 2 3 - 2 1 - 0 2 - 2 3 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 2 - 1 2 - 2 4 - 3 2 - 1 2 - 2 4 - 3 1 - 1 2 - 2 3 - 3
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Central Florida Golden Knights 1 - 0 3 - 0 3 - 0 1 - 0 3 - 1 1 - 1 0 - 0 4 - 2
UAB Blazers 1 - 0 1 - 5 1 - 3 1 - 2 2 - 1 1 - 0 0 - 0 3 - 1



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Central Florida Golden Knights
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat SAMFRD 28 - 24 W -0 -0 W 4 NL NL T
09/12/09 Sat @SMS 19 - 26 L +10 +16 W 9 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat BUFF 23 - 17 W -5 -5 W 1 47.0 47.0 U -7.0 T
09/26/09 Sat @ECA 14 - 19 L +11 +10 W 5 44.0 44.0 U -11.0 G
10/03/09 Sat MEM 32 - 14 W -7 -7 W 11 45.0 45.5 O +- 0.5 T
10/17/09 Sat MIA 7 - 27 L +13.5 +13.5 L -6.5 48.5 46.0 U -12.0 T
10/24/09 Sat @RICE 49 - 7 W -9 -10 W 32 51.0 50.5 O +- 5.5 T
11/01/09 Sun MRSHL 21 - 20 W -3 -7 L -6 45.5 42.0 U -1.0 T
11/07/09 Sat @TX 3 - 35 L +36 +35.5 W 3.5 NL NL G
11/14/09 Sat HOU 37 - 32 W +7 +4.5 W 9.5 60.0 66.5 O +- 2.5 T
11/21/09 Sat TLN 49 - 0 W -20 -22 W 27 49.0 47.0 O +- 2.0 T


UAB Blazers
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat RICE 44 - 24 W -3 -6 W 14 60.0 58.0 O +-10.0 T
09/12/09 Sat SMU 33 - 35 L -10 -11 L -13 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat @TROY 14 - 27 L +6.5 +6.5 L -6.5 60.0 60.0 U -19.0 T
09/26/09 Sat @TXAM 19 - 56 L +16 +14 L -23 62.0 64.5 O +-10.5 G
10/01/09 Thu SMS 30 - 17 W +10 +10.5 W 23.5 60.5 58.5 U -11.5 T
10/17/09 Sat @MS 13 - 48 L +23.5 +22 L -13 54.0 55.0 O +- 6.0 G
10/24/09 Sat @MRSHL 7 - 27 L +7.5 +7 L -13 52.0 52.5 U -18.5 T
10/31/09 Sat @TXEP 38 - 33 W +8 +7.5 W 12.5 63.0 64.0 O +- 7.0 T
11/07/09 Sat FAU 56 - 29 W -5.5 -6.5 W 20.5 67.0 63.5 O +-21.5 T
11/14/09 Sat @MEM 31 - 21 W -3.5 -1.5 W 8.5 66.0 63.0 U -11.0 G
11/21/09 Sat @ECA 21 - 37 L +6.5 +14 L -2 59.0 56.0 O +- 2.0 G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/12/05 Sat CFL 27 ALBRM 21 -8.5 -7.5 ALBRM --13.5 NL NL O +-48 T
11/25/06 Sat ALBRM 22 CFL 31 -2.5 -3.5 CFL +5.5 NL NL O +-53 T
11/10/07 Sat CFL 45 ALBRM 31 +17 +20.5 ALBRM +6.5 NL NL O +-76 T
11/29/08 Sat ALBRM 15 CFL 0 -7.5 -8.5 CFL --23.5 NL NL O +-15 T




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
CFL (off) 21.3 17 32 93 2.9 25 15 0.6 193 7.7 286 1.0 0.8
ALBRM (def) 26.3 23 32 120 3.8 39 25 0.6 283 7.3 403 1.5 1.3
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
CFL (def) 21.8 22 35 109 3.1 38 27 0.7 299 7.9 408 0.8 1.5
ALBRM (off) 40.8 20 39 267 6.8 21 13 0.6 191 9.1 458 1.0 0.8
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
CFL (off) 25.6 19 38 132 3.5 28 16 0.6 208 7.4 340 0.8 0.6
ALBRM (def) 32.2 24 34 138 4.1 36 24 0.7 317 8.8 455 0.8 1.0
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
CFL (def) 20.1 19 32 74 2.3 36 22 0.6 260 7.2 334 0.9 1.4
ALBRM (off) 27.8 19 39 232 5.9 23 14 0.6 185 8.0 417 0.6 0.5



SCORING AVERAGES:

Central Florida Golden Knights (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 7.0 5.0 12 3.5 5.8 0.0 9.3
POINTS ALLOWED 4.3 6.8 11.1 2.5 8.3 0.0 10.8



UAB Blazers (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 7.8 12.0 19.8 13.8 7.3 0.0 21.1
POINTS ALLOWED 3.5 12.0 15.5 3.5 7.3 0.0 10.8



Central Florida Golden Knights (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.8 4.9 8.7 8.9 8.0 0.0 16.9
POINTS ALLOWED 3.1 7.7 10.8 4.3 5.0 0.0 9.3



UAB Blazers (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.6 8.5 13.1 7.5 7.2 0.0 14.7
POINTS ALLOWED 4.4 13.0 17.4 6.6 8.2 0.0 14.8



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Central Florida Golden Knights 47
UAB Blazers 44 -1.0 4.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 48 UNKNOWN
 

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Preview:
Central Florida at Alabama-Birmingham
When: 1:30 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Legion Field, Birmingham, Alabama

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Alabama-Birmingham Blazers are ranked 32 on offense, averaging 416.7 yards per game. The Blazers are averaging 232.2 yards rushing and 184.5 yards passing so far this season.

The Central Florida Knights are ranked 88 on offense, averaging 340.1 yards per game. The Knights are averaging 132.5 yards rushing and 207.6 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Alabama-Birmingham Blazers are 3-1 at home this season, 4-3 against conference opponents and 1-3 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Blazers are averaging 40.8 scoring, and holding teams to 26.2 points scored on defense.

The Central Florida Knights are 1-3 while on the road this season, 5-2 against conference opponents and 2-2 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Knights are averaging 21.2 scoring, and holding teams to 21.8 points scored on defense.
 

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Trends - Central Florida at Alabama-Birmingham

Trends - Central Florida at Alabama-Birmingham

Trends - Central Florida at Alabama-Birmingham


ATS Trends

Central Florida

Knights are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Knights are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
Knights are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Knights are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Knights are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win.
Knights are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Knights are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Knights are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Knights are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Knights are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Knights are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite.
Knights are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.


Alabama-Birmingham

Blazers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Blazers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Blazers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Blazers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games on turf.
Blazers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Blazers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Blazers are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.


OU Trends

Central Florida

Under is 3-0-1 in Knights last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Knights last 5 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 4-0 in Knights last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-0-1 in Knights last 5 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 9-1-1 in Knights last 11 games on turf.
Under is 6-1 in Knights last 7 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 4-1 in Knights last 5 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Over is 3-1-1 in Knights last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Knights last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Knights last 5 conference games.
Under is 8-3-1 in Knights last 12 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-2-1 in Knights last 8 games following a ATS win.
Under is 7-3-1 in Knights last 11 games overall.


Alabama-Birmingham
Under is 5-1 in Blazers last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 3-1-1 in Blazers last 5 games as a home underdog.


Head to Head

Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
 

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North Texas (2-9) at Arkansas State (2-8)

North Texas (2-9) at Arkansas State (2-8)

North Texas (2-9) at Arkansas State (2-8)



DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 28th, 3:00 p.m. (et)

FACTS & STATS: Site: ASU Stadium (30,406) -- Jonesboro, Arkansas. Television: None. Home Record: North Texas 1-5, ASU 2-2. Away Record: North Texas 1-4, ASU 0-6. Neutral Record: North Texas 0-0, ASU 0-0. Conference Record: North Texas 1-6, ASU 0-0. Series Record: Arkansas State leads, 10-8.

GAME NOTES: Sun Belt Conference action will take place this Saturday afternoon when the Arkansas State Red Wolves host the North Texas Mean Green at ASU Stadium.

It has been a rough season for the Mean Green, as the team has collected just two wins in 11 contests. North Texas heads into this matchup stuck in a three- game slump, which includes a 17-13 loss to Army this past weekend. North Texas is just 1-4 on the road this year, and has posted a mere 1-6 ledger in league action.

Just like North Texas, the Red Wolves have struggled to grab victories this season, as the team has posted just two wins in 10 games. Arkansas State is in the midst of a four-game slide, which includes a 38-14 loss to Middle Tennessee this past weekend. The only bright spot for Arkansas State in this matchup against North Texas, is that the Red Wolves two victories have both come at ASU Stadium.

In terms of the all-time series between the two schools, the Red Wolves hold a slim 10-8 edge over North Texas. However, the Mean Green have won four of the last five matchups.

North Texas racked up an impressive 447 total yards in its recent contest against Army, but despite the solid performance, the Mean Green finished with just 13 points, and yet another loss. The ground game churned out 222 yards on 7.4 ypg. Lance Dunbar paced the squad with 132 yards and one touchdowns, while quarterback Riley Dodge added 90 yards on 17 totes. Dodge however, was not as impressive with his arm, as the signal caller tossed three crucial interceptions in the setback. Dodge did finish with 225 yards and one score, but the turnovers really cost the Mean Green a win. Dodge has been a turnover machine at times and comes into this weekend with 14 interceptions to only nine touchdowns. He has completed 68.0 percent of his throws thus far, but for only 1,962 yards. The only consistent part for this unit has been Dunbar, who has rushed for 1,252 yards and 16 touchdowns on an outstanding 7.0 yards per carry. Even with the lack of scoring against Army, North Texas is still producing a healthy 26.6 ppg.

The lack of production offensively overshadowed the team's performance on the defensive side of the football, as North Texas held Army to just 287 total yards. However, with that said, the Mean Green did have trouble stopping the run, as the Black Knights punished North Texas for 200 yards and two scores on the ground. Stopping the run has been a major problem for this unit throughout the season, as North Texas has been gashed for 191.2 ypg on the ground, and out of the 46 touchdowns surrendered by this unit, 30 have come via the run. Craig Robertson comes into this weekend leading the Mean Green with 94 tackles after racking up five stops in the loss to Army.

The Red Wolves did very little with the football against Middle Tennessee this past Saturday, as the team totaled just 220 yards, and that led to only 14 points. The ground game was practically non-existent, as the team was bottled up for just 44 yards on 1.2 yards per carry. The passing attack was not much better, as Ryan Aplin completed just 10-of-22 passes for only 147 yards and one score. The quarterback was also intercepted in the contest, and sacked twice. The lackluster effort is not surprising, considering Arkansas State has struggled throughout the season on offense, as the team is producing just 21.8 ppg. Aplin has taken care of more duties as the year has progressed and he comes into this contest completing 61.4 percent of his throws, which is very good, but at the same time he has just 503 yards and two scores against three interceptions. Although the ground game has done very little up to this point (127.8 ypg), Reggie Arnold is still the team's best offensive weapon, as the tailback is leading the team with 565 rushing yards and 11 scores.

On top of the poor showing offensively against MT, the defense was also blind-sided by Dwight Dasher and the Blue Raiders, as the Red Wolves surrendered 427 total yards, including 263 passing yards. Arkansas State also allowed four touchdowns through the air in the setback. Stopping the pass has been an issue for Arkansas State all year, as the team is being torched for 237.3 ypg through the air. Out of the 28 touchdowns surrendered by this unit, 17 have come via the pass. Not all has been bad on this side of the football however, as the Red Wolves have played well against the run at times, and come into this game holding opponents to just 122.1 ypg on a mere 3.5 ypc. Alex Carrington is leading the team with 8.5 TFLs and four sacks, one of which came in the loss to Middle Tennessee.

Not much has gone right for either team this season, so do not expect to see many fireworks in this matchups. However, even though North Texas is on the road, look for the Mean Green to grab a win, mainly because of the effort Dunbar will likely put forth.

Predicted Outcome: North Texas 27, Arkansas State 23
 

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Arkansas State Red Wolves (1-3) (1-0 H) vs North Texas Eagles (0-4) (0-3 A)

Game Time: 3:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Indian Stadium Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
North Texas Eagles HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 1 - 5 1 - 4 2 - 9 2 - 4 2 - 3 4 - 7 3 - 2 3 - 0 6 - 2
Last 5 games 1 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 4 1 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 4 1 - 2 1 - 0 2 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 1 - 3 0 - 3 1 - 6 1 - 3 1 - 2 2 - 5 3 - 1 2 - 0 5 - 1
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Arkansas State Red Wolves HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 2 - 2 0 - 6 2 - 8 1 - 2 1 - 5 2 - 7 1 - 2 1 - 4 2 - 6
Last 5 games 1 - 1 0 - 3 1 - 4 1 - 1 0 - 3 1 - 4 0 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 4
YTD vs. Conf. 1 - 2 0 - 3 1 - 5 1 - 2 0 - 3 1 - 5 1 - 2 1 - 2 2 - 4
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
North Texas Eagles 0 - 0 2 - 3 2 - 1 0 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 2 2 - 4 0 - 0
Arkansas State Red Wolves 0 - 1 1 - 4 1 - 2 0 - 3 1 - 2 0 - 0 1 - 2 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

North Texas Eagles
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/03/09 Thu @BALLST 20 - 10 W +16 +16 W 26 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat OH 30 - 31 L +3.5 +2.5 W 1.5 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat @AL 7 - 53 L +32 +37.5 L -8.5 50.0 50.0 O +-10.0 G
09/26/09 Sat MITNST 21 - 37 L +6 +6.5 L -9.5 52.0 56.0 O +- 2.0 G
10/10/09 Sat @SWLA 34 - 38 L +6 +5.5 W 1.5 55.0 53.0 O +-19.0 G
10/17/09 Sat FAU 40 - 44 L +3 -1 L -5 58.0 61.5 O +-22.5 G
10/24/09 Sat @TROY 26 - 50 L +18.5 +20.5 L -3.5 55.0 58.0 O +-18.0 T
10/31/09 Sat WKTY 68 - 49 W -11 -14 W 5 65.5 64.5 O +-52.5 G
11/07/09 Sat NELA 6 - 33 L -0 +2.5 L -24.5 67.0 63.5 U -24.5 G
11/14/09 Sat @FLINTL 28 - 35 L +3 +3 L -4 NL NL T
11/21/09 Sat ARMY 13 - 17 L -3 -1 L -5 53.0 53.5 U -23.5 G


Arkansas State Red Wolves
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat MSVALST 61 - 0 W -0 -0 W 61 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat @NE 9 - 38 L +23 +21.5 L -7.5 NL NL T
09/26/09 Sat TROY 27 - 30 L -1.5 -2.5 L -5.5 49.0 50.5 O +- 6.5 G
10/03/09 Sat @IA 21 - 24 L +21.5 +21.5 W 18.5 45.5 45.5 U -0.5 G
10/20/09 Tue @NELA 10 - 16 L -3 +2.5 L -3.5 53.0 50.0 U -24.0 G
10/24/09 Sat FLINTL 27 - 10 W -12 -11.5 W 5.5 55.0 58.0 U -21.0 G
10/31/09 Sat @LOU 13 - 21 L +4 +1.5 L -6.5 49.0 50.5 U -16.5 G
11/07/09 Sat SWLA 18 - 21 L -11 -13.5 L -16.5 48.0 49.0 U -10.0 G
11/14/09 Sat @FAU 18 - 35 L -4 -3.5 L -20.5 52.0 55.0 U -2.0 T
11/21/09 Sat @MITNST 14 - 38 L +10.5 +10.5 L -13.5 48.0 51.0 O +- 1.0 T



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/26/05 Sat ARST 31 NTX 24 +3 +2 NTX --5 NL NL O +-55 G
10/21/06 Sat NTX 10 ARST 29 -7.0 -9.0 ARST +10 NL NL O +-39 G
11/15/07 Thu NTX 27 ARST 31 -13.0 -15.0 ARST --11 NL NL O +-58 G
11/29/08 Sat ARST 33 NTX 28 +18 +20.5 NTX +15.5 NL NL O +-61 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NTX (off) 23.0 19 38 184 4.8 33 23 0.7 226 6.8 410 1.2 0.6
ARST (def) 15.3 18 32 86 2.7 35 22 0.6 208 5.9 294 0.3 2.0
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NTX (def) 37.2 21 37 196 5.3 32 18 0.6 220 6.9 416 0.2 1.0
ARST (off) 33.3 18 39 190 4.9 22 12 0.5 177 8.0 367 0.8 1.5
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NTX (off) 26.6 21 36 189 5.3 35 24 0.7 232 6.6 421 1.5 1.1
ARST (def) 23.3 20 35 122 3.5 32 20 0.6 237 7.4 359 0.6 0.9
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
NTX (def) 36.1 21 40 191 4.8 30 17 0.6 215 7.2 406 0.4 0.7
ARST (off) 21.8 17 35 128 3.7 28 16 0.6 194 6.9 322 0.9 1.0



SCORING AVERAGES:

North Texas Eagles (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.8 9.0 13.8 4.6 4.6 0.0 9.2
POINTS ALLOWED 10.4 10.0 20.4 8.0 8.8 0.0 16.8



Arkansas State Red Wolves (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 9.3 5.8 15.1 9.5 8.8 0.0 18.3
POINTS ALLOWED 2.5 6.0 8.5 3.3 3.5 0.0 6.8



North Texas Eagles (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.5 6.5 13 7.5 5.3 0.0 12.8
POINTS ALLOWED 7.5 12.5 20 8.0 7.2 0.1 15.3



Arkansas State Red Wolves (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.3 4.9 9.2 5.5 7.1 0.0 12.6
POINTS ALLOWED 7.9 5.4 13.3 6.2 3.8 0.0 10



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
North Texas Eagles 31.5 2.5
Arkansas State Red Wolves 34 -6.5
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 45.5 UNKNOWN
 

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Preview:
North Texas at Arkansas State
When: 3:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Indian Stadium, Jonesboro, Arkansas



Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are ranked 100 on offense, averaging 322.5 yards per game. The Red Wolves are averaging 128.8 yards rushing and 193.7 yards passing so far this season.

The North Texas Mean Green are ranked 28 on offense, averaging 421.5 yards per game. The Mean Green are averaging 189.2 yards rushing and 232.4 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 2-2 at home this season, 1-5 against conference opponents and 1-3 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Red Wolves are averaging 33.2 scoring, and holding teams to 15.2 points scored on defense.

The North Texas Mean Green are 1-4 while on the road this season, 1-6 against conference opponents and 1-3 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Mean Green are averaging 23.0 scoring, and holding teams to 37.2 points scored on defense.
 

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Trends - North Texas at Arkansas State

Trends - North Texas at Arkansas State

Trends - North Texas at Arkansas State


ATS Trends

North Texas

Mean Green are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Mean Green are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Mean Green are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Mean Green are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
Mean Green are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Mean Green are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Mean Green are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Mean Green are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Mean Green are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Mean Green are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Mean Green are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Mean Green are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.


Arkansas State

Red Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Red Wolves are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Red Wolves are 8-21 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Red Wolves are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
Red Wolves are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games overall.
Red Wolves are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
Red Wolves are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Red Wolves are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Red Wolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Red Wolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Red Wolves are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in November.


OU Trends

North Texas

Over is 7-1 in Mean Green last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 9-2 in Mean Green last 11 games following a S.U. loss.
Over is 15-4 in Mean Green last 19 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 7-2 in Mean Green last 9 conference games.
Over is 6-2 in Mean Green last 8 games as an underdog.
Over is 7-3 in Mean Green last 10 games overall.
Under is 7-3 in Mean Green last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.


Arkansas State

Under is 4-0 in Red Wolves last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 10-1-1 in Red Wolves last 12 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1-1 in Red Wolves last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 8-2-1 in Red Wolves last 11 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in Red Wolves last 5 conference games.
Under is 7-2 in Red Wolves last 9 games in November.
Under is 7-2 in Red Wolves last 9 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 16-5-1 in Red Wolves last 22 games on grass.
Under is 19-6-1 in Red Wolves last 26 games overall.
Under is 6-2 in Red Wolves last 8 games as a home favorite.
Under is 6-2 in Red Wolves last 8 home games.
Under is 6-2 in Red Wolves last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 9-3 in Red Wolves last 12 games as a favorite.
Under is 15-5-1 in Red Wolves last 21 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Under is 5-2 in Red Wolves last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 7-3 in Red Wolves last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.


Head to Head

No trends available.
 

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Tulane (3-8) at S-M-U (6-5)

Tulane (3-8) at S-M-U (6-5)

Tulane (3-8) at S-M-U (6-5)


DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 28th, 3:00 p.m. (et)

FACTS & STATS: Site: Ford Stadium (32,000) -- Dallas, Texas. Television:TWC. Home Record: Tulane 2-4, SMU 4-1. Away Record: Tulane 1-4, SMU 2-4. Neutral Record: Tulane 0-0, SMU 0-0. Conference Record: Tulane 1-6, SMU 5-2. Series Record: Tulane leads, 12-5.

GAME NOTES: The SMU Mustangs still have a slim chance of reaching the Conference USA championship game and they will try to keep those hopes alive against the Tulane Green Wave this weekend in Dallas.

The Mustangs controlled their own destiny in the West Division standings courtesy of a three-game win streak. However, it all slipped away last weekend with a 34-31 loss to Marshall. The defeat dropped the Ponies into a tie with Houston at 5-2, but the Cougars own the tie-breaker courtesy of their win over SMU earlier this season. So in order for the Mustangs to win the West Division, they will need to take this game against Tulane and hope Houston losses to Rice later at night.

For the Green Wave, this will be its last game of the season, as the team sits at just 3-8 overall. Tulane's difficult campaign got even worse last weekend with a 49-0 beating at the hands of UCF. It was the second loss in a row for Tulane, which is now just 1-6 within the conference.

Tulane leads the head-to-head series with SMU, 12-5, and that takes into account a 34-27 triumph in last season's meeting.

It was one of the worst offensive showings a team could possibly have, as Tulane was held to a minuscule 50 total yards and seven first downs in a loss to UCF last weekend. The Wave added five turnovers to that effort, which included -30 yards rushing. Tulane is averaging just 309.5 ypg on the year, so the team isn't an offensive juggernaut or anything, but that was still an awful performance last weekend. Tailback Andre Anderson has been a bright spot for this offense with 911 yards and seven scores on the ground. He however, finished with negative-two yards on 14 carries last weekend. Wideout Jeremy Williams was about the only Wave player to have any success last game, as he pulled in seven balls for 47 yards. With that effort, he now has 79 receptions for 1,039 yards and five touchdowns. Getting him the ball is Ryan Griffin, who threw for just 67 yards and two picks last weekend. For the season, Griffin has hit on 62.8 percent of his pass attempts for 1,166 yards, with seven scores and six interceptions.

Tulane's defense didn't do any better last weekend, allowing UCF to roll up 504 yards, including 264 and four scores on the ground. Stopping the run has been a real issue for this defense, which is permitting 207.0 ypg with 30 touchdowns on the ground this season. Creating big plays is another problem area, as the Wave has forced a mere 10 turnovers, to go with a measly 13 sacks. Travis Burks, who had six stops last weekend, is one of the team's better tacklers and he has 82 stops for the season.

SMU gained 331 total yards and scored 31 points, but it wasn't enough to overcome two turnovers and Marshall in a loss last weekend. The Ponies, who are averaging 374.0 ypg on the season, have had issues hanging onto the ball at times and have 26 turnovers on the campaign. Quarterback Kyle Padron lost for the first time in four starts, as he completed 18-of-32 pass attempts for 225 yards, with two touchdowns and one pick. It wasn't all that bad of an effort by Padron, who has had success in completing 65.0 percent of his tosses, with eight scores against four picks in five appearances. Emmanuel Sanders is the team's top target and one of the most dangerous wide receivers in C-USA, pulling in 85 passes for 1,071 yards and six scores on the campaign. Last weekend, he had eight catches that led to 94 yards and a touchdown. Tailback Shawnbrey McNeal added 92 yards and score on 20 carries in the loss, and he is now just 22 yards shy of 1,000 for the season.

The Mustangs have had some issues on defense this season and it showed last weekend, when Marshall racked up 475 total yards without two of its top offensive threats. SMU gave up 262 of those yards on the ground and they are now surrendering 172.8 rushing ypg for the season. The defense hasn't fared any better versus the pass, allowing 236.5 ypg through the air. The unit though, has had success creating turnovers, forcing 26 and that includes 16 interceptions. However, the defense came up with no turnovers or even a sack in last weekend's loss. Chase Kennemer paced the defense with 13 tackles and he now has an impressive 117 stops for the season.

SMU still has a shot at the C-USA title game, so the team still has a great deal to play for. A win would also help assure a bowl spot, and the Mustangs should have no trouble running away from a dismal Tulane club this weekend.

Predicted Outcome: SMU 38, Tulane 20
 

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Southern Methodist Mustangs (2-2) (1-0 H) vs Tulane Green Wave (1-4) (1-2 A)

Game Time: 3:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Cotton Bowl Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Tulane Green Wave HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 2 - 4 1 - 4 3 - 8 1 - 4 1 - 4 2 - 8 1 - 3 1 - 3 2 - 6
Last 5 games 1 - 0 0 - 4 1 - 4 1 - 0 0 - 4 1 - 4 1 - 0 1 - 2 2 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 1 - 3 0 - 3 1 - 6 1 - 3 0 - 3 1 - 6 1 - 3 1 - 2 2 - 5
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Southern Methodist Mustangs HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 4 - 1 2 - 4 6 - 5 2 - 2 4 - 2 6 - 4 3 - 1 2 - 1 5 - 2
Last 5 games 2 - 0 1 - 2 3 - 2 0 - 2 2 - 1 2 - 3 2 - 0 1 - 1 3 - 1
YTD vs. Conf. 3 - 0 2 - 2 5 - 2 1 - 2 3 - 1 4 - 3 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Tulane Green Wave 0 - 0 1 - 4 0 - 2 1 - 2 0 - 0 1 - 4 0 - 0 1 - 4
Southern Methodist Mustangs 0 - 1 4 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 1 0 - 2 2 - 0 2 - 2 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Tulane Green Wave
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/04/09 Fri TLS 13 - 37 L +14 +14 L -10 65.0 60.0 U -10.0 T
09/12/09 Sat BYU 3 - 54 L +18 +19.5 L -31.5 NL NL T
09/26/09 Sat MCN 42 - 32 W -0 -0 W 10 NL NL T
10/03/09 Sat @ARMY 17 - 16 W +6.5 +6 W 7 47.0 45.0 U -12.0 T
10/10/09 Sat MRSHL 10 - 31 L +3.5 +4 L -17 47.0 48.0 U -7.0 T
10/17/09 Sat HOU 16 - 44 L +21.5 +17 L -11 64.0 68.0 U -8.0 T
10/24/09 Sat @SMS 6 - 43 L +23 +21 L -16 53.0 52.0 U -3.0 G
10/31/09 Sat @LSU 0 - 42 L +38 +36.5 L -5.5 NL NL G
11/07/09 Sat TXEP 45 - 38 W +10.5 +7 W 14 59.0 57.0 O +-26.0 T
11/14/09 Sat @RICE 20 - 28 L +3 +3 L -5 55.0 57.5 U -9.5 T
11/21/09 Sat @CFL 0 - 49 L +20 +22 L -27 49.0 47.0 O +- 2.0 T


Southern Methodist Mustangs
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat SFA 31 - 23 W -0 -0 W 8 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat @ALBRM 35 - 33 W +10 +11 W 13 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat @WAST 27 - 30 L -4.5 -5 L -8 56.0 57.0 U 0.0 T
10/03/09 Sat @TCU 14 - 39 L +26 +28 W 3 48.0 52.5 O +- 0.5 G
10/10/09 Sat ECA 28 - 21 W +7.5 +4.5 W 11.5 52.0 53.0 U -4.0 G
10/17/09 Sat NAVY 35 - 38 L +8 +6.5 W 3.5 57.0 53.5 O +-19.5 G
10/24/09 Sat @HOU 15 - 38 L +17 +16.5 L -6.5 70.0 70.0 U -17.0 G
10/31/09 Sat @TLS 27 - 13 W +17 +14.5 W 28.5 NL NL T
11/07/09 Sat RICE 31 - 28 W -16.5 -17.5 L -14.5 55.0 57.5 O +- 1.5 G
11/14/09 Sat TXEP 35 - 31 W -6 -7 L -3 63.0 63.0 O +- 3.0 G
11/21/09 Sat @MRSHL 31 - 34 L +5 +3.5 W 0.5 47.0 48.5 O +-16.5 T



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/24/05 Sat TLN 31 SMU 10 +4 +2 SMU --19 NL NL O +-41 G
09/30/06 Sat SMU 33 TLN 28 +3 +3 TLN --2 NL NL O +-61 T
10/20/07 Sat TLN 41 SMU 34 -6.5 -6.0 SMU --13 NL NL O +-75 G
09/25/08 Thu SMU 27 TLN 34 -14.0 -18.0 TLN --11 52.0 51.0 O +-10 T




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
TLN (off) 8.6 14 29 63 2.2 32 20 0.6 171 5.3 234 1.0 1.4
SMU (def) 28.2 22 41 177 4.3 36 21 0.6 257 7.1 434 1.4 1.2
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
TLN (def) 35.6 20 44 219 5.0 19 13 0.7 159 8.4 378 0.6 0.4
SMU (off) 32.0 18 28 129 4.6 33 19 0.6 229 6.9 358 1.0 0.4
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
TLN (off) 15.6 17 33 104 3.2 32 20 0.6 206 6.4 310 1.3 1.0
SMU (def) 29.8 20 39 173 4.4 35 19 0.5 237 6.8 410 1.5 0.9
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
TLN (def) 37.6 23 43 210 4.9 24 16 0.7 210 8.8 420 0.5 0.5
SMU (off) 28.1 19 29 107 3.7 36 21 0.6 267 7.4 374 1.3 1.1



SCORING AVERAGES:

Tulane Green Wave (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 2.8 1.4 4.2 1.2 3.2 0.0 4.4
POINTS ALLOWED 7.6 6.8 14.4 11.0 10.2 0.0 21.2



Southern Methodist Mustangs (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.6 11.2 16.8 4.8 10.4 0.0 15.2
POINTS ALLOWED 6.8 4.0 10.8 9.6 7.2 0.6 17.4



Tulane Green Wave (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.5 3.6 7.1 3.1 4.8 0.6 8.5
POINTS ALLOWED 8.6 7.4 16 10.0 11.6 0.0 21.6



Southern Methodist Mustangs (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.1 9.1 14.2 5.0 8.9 0.0 13.9
POINTS ALLOWED 5.0 6.0 11 9.8 8.5 0.5 18.8



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Tulane Green Wave 31 3.5
Southern Methodist Mustangs 41 -14.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 50 UNKNOWN
 

Lumi

LOKI
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Preview:
Tulane at Southern Methodist
When: 3:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, Texas

Quick Hits


Overall Team Offense

The Southern Methodist Mustangs are ranked 64 on offense, averaging 374.0 yards per game. The Mustangs are averaging 106.5 yards rushing and 267.5 yards passing so far this season.

The Tulane Green Wave are ranked 106 on offense, averaging 309.0 yards per game. The Green Wave are averaging 102.6 yards rushing and 206.4 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Southern Methodist Mustangs are 4-1 at home this season, 5-2 against conference opponents and 1-3 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Mustangs are averaging 32.0 scoring, and holding teams to 28.2 points scored on defense.

The Tulane Green Wave are 1-4 while on the road this season, 1-6 against conference opponents and 2-2 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Green Wave are averaging 8.6 scoring, and holding teams to 35.6 points scored on defense.
 

Lumi

LOKI
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Aug 30, 2002
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In the shadows
Trends - Tulane at Southern Methodist

Trends - Tulane at Southern Methodist

Trends - Tulane at Southern Methodist


ATS Trends

Tulane

Green Wave are 16-37-1 ATS in their last 54 conference games.
Green Wave are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Green Wave are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Green Wave are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Green Wave are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Green Wave are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Green Wave are 8-26 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Green Wave are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Green Wave are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
Green Wave are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. loss.
Green Wave are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Green Wave are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Green Wave are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Green Wave are 0-9 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Green Wave are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Green Wave are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.


Southern Methodist

Mustangs are 21-43-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Mustangs are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 games on grass.
Mustangs are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS win.
Mustangs are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games.
Mustangs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Mustangs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Mustangs are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Mustangs are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Mustangs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
Mustangs are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.


OU Trends

Tulane

Under is 9-1 in Green Wave last 10 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 9-1 in Green Wave last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 6-1 in Green Wave last 7 games on grass.
Under is 5-1 in Green Wave last 6 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 14-3 in Green Wave last 17 road games.
Under is 14-3 in Green Wave last 17 games as a road underdog.
Under is 13-3 in Green Wave last 16 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 4-1 in Green Wave last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Green Wave last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-2 in Green Wave last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Green Wave last 9 conference games.
Under is 13-4 in Green Wave last 17 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Green Wave last 8 games overall.
Under is 9-3 in Green Wave last 12 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Green Wave last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Under is 19-7 in Green Wave last 26 games as an underdog.


Southern Methodist

Over is 6-0 in Mustangs last 6 games as a home favorite.
Under is 9-1-1 in Mustangs last 11 games following a S.U. loss.
Over is 7-1 in Mustangs last 8 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-1 in Mustangs last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 9-3 in Mustangs last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 8-3-1 in Mustangs last 12 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Mustangs last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 13-6 in Mustangs last 19 games in November.


Head to Head

Green Wave are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Southern Methodist.
Green Wave are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
 
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