Saturday's Tip Sheet

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Marshall (6-5) at Texas-El Paso (3-8)

Marshall (6-5) at Texas-El Paso (3-8)

Marshall (6-5) at Texas-El Paso (3-8)


DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 28th, 3:00 p.m. (et)

FACTS & STATS: Site: Sun Bowl Stadium (52,000) -- El Paso, Texas. Television:WSAZ. Home Record: Marshall 4-2, UTEP 2-3. Away Record: Marshall 2-3, UTEP 1-5. Neutral Record: Marshall 0-0, UTEP 0-0. Conference Record: Marshall 4-3, UTEP 2-5. Series Record: Tied, 1-1.

GAME NOTES: The Texas-El Paso Miners will try to wrap up their 2009 campaign on a high note, as they host the Marshall Thundering Herd in Conference USA play at the Sun Bowl.

The Miners were expected to compete for a C-USA title this season, but instead bring just a 2-5 league mark into their finale. The team is currently mired in a four-game slide, with each loss coming by a touchdown or less. Last weekend, UTEP was nipped, 30-29, by a Rice club that had won just one game all year. With the loss, the Miners fell to 3-8 overall, as they are enduring a fourth straight losing season.

As for Marshall, it is coming off a big win, knocking off SMU 34-31 last weekend. The triumph snapped a two-game slide and made the Herd bowl eligible for the first time since 2004. Now at 6-5 overall, Marshall can guarantee itself a winning campaign with a victory this weekend.

The Herd and Miners have met just twice previously on the gridiron, with each team winning one of those encounters.

Despite their two biggest offensive threats sidelined due to injury, Marshall was able to roll up 475 total yards in a win over SMU. Star tailback Darius Marshall (1,054 rushing yards, 11 TDs) and tight end Cody Slate (50 catches) were both missing from the lineup, but several players stepped up in their absence. Redshirt freshman Martin Ward picked up the slack on the ground with 136 yards and one touchdown on 25 carries, while Terrell Edwards-Maye added 113 yards and a score on 22 attempts. The duo hadn't done much prior to those performances, but will likely be leaned on again this weekend with Darius Marshall being listed as questionable with an ankle injury. True freshman wide receiver Aaron Dobson elevated his game with Slate out, as he snared four balls for 127 yards and two scores in last weekend's win. Slate is questionable for this game, so look for Dobson to be a key target once again. Quarterback Brian Anderson did a good job despite the new weapons, as he threw for 213 yards and two scores in the win over SMU. He has now thrown for 2,214 yards, with 11 scores and 10 picks for the season.

Marshall's defense wasn't all that bad last weekend, although the 31 points it allowed was a little too much. Still, the unit held SMU to 331 total yards, while forcing two turnovers and recording five sacks. The Herd, which is giving up 374.6 total ypg on the season, hasn't had that much success forcing turnover, with just 16, so last weekend's effort was encouraging. Mario Harvey heads the defense with 97 stops and five sacks and he had seven tackles and a sack in last weekend's win. Omar Brown also played a factor versus SMU, as he had a fumble recovery to go with his second interception of the campaign.

The Miners rolled up 395 yards of total offense, but shot themselves in the foot over and over, committing six turnovers in a loss to Rice. Of those six mishaps, five came by way of fumble and that was shocking considering UTEP had lost just three fumbles through the first 10 games. Donald Buckram ran for 147 yards and three touchdowns, but committed a pair costly turnovers that ended potential scoring drives. The fumbles certainly put a damper on his performance, although Buckram did break the school's single season rushing record with 1,569 yards. He has scored 17 touchdowns on the ground and three through the air, so he is obviously a huge part of this offense. Trevor Vittatoe threw a pick last weekend, but that was his only error, as he completed 17-of-26 pass attempts for 244 yards and a score. He, however, has been a big disappointment this season, throwing only 12 touchdowns after passing for 33 last season. Jeff Moturi is Vittatoe's main target through the air and he leads the team with 46 catches and 795 receiving yards.

UTEP's defense has had its share of struggles this season, allowing 442.7 total ypg, including 205.8 ypg and 25 touchdowns on the ground. Last weekend, however, this unit couldn't be faulted, as it held Rice to just 227 total yards. The defense forced a turnover and had three sacks, but gave 30 points because it was put in bad position by the consistent turnovers from the offense. Da'Mon Cromartie-Smith had seven stops in the loss and he continues to be the team's most consistent player on this side of the ball, totaling 100 tackles in just nine games.

The Miners have been better than their record would indicate and with their potent offense leading the charge, look for them to upend Marshall this weekend.

Predicted Outcome: Texas-El Paso 35, Marshall 24

 

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Texas El Paso Miners (2-3) (2-2 H) vs Marshall Thundering Herd (2-2) (1-1 A)

Texas El Paso Miners (2-3) (2-2 H) vs Marshall Thundering Herd (2-2) (1-1 A)

Texas El Paso Miners (2-3) (2-2 H) vs Marshall Thundering Herd (2-2) (1-1 A)

Game Time: 3:00 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Sun Bowl Stadium Surface: Turf




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Marshall Thundering Herd HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 4 - 2 2 - 3 6 - 5 2 - 3 4 - 1 6 - 4 1 - 4 0 - 4 1 - 8
Last 5 games 2 - 1 0 - 2 2 - 3 1 - 2 2 - 0 3 - 2 1 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 4
YTD vs. Conf. 2 - 2 2 - 1 4 - 3 1 - 3 3 - 0 4 - 3 1 - 3 0 - 3 1 - 6
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Texas El Paso Miners HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 2 - 3 1 - 5 3 - 8 2 - 3 2 - 4 4 - 7 2 - 1 4 - 2 6 - 3
Last 5 games 1 - 1 0 - 3 1 - 4 1 - 1 1 - 2 2 - 3 1 - 1 2 - 1 3 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 2 - 1 0 - 4 2 - 5 2 - 1 1 - 3 3 - 4 2 - 1 2 - 2 4 - 3
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Marshall Thundering Herd 1 - 0 3 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 0 1 - 1 1 - 2 0 - 0 2 - 3
Texas El Paso Miners 1 - 3 1 - 1 2 - 2 0 - 2 0 - 2 2 - 1 0 - 0 2 - 3



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Marshall Thundering Herd
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat SIL 31 - 28 W -0 -0 W 3 NL NL T
09/12/09 Sat @VATECH 10 - 52 L +20.5 +19.5 L -22.5 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat BG 17 - 10 W -0 +3 W 10 51.0 51.0 U -24.0 T
09/26/09 Sat @MEM 27 - 16 W +1.5 +3 W 14 47.0 48.5 U -5.5 G
10/03/09 Sat ECA 17 - 21 L +3.5 +2 L -2 45.0 48.0 U -10.0 T
10/10/09 Sat @TLN 31 - 10 W -3.5 -4 W 17 47.0 48.0 U -7.0 T
10/17/09 Sat @WV 7 - 24 L +17 +20 W 3 52.5 51.5 U -20.5 T
10/24/09 Sat ALBRM 27 - 7 W -7.5 -7 W 13 52.0 52.5 U -18.5 T
11/01/09 Sun @CFL 20 - 21 L +3 +7 W 6 45.5 42.0 U -1.0 T
11/14/09 Sat SMS 20 - 27 L +3 +3 L -4 50.0 51.0 U -4.0 T
11/21/09 Sat SMU 34 - 31 W -5 -3.5 L -0.5 47.0 48.5 O +-16.5 T


Texas El Paso Miners
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat BUFF 17 - 23 L -4.5 -11 L -17 NL NL T
09/12/09 Sat KS 7 - 34 L +14.5 +13.5 L -13.5 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat @NMST 38 - 12 W -12 -14 W 12 47.5 47.5 O +- 2.5 G
09/26/09 Sat @TX 7 - 64 L +35 +36 L -21 64.0 63.5 O +- 7.5 G
10/03/09 Sat HOU 58 - 41 W +14 +14 W 31 66.0 69.5 O +-29.5 T
10/10/09 Sat @MEM 20 - 35 L -2.5 -1.5 L -16.5 58.0 58.0 U -3.0 G
10/21/09 Wed TLS 28 - 24 W +6.5 +9 W 13 59.0 59.5 U -7.5 T
10/31/09 Sat ALBRM 33 - 38 L -8 -7.5 L -12.5 63.0 64.0 O +- 7.0 T
11/07/09 Sat @TLN 38 - 45 L -10.5 -7 L -14 59.0 57.0 O +-26.0 T
11/14/09 Sat @SMU 31 - 35 L +6 +7 W 3 63.0 63.0 O +- 3.0 G
11/21/09 Sat @RICE 29 - 30 L -8 -6.5 L -7.5 67.0 69.5 U -10.5 T



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
10/22/05 Sat MRSHL 3 TXEP 31 -12.5 -14.5 TXEP +13.5 NL NL O +-34 T
11/18/06 Sat TXEP 21 MRSHL 49 -1.5 -3.0 MRSHL +25 NL NL O +-70 T




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
MRSHL (off) 19.0 15 33 120 3.6 28 15 0.5 169 6.0 289 0.8 1.0
TXEP (def) 32.0 25 39 194 5.0 36 22 0.6 276 7.7 470 0.2 0.8
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
MRSHL (def) 24.6 20 36 192 5.3 33 18 0.5 223 6.8 415 1.0 0.8
TXEP (off) 28.6 22 32 162 5.1 37 21 0.6 276 7.5 438 1.0 0.2
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
MRSHL (off) 21.9 18 36 138 3.8 31 18 0.6 205 6.6 343 0.9 0.7
TXEP (def) 34.6 23 41 206 5.0 32 20 0.6 237 7.4 443 0.7 0.6
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
MRSHL (def) 22.5 19 33 152 4.6 34 20 0.6 223 6.6 375 0.7 0.7
TXEP (off) 27.8 21 34 158 4.6 34 18 0.5 254 7.5 412 1.2 0.7



SCORING AVERAGES:

Marshall Thundering Herd (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.8 9.0 13.8 1.2 4.0 0.0 5.2
POINTS ALLOWED 4.2 8.2 12.4 4.0 8.2 0.0 12.2



Texas El Paso Miners (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.6 6.2 10.8 6.0 11.8 0.0 17.8
POINTS ALLOWED 4.0 13.6 17.6 6.0 8.4 0.0 14.4



Marshall Thundering Herd (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 3.1 8.1 11.2 5.9 4.8 0.0 10.7
POINTS ALLOWED 4.5 7.2 11.7 4.3 6.5 0.0 10.8



Texas El Paso Miners (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.4 5.9 12.3 6.5 9.1 0.0 15.6
POINTS ALLOWED 6.5 12.1 18.6 4.9 10.5 0.6 16



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Marshall Thundering Herd 43.5
Texas El Paso Miners 52 -12.5 15.5
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 53.5 UNKNOWN

 

[Lumi]

Preview:
Marshall at Texas El Paso
When: 3:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Sun Bowl Stadium, El Paso, Texas

Quick Hits


Overall Team Offense

The Texas El Paso Miners are ranked 37 on offense, averaging 410.5 yards per game. The Miners are averaging 158.4 yards rushing and 252.2 yards passing so far this season.

The Marshall Thundering Herd are ranked 86 on offense, averaging 342.7 yards per game. The Thundering Herd are averaging 138.1 yards rushing and 204.6 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Texas El Paso Miners are 2-3 at home this season, 2-5 against conference opponents and 1-3 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Miners are averaging 28.6 scoring, and holding teams to 32.0 points scored on defense.

The Marshall Thundering Herd are 2-3 while on the road this season, 4-3 against conference opponents and 2-2 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Thundering Herd are averaging 19.0 scoring, and holding teams to 24.6 points scored on defense.

 

[Lumi]

Trends - Marshall at Texas El Paso

Trends - Marshall at Texas El Paso

Trends - Marshall at Texas El Paso


ATS Trends

Marshall

Thundering Herd are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Thundering Herd are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Thundering Herd are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Thundering Herd are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Thundering Herd are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 0.5-3.0.


Texas El Paso

Miners are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Miners are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Miners are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Miners are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games in November.
Miners are 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite.
Miners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on turf.
Miners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Miners are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.


OU Trends

Marshall

Under is 4-0 in Thundering Herd last 4 road games.
Under is 4-0 in Thundering Herd last 4 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 7-0 in Thundering Herd last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 4-0 in Thundering Herd last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Thundering Herd last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 games as a road underdog.
Under is 6-1 in Thundering Herd last 7 conference games.
Under is 13-3 in Thundering Herd last 16 games on turf.
Under is 4-1 in Thundering Herd last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Under is 10-3 in Thundering Herd last 13 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 16-5 in Thundering Herd last 21 games as an underdog.
Under is 19-7 in Thundering Herd last 26 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Thundering Herd last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.


Texas El Paso

Over is 6-1 in Miners last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Miners last 5 games in November.
Over is 4-1 in Miners last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-1 in Miners last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 5-2 in Miners last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.


Head to Head

No trends available.

 

[Lumi]

Arizona (6-4) at Arizona State (4-7)

Arizona (6-4) at Arizona State (4-7)

Arizona (6-4) at Arizona State (4-7)






DATE & TIME: November 28th, 3:30 p.m. (et)

FACTS & STATS: Site: Sun Devil Stadium (73,379) -- Tempe, Arizona. Television: ABC. Home Record: Arizona 5-1, Arizona State 3-3. Away Record: Arizona 1-3, Arizona State 1-4. Neutral Record: Arizona 0-0, Arizona State 0-0. Conference Record: Arizona 4-3, Arizona State 2-6. Series Record: Arizona leads, 45-36-1.

GAME NOTES: Intrastate and Pac-10 rivals collide in Tempe on Saturday, as the Arizona State Sun Devils play host to the Arizona Wildcats.

Arizona needed a victory over Oregon last weekend to remain alive in the race for the Pac-10 title and a trip to the Rose Bowl, but the result of that clash was a heartbreaking 44-41 overtime defeat. The Wildcats have now suffered back-to-back losses after a 4-1 start to conference play, and their 6-4 overall record is merely solid.

As for Arizona State, it has suffered five consecutive defeats to fall to 4-7 overall and 2-6 in league action. Last weekend, the team struggled offensive once again in a 23-13 setback at UCLA. The Sun Devils have failed to register more than 21 points in any game during the current losing skid.

Arizona owns a 45-36-1 advantage in the all-time series with Arizona State, including a 31-10 victory in last season's meeting with the Sun Devils.

Arizona posted 441 total yards against Oregon last week, including 314 yards through the air. Quarterback Nick Foles did all he could to keep his Wildcats in the contest, completing 30-of-46 attempts with four touchdowns and one interception. Rather than rely heavily on one or two receivers, Folk spread the ball around quite a bit. As for the ground attack, it mustered a mere 127 yards on 35 attempts. Overall this season, Arizona is scoring 31.5 ppg while gaining 429.7 total ypg. The Wildcats have scored 35 offensive touchdowns, 18 of which have come through the air. Floes is responsible for 17 of those passing scores, and he has completed 69 percent of his throws for 2,033 yards. Terrell Turner leads the team with 44 catches, while Juron Criner is tops with 497 receiving yards and eight touchdowns. Nicholas Grigsby is the top tailback for Arizona, but he injured his shoulder last week against Oregon and is listed as questionable for this weekend's tilt. Fellow runner Keola Antolin is also questionable, so the Wildcats could be using their third-string tailback against the Sun Devils.

The Ducks racked up 459 total yards against Arizona, and Oregon finished with six offensive touchdowns. Clearly, if blame is to be handed out for last week's loss, it should be directed at the Wildcat defense. Only one turnover was forced, and zero sacks were registered. Overall this season, opponents are scoring 24.4 ppg against Arizona, which is allowing 320.7 ypg. The strength of the defense is its play against the pass, as foes are managing a mere 3.8 yards per carry against the 'Cats. With 26 sacks and 17 takeaways, Arizona has registered a fair number of impact plays. Xavier Kelley paces the Wildcats with 60 total tackles, and Ricky Elmore is tops with 8.5 sacks. As for Trevin Wade, he has recorded four interceptions.

Arizona State is averaging a modest 22.8 ppg and 337.3 total ypg this season, numbers that aren't going to scare Arizona. The Sun Devils have struggled in their efforts to run the football, as they are gaining a mere 3.8 yards per attempt. Dimitri Nance has gained 680 yards and six touchdowns on the ground, but he hasn't made many big plays. Because of that lack of success, a great deal of pressure has fallen on quarterback Danny Sullivan, who has only completed 54.2 percent of his passes for 1,771 yards and eight touchdowns with nine interceptions. Brock Osweiler, another quarterback, hasn't been any better. Chris McGaha (55 catches, 660 yards and four TDs) and Kyle Williams (48, 685, six) are talented targets, but they have suffered from the shaky quarterback play. Arizona State decided to give sophomore Samson Szakacsy a shot under center last week against UCLA, and he completed 15-of-22 passes for 197 yards with two touchdowns and one interception, a solid debut. Williams was tremendous, as he made six catches for 128 yards and two scores. As for Nance, he ran for 110 yards in defeat.

While Arizona State has struggled to run the ball successfully as mentioned, the team has done an outstanding job of stopping the run. The Sun Devils are limiting opponents to 107.8 ypg at a clip of 3.3 yards per carry, impressive by any standards. The pass defense has been solid as well, as opposing quarterbacks have 13 touchdowns passes with 15 interceptions against ASU, which is yielding 21.2 ppg and 300.5 total ypg. Mike Nixon leads the Sun Devils with 65 total tackles, and he has registered three interceptions and three forced fumbles. ASU managed to limit UCLA to 292 total yards last week, including just 131 rushing yards. Once again, the defense played well enough to win, especially considering that the Bruins didn't score a single offensive touchdown in the clash.

Arizona is undoubtedly upset with last week's loss, but the team will be focused against Arizona State and win the game. Expect a solid defensive effort by the Wildcats.

Predicted Outcome: Arizona 31, Arizona State 20

 

[Lumi]

Arizona State Sun Devils (4-4) (3-2 H) vs Arizona Wildcats (5-2) (1-2 A)

Game Time: 3:30 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Sun Devil Stadium Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Arizona Wildcats HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 5 - 1 1 - 3 6 - 4 4 - 1 1 - 3 5 - 4 2 - 1 3 - 1 5 - 2
Last 5 games 3 - 1 0 - 1 3 - 2 4 - 0 0 - 1 4 - 1 2 - 1 0 - 1 2 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 3 - 1 1 - 2 4 - 3 4 - 0 1 - 2 5 - 2 2 - 1 2 - 1 4 - 2
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Arizona State Sun Devils HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 3 - 3 1 - 4 4 - 7 4 - 1 1 - 4 5 - 5 1 - 4 1 - 4 2 - 8
Last 5 games 0 - 2 0 - 3 0 - 5 2 - 0 0 - 3 2 - 3 0 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 4
YTD vs. Conf. 1 - 3 1 - 3 2 - 6 3 - 1 0 - 4 3 - 5 0 - 4 1 - 3 1 - 7
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Arizona Wildcats 0 - 1 1 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 1 3 - 1 1 - 0 4 - 1 0 - 0
Arizona State Sun Devils 0 - 1 1 - 3 1 - 2 0 - 2 2 - 1 2 - 0 4 - 1 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Arizona Wildcats
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat CMI 19 - 6 W -12 -15 L -2 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat NAZ 34 - 17 W -0 -0 W 17 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat @IA 17 - 27 L +6 +4.5 L -5.5 41.0 41.5 O +- 2.5 G
09/26/09 Sat @ORST 37 - 32 W -2.5 +3 W 8 44.5 44.5 O +-24.5 T
10/10/09 Sat @WA 33 - 36 L +0 -3.5 L -6.5 52.0 53.5 O +-15.5 T
10/17/09 Sat STAN 43 - 38 W -4 -4.5 W 0.5 53.0 53.0 O +-28.0 G
10/24/09 Sat UCLA 27 - 13 W -8 -7.5 W 6.5 49.0 50.5 U -10.5 G
11/07/09 Sat WAST 48 - 7 W -31 -32.5 W 8.5 NL NL G
11/14/09 Sat @CA 16 - 24 L -2 +2.5 L -5.5 52.0 55.5 U -15.5 G
11/21/09 Sat OR 41 - 44 L +4 +5.5 W 2.5 60.0 58.5 O +-26.5 G


Arizona State Sun Devils
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat IDS 50 - 3 W -0 -0 W 47 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat NELA 38 - 14 W -17 -21 W 3 49.5 49.5 O +- 2.5 G
09/26/09 Sat @GA 17 - 20 L +13 +13.5 W 10.5 53.0 49.0 U -12.0 G
10/03/09 Sat ORST 17 - 28 L -6 -5 L -16 47.5 45.5 U -0.5 G
10/10/09 Sat @WAST 27 - 14 W -21.5 -20.5 L -7.5 49.5 47.0 U -6.0 T
10/17/09 Sat WA 24 - 17 W -3 -6.5 W 0.5 47.0 47.5 U -6.5 G
10/24/09 Sat @STAN 14 - 33 L +7.5 +7 L -12 48.0 49.0 U -2.0 G
10/31/09 Sat CA 21 - 23 L +6.5 +6.5 W 4.5 54.0 51.5 U -7.5 G
11/07/09 Sat USC 9 - 14 L +14 +11.5 W 6.5 45.0 45.5 U -22.5 G
11/14/09 Sat @OR 21 - 44 L +17 +20 L -3 49.0 51.5 O +-13.5 T
11/21/09 Sat @UCLA 13 - 23 L +6 +4.5 L -5.5 42.0 41.5 U -5.5 G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/25/05 Fri AZ 20 AZST 23 -9.0 -10.0 AZST --7 60.0 63.0 U -20 G
11/25/06 Sat AZST 28 AZ 14 -3.0 -3.0 AZ --17 45.0 43.0 U -1 G
12/01/07 Sat AZ 17 AZST 20 -9.0 -7.0 AZST --4 58.0 57.0 U -20 G
12/06/08 Sat AZST 10 AZ 31 -7.5 -11.5 AZ +9.5 55.0 50.0 U -9 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
AZ (off) 25.8 19 29 108 3.7 39 25 0.6 236 6.1 344 1.0 0.3
AZST (def) 16.5 14 29 79 2.7 29 15 0.5 184 6.3 263 1.7 0.8
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
AZ (def) 29.8 20 34 132 3.9 32 19 0.6 207 6.5 339 1.5 0.0
AZST (off) 26.5 21 32 113 3.5 40 22 0.6 259 6.5 372 1.0 0.7
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
AZ (off) 31.5 23 36 181 5.0 37 25 0.7 249 6.7 430 1.0 0.8
AZST (def) 21.2 16 33 104 3.2 29 15 0.5 191 6.6 295 1.4 0.8
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
AZ (def) 24.4 17 30 112 3.7 33 19 0.6 209 6.3 321 1.1 0.6
AZST (off) 22.8 19 32 120 3.8 35 19 0.5 213 6.1 333 1.1 1.2



SCORING AVERAGES:

Arizona Wildcats (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.3 5.8 11.1 7.8 7.0 0.0 14.8
POINTS ALLOWED 6.0 7.5 13.5 4.0 12.3 0.0 16.3



Arizona State Sun Devils (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.5 9.0 13.5 7.2 5.8 0.0 13
POINTS ALLOWED 5.8 4.0 9.8 3.3 3.3 0.0 6.6



Arizona Wildcats (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 9.1 6.4 15.5 7.7 7.3 0.0 15
POINTS ALLOWED 4.8 6.1 10.9 3.6 8.6 0.3 12.5



Arizona State Sun Devils (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.0 6.1 10.1 7.6 5.1 0.0 12.7
POINTS ALLOWED 7.3 6.2 13.5 3.1 4.6 0.0 7.7



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Arizona Wildcats 54
Arizona State Sun Devils 58 -8.0 11.5
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 53.5 UNKNOWN

 

[Lumi]

Preview:
Arizona at Arizona State
When: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, Arizona

Quick Hits


Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Arizona State Sun Devils are ranked 90 on offense, averaging 337.3 yards per game. The Sun Devils are averaging 122.3 yards rushing and 215.0 yards passing so far this season.

The Arizona Wildcats are ranked 23 on offense, averaging 430.3 yards per game. The Wildcats are averaging 180.9 yards rushing and 249.4 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Arizona State Sun Devils are 3-3 at home this season, 2-6 against conference opponents and 2-1 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Sun Devils are averaging 26.5 scoring, and holding teams to 16.5 points scored on defense.

The Arizona Wildcats are 1-3 while on the road this season, 4-3 against conference opponents and 2-1 against non-conference opponents.


On the road, the Wildcats are averaging 25.8 scoring, and holding teams to 29.8 points scored on defense.

 

[Lumi]

Trends - Arizona at Arizona State

Trends - Arizona at Arizona State

Trends - Arizona at Arizona State

ATS Trends

Arizona

Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Wildcats are 14-32 ATS in their last 46 games as a favorite.
Wildcats are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Wildcats are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
Wildcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.


Arizona State

Sun Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Sun Devils are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. loss.
Sun Devils are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games in November.
Sun Devils are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Sun Devils are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Sun Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.


OU Trends

Arizona

Over is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Wildcats last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Wildcats last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Wildcats last 8 games as a favorite.
Over is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 5-2 in Wildcats last 7 games following a ATS win.
Under is 7-3 in Wildcats last 10 games on grass.


Arizona State

Under is 4-0 in Sun Devils last 4 home games.
Under is 8-0 in Sun Devils last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-0 in Sun Devils last 4 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 5-1 in Sun Devils last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 5-1 in Sun Devils last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Sun Devils last 5 games in November.
Under is 4-1 in Sun Devils last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-1 in Sun Devils last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
Under is 22-7 in Sun Devils last 29 games on grass.
Under is 6-2 in Sun Devils last 8 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 20-7 in Sun Devils last 27 conference games.
Under is 8-3 in Sun Devils last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 20-8-2 in Sun Devils last 30 games as an underdog.
Under is 35-17-2 in Sun Devils last 54 games overall.


Head to Head

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Arizona State.
Wildcats are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Arizona State.
Road team is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

 

[Lumi]

Florida State (6-5) at (1) Florida (11-0)

Florida State (6-5) at (1) Florida (11-0)

Florida State (6-5) at (1) Florida (11-0)



Saturday, November 28th, 3:30 p.m. (et)


GAME NOTES: The top-ranked Florida Gators seek a flawless regular season, as they close things out this weekend in Gainesville with their annual showdown with Sunshine State rival Florida State.

The defending national champions are just two victories away from playing for yet another national title, but must first get by the Seminoles this week and second-ranked Alabama in the SEC Championship Game on December 5th. Urban Meyer's team ran the nation's longest current win streak to 21 straight games, with last weekend's 62-3 drubbing of FIU. It also pushed the team to 11-0 for just the second time in school history.

The Seminoles have been plagued with inconsistency this season, but last week's 29-26 victory over Maryland made FSU bowl eligible for an NCAA-leading 28th straight season. Bobby Bowden's squad has won two straight games, but is just 6-5 on the year, including a 4-4 mark in ACC play.

Florida leads the all-time series with FSU, 32-19-2, including wins in each of the last five meetings.

The Seminoles relied heavily on the steady play under center from QB Christian Ponder, but the savvy signal-caller went down a few games ago with a shoulder injury and has not played since. The reins of the offense have been turned over to freshman EJ Manuel, but he has certainly had huge shoes to fill. The results have been mixed, as Manuel has completed a respectable 64.7 percent of his passes, but has thrown just one TD pass against four interceptions. Bert Reed and Rod Owens are the top options downfield and are tied for the team- lead in receptions (53), combining for over 1,300 yards.

The ground game in Tallahassee has been emphasized a little bit more of late, headlined by tailback Jermaine Thomas, who paces the team with 690 yards and seven TDs on the year.

The offense is often bolstered by freshman Greg Reid, who averages 18.4 yards per punt return with one taken back for a TD.

Defensively, FSU has had big problems against both the run (193.5 ypg) and the pass (240.9 ypg). In addition, foes have scored 83 percent of the time in the red zone and 69 percent of red zone opportunities have resulted in touchdowns.

Sophomore LB Nigel Bradham currently paces the team in tackles with 76, with junior LB Kendall Smith a close second (74 tackles). However, the heart-and- soul of the stop unit is senior LB Dekoda Watson (52 tackles, 9.0 TFLs, 4.5 sacks).

Eight different players scored TDs against FIU last week and that is where Florida's real strength lies, its versatility.

All-American Tim Tebow leads an offense that is as balanced as any in the country, averaging over 200 yards on the ground and through the air. Tebow paces the team in both areas, rushing for 706 yards and 11 TDs, while passing for 1,945 yards and 14 more scores thus far.

Tebow will be playing in his last game in Gainesville, something he is very aware of heading into this matchup.

"I'll try to prepare myself. I'm not going to think about it too much to be honest with you. It'll probably just happen. It will probably be pretty emotional, pretty exciting, overwhelming to say the least. I'm excited about it. Kind of sad it's my last opportunity, but also excited that it'll be that special of a moment, too."

There are plenty of complementary players in both areas as well, with tailbacks Jeff Demps (7.1 ypc, seven TDs) and Chris Rainey (6.2 ypc, four TDs) bolstering the ground game, while tight end Aaron Hernandez (46 receptions, for 571 yards, two TDs) and wideout Riley Cooper (38 receptions, for 641 yards, seven TDs) highlight the play downfield.

It doesn't get any better on the defensive side of the football, than the product coming out of Gainesville. The Gators lead the nation in scoring defense (9.8 ppg) and pass defense (139.3 ypg), while ranking second in total defense (229.8 ypg).

There is All-American talent at every level of the defense, starting with linebackers Ryan Stamper (team-high 64 tackles, 5.5 TFLs, 2.5 sacks, two INTs) and Brandon Spikes (50 tackles, 3.0 sacks, two INTs). The secondary features Joe Haden (57 tackles, three sacks, three INTs) and Ahmad Black (54 tackles, one INT), while the defensive front is headlined by rush ends Jermaine Cunningham (11.5 TFLs, 7.0 sacks) and Carlos Dunlap (7.5 TFLs, 6.0 sacks).

The Seminoles will struggle on both sides of the ball in this one. The Gators have their eyes one the prize, and won't slip up now, especially in Tebow's fairwell game in the Swamp.

Predicted Outcome: Florida 38, Florida State 10

 

[Lumi]

College Football Matchup - Florida State at (1) Florida

Florida State Seminoles (6-5) at (1) Florida Gators (11-0)
Date: Saturday, November 28th
Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. (et)
Site: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium (88,548) -- Gainesville, Florida
Surface: Natural Grass
Home Record: Florida State 3-3; Florida 6-0
Away Record: Florida State 3-2; Florida 4-0
Neutral Record: Florida State 0-0; Florida 1-0
Versus Opposing Conference: Florida State vs. SEC (59-66-6)
Versus Opposing Conference: Florida vs. ACC (110-93-11)
Current Road Win/Loss Streak: Florida State 1W
Current Home Win/Loss Streak: Florida 10W
Television: CBS
Announcers: Verne Lundquist, Gary Danielson and Tracy Wolfson
All-Time Series: Florida (32-19-2)
Last Meeting: November 29, 2008 (Florida, 45-15 at Florida State)
Series Streak: Florida has won the last five meetings.

Season Schedule/Results
Florida State Seminoles
Sep 7 - L vs. Miami-Florida, 34-38
Sep 12 - W vs. Jacksonville St, 19-9
Sep 19 - W at B-Y-U, 54-28
Sep 26 - L vs. So Florida, 7-17
Oct 3 - L at Boston College, 21-28
Oct 10 - L vs. Georgia Tech, 44-49
Oct 17 - Open
Oct 22 - W at North Carolina, 30-27
Oct 31 - W vs. NC State, 45-42
Nov 7 - L at Clemson, 24-40
Nov 14 - W at Wake Forest, 41-28
Nov 21 - W vs. Maryland, 29-26
Nov 28 - at Florida, 3:30 PM
Florida Gators
Sep 5 - W vs. Char Southern, 62-3
Sep 12 - W vs. Troy, 56-6
Sep 19 - W vs. Tennessee, 23-13
Sep 26 - W at Kentucky, 41-7
Oct 3 - Open
Oct 10 - W at L-S-U, 13-3
Oct 17 - W vs. Arkansas, 23-20
Oct 24 - W at Miss State, 29-19
Oct 31 - W vs. Georgia, 41-17 (at Jacksonville, FL)
Nov 7 - W vs. Vanderbilt, 27-3
Nov 14 - W at So Carolina, 24-14
Nov 21 - W vs. FIU, 62-3
Nov 28 - vs. Florida State, 3:30 PM
Dec 5 - vs. Alabama, 4:00 PM (SEC Championship)

 

[Lumi]

Florida Gators (8-0) (5-0 H) vs Florida State Seminoles (3-4) (2-1 A)

Game Time: 3:30 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Florida Field Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Florida State Seminoles HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 3 - 3 3 - 2 6 - 5 0 - 5 3 - 2 3 - 7 3 - 2 5 - 0 8 - 2
Last 5 games 2 - 0 2 - 1 4 - 1 0 - 2 2 - 1 2 - 3 1 - 1 3 - 0 4 - 1
YTD vs. Conf. 2 - 2 2 - 2 4 - 4 0 - 4 2 - 2 2 - 6 3 - 1 4 - 0 7 - 1
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Florida Gators HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 7 - 0 4 - 0 11 - 0 3 - 3 1 - 2 4 - 5 1 - 2 0 - 4 1 - 6
Last 5 games 3 - 0 2 - 0 5 - 0 2 - 1 0 - 2 2 - 3 1 - 0 0 - 2 1 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 4 - 0 4 - 0 8 - 0 1 - 3 1 - 2 2 - 5 1 - 2 0 - 4 1 - 6
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Florida State Seminoles 0 - 1 3 - 1 3 - 1 0 - 1 0 - 5 0 - 0 0 - 5 0 - 0
Florida Gators 1 - 2 0 - 0 1 - 2 0 - 0 3 - 3 0 - 0 3 - 3 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Florida State Seminoles
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/07/09 Mon MIA 34 - 38 L -4 -6 L -10 47.0 47.0 O +-25.0 G
09/12/09 Sat JAXST 19 - 9 W -0 -0 W 10 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat @BYU 54 - 28 W +6.5 +8.5 W 34.5 55.0 54.0 O +-28.0 G
09/26/09 Sat SFLA 7 - 17 L -12 -14 L -24 48.0 50.5 U -26.5 G
10/03/09 Sat @BC 21 - 28 L -6 -4 L -11 45.5 46.0 O +- 3.0 T
10/10/09 Sat GATECH 44 - 49 L -4.5 -3 L -8 52.0 56.0 O +-37.0 G
10/22/09 Thu @NC 30 - 27 W +0 +2.5 W 5.5 47.0 48.5 O +- 8.5 G
10/31/09 Sat NCST 45 - 42 W -7 -10 L -7 61.0 65.0 O +-22.0 G
11/07/09 Sat @CLEM 24 - 40 L +8 +8.5 L -7.5 55.0 57.0 O +- 7.0 G
11/14/09 Sat @WF 41 - 28 W +6 +5 W 18 56.0 56.5 O +-12.5 G
11/21/09 Sat MD 29 - 26 W -17 -17 L -14 58.0 56.5 U -1.5 G


Florida Gators
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat CHARSC 62 - 3 W -0 -0 W 59 NL NL G
09/12/09 Sat TROY 56 - 6 W -34.5 -37 W 13 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat TN 23 - 13 W -25 -30 L -20 52.5 53.0 U -17.0 G
09/26/09 Sat @KY 41 - 7 W -21 -20 W 14 56.0 53.0 U -5.0 G
10/10/09 Sat @LSU 13 - 3 W -9 -10 L 0 45.5 45.5 U -29.5 G
10/17/09 Sat AR 23 - 20 W -22 -25 L -22 57.0 58.0 U -15.0 G
10/24/09 Sat @MSST 29 - 19 W -24.5 -22.5 L -12.5 49.0 50.0 U -2.0 G
10/31/09 Sat GA 41 - 17 W -17 -16 W 8 48.0 49.5 O +- 8.5 G
11/07/09 Sat VANDY 27 - 3 W -35 -35 L -11 NL NL G
11/14/09 Sat @SC 24 - 14 W -15 -17.5 L -7.5 45.0 44.5 U -6.5 G
11/21/09 Sat FLINTL 62 - 3 W -43 -47 W 12 NL NL G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/26/05 Sat FLST 7 FL 34 -5.0 -3.5 FL +23.5 48.0 47.5 U -6.5 G
11/25/06 Sat FL 21 FLST 14 +7 +8.5 FLST +1.5 41.0 43.0 U -8 G
11/24/07 Sat FLST 12 FL 45 -14.5 -14.0 FL +19 56.0 58.5 U -1.5 G
11/29/08 Sat FL 45 FLST 15 +14 +16.5 FLST --13.5 56.0 52.0 O +-8 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
FLST (off) 34.0 23 36 154 4.3 33 24 0.7 284 8.6 438 1.0 0.6
FL (def) 9.3 13 31 99 3.2 28 13 0.5 145 5.2 244 1.4 0.3
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
FLST (def) 30.2 22 33 202 6.1 30 18 0.6 226 7.5 428 1.4 1.0
FL (off) 42.0 24 40 226 5.7 27 19 0.7 250 9.3 476 0.1 1.1
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
FLST (off) 31.6 22 32 149 4.7 35 24 0.7 286 8.2 435 1.0 1.2
FL (def) 9.8 13 32 91 2.8 27 14 0.5 139 5.1 230 1.6 0.3
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
FLST (def) 30.2 21 38 194 5.1 27 16 0.6 240 8.9 434 1.2 1.0
FL (off) 36.5 23 43 230 5.3 25 16 0.6 213 8.5 443 0.4 0.8



SCORING AVERAGES:

Florida State Seminoles (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 8.8 9.2 18 9.0 7.0 0.0 16
POINTS ALLOWED 6.8 9.2 16 5.6 8.6 0.0 14.2



Florida Gators (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 7.9 15.7 23.6 10.7 7.7 0.0 18.4
POINTS ALLOWED 0.9 4.1 5 2.3 2.0 0.0 4.3



Florida State Seminoles (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 7.8 8.3 16.1 6.5 9.1 0.0 15.6
POINTS ALLOWED 6.2 10.1 16.3 4.7 9.2 0.0 13.9



Florida Gators (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 9.3 12.2 21.5 7.4 7.6 0.0 15
POINTS ALLOWED 1.5 4.8 6.3 1.7 1.8 0.0 3.5



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Florida State Seminoles 63 13.0
Florida Gators 67 -8.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 51 UNKNOWN

 

[Lumi]

Preview:
Florida State at Florida
When: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, Florida

Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Florida Gators are ranked 16 on offense, averaging 442.8 yards per game. The Gators are averaging 229.9 yards rushing and 212.9 yards passing so far this season.

The Florida State Seminoles are ranked 20 on offense, averaging 434.5 yards per game. The Seminoles are averaging 148.5 yards rushing and 286.0 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Florida Gators are 6-0 at home this season, 8-0 against conference opponents and 3-0 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Gators are averaging 42.2 scoring, and holding teams to 8.0 points scored on defense.

The Florida State Seminoles are 3-2 while on the road this season, 4-4 against conference opponents and 2-1 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Seminoles are averaging 34.0 scoring, and holding teams to 30.2 points scored on defense.

 

[Lumi]

Trends - Florida State at No. 1 Florida

Trends - Florida State at No. 1 Florida

Trends - Florida State at No. 1 Florida


ATS Trends

Florida State

Seminoles are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
Seminoles are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog.
Seminoles are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.
Seminoles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
Seminoles are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a S.U. win.
Seminoles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Seminoles are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.


Florida

Gators are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Gators are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Gators are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in November.
Gators are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Gators are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Gators are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Gators are 19-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Gators are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 non-conference games.
Gators are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
Gators are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win.
Gators are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite.
Gators are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
Gators are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games on grass.
Gators are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Gators are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
Gators are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Gators are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.


OU Trends

Florida State

Over is 4-0 in Seminoles last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 10-1 in Seminoles last 11 games as a road underdog.
Over is 6-1 in Seminoles last 7 games overall.
Over is 5-1 in Seminoles last 6 non-conference games.
Over is 5-1 in Seminoles last 6 games on grass.
Over is 13-3 in Seminoles last 16 games as an underdog.
Over is 16-5 in Seminoles last 21 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 9-3 in Seminoles last 12 vs. SEC.
Over is 19-7 in Seminoles last 26 road games.
Over is 19-7 in Seminoles last 26 games following a ATS loss.


Florida


Under is 4-0 in Gators last 4 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
Under is 6-0 in Gators last 6 games following a ATS win.
Under is 7-1 in Gators last 8 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-1 in Gators last 7 vs. ACC.
Under is 6-1 in Gators last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-1 in Gators last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Under is 4-1 in Gators last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Gators last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Gators last 9 games overall.
Under is 7-2 in Gators last 9 games following a S.U. win.
Under is 7-2 in Gators last 9 games on grass.
Under is 7-2 in Gators last 9 games as a favorite.
Under is 6-2 in Gators last 8 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Gators last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Gators last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater.
Under is 6-2 in Gators last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 8-3 in Gators last 11 non-conference games.
Over is 8-3 in Gators last 11 games in November.
Over is 15-7 in Gators last 22 games as a home favorite.
Over is 15-7 in Gators last 22 home games.


Head to Head

Favorite is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Home team is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings.
Seminoles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Florida.
Seminoles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

 

[Lumi]

dunkel index

dunkel index

Game 167-168: Florida State at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 94.044; Florida 110.869
Dunkel Line: Florida by 17; 60
Vegas Line: Florida by 24 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (+24 1/2); Over

 

[Lumi]

Missouri (7-4) vs. Kansas (5-6)

Missouri (7-4) vs. Kansas (5-6)

Missouri (7-4) vs. Kansas (5-6)



DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 28th, 3:30 p.m. (et).

FACTS & STATS: Site: Arrowhead Stadium (77,000) -- Kansas City, Missouri. Television: ABC. Home Record: Missouri 3-3, Kansas 4-2. Away Record: Missouri 3-1, Kansas 1-4. Neutral Record: Missouri 1-0, Kansas 0-0. Conference Record: Missouri 3-4, Kansas 1-6. Series Record: Series is tied, 54-54-9.

GAME NOTES: The Missouri Tigers will try to cap off a strong finish to the 2009 regular season, as they take on the free-falling Kansas Jayhawks in a Big 12 Conference clash at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.

Missouri is coming off last week's 34-24 win over Iowa State. Overall, the Tigers have won two straight, and three of their last four. They've also posted a 4-1 record away from Faurot Field on the year.

On the other hand, the Jayhawks have lost six straight, a first for the program since dropping the final seven games of the 2002 season. Their latest setback was a 51-20 thrashing at the hands of Texas last weekend. Still, a win today would give the team its fifth consecutive season of at least six victories, which would only be the third time that has happened in school history.

Missouri/Kansas is the nation's second-oldest rivalry, dating back to 1891. The all-time series is deadlocked, 54-54-9, although Kansas won last year's meeting at Arrowhead, 40-37. The winner of the annual rivalry retains possession of the Bass Drum.

Kudos to the Missouri offensive line, which plowed open running lanes for the team's backs to amass a season-high 202 rushing yards. They also did not allow a sack of quarterback Blaine Gabbert for the second straight game. Still, it is the passing attack that garners most of the attention for Mizzou, and namely, wideout Danario Alexander. The senior wideout caught 11 passes for 173 yards and a TD against ISU, which follows up his 200-yard receiving effort against Kansas State and his 214 yards against Baylor over the previous two weeks. The Tigers have won three of their last four games, and Gabbert has a 161.5 QB rating in that span, also showing great mobility as he appears to be fully recovered from a bothersome ankle injury that plagued him throughout October. However, the team still has some injury concerns, as junior tailback Derrick Washington (62 rush yds, TD) was knocked out in the second quarter with a concussion. His status for this week is questionable.

The Missouri defense came through by keeping the Cyclones off the scoreboard in the fourth quarter, as they held ISU to just 21 yards of total offense in that final quarter. The Tigers were particularly stout against the run, holding the Cyclones to 77 rushing yards for the day, 109 yards below their season average entering the game. Two weeks ago, Missouri held Kansas State to a combined 2.6 ypc on the ground and kept the Wildcats out of the end zone for the entire game. On the year, the Tigers have been a middle-of-the-pack defense, both nationally and within the Big 12. And while they have made obvious strides over the past couple of weeks, keep in mind Missouri's last three wins have come against Colorado, Kansas State and Iowa State. None of those teams are above .500, and each of their offenses rank in the bottom- third of the nation. The Jayhawks have certainly had their struggles this year, but the one constant has been their ability to move the ball, particularly through the air. In that regard, the Tigers will face their toughest test in weeks.

Kansas enters this week ranked 11th nationally and second in the Big 12 in passing offense (293.2 ypg). Dezmon Briscoe is two yards away from 3,000 for his career, an accomplishment he'd share with only seven other players in Big 12 history. Briscoe is also one more 100-yard receiving game away from matching his total of seven last season. He is flanked on the other side by senior wideout Kerry Meier, who is 12 yards away from taking over the No. 2 spot on the program's career receiving yardage list (2,255). Meier set the Jayhawks' single-season record with 97 catches last year, and he enters this game with 92 grabs on the year. When facing Kansas, stopping those two is the top priority. Of course, that's easier said than done. Last week, the Longhorns' game plan was to get after quarterback Todd Reesing, and they were able to sack him five times. Meier (9 rec, 46 yds) and Briscoe (5 rec, 101 yds) did inflict some damage, although both were kept out of the end zone.

During the Jayhawks' current six-game slide, five of those losses saw the opponent put up more than 30 points, including one 40-point game and last week's 50-point outburst by Texas. Granted, most teams struggle to contain the Longhorns. But last week, they did virtually anything they wanted to against the KU defense, racking up 29 first downs and 532 yards of total offense. They converted 9-of-15 Texas quarterback Colt McCoy threw for 396 yards and four TDs, and two different Longhorns receivers went over 100 yards with a touchdown. Chris Harris led Kansas with 10 tackles, all solo, while Jeff Wheeler notched a pair of sacks. On the season, Drew Dudley paces the Jayhawks defense with 81 tackles in addition to three sacks. Jake Laptad has a team- high 6.5 sacks, and Wheeler has 5.5, in addition to three forced fumbles. Those two are the main reasons why KU ranks 18th nationally in sacks (2.73).

These teams have been drifting in different directions over the past couple of weeks. That said, the Jayhawks have to snap out of their funk at some point. They should be able to put some pressure on Gabbert to disrupt the Tigers' passing game, while the Kansas offense should be able to come up with some big plays to turn this one into a shootout.

Predicted Outcome: Kansas 42, Missouri 35

 

[Lumi]

Kansas Jayhawks (5-3) (4-1 H) vs Missouri Tigers (1-3) (1-1 A)

Game Time: 3:30 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Memorial Stadium Surface: Turf




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Missouri Tigers HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 3 - 3 4 - 1 7 - 4 0 - 5 4 - 1 4 - 6 2 - 2 1 - 4 3 - 6
Last 5 games 1 - 2 2 - 0 3 - 2 0 - 3 2 - 0 2 - 3 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2
YTD vs. Conf. 1 - 3 2 - 1 3 - 4 0 - 4 2 - 1 2 - 5 2 - 2 1 - 2 3 - 4
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Kansas Jayhawks HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 4 - 2 1 - 4 5 - 6 1 - 4 1 - 4 2 - 8 4 - 1 1 - 2 5 - 3
Last 5 games 0 - 2 0 - 3 0 - 5 0 - 2 0 - 3 0 - 5 1 - 1 0 - 2 1 - 3
YTD vs. Conf. 1 - 2 0 - 4 1 - 6 0 - 3 0 - 4 0 - 7 2 - 1 1 - 2 3 - 3
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Missouri Tigers 3 - 0 1 - 1 2 - 0 2 - 1 0 - 3 0 - 2 0 - 5 0 - 0
Kansas Jayhawks 1 - 2 0 - 2 0 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 2 0 - 2 0 - 0 1 - 4



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Missouri Tigers
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @IL 37 - 9 W +5.5 +7 W 35 61.0 59.0 U -13.0 T
09/12/09 Sat BG 27 - 20 W -17 -20 L -13 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat FUR 52 - 12 W -0 -0 W 40 NL NL G
09/25/09 Fri @NV 31 - 21 W -7.5 -7.5 W 2.5 59.0 61.5 U -9.5 G
10/08/09 Thu NE 12 - 27 L -0 +4 L -11 53.0 50.0 U -11.0 G
10/17/09 Sat @OKST 17 - 33 L +7 +7 L -9 58.0 54.5 U -4.5 T
10/24/09 Sat TX 7 - 41 L +16.5 +13 L -21 52.0 50.5 U -2.5 G
10/31/09 Sat @CO 36 - 17 W -3 -3 W 16 46.0 46.5 O +- 6.5 G
11/07/09 Sat BAY 32 - 40 L -14.5 -14 L -22 45.0 45.0 O +-27.0 G
11/14/09 Sat @KSST 38 - 12 W +2.5 -1.5 W 24.5 50.0 51.0 U -1.0 T
11/21/09 Sat IAST 34 - 24 W -9.5 -15.5 L -5.5 53.0 51.5 O +- 6.5 G


Kansas Jayhawks
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat NOCO 49 - 3 W -0 -0 W 46 NL NL T
09/12/09 Sat @TXEP 34 - 7 W -14.5 -13.5 W 13.5 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat DUKE 44 - 16 W -20.5 -23.5 W 4.5 52.0 52.0 O +- 8.0 T
09/26/09 Sat SMS 35 - 28 W -14 -11.5 L -4.5 60.0 58.5 O +- 4.5 T
10/10/09 Sat IAST 41 - 36 W -16.5 -19 L -14 58.0 58.0 O +-19.0 T
10/17/09 Sat @CO 30 - 34 L -7.5 -8 L -12 56.0 55.0 O +- 9.0 G
10/24/09 Sat OK 13 - 35 L +7.5 +8 L -14 54.0 56.0 U -8.0 T
10/31/09 Sat @TXTECH 21 - 42 L +7.5 +6.5 L -14.5 66.0 66.0 U -3.0 T
11/07/09 Sat @KSST 10 - 17 L -3.5 -2 L -9 60.0 55.5 U -28.5 T
11/14/09 Sat NE 17 - 31 L +3 +4.5 L -9.5 44.0 44.5 O +- 3.5 T
11/21/09 Sat @TX 20 - 51 L +28 +27.5 L -3.5 NL NL G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
10/29/05 Sat MO 3 KS 13 +5.5 +3 KS +13 NL NL O +-16 T
11/25/06 Sat KS 17 MO 42 -6.0 -7.0 MO +18 51.0 51.0 O +-8 G
11/24/07 Sat MO 36 KS 28 0.0 -1.5 KS --9.5 69.0 67.0 U -3 T
11/29/08 Sat KS 40 MO 37 -13.0 -16.0 MO --19 69.0 69.0 O +-8 G




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
MO (off) 31.8 20 33 116 3.5 35 22 0.6 316 9.0 432 1.0 0.4
KS (def) 24.8 21 33 125 3.8 37 24 0.6 257 6.9 382 0.7 0.7
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
MO (def) 18.4 18 36 110 3.1 34 21 0.6 203 6.0 313 0.6 1.6
KS (off) 33.2 26 36 145 4.0 40 25 0.6 298 7.5 443 0.8 0.3
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
MO (off) 29.4 21 35 121 3.5 36 21 0.6 283 7.9 404 0.8 0.5
KS (def) 27.3 20 34 128 3.8 35 22 0.6 240 6.9 368 0.6 0.8
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
MO (def) 23.3 19 34 101 3.0 37 24 0.6 240 6.5 341 0.6 1.0
KS (off) 28.5 23 33 118 3.6 41 26 0.6 293 7.1 411 0.8 0.9



SCORING AVERAGES:

Missouri Tigers (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 8.6 10.4 19 6.0 6.8 0.0 12.8
POINTS ALLOWED 3.4 5.2 8.6 5.8 4.0 0.0 9.8



Kansas Jayhawks (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 5.7 11.8 17.5 5.2 10.5 0.0 15.7
POINTS ALLOWED 5.7 3.8 9.5 9.2 6.2 0.0 15.4



Missouri Tigers (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.7 11.1 17.8 5.7 5.8 0.0 11.5
POINTS ALLOWED 5.8 5.5 11.3 5.6 6.4 0.0 12



Kansas Jayhawks (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.3 10.5 14.8 5.9 7.9 0.0 13.8
POINTS ALLOWED 3.7 8.3 12 6.5 8.7 0.0 15.2



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Missouri Tigers 54.5 -0.5
Kansas Jayhawks 50 4.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 57 UNKNOWN

 

[Lumi]

Preview:
Missouri vs Kansas
When: 3:30 PM ET, Saturday, November 28, 2009
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

Quick Hits


Overall Team Offense

The Kansas Jayhawks are ranked 36 on offense, averaging 410.5 yards per game. The Jayhawks are averaging 117.4 yards rushing and 293.2 yards passing so far this season.

The Missouri Tigers are ranked 44 on offense, averaging 404.8 yards per game. The Tigers are averaging 121.5 yards rushing and 283.4 yards passing so far this season.


Home and Away

The Kansas Jayhawks are 4-2 at home this season, 1-6 against conference opponents and 4-0 against non-conference opponents.

At home the Jayhawks are averaging 33.2 scoring, and holding teams to 24.8 points scored on defense.

The Missouri Tigers are 3-1 while on the road this season, 3-4 against conference opponents and 4-0 against non-conference opponents.

On the road, the Tigers are averaging 30.5 scoring, and holding teams to 20.8 points scored on defense.

 

[Lumi]

Trends - Missouri vs Kansas

Trends - Missouri vs Kansas

Trends - Missouri vs Kansas


ATS Trends

Missouri

Tigers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November.
Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Tigers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 conference games.
Tigers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on grass.


Kansas

Jayhawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
Jayhawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Jayhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
Jayhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Jayhawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Jayhawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Jayhawks are 0-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jayhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Jayhawks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jayhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Jayhawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games overall.


OU Trends

Missouri

Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Tigers last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games in November.
Over is 4-1 in Tigers last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.


Kansas

Over is 4-0 in Jayhawks last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 13-4 in Jayhawks last 17 games in November.
Over is 9-3 in Jayhawks last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 19-7 in Jayhawks last 26 games on grass.
Over is 5-2 in Jayhawks last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 12-5 in Jayhawks last 17 games overall.
Over is 7-3 in Jayhawks last 10 games as an underdog.
Over is 9-4 in Jayhawks last 13 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.
Over is 9-4 in Jayhawks last 13 conference games.


Head to Head

Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

 

[Lumi]

Boston College (7-4) at Maryland (2-9)

Boston College (7-4) at Maryland (2-9)

Boston College (7-4) at Maryland (2-9)


DATE & TIME: Saturday, November 28th, 3:30 p.m. (et).

FACTS & STATS: Site: Byrd Stadium (54,000) -- College Park, Maryland. Television: ESPN U. Home Record: BC 6-1, Maryland 2-4. Away Record: BC 1-3, Maryland 0-5. Neutral Record: BC 0-0, Maryland 0-0. Conference Record: BC 4-3, Maryland 1-6. Series Record: Boston College leads, 4-2.

GAME NOTES: The Maryland Terrapins will try to end a tough season on a positive note, as they welcome the Boston College Eagles to Byrd Stadium for an ACC showdown.

The Terps have lost each of their last six games to fall to 2-9 on the season. Last Saturday, they fell to Florida State, 29-26, after the Seminoles scored the go-ahead touchdown with 32 seconds remaining. That loss was especially tough to swallow in that Maryland rallied to take the lead not once, but twice in the final quarter.

As for the Eagles, their quest for a perfect home season came crashing down with last week's 31-13 loss to 23rd-ranked North Carolina. They were rolling along prior to that, with wins in two straight games and three of their previous four. In road games this season, BC has gone just 1-4.

Boston College holds a slight 4-2 edge in the head-to-head series, although Maryland picked up a 42-35 win in last year's meeting.

BC running back Montel Harris is averaging 110.3 rushing yards per game, which ranks him second in the ACC and 18th nationally. Against UNC, Harris ran for 132 yards on 23 carries, with a long gain of 27 yards. Rich Gunnell (49 rec, 708 yds, 6 TD) had six catches for 60 yards and a touchdown. However, it was a rough game for quarterback Dave Shinskie (12-of-28, 101 yds), who was intercepted four times, including one that was returned for a score, and lost a fumble that was also returned for a touchdown. Shinskie had another pick that was negated by a pass interference call, and two more fumbles that were recovered by BC.

Boston College ranks fourth in the conference in both total defense (322.2 ypg) and scoring defense (19.6 ppg). The Eagles' run defense ranks 22nd in the nation, allowing only 108.4 yards per game. The headliner of this unit is linebacker Luke Kuechly, who ranks third in the nation with 11.5 tackles per game. Last week, he piled up a game-high 19 tackles, including 2.5 for loss. Strong safety Marcellus Bowman chipped in with 10 tackles and an interception. The Eagles allowed only 278 total yards and came up with four takeaways against the Tar Heels, but Shinskie's turnover parade often painted the defense into a corner.

Maryland running back Da'Rel Scott, An All-ACC First Teamer last season, returned from a four-game absence last week against Florida State and ran for 83 yards on 19 carries. He helped the Terps to a season-high 196 rushing yards. Duplicating that performance won't be so easy against BC's stout run defense (108.4 ypg). Backup quarterback Jamarr Robinson made his second career start last week, completing 20-of-27 passes for 214 yards and a touchdown. Starter Chris Turner has been out since injuring his knee against NC State earlier this month, though he could possibly return this weekend.

The Terps thought they were on their way to victory when Cameron Chism intercepted FSU quarterback E.J. Manuel with just under three minutes to play. But a three-and-out by the UM offense, followed by a long punt return by FSU, had the Seminoles set up on the Maryland 44 with 1:35 remaining. After a couple of long scrambles by Manuel, the Seminoles were knocking on the door, and running back Lonnie Pryor punched in the go-ahead score on a one-yard run with 32 seconds on the clock. Those final moments washed away an otherwise solid effort by the Maryland defense, which came up with three interceptions for the game.

The Eagles rediscovered their ground game with the return of Harris last week. That's bad news for a Maryland defense that allowed four rushing touchdowns and a combined 8.2 ypc to FSU running backs last week.

Predicted Outcome: Boston College 31, Maryland 21

 

[Lumi]

Maryland Terrapins (1-4) (1-1 H) vs Boston College Eagles (5-3) (0-3 A)

Game Time: 3:30 p.m. EDT Saturday, November 28

Stadium: Byrd Stadium Surface: Grass




RECORD ANALYSIS
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Boston College Eagles HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL

Year-to-Date 6 - 1 1 - 3 7 - 4 5 - 1 1 - 2 6 - 3 4 - 1 1 - 3 5 - 4
Last 5 games 2 - 1 1 - 1 3 - 2 2 - 1 1 - 0 3 - 1 2 - 1 0 - 2 2 - 3
YTD vs. Conf. 3 - 1 1 - 2 4 - 3 3 - 1 0 - 2 3 - 3 4 - 0 1 - 2 5 - 2
STRAIGHT-UP VS. SPREAD OVER/UNDER
Maryland Terrapins HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL HOME AWAY TOTAL
Year-to-Date 2 - 4 0 - 5 2 - 9 1 - 4 2 - 2 3 - 6 1 - 4 3 - 2 4 - 6
Last 5 games 0 - 2 0 - 3 0 - 5 0 - 2 1 - 1 1 - 3 0 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 4
YTD vs. Conf. 1 - 2 0 - 4 1 - 6 1 - 2 2 - 1 3 - 3 0 - 3 2 - 2 2 - 5
AWAY VS. SPREAD HOME VS. SPREAD
Year-to-Date FAV DOG GRASS TURF FAV DOG GRASS TURF
Boston College Eagles 0 - 0 1 - 2 1 - 2 0 - 0 4 - 1 1 - 0 0 - 0 5 - 1
Maryland Terrapins 0 - 0 2 - 2 2 - 2 0 - 0 0 - 2 1 - 2 1 - 4 0 - 0



TEAM LOGS/SCHEDULE:
( * = overtime)

Boston College Eagles
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat NEAST 54 - 0 W -0 -0 W 54 NL NL T
09/12/09 Sat KENTST 34 - 7 W -17 -21 W 6 NL NL T
09/19/09 Sat @CLEM 7 - 25 L +6.5 +8.5 L -9.5 43.5 45.0 U -13.0 G
09/26/09 Sat WF 27 - 24 W -2 -1.5 W 1.5 41.0 41.0 O +-10.0 T
10/03/09 Sat FLST 28 - 21 W +6 +4 W 11 45.5 46.0 O +- 3.0 T
10/10/09 Sat @VATECH 14 - 48 L +12 +13.5 L -20.5 45.0 44.5 O +-17.5 G
10/17/09 Sat NCST 52 - 20 W -2.5 -2.5 W 29.5 50.0 48.0 O +-24.0 T
10/24/09 Sat @ND 16 - 20 L +10 +8 W 4 54.5 54.0 U -18.0 G
10/31/09 Sat CMI 31 - 10 W -3 -5 W 16 52.0 50.0 U -9.0 T
11/14/09 Sat @VA 14 - 10 W -5.5 -4 L 0 42.0 43.5 U -19.5 G
11/21/09 Sat NC 13 - 31 L -3 -3 L -21 37.5 39.0 O +- 5.0 T


Maryland Terrapins
LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY OPP SCORE SU OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
09/05/09 Sat @CA 13 - 52 L +17 +21 L -18 54.0 50.5 O +-14.5 G
09/12/09 Sat JM 38 - 35 W -0 -0 W 3 NL NL G
09/19/09 Sat MITNST 31 - 32 L -10 -7.5 L -8.5 52.0 52.0 O +-11.0 G
09/26/09 Sat RUT 13 - 34 L +2.5 -1 L -22 52.0 50.0 U -3.0 G
10/03/09 Sat CLEM 24 - 21 W +13 +12.5 W 15.5 47.0 48.0 U -3.0 G
10/10/09 Sat @WF 32 - 42 L +11.5 +13 W 3 49.0 52.5 O +-21.5 G
10/17/09 Sat VA 9 - 20 L +1 +3.5 L -7.5 49.0 45.5 U -16.5 G
10/24/09 Sat @DUKE 13 - 17 L +8 +4 L 0 56.0 55.5 U -25.5 G
11/07/09 Sat @NCST 31 - 38 L +9.5 +6.5 L -0.5 56.0 55.0 O +-14.0 G
11/14/09 Sat VATECH 9 - 36 L +16 +19 L -8 48.0 47.5 U -2.5 G
11/21/09 Sat @FLST 26 - 29 L +17 +17 W 14 58.0 56.5 U -1.5 G



PREVIOUS MEETINGS:

LINE OVER/UNDER
DATE DAY VIS SC HOM SC OPEN CLOSE ATS &
MARGIN OPEN CLOSE O/U &
MARGIN G/T
11/19/05 Sat BC 31 MD 16 +2 +1 MD --14 43.5 44.0 O +-3 G
11/18/06 Sat MD 16 BC 38 -6.0 -8.0 BC +14 39.0 41.5 O +-12.5 T
11/10/07 Sat BC 35 MD 42 +5 +6.5 MD +13.5 47.0 46.5 O +-30.5 G
11/29/08 Sat MD 21 BC 28 -8.0 -6.5 BC +0.5 41.0 42.5 O +-6.5 T




STATISTICAL AVERAGES:


AWAY/HOME RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
BC (off) 12.8 12 33 75 2.3 28 11 0.4 142 5.1 217 2.5 1.0
MD (def) 29.7 16 41 154 3.8 28 15 0.5 190 6.8 344 0.5 0.8
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
BC (def) 25.8 19 42 142 3.4 30 20 0.7 194 6.5 336 0.8 0.5
MD (off) 20.7 16 34 106 3.1 34 19 0.6 212 6.2 318 1.2 1.7
ALL GAMES RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
BC (off) 26.4 16 36 143 4.0 27 13 0.5 180 6.7 323 1.5 0.6
MD (def) 32.4 19 38 153 4.0 30 19 0.6 247 8.2 400 0.9 0.7
RUSHING PASSING TOT TURNOVERS
PTS FD AT YDS AVG AT CO PCT YDS AVG YDS INT FUM
BC (def) 19.6 18 36 108 3.0 34 22 0.6 214 6.3 322 1.2 0.7
MD (off) 21.7 16 35 110 3.1 33 19 0.6 209 6.3 319 0.9 1.3



SCORING AVERAGES:

Boston College Eagles (away) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 0.5 3.5 4 1.8 7.0 0.0 8.8
POINTS ALLOWED 5.0 10.8 15.8 3.3 6.8 0.0 10.1



Maryland Terrapins (home) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.0 8.3 12.3 2.8 5.0 0.5 8.3
POINTS ALLOWED 6.7 6.7 13.4 8.7 7.7 0.0 16.4



Boston College Eagles (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 6.5 8.1 14.6 5.8 5.7 0.3 11.8
POINTS ALLOWED 4.6 5.9 10.5 1.8 7.3 0.0 9.1



Maryland Terrapins (all) Q1 Q2 H1 Q3 Q4 OT H2+OT
POINTS FOR 4.6 7.2 11.8 4.1 5.5 0.3 9.9
POINTS ALLOWED 9.6 8.0 17.6 7.9 6.8 0.0 14.7



VALUE INDEX COMPARISON TO LAS VEGAS LINE:

LV POINTSPREAD VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING LINE EDGE
Boston College Eagles 57
Maryland Terrapins 54.5 -1.5 8.0
LV OVER/UNDER VALUE INDEX VALUE INDEX
OPEN CURRENT RATING EDGE
OVER/UNDER 46 UNKNOWN