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  1. Smitty

    Wednesday 12/29

    Pinstripe Bowl VT (ML) 1 unit to win 1.4 over (54.5) 1 unit. hate myself for betting on this game. and i completely flip-flopped on the side and total. maryland has pretty much won the games they were supposed to win. and VT is down to their 3rd string qb, who has completed 7 passes this...
  2. Smitty

    Tuesday 12/28

    Birmingham Bowl houston (ML) 1 unit to win 1. over (51.5) 3 units. went back and forth on the side a few times. houston feels like the "easy" pick, because who the hell knows if auburn will show up. they've dropped 5 straight, including the OT loss in the iron bowl. and houston has had a...
  3. Smitty

    Monday 12/27

    Quick Lane Bowl western mich (-6.5) 6 units. i'll start with the negative.... i may have mentioned a few times that i HATE betting on bowl teams basically playing home games. and there are some huge unknowns in this game. in case you missed it, nevada's head coach fled to colorado st. they...
  4. Smitty

    Saturday 12/25

    Merry Christmas!!! Camellia Bowl Sponsored by Joe Camel time for that annual christmas tradition... opening presents... getting drunk (and full) on egg nog.... and telling the kids we're all watching the camellia bowl BECAUSE DADDY WORKS HARD SO HE CAN AFFORD A 65" TV AND YOU DAMN BETTER...
  5. Smitty

    Friday 12/24

    Hawaii Bowl memphis (-8.5) 3 units under (55.5) 4 units. i'm assuming cordeiro isn't playing. he's leaving the program, as apparently a lot of players are not happy with todd graham. hard to believe. :142smilie anyway, i hate betting against backup qbs in their first start. but i'll make...
  7. Smitty

    Thursday 12/23

    Frisco Football Classic, definitely NOT the Frisco Bowl North Texas (ML) 4 units to win 4.6. i hate that this is basically a home game for the mean green, but i like their ground game against a mediocre miami run defense. UNT is 3rd in the country in rushing yards/game, behind only AF & Army...
  8. Smitty

    Wednesday 12/22

    Armed Forces Bowl Army (-4) 2 units over (57) 4 units. i don't normally like playing the service academies in bowl games because you get extra time to prepare for the option. however, mizzou is 125th in the country, giving up 229 yards/game on the ground. hard to imagine army won't rack up...
  9. Smitty

    Tuesday 12/21

    Potato Bowl wyoming (-3) 3 units over (59) 4 units. ok, i'm getting a little crazy with that over. but it's practically begging for under money. ok, first of all, wyoming's head coach is craig bohl. craig BOHL. not surprisingly, craig BOHL is 3-0 ATS in bowl games. including a blowout win...
  10. Smitty

    Monday 12/20

    Ye Olde Myrtle Beach Bowl tulsa (-8.5) 3 units. under (52.5) 2 units. 1st Half under (27.5) 2 units. is a golden hurricane just a really aggressive golden shower? asking for a friend. anyway, both teams run the ball more than they throw it, which is a rarity these days. and both defenses...
  11. Smitty

    Saturday 12/18

    Boca Raton Bowl app st (ML) 3 units to win 2. my first forced play of the bowl season. don't really like the side or total. but all app st does is win bowl games. so this is one of the extremely rare times i'm playing a fav on the ML. New Mexico Bowl utep 1st Half (+6.5) 2 units utep 1st...
  13. Smitty

    Friday 12/17

    gonna try to post the bowl games again. as usual, i'll probably bet every single one of them. Bahamas Bowl[U] MTSU (ML) 2 units to win 5.8 under (52) 3 units. no, i'm not going to try to convince you the blue raiders are sneaky good or anything like that. they're not. they can't run the...
  14. Smitty

    Sunday 12/12

    haven't posted in about 2 months, but i have a little time so here goes... atlanta (ML) 6 units to win 7. atl/car under (42) 4 units car TT under (21.5) 2 units. atlanta has been decent on the road, going 4-2. but these bets really boil down to two words. cam. newton. seriously, who...
  15. Smitty

    Sunday 10/10

    definitely not the start to the season i was looking for. leaving for vegas on wednesday. hopefully i'll be able to figure out how to post from my phone. nyj/atlanta over (46) 2 units. yeah, i got a bad line on thursday. two teams that spent 6 days saying "we're seriously in fucking...
  16. Smitty

    Sunday 10/3

    i'm gonna try posting my plays on the day i make my bets. let's see if that helps me post a little more consistently. didn't love anything this week. lord knows i don't have the discipline to not bet. dallas (-6.5) 1 unit to win 1.2. took the alternate line on this one to swing the juice in...
  17. Smitty

    Week 2

    week two is usually the best week to make money. that said, this is reminding me of last year, and i'm not finding a lot of plays. oh well. trying to not force anything. indy (ML) 1 unit to win 1.7. taking one more stand against the rams. buff/mia over (48) 2 units. feels like they are...
  19. Smitty

    Week One

    well, well, well, it's that time of year again. i'm gonna try to get back into the habit of posting again. we'll see how it goes. running a little late for the 1:00 games. and, full disclosure... this year i'm bullish on denver and bearish on carolina. let's call it the teddy bridgewater...
  20. Smitty

    Buff/KC Discussion

    kc is favored by 3. question for the panel... is that the line assuming mahomes plays? or does that line assume mahomes is out? or is that line going to move one way or the other whenever an announcement is made declaring him the starter or out of the game? any thoughts? i'm playing kc...
  21. Smitty

    Superb Owl Liv Tyler

    about 8 weeks ago, i bet the niners to win the SB. 2 units to win 10. i'm letting it ride, as i love their chances today. in championship games, good defense beats good offense. i'm hoping all the injured niners on the defensive side of the ball are healthy enough to make a significant...
  22. Smitty

    Sunday

    easily the best two weeks to start the playoffs i've ever had. hard to believe i'll keep it going for 3 more games. but here's what i've played so far. tenn/kc 1st Q over (9.5) 1 unit tenn 1st H (+4.5) 1 unit tenn (+7.5) 4 units tenn (ML) 2 units to win 5.6 over (52.5) 2 units. well, i'm...
  23. Smitty

    NC Game

    i don't love this game. but, because it's the nc game, i'm putting 8 units down. clemson 1st H (+3.5) 2 units clemson (ML) 4 units to win 6.8 over (69.5) 2 units. just feel like i'm getting some value on the tigers. no, the other tigers. i'm not entirely sold on lsu's defense. so i think...
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