I would actually think about 1Q ORL -4 at home against the knicks. just looked at my numbers and the signals are green
NBA SAT 032109 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)
- Thread starter axp59
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- Mar 18, 2009
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Orlando isn't a team that builds a commanding lead gradually and in increments; if they're going to blow out the Knicks tomorrow, they'll start RIGHT AWAY...
regression model-plays as expected on anygiven day anywhere
NY/ORL
50 57
Weighted Geometric Mean- Home team dictates
48 58
Exponential Smoothing - what have you done for me lately.
41 61
- Mar 18, 2009
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I'm actually an Arsenal fan. This season has been very trying to say the least! I do agree that Bendtner is bollocks seeing how he misses many more than he scores and yes, Wenger can be quite the sore loser as well. With our extremely long injury list about to get shorter with Eduardo, Fabregas and Adebayor returning for the run-in, I think we'll be able to hold on to 4th spot. Wenger will be too old by the time Fergie retires though and I can't see him managing another EPL side.
You're spot on about Aston Villa. I recall many times reading about how they had one of the smallest squads in the league.
Haha, Ferdinand reminds of Rasheed Wallace in that they have immense talen but often choose not to exert the required effort. I think ManU will win tomorrow as well, but still deciding whether to just take the ML or maybe take a spread of -1 which I think has a lot of value @ $1.701.
Sorry for hijacking your thread, ax. :kiss:
Oh, I hate this!,, I'm going to be a single game action junkie playing 1Q, 1H, Gm total...why not 2H?
No apologies needed PnP...I'm actually reading these and soaking it in. I love to learn...I may be an EPL expert capper some day. LOL
- Mar 19, 2009
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Wow Ax I felt like the first time I was introduced to algebra.
Dah boy I have alot to learn. where did you get all these goodies?
Wow Ax I felt like the first time I was introduced to algebra.
I wrote all my own capping programs!! I have degrees both in mathematics and engineering ...among others LOL
- Mar 19, 2009
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Its my pleasure to know you. Still intrested in a nice filet. What is your favorite steakhouse?
- Mar 18, 2009
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Don't forget 2Q
Probably should go over ORL team total and under for NY while you're at it :142smilie
:mj06:
GS over! Actually hate to sweat that one out surprisingly, but a winner's a winner!
- Mar 18, 2009
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Ax -
Although sure you consider all 3, do you place equal weight on all of 'em when factoring in your decision or on exponential smoothing; having worked in epidemiology and using statistical data, some of older numbers I used really weren't valuable in predicting current models, but b/c of their inclusion, tended to skew the results (and subsequently the projected direction of what would happen and the proper reaction required).
Was that you? Cali?? Best butcher if I got you that win?
Man, i'll pay for it...I just want to try it since to hyped it up so much...Geez, I've been looking for the gut that promised me that fillet mignon.
