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  1. Smitty

    Saturday/Sunday

    last weekend was damn near perfect, so i'll probably regress to the mean this weekend. sf (-7) 2 units over (44.5) 2 units. the more i think about this game, the more i like san fran. i was tempted to throw some more on them, but decided against it. i'm not going to dig up the numbers...
  2. Smitty

    The Who Gives a Fuck Bowl*

    *full disclosure - that MAY not be the official title of monday's game. miami oh (+13.5) 2 units miami (ML) 1 unit to win 3.6. do i really think miami will win this game? no. louisiana has been solid this year. but i figured i'd take a shot at the big upset in the last bowl game of the...
  3. Smitty

    Wild Card Weekend

    just an fyi... nobody is colder than i am right now. as always, bill barnwell's column is a must read for these games. https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/28403463/barnwell-guide-2019-nfl-playoffs-how-all-12-teams-win-super-bowl houston 1st H (-.5) 2 units 1st H under (21.5) 2 units houston...
  4. Smitty

    Armed Forces Bowl?

    didn't we already do this? do i need to make another lame rotc joke? well, i am on one of my patented runs. can't hit a bet to save my life. so do yourself a favor, and fade, fade, fade this play. tulane (-7) 5 units. ok, i'm living in the past on this one. i really enjoyed watching...
  5. Smitty

    Potato Bowl

    mmmm... potato bowl.... keeping it short and sweet. ohio had a very disappointing season in frank solich's last year. no reason to think it won't end in a disappointing loss on the blue turf. nevada (+8) 2 units nevada (ML) 2 units to win 4.6
  7. Smitty

    Thursday

    well, having a week and a half off during bowl season has been terrific, even if i had the flu the entire time. but i gotta go back to work tomorrow, so posting these now... Birmingham Bowl bc 1st H (+4) 3 units bc (+7.5) 3 units bc (ML) 2 units to win 4.6. taking a shot against an...
  8. Smitty

    Michigan's OC

    3 notes: 1) maybe stick with the ground game when it works 2) throwing every first down, running every second down, and throwing every third down is not tricky. and i think the defense has picked up on it. 3) you haven't even been CLOSE to completing a deep pass outside the hashes all day...
  9. Smitty

    New Years Day

    happy new years everyone! If you followed my picks yesterday (and remembered it was opposite day), you had a perfect day! that's right! i lost every fucking bet yesterday. including all 3 games that came down to the wire. pretty impressive. the only bet i really regret was utah. i knew...
  10. Smitty

    Tuesday

    last day of 2019. wow. bowl season hasn't gone as i'd hoped, but i'm still eeking out a small profit. Belk Bowl virginia tech (-2) 1 unit 1st H under (23.5) 1 unit under (46.5) 1 unit. the more i look at this game, the more i wish i'd bet a little more. it's bud foster's last game, and...
  11. Smitty

    Monday

    First Responder Bowl western kentucky (-3) 4 units. and starting to think i should have put even more on them. wmu has a pretty balanced offense, led by levante bellamy, who averages 5.7 yards/carry. the toppers have a solid run d, only giving up 3.7 yards/carry. in fact, their d has been...
  13. Smitty

    Sunday

    ugh. gotta take a break from bowl games for some boring-ass nfl crap. here is my annual reminder.... if you bet a team because "they need this game", then you should stop betting on sports IMMEDIATELY. atlanta (pk) 4 units. one last chance to bet against tampa at home, where they have been...
  14. Smitty

    Saturday

    running late, not much time for write-ups. Cotton Bowl memphis 1st H (ML) 2 units to win 3.4 memphis (ML) 2 units to win 4 memphis (+7) 3 units under (60) 2 units. purely an anti-psu play. i haven't been all that impressed with them this year. especially clifford. they had their hopes set...
  15. Smitty

    Friday

    Military Bowl how are temple and unc playing in the military bowl? is a question one may ask. my guess? great rotc programs. ok, i'm going to keep this fairly simple. this one is for degenerates only. no sane person should wager money on this game. primarily because temple, much like...
  16. Smitty

    Thursday

    a very merry christmas to all madjackers. Independence Bowl la tech (+7) 2 units la tech (ML) 1 unit to win 2. well, obviously i'm glad i bet this game when i did on 12/9. although i think, so far, every single bet i put in that day has lost. so much for getting those good early lines...
  17. Smitty

    Hawaii Bowl

    despite my usual early bowl season success, i feel like i am on the wrong side of this one every year. so let's wager on another one! byu (-2) 2 units over (63) 1 unit. ok, i will admit i have a blind spot for the cougs. i have a lot of respect for the program. hopefully that is not what is...
  19. Smitty

    Gasparilla Bowl

    let me start by saying i don't love this game. if i had any discipline, i wouldn't play it. on the bright side, the line movement since i first bet this game 2 weeks ago has gone in my favor. this is definitely not the same ucf team from the last few years. they are vulnerable. hell, they...
  20. Smitty

    Saturday

    sorry, shorter write-ups today. usually i do them while i'm doing my handicapping. they help me organize my thoughts. but i handicapped these games yesterday (at work, don't tell the boss!). i'll try to hit a couple highlights. OH, fun story. practically got in an argument with a manager...
  21. Smitty

    Saturday through Monday

    hou/tampa over (50) 2 units. really like the texans, as tampa is 0-5 at home ATS. but i think the over is the better play. tampa home games have seen fewer than 51 points once this year, and that was the season opener. also a sandwich game for houston. they played tenn last week and play...
  22. Smitty

    Friday 12/20

    hard to believe, but it's bowl season again. Bahamas Bowl as someone who loves playing dogs in bowl games, and someone who made some money on charlotte this year, i really expected i'd be betting on the 49'ers in this game. but the more i dig, the more i think the bulls get the win. while...
  23. Smitty

    Sunday

    bet these on friday the 13th, so beware chi 1st H (+2.5) 2 units chi (+4) 4 units chi (ML) 1 unit to win 1.9. well, well, well, mitchell trubisky finally remembered his legs are much more consistent than his arm. hopefully he remembers that for one more week. the bears defense was great...
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