maverick2112 said:
Scott..........will you hedge any more now that series is 2-2 ??
Series is definitely getting interesting but if Detroit wins game 5......then game 6 becomes a difference of possibly $10,000 for you.
Still sitting in pretty good position though........
Right now I give Spurs a 20% chance to win game 5 based on what I have seen in this series and way its been officiated. But I give Spurs 80% to win game 6 and 80% game 7. Spurs are a completely different team at home and it is extremely difficult to close a team out on road! Especially a team like the Spurs!
If Spurs play like Spurs, then I think Spurs have 45% winning game 5. But I have no idea how Spurs play game 5. I think there is decent chance Pistons struggle because they can't seem to play 3 great games in row and they seem to only play excellent with backs against wall. Backs are not really against wall but some may argue game 5 is must win as well for Pistons. Certainly Pistons need game 5 more than Spurs. Charles Barkley always says series doesn't start until a team wins on road.
Spurs should give best effort and be focused. Otherwise I will be disappointed. There goal was to win 1 game so game 5 is it. Maybe they saved there best stuff and wanted to carry that momentum into game 6 at home vs winning game 3 and losing games 4/5. But why the hell would a team in finals think this way? So they prob. aren't but NBA is a business. Who knows. Ginobili certainly hasn't been himself. Maybe because of injury (likely) or maybe he is saving energy for games 5, 6 and 7. He plays balls out and I don't think you can do that every game. What do I know.
I am going to roll the dice because I make 7k or 12k guaranteed profit if series goes 7 games. I make 2k profit if Pistons win in 6 so that is nice consolation prize. I don't see Spurs losing game 6 at home. (at least I hope so) I always put my money where my mouth is. Although I took Pistons to win in 7 based on their fortunate luck and 9-1 was superb value.
If Miami was playing Spurs and Spurs tied 2-2 I might be $hitting bricks because I be already out $$ on Pistons loss and I have zero $$ on Miami.
Before series started, I thought Spurs would sweep 2 at home, lose game 3 big, win either game 4 or 5 in close games, and close out series in 6. I thought Pistons best chance at beating spurs in SA was game 1 and they blew it after leading big 1q. I thought there would be 4 close games in this series and difference maker being Pistons scoring droughts. These blowouts are quite boring.
oke 
